Incomplete capture of apremilast in Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum: An example of exposure misclassification of specialty treatments in United Kingdom general practice databases.

PURPOSE: Nearly all apremilast users captured in Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum have only one prescription, which is inconsistent with its prescribing pattern. The goal of this study was to assess capture of apremilast prescriptions in CPRD Aurum by comparison to CPRD GOLD and general practitioner (GP) questionnaires. METHODS: We compared the number of apremilast prescriptions for patients in Aurum to (1) those in GOLD and (2) those reported by the GPs via questionnaire responses. RESULTS: There were 441 Aurum patients with an apremilast prescription (424 [96%] in England) and 341 GOLD patients (11 [3%]) in England). In Aurum 91% of all patients (and 96% of English patients) had only one apremilast prescription while in GOLD 29% of all patients (and 82% of English patients) had only one prescription. We received questionnaire responses from GPs for 50 of 390 (13%) patients participating in Aurum who had 57 total apremilast exposed months captured in Aurum. GPs reported 8 (16%) patients with only one prescription and a median of 4 (range 1-35) apremilast prescriptions per patient, yielding 463 total months of apremilast exposure. CONCLUSIONS: CPRD Aurum captures only one apremilast prescription for most recorded users, though questionnaire responses indicated most patients received multiple prescriptions. Researchers using any UK GP database should be aware of potential for significant exposure misclassification of apremilast and other treatments classified as specialist or shared care by local Area Prescribing Committees.

Staging and clean room: Constructs designed to facilitate transparency and reduce bias in comparative analyses of real-world data.

PURPOSE: We describe constructs designed to protect the integrity of the results from comparative analyses using real-world data (RWD): staging and clean room. METHODS: Staging involves performing sequential preliminary analyses and evaluating the population size available and potential bias before conducting comparative analyses. A clean room involves restricted access to data and preliminary results, policies governing exploratory analyses and protocol deviations, and audit trail. These constructs are intended to allow decisions about protocol deviations, such as changes to design or model specification, to be made without knowledge of how they might affect subsequent analyses. We describe an example for implementing staging with a clean room. RESULTS: Stage 1 may involve selecting a data source, developing and registering a protocol, establishing a clean room, and applying inclusion/exclusion criteria. Stage 2 may involve attempting to achieve covariate balance, often through propensity score models. Stage 3 may involve evaluating the presence of residual confounding using negative control outcomes. After each stage, check points may be implemented when a team of statisticians, epidemiologists and clinicians masked to how their decisions may affect study outcomes, reviews the results. This review team may be tasked with making recommendations for protocol deviations to address study precision or bias. They may recommend proceeding to the next stage, conducting additional analyses to address bias, or terminating the study. Stage 4 may involve conducting the comparative analyses. CONCLUSIONS: The staging and clean room constructs are intended to protect the integrity and enhance confidence in the results of analyses of RWD.

Migraine and risk of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy: A population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Migraine is associated with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy through common pathophysiological features. This study evaluates the association between migraine diagnosis and treatment, and risk of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD, a large longitudinal database of patient records in the UK. We analyzed data from liveborn or stillborn singleton deliveries from 1993-2020 with at least 24 months of medical history and no history of cardiovascular disease (n = 1,049,839). We ascertained migraine through diagnosis or prescription codes before 20 weeks of gestation and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy through diagnosis codes between 20 weeks of pregnancy and delivery. We used log-binomial regression models to estimate the risk ratio and 95% confidence intervals, comparing risk of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy among individuals with migraine to those without migraine, adjusting for confounders. CONCLUSIONS: A history of migraine prior to pregnancy was associated with an increased risk of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (RR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.09-1.26). The greatest risk was among those with pre-pregnancy migraine that persisted into the first trimester (RR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.35-2.50). Use of migraine medication was associated with a higher risk of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy compared to non-migraineurs (RR = 1.50, 95% CI: 1.15-1.97). Results from this study indicate that migraine is a potential risk factor for hypertensive disorders of pregnancy.

Quality of rheumatoid arthritis recording in United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum.

PURPOSE: While several studies have assessed quality and completeness of recording acute medical events in Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum, evaluation of additional chronic conditions is warranted. METHODS: We selected patients with a first diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) coded in their CPRD Aurum record between 2005 and 2019. We assessed quality of RA diagnosis by evaluating additional information in the patient record that would corroborate the diagnosis. We report recording of diagnoses, prescriptions, labs, and referrals expected to be present based on NICE guidelines for RA management. RESULTS: There were 53 083 patients with a first recorded RA diagnosis during the study period: 43606 (82%) patients had RA drug treatments in their record, 7596 (14%) had supporting codes without drug treatment, and 1881 (4%) patients had only a RA diagnoses recorded in their medical record with no supporting codes or RA treatments. Patients with RA diagnosis only were more likely to be first diagnosed in the earliest time period of study. Labs for diagnosing and monitoring RA were most common among patients with RA treatment. Analgesic and glucocorticoid prescriptions were common in all study patients but were highest among patients with RA treatment. Among patients with RA diagnosis only, the overwhelming majority had only one RA diagnosis recorded (76%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that codes expected for monitoring and treatment of RA are routinely recorded in CPRD Aurum. These results support previous assessments, which found data recorded in CPRD Aurum to be of good quality for use in research.

Association between glycemic control and risk of venous thromboembolism in diabetic patients: a nested case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggested an elevated risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), with a possible sex difference. The impact of glycemic control on the risk of VTE is unclear. Our objective was to analyze the association between glycemic control and the risk of unprovoked (idiopathic) VTE in men and women with T2DM. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control analysis (1:4 matching) within a cohort of patients with incident T2DM between 1995 and 2019 using data from the CPRD GOLD. We excluded patients with known risk factors for VTE prior to onset of DM. Cases were T2DM patients with an unprovoked treated VTE. The exposure of interest was glycemic control measured as HbA1c levels. We conducted conditional logistic regression analyses adjusted for several confounders. RESULTS: We identified 2'653 VTE cases and 10'612 controls (53.1% females). We found no association between the HbA1c level and the risk of VTE in our analyses. However, when the most recent HbA1c value was recorded within 90 days before the index date, women with HbA1c levels > 7.0% had a 36-55% increased relative risk of VTE when compared to women with HbA1c > 6.5-7.0%. CONCLUSIONS: Our study raises the possibility that female T2DM patients with HbA1c levels > 7% may have a slightly higher risk for unprovoked VTE compared to women with HbA1c levels > 6.5-7.0%. This increase may not be causal and may reflect differences in life style or other characteristics. We observed no effect of glycemic control on the risk of VTE in men.

Characterization of the deterioration of diabetes control in patients with a subsequent diagnosis of pancreatic cancer: A descriptive study.

BACKGROUND: Deterioration of diabetes control can be the first harbinger of pancreatic cancer. However, little is known about how to distinguish patients with pancreatic cancer-related diabetes deterioration from those with type 2 diabetes progression. We aimed to characterize the glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and body weight profile of pancreatic cancer patients with deteriorating diabetes before the cancer diagnosis. METHODS: Using data from the UK-based Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD, we established a study population including pancreatic cancer patients with diabetes deterioration in the >0.5-3 years before the cancer diagnosis and non-cancer patients with deterioration of type 2 diabetes (comparison group). Patients were considered to have diabetes deterioration if their glucose-lowering treatment was intensified. We characterized the longitudinal trajectories of HbA1c and body weight in pancreatic cancer patients compared with non-cancer patients before and after treatment intensification. RESULTS: The mean absolute increase in HbA1c from the pre-deterioration period, i.e. the time >1-2 years before treatment intensification, to the time of treatment intensification, was 1.5% ± 1.6% in pancreatic cancer patients vs. 0.9% ± 1.4% in non-cancer patients. After treatment intensification, mean HbA1c remained elevated in pancreatic cancer patients, while it returned to the pre-deterioration level in non-cancer patients. Body weight decreased by 1.9% ± 6.4% in cancer patients and increased by 0.3% ± 5.2% in non-cancer patients between the pre-deterioration period and treatment intensification, on average. CONCLUSIONS: Pancreatic cancer-related diabetes deterioration may frequently be characterized by pronounced increases in HbA1c, persistent elevation of HbA1c after treatment intensification, and concomitant weight loss.

Pre-pregnancy migraine diagnosis, medication use, and spontaneous abortion: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Migraine is common among females of reproductive age (estimated prevalence:17-24%) and may be associated with reproductive health through underlying central nervous system excitability, autoimmune conditions, and autonomic dysfunction. We evaluated the extent to which pre-pregnancy migraine diagnosis and medication use are associated with risk of spontaneous abortion (SAB). METHODS: We analyzed data from a preconception study of pregnancy planners (2013-2021). Eligible participants self-identified as female, were aged 21-45 years, resided in the USA or Canada, and conceived during follow-up (n = 7890). Participants completed baseline and bimonthly follow-up questionnaires for up to 12 months or until a reported pregnancy, whichever occurred first. Pregnant participants then completed questionnaires during early (~ 8-9 weeks) and late (~ 32 weeks) gestation. We defined migraineurs as participants who reported a migraine diagnosis or use of a medication to treat migraine. Preconception questionnaires elicited migraine medication use during the past 4 weeks, and SAB on follow-up and pregnancy questionnaires. We used Cox regression models with gestational weeks as the time scale to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations among preconception migraine, migraine medication use, and SAB, controlling for potential demographic, medical, and lifestyle confounders. RESULTS: Nineteen percent of study pregnancies ended in SAB. History of migraine before conception was not appreciably associated with SAB risk (HR = 1.03, 95% CI: 0.91-1.06). Use of any migraine medication was associated with a modest increase in SAB risk overall (HR = 1.14, 95% CI: 0.96-1.36). We observed the greatest increase in risk among those taking migraine medications daily (HR = 1.38, 95% CI: 0.81-2.35) and those taking prescription migraine prophylaxis (HR = 1.43, 95% CI: 0.72-2.84) or combination analgesic and caffeine medications (HR = 1.42, 95% CI: 0.99-2.04). CONCLUSIONS: Migraine medication use patterns suggesting greater underlying migraine severity were associated with increased risk of SAB. This research adds to the limited information available on the reproductive effects of migraine.

The risks of major cardiac events among patients with psoriatic arthritis treated with apremilast, biologics, DMARDs or corticosteroids.

OBJECTIVES: People with PsA are at increased risk of cardiovascular disease. The objective of this study was to quantify the risk of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke and revascularizations in people with apremilast-treated PsA compared with patients receiving other PsA treatments. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study of 68 678 patients with PsA treated with apremilast, TNF inhibitor (TNF-i) biologics, IL-17 or -12/23 biologics, conventional DMARDs or CS in the United States MarketScan database. Cohort entry was date of first study drug after 21 March 2014. Cases were patients with MI, stroke or revascularization. We calculated incidence rates (IRs) and incidence rate ratios for each outcome by exposure. RESULTS: We identified 292 MI, 151 stroke and 475 revascularizations cases. IRs for MI were lowest for users of TNF-i biologics [1.4 per 1000 person-years (PY)] and similar for all other treatments, including apremilast, ranging from 1.8 to 3.8 per 1000 PY. IRs were similar for all treatments for both stroke (0.1-1.6 per 1000 PY) and revascularization (3.1-5.1 per 1000 PY). IRs for apremilast were 2.5 per 1000 PY for MI, 1.6 per 1000 PY for stroke and 3.3 per 1000 PY for revascularization. CONCLUSION: In patients with treated PsA, IRs of MI, stroke and revascularization were low for all systemic treatments evaluated. Although the number of events was small, apremilast exposure did not signal potential acute cardiovascular harm and was not associated with a material increase in the risk of these serious cardiac events.

The Risk of Muscular Events Among New Users of Hydrophilic and Lipophilic Statins: an Observational Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Statins are effective lipid-lowering drugs for the prevention of cardiovascular disease, but muscular adverse events can limit their use. Hydrophilic statins (pravastatin, rosuvastatin) may cause less muscular events than lipophilic statins (e.g. simvastatin, atorvastatin) due to lower passive diffusion into muscle cells. OBJECTIVE: To compare the risk of muscular events between statins at comparable lipid-lowering doses and to evaluate if hydrophilic statins are associated with a lower muscular risk than lipophilic statins. DESIGN/SETTING: Propensity score-matched cohort study using data from the United Kingdom-based Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD. PATIENTS: New statin users. Cohort 1: pravastatin 20-40 mg (hydrophilic) vs simvastatin 10-20 mg (lipophilic), cohort 2: rosuvastatin 5-40 mg (hydrophilic) vs atorvastatin 10-80 mg (lipophilic), and cohort 3: simvastatin 40-80 mg vs atorvastatin 10-20 mg. MAIN MEASURES: The outcome was a first record of a muscular event (myopathy, myalgia, myositis, rhabdomyolysis) during a maximum follow-up of 1 year. KEY RESULTS: The propensity score-matched cohorts consisted of 1) 9,703, 2) 7,032, and 3) 37,743 pairs of statin users. Comparing the risk of muscular events between low-intensity pravastatin vs low-intensity simvastatin yielded a HR of 0.86 (95% CI 0.64-1.16). In the comparison of moderate- to high-intensity rosuvastatin vs equivalent doses of atorvastatin, we observed a HR of 1.17 (95% CI 0.88-1.56). Moderate- to high-intensity simvastatin was associated with a HR of 1.33 (95% CI 1.16-1.53), when compared with atorvastatin at equivalent doses. LIMITATIONS: We could not conduct other pairwise comparisons of statins due to small sample size. In the absence of a uniform definition on the comparability of statin doses, the applied dose ratios may not fully match with all literature sources. CONCLUSIONS: Our results do not suggest a systematically lower risk of muscular events for hydrophilic statins when compared to lipophilic statins at comparable lipid-lowering doses.

Antiseizure drugs and risk of developing smoking-related chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or lung cancer: A population-based case-control study.

AIMS: To determine whether enzyme-inducing antiseizure drugs (ASDs) affect the risk of developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or lung cancer in smokers. METHODS: Cases of COPD and lung cancer and matched controls without these conditions were identified from a population of smokers with ≥1 prescription for any type of ASD in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink UK database of patients managed in primary care (1995-2016). A matched case-control study was performed utilising multivariate logistic regression analyses of exposure to enzyme-inducing ASDs compared to non-enzyme-inducing ASDs. The duration of ASD exposure and level of tobacco exposure were also assessed. RESULTS: We identified 5952 incident COPD and 1373 incident lung cancer cases, and 59 328 and 13 681 matched controls, respectively. Compared with never use, ever use of enzyme-inducing ASDs was associated with slightly decreased risk estimates of COPD (adjusted odds ratio: 0.85, 95% confidence interval: 0.81-0.89) and lung cancer (adjusted odds ratio: 0.82, 95% confidence interval: 0.73-0.92). These risk estimates were attenuated in heavy smokers. CONCLUSION: We found slightly decreased risk estimates of COPD and lung cancer among smokers taking enzyme-inducing ASDs and hypothesise that this may be related to induction of detoxification of tobacco-specific lung toxins.

Prevalence of Colorectal Neoplasms and Mortality in New Users of Low-Dose Aspirin With Lower Gastrointestinal Bleeding.

BACKGROUND: Aspirin inhibits platelet function and may therefore accelerate early lower gastrointestinal bleeding (LGIB) from colorectal cancer (CRC) precursor polyps. The bleeding may increase endoscopic polyp detection. STUDY QUESTION: To estimate the prevalence of polyps and CRC comparing new users of low-dose aspirin with nonusers who all received a diagnosis of LGIB and to investigate the mortality among these patients. STUDY DESIGN: Using Danish nationwide health registries, we conducted a cohort study (2006-2013) of all new aspirin users who also received a diagnosis of LGIB (n = 40,578). Each new user was matched with 5 nonusers with LGIB by gender and age at the LGIB diagnosis date. MEASURES AND OUTCOMES: We computed the prevalence and prevalence ratios (PRs) of colorectal polyps and CRCs, and the mortality ratios within 6 months after the LGIB, comparing new users with nonusers. RESULTS: We identified 1038 new aspirin users and 5190 nonusers with LGIB. We observed 220 new users and 950 nonusers recorded with endoscopically detected polyps. New aspirin users had a higher prevalence of conventional {PR = 1.28 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06-1.55]} and serrated [PR = 1.31 (95% CI: 0.95-1.80)] polyps. New users and nonusers had a similar prevalence of CRC [PR = 1.04 (95% CI: 0.77-1.39)]. However, after stratifying by location of CRC, the prevalence of proximal tumors was lower [PR = 0.71 (95% CI: 0.35-1.43)] in new users than in nonusers. No difference in mortality was observed. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate that new use of low-dose aspirin is associated with an increased detection of colorectal polyps compared with nonuse.

Validity of bariatric surgery codes in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD compared with Hospital Episodes Statistics.

OBJECTIVES: To assess completeness and validity of bariatric surgery codes in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD compared with Hospital Episodes Statistics (HES). METHODS: We conducted a validation study among patients in the UK-based CPRD GOLD with linkage to HES (1998 to 2017). Since the same surgery codes are used for bariatric and other gastrointestinal surgery we assessed code distribution patterns used in patients with bariatric versus other gastrointestinal surgery by presence of other conditions such as obesity and gastrointestinal cancer. We developed algorithms to identify bariatric surgery and calculated validity measures (ie, positive/negative predictive value [PPV/NPV], sensitivity, and specificity) of each in CPRD GOLD compared with HES (gold standard). RESULTS: Among 7 357 007 available patients we identified 10 190 patients who had a total of 14 046 potential bariatric surgery codes in CPRD GOLD and/or HES. Surgery code patterns differed between bariatric surgery and assumed other gastrointestinal surgery. The sensitivity of CPRD GOLD bariatric surgery coding improved from an overall of 56% to 69-71% when applying stricter algorithms (ie, in obese patients or obese, gastrointestinal disease/complication free patients) but PPVs remained at 53%-55%. NPVs and specificities of CPRD GOLD bariatric surgery coding achieved ≥99.8% for all algorithms. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that using CPRD GOLD and HES data and a wide selection of surgery codes will result in the most complete and accurate capture of bariatric surgery events. Validity measures of CPRD GOLD bariatric surgery codes were identical in obese patients and more restrictive populations.

Proton-pump Inhibitor Use and Myocardial Infarction: A Nested Case-Control Study in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

BACKGROUND: Use of proton-pump inhibitors (PPIs) is suggested to be associated with adverse cardiovascular (CV) events via. endothelial dysfunction. Studies show that PPIs are associated with increased risk of myocardial infarction (MI) among patients with preexisting CV disease. However, little is known about their risk among people without known CV disease. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD to evaluate the association between PPI use and risk of MI in patients without known CV disease. From among PPIs users age 25 to 65 between 1988 and 2017, we identified 32,793 MI cases and 127,291 controls matched 4:1 on age, sex, general practice setting, and calendar time. Using logistic regression, we calculated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for MI comparing PPI users to nonusers, adjusting for body mass index, smoking, alcohol abuse, drug abuse, type 2 diabetes, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and peripheral artery disease. We repeated this analysis in users of histamine 2 receptor antagonists (H2RA), a drug with a similar indication, to assess protopathic bias. RESULTS: The risk of MI was elevated in new users of PPIs with one to five prescriptions (adjusted OR = 2.8; 95% CI = 2.6, 3.0), but not in any other exposure category. The results among H2RA users were similar across all exposure categories, suggesting that protopathic bias likely explains the results. CONCLUSIONS: Our study results were not consistent with the hypothesis that PPI use increases MI risk among people without known heart disease.

Quality and completeness of diagnoses recorded in the new CPRD Aurum Database: evaluation of pulmonary embolism.

PURPOSE: The Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) now provides a new medical record database, CPRD Aurum. This is the first of several studies being undertaken to assess the quality and completeness of CPRD Aurum data for research endeavors. METHODS: We identified patients with a pulmonary embolism (PE) diagnosis from a random sample of 50 000 patients in CPRD Aurum and compared the diagnoses using data from Hospital Episode Statistics (HES). We calculated the proportion of PE cases recorded in CPRD Aurum who also had a PE diagnosis recorded in HES. We also evaluated completeness by identifying all PE diagnoses in HES and calculating the proportion also present in CPRD Aurum. RESULTS: The study included 781 PE patients: 580 had a PE in CPRD Aurum, 632 had a PE in HES, and 431 had a PE in both. The proportion of patients with anticoagulated PE in CPRD Aurum confirmed by HES was 76.8%. The completeness of primary hospitalized PE HES events compared to CPRD Aurum was 79.1%. In most instances, there was a plausible explanation for the presence of a PE in only one of the two data sources. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study are reassuring and suggest that the correctness (eg, quality, accuracy) and completeness of diagnosis information in CPRD Aurum are promising with respect to serious acute conditions that require medical attention. Evaluation of other data elements will provide additional insight into this new data resource and its utility for medical research.

CPRD Aurum database: Assessment of data quality and completeness of three important comorbidities.

PURPOSE: The Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) now provides a new medical record database, CPRD Aurum. This is the second of several studies being undertaken to assess the quality of CPRD Aurum data for research. METHODS: We included patients aged 20+, with at least one lab test result of any type from a random sample of 50 000 patients in CPRD Aurum. We assessed whether diagnosis codes for type 2 diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and iron deficiency or unspecified anemia were accompanied by supporting codes including lab results and treatments (correctness) and whether lab results, treatments, or other codes indicate a missing diagnosis record (completeness). RESULTS: Among 37 502 patients in CPRD Aurum, correctness of type 2 diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and anemia diagnoses was high (99%, 93%, and 97%, respectively). Completeness was only high for type 2 diabetes (94%-98%); completeness for hypercholesterolemia and anemia diagnoses was modest even when the presence of treatments and lab results indicated the conditions were likely present (51%-59% and 58%-70%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that for studies of type 2 diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and iron deficiency or unspecified anemia, the diagnosis code is likely to be correct where present. However, a significant proportion of cases of hyperlipidemia or anemia will be missed if only diagnosis codes are used to select patients with these conditions. Researchers should consider using treatments, supporting codes, and, when available, lab data to supplement diagnosis codes and enhance case capture when including these conditions in studies using CPRD Aurum.

Parkinson disease and the risk of epileptic seizures.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between incident Parkinson disease (PD) and subsequent incident epileptic seizures. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study with a nested case-control analysis using data from the U.K. Clinical Practice Research Datalink. We identified patients aged ≥40 years with an incident diagnosis of PD between 1995 and 2016 and a matched comparison group of PD-free individuals. We calculated crude incidence rates (IRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of epileptic seizures in PD patients and the PD-free comparison group, and corresponding crude incidence rate ratios (IRRs). In the nested case-control analysis, we calculated adjusted odds ratios (adj. ORs) of incident PD among cases with incident epileptic seizures and seizure-free controls overall and stratified by various seizure-provoking comorbidities. RESULTS: Among 23,086 incident PD patients and 92,343 PD-free individuals, we identified 898 patients with incident epileptic seizures. The crude IR of epileptic seizures in PD patients was 266.7/100,000 person-years (95% CI = 235.6-297.7), and in PD-free individuals it was 112.4/100,000 person-years (95% CI = 103.5-121.3; IRR = 2.37, 95% CI = 2.06-2.73). The adj. OR of epileptic seizures was 1.68 (95% CI = 1.43-1.98) in PD patients compared with PD-free individuals. PD patients with comorbid brain disorders (adj. OR = 12.36, 95% CI = 8.74-17.48) or with > 1 seizure-provoking comorbidity (adj. OR = 13.24, 95% CI = 10.15-17.25) were at the highest risk of epileptic seizures compared with PD-free individuals with no seizure-provoking comorbidities. INTERPRETATION: This study suggests that incident PD is associated with an increased risk of incident epileptic seizures. Ann Neurol 2018;83:363-374.

Weight change and blood glucose concentration as markers for pancreatic cancer in subjects with new-onset diabetes mellitus: A matched case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the potential of blood glucose levels and weight change before the onset of diabetes as predictors of pancreatic cancer among subjects with new-onset diabetes, that is, cancer-related diabetes versus normal type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study among subjects with new diabetes in the United Kingdom-based Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Cases were pancreatic cancer subjects with diabetes for ≤2 years before the cancer diagnosis (i.e., cancer-related diabetes). Controls were cancer-free, type 2 diabetic subjects matched to cases on age, sex, and diabetes duration. We calculated adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for pancreatic cancer as a function of both weight change and blood glucose before the onset of diabetes. RESULTS: Weight loss of 10.0%-14.9% at diabetes onset was associated with an aOR for pancreatic cancer of 3.58 (95% CI 2.31-5.54), loss of ≥15.0%, with an aOR of 4.56 (95% CI 2.82-7.36), compared with stable weight. Blood glucose levels of ≤5.1 mmol/L or 5.2-5.6 mmol/L before diabetes onset were associated with an increased risk of a pancreatic cancer diagnosis, with aORs of 2.42 (95% CI 1.60-3.66) and 2.20 (95% CI 1.45-3.35), respectively, when compared with blood glucose levels ≥6.3 mmol/L within >2-3 years before cancer detection. CONCLUSIONS: Weight loss as well as blood glucose levels in the normal range (and thus rapid development of hyperglycemia) before diabetes onset may be predictive of pancreatic cancer-related diabetes and may help target which subjects with new diabetes to refer for pancreatic cancer screening examinations.

Clinical implications of the association between fluoroquinolones and tendon rupture: The magnitude of the effect with and without corticosteroids.

AIMS: To estimate the relative, absolute and attributable risk of non-traumatic tendon rupture, at various sites, associated with use of fluoroquinolones, with and without concomitant corticosteroids. METHODS: We conducted cohort and nested case-control studies among fluoroquinolone users in the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink Gold. We estimated the excess risk (cohort analysis) and odds ratios (ORs) (case control) of tendon rupture by fluoroquinolone (current, recent and past use versus unexposed) and corticosteroid (current versus unexposed) use. RESULTS: Among 740 926 patients with a fluoroquinolone prescription, 3957 cases of tendon rupture were identified. The excess risk due to current fluoroquinolone use was low: any tendon rupture 3.73 (95% confidence interval, CI, 2.08-5.39) per 10 000 person-years (PY) and Achilles tendon rupture 2.91 (1.71-4.11) per 10 000 PY. The excess risk of any tendon rupture was much higher for current concomitant fluoroquinolone and corticosteroid use versus corticosteroids alone: 21.2 (11.3-31.2) per 10 000 PY. In the case-control, OR (95% CI) among current fluoroquinolone users versus unexposed patients was elevated: any tendon rupture 1.60 (1.22-2.09), Achilles tendon 2.71 (1.76-4.17) and bicep tendon 1.53 (0.85-2.73). The risk of any tendon rupture was higher among women (OR 2.27 [1.54-3.34]), patients aged 60+ (OR 2.42 [1.74-3.37]), and concomitant corticosteroid use (OR 6.64 [3.99-11.1]). CONCLUSIONS: Fluoroquinolones increase the risk of Achilles tendon rupture and, to a lesser extent, bicep tendon rupture, but the attributable risk is low. The risk is materially increased with concomitant use of corticosteroids.

A cohort study of comorbidity in patients with granulomatosis with polyangiitis.

Objectives: To evaluate the associations between granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) and a wide range of comorbidities in patients with GPA compared with population-based non-vasculitis patients. Methods: Using the UK-based Clinical Practice Research Datalink we identified 570 incident patients with GPA in 1990-2014, and for each case, we selected up to 10 random non-vasculitis patients matched for age, sex, practice and years of history before the date of first GPA diagnosis. We compared the distribution of 13 pre-existing comorbidities and estimated the risk of each incident comorbidity after the cohort entry between GPA and non-vasculitis patients. Results: Patients with GPA were more likely to have a history of hypothyroidism at their initial diagnosis compared with non-vasculitis patients. Patients with GPA had increased risk of incident venous thromboembolism any time during follow-up compared with non-vasculitis patients, particularly during the first 3 years of follow-up: hazard ratio (HR) of 5.24 (95% CI: 2.83, 9.71). Risks were also increased for hypertension (HR = 2.45, 95% CI: 1.84, 3.26), type 2 diabetes (HR = 2.13, 95% CI: 1.36, 3.32), dyslipidaemia (HR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.29, 3.04) and depression (HR = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.10, 2.86) among GPA patients during the first 3 years of follow-up, but not after 3 years post-diagnosis. Conclusion: Patients with GPA had a higher prevalence of hypothyroidism before the initial diagnosis, a strong risk of developing venous thromboembolism during follow-up and increased risks of hypertension, dyslipidaemia, type 2 diabetes and depression in the first few years after diagnosis, compared with non-vasculitis population.

Adverse events profile of oral corticosteroids among asthma patients in the UK: cohort study with a nested case-control analysis.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the adverse events profile of oral prednisolone among adult asthma patients in the UK. METHODS: Using data from the UK-based Clinical Practice Research Datalink, we conducted a series of cohort studies to quantify incidence rates and incidence rate ratios, and a series of nested case-control analyses to estimate crude and adjusted odds ratios, of 11 different potential corticosteroid-related adverse events (bone-related conditions, hypertension, peptic ulcer, severe infections, herpes zoster, diabetes mellitus type 2, cataract, glaucoma, chronic kidney disease, affective disorders, and cardiovascular events). RESULTS: Between 165,900 and 269,368 asthma patients were included in each of the 11 cohorts, of whom between 836 and 16,192 developed an outcome of interest. Incidence rates per 1000 person-years of potential corticosteroid-related adverse events in patients with new current use of oral prednisolone ranged from 1.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0-1.8) for peptic ulcer to 78.0 (95% CI, 74.8-81.2) for severe infections. After adjusting for confounding, current oral prednisolone use was most strongly associated with an increased risk of severe infection, compared with non-use of prednisolone; OR 2.16 (95% CI, 2.05-2.27). There were smaller elevated risks of peptic ulcer, affective disorders, and cataract at higher doses, and marginally increased risks of herpes zoster, cardiovascular events, diabetes mellitus type 2, and bone related conditions, compared with non-use of prednisolone. We did not observe an association between oral prednisolone use and glaucoma, chronic kidney disease, or hypertension. CONCLUSION: Oral prednisolone use is associated with infections, gastrointestinal, neuropsychiatric, ocular, cardiovascular, metabolic, and bone-related complications among adult asthma patients.