Trial of Erythropoietin for Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy in Newborns.

BACKGROUND: Neonatal hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy is an important cause of death as well as long-term disability in survivors. Erythropoietin has been hypothesized to have neuroprotective effects in infants with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy, but its effects on neurodevelopmental outcomes when given in conjunction with therapeutic hypothermia are unknown. METHODS: In a multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial, we assigned 501 infants born at 36 weeks or more of gestation with moderate or severe hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy to receive erythropoietin or placebo, in conjunction with standard therapeutic hypothermia. Erythropoietin (1000 U per kilogram of body weight) or saline placebo was administered intravenously within 26 hours after birth, as well as at 2, 3, 4, and 7 days of age. The primary outcome was death or neurodevelopmental impairment at 22 to 36 months of age. Neurodevelopmental impairment was defined as cerebral palsy, a Gross Motor Function Classification System level of at least 1 (on a scale of 0 [normal] to 5 [most impaired]), or a cognitive score of less than 90 (which corresponds to 0.67 SD below the mean, with higher scores indicating better performance) on the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, third edition. RESULTS: Of 500 infants in the modified intention-to-treat analysis, 257 received erythropoietin and 243 received placebo. The incidence of death or neurodevelopmental impairment was 52.5% in the erythropoietin group and 49.5% in the placebo group (relative risk, 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.86 to 1.24; P = 0.74). The mean number of serious adverse events per child was higher in the erythropoietin group than in the placebo group (0.86 vs. 0.67; relative risk, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.57). CONCLUSIONS: The administration of erythropoietin to newborns undergoing therapeutic hypothermia for hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy did not result in a lower risk of death or neurodevelopmental impairment than placebo and was associated with a higher rate of serious adverse events. (Funded by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02811263.).

Effectiveness of Existing Insomnia Therapies for Patients Undergoing Hemodialysis : A Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Chronic insomnia is common in patients undergoing in-center hemodialysis, yet there is limited evidence on effective treatments for this population. OBJECTIVE: To compare the effectiveness of cognitive behavioral therapy for insomnia (CBT-I), trazodone, and placebo for insomnia in patients undergoing long-term hemodialysis. DESIGN: Randomized, multicenter, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03534284). SETTING: 26 dialysis units in Albuquerque, New Mexico, and Seattle, Washington. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with Insomnia Severity Index (ISI) score of 10 or greater, with sleep disturbances on 3 or more nights per week for 3 or more months. INTERVENTION: Participants were randomly assigned to 6 weeks of CBT-I, trazodone, or placebo. MEASUREMENTS: The primary outcome was the ISI score at 7 and 25 weeks from randomization. RESULTS: A total of 923 patients were prescreened, and of the 411 patients with chronic insomnia, 126 were randomly assigned to CBT-I (n = 43), trazodone (n = 42), or placebo (n = 41). The change in ISI scores from baseline to 7 weeks with CBT-I or trazodone was no different from placebo: CBT-I, -3.7 (95% CI, -5.5 to -1.9); trazodone, -4.2 (CI, -5.9 to -2.4); and placebo, -3.1 (CI, -4.9 to -1.3). There was no meaningful change in ISI scores from baseline to 25 weeks: CBT-I, -4.8 (CI, -7.0 to -2.7); trazodone, -4.0 (CI, -6.0 to -1.9); and placebo, -4.3 (CI, -6.4 to -2.2). Serious adverse events (SAEs), particularly serious cardiovascular events, were more frequent with trazodone (annualized cardiovascular SAE incidence rates: CBT-I, 0.05 [CI, 0.00 to 0.29]; trazodone, 0.64 [CI, 0.34 to 1.10]; and placebo, 0.21 [CI, 0.06 to 0.53]). LIMITATION: Modest sample size and most participants had mild or moderate insomnia. CONCLUSION: In patients undergoing hemodialysis with mild or moderate chronic insomnia, there was no difference in the effectiveness of 6 weeks of CBT-I or trazodone compared with placebo. The incidence of SAEs was higher with trazodone. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health/National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

Designing three-level cluster randomized trials to assess treatment effect heterogeneity.

Cluster randomized trials often exhibit a three-level structure with participants nested in subclusters such as health care providers, and subclusters nested in clusters such as clinics. While the average treatment effect has been the primary focus in planning three-level randomized trials, interest is growing in understanding whether the treatment effect varies among prespecified patient subpopulations, such as those defined by demographics or baseline clinical characteristics. In this article, we derive novel analytical design formulas based on the asymptotic covariance matrix for powering confirmatory analyses of treatment effect heterogeneity in three-level trials, that are broadly applicable to the evaluation of cluster-level, subcluster-level, and participant-level effect modifiers and to designs where randomization can be carried out at any level. We characterize a nested exchangeable correlation structure for both the effect modifier and the outcome conditional on the effect modifier, and generate new insights from a study design perspective for conducting analyses of treatment effect heterogeneity based on a linear mixed analysis of covariance model. A simulation study is conducted to validate our new methods and two real-world trial examples are used for illustrations.

Esophageal Versus Rectal Temperature Monitoring During Whole-Body Therapeutic Hypothermia for Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy: Association with Short- and Long-Term Outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the short- and long-term outcomes of infants with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) treated with whole-body therapeutic hypothermia (TH), monitored by esophageal vs rectal temperature. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted a secondary analysis of the multicenter High-Dose Erythropoietin for Asphyxia and Encephalopathy (HEAL) trial. All infants had moderate or severe HIE and were treated with whole-body TH. The primary outcome was death or neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) at 22-36 months of age. Secondary outcomes included seizures, evidence of brain injury on magnetic resonance imaging, and complications of hypothermia. Logistic regression was used with adjustment for disease severity and site as clustering variable because cooling modality differed by site. RESULTS: Of the 500 infants who underwent TH, 294 (59%) and 206 (41%) had esophageal and rectal temperature monitoring, respectively. There were no differences in death or NDI, seizures, or evidence of injury on magnetic resonance imaging between the 2 groups. Infants treated with TH and rectal temperature monitoring had lower odds of overcooling (OR 0.52, 95% CI 0.34-0.80) and lower odds of hypotension (OR 0.57, 95% CI 0.39-0.84) compared with those with esophageal temperature monitoring. CONCLUSIONS: Although infants undergoing TH with esophageal monitoring were more likely to experience overcooling and hypotension, the rate of death or NDI was similar whether esophageal monitoring or rectal temperature monitoring was used. Further studies are needed to investigate whether esophageal temperature monitoring during TH is associated with an increased risk of overcooling and hypotension.

Time to Reaching Target Cooling Temperature and 2-year Outcomes in Infants with Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if time to reaching target temperature (TT) is associated with death or neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) at 2 years of age in infants with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE). STUDY DESIGN: Newborn infants ≥36 weeks of gestation diagnosed with moderate or severe HIE and treated with therapeutic hypothermia were stratified based on time at which TT was reached, defined as early (ie, ≤4 hours of age) or late (>4 hours of age). Primary outcomes were death or NDI. Secondary outcomes included neurodevelopmental assessment with Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, third edition (BSID-III) at age 2. RESULTS: Among 500 infants, the median time to reaching TT was 4.3 hours (IWR, 3.2-5.7 hours). Infants in early TT group (n = 211 [42%]) compared with the late TT group (n = 289 [58%]) were more likely to be inborn (23% vs 13%; P < .001) and have severe HIE (28% vs 19%; P = .03). The early and late TT groups did not differ in the primary outcome of death or any NDI (adjusted RR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.85-0.30; P = .62). Among survivors, neurodevelopmental outcomes did not differ significantly in the 2 groups (adjusted mean difference in Bayley Scales of Infant Development-III scores: cognitive, -2.8 [95% CI, -6.1 to 0.5], language -3.3 [95% CI, -7.4 to 0.8], and motor -3.5 [95% CI, -7.3 to 0.3]). CONCLUSIONS: In infants with HIE, time to reach TT is not independently associated with risk of death or NDI at age 2 years. Among survivors, developmental outcomes are similar between those who reached TT at <4 and ≥4 hours of age. TRIAL REGISTRATION: High-dose Erythropoietin for Asphyxia and Encephalopathy (HEAL); NCT02811263; https://beta. CLINICALTRIALS: gov/study/NCT02811263.

Association Between Urinary Biomarkers and CKD in Extremely Low Gestational Age Neonates.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Children born before 28 weeks' gestation are at increased risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Urine biomarkers may shed light on mechanistic pathways and improve the ability to forecast CKD. We evaluated whether urinary biomarkers in neonates of low gestational age (GA) are associated with a reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over time. STUDY DESIGN: A cohort study of neonates with an exploratory case-control study of a subset of the cohort. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 327 neonates born at 24-27 weeks' gestation with 2-year eGFR data from the PENUT (Preterm Erythropoietin Neuroprotection Trial) and the REPaIReD (Recombinant Erythropoietin for Prevention of Infant Renal Disease) study. EXPOSURES: 11 urinary biomarkers measured at 27, 30, and 34 weeks' postmenstrual age for the primary cohort study and 10 additional biomarkers for the exploratory case-control study. OUTCOMES: eGFR<90mL/min/1.73m2 at 2 years corrected for GA. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Linear mixed models to assess differences in biomarker values between neonates in whom CKD did and did not develop, accounting for multiple comparisons using Bonferroni-Holm correction in the cohort study only. Cohort analyses were adjusted for sex, GA, and body mass index. Cases were matched to controls on these variables in the case-control study. RESULTS: After adjusting for weeks of GA, urinary levels of α-glutathione-S-transferase (log difference, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.12-0.43), albumin (log difference, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.02-0.25), and cystatin C (log difference, 0.19; 95% CI, 0.04-0.34) were higher in those in whom CKD developed than in those in whom it did not. Urinary albumin and cystatin C levels did not remain significantly different after Bonferroni-Holm correction. In the exploratory case-control analysis, there were no differences in any biomarkers between cases and controls. LIMITATIONS: Early deaths and a high number of subjects without eGFR at 2 years corrected for GA. CONCLUSIONS: Measurement of urinary biomarkers may assist in monitoring neonates who are at risk for CKD. Additional studies are needed to confirm these findings. FUNDING: Grants from government (National Institutes of Health). TRIAL REGISTRATION: Registered at ClinicalTrials.gov with study number NCT01378273. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Approximately 15 million neonates worldwide are born prematurely, and 2 million are born before 28 weeks' gestation. Many of these children go on to experience chronic kidney disease. Urine biomarkers may allow for early recognition of those at risk for the development of kidney disease. In this study of more than 300 children born before 28 weeks' gestational age, we found higher mean urinary levels of α-glutathione-S-transferase at 27, 30, and 34 weeks in children whose estimated glomerular filtration rate was<90mL/min/1.73m2 at 2 years compared with children whose estimated glomerular filtration rate was>90mL/min/1.73m2 at 2 years. Measurement of urinary biomarkers may assist in monitoring neonates who are at risk for chronic kidney disease. Additional studies are needed to confirm our findings.

Planning stepped wedge cluster randomized trials to detect treatment effect heterogeneity.

Stepped wedge design is a popular research design that enables a rigorous evaluation of candidate interventions by using a staggered cluster randomization strategy. While analytical methods were developed for designing stepped wedge trials, the prior focus has been solely on testing for the average treatment effect. With a growing interest on formal evaluation of the heterogeneity of treatment effects across patient subpopulations, trial planning efforts need appropriate methods to accurately identify sample sizes or design configurations that can generate evidence for both the average treatment effect and variations in subgroup treatment effects. To fill in that important gap, this article derives novel variance formulas for confirmatory analyses of treatment effect heterogeneity, that are applicable to both cross-sectional and closed-cohort stepped wedge designs. We additionally point out that the same framework can be used for more efficient average treatment effect analyses via covariate adjustment, and allows the use of familiar power formulas for average treatment effect analyses to proceed. Our results further sheds light on optimal design allocations of clusters to maximize the weighted precision for assessing both the average and heterogeneous treatment effects. We apply the new methods to the Lumbar Imaging with Reporting of Epidemiology Trial, and carry out a simulation study to validate our new methods.

Perception of Treatment Success and Impact on Function with Antibiotics or Appendectomy for Appendicitis: A Randomized Clinical Trial with an Observational Cohort.

OBJECTIVE: To compare secondary patient reported outcomes of perceptions of treatment success and function for patients treated for appendicitis with appendectomy vs. antibiotics at 30 days. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: The Comparison of Outcomes of antibiotic Drugs and Appendectomy trial found antibiotics noninferior to appendectomy based on 30-day health status. To address questions about outcomes among participants with lower socioeconomic status, we explored the relationship of sociodemographic and clinical factors and outcomes. METHODS: We focused on 4 patient reported outcomes at 30 days: high decisional regret, dissatisfaction with treatment, problems performing usual activities, and missing >10 days of work. The randomized (RCT) and observational cohorts were pooled for exploration of baseline factors. The RCT cohort alone was used for comparison of treatments. Logistic regression was used to assess associations. RESULTS: The pooled cohort contained 2062 participants; 1552 from the RCT. Overall, regret and dissatisfaction were low whereas problems with usual activities and prolonged missed work occurred more frequently. In the RCT, those assigned to antibiotics had more regret (Odd ratios (OR) 2.97, 95% Confidence intervals (CI) 2.05-4.31) and dissatisfaction (OR 1.98, 95%CI 1.25-3.12), and reported less missed work (OR 0.39, 95%CI 0.27-0.56). Factors associated with function outcomes included sociodemographic and clinical variables for both treatment arms. Fewer factors were associated with dissatisfaction and regret. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, participants reported high satisfaction, low regret, and were frequently able to resume usual activities and return to work. When comparing treatments for appendicitis, no single measure defines success or failure for all people. The reported data may inform discussions regarding the most appropriate treatment for individuals. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT02800785.

A Randomized Trial of Erythropoietin for Neuroprotection in Preterm Infants.

BACKGROUND: High-dose erythropoietin has been shown to have a neuroprotective effect in preclinical models of neonatal brain injury, and phase 2 trials have suggested possible efficacy; however, the benefits and safety of this therapy in extremely preterm infants have not been established. METHODS: In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind trial of high-dose erythropoietin, we assigned 941 infants who were born at 24 weeks 0 days to 27 weeks 6 days of gestation to receive erythropoietin or placebo within 24 hours after birth. Erythropoietin was administered intravenously at a dose of 1000 U per kilogram of body weight every 48 hours for a total of six doses, followed by a maintenance dose of 400 U per kilogram three times per week by subcutaneous injection through 32 completed weeks of postmenstrual age. Placebo was administered as intravenous saline followed by sham injections. The primary outcome was death or severe neurodevelopmental impairment at 22 to 26 months of postmenstrual age. Severe neurodevelopmental impairment was defined as severe cerebral palsy or a composite motor or composite cognitive score of less than 70 (which corresponds to 2 SD below the mean, with higher scores indicating better performance) on the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, third edition. RESULTS: A total of 741 infants were included in the per-protocol efficacy analysis: 376 received erythropoietin and 365 received placebo. There was no significant difference between the erythropoietin group and the placebo group in the incidence of death or severe neurodevelopmental impairment at 2 years of age (97 children [26%] vs. 94 children [26%]; relative risk, 1.03; 95% confidence interval, 0.81 to 1.32; P = 0.80). There were no significant differences between the groups in the rates of retinopathy of prematurity, intracranial hemorrhage, sepsis, necrotizing enterocolitis, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, or death or in the frequency of serious adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: High-dose erythropoietin treatment administered to extremely preterm infants from 24 hours after birth through 32 weeks of postmenstrual age did not result in a lower risk of severe neurodevelopmental impairment or death at 2 years of age. (Funded by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; PENUT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01378273.).

A Randomized Trial Comparing Antibiotics with Appendectomy for Appendicitis.

BACKGROUND: Antibiotic therapy has been proposed as an alternative to surgery for the treatment of appendicitis. METHODS: We conducted a pragmatic, nonblinded, noninferiority, randomized trial comparing antibiotic therapy (10-day course) with appendectomy in patients with appendicitis at 25 U.S. centers. The primary outcome was 30-day health status, as assessed with the European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D) questionnaire (scores range from 0 to 1, with higher scores indicating better health status; noninferiority margin, 0.05 points). Secondary outcomes included appendectomy in the antibiotics group and complications through 90 days; analyses were prespecified in subgroups defined according to the presence or absence of an appendicolith. RESULTS: In total, 1552 adults (414 with an appendicolith) underwent randomization; 776 were assigned to receive antibiotics (47% of whom were not hospitalized for the index treatment) and 776 to undergo appendectomy (96% of whom underwent a laparoscopic procedure). Antibiotics were noninferior to appendectomy on the basis of 30-day EQ-5D scores (mean difference, 0.01 points; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.001 to 0.03). In the antibiotics group, 29% had undergone appendectomy by 90 days, including 41% of those with an appendicolith and 25% of those without an appendicolith. Complications were more common in the antibiotics group than in the appendectomy group (8.1 vs. 3.5 per 100 participants; rate ratio, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.30 to 3.98); the higher rate in the antibiotics group could be attributed to those with an appendicolith (20.2 vs. 3.6 per 100 participants; rate ratio, 5.69; 95% CI, 2.11 to 15.38) and not to those without an appendicolith (3.7 vs. 3.5 per 100 participants; rate ratio, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.45 to 2.43). The rate of serious adverse events was 4.0 per 100 participants in the antibiotics group and 3.0 per 100 participants in the appendectomy group (rate ratio, 1.29; 95% CI, 0.67 to 2.50). CONCLUSIONS: For the treatment of appendicitis, antibiotics were noninferior to appendectomy on the basis of results of a standard health-status measure. In the antibiotics group, nearly 3 in 10 participants had undergone appendectomy by 90 days. Participants with an appendicolith were at a higher risk for appendectomy and for complications than those without an appendicolith. (Funded by the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute; CODA ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02800785.).

Correlating Quantitative MRI-based Apparent Diffusion Coefficient Metrics with 24-month Neurodevelopmental Outcomes in Neonates from the HEAL Trial.

Background Multiple qualitative scoring systems have been created to capture the imaging severity of hypoxic ischemic brain injury. Purpose To evaluate quantitative volumes of acute brain injury at MRI in neonates with hypoxic ischemic brain injury and correlate these findings with 24-month neurodevelopmental outcomes and qualitative brain injury scoring by radiologists. Materials and Methods In this secondary analysis, brain diffusion-weighted MRI data from neonates in the High-dose Erythropoietin for Asphyxia and Encephalopathy trial, which recruited participants between January 2017 and October 2019, were analyzed. Volume of acute brain injury, defined as brain with apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) less than 800 × 10-6 mm2/sec, was automatically computed across the whole brain and within the thalami and white matter. Outcomes of death and neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) were recorded at 24-month follow-up. Associations between the presence and volume (in milliliters) of acute brain injury with 24-month outcomes were evaluated using multiple logistic regression. The correlation between quantitative acute brain injury volume and qualitative MRI scores was assessed using the Kendall tau-b test. Results A total of 416 neonates had available MRI data (mean gestational age, 39.1 weeks ± 1.4 [SD]; 235 male) and 113 (27%) showed evidence of acute brain injury at MRI. Of the 387 participants with 24-month follow-up data, 185 (48%) died or had any NDI. Volume of acute injury greater than 1 mL (odds ratio [OR], 13.9 [95% CI: 5.93, 32.45]; P < .001) and presence of any acute injury in the brain (OR, 4.5 [95% CI: 2.6, 7.8]; P < .001) were associated with increased odds of death or any NDI. Quantitative whole-brain acute injury volume was strongly associated with radiologists' qualitative scoring of diffusion-weighted images (Kendall tau-b = 0.56; P < .001). Conclusion Automated quantitative volume of brain injury is associated with death, moderate to severe NDI, and cerebral palsy in neonates with hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy and correlated well with qualitative MRI scoring of acute brain injury. Clinical trial registration no. NCT02811263 © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Huisman in this issue.

Safety of High Dose Erythropoietin Used with Therapeutic Hypothermia as Treatment for Newborn Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy: Secondary Analysis of the HEAL Randomized Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether high dose erythropoietin (Epo) treatment of cooled infants with neonatal hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy results in a higher risk of prespecified serious adverse events (SAEs). STUDY DESIGN: Five hundred infants born at ≥36 weeks of gestation with moderate or severe hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy undergoing therapeutic hypothermia were randomized to Epo or placebo on days 1, 2, 3, 4, and 7. Pretreatment and posttreatment SAEs were compared with adjusted generalized linear models, with posttreatment models adjusted for the presence of a pretreatment SAE. Clinical risk factors and potential mechanisms for SAEs were also examined. RESULTS: The rate of experiencing at least one posttreatment SAE did not significantly differ between groups (adjusted relative risk [aRR], 95% CI: 1.17, 0.92-1.49); however, posttreatment thrombosis was identified more often in the Epo group (n = 6, 2.3%) than the placebo group (n = 1, 0.4%; aRR, 95% CI: 5.09, 1.32-19.64). The rate of posttreatment intracranial hemorrhage identified at the treatment sites by either ultrasound or magnetic resonance imaging was slightly elevated in the Epo group (n = 61, 24%) but not significantly different from the placebo group (n = 46, 19%; aRR, 95% CI: 1.21, 0.85, 1.72). CONCLUSIONS: A small increased risk of major thrombotic events was identified in the Epo treatment group. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02811263.

Mortality among older adults with osteoporotic vertebral fracture.

We evaluated whether older adults who received kyphoplasty had reduced risk of mortality compared to those who did not. In unmatched analyses, those receiving kyphoplasty were at reduced risk of death but after matching on age and medical complications, patients who received kyphoplasty were at increased risk of death. PURPOSE: In previous observational studies, kyphoplasty for treatment of osteoporotic vertebral fractures has been associated with decreased mortality compared to conservative management. The purpose of this research was to determine whether older adults who received kyphoplasty had reduced risk of mortality compared to matched patients who did not. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of US Medicare enrollees with osteoporotic vertebral fractures between 2017-2019 comparing patients who underwent kyphoplasty to those who did not. We identified 2 control groups a priori: 1) non-augmented patients who met inclusion criteria (group 1); 2) propensity-matched patients on demographic and clinical variables (group 2). We then identified additional control groups using matching for medical complications (group 3) and age + comorbidities (group 4). We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) associated with mortality. RESULTS: A total of 235,317 patients (mean (± standard deviation) age 81.1 ± 8.3 years; 85.8% female) were analyzed. In the primary analyses, those who received kyphoplasty were at reduced risk of death compared to those who did not: adjusted HR (95% CI) in group 1 = 0.84 (0.82, 0.87); and in group 2 = 0.88 (0.85, 0.91). However, in post hoc analyses, patients who received kyphoplasty were at increased risk of death: adjusted HR (95% CI) in group 3 = 1.32 (1.25, 1.41) and 1.81 (1.58, 2.09) in group 4. CONCLUSION: An apparent benefit of kyphoplasty on mortality among patients with vertebral fractures was not present after rigorous propensity matching, illustrating the importance of comparing similar individuals when evaluating observational data.

How well does neonatal neuroimaging correlate with neurodevelopmental outcomes in infants with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy?

BACKGROUND: In newborns with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE), the correlation between neonatal neuroimaging and the degree of neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) is unclear. METHODS: Infants with HIE enrolled in a randomized controlled trial underwent neonatal MRI/MR spectroscopy (MRS) using a harmonized protocol at 4-6 days of age. The severity of brain injury was measured with a validated scoring system. Using proportional odds regression, we calculated adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for the associations between MRI/MRS measures of injury and primary ordinal outcome (i.e., normal, mild NDI, moderate NDI, severe NDI, or death) at age 2 years. RESULTS: Of 451 infants with MRI/MRS at a median age of 5 days (IQR 4.5-5.8), outcomes were normal (51%); mild (12%), moderate (14%), severe NDI (13%); or death (9%). MRI injury score (aOR 1.06, 95% CI 1.05, 1.07), severe brain injury (aOR 39.6, 95% CI 16.4, 95.6), and MRS lactate/n-acetylaspartate (NAA) ratio (aOR 1.6, 95% CI 1.4,1.8) were associated with worse primary outcomes. Infants with mild/moderate MRI brain injury had similar BSID-III cognitive, language, and motor scores as infants with no injury. CONCLUSION: In the absence of severe injury, brain MRI/MRS does not accurately discriminate the degree of NDI. Given diagnostic uncertainty, families need to be counseled regarding a range of possible neurodevelopmental outcomes. IMPACT: Half of all infants with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) enrolled in a large clinical trial either died or had neurodevelopmental impairment at age 2 years despite receiving therapeutic hypothermia. Severe brain injury and a global pattern of brain injury on MRI were both strongly associated with death or neurodevelopmental impairment. Infants with mild or moderate brain injury had similar mean BSID-III cognitive, language, and motor scores as infants with no brain injury on MRI. Given the prognostic uncertainty of brain MRI among infants with less severe degrees of brain injury, families should be counseled regarding a range of possible neurodevelopmental outcomes.

Risk of seizures in neonates with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy receiving hypothermia plus erythropoietin or placebo.

BACKGROUND: An ancillary study of the High-Dose Erythropoietin for Asphyxia and Encephalopathy (HEAL) trial for neonates with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) and treated with therapeutic hypothermia examined the hypothesis that neonates randomized to receive erythropoietin (Epo) would have a lower seizure risk and burden compared with neonates who received placebo. METHODS: Electroencephalograms (EEGs) from 7/17 HEAL trial centers were reviewed. Seizure presence was compared across treatment groups using a logistic regression model adjusting for treatment, HIE severity, center, and seizure burden prior to the first dose. Among neonates with seizures, differences across treatment groups in median maximal hourly seizure burden were assessed using adjusted quantile regression models. RESULTS: Forty-six of 150 (31%) neonates had EEG seizures (31% in Epo vs 30% in placebo, p = 0.96). Maximal hourly seizure burden after the study drug was not significantly different between groups (median 11.4 for Epo, IQR: 5.6, 18.1 vs median 9.7, IQR: 4.9, 21.0 min/h for placebo). CONCLUSION: In neonates with HIE treated with hypothermia who were randomized to Epo or placebo, we found no meaningful between-group difference in seizure risk or burden. These findings are consistent with overall trial results, which do not support Epo use for neonates with HIE undergoing therapeutic hypothermia. IMPACT: In the HEAL trial of erythropoietin (Epo) vs placebo for neonates with encephalopathy presumed due to hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) who were also treated with therapeutic hypothermia, electrographic seizures were detected in 31%, which is lower than most prior studies. Epo did not reduce the proportion of neonates with acute provoked seizures (31% in Epo vs 30% in placebo) or maximal hourly seizure burden after the study drug (median 11.4, IQR 5.6, 18.1 for Epo vs median 9.7, IQR 4.9, 21.0 min/h for placebo). There was no anti- or pro-convulsant effect of Epo when combined with therapeutic hypothermia for HIE.

Urine acute kidney injury biomarkers in extremely low gestational age neonates: a nested case control study of 21 candidate urine biomarkers.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common and is associated with poor clinical outcomes in premature neonates. Urine biomarkers hold the promise to improve our understanding and care of patients with kidney disease. Because kidney maturation and gender can impact urine biomarker values in extremely low gestational age neonates (ELGANs), careful control of gestational age (GA) and time is critical to any urine biomarker studies in neonates. METHODS: To improve our understanding of the potential use of urine biomarkers to detect AKI during the first postnatal weeks, we performed a nested case-control study to evaluate 21 candidate urine AKI biomarkers. Cases include 20 ELGANs with severe AKI. Each case was matched with 2 controls for the same GA week (rounded down to the nearest week), gender, and birth weight (BW) (± 50 g). RESULTS: Urine cystatin C, creatinine, ghrelin, fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF23), tissue metalloproteinase 2 (TIMP2) and vascular endothelial growth factor A (VEGFa) concentrations were higher in ELGANs with early severe AKI compared to matched control subjects without AKI. Urine epidermal growth factor (EGF) and uromodulin (UMOD) concentrations are lower in cases than controls. Interleukin (IL)-15 was lower on day 1, but higher on day 8 in cases than controls; while VEGFa was lower on day 1, but higher on day 5 in cases than controls. CONCLUSION: Urine biomarkers hold the promise to improve our ability to reliably detect kidney injury. Interventional studies are needed to determine the biomarkers' ability to predict outcomes, enhance AKI phenotypes, and improve timely interventions which can prevent the sequalae of AKI in ELGANs. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Minimal important difference metrics and test-retest reliability of the PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 with a primary care sample.

The PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 (PCL-5) is a measure of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptom severity that is widely used for clinical and research purposes. Although previous work has examined metrics of minimal important difference (MID) of the PCL-5 in veteran samples, no work has identified PCL-5 MID metrics among adults in primary care in the United States. In this secondary analysis, data were evaluated from primary care patients (N = 971) who screened positive for PTSD and participated in a large clinical trial in federally qualified health centers in three U.S. states. Participants primarily self-identified as women (70.2%) and White (70.3%). We calculated test-retest reliability using clinic registry data and multiple distribution- and anchor-based metrics of MID using baseline and follow-up survey data. Test-retest reliability (Pearson's r, Spearman's ρ, intraclass correlation coefficient) ranged from adequate to excellent (.79-.94), with the shortest time lag demonstrating the highest reliability estimate. The MID for the PCL-5 was estimated using multiple approaches. Distribution-based approaches indicated an MID range of 8.5-12.5, and anchor-based approaches indicated an MID range of 9.8-11.7. Taken together, the MID metrics indicate that PCL-5 change scores of 9-12 likely reflect real change in PTSD symptoms and indicate at least an MID for patients, whereas PCL-5 change scores of 5 or less likely are not reliable. These findings can help inform clinicians using the PCL-5 in similar populations to track patient responses to treatment and help researchers interpret PCL-5 score changes in clinical trials.

Effectiveness of spinal manipulation and biopsychosocial self-management compared to medical care for low back pain: a randomized trial study protocol.

BACKGROUND: Chronic low back pain (cLBP) is widespread, costly, and burdensome to patients and health systems. Little is known about non-pharmacological treatments for the secondary prevention of cLBP. There is some evidence that treatments addressing psychosocial factors in higher risk patients are more effective than usual care. However, most clinical trials on acute and subacute LBP have evaluated interventions irrespective of prognosis. METHODS: We have designed a phase 3 randomized trial with a 2 × 2 factorial design. The study is also a Hybrid type 1 trial with focus on intervention effectiveness while simultaneously considering plausible implementation strategies. Adults (n = 1000) with acute/subacute LBP at moderate to high risk of chronicity based on the STarT Back screening tool will be randomized in to 1 of 4 interventions lasting up to 8 weeks: supported self-management (SSM), spinal manipulation therapy (SMT), both SSM and SMT, or medical care. The primary objective is to assess intervention effectiveness; the secondary objective is to assess barriers and facilitators impacting future implementation. Primary effectiveness outcome measures are: (1) average pain intensity over 12 months post-randomization (pain, numerical rating scale); (2) average low back disability over 12 months post-randomization (Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire); (3) prevention of cLBP that is impactful at 10-12 months follow-up (LBP impact from the PROMIS-29 Profile v2.0). Secondary outcomes include: recovery, PROMIS-29 Profile v2.0 measures to assess pain interference, physical function, anxiety, depression, fatigue, sleep disturbance, and ability to participate in social roles and activities. Other patient-reported measures include LBP frequency, medication use, healthcare utilization, productivity loss, STarT Back screening tool status, patient satisfaction, prevention of chronicity, adverse events, and dissemination measures. Objective measures include the Quebec Task Force Classification, Timed Up & Go Test, the Sit to Stand Test, and the Sock Test assessed by clinicians blinded to the patients' intervention assignment. DISCUSSION: By targeting those subjects at higher risk this trial aims to fill an important gap in the scientific literature regarding the effectiveness of promising non-pharmacological treatments compared to medical care for the management of patients with an acute episode of LBP and the prevention of progression to a severe chronic back problem. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03581123.

Predicting decompression surgery by applying multimodal deep learning to patients' structured and unstructured health data.

BACKGROUND: Low back pain (LBP) is a common condition made up of a variety of anatomic and clinical subtypes. Lumbar disc herniation (LDH) and lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) are two subtypes highly associated with LBP. Patients with LDH/LSS are often started with non-surgical treatments and if those are not effective then go on to have decompression surgery. However, recommendation of surgery is complicated as the outcome may depend on the patient's health characteristics. We developed a deep learning (DL) model to predict decompression surgery for patients with LDH/LSS. MATERIALS AND METHOD: We used datasets of 8387 and 8620 patients from a prospective study that collected data from four healthcare systems to predict early (within 2 months) and late surgery (within 12 months after a 2 month gap), respectively. We developed a DL model to use patients' demographics, diagnosis and procedure codes, drug names, and diagnostic imaging reports to predict surgery. For each prediction task, we evaluated the model's performance using classical and generalizability evaluation. For classical evaluation, we split the data into training (80%) and testing (20%). For generalizability evaluation, we split the data based on the healthcare system. We used the area under the curve (AUC) to assess performance for each evaluation. We compared results to a benchmark model (i.e. LASSO logistic regression). RESULTS: For classical performance, the DL model outperformed the benchmark model for early surgery with an AUC of 0.725 compared to 0.597. For late surgery, the DL model outperformed the benchmark model with an AUC of 0.655 compared to 0.635. For generalizability performance, the DL model outperformed the benchmark model for early surgery. For late surgery, the benchmark model outperformed the DL model. CONCLUSIONS: For early surgery, the DL model was preferred for classical and generalizability evaluation. However, for late surgery, the benchmark and DL model had comparable performance. Depending on the prediction task, the balance of performance may shift between DL and a conventional ML method. As a result, thorough assessment is needed to quantify the value of DL, a relatively computationally expensive, time-consuming and less interpretable method.

Sample Size Calculations for Stepped Wedge Designs with Treatment Effects that May Change with the Duration of Time under Intervention.

The stepped wedge design is often used to evaluate interventions as they are rolled out across schools, health clinics, communities, or other clusters. Most models used in the design and analysis of stepped wedge trials assume that the intervention effect is immediate and constant over time following implementation of the intervention (the "exposure time"). This is known as the IT (immediate treatment effect) assumption. However, recent research has shown that using methods based on the IT assumption when the treatment effect varies over exposure time can give extremely misleading results. In this manuscript, we discuss the need to carefully specify an appropriate measure of the treatment effect when the IT assumption is violated and we show how a stepped wedge trial can be powered when it is anticipated that the treatment effect will vary as a function of the exposure time. Specifically, we describe how to power a trial when the exposure time indicator (ETI) model of Kenny et al. (Statistics in Medicine, 41, 4311-4339, 2022) is used and the estimand of interest is a weighted average of the time-varying treatment effects. We apply these methods to the ADDRESS-BP trial, a type 3 hybrid implementation study designed to address racial disparities in health care by evaluating a practice-based implementation strategy to reduce hypertension in African American communities.