Association of oral contraceptives and tubal ligation with risk of early natural menopause.

STUDY QUESTION: What is the association of oral contraceptives (OCs) and tubal ligation (TL) with early natural menopause? SUMMARY ANSWER: We did not observe an association of OC use with risk of early natural menopause; however, TL was associated with a modestly higher risk. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: OCs manipulate hormone levels, prevent ovulation, and may modify the rate of follicular atresia, while TL may disrupt the blood supply to the ovaries. These mechanisms may be associated with risk of early menopause, a condition associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease and other adverse health outcomes. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: We examined the association of OC use and TL with natural menopause before the age of 45 years in a population-based study within the prospective Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII) cohort. Participants were followed from 1989 to 2017 and response rates were 85-90% for each cycle. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Participants included 106 633 NHSII members who were premenopausal and aged 25-42 years at baseline. Use, duration and type of OC, and TL were measured at baseline and every 2 years. Menopause status and age were assessed every 2 years. Follow-up continued until early menopause, age 45 years, hysterectomy, oophorectomy, death, cancer diagnosis, or loss to follow-up. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs adjusted for lifestyle, dietary, and reproductive factors. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Over 1.6 million person-years, 2579 members of the analytic cohort experienced early natural menopause. In multivariable models, the duration, timing, and type of OC use were not associated with risk of early menopause. For example, compared with women who never used OCs, those reporting 120+ months of OC use had an HR for early menopause of 1.01 (95% CI, 0.87-1.17; P for trend=0.71). TL was associated with increased risk of early menopause (HR = 1.17, 95% CI, 1.06-1.28). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Our study population is homogenous with respect to race and ethnicity. Additional evaluation of these relations in more diverse populations is important. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: To our knowledge, this is the largest study examining the association of OC use and TL with early natural menopause to date. While TL was associated with a modest higher risk of early menopause, our findings do not support any material hazard or benefit for the use of OCs. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): The study was sponsored by UO1CA176726 and R01HD078517 from the National Institutes of Health and Department of Health and Human Services. The work was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. The authors have no competing interests to report. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Population-based food consumption survey as an additional tool for foodborne outbreak investigations, Germany, 2017.

We conducted a food consumption survey in the general adult population of 18 years and older in Germany to obtain data on the frequency of consumption of food items that caused foodborne disease outbreaks in the past. A total of 1010 telephone interviews were completed that queried the consumption of 95 food items in the 7-day period before the interview. Survey results were weighted to be representative. Six exemplary 'high risk' food items were consumed by 6% to 16% of the general population. These were raw ground pork: 6.5%; 'Teewurst' (=spreadable sausage-containing raw pork): 15.7%; unpasteurised milk consumed without prior heating: 9.0%; food items prepared with raw eggs: 9.8%; unheated sprouts or seedlings: 8.8% and frozen berries consumed without prior heating: 6.2%. Data from our food consumption survey were comparable to data obtained from control persons in case-control studies conducted during past foodborne disease outbreak investigations. We consider our survey an additional helpful tool that will allow comparison with food consumption data from case-patients obtained in exploratory, hypothesis-generating interviews early on in outbreak investigations, and which may assist in forming hypotheses regarding associations of illnesses with suspected food vehicles. This may facilitate and accelerate investigations of future foodborne disease outbreaks.

Associations of early life and adulthood adiposity with risk of epithelial ovarian cancer.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have evaluated the association between early life adiposity and ovarian cancer risk. Adiposity during different periods of life may be differentially associated with the risk. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We prospectively followed 133 526 women in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS; 1980-2012) and NHSII (1989-2013). Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for incident ovarian cancer (N = 788) according to validated measures for early life adiposity [body mass index (BMI) at age 10 imputed from somatotype and recalled BMI at age 18) as well as BMI change between age 10 and 18 and after age 18 (current weight assessed on every biennial questionnaire since baseline). RESULTS: After mutual adjustment for BMI at age 10, BMI at age 18 and current BMI, the HR (95% CI) for ovarian cancer risk per 5 kg/m2 was 0.84 (0.74-0.96) for BMI at age 10 (P-trend = 0.01), 1.17 (1.03-1.33) for BMI at age 18 (P-trend = 0.02), and 1.06 (0.99-1.14) for current BMI (P-trend = 0.08). However, the inverse association with BMI at age 10 was attenuated after adjusting for BMI change between age 10 and 18 and BMI change after age 18 (HR per 5 kg/m2: 1.04; 95% CI 0.91-1.20; P-trend = 0.55). By contrast, BMI change between age 10 and 18 was strongly positively associated with ovarian cancer risk (HR per 5 kg/m2 increase: 1.24; 95% CI 1.11-1.39; P-trend = 0.0002), whereas BMI change since age 18 was only slightly associated with risk (HR per 5 kg/m2 increase: 1.06; 95% CI 0.99-1.14; P-trend = 0.10). These associations were in general stronger for premenopausal cases or non-serous tumors. CONCLUSION: Early life changes in adiposity were more strongly associated with ovarian cancer risk than adulthood changes. The specific mechanisms underlying the associations with adiposity changes during early life warrant further investigation.

Rotating night shift work and menopausal age.

STUDY QUESTION: How are rotating night shift schedules associated with age at menopause among a large, national cohort of shift working nurses? SUMMARY ANSWER: Our findings suggest that working rotating night shifts with sufficient frequency may modestly accelerate reproductive senescence among women who may already be predisposed to earlier menopause. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Younger age at menopause has been associated with increased risk of adverse health outcomes, particularly those linked to reproduction. Night work has been associated with reproductive dysfunction, including disruption of menstrual cycle patterns. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This cohort study was conducted among 80 840 women of the Nurses' Health Study 2 (NHS2), with prospective follow-up from 1991 through 2013. Loss-to-follow-up of the NHS2 is estimated to be <10%. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: We assessed the association between cumulative and current rotating night shift work and age at natural menopause over 22 years of follow-up (1991-2013). Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for menopause, adjusted for age, smoking status, body mass index, physical activity, alcohol consumption, reproductive factors and exogenous hormone use. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Over follow-up, 27 456 women (34%) reached natural menopause. Women who worked 20 or more months of rotating night shifts in the prior 2-year had an increased risk of earlier menopause (multivariable-adjusted (MV)-HR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.02-1.16) compared to women without rotating night shift work. This risk was stronger among women undergoing menopause or otherwise censored under age 45 years (MV-HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.08-1.46), than it was for those continuing in the study when >45 years old (MV-HR = 1.05, 95% CI: 0.99-1.13). Working 10 or more years of cumulative rotating night work was also associated with higher risk of menopause among women reaching menopause under age 45 (MV-HR10-19 years = 1.22, 95% CI: 1.03-1.44; MV-HR≥20 years = 1.73, 95% CI: 0.90-3.35), though not over the age of 45 years (MV-HR10-19 years = 1.04, 95% CI: 0.99-1.10; MV-HR≥20 years = 1.01, 95% CI: 0.89-1.15). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The degree to which observed effects of rotating night shifts on age at natural menopause are due to circadian disruption, rather than fatigue and stress associated with working more demanding schedules, is uncertain due to potential residual confounding by these factors. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: This is the first study to assess the effects of night work on menopausal timing among a larger national cohort of shift working women. Women already prone to earlier menopause may further truncate their reproductive lifetime by working schedules comprising day as well as night shifts. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was supported by Center for Disease Control and Prevention/The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health Grant 5R01OH009803 (PI: Schernhammer E), as well as UM1 CA176726 from the National Institute of Health. The funding sources had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis and interpretation of the data; preparation, review or approval of the article; and decision to submit the article for publication. The authors have no conflicts of interest.

Towards X-ray transient grating spectroscopy.

The extension of transient grating spectroscopy to the x-ray regime will create numerous opportunities, ranging from the study of thermal transport in the ballistic regime to charge, spin, and energy transfer processes with atomic spatial and femtosecond temporal resolution. Studies involving complicated split-and-delay lines have not yet been successful in achieving this goal. Here we propose a novel, simple method based on the Talbot effect for converging beams, which can easily be implemented at current x-ray free electron lasers. We validate our proposal by analyzing printed interference patterns on polymethyl methacrylate and gold samples using ∼3 keV X-ray pulses.

Different menopausal hormone regimens and risk of breast cancer.

Background: There are considerable knowledge gaps concerning different estrogen and progestin formulations, regimens, and modes of administration of menopausal hormone therapy (HT) and the risk of breast cancer. Our objective was to assess the different treatment options for menopausal HT and the risk of breast cancer. Patients and methods: This Swedish prospective nationwide cohort study included all women who received ≥1 HT prescription during the study period 2005-2012 (290 186 ever-users), group-level matched (1 : 3) to 870 165 never-users; respectively, 6376 (2.2%) and 18 754 (2.2%) developed breast cancer. HT, ascertained from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register, was subdivided by estrogen and progestogen formulation types, regimens (continuous versus sequential) and modes of administration (oral versus transdermal). The risk of invasive breast cancer was presented as adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals. Results: Current use of estrogen-only therapy was associated with a slight excess breast cancer risk [odds ratio (OR) = 1.08 (1.02-1.14)]. The risk for current estrogen plus progestogen therapy was higher [OR = 1.77 (1.69-1.85)] and increased with higher age at initiation [OR = 3.59 (3.30-3.91) in women 70+ years]. In contrast, past use was associated with reduced breast cancer risk. Current continuous estrogen/progestin use was associated with higher risk [OR = 2.18 (1.99-2.40) for progesterone-derived; OR = 2.66 (2.49-2.84) for testosterone-derived] than sequential use [OR = 1.37 (0.97-1.92) for progesterone-derived; OR = 1.12 (0.96-1.30) for testosterone-derived]. The OR for current use was 1.12 (1.04-1.20) for estradiol, 0.76 (0.69-0.84) for estriol, 4.47 (2.67-7.48) for conjugated estrogens, and 1.68 (1.51-1.87) for tibolone. Oral and cutaneous HT showed similar associations. Conclusion: Different HT regimens have profoundly different effects on breast cancer risk. Because of registry limitations some confounders could not be assessed. This knowledge may guide clinical decision-making when HT is considered.

Adult adiposity and risk of early menopause.

STUDY QUESTION: Is adult adiposity associated with early menopause? SUMMARY ANSWER: Overall and abdominal adiposity were non-linearly associated with odds for early natural menopause with elevated odds observed among women who were underweight in early or mid-adulthood compared to lean-normal weight women. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: High and low adiposity have been associated with reproductive function and may potentially impact timing of menopause. It is unclear whether various aspects of adiposity are associated with risk of early menopause. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: Prospective cohort study that examined data from 78 759 premenopausal women from the Nurses' Health Study II who were followed from 1989 to 2011 for incidence of early natural menopause. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Participants were aged 25-42 years and premenopausal at baseline in 1989, when information on menopausal status, height and weight was reported via questionnaire. Information on menopausal status, type of menopause (natural, surgical, radiation/chemotherapy), hormone therapy use and weight was updated every two years along with information on smoking, physical activity and other behavioral and health-related factors. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios for early menopause, defined as natural menopause before age 45 years, by aspects of adiposity. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Early natural menopause was reported by 2804 participants. Body mass index (BMI) was non-linearly associated with risk for early menopause. Compared to women with BMI = 18.5-22.4 kg/m2, those with BMI < 18.5 kg/m2 had a significant 30% higher odds of early menopause (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.08, 1.57), while women with BMIs between 25.0-29.9 kg/m2 had significant 21-30% lower odds. Odds were not higher in women with BMI ≥ 35.0 kg/m2 in fully adjusted analysis. Non-linear associations with higher odds in underweight women were also observed for age 18 and age 35 BMI, though lower odds for overweight women was only observed for age 35 BMI. Odds were highest among women with age 18 BMI < 18.5 kg/m2 reporting severe weight cycling. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Though weight and early menopause status were self-reported, validation studies conducted among Nurses' Health Study participants suggest that self-reported weight is highly correlated with directly measured weight, and prospective self-reported menopausal status is highly reproducible. It is possible that underweight women may have been misclassified with an earlier age at menopause if being underweight led to amenorrhea. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: In one of the few studies to prospectively examine a variety of adiposity measures and risk for early menopause, our findings that women who were underweight in early or mid-adulthood had elevated risk for early menopause can assist in efforts to better understand the etiology of early menopause. Additional prospective research is needed to understand how low adiposity may physiologically impact timing of menopause. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was conducted with funding from NIH UM1CA176726 and R01HD078517. The authors declare no conflicts of interest. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Not applicable.

Male pattern baldness and risk of colorectal neoplasia.

BACKGROUND: Male pattern baldness is positively associated with androgens as well as insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) and insulin, all of which are implicated in pathogenesis of colorectal neoplasia. METHODS: From 1992 through 2010, we prospectively followed participants in the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study. Hair pattern at age 45 years was assessed at baseline with five image categories (no baldness, frontal-only baldness, frontal-plus-mild-vertex baldness, frontal-plus-moderate-vertex baldness, and frontal-plus-severe-vertex baldness). Cancer analysis included 32 782 men and used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Restricted to men who underwent at least one endoscopy over the study period, adenoma analysis included 29 770 men and used logistic regressions for clustered data to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs. RESULTS: Over the mean follow-up of 15.6 years, 710 cases of colorectal cancer (478 for colon, 152 for rectum, and 80 unknown site) developed. Significantly increased risks associated with frontal-only baldness and frontal-plus-mild-vertex baldness relative to no baldness were observed for colon cancer with respective HR being 1.29 (95% CI, 1.03-1.62) and 1.31 (95% CI, 1.01-1.70). Over the 19-year study period, 3526 cases of colorectal adenoma were detected. Evidence for an increased risk of colorectal adenoma relative to no baldness was significant with frontal-only baldness (OR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.06-1.26) and borderline insignificant with frontal-plus-severe-vertex baldness (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.98-1.33). CONCLUSIONS: Subtypes of male pattern baldness at age 45 years were positively associated with colorectal neoplasia. Future studies are warranted to confirm our results and to determine the predictive value of male pattern baldness to identify those at high risk for colorectal neoplasia.

A multi-country outbreak of Salmonella Newport gastroenteritis in Europe associated with watermelon from Brazil, confirmed by whole genome sequencing: October 2011 to January 2012.

In November 2011, the presence of Salmonella Newport in a ready-to-eat watermelon slice was confirmed as part of a local food survey in England. In late December 2011, cases of S. Newport were reported in England, Wales, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Ireland and Germany. During the outbreak, 63 confirmed cases of S. Newport were reported across all six countries with isolates indistinguishable by pulsed-field gel electrophoresis from the watermelon isolate.A subset of outbreak isolates were whole-genome sequenced and were identical to, or one single nucleotide polymorphism different from the watermelon isolate.In total, 46 confirmed cases were interviewed of which 27 reported watermelon consumption. Further investigations confirmed the outbreak was linked to the consumption of watermelon imported from Brazil.Although numerous Salmonella outbreaks associated with melons have been reported in the United States and elsewhere, this is the first of its kind in Europe.Expansion of the melon import market from Brazil represents a potential threat for future outbreaks. Whole genome sequencing is rapidly becoming more accessible and can provide a compelling level of evidence of linkage between human cases and sources of infection,to support public health interventions in global food markets.

One-carbon metabolism factors and endometrial cancer risk.

BACKGROUND: This is the largest prospective cohort analysis to assess how dietary factors involved in one-carbon metabolism are associated with endometrial cancer incidence, using 26 years of follow-up data from the Nurses' Health Study. METHODS: The prospective cohort analysis of one-carbon metabolism dietary factors used the Cox proportional hazards model, and incorporated 788 incident endometrial cancer events from 1980 to 2006. Genotyping and unconditional logistic regression were performed on 572 endometrial cancer cases and their matched controls to examine 29 mostly non-synonymous single-nucleotide polymorphisms involved in one-carbon metabolism. RESULTS: There were no significant dose-response relationships between intake of any of the one-carbon metabolism dietary factors and endometrial cancer incidence, but alcohol consumption of <1 drink a day was significantly protective (hazard ratio: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.68, 0.94). Those with the MTHFR 677 TT or MTHFR 1298 CC genotype had more protective associations for many of the dietary factors and endometrial cancer, but statistical power was limited in this analysis. CONCLUSION: Dietary levels of folate, choline, methionine, vitamin B2, vitamin B6 or vitamin B12 do not appear to influence endometrial cancer incidence. Moderate alcohol intake may protect against developing endometrial cancer.

Prospective analysis of vitamin D and endometrial cancer risk.

BACKGROUND: This is the first prospective cohort analysis on the association between vitamin D and endometrial cancer incorporating time-varying predicted plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D]. METHODS: The prospective cohort analysis of predicted 25(OH)D and total dietary vitamin D intake used the Cox proportional hazards model, and involved 644 incident endometrial cancer events from 1986 to 2006 in the Nurses' Health Study. Genotyping and unconditional logistic regression were carried out on 572 endometrial cancer cases and their matched controls on 12 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in vitamin D-related genes. RESULTS: There was no significant association between predicted 25(OH)D and endometrial cancer incidence, with the hazard ratio for the highest (versus the lowest) quintile of predicted 25(OH)D as 1.00 (95% CI 0.73-1.36) (p-trend = 0.33). There was also no significant association involving total dietary vitamin D. No significant associations between any of the vitamin D-related SNPs and endometrial cancer were observed. CONCLUSION: Both predicted 25(OH)D and total dietary vitamin D intake were not associated with endometrial cancer incidence. These results suggest that vitamin D may not protect against the development of endometrial cancer. However, the low and narrow vitamin D exposure range in the cohort may limit generalizability of the results.

Validation of Rosner-Colditz breast cancer incidence model using an independent data set, the California Teachers Study.

To validate an established breast cancer incidence model in an independent prospective data set. After aligning time periods for follow-up, we restricted populations to comparable age ranges (47-74 years), and followed them for incident invasive breast cancer (follow-up 1994-2008, Nurses' Health Study [NHS]; and 1995-2009, California Teachers Study [CTS]). We identified 2026 cases during 540,617 person years of follow-up in NHS, and 1,400 cases during 288,111 person years in CTS. We fit the Rosner-Colditz log-incidence model and the Gail model using baseline data. We imputed future use of hormones based on type and prior duration of use and other covariates. We assessed performance using area under the curve (AUC) and calibration methods. Participants in the CTS had fewer children, were leaner, consumed more alcohol, and were more frequent users of postmenopausal hormones. Incidence rate ratios for breast cancer showed significantly higher breast cancer in the CTS (IRR = 1.32, 95 % CI 1.24-1.42). Parameters for the log-incidence model were comparable across the two cohorts. Overall, the NHS model performed equally well when applied in the CTS. In the NHS the AUC was 0.60 (s.e. 0.006) and applying the NHS betas to the CTS the performance in the independent data set (validation) was 0.586 (s.e. 0.009). The Gail model gave values of 0.547 (s.e. 0.008), a significant 4 % lower, p < 0.0001. For women 47-69 the AUC values for the log-incidence model are 0.608 in NHS and 0.609 in CTS; and for Gail are 0.569 and 0.572. In both cohorts, performance of both models dropped off in older women 70-87, and later in follow-up (6-12 years). Calibration showed good estimation against SEER with a non-significant 4 % underestimate of overall breast cancer incidence when applying the model in the CTS population (p = 0.098). The Rosner-Colditz model performs consistently well when applied in an independent data set. Performance is stronger predicting incidence among women 47-69 and over a 5-year time interval. AUC values exceed those for Gail by 3-5 % based on AUC when both are applied to the independent validation data set. Models may be further improved with addition of breast density or other markers of risk beyond the current model.

Simultaneous increase of Cryptosporidium infections in the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and Germany in late summer season, 2012.

Starting August 2012, an increase in Cryptosporidium infections was reported in the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and Germany. It represented a 1.8 to 4.9-fold increase compared to previous years. Most samples were C. hominis IbA10G2. A case­control study was performed in the Netherlands but did not identify an endemic source. A case­case study in the north of England found travel abroad to be the most common risk factor.

[Individual neonatal end-of-life care and family-centred bereavement support]. / Familienzentrierte Sterbe- und individuelle Trauerbegleitung an einem Perinatalzentrum.

Neonatal end-of-life care and family-centred bereavement support in perinatal medicine are a multiprofessional challenge directed to the dying newborn and the parents as well as to the care-givers. Clinical experience shows that many aspects of individual neonatal end-of-life care and family-centred bereavement support are not well known to the health-care providers. This is especially true for a standardised quality management and the components of bereavement support offered to parents. An interdisciplinary concept for an individual neonatal end-of-life care and famlily-centred bereavement support has been developed at the Center of Perinatal Medicine at the Charité, Berlin. The concept aims for two main aspects: (1) meeting the individual medical, psychological, emotional and spiritual needs of the dying newborn, the parents and family, and (2) facilitating standardised and process-orientated preparation, evaluation and reflexion of every case of end-of-life care. In this article some recommendations for implementing a basic care concept for families and their dying newborns are presented.

Risk factors for sporadic Yersinia enterocolitica infections, Germany 2009-2010.

Yersinia enterocolitica is an important cause of acute gastrointestinal disease and post-infectious complications. In Germany, incidence of reported yersiniosis is relatively high compared with other countries of the European Union. Children aged <5 years are most frequently affected. The aim of our study was to identify risk factors for sporadic yersiniosis in Germany. A population-based case-control study was conducted in five federal states of Germany from April 2009 to June 2010. Cases exhibiting gastrointestinal symptoms were notified to the local health department with a Yersinia enterocolitica infection culture-confirmed from stool. Controls were selected from population registries and frequency-matched on age group and state of residency. Cases and controls received a questionnaire on possible risk factors by mail. Multivariable logistic regression modelling was used to identify risk factors and to calculate adjusted odds ratios (aORs). Population attributable fractions (PAFs) were estimated for exposures associated with yersiniosis. We analysed data on 571 case patients and 1798 controls. Consumption of raw minced pork, a dish frequently consumed even by young children in Germany, was the main risk factor for disease (aOR 4·7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3·5-6·3, PAF 30%). This association varied by age group and, unexpectedly, was strongest for children aged <2 years (aOR 17·5, 95% CI 6·0-51·2). Other independent risk factors included recent preparation of minced pork in the household (aOR 1·4, 95% CI 1·1-1·9, PAF 21%), playing in a sandbox (aOR 1·7, 95% CI 1·3-2·4, PAF 17%), and contact with birds (aOR 1·7, 95% CI 1·1-2·6, PAF 4%). Prevention efforts should specifically target parents and caregivers of young children and focus on the high infection risk associated with consumption of raw minced pork.

Outbreak of Salmonella Montevideo associated with a dietary food supplement flagged in the Rapid Alert System for Food and Feed (RASFF) in Germany, 2010.

In March 2010 the Rapid Alert System for Food and Feed (RASFF) was used to inform about Salmonella Montevideo in a herbal food supplement, formulated in capsules, distributed under a Dutch label in Germany. Simultaneous to the first RASFF notice, in the last two weeks of March 2010 an unusual number of 15 infections with S. Montevideo was notified within the electronic reporting system for infectious diseases at the Robert Koch Institute. Adult women (median age: 43, range: 1-90 years) were mainly affected. An outbreak was suspected and the food supplement hypothesised to be its vehicle. Cases were notified from six federal states throughout Germany, which required efficient coordination of information and activities. A case-control study (n=55) among adult women showed an association between consumption of the specific food supplement and the disease (odds ratio (OR): 27.5, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.1-infinity, p-value=0.002). Restricting the case-control study to the period when the outbreak peaked (between 29 March and 11 April 2010) resulted in an OR of 43.5 (95% CI: 4.8-infinity, p-value=0.001). Trace-back of the supplement's main ingredient, hemp seed flour, and subsequent microbiological testing by pulsed-field gel electrophoresis supported its likely role in transmission. This outbreak investigation illustrates that information from RASFF may aid in hypothesis generation in outbreak investigations, though likely late in the outbreak.

Structural features of polysaccharides that induce intra-abdominal abscesses.

The capsular polysaccharide complex from Bacteroides fragilis promotes the formation of intra-abdominal abscesses--a pathologic host response to infecting microorganisms. This complex consists of two distinct polysaccharides, each with repeating units that have positively charged amino groups and negatively charged carboxyl or phosphate groups. Analysis of these polysaccharides as well as other charged carbohydrates before and after chemical modification revealed that these oppositely charged groups are required for the induction of intra-abdominal abscesses in a rat model.

Power and sample size estimation for the Wilcoxon rank sum test with application to comparisons of C statistics from alternative prediction models.

The Wilcoxon Mann-Whitney (WMW) U test is commonly used in nonparametric two-group comparisons when the normality of the underlying distribution is questionable. There has been some previous work on estimating power based on this procedure (Lehmann, 1998, Nonparametrics). In this article, we present an approach for estimating type II error, which is applicable to any continuous distribution, and also extend the approach to handle grouped continuous data allowing for ties. We apply these results to obtaining standard errors of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for risk-prediction rules under H(1) and for comparing AUROC between competing risk prediction rules applied to the same data set. These results are based on SAS-callable functions to evaluate the bivariate normal integral and are thus easily implemented with standard software.

Maternal rotating night shift work before pregnancy and offspring stress markers.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies suggest an intergenerational influence of stress such that maternal exposure even before pregnancy could impact offspring health outcomes later in life. In humans, investigations on the impact of maternal stressors on offspring health outcomes, including stress-sensitive biomarkers, have largely been limited to extreme stressors. Prior studies have not addressed more moderate maternal stressors, such as rotating night shift work, on offspring stress markers in young adulthood. METHODS: We investigated the association between maternal rotating night shift work before conception and offspring salivary cortisol and alpha amylase (sAA) patterns in young adulthood among mothers enrolled in the Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII) and their offspring participating in the Growing Up Today Study 2 (GUTS2). Our sample included over 300 mother-child pairs where, between 2011 and 2014, the children provided 5 saliva samples over the course of one day. We used piecewise linear mixed models to compare awakening responses, overall slopes as well as several other diurnal patterns of cortisol and sAA between offspring born to shift working versus non-shift working mothers. RESULTS: Offspring born to shift working mothers had a flattened late decline in cortisol (percent differences in slope (%D): 2.1%; 95%CI: 0.3, 3.8) and their sAA awakening response was steeper (%D -37.4%; 95%CI: -59.0, -4.4), whereas sAA increase before bedtime appeared less pronounced (%D -35.9%; 95%CI: -55.3, -8.3), compared to offspring born to mothers without shift work. For cortisol, we observed a significant difference in the Area Under the Curve (AUC) (%D 1.5%; 95%CI: 0.3, 2.7) with higher AUC for offspring of mothers who worked rotating night shifts. In offspring-sex-stratified analyses we found differences primarily among males. CONCLUSION: Our results provide some - albeit modest - evidence that maternal rotating night shift work-a moderate stressor-influences offspring stress markers. Future studies with larger samples sizes, more detailed exposure assessment (particularly during maternal pregnancy), and multiple offspring biomarker assessments at different developmental stages are needed to further investigate these associations.

Determination of blood pressure percentiles in normal-weight children: some methodological issues.

Blood pressure in children has consistently been related to adult blood pressure, with implications for long-term prevention of cardiovascular disease. The epidemic of obesity in children has resulted in corresponding increases in childhood blood pressure. In this paper, the authors develop norms for childhood blood pressure among normal-weight children (body mass index <85th percentile based on Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidelines) as a function of age, sex, and height, using data from 49,967 children included in the database of the National High Blood Pressure Education Program Working Group on High Blood Pressure in Children and Adolescents (the Pediatric Task Force). The authors considered three types of models for pediatric blood pressure data, including polynomial regression, restricted cubic splines, and quantile regression, with the latter providing the best fit. The sex-specific norms presented here are a nonlinear function of both age and height and are generally slightly lower than previously developed norms based on Pediatric Task Force data including both normal-weight and overweight children.