A simple nomogram for early postoperative risk prediction of clinically relevant pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy.

PURPOSE: Postoperative pancreatic fistulae (POPF) present a serious and life-threatening complication after pancreatic head resections (PD). Therefore, reliable risk stratification to identify those at risk is urgently needed. The aim of this study was to identify postoperative laboratory parameters for the prediction of POPF in the early postoperative period. METHODS: One hundred eighty-two patients who underwent PD from 2012 until 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate logistic regression was performed using the GLM (general linear model) method for model building. Two nomograms were created based on the GLM models of postoperative day one and postoperative day one to five. A cohort of 48 patients operated between 2018 and 2019 served as internal validation. RESULTS: Clinically relevant pancreatic fistulae (CR-POPF) were present in 16% (n = 29) of patients. Patients with CR-POPF experienced significantly more insufficiencies of gastroenterostomies, delayed gastric emptying, and more extraluminal bleeding than patients without CR-POPF. Multivariate analysis revealed multiple postoperative predictive models, the best one including ASA, main pancreatic duct diameter, operation time, and serum lipase as well as leucocytes on day one. This model was able to predict CR-POPF with an accuracy of 90% and an AUC of 0.903. Two nomograms were created for easier use. CONCLUSION: Clinically relevant fistula can be predicted using simple laboratory and clinical parameters. Not serum amylase, but serum lipase is an independent predictor of CR-POPF. Our simple nomograms may help in the identification of patients for early postoperative interventions.

[Colonic pouch reconstruction after low anterior rectal resection]. / Kolonpouchrekonstruktionen nach tiefer anteriorer Rektumresektion.

For many decades the coloanal anastomosis was traditionally created as an end-to-end anastomosis. Despite successful surgical restoration of the intestinal passage after low rectal resection and total mesorectal excision (TME), physiological continence and evacuation function cannot be achieved in many cases using end-to-end anastomosis. Subsequent complaints, such as fecal incontinence and urge problems, evacuation difficulties and high stool frequency (so-called low anterior resection syndrome, LARS) are the result. The combination of symptoms after TME known as LARS is described in the literature in up to 60% of cases. The increased occurrence of the imperative urge to defecate, frequent bowel movements and problems with fecal incontinence motivated surgeons to look for alternative anastomosis techniques. Side-to-end anastomosis, coloplasty pouch and colonic J­pouch have been shown in various studies to be superior to end-to-end anastomosis in terms of functional results. Current studies could show that the side-to-end anastomosis (even if this is not a pouch in the actual sense) and the two pouch techniques show comparable results in terms of functional outcome and the rate of anastomotic leakage. The alternative to coloanal anastomosis after TME is the abdominoperineal resection. Most, especially younger patients, prefer to try to maintain continence with the risk of the described functional problems. If the patients are well selected, TME can be carried out with the current techniques in such a way that continuity is maintained and a good defecation function is achieved for a large proportion of patients using the pouch-anal anastomosis or the side-to-end techniques.