Is the Differentiated Service Delivery Model Suited to the Needs of People Living with HIV in Rwanda?

The primary goal of antiretroviral treatment is to improve the health of individuals with HIV, and a secondary goal is to prevent further transmission. In 2016, Rwanda adopted the World Health Organization's "treat-all" approach in combination with the differentiated service delivery (DSD) model. The model's goal was to shorten the time from HIV diagnosis to treatment initiation, regardless of the CD4 T-cell count. This study sought to identify perceptions, enablers, and challenges associated with DSD model adoption among PLHIV.This study included selected health centers in Kigali city, Rwanda, between August and September 2022. The patients included were those exposed to the new HIV care model (DSD) model and those exposed to the previous model who transitioned to the current model. Interviews and focus group discussions were also held to obtain views and opinions on the DSD model. The data were collected via questionnaires and audio-recorded focus group discussions and were subsequently analyzed.The study identified several themes, including participants' initial emotions about a new HIV diagnosis, disclosure, experiences with transitioning to the DSD model, the effect of peer education, and barriers to and facilitators of the DSD model. Participants appreciated reduced clinic visits under the DSD model but faced transition and peer educator mobility challenges.The DSD model reduces waiting times, educates patients, and aligns with national goals. Identified barriers call for training and improved peer educator retention. Recommendations include enhancing the DSD model and future research to evaluate its long-term impact and cost-effectiveness.

Effects of Multi-Month Dispensing on Clinical Outcomes: Retrospective Cohort Analysis Conducted in Kenya.

Multi-month dispensing (MMD) has been widely adopted by national HIV programs as a key strategy for improving the quality of HIV care and treatment services while meeting the unique needs of diverse client populations. We assessed the clinical outcomes of clients receiving MMD in Kenya by conducting a retrospective cohort study using routine programmatic data in 32 government health facilities in Kenya. We included clients who were eligible for multi-month antiretroviral therapy (ART) dispensing for ≥ 3 months (≥ 3MMD) according to national guidelines. The primary exposure was enrollment into ≥ 3MMD. The outcomes were lost to follow-up (LTFU) and viral rebound. Multilevel modified-Poisson regression models with robust standard errors were used to compare clinical outcomes between clients enrolled in ≥ 3MMD and those receiving ART dispensing for less than 3 months (< 3MMD). A total of 3,501 clients eligible for ≥ 3MMD were included in the analysis, of whom 65% were enrolled in ≥ 3MMD at entry into the cohort. There was no difference in LTFU of ≥ 180 days between the two types of care (aRR 1.1, 95% CI 0.7-1.6), while ≥ 3MMD was protective for viral rebound (aRR 0.1 95% CI 0.0-0.2). As more diverse client-focused service delivery models are being implemented, robust evaluations are essential to guide the implementation, monitor progress, and assess acceptability and effectiveness to deliver optimal people-centered care.

Multicenter Evaluation of the Clinical Performance and the Neutralizing Antibody Activity Prediction Properties of 10 High-Throughput Serological Assays Used in Clinical Laboratories.

As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic second wave is emerging, it is of the upmost importance to screen the population immunity in order to keep track of infected individuals. Consequently, immunoassays for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) with high specificity and positive predictive values are needed to obtain an accurate epidemiological picture. As more data accumulate about the immune responses and the kinetics of neutralizing-antibody (nAb) production in SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals, new applications are forecast for serological assays such as nAb activity prediction in convalescent-phase plasma from recovered patients. This multicenter study, involving six hospital centers, determined the baseline clinical performances, reproducibility, and nAb level correlations of 10 commercially available immunoassays. In addition, three lateral-flow chromatography assays were evaluated, as these devices can be used in logistically challenged areas. All assays were evaluated using the same patient panels in duplicate, thus enabling accurate comparison of the tests. Seven immunoassays examined in this study were shown to have excellent specificity (98 to 100%) and good to excellent positive predictive values (82 to 100%) when used in a low (5%)-seroprevalence setting. We observed sensitivities as low as 74% and as high as 95% at ≥15 days after symptom onset. The determination of optimized cutoff values through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses had a significant impact on the diagnostic resolution of several enzyme immunoassays by increasing the sensitivity significantly without a large trade-off in specificity. We found that spike-based immunoassays seem to be better correlates of nAb activity. Finally, the results reported here will add to the general knowledge of the interlaboratory reproducibility of clinical performance parameters of immunoassays and provide new evidence about nAb activity prediction.

A simple model for the total number of SARS-CoV-2 infections on a national level.

This study aimed to identify an appropriate simple mathematical model to fit the number of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases at the national level for the early portion of the pandemic, before significant public health interventions could be enacted. The total number of cases for the COVID-19 epidemic over time in 28 countries was analysed and fit to several simple rate models. The resulting model parameters were used to extrapolate projections for more recent data. While the Gompertz growth model (mean R2 = 0.998) best fit the current data, uncertainties in the eventual case limit introduced significant model errors. However, the quadratic rate model (mean R2 = 0.992) fit the current data best for 25 (89%) countries as determined by R2 values of the remaining models. Projection to the future using the simple quadratic model accurately forecast the number of future total number of cases 50% of the time up to 10 days in advance. Extrapolation to the future with the simple exponential model significantly overpredicted the total number of future cases. These results demonstrate that accurate future predictions of the case load in a given country can be made using this very simple model.

Evidence that oxidative stress is higher in replacement gilts than in multiparous sows.

The recent success obtained in term of increasing the litter size of sows has not correlated with a reduction of replacement rate. There is thus an increased economic demand for gilts with optimal reproductive potential and longevity. Unfortunately, replacement gilts are known to be more susceptible to diseases and less productive than multiparous sows. Interestingly, reproductive performance, resistance to diseases and longevity could all be largely affected by oxidative stress. To investigate whether oxidative stress conditions could account for the poor longevity of gilts, three distinct groups of conventional Yorkshire × Landrace sows were formed based on their similar age and parity (gilts, second parity sows as well as fourth to fifth parity sows). All animals were slaughtered during the post-ovulatory period, and blood as well as tissue samples were collected. Biomarkers of oxidative damage to proteins (carbonyls) and DNA (8-OHdG) were analysed in samples. Specific mRNA expression of major antioxidants such as glutathione peroxidases 1, 3 and 4 (GPx1, GPx3, GPx4) as well as superoxide dismutases 1 and 2 (Sod1, Sod2) were monitored in liver and kidney samples by quantitative RT-PCR. Specific enzymatic activities of both GPx and SOD were measured by spectrophotometric assays. The plasma concentration of protein carbonyls was significantly different between the three groups with the highest concentration being observed in gilts (p ≤ 0.001). The mRNA expression levels of GPx1 and GPx4 were also significantly increased in the liver of gilts when compared to multiparous sows (p ≤ 0.05). SOD2 enzymatic activity was found to be higher in the liver of gilts than multiparous sows (p ≤ 0.05). Taken together, these results indicate that replacement gilts sustain significantly higher oxidative conditions than multiparous sows. Current findings may contribute to the design of nutritional regimens that will increase the productivity of gilts by counteracting oxidative stress.

The role of drinking water in the transmission of antimicrobial-resistant E. coli.

To determine whether drinking water contaminated with antimicrobial-resistant E. coli is associated with the carriage of resistant E. coli, selected households sending water samples to Ontario and Alberta laboratories in 2005-2006 were asked to participate in a cross-sectional study. Household members aged ≥12 years were asked to complete a questionnaire and to submit a rectal swab. In 878 individuals, 41% carried a resistant strain of E. coli and 28% carried a multidrug-resistant strain. The risk of carriage of resistant E. coli was 1·26 times higher for users of water contaminated with resistant E. coli. Other risk factors included international travel [prevalence ratio (PR) 1·33], having a child in nappies (PR 1·33), being male (PR 1·33), and frequent handling of raw red meats (PR 1·10). Protecting private water sources (e.g. by improving systems to test and treat them) may help slow the emergence of antimicrobial resistance in E. coli.

Wildfire responses to abrupt climate change in North America.

It is widely accepted, based on data from the last few decades and on model simulations, that anthropogenic climate change will cause increased fire activity. However, less attention has been paid to the relationship between abrupt climate changes and heightened fire activity in the paleorecord. We use 35 charcoal and pollen records to assess how fire regimes in North America changed during the last glacial-interglacial transition (15 to 10 ka), a time of large and rapid climate changes. We also test the hypothesis that a comet impact initiated continental-scale wildfires at 12.9 ka; the data do not support this idea, nor are continent-wide fires indicated at any time during deglaciation. There are, however, clear links between large climate changes and fire activity. Biomass burning gradually increased from the glacial period to the beginning of the Younger Dryas. Although there are changes in biomass burning during the Younger Dryas, there is no systematic trend. There is a further increase in biomass burning after the Younger Dryas. Intervals of rapid climate change at 13.9, 13.2, and 11.7 ka are marked by large increases in fire activity. The timing of changes in fire is not coincident with changes in human population density or the timing of the extinction of the megafauna. Although these factors could have contributed to fire-regime changes at individual sites or at specific times, the charcoal data indicate an important role for climate, and particularly rapid climate change, in determining broad-scale levels of fire activity.

Characterizing the profile of obese patients who are metabolically healthy.

The presence of obesity-related metabolic disturbances varies widely among obese individuals. Accordingly, a unique subset of obese individuals has been described in the medical literature, which seems to be protected or more resistant to the development of metabolic abnormalities associated with obesity. These individuals, now known as 'metabolically healthy but obese' (MHO), despite having excessive body fatness, display a favorable metabolic profile characterized by high levels of insulin sensitivity, no hypertension as well as a favorable lipid, inflammation, hormonal, liver enzyme and immune profile. However, recent studies have indicated that this healthier metabolic profile may not translate into a lower risk for mortality. Mechanisms that could explain the favorable metabolic profile of MHO individuals are poorly understood. However, preliminary evidence suggests that differences in visceral fat accumulation, birth weight, adipose cell size and gene expression-encoding markers of adipose cell differentiation may favor the development of the MHO phenotype. Despite the uncertainty regarding the exact degree of protection related to the MHO status, identification of underlying factors and mechanisms associated with this phenotype will eventually be invaluable in helping us understand factors that predispose, delay or protect obese individuals from metabolic disturbances. Collectively, a greater understanding of the MHO individual has important implications for therapeutic decision making, the characterization of subjects in research protocols and medical education.

Methods for quantifying breast cancer-related lymphedema in patients undergoing a contralateral prophylactic mastectomy.

Patients treated for breast cancer are at risk of developing breast cancer-related lymphedema (BCRL). A significant proportion of patients treated for breast cancer are opting to undergo a contralateral prophylactic mastectomy (CPM). Currently, it remains unclear as to whether the relative volume change (RVC) equation may be used as an alternative to the weight adjusted change (WAC) equation to quantify BCRL in patients who undergo CPM. In order to simplify BCRL screening, our cohort of patients who underwent a CPM (n=310) was matched by BMI to a subset of patients who underwent unilateral breast surgery (n=310). Arm volume measurements were obtained via an optoelectronic perometer preoperatively, postoperatively, and in the follow-up setting every 6-12 months. The correlation of ipsilateral RVC and WAC values for those who underwent bilateral surgery was calculated (r=0.60). Contralateral WAC values for patients in both cohorts were compared, and there was no significant difference between the two distributions in variance (p=0.446). The RVC equation shows potential to be used to quantify ipsilateral postoperative arm volume changes for patients who undergo a CPM. However, a larger trial in which RVC and WAC values are prospectively assessed is needed.

Glycaemic status influences the nature and severity of coronary artery disease.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We sought to understand the relationships between glycaemic status and both severity and progression of coronary artery disease (CAD), the leading cause of death in diabetes. METHODS: Baseline fasting blood glucose (FBG) and HbA1c (%)were measured in 426 patients with known or suspected stable CAD, who underwent coronary artery intravascular ultrasound(IVUS) at baseline and after a mean follow-up period of 664 days (range 257 to 961). The patients were categorised as normoglycaemic (n=226, 53%), or as having impaired fasting glucose (n=118, 28%) or diabetes (n=82, 19%). RESULTS: The maximum percentage coronary atheroma area at baseline was greater in diabetic patients (73.33+/-8.86%) than in those with normoglycaemia (69.08+/-10.43%; p=0.001) and impaired fasting glucose (69.32+/-9.59%; p=0.0031). In averaged IVUS measurements of the 30-mm target segment(n=332 participants), change in percentage atheroma area during follow-up was also greater in the diabetes (1.86+/-3.90%) than in other groups (0.28+/-3.32% and 0.56+/-2.96%,p=0.0047 global). FBG correlated with maximum percentage atheroma area at baseline (r=0.17; p=0.0003). HbA1c also correlated with maximum percentage atheroma area at baseline (r=0.26; p=0.0001) and with change in maximum plaque area (r=0.16; p=0.016). A similar pattern of results occurred with plaque volume. The relationships between diabetes or HbA1c and both IVUS measurements of plaque burden and remodelling persisted after adjustment. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Fasting blood glucose, HbA1c and the presence of diabetes are associated with the severity and progression of coronary atherosclerosis. These observations support the hypothesis that better glycaemic control may favourably influence CAD in patients with abnormal glucose tolerance or diabetes.

Association between physical activity energy expenditure and inflammatory markers in sedentary overweight and obese women.

OBJECTIVE: Chronic subclinical inflammation and regular physical activity have opposing relationships to obesity-related metabolic diseases. Yet, the association between chronic inflammation and physical activity has rarely been examined in obese subjects. We examined the association between physical activity energy expenditure (PAEE), total (TEE) and resting energy expenditure (REE) and cardiorespiratory fitness (VO(2)peak) with inflammatory markers in overweight/obese women. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. METHODS: The study included 152 overweight/obese postmenopausal women who were sedentary and free of chronic/inflammatory diseases (mean age: 57.5 (95% confidence interval (CI) 56.7-58.3) years, body mass index (BMI): 32.5 (95% CI 31.8-33.2) kg m(-2)). The following parameters were measured: TEE (doubly labeled water), REE (indirect calorimetry), PAEE (as (TEE x 0.90)-REE), VO(2)peak (ergocycle) and serum high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP), haptoglobin, soluble tumor necrosis factor-α receptor 1 (sTNFR1), interleukin-6, orosomucoid and white blood cells. RESULTS: Sedentary women with the highest tertile of PAEE (1276 (1233-1319) kcal day(-1)) had lower concentrations of hsCRP and haptoglobin than those in the lowest tertile (587 (553-621) kcal day(-1)) after adjustment for fat mass (P<0.05). Soluble TNFR1 was positively correlated with VO(2)peak, TEE and REE (P<0.05), and hsCRP and orosomucoid were positively associated with REE (P<0.01), whereas haptoglobin was negatively associated with PAEE (P<0.05). In stepwise regression analyses that examined the concomitant associations of components of energy expenditure with inflammatory markers, PAEE remained the only predictor of hsCRP and haptoglobin (P<0.05), explaining 14 and 5%, respectively, of their variation,whereas REE was the only predictor of orosomucoid (r (2) = 0.05, P = 0.02) after adjustment for fat mass. Adding leptin to the regression models results in similar relationships between inflammatory markers and components of energy expenditure. CONCLUSION: PAEE is an independent predictor of hsCRP and haptoglobin in sedentary overweight/obese postmenopausal women free of chronic disease. Our data support the role of physical activity in reducing subclinical inflammation and risk of metabolic and cardiovascular diseases.

Assessing the impact of non-dilating the eye on full-field electroretinogram and standard flash response.

We investigated the possibility of performing electroretinography (ERG) in non-pharmacologically dilated eyes using brighter flash (time-integrated) luminance. Photopic (N = 26; background 25.5 cd·m(-2), white LED flashes) and scotopic ERG (N = 23, green LED flashes) luminance response functions were obtained simultaneously in a dilated (DE) and non-dilated eye (NDE). In the NDE, photopic V (max) b-wave amplitude was reduced by 14% (P < 0.0001), implicit time prolonged (P < 0.0001), and retinal sensitivity (log K) decreased by 0.38 log units (P < 0.0001) with no effect on a-wave. Using a xenon strobe light (N = 6) to increase flash luminance, V (max) remained lower by about 12% in the NDE (P = 0.02). V (max) with LED and xenon was achieved at 3.9 ± 1.0 cd·s·m(-2) and 3.3 ± 0.81 cd·s·m(-2) in the DE and 10.6 ± 1.2 cd·s·m(-2) and 12.3 ± 1.90 cd·s·m(-2) in the NDE, that is an increase of 0.43 and 0.57 log unit (P < 0.0001), respectively. Increasing background luminance by 0.50 log units (80 cd·m(-2), N = 4) resulted in implicit time normalization but not V (max) amplitude. Rod V (max) was decreased by 7% in NDE (P < 0.05) and sensitivity reduced by 0.40 log units (P < 0.0001), but our data suggest that the luminance may have not been sufficient to reach V (max) in all participants in the NDE and that the sensitivity change may have been due to an inadequate inter-stimulus interval. For the photopic ERG, increasing flash luminance is not sufficient to compensate for the smaller pupil size, whereas for the scotopic ERG, more data are needed to establish proper inter-stimulus interval to perform recordings in a non-pharmacologically dilated.

Circadian variation in the electroretinogram and the presence of central melatonin.

The light/dark cycle is the most important circadian clock synchronizer for mammals and humans. Circadian rhythms of dopamine and melatonin production in the retina have been reported to follow the light and dark cycle, but their impact on rod and cone functioning is not clear. The purpose of this study was to assess diurnal variations (morning vs. evening) in retinal function as measured with the photopic and scotopic electroretinogram (ERG). We also tried to correlate our results with the presence or absence of melatonin secretion in the saliva. Photopic and scotopic luminance-response functions were obtained in 29 participants at 11:00 (when melatonin should not be present) and 23:00 (when melatonin should be present). From the luminance-response function, Vmax, log K and slope parameters were derived. In scotopic condition, a significant increase of 6% in Vmax amplitude was observed in evening compared to morning (P = 0.03) along with a prolonged b-wave implicit time of 8% (P = 0.01) and an increase in rod sensitivity in evening compared to morning (P = 0.02). As expected, these changes in rod function were accompanied by a higher concentration of melatonin in saliva samples in the evening (P = 0.01). In photopic condition, only a prolonged a-wave implicit time of 5% was observed in evening when compared to morning (P = 0.02). Our findings suggest that the rod system is favored during night time, when circulating melatonin is present. Although statistically significant changes were observed, the day vs. night difference observed in the present study appears to be too small to impact significantly upon clinical assessment of retinal function.

Comparative antimicrobial activity of two new mutacins.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the in vitro activity of mutacins D-123.1 and F-59.1 against different bacteria including antibiotic-resistant strains, in order to evaluate their application potential. DESIGN AND METHODS: The antibacterial activity spectrum of purified F-59.1 and the MIC and MBC of F-59.1 and D-123.1 against target bacteria were determined. RESULTS: Most bacteria were inhibited by the purified mutacins. Mutacin F-59.1 shows a relatively wide activity spectrum. Mutacin D-123.1 has low Minimum Inhibitory Concentrations [MICs] (0.25-4 microg/ml) against human pathogens while F-59.1 has higher MICs (3.2-12.8 microg/ml) mainly against food-borne pathogens. CONCLUSION: The effectiveness of mutacins D-123.1 and F-59.1 against human and food-borne pathogens is demonstrated. Mutacin D-123.1 shows potential as a new antibiotic while F-59.1 shows promising application in food products.

The effect of fire frequency on local cembra pine populations.

It has been predicted that global climate change will lead to increasing drought in the Alps during the 21st century, as well as an increased fire risk, fires being currently rare in these mountains. Herein we describe fire frequency reconstruction using high-resolution analyses of macroscopic sedimentary charcoal, pollen, and plant macrofossils. Sediments were sampled from a subalpine pond within the dry western French Alps. Results show that the early-Holocene expansion of Pinus cembra (7200 calibrated years BP) occurred in Acer/Alnus incana/Betula woodlands, which were affected by fires with moderate mean fire-free intervals (MFFI = 173 +/- 61 yr [mean +/- SE]). Superposed Epoch Analyses show that the abundance of P. cembra macroremains decreased significantly after burning, although they never disappeared entirely. Statistics suggest that fires spread through cembra pine communities; they were not stand-replacing fires but mainly surface fires, probably killing nonreproductive pines. An increase in fire frequency occurred 6740 years ago, when four fires appear to have occurred within 140 years. These fires may have been associated with a regional drought and could have affected the composition of the subalpine forest by depleting the local P. cembra population in the short-term. The predicted increase in drought in the future could, therefore, affect the cembra pine ecosystem in the Alps if fire frequency is reduced to intervals of less than 80 years.

The Vfl1 Protein in Chlamydomonas localizes in a rotationally asymmetric pattern at the distal ends of the basal bodies.

In the unicellular alga Chlamydomonas, two anterior flagella are positioned with 180 degrees rotational symmetry, such that the flagella beat with the effective strokes in opposite directions (Hoops, H.J., and G.B. Witman. 1983. J. Cell Biol. 97:902-908). The vfl1 mutation results in variable numbers and positioning of flagella and basal bodies (Adams, G.M.W., R.L. Wright, and J.W. Jarvik. 1985. J. Cell Biol. 100:955-964). Using a tagged allele, we cloned the VFL1 gene that encodes a protein of 128 kD with five leucine-rich repeat sequences near the NH(2) terminus and a large alpha-helical-coiled coil domain at the COOH terminus. An epitope-tagged gene construct rescued the mutant phenotype and expressed a tagged protein (Vfl1p) that copurified with basal body flagellar apparatuses. Immunofluorescence experiments showed that Vfl1p localized with basal bodies and probasal bodies. Immunogold labeling localized Vfl1p inside the lumen of the basal body at the distal end. Distribution of gold particles was rotationally asymmetric, with most particles located near the doublet microtubules that face the opposite basal body. The mutant phenotype, together with the localization results, suggest that Vfl1p plays a role in establishing the correct rotational orientation of basal bodies. Vfl1p is the first reported molecular marker of the rotational asymmetry inherent to basal bodies.

Relationship between enteric pathogens and acute gastroenteritis disease severity: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the relationship between individual bacterial and viral pathogens and disease severity. METHODS: Children <18 years with three or more episodes of vomiting and/or diarrhoea were enrolled in two Canadian paediatric emergency departments between December 2014 and August 2016. Specimens were analysed employing molecular panels, and outcome data were collected 14 days after enrolment. The primary outcome was severe disease over the entire illness (symptom onset until 14-day follow-up), quantified employing the Modified Vesikari Scale (MVS) score. The score was additionally analysed in two other time periods: index (symptom onset until enrolment) and follow-up (enrolment until 14-day follow-up). RESULTS: Median participant age was 20.7 (IQR: 11.3, 44.2) months; 47.4% (518/1093) and 73.4% (802/1093) of participants had index and total MVS scores ≥11, respectively. The most commonly identified pathogens were rotavirus (289/1093; 26.4%) and norovirus (258/1093; 23.6%). In multivariable analysis, severe disease over the entire illness was associated with rotavirus (OR = 9.60; 95%CI: 5.69, 16.19), Salmonella (OR = 6.61; 95%CI: 1.50, 29.17), adenovirus (OR = 2.53; 95%CI: 1.62, 3.97), and norovirus (OR = 1.43; 95%CI: 1.01, 2.01). Pathogens associated with severe disease at the index visit were: rotavirus only (OR = 6.13; 95%CI: 4.29, 8.75), Salmonella (OR = 4.59; 95%CI: 1.71, 12.29), adenovirus only (OR = 2.06; 95%CI: 1.41, 3.00), rotavirus plus adenovirus (OR = 3.15; 95%CI: 1.35, 7.37), and norovirus (OR = 0.68; 95%CI: 0.49, 0.94). During the follow-up period, rotavirus (OR = 2.21; 95%CI: 1.50, 3.25) and adenovirus (OR = 2.10; 95%CI: 1.39, 3.18) were associated with severe disease. CONCLUSIONS: In children presenting for emergency department care with acute gastroenteritis, pathogens identified were predominantly viruses, and several of which were associated with severe disease. Salmonella was the sole bacterium independently associated with severe disease.

Oral microbial ecology and the role of salivary immunoglobulin A.

In the oral cavity, indigenous bacteria are often associated with two major oral diseases, caries and periodontal diseases. These diseases seem to appear following an imbalance in the oral resident microbiota, leading to the emergence of potentially pathogenic bacteria. To define the process involved in caries and periodontal diseases, it is necessary to understand the ecology of the oral cavity and to identify the factors responsible for the transition of the oral microbiota from a commensal to a pathogenic relationship with the host. The regulatory forces influencing the oral ecosystem can be divided into three major categories: host related, microbe related, and external factors. Among host factors, secretory immunoglobulin A (SIgA) constitutes the main specific immune defense mechanism in saliva and may play an important role in the homeostasis of the oral microbiota. Naturally occurring SIgA antibodies that are reactive against a variety of indigenous bacteria are detectable in saliva. These antibodies may control the oral microbiota by reducing the adherence of bacteria to the oral mucosa and teeth. It is thought that protection against bacterial etiologic agents of caries and periodontal diseases could be conferred by the induction of SIgA antibodies via the stimulation of the mucosal immune system. However, elucidation of the role of the SIgA immune system in controlling the oral indigenous microbiota is a prerequisite for the development of effective vaccines against these diseases. The role of SIgA antibodies in the acquisition and the regulation of the indigenous microbiota is still controversial. Our review discusses the importance of SIgA among the multiple factors that control the oral microbiota. It describes the oral ecosystems, the principal factors that may control the oral microbiota, a basic knowledge of the secretory immune system, the biological functions of SIgA, and, finally, experiments related to the role of SIgA in oral microbial ecology.

A quantitative risk assessment of West Nile virus introduction into Barbados.

OBJECTIVE: To present a quantitative risk assessment of West Nile (WNV) virus introduction into Barbados, West Indies. DESIGN AND METHODS: Three possible modes were considered: a) WNV infected mosquitoes via air transport, by city of departure, b) WNV infected mosquitoes via marine transport and c) viraemic migratory, birds. We estimated the number of WNV infected migratory birds as the product of the proportion of migratory birds infected and the number of migratory birds entering Barbados in three taxonomic groups. We further estimated the number of days these birds would be infectious as: [formula: see text]. We then estimated the number (#) of infectious mosquito-days for mosquitoes entering Barbados via air transport as: # infected mosquitoes = (total flights per week/city) x (duration of WNV season) x (number of Culex mosquitoes aboard each flight) x (Culex mosquito WNV infection prevalence) x (vector competence index) x (days infectious). The number of infected mosquitoes entering Barbados via marine transport was estimated using a similar expression as for air transport, except that the number of airplanes and mosquitoes/airplane were substituted with the # of sea containers during a 22-week mosquito season and # of mosquitoes/container. RESULTS: Migratory birds (approximately 69-101 infected birds/year) were associated with the highest introductory risk followed by mode (a) (approximately 2 infected mosquitoes/year) and mode (b) (0. 004 infected mosquitoes/year). CONCLUSIONS: Migratory birds and mosquitoes via air are imminent threats for virus introduction. Impending co-circulation of West Nile virus and four strains of dengue virus may present new challenges for public health.