Forecasting the Acute Heart Failure Admissions: Development of Deep Learning Prediction Model Incorporating the Climate Information.

BACKGROUND: Climate is known to influence the incidence of cardiovascular events. However, their prediction with traditional statistical models remains imprecise. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed 27,799 acute heart failure (AHF) admissions within the Tokyo CCU Network Database from January 2014 to December 2019. High-risk AHF (HR-AHF) day was defined as a day with the upper 10th percentile of AHF admission volume. Deep neural network (DNN) and traditional regression models were developed using the admissions in 2014-2018 and tested in 2019. Explanatory variables included 17 meteorological parameters. Shapley additive explanations were used to evaluate their importance. The median number of incidences of AHF was 12 (9-16) per day in 2014-2018 and 11 (9-15) per day in 2019. The predicted AHF admissions correlated well with the observed numbers (DNN: R2 = 0.413, linear regression: R2 = 0.387). The DNN model was superior in predicting HR-AHF days compared with the logistic regression model [c-statistics: 0.888 (95% CI: 0.818-0.958) vs 0.827 (95% CI: 0.745-0.910): P = .0013]. Notably, the strongest predictive variable was the 7-day moving average of the lowest ambient temperatures. CONCLUSIONS: The DNN model had good prediction ability for incident AHF using climate information. Forecasting AHF admissions could be useful for the effective management of AHF.

Impact of intravascular ultrasound-guided endovascular therapy on periprocedural outcomes in patients with lower-extremity artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Although technological improvements in intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) may reduce technical failures in endovascular therapy (EVT), perioperative complications (POCs) associated with IVUS use may increase. AIMS: This study investigated the impact of IVUS on periprocedural outcomes in symptomatic lower-extremity artery disease (LEAD) patients undergoing EVT. METHODS: This study evaluated 28,088 symptomatic LEAD patients who underwent EVT between January 2021 and December 2021 using a prospective nationwide registry in Japan. Outcome measures included periprocedural outcomes, including technical failure and POCs. To compare outcomes with and without IVUS use, propensity score matching analysis was performed for overall and for each arterial region (aortoiliac [AI], femoropopliteal [FP], and infrapopliteal [IP] arteries) using a binary logistic regression model. RESULTS: IVUS was used in 75%, 72%, and 37% of AI, FP, and IP lesions, respectively. After propensity matching extraction, the IVUS group had a tendency of lower technical failure rate than the non-IVUS group, although not statistically different (3.9% vs. 5.4%, p = 0.054), without an increase in the POC rate (1.8% vs. 1.6%, p = 0.54). Regarding the per-regional analysis, the technical failure rate of FP-EVT was significantly lower in the IVUS group (3.1% vs. 4.2%, p = 0.006), whereas those of AI-EVT (2.2% vs. 3.1%, p = 0.12) and IP-EVT (6.8% vs. 6.1%, p = 0.37) were not significantly different between the two groups. Furthermore, IVUS did not increase the POC rate for any region (AI-EVT: 1.3% vs. 1.3%, p = 1.00; FP-EVT: 1.8% vs. 1.7%, p = 0.75; and IP-EVT: 2.0% vs. 1.7%, p = 0.56). CONCLUSION: The current study revealed that IVUS did not increase the POCs and technical failure for overall lesions but reduced the incidence of FP-EVT technical failure.

Cost-effectiveness of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors in the treatment of diabetic nephropathy in Japan.

AIM: To assess the cost-effectiveness of diabetic nephropathy treatment with sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors in Japanese clinical practice, considering diabetes-related complications. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A population-based Monte Carlo simulation was used to estimate the cost-effectiveness for people with diabetic nephropathy who initiated pharmacotherapy with an SGLT2 inhibitor plus conventional treatment or conventional treatment alone, based on quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and healthcare costs. The Canagliflozin and Renal Events in Diabetes with Established Nephropathy Clinical Evaluation study (CREDENCE) and the Japanese Society for Dialysis Research statistical survey were the primary sources of probability and mortality, while Japanese Health Insurance Claims Data were the cost source. The state transition model included diabetic nephropathy, hospitalization due to cardiovascular disease, dialysis, and death. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to explore model uncertainty. RESULTS: Using the threshold of JPY 5 000 000 per QALY, SGLT2 inhibitor plus conventional treatment was more cost-effective than conventional treatment alone, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of JPY 654 309 per QALY. Treating 100 000 people, SGLT2 inhibitor plus conventional treatment prevented 2234 deaths and reduced 5793 fewer heart failure cases, 3967 fewer myocardial infarctions and stroke events. Sensitivity analysis affirmed the robustness of these results for patients aged under 70 years. CONCLUSIONS: The SGLT2 inhibitor treatment appeared to be cost-effective for the overall population of our study and particularly for younger patients (<70 years old). For older patients (≥70 years old), the cost-effectiveness was less clear and may require further evaluation. Decision-makers should consider this age-based heterogeneity when making recommendations about SGLT2 inhibitor treatment.

Low-Dose Prasugrel vs. Standard-Dose Clopidogrel for Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

BACKGROUND: Low-dose prasugrel (3.75 mg) is used as maintenance therapy for percutaneous coronary intervention; however, data on long-term outcomes are scarce. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed 5,392 participants in the KiCS-PCI registry who were administered low-dose prasugrel or clopidogrel at discharge between 2008 and 2018 and for whom 2-year follow-up data were available. We adjusted for confounders using matching weight analyses and multiple imputations. Similarly, we used inverse probability- and propensity score-weighted analyses. We also performed instrumental variable analyses. The primary outcomes were acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and bleeding requiring readmission. Secondary outcomes were all-cause death and a composite outcome of ACS, bleeding, heart failure, stroke, coronary bypass requiring admission, and all-cause death. In this cohort, 12.2% of patients were discharged with low-dose prasugrel. Compared with clopidogrel, low-dose prasugrel was associated with a reduced risk of ACS (hazard ratio [HR] 0.58; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.39-0.85), bleeding (HR 0.62; 95% CI 0.40-0.97), and the composite outcome (HR 0.71; 95% CI 0.59-0.86). Inverse probability-weighted analysis yielded similar results; however, matching weight analysis without multiple imputations and propensity score-matched analyses showed similar outcomes in both groups. Instrumental variable analyses showed reduced risks of ACS and composite outcome for those on low-dose prasugrel. All-cause mortality did not differ in all analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Low-dose prasugrel demonstrates comparable outcomes to clopidogrel in terms of ACS and bleeding.

Impact of Sex Differences on Clinical Outcomes in Patients Following Primary Revascularization for Acute Myocardial Infarction　- Insights From the Japanese Nationwide Registry.

BACKGROUND: Women with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) often present a worse risk profile and experience a higher rate of in-hospital mortality than men. However, sex differences in post-discharge prognoses remain inadequately investigated. We examined the impact of sex on 1-year post-discharge outcomes in patients with AMI undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. METHODS AND RESULTS: We extracted patient-level data for the period January 2017-December 2018 from the J-PCI OUTCOME Registry, endorsed by the Japanese Association of Cardiovascular Intervention and Therapeutics. One-year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events were compared between men and women. In all, 29,856 AMI patients were studied, with 6,996 (23.4%) being women. Women were significantly older and had a higher prevalence of comorbidities than men. Crude all-cause mortality was significantly higher among women than men (7.5% vs. 5.4% [P<0.001] for ST-elevation myocardial infarction [STEMI]; 7.0% vs. 5.2% [P=0.006] for non-STEMI). These sex-related differences in post-discharge outcomes were attenuated after stratification by age. Multivariate analysis demonstrated an increase in all-cause mortality in both sexes with increasing age and advanced-stage chronic kidney disease (CKD). CONCLUSIONS: Within this nationwide cohort, women had worse clinical outcomes following AMI than men. However, these sex-related differences in outcomes diminished after adjusting for age. In addition, CKD was significantly associated with all-cause mortality in both sexes.

Clinical Features of 544 Patients With Ruptured Aortic Aneurysm　- A Report From the Tokyo Acute Aortic Super Network Database.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological data on ruptured aortic aneurysms from large-scale studies are scarce. The aims of this study were to: clarify the clinical course of ruptured aortic aneurysms; identify aneurysm site-specific therapies and outcomes; and determine the clinical course of patients receiving conservative therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the Tokyo Acute Aortic Super Network database, we retrospectively analyzed 544 patients (mean [±SD] age 78±10 years; 70% male) with ruptured non-dissecting aortic aneurysms (AAs) after excluding those with impending rupture. Patient characteristics, status on admission, therapeutic strategy, and outcomes were evaluated. Shock or pulselessness on admission were observed in 45% of all patients. Conservative therapy, endovascular therapy (EVT), and open surgery (OS) accounted for 32%, 23%, and 42% of cases, respectively, with corresponding mortality rates of 93%, 30%, and 29%. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 50%. The prevalence of pulselessness was highest (48%) in the ruptured ascending AA group, and in-hospital mortality was the highest (70%) in the ruptured thoracoabdominal AA group. Multivariable logistic regression analysis indicated in-hospital mortality was positively associated with pulselessness (odds ratio [OR] 10.12; 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.09-25.07), and negatively associated with invasive therapy (EVT and OS; OR 0.11; 95% CI 0.06-0.20). CONCLUSIONS: The outcomes of ruptured AAs remain poor; emergency invasive therapy is essential to save lives, although it remains challenging to reduce the risk of death.

Right Ventricular Dysfunction in Patients With Concomitant Tricuspid Regurgitation Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated the impact and predictive factors of concomitant significant tricuspid regurgitation (TR) and evaluated the roles of right ventricle (RV) function and the etiology of TR in the clinical outcomes of patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI).Methods and Results: We assessed grading of TR severity, TR etiology, and RV function in pre- and post-TAVI transthoracic echocardiograms for 678 patients at Keio University School of Medicine. TR etiology was divided into 3 groups: primary TR, ventricular functional TR (FTR), and atrial FTR. The primary outcomes were all-cause and cardiovascular death. At baseline, moderate or greater TR was found in 55 (8%) patients and, after adjustment for comorbidities, was associated with increased all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] 2.11; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-3.77; P=0.011) and cardiovascular death (HR 2.29; 95% CI 1.06-4.99; P=0.036). RV dysfunction (RVD) also remained an independent predictor of cardiovascular death (HR 2.06; 95% CI 1.03-4.14; P=0.042). Among the TR etiology groups, patients with ventricular FTR had the lowest survival rate (P<0.001). Patients with persistent RVD after TAVI had a higher risk of cardiovascular death than those with a normal or recovered RV function (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The etiology of TR and RV function play an important role in predicting outcomes in concomitant TR patients undergoing TAVI.

Study Profile of the Tsuruoka Metabolomics Cohort Study (TMCS).

The Tsuruoka Metabolomics Cohort Study (TMCS) is an ongoing population-based cohort study being conducted in the rural area of Yamagata Prefecture, Japan. This study aimed to enhance the precision prevention of multi-factorial, complex diseases, including non-communicable and aging-associated diseases, by improving risk stratification and prediction measures. At baseline, 11,002 participants aged 35-74 years were recruited in Tsuruoka City, Yamagata Prefecture, Japan, between 2012 and 2015, with an ongoing follow-up survey. Participants underwent various measurements, examinations, tests, and questionnaires on their health, lifestyle, and social factors. This study uses an integrative approach with deep molecular profiling to identify potential biomarkers linked to phenotypes that underpin disease pathophysiology and provide better mechanistic insights into social health determinants. The TMCS incorporates multi-omics data, including genetic and metabolomic analyses of 10,933 participants, and comprehensive data collection ranging from physical, psychological, behavioral, and social to biological data. The metabolome is used as a phenotypic probe because it is sensitive to changes in physiological and external conditions. The TMCS focuses on collecting outcomes for cardiovascular disease, cancer incidence and mortality, disability and functional decline due to aging and disease sequelae, and the variation in health status within the body represented by omics analysis that lies between exposure and disease. It contains several sub-studies on aging, heated tobacco products, and women's health. This study is notable for its robust design, high participation rate (89%), and long-term repeated surveys. Moreover, it contributes to precision prevention in Japan and East Asia as a well-established multi-omics platform.

Initial Invasive or Conservative Strategy for Stable Coronary Disease.

BACKGROUND: Among patients with stable coronary disease and moderate or severe ischemia, whether clinical outcomes are better in those who receive an invasive intervention plus medical therapy than in those who receive medical therapy alone is uncertain. METHODS: We randomly assigned 5179 patients with moderate or severe ischemia to an initial invasive strategy (angiography and revascularization when feasible) and medical therapy or to an initial conservative strategy of medical therapy alone and angiography if medical therapy failed. The primary outcome was a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, myocardial infarction, or hospitalization for unstable angina, heart failure, or resuscitated cardiac arrest. A key secondary outcome was death from cardiovascular causes or myocardial infarction. RESULTS: Over a median of 3.2 years, 318 primary outcome events occurred in the invasive-strategy group and 352 occurred in the conservative-strategy group. At 6 months, the cumulative event rate was 5.3% in the invasive-strategy group and 3.4% in the conservative-strategy group (difference, 1.9 percentage points; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.8 to 3.0); at 5 years, the cumulative event rate was 16.4% and 18.2%, respectively (difference, -1.8 percentage points; 95% CI, -4.7 to 1.0). Results were similar with respect to the key secondary outcome. The incidence of the primary outcome was sensitive to the definition of myocardial infarction; a secondary analysis yielded more procedural myocardial infarctions of uncertain clinical importance. There were 145 deaths in the invasive-strategy group and 144 deaths in the conservative-strategy group (hazard ratio, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.32). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with stable coronary disease and moderate or severe ischemia, we did not find evidence that an initial invasive strategy, as compared with an initial conservative strategy, reduced the risk of ischemic cardiovascular events or death from any cause over a median of 3.2 years. The trial findings were sensitive to the definition of myocardial infarction that was used. (Funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and others; ISCHEMIA ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01471522.).

Characteristics and outcomes of patients with no standard modifiable risk factors undergoing primary revascularization for acute myocardial infarction: Insights from the nationwide Japanese percutaneous coronary intervention registry.

BACKGROUND: Identification of and therapeutic approaches to standard modifiable risk factors (SMuRFs), including hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and smoking, have led to improved survival of patients at risk for coronary events. However, recent studies have indicated that a significant proportion of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have no SMuRFs. We aimed to assess in-hospital outcomes and the prevalence of these patients using the Japanese nationwide percutaneous coronary intervention (J-PCI) registry. METHODS: The J-PCI is a procedure-based registration program in Japan. A total of 115,437 PCI procedures were performed on patients with AMI between January 2019 and December 2020. The participants were divided into 2 groups: those with at least 1 SMuRF and those without any SMuRFs. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Of the 115,437 patients with AMI, 1,777 (1.6%) had no SMuRFs. Patients without SMuRFs were older; more likely to have left main disease; and more likely to present with heart failure, cardiogenic shock, and cardiac arrest than those with SMuRFs, resulting in higher rates of mechanical circulatory support use and impaired post-PCI coronary blood flow. In-hospital mortality was significantly higher in patients without SMuRFs than in those with SMuRFs (18.3% vs 5.3%, P < .001), irrespective of the presence or absence of ST-segment elevation. CONCLUSIONS: In Japan, where annual health checks are mandated under universal health care coverage, the vast majority of patients with AMI undergoing PCI have SMuRFs. However, although small in number, patients without SMuRFs are more likely to present with life-threatening conditions and have worse in-hospital survival.

Evaluation of heart failure admission as a surrogate for mortality in randomized clinical trials: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) admission is used as a study endpoint in clinical trials. However, it remains unclear whether it can be a valid surrogate endpoint for mortality. OBJECTIVES: To validate whether HF admission is a valid surrogate for mortality. METHODS: In PubMed and EMBASE, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of interventions to treat patients with heart failure at the enrolment were searched on 13 April 2022. We extracted RCTs in which event numbers of both HF admission and all-cause mortality were reported as either primary or secondary outcomes. Trial-level correlations (R-squared) between HF admission and mortality were assessed. We performed subgroup analyses by study year, follow-up duration, baseline HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) or HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), and whether the intervention was pharmacological. We followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guideline. RESULTS: A total of 117 RCTs met the criteria for inclusion. Overall, the trial-level R-squared between HF admission and all-cause mortality was 0.39 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.26 to 0.53). However, in the subgroup analyses, the trial-level R-squared was increased when the follow-up duration was ≥24 months (0.70 [95% CI: 0.55, 0.85]), when intervention was pharmacological (0.51 [95% CI: 0.34, 0.68]) and when the baseline HF type was HFrEF (0.57 [95% CI: 0.42, 0.73]). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that HF admission may not always be a valid surrogate for mortality in patients with HF. Rather, the surrogacy of HF admission may be dependent on clinical background and interventions.

One-year outcomes of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention with the revived directional coronary atherectomy catheter: Insights from the J-PCI OUTCOME registry.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to investigate the 1-year outcomes, including all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), and major bleeding, of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with or without the revived directional coronary atherectomy (DCA) catheter in a Japanese nationwide registry. BACKGROUND: Clinical data regarding the midterm outcomes of patients undergoing PCI with DCA are scarce in contemporary real-world practice. METHODS: We analyzed the data of 74,764 patients who underwent PCI at 179 hospitals from January 2017 to December 2018. The baseline characteristics and 1-year outcomes of patients with stable coronary artery disease or unstable angina who underwent PCI with or without DCA were assessed. RESULTS: Overall, 431 patients (0.6%) underwent PCI with DCA. Patients in the DCA group were younger and predominantly male, with fewer comorbidities than patients in the non-DCA group. Stentless PCI with DCA following additional drug-coated balloon (DCB) angioplasty was the dominant strategy in the DCA group (43.6%). One-year outcomes, including all-cause mortality (1.2% in the DCA group vs. 2.5% in the non-DCA group, respectively, p = 0.075), cardiovascular death (0.9% vs. 1.0%, p = 0.69), MACEs (1.9% vs. 1.8%, p = 0.96), and nonfatal major bleeding requiring readmission (1.2% vs. 1.4%, p = 0.62), were comparable between the two groups. In the DCA group, 1-year outcomes were comparable, regardless of whether the stent or DCB was used. CONCLUSIONS: One-year clinical outcomes after PCI with DCA in patients with stable coronary artery disease or unstable angina are acceptable, regardless of stent use.

Net clinical benefit of dual antiplatelet therapy in elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Contemporary dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) strategies, such as short-term DAPT or de-escalation of DAPT, have emerged as attractive strategies to treat patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). However, it remains uncertain whether they are suitable for elderly patients. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane CENTRAL databases were searched in September 2022. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating DAPT strategies, including standard (12 months), short-term, uniform de-escalation, and guided-selection strategies for elderly patients with ACS (age ≥ 65 years) were identified, and a network meta-analysis was conducted. The primary endpoint was the net clinical benefit outcome, a composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs: cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke) and clinically relevant bleeding (equivalent to bleeding of at least type 2 according to the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium). The secondary outcomes were MACE and major bleeding. RESULTS: Sixteen RCTs with a combined total of 47,911 patients were included. The uniform de-escalation strategy was associated with an improved net clinical benefit compared with DAPT using potent P2Y12 inhibitors. The short-term DAPT strategy was associated with reduced risks of the primary outcome and major bleeding compared with DAPT using potent P2Y12 inhibitors, however, it was ranked as the least effective strategy for MACE compared with other DAPT strategies. CONCLUSIONS: Uniform de-escalation and short-term DAPT strategies may be advantageous for elderly patients, but need to be tailored based on individual bleeding and ischemic risks. Further RCTs of contemporary DAPT strategies specifically designed for elderly patients are warranted to confirm the findings of the present study.

Comparing the Safety and Feasibility of Endovascular Therapy via Transradial and Transfemoral Approaches in Patients with Aortoiliac Occlusive Disease: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis of the Nationwide Registry.

PURPOSE: Our objective was to evaluate the feasibility of performing endovascular therapy (EVT) for aortoiliac artery disease using transradial approach (TRA) as compared to transfemoral approach (TFA). METHODS: We analyzed 9671 cases with symptomatic lower extremity artery disease due to aortoiliac occlusive disease (AIOD) treated using EVT from a Japanese Nationwide EVT Registry between January and December 2021. We compared the baseline characteristics, procedural information, and 30-day outcomes of patients who received EVT only via TRA (n=863 [16.9%]) and those only via TFA (n=4255 [83.1%]) by using propensity score (PS) matching, after excluding those who required regular dialysis, those who underwent hybrid surgeries, and those who received EVT through 2 or more approach sites. RESULTS: After matching, the final study population consisted of 862 matched patients with similar baseline characteristics in each group. Technical success rate was comparable between the 2 groups (99.3% vs. 99.3%, p>0.99). No significant differences were observed with respect to the composite of all-cause death within 48 hours after EVT and post-procedural complications within 30 days, including severe bleeding that required transfusion, revascularization procedures, urgent surgeries, cerebral infarction, and major limb amputation (0.2% vs. 0.7%, p=0.29). Transradial approach was associated with shorter operation time (85 vs. 90 minutes, p=0.016), but longer fluoroscopy time (26 vs. 20 minutes, p<0.001) and higher contrast agent volume (80 vs. 75 mL, p<0.001). CONCLUSION: After PS matching, TRA showed the comparable rates of successful EVT and 30-day complications in patients with AIOD compared to TFA. Transradial approach was found to be safe and be a viable alternative of TFA for the treatment of AIOD. CLINICAL IMPACT: The efficacy of transradial approach (TRA) is established in percutaneous coronary intervention; however, its safety and feasibility are unclear in endovascular therapy (EVT). We analyzed 9,671 cases with symptomatic aortoiliac occlusive disease treated using EVT from a Nationwide Registry to compare the 30-day outcomes of those who received EVT only via TRA (n = 863 [16.9%]and those only via TFA (n=4,255 [83.1%]) by using propensity score matching. Technical success rate (99.3% vs. 99.3%, p > 0.99) and 30-day complications (0.2% vs. 0.7%, p = 0.29) were comparable between the two groups. EVT via TRA could be performed safely.

Institutional Volume and Initial Results for Endovascular Treatment for Chronic Occlusive Lower-Extremity Artery Disease: A Report From the Japanese Nationwide Registry.

PURPOSE: Chronic total occlusion (CTO) remains as a major target for endovascular treatment (EVT) in improving symptomatic lower-extremity artery disease (LEAD). However, despite the technical demand and learning curve for the procedure, volume-outcome relationship of EVT targeted for CTO in symptomatic LEAD remains unclear. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were obtained from a nationwide registry for EVT procedures limited to the Japanese Association of Cardiovascular Intervention and Therapeutics between January 2018 and December 2020 from 660 cardiovascular centers in Japan. In total, 96 099 patients underwent EVT for symptomatic LEAD, and 41 900 (43.6%) underwent CTO-targeted EVTs during the study period. Institutional volume was classified into quartiles. The association of institutional volumes with short-term outcomes was explored using the generalized linear mixed model using a logit link function, in which, interinstitution variability was used as a random effect. RESULTS: The median institutional volume for all EVT cases per quartile was 29, 68, 125, and 299 cases/year for the first, second, third, and fourth quartiles, respectively. With each model analysis, the adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for technical success were significantly lower in patients who underwent EVT in institutions within the first quartile (<52 cases/year) than in the other quartiles (P < .01, respectively). On the contrary, the adjusted ORs for procedural complications were significantly higher in the first and second quartiles than in the third and fourth quartiles (P < .01, respectively). CONCLUSION: In contemporary Japanese EVT practice, a higher institutional volume but not operator volume was associated with a higher technical success rate and a lower procedural complication rate in patients with symptomatic LEAD involving CTO lesions. CLINICAL IMPACT: EVT for CTO lesions is still challenging for clinicians because of difficulties of wire/devise crossing or high procedural complications rate. Our study demonstrated that a higher institutional volume but not operator volume was associated with a higher technical success rate and a lower procedural complication rate in patients with symptomatic LEAD involving CTO lesions. In contemporary Japanese practice, a higher institutional experience has better impacts on short-term clinical outcomes. Future research should determine the relationship between institutional volume and long-term clinical outcomes.

Improved prediction of sudden cardiac death in patients with heart failure through digital processing of electrocardiography.

AIMS: Available predictive models for sudden cardiac death (SCD) in heart failure (HF) patients remain suboptimal. We assessed whether the electrocardiography (ECG)-based artificial intelligence (AI) could better predict SCD, and also whether the combination of the ECG-AI index and conventional predictors of SCD would improve the SCD stratification among HF patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a prospective observational study, 4 tertiary care hospitals in Tokyo enrolled 2559 patients hospitalized for HF who were successfully discharged after acute decompensation. The ECG data during the index hospitalization were extracted from the hospitals' electronic medical record systems. The association of the ECG-AI index and SCD was evaluated with adjustment for left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), New York Heart Association (NYHA) class, and competing risk of non-SCD. The ECG-AI index plus classical predictive guidelines (i.e. LVEF ≤35%, NYHA Class II and III) significantly improved the discriminative value of SCD [receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC), 0.66 vs. 0.59; P = 0.017; Delong's test] with good calibration (P = 0.11; Hosmer-Lemeshow test) and improved net reclassification [36%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 9-64%; P = 0.009]. The Fine-Gray model considering the competing risk of non-SCD demonstrated that the ECG-AI index was independently associated with SCD (adjusted sub-distributional hazard ratio, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.04-1.49; P = 0.015). An increased proportional risk of SCD vs. non-SCD with an increasing ECG-AI index was also observed (low, 16.7%; intermediate, 18.5%; high, 28.7%; P for trend = 0.023). Similar findings were observed in patients aged ≤75 years with a non-ischaemic aetiology and an LVEF of >35%. CONCLUSION: To improve risk stratification of SCD, ECG-based AI may provide additional values in the management of patients with HF.

Catheter ablation for patients with atrial fibrillation and heart failure with reduced and preserved ejection fraction: insights from the KiCS-AF multicentre cohort study.

AIMS: The usefulness of catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) across a broad spectrum of heart failure (HF) patients remains to be established. We assessed the association of CA with both health-related quality of life (QoL) and cardiovascular events among HF patients with reduced and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in an 'all-comer' outpatient-based AF registry. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of 3303 patients with AF consecutively enrolled in a retrospective multicentre registry that mandated the Atrial Fibrillation Effect on QualiTy-of-life (AFEQT) questionnaire at registration and 1-year follow-up, we extracted data from 530 patients complicating clinical HF. The association between CA and both 1-year change in AFEQT Overall Summary (AFEQT-OS) scores and 2-year composite clinical outcomes (including all-cause death, stroke, and HF hospitalization) was assessed by multivariable analyses. The median duration of AF was 108 days (52-218 days), and 83.4% had LVEF >35%. Overall, 75 patients (14.2%) underwent CA for AF within 1-year after registration. At 1-year follow-up, 67.2% in the ablation group showed clinically meaningful improvements of ≥ 5 points in AFEQT-OS score than 47.8% in the non-ablation group {adjusted odds ratio, 2.03 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13-3.64], P = 0.017}. Furthermore, the composite endpoint of all-cause death, stroke, and HF hospitalization occurred less frequently in the ablation group than the non-ablation group [adjusted hazard ratio, 0.27 (95% CI: 0.09-0.86), P = 0.027]. CONCLUSION: Among AF-HF patients, CA was associated with improved QoL and lower risk of cardiovascular events against drug therapy alone, even for patients with mildly reduced and preserved LVEF.

Intracardiac Echocardiography Guidance for Percutaneous Transcatheter Closure of Atrial Septal Defects　- Nationwide Registry Data Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) has been used for percutaneous atrial septal defect (ASD) closure, with intracardiac echocardiography (ICE) guidance recently being introduced.Methods and Results: The Japanese Structural Heart Disease Registry was established by the Japanese Association of Cardiovascular Intervention and Therapeutics. This study analyzed data from the Registry for 2,859 consecutive cases undergoing percutaneous ASD closure between January 2015 and December 2020. ASD closure was performed under ICE guidance (n=519; 18.2%), TEE guidance (n=1,428; 49.9%), or TEE plus ICE guidance ("Both"; n=900 cases; 31.5%). The success rates were similar in the TEE, ICE, and both groups (99.0%, 99.2%, vs. 98.0%, respectively; P=0.054), as were complication rates (1.2%, 0.5%, vs. 2.1%, respectively; P=0.24). In the TEE and Both groups, 92.4% and 79.6% of patients required general anesthesia, compared with only 2.9% of patients in the ICE group (P<0.001). Fluoroscopic time was longer in the ICE and Both groups than in the TEE group (median [interquartile range] 19 [14-28] and 21 [13-30] vs. 12 [8-19] min, respectively; P<0.001). Rim deficiency and larger defect diameter were inversely related, whereas hospital volume was positively related to ICE guidance. CONCLUSIONS: Percutaneous transcatheter ASD closure was as feasible under ICE as under TEE guidance. ICE guidance is used for less challenging cases in high-volume centers in Japan.

Initiation and Up-Titration of Guideline-Based Medications in Hospitalized Acute Heart Failure Patients　- A Report From the West Tokyo Heart Failure Registry.

BACKGROUND: Despite recommendations from clinical practice guidelines to initiate and titrate guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) during their hospitalization, patients with acute heart failure (AHF) are frequently undertreated. In this study we aimed to clarify GDMT implementation and titration rates, as well as the long-term outcomes, in hospitalized AHF patients.Methods and Results: Among 3,164 consecutive hospitalized AHF patients included in a Japanese multicenter registry, 1,400 (44.2%) with ejection fraction ≤40% were analyzed. We assessed GDMT dosage (ß-blockers, renin-angiotensin inhibitors, and mineralocorticoid-receptor antagonists) at admission and discharge, examined the contributing factors for up-titration, and evaluated associations between drug initiation/up-titration and 1-year post-discharge all-cause death and rehospitalization for HF via propensity score matching. The mean age of the patients was 71.5 years and 30.7% were female. Overall, 1,051 patients (75.0%) were deemed eligible for GDMT, based on their baseline vital signs, renal function, and electrolyte values. At discharge, only 180 patients (17.1%) received GDMT agents up-titrated to >50% of the maximum titrated dose. Up-titration was associated with a lower risk of 1-year clinical outcomes (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.58, 95% confidence interval: 0.35-0.96). Younger age and higher body mass index were significant predictors of drug up-titration. CONCLUSIONS: Significant evidence-practice gaps in the use and dose of GDMT remain. Considering the associated favorable outcomes, further efforts to improve its implementation seem crucial.

Perspectives of hospitalized heart failure patients: preferred and perceived participation roles in treatment decisions.

Shared decision-making (SDM) is a pivotal process in seeking optimal individual treatment and incorporating clinical evidence and patients' autonomous preferences. However, patients' actual attitudes toward participation in decision-making for state-of-the-art heart failure (HF) treatment remain unclear. We conducted a questionnaire-based survey distributed by nurses and physicians specializing in HF care to assess patients' preferred and perceived participation roles in treatment decision-making during the index hospitalization, rated on five scales (from extremely passive to purely autonomous attitudes). Simultaneously, we investigated the important factors underlying treatment decision-making from the perspective of hospitalized HF patients. Of the 202 patients who were approached by our multidisciplinary HF team between 2017 and 2020, 166 (82.2%) completed the survey. Logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify the clinical determinants of patients who reported that they left all decisions to physicians (i.e., extremely passive attitude). Of the 166 participants (male 67.5%, median age 73 years), 32.5% preferred an extremely passive attitude, while 61.4% reported that they actually chose an extremely passive attitude. A sole determinant of choosing an extremely passive decision-making role was lower educational status (odds ratio: 2.11, 95% confidence interval 1.11-4.00). The most important factor underlying the decision-making was "Physician recommendation" (89.2%). Notably, less than 50% considered "In alignment with my values and preferences" as an important factor underlying treatment decision-making. The majority of HF patients reported that they chose an extremely passive approach, and patients prioritized physician recommendation over their own values and preferences.