A scoring system for ascertainment of incident stroke; the Risk Index Score (RISc).

OBJECTIVES: The main objective of this study was to develop and validate a computer-based statistical algorithm that could be translated into a simple scoring system in order to ascertain incident stroke cases using hospital admission medical records data. METHODS: The Risk Index Score (RISc) algorithm was developed using data collected prospectively by the Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi (BASIC) project, 2000. The validity of RISc was evaluated by estimating the concordance of scoring system stroke ascertainment to stroke ascertainment by physician and/or abstractor review of hospital admission records. RESULTS: RISc was developed on 1718 randomly selected patients (training set) and then statistically validated on an independent sample of 858 patients (validation set). A multivariable logistic model was used to develop RISc and subsequently evaluated by goodness-of-fit and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses. The higher the value of RISc, the higher the patient's risk of potential stroke. The study showed RISc was well calibrated and discriminated those who had potential stroke from those that did not on initial screening. CONCLUSION: In this study we developed and validated a rapid, easy, efficient, and accurate method to ascertain incident stroke cases from routine hospital admission records for epidemiologic investigations. Validation of this scoring system was achieved statistically; however, clinical validation in a community hospital setting is warranted.

Random research.

Advances in computing have combined with the rapid dissemination of treatment discoveries for diseases of public health importance to create pressure for accelerated promulgation of promising research results to the medical community. The 2 recent examples of the US Carvedilol Heart Failure program and the Evaluation of Losartan In the Elderly (ELITE) study demonstrate the importance of the prospective nature of research design, as well as the consequences of its abandonment. This article explains in nonmathematical terms the rationale for the tenet "first say what you will do, then do what you said" in sample-based research.

VLDL, apolipoproteins B, CIII, and E, and risk of recurrent coronary events in the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) trial.

BACKGROUND: Plasma triglyceride concentration has been an inconsistent independent risk factor for coronary heart disease, perhaps because of the metabolic heterogeneity among VLDL particles, the main carriers of triglycerides in plasma. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a prospective, nested case-control study in the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) trial, a randomized placebo-controlled trial of pravastatin in 4159 patients with myocardial infarction and average LDL concentrations at baseline (115 to 174 mg/dL, mean 139 mg/dL). Baseline concentrations of VLDL-apolipoprotein (apo) B (the VLDL particle concentration), VLDL lipids, and apoCIII and apoE in VLDL+LDL and in HDL were compared in patients who had either a myocardial infarction or coronary death (cases, n=418) with those in patients who did not have a cardiovascular event (control subjects, n=370) in 5 years of follow-up. VLDL-cholesterol, VLDL-triglyceride, VLDL-apoB, apoCIII and apoE in VLDL+LDL and apoE in HDL were all interrelated, and each was a univariate predictor of subsequent coronary events. The significant independent predictors were VLDL-apoB (relative risk [RR] 3.2 for highest to lowest quintiles, P:=0.04), apoCIII in VLDL+LDL (RR 2.3, P:=0.04), and apoE in HDL (RR 1.8, P:=0.02). Plasma triglycerides, a univariate predictor of coronary events (RR 1.6, P:=0.03), was not related to coronary events (RR 1.3, P:=0.6) when apoCIII in VLDL+LDL was included in the model, whereas apoCIII remained significant. Adjustment for LDL- and HDL-cholesterol did not affect these results. CONCLUSIONS: The plasma concentrations of VLDL particles and apoCIII in VLDL and LDL are more specific measures of coronary heart disease risk than plasma triglycerides perhaps because their known metabolic properties link them more closely to atherosclerosis.

Reduction of stroke incidence after myocardial infarction with pravastatin: the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) study. The Care Investigators.

BACKGROUND: The role of lipid modification in stroke prevention is controversial, although increasing evidence suggests that HMG-CoA reductase inhibition may reduce cerebrovascular events in patients with prevalent coronary artery disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: To test the hypothesis that cholesterol reduction with pravastatin may reduce stroke incidence after myocardial infarction, we followed 4159 subjects with average total and LDL serum cholesterol levels (mean, 209 and 139 mg/dL, respectively) who had sustained an infarction an average of 10 months before study entry and who were randomized to pravastatin 40 mg/d or placebo in the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) trial. Using prospectively defined criteria, we assessed the incidence of stroke, a prespecified secondary end point, and transient ischemic attack (TIA) over a median 5-year follow-up period. Patients were well matched for stroke risk factors and the use of antiplatelet agents (85% of subjects in each group). Compared with placebo, pravastatin lowered total serum cholesterol by 20%, LDL cholesterol by 32%, and triglycerides by 14% and raised HDL cholesterol by 5% over the course of the trial. A total of 128 strokes (52 on pravastatin, 76 on placebo) and 216 strokes or TIAs (92 on pravastatin, 124 on placebo) were observed, representing a 32% reduction (95% CI, 4% to 52%, P=0.03) in all-cause stroke and 27% reduction in stroke or TIA (95% CI, 4% to 44%, P=0.02). All categories of strokes were reduced, and treatment effect was similar when adjusted for age, sex, history of hypertension, cigarette smoking, diabetes, left ventricular ejection fraction, and baseline total, HDL, and LDL cholesterol and triglyceride levels. There was no increase in hemorrhagic stroke in patients on pravastatin compared with placebo (2 versus 6, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Pravastatin significantly reduced stroke and stroke or TIA incidence after myocardial infarction in patients with average serum cholesterol levels despite the high concurrent use of antiplatelet therapy.

Nicotine patch therapy in smoking cessation reduces the extent of exercise-induced myocardial ischemia.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine the effects of nicotine patch therapy, when used to promote smoking cessation, on myocardial ischemia in patients with coronary artery disease. BACKGROUND: Nicotine patches substantially increase quit rates among cigarette smokers, but their safety in patients with myocardial ischemia who are attempting to quit smoking is unknown. METHODS: This is a prospective study using exercise thallium-201 single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) to assess serial changes in the total and ischemic myocardial perfusion defect size at baseline while patients were smoking and during treatment with 14- and 21-mg nicotine patches. Entry criteria required that patients 1) smoked > or = 1 pack of cigarettes per day; 2) had known coronary artery disease; and 3) had myocardial ischemia (i.e., > or = 5% reversible perfusion defect) on SPECT. All patients performed symptom-limited treadmill exercise, and the baseline SPECT study served as its own control. We interpreted and computer quantified the SPECT images with no knowledge of the testing sequence. RESULTS: Thirty-six of the 40 enrolled patients had exercise SPECT at baseline and during treatment with at least 14-mg nicotine patches. These patients had an initial perfusion defect size of 17.5 +/- 10.6% while smoking an average of 31 +/- 11 cigarettes per day for 40 +/- 12 years. A significant reduction in the total perfusion defect size (p < 0.001) was observed from baseline (17.5 +/- 10.6%) to treatment with 14-mg (12.6 +/- 10.1%) and 21-mg (11.8 +/- 9.9%) nicotine patches. This reduction occurred despite an increase in treadmill exercise duration (p < 0.05) and higher serum nicotine levels (p < 0.001). There was a significant correlation between the reduction in defect size and exhaled carbon monoxide levels (p < 0.001) because patients reduced their smoking by approximately 74% during the trial. CONCLUSIONS: Nicotine patches, when used to promote smoking cessation, significantly reduce the extent of exercise-induced myocardial ischemia as assessed by exercise thallium-201 SPECT.

Pravastatin prevents clinical events in revascularized patients with average cholesterol concentrations. Cholesterol and Recurrent Events CARE Investigators.

OBJECTIVES: This analysis was carried out to determine if revascularized patients derive benefit from the 3-hydroxy-3 methylglutaryl coenzyme A (HMG-CoA) reductase inhibitor pravastatin. BACKGROUND: The HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors result in substantial reductions in serum cholesterol and stabilization of atherosclerotic plaques in patients with coronary artery disease. METHODS: Pravastatin was found to reduce clinical cardiovascular events in the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) trial consisting of 4,159 patients with a documented myocardial infarction and an average cholesterol level (mean 209 mg/dl and all <240 mg/dl). A total of 2,245 patients underwent coronary revascularization before randomization including 1,154 patients with percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) alone, 876 patients with coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) alone, and 215 patients with both procedures. Clinical events in revascularized patients were compared between patients on placebo and on pravastatin. RESULTS: In the 2,245 patients who had undergone revascularization, the primary endpoint of coronary heart disease death or nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) was reduced by 4.1% with pravastatin (relative risk [RR] reduction 36%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 17 to 51, p = 0.001). Fatal or nonfatal MI was reduced by 3.3% (RR reduction 39%, 95% CI 16 to 55, p = 0.002), postrandomization repeat revascularization was reduced by 2.6% (RR reduction 18%, 95% CI 1 to 33, p = 0.068) and stroke was reduced by 1.5% (RR reduction 39%, 95% CI 3 to 62, p = 0.037) with pravastatin. Pravastatin was beneficial in both the 1,154 PTCA patients and in the 1,091 CABG patients who had undergone revascularization before randomization. CONCLUSIONS: Pravastatin reduced clinical events in revascularized postinfarction patients with average cholesterol levels. This therapy was well tolerated and its use should be considered in most patients following coronary revascularization.

Effect of pravastatin on cardiovascular events in women after myocardial infarction: the cholesterol and recurrent events (CARE) trial.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine the effect of pravastatin on recurrent cardiovascular events in women with average cholesterol levels after myocardial infarction (MI). BACKGROUND: Little information is available on the effectiveness of lipid lowering in secondary prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD) in women; in particular, those with CHD and average cholesterol levels. METHODS: In the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) trial, 576 postmenopausal women, between 3 and 20 months after MI, with a total cholesterol level <240 mg/dl and a low density lipoprotein cholesterol level 115 to 174 mg/dl, were randomized to receive pravastatin 40 mg/day or matching placebo for a median follow-up period of 5 years. The main outcome measures were combined coronary events (coronary death, nonfatal MI, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty [PTCA] or coronary artery bypass graft surgery [CABG]), the primary trial end point (coronary death or nonfatal MI) and stroke. RESULTS: Women treated with pravastatin had a risk reduction of 43% for the primary end point (p = 0.035), 46% for combined coronary events (p = 0.001), 48% for PTCA (p = 0.025), 40% for CABG (p = 0.14) and 56% for stroke (p = 0.07). The 3,583 men in the CARE trial also showed a reduction in risk, but the magnitude tended to be less. Pravastatin improved plasma lipids similarly in men and women. There were no differences in risk of coronary events in the placebo group between men and women. Minor differences between men and women were present in baseline characteristics and treatment for MI, in general, conferring a higher risk status and a lower incidence of CABG in the women. CONCLUSIONS: Pravastatin led to significant early reduction of a wide range of cardiovascular events in post-MI women with average cholesterol levels.

Influence of baseline lipids on effectiveness of pravastatin in the CARE Trial. Cholesterol And Recurrent Events.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to assess the influence of baseline lipid levels on coronary event rates and the effectiveness of pravastatin therapy in the Cholesterol And Recurrent Events (CARE) study. BACKGROUND: The CARE study cohort provided a relatively unique opportunity to examine the relation between lipid levels and clinical events in a post-myocardial infarction (MI) population with relatively low cholesterol and low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol values. METHODS: There were 4,159 patients with a previous infarct and a total cholesterol level <240 mg/dl, LDL cholesterol level 115 to 174 mg/dl and triglyceride level <350 mg/dl randomly allocated to placebo (n=2,078) or pravastatin 40 mg/day (n=2,081). Time to either coronary death or nonfatal MI (primary end point) or to the secondary end point, which included undergoing a coronary revascularization procedure, was determined as a function of baseline lipids (total, LDL, high density lipoprotein [HDL] cholesterol and triglyceride levels). RESULTS: Quartile analysis indicated important effects for LDL cholesterol, in which a higher LDL was associated with greater cardiac event rates (in the placebo group, every 25-mg/dl increment in LDL was associated with a 28% increased risk [5% to 56%, p=0.015]) in the primary event. The differential event rates with respect to baseline LDL cholesterol for placebo and pravastatin groups reduced the difference in clinical outcomes at lower LDL cholesterol levels. In both the placebo and pravastatin groups, an inverse relation between baseline HDL cholesterol and cardiac events was observed (10 mg/dl lower baseline HDL cholesterol level was associated with a 10% [0% to 19%, p=0.046] increase in coronary death or nonfatal MI). CONCLUSIONS: Within the LDL cholesterol levels in CARE (115 to 174 mg/dl), baseline values influenced both the risk of events in the placebo group as well as the clinical effectiveness of pravastatin therapy.

Barriers to acute stroke therapy and stroke prevention in Mexican Americans.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to identify specific targets to improve acute stroke treatment and stroke prevention in the Mexican American (MA) community. METHODS: A professional, academic survey research team provided structured questions and elicited responses from 719 subjects identified by random-digit dialing in the biethnic community of Corpus Christi, TEXAS: This community of approximately 300 000 is approximately half MA and half non-Hispanic white (NHW). The cooperation rate for the survey was 58%. RESULTS: MAs (n=357) were younger, less well educated, and had lower family income than NHWs (n=362, P=0.001). MAs had a higher prevalence of diabetes mellitus (P=0.001) but similar rates of hypertension, elevated cholesterol, and current tobacco use. MAs less commonly recognized that acute stroke therapy existed (P=0.029), were less likely to acknowledge a time window for acute stroke treatment (P=0.001), and were more reticent to say they would call 911 for stroke symptoms (P=0.01) than NHWS: MAs were significantly less able to recall stroke symptoms and risk factors than NHWS: Only approximately 20% of both groups identified stroke as the NO: 1 cause of disability. MAs expressed less confidence in their ability to prevent stroke (P<0.001), more distrust in the medical establishment (P=0.007), and more concern that money impedes their seeking medical care (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: There are significant barriers to both acute stroke treatment and stroke prevention in MAS: This study identifies specific targets amenable for testing in an intervention project following confirmation by a methodology other than telephone survey.

Comparison of stroke hospitalization rates among Mexican-Americans and non-Hispanic whites.

The authors performed a prospective, community-based pilot stroke surveillance project in Nueces County, TX. Mexican-Americans showed a trend toward higher completed ischemic stroke hospitalization rates compared with non-Hispanic whites. Mexican-Americans were more commonly uninsured (p = 0.007) and were less likely to receive neuroimaging (p = 0.001). Additional studies are needed to confirm this finding and to determine the role of stroke risk factors and access to care variables.

The Cardiac Arrhythmia Suppression Trial: background, interim results and implications.

The Cardiac Arrhythmia Suppression Trial (CAST) was designed to test the hypothesis that suppression of ventricular premature complexes (VPCs) in survivors of acute myocardial infarction would reduce arrhythmic death risk. Instead, a preliminary finding from the CAST was that the encainide and flecainide groups had a 3.6-fold increase in arrhythmic death compared with their placebo group. These unfortunate results were especially surprising in that the CAST population represented patients in whom the risk of arrhythmic death was only moderate and the risk of proarrhythmia was thought to be low. In contrast, the arrhythmic death rate of the CAST placebo group was unusually low, to the extent that it paralleled the arrhythmic death rate in previous clinical trials of patients surviving myocardial infarction with no ventricular arrhythmia. The excessive arrhythmic death rate in patients taking encainide and flecainide occurred over the duration of the CAST, implying a proarrhythmic effect that may be due to mechanisms that are unique in this population, and thus challenging traditional concepts of proarrhythmia. The existing knowledge regarding the proarrhythmic and negative inotropic effects of encainide and flecainide are reviewed. The previous pharmaceutical database experience with these 2 antiarrhythmic drugs exceeded 3,000 patients; however, there was no indication of this serious proarrhythmic effect. In contrast, the CAST population taking encainide and flecainide totaled only 725 patients who were followed for 10 months and had an extremely high proarrhythmic event rate. The reasons for this discrepancy are discussed. The results of the CAST emphasize the power of a randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial to uncover previously unsuspected benefits or liabilities of traditional therapies.

Rationale, design and baseline characteristics of the survival and ventricular enlargement trial. SAVE Investigators.

Heart failure, often associated with ventricular enlargement and recurrent myocardial infarction, is one of the major causes of postinfarction mortality. This observation suggests that measures used to prevent ventricular enlargement may improve postinfarction survival. The Survival and Ventricular Enlargement (SAVE) trial is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial with the purpose of evaluating the effect of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibition on postinfarction death and ventricular dilation. This multicenter trial had a sample size goal of 2,220 patients between 21 and 79 years of age who had recently sustained a myocardial infarction and who have an ejection fraction determined by radionuclide ventriculogram (RVG-EF) of less than or equal to 40%. In addition to conventional therapy, patients were randomly assigned to captopril or placebo therapy commencing within 3-16 days following their myocardial infarction. A second RVG-EF is performed on all surviving participants at the end of the average 3.5-year treatment and follow-up period. The study has 90% power to detect a 25% improvement in postinfarction mortality or prevention of greater than or equal to 9 unit absolute reduction in radionuclide ejection fraction. Additional end points, design features, and the administrative organization of the trial are described.

Design of a randomized, placebo-controlled multicenter trial on the long-term effects of intermittent transdermal nitroglycerin on left ventricular remodeling after acute myocardial infarction. Transdermal Nitroglycerin Investigators Group.

Nitrates are widely used in the treatment of patients with ischemic heart disease and in those with angina following acute myocardial infarction. Short-term studies indicate that the administration of nitrates may prevent left ventricular (LV) dilation and infarct expansion. Animal models suggest that prolonged nitroglycerin use after infarction may limit LV remodeling similar to that observed with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors. However, to date there have been no trials evaluating the effects of nitrates on LV volumes in patients surviving acute myocardial infarction. We therefore performed a randomized double-blind, placebo-controlled trial designed to investigate the long-term (6 month) efficacy of intermittent transdermal nitroglycerin patches on LV remodeling in 291 survivors of acute myocardial infarction. Patients were randomized to receive either placebo or a nitroglycerin patch that delivered 0.4, 0.8, or 1.6 mg/hour. Gated radionuclide angiography was used to assess serial changes in LV ejection and cardiac volumes. The baseline characteristics of the study population were similar in all 4 treatment groups. The study protocol and the main design-related issues are described.

High reproducibility of myocardial perfusion defects in patients undergoing serial exercise thallium-201 tomography.

The purpose of this study was to define the reproducibility of sequential quantitative exercise thallium-201 tomography. This was an ancillary study of a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial evaluating the short-term efficacy of transdermal nitroglycerin patches in stable patients with angiographic coronary artery disease and no prior myocardial infarction. All 18 patients had a baseline tomographic perfusion defect involving > or = 5% of the left ventricle after treadmill exercise. At a minimum of 3 days (mean 6.1 +/- 1.8) after double-blind randomization to placebo, exercise thallium-201 tomography was repeated (study 2) using the same exercise protocol as in the baseline study (study 1). No significant differences in exercise parameters were observed from studies 1 to 2. Seventeen of 18 patients (94%) had an abnormal repeat exercise perfusion scan and 96% of initially abnormal vascular territories remained abnormal. The mean tomographic perfusion defect size was not significantly different from studies 1 (17.4 +/- 13.3%) to 2 (16.6 +/- 15.3%), nor were the components defined as scar and ischemia. A > or = 10% change in total perfusion defect size in an individual patient defined the 95% confidence interval for exceeding the variability of the tomographic technique. Quantitative exercise thallium-201 tomography is highly reproducible and can be used to accurately interpret temporal changes in myocardial perfusion in individual patients.

Exploring the minimal dose of amiodarone with antiarrhythmic and hemodynamic activity.

Amiodarone in doses of 200 to 400 mg/day has shown promise in secondary prevention trials for reducing mortality in patients surviving myocardial infarction who have complex ventricular ectopy or nonsustained ventricular tachycardia, or both. In an attempt to explore the lowest dose of amiodarone with antiarrhythmic and hemodynamic activity, we studied 48 patients (mean age 53 +/- 11 years, ejection fraction 23 +/- 9%, clinical heart failure in 85%) with nonsustained ventricular tachycardia. This was a 3-month, randomized, parallel, double-blind pilot study comparing placebo (n = 16) with amiodarone 50 mg/day (n = 15) and 100 mg/day (n = 17). Patients randomized to amiodarone received a mean loading dose of 422 mg/day for the first study week. At the end of the 12 weeks, amiodarone (100 mg) significantly reduced ventricular premature complexes (177 +/- 64 to 98 +/- 38/hour), couplets (8 +/- 3 to 4 +/- 2/hour), and runs of nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (13 +/- 7 to 3 +/- 2/day), all p < 0.01 versus baseline. In addition, 10 of 14 patients taking 100 mg/day had total suppression of nonsustained ventricular tachycardia compared with 4 of 15 taking placebo, p = 0.021. Left ventricular ejection fraction improved by > or = 7% (absolute) in 11 of 29 patients taking amiodarone as compared with only 1 of 15 placebo patients (p = 0.02). In these 11 patients with the greatest measurable hemodynamic improvement, amiodarone significantly increased ejection fraction (21 +/- 7% to 33 +/- 11%, p < 0.01), stroke volume index (28 +/- 9 to 40 +/- 7 ml/m2, p < 0.01) and decreased end-systolic volume index (116 +/- 48 to 92 +/- 44 ml/m2, p < 0.01).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

The platelet Pl(A2) and angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) D allele polymorphisms and the risk of recurrent events after acute myocardial infarction.

Chromosome 17q21-23 harbors genes for platelet glycoprotein IIIa and angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE), which are polymorphic for alleles Pl(A2) and ACE "D." These alleles have been independently and often associated with ischemic coronary artery disease (CAD). We sought to determine if the Pl(A2) and ACE D polymorphisms were risk factors for recurrent coronary events. In the Cholesterol And Recurrent Events (CARE) trial, 4,159 men and women with documented myocardial infarction (MI) were randomized to receive either placebo or pravastatin, and were followed prospectively for 5 years. Pl(A) and ACE genotypes were determined in 767 patients: 385 cases who had experienced a recurrent primary event (death due to coronary disease or nonfatal MI), and 382 age- and gender-matched controls. In patients receiving placebo, the Pl(A1,A2) genotype conferred a relative risk (RR) of 1.38 (confidence intervals [CI] 1.04 to 1.83; p = 0.028; adjusted RR = 1.32, CI = 0.99 to 1.76; p = 0.058]) for the primary end point. Compared with the placebo group, pravastatin reduced the excess RR of coronary disease death and recurrent MI in the Pl(A1,A2) patient population by 31% (p = 0.06). The ACE D allele appeared to have modestly additive effects on the Pl(A1,A2) risk. Among the Pl(A1,A2) patients, pravastatin had little effect on the risk of recurrent events with the ACE II genotype, but reduced the adjusted RR from 1.42 (placebo) to 0.58 for ACE ID patients, and from 1.56 (placebo) to 0.83 for ACE DD. The Pl(A1,A2) genotype was associated with an excess of recurrent coronary events in patients after MI who did not receive pravastatin, and the ACE D allele added to this risk. These data suggest that it would be important to perform a larger study to address the potential role of these genotypes in therapeutic decision making.

Activation of neurohumoral systems following acute myocardial infarction.

Previous studies have indicated that patients with an acute myocardial infarction have marked activation of all neurohumoral systems on admission to the hospital. This activation begins to subside within the first 72 hours so that by 7-10 days, all plasma neurohormones have returned to normal. The only documented exceptions were found to occur in patients with left ventricular dysfunction and overt heart failure, where both plasma renin activity and atrial natriuretic peptide were increased, and in patients with left ventricular dysfunction but no overt heart failure, where only atrial natriuretic peptide was increased. Although these studies suggest that neurohumoral activation rarely occurs at the time of hospital discharge, they were small and may have missed an important subgroup of patients with persistent neurohumoral activation. In the Survival and Ventricular Enlargement (SAVE) study, 522 patients had plasma neurohumoral levels measured at a mean of 12 days postinfarction. All SAVE patients had left ventricular dysfunction (left ventricular ejection fraction less than or equal to 40%), but no overt heart failure. In this group of patients, all neurohumoral levels (plasma renin activity, norepinephrine, arginine vasopressin, and atrial natriuretic peptide) were found to be increased compared with age-matched control subjects. These results indicate that, in fact, a subgroup of patients without overt heart failure has persistent neurohumoral activation at the time of hospital discharge postinfarction, and that this activation involves several neurohumoral systems. Since patients with persistent neurohumoral activation postinfarction are likely those most at risk of developing complications and the ones most likely to benefit from pharmacologic interventions blunting the effects of neurohumoral activation, measurement of predischarge neurohumoral levels may be useful.

Cholesterol and Recurrent Events: a secondary prevention trial for normolipidemic patients. CARE Investigators.

Although elevated plasma cholesterol levels represent a well-established and significant risk for developing atherosclerosis, there is a wide spectrum of cholesterol levels in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). Most secondary prevention studies have generated convincing evidence that cholesterol reduction in patients with high cholesterol levels is associated with improved clinical outcome by reducing risk of further cardiovascular events. However, other risk factors may play a prominent role in the pathogenesis of coronary disease in the majority of patients with near-normal cholesterol values. The Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) study was designed to address whether the pharmacologic reduction of cholesterol levels with the 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A (HMG-CoA) reductase inhibitor, pravastatin, would reduce the sum of fatal coronary artery disease (CAD) and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) in patients who have survived an MI yet have a total cholesterol value < 240 mg/dl (< 6.2 mmol/liter). The other inclusion criteria for this study were age 21-75 years, low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels of 115-174 mg/dl (3.0-4.5 mmol/liter), and fasting serum triglyceride levels < 350 mg/dl (< 4.0 mmol/liter). A total of 4,159 eligible consenting patients without other study exclusions were then randomly assigned to receive either pravastatin 40 mg daily or matching placebo in addition to their individualized conventional therapy. The trial was designed to have a median follow-up of 5 years. Study endpoints will be evaluated with respect to predefined subgroups according to baseline lipid values, age, gender, prior cardiovascular risk factors, and history.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

P-value interpretation and alpha allocation in clinical trials.

PURPOSE: Although much value has been placed on type I error event probabilities in clinical trials, interpretive difficulties often arise that are directly related to clinical trial complexity. Deviations of the trial execution from its protocol, the presence of multiple treatment arms, and the inclusion of multiple end points complicate the interpretation of an experiment's reported alpha level. The purpose of this manuscript is to formulate the discussion of P values (and power for studies showing no significant differences) on the basis of the event whose relative frequency they represent. METHODS: Experimental discordance (discrepancies between the protocol's directives and the experiment's execution) is linked to difficulty in alpha and beta interpretation. Mild experimental discordance leads to an acceptable adjustment for alpha or beta, while severe discordance results in their corruption. RESULTS: Finally, guidelines are provided for allocating type I error among a collection of end points in a prospectively designed, randomized controlled clinical trial. CONCLUSIONS: When considering secondary end point inclusion in clinical trials, investigators should increase the sample size to preserve the type I error rates at acceptable levels.

Research methodology in psychoneuroimmunology: rationale and design of the IMAGES-P clinical trial.

Although mental imagery has historically been ignored by the scientific community, it is one of the six most commonly used alternative therapies chosen by cancer patients. Investigations of immune response to psychosocial interventions have been largely anecdotal or quasi-experimental. Although reports of increased survival predominate among cancer patients, few investigators have measured psychological or immunological outcomes to explain the mechanisms that contribute to improved survival. The efficacy of imagery or support groups in patient adaptation (emotionally and physically) to the stresses of cancer, heightened immune function, and improved morbidity and mortality remain uncertain in the absence of objective evidence from randomized, controlled clinical trials. The imagery and group emotional support study pilot (IMAGES-P) is a 12-month feasibility study designed to examine the effect of group support and imagery/relaxation in a randomized, controlled clinical trial, differentiating the effects of these therapy modalities on immune function, quality of life, and the emotional well-being of women who have completed treatment for breast cancer. Secondary aims are to explore the quantitative relationships among emotional well-being, quality of life, and immune function. For this study established clinical trial methodology was used to examine functional immune responses associated with emotional states induced by the therapy interventions. As a pilot study, IMAGES-P will provide direction for future longitudinal studies evaluating the effectiveness of these interventions on emotional well-being and survival.