Impact of correlations between prioritized outcomes on the net benefit and its estimate by generalized pairwise comparisons.

Benefit-risk balance is gaining interest in clinical trials. For the comprehensive assessment of benefits and risks, generalized pairwise comparisons are increasingly used to estimate the net benefit based on multiple prioritized outcomes. Although previous research has demonstrated that the correlations between the outcomes impact the net benefit and its estimate, the direction and magnitude of this impact remain unclear. In this study, we investigated the impact of correlations between two binary or Gaussian variables on the true net benefit values via theoretical and numerical analyses. We also explored the impact of correlations between survival and categorical variables on the net benefit estimates based on four existing methods (Gehan, Péron, Gehan with correction, and Péron with correction) in the presence of right censoring via simulation and application to actual oncology clinical trial data. Our theoretical and numerical analyses revealed that the true net benefit values were impacted by the correlations in various directions depending on the outcome distributions. With binary endpoints, this direction was governed by a simple rule with a threshold of 50% for a favorable outcome. Our simulation showed that the net benefit estimates based on Gehan's or Péron's scoring rule could be substantially biased in the presence of right censoring, and that the direction and magnitude of this bias were associated with the outcome correlations. The recently proposed correction method greatly reduced this bias, even in the presence of strong outcome correlations. The impact of correlations should be carefully considered when interpreting the net benefit and its estimate.

Tumor steatosis and glutamine synthetase expression in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab therapy.

AIM: The anti-programmed death-ligand 1 antibody atezolizumab and vascular endothelial growth factor-neutralizing antibody bevacizumab in combination (Atezo + Bev) have become the first-line therapy in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Distinct types of tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) and their associations with specific molecular subclasses and driver gene mutations have been identified in HCC; however, these insights are mainly based on surgically resected early-stage tumors. The current study aimed to reveal the biology and TIME of advanced HCC and their significance in predicting clinical outcomes of Atezo + Bev therapy. METHODS: Thirty-three patients with advanced HCC who were scheduled for treatment with Atezo + Bev therapy were included in this study. Pretreatment tumor biopsy, pre- and posttreatment diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with nine b values (0-1500 s/mm2 ), and other clinicopathologic factors were analyzed. RESULTS: Compared with resectable HCC, advanced HCC was characterized by higher proliferative activity, a higher frequency of Wnt/ß-catenin-activated HCC, and lower lymphocytic infiltration. Prognostically, two metabolism-related factors, histopathologically determined tumor steatosis and/or glutamine synthetase (GS) expression, and MRI-determined tumor steatosis, were the most significant prognostic indicators for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival after Atezo + Bev therapy. Furthermore, changes in the pre- and posttreatment true diffusion coefficients on MRI, which might reflect changes in TIME after treatment, were significantly associated with better PFS. CONCLUSIONS: The biology and TIME of HCC were strikingly different in advanced HCC compared with those of surgically resected HCC. Two metabolism-related factors, pathologically determined tumor steatosis and/or GS expression, and MRI-determined tumor steatosis, were found to be the most significant prognostic indicators for Atezo + Bev therapy in advanced HCC.

The net benefit for time-to-event outcome in oncology clinical trials with treatment switching.

BACKGROUND: The net benefit is an effect measure for any type of endpoint, including the time-to-event outcome, and can provide intuitive and clinically meaningful interpretation. It is defined as the probability of a randomly selected subject from the experimental arm surviving by at least a clinically relevant time longer than a randomly selected subject from the control arm. In oncology clinical trials, an intercurrent event such as treatment switching is common, which potentially causes informative censoring; nevertheless, conventional methods for the net benefit are not able to deal with it. In this study, we proposed a new estimator using the inverse probability of censoring weighting (IPCW) method and illustrated an oncology clinical trial with treatment switching (the SHIVA study) to apply the proposed method under the estimand framework. METHODS: The net benefit can be estimated using the survival functions of each treatment group. The proposed estimator was based on the survival functions estimated by the inverse probability of the censoring weighting method that can handle covariate-dependent censoring. The simulation study was undertaken to evaluate the operating characteristics of the proposed estimator under several scenarios; we varied the shapes of the survival curves, treatment effect, covariates effect on censoring, proportion of the censoring, threshold of the net benefit, and sample size. We also applied conventional methods (the scoring rules by Péron or Gehan) and the proposed method to the SHIVA study. RESULTS: Our simulation study showed that the proposed estimator provided less biased results under the covariate-dependent censoring than existing estimators. When applying the proposed method to the SHIVA study, we were able to estimate the net benefit by incorporating the information of the covariates with different estimand strategies to address the intercurrent event of the treatment switching. However, the estimates of the proposed method and those of the aforementioned conventional methods were similar under the hypothetical strategy. CONCLUSIONS: We proposed a new estimator of the net benefit that can include covariates to account for the possibly informative censoring. We also provided an illustrative analysis of the proposed method for the oncology clinical trial with treatment switching using the estimand framework. Our proposed new estimator is suitable for handling the intercurrent events that can potentially cause covariate-dependent censoring.

Clinical trial design and analysis for comparing three treatments with intra-individual right- and left-hand data.

BACKGROUND: Chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy can occur in the right and left hand. Studies on prevention treatments for chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy have largely adopted either self-controlled designs or parallel designs to compare two preventive treatments. When three treatment options (two experimental treatments and a control treatment) are available, both designs can be extended. However, no clinical trials have adopted a self-controlled design to compare three prevention treatments for chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy. The incomplete block crossover design for more than two treatments can be extended to compare three treatments in the self-controlled design. In simple extension, some of the participants receive two experimental treatments in both hands; however, it may be difficult to administer different experimental treatments in both hands for practical reasons, such as a concern for the different types of unexpected adverse events. This study proposes a design and analysis method appropriate for the situation where only one experimental treatment is provided to each participant. METHODS: We assume clinical trials to compare each of the two experimental treatments (E1 and E2) with the control treatment (C) and between two experimental treatments only when both experimental treatments are superior to the control treatment. We propose a self-controlled design, which equally randomizes to four arms to adjust for the dominant hand effect: Arm 1: E1 for right hand, C for left hand; Arm 2: C for right hand, E1 for left hand; Arm 3: E2 for right hand, C for left hand; and Arm 4: C for right hand, E2 for left hand. We compare operating characteristics of the proposed design with the three-arm parallel design in which the same treatment is performed in both hands by participants. We also assess three proposed analysis methods for comparisons between experimental treatments in the self-controlled design under several conditions of correlations between right and left hands using simulation studies. RESULTS: The simulation studies showed that the proposed design was more powerful than the three-arm parallel design when correlation was 0.3 or higher. For comparisons between experimental treatments, the methods based on the regression model, including the outcome of hands with C as a covariate, had the highest power under modest to high correlation among the analysis methods in the self-controlled design. CONCLUSION: The proposed design can improve the power for comparing between two experimental treatments and the control treatment. Our design is useful in situations where it is undesirable for participants to receive different experimental treatments in both hands for practical reasons.

Optimal dose escalation methods using deep reinforcement learning in phase I oncology trials.

In phase I trials of a novel anticancer drug, one of the most important objectives is to identify the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). To this end, a number of methods have been proposed and evaluated under various scenarios. However, the percentages of correct selection (PCS) of MTDs using previous methods are insufficient to determine the dose for late-phase trials. The purpose of this study is to construct an action rule for escalating or de-escalating the dose and continuing or stopping the trial to increase the PCS as much as possible. We show that deep reinforcement learning with an appropriately defined state, action, and reward can be used to construct such an action selection rule. The simulation study shows that the proposed method can improve the PCS compared with the 3 + 3 design, CRM, BLRM, BOIN, mTPI, and i3 + 3 methods.

Optimal adaptive allocation using deep reinforcement learning in a dose-response study.

Estimation of the dose-response curve for efficacy and subsequent selection of an appropriate dose in phase II trials are important processes in drug development. Various methods have been investigated to estimate dose-response curves. Generally, these methods are used with equal allocation of subjects for simplicity; nevertheless, they may not fully optimize performance metrics because of nonoptimal allocation. Optimal allocation methods, which include adaptive allocation methods, have been proposed to overcome the limitations of equal allocation. However, they rely on asymptotics, and thus sometimes cannot efficiently optimize the performance metric with the sample size in an actual clinical trial. The purpose of this study is to construct an adaptive allocation rule that directly optimizes a performance metric, such as power, accuracy of model selection, accuracy of the estimated target dose, or mean absolute error over the estimated dose-response curve. We demonstrate that deep reinforcement learning with an appropriately defined state and reward can be used to construct such an adaptive allocation rule. The simulation study shows that the proposed method can successfully improve the performance metric to be optimized when compared with the equal allocation, D-optimal, and TD-optimal methods. In particular, when the mean absolute error was set to the metric to be optimized, it is possible to construct a rule that is superior for many metrics.

Statistical methods and graphical displays of quality of life with survival outcomes in oncology clinical trials for supporting the estimand framework.

BACKGROUND: Although there are discussions regarding standards of the analysis of patient-reported outcomes and quality of life (QOL) in oncology clinical trials, that of QOL with death events is not within their scope. For example, ignoring death can lead to bias in the QOL analysis for patients with moderate or high mortality rates in the palliative care setting. This is discussed in the estimand framework but is controversial. Information loss by summary measures under the estimand framework may make it challenging for clinicians to interpret the QOL analysis results. This study illustrated the use of graphical displays in the framework. They can be helpful for discussions between clinicians and statisticians and decision-making by stakeholders. METHODS: We reviewed the time-to-deterioration analysis, prioritized composite outcome approach, semi-competing risk analysis, survivor analysis, linear mixed model for repeated measures, and principal stratification approach. We summarized attributes of estimands and graphs in the statistical analysis and evaluated them in various hypothetical randomized controlled trials. RESULTS: Graphs for each analysis method provide different information and impressions. In the time-to-deterioration analysis, it was not easy to interpret the difference in the curves as an effect on QOL. The prioritized composite outcome approach provided new insights for QOL considering death by defining better conditions based on the distinction of OS and QOL. The semi-competing risk analysis provided different insights compared with the time-to-deterioration analysis and prioritized composite outcome approach. Due to the missing assumption, graphs by the linear mixed model for repeated measures should be carefully interpreted, even for descriptive purposes. The principal stratification approach provided pure comparison, but the interpretation was difficult because the target population was unknown. CONCLUSIONS: Graphical displays can capture different aspects of treatment effects that should be described in the estimand framework.

Survival analysis of a prospective multicenter observational study on surgical palliation among patients with malignant bowel obstruction caused by peritoneal dissemination of gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Our previous report showed that surgical palliation maintained quality of life (QOL), improved solid food intake, and had an acceptable surgical safety among patients with malignant bowel obstruction (MBO) caused by advanced gastric cancer. This study performed a survival analysis stratified by the patients' QOL to elucidate its impact on survival. METHODS: Patients who underwent resection or bypass of the small intestine/colon or ileostomy/colostomy for bowel obstruction caused by peritoneal dissemination of gastric cancer were included. Validated instruments (EuroQoL-5 Dimensions) were used to assess QOL at baseline and 2 weeks, 1 month, and 3 months following surgical palliation. Postoperative improvement in oral intake was also evaluated using the Gastric Outlet Obstruction Scoring System (GOOSS). Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were performed using baseline characteristics and changes in QOL and GOOSS scores 2 weeks after surgery to determine prognostic factors. RESULTS: We enrolled 60 patients with a median survival time of 6.64 (95% CI 4.76-10.28) months. Patients who received postoperative chemotherapy and had lower baseline C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, higher baseline albumin levels, better baseline EuroQoL-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D) scores, and improved oral intake after palliative surgery exhibited significantly better survival. Multivariate analysis identified postoperative chemotherapy, lower baseline CRP levels, and improved oral intake as independent prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: The current study revealed that baseline QOL and postoperative QOL changes did not affect survival. Moreover, improved oral intake, lower baseline CRP levels, and postoperative chemotherapy were significant prognostic factors in patients who underwent palliative surgery for advanced gastric cancer with MBO.

Comparison of modified CEUS LI-RADS with sonazoid and CT/MRI LI-RADS for diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIM: To compare the diagnostic performance based on the modified CEUS Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS), which includes Kupffer-phase findings as a major imaging feature, with that of CT and MRI (CT/MRI) LI-RADS for liver nodules in patients at high risk of HCC. METHODS: A total of 120 patients with 120 nodules were included in this retrospective study. The median size of the lesions was 20.0 mm (interquartile range, 14.0-30.8 mm). Of these lesions, 90.0% (108 of 120) were confirmed as HCCs, 6.7% (8 of 120) were intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas, 1.7% (2 of 120) were metastases, and 1.7% (2 of 120) were dysplastic nodules. All nodules were diagnosed histopathologically. Each nodule was categorized according to the modified CEUS LI-RADS and CT/MRI LI-RADS version 2018. The diagnostic performance and inter-modality agreement of each criterion was compared. RESULTS: The inter-modality agreement for the modified CEUS LI-RADS and CT/MRI LI-RADS was slight agreement (kappa = 0.139, p = 0.015). The diagnostic accuracies of HCCs for the modified CEUS LR-5 and CT/MRI LR-5 were 70.0% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 61.0%, 78.0%) versus 70.8% (95% CI: 61.8%, 78.8%) (p = 0.876), respectively. The diagnostic accuracies of non-HCC malignancies for the modified CEUS LR-M and CT/MRI LR-M were 84.2% (95% CI: 76.4%, 90.2%) versus 96.7% (95% CI: 91.7%, 99.1%) (p = 0.002), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The diagnostic performance for HCCs on the modified CEUS LR-5 and CT/MRI LR-5 are comparable. In contrast, CT/MRI LR-M has better diagnostic performance for non-HCC malignancy than that of the modified CEUS LR-M.

Mass Screening of Asymptomatic Persons for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Using Saliva.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has rapidly evolved to become a global pandemic, largely owing to the transmission of its causative virus through asymptomatic carriers. Detection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in asymptomatic people is an urgent priority for the prevention and containment of disease outbreaks in communities. However, few data are available in asymptomatic persons regarding the accuracy of polymerase chain reaction testing. In addition, although self-collected saliva samples have significant logistical advantages in mass screening, their utility as an alternative specimen in asymptomatic persons is yet to be determined. METHODS: We conducted a mass screening study to compare the utility of nucleic acid amplification, such as reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction testing, using nasopharyngeal swab (NPS) and saliva samples from each individual in 2 cohorts of asymptomatic persons: the contact-tracing cohort and the airport quarantine cohort. RESULTS: In this mass screening study including 1924 individuals, the sensitivities of nucleic acid amplification testing with NPS and saliva specimens were 86% (90% credible interval, 77%-93%) and 92% (83%-97%), respectively, with specificities >99.9%. The true concordance probability between the NPS and saliva tests was estimated at 0.998 (90% credible interval, .996-.999) given the recent airport prevalence of 0.3%. In individuals testing positive, viral load was highly correlated between NPS and saliva specimens. CONCLUSION: Both NPS and saliva specimens had high sensitivity and specificity. Self-collected saliva specimens are valuable for detecting SARS-CoV-2 in mass screening of asymptomatic persons.

Drain Placement After Uncomplicated Hepatic Resection Increases Severe Postoperative Complication Rate: A Japanese Multi-institutional Randomized Controlled Trial (ND-trial).

OBJECTIVE: To assess the clinical impact of a no-drain policy after hepatic resection. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Previous randomized controlled trials addressing no-drain policy after hepatic resection seem inconclusive because they did not adopt appropriate study design to validate its true clinical impact. METHODS: This unblinded, randomized controlled trial was done at 7 Japanese institutions. Patients undergoing hepatic resection without biliary reconstruction were randomized to either D group or ND group. When the risk of postoperative bile leakage or hemorrhage were considered high, the patients were excluded during the operation. Primary endpoint was the postoperative complication of C-D grade 3 or higher within 90 postoperative days. A noninferiority of ND group to D group was assessed, and if it was confirmed, a superiority was assessed. RESULTS: Between May 2015 and July 2017, a total of 400 patients were finally included in the per-protocol set analysis: 199 patients in D group and 201 patients in ND group. Intraoperatively, 37 patients were excluded from the final enrollment because of high risk of bile leakage or hemorrhage. Postoperative complication rate of C-D grade 3 or higher was 8.0% (16/199) in the D group and 2.5% (5/201) in the ND group. The risk difference was -5.5% (95% confidence interval: -9.9% to -1.2%) and fulfilled the prescribed noninferiority margin of 4%. No postoperative mortality was experienced in both groups. Bile leakage was diagnosed in 8.0% (16/199) of the D group and none in the ND group (P < 0.001). In none of the subgroups classified based on 8 potentially relevant factors, drain placement was favored in terms of C-D grade 3 or higher complication. CONCLUSIONS: Drains should not be placed after uncomplicated hepatic resections.

Multiparametric US for Identifying Patients with High-Risk NASH: A Derivation and Validation Study.

Background Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common in the general population but identifying patients with high-risk nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) who are candidates for pharmacologic therapy remains a challenge. Purpose To develop a score to identify patients with high-risk NASH, defined as NASH with an NAFLD activity score (NAS) of 4 or greater and clinically significant fibrosis (stage 2 [F2] or higher). Materials and Methods This was a cross-sectional secondary analysis of data prospectively collected between April 2017 and March 2019 for a group of patients with NAFLD in Japan (Japan NAFLD, the derivation data set) with contemporaneous two-dimensional shear-wave elastography and biopsy-proven NAFLD (age range, 20-89 years). Three US markers (liver stiffness [LS, measured in kilopascals], attenuation coefficient [AC, measured in decibels per centimeter per megahertz], and dispersion slope [DS, measured in meters per second per kilohertz]) were determined, together with aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels and the AST-to-ALT ratio. The best-fit multivariate logistic regression model for identifying patients with high-risk NASH was determined. Diagnostic performance was assessed by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The findings were validated in an independent data set (Korea NAFLD; age range, 20-78 years). Results The Japan NAFLD data set included 111 patients (mean age, 53 years ± 18 [standard deviation]; 57 men), 84 (76%) with NASH. The Korea NAFLD data set included 102 patients (mean age, 48 years ± 18; 43 men), 55 (36%) with NASH. The most predictive model (LAD NASH score) combined LS, AC, and DS. Performance was satisfactory in both the derivation sample (AUC, 0.86; 95% CI: 0.79, 0.93) and the validation sample (AUC, 0.88; 95% CI: 0.80, 0.95). The LAD NASH score showed a positive predictive value of 86.5% and a negative predictive value of 87.5% for high-risk NASH in the derivation sample. Conclusion A score combining three US markers may be useful for noninvasive identification of patients with high-risk nonalcoholic steatohepatitis for inclusion in clinical trials and pharmacologic therapy. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Lockhart in this issue.

QOL assessment after palliative surgery for malignant bowel obstruction caused by peritoneal dissemination of gastric cancer: a prospective multicenter observational study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with peritoneal dissemination of gastric cancer have poor oral intake caused by malignant bowel obstruction (MBO). Palliative surgery has often been undertaken to improve quality of life (QOL), but few prospective studies on palliative surgery in this patient population have been published. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We prospectively investigated the significance of palliative surgery using patient-reported QOL measures. Patients underwent palliative surgery by small intestine/colon resection or small intestine/colon bypass or ileostomy/colostomy for MBO. The primary endpoint was change in QOL assessed at baseline, 14 days, 1 month, and 3 months following palliative surgery using the Euro QoL Five Dimensions (EQ-5D™) questionnaire and the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire gastric cancer module (QLQ-STO22). Secondary endpoints were postoperative improvement in oral intake and surgical complications. RESULTS: Between April 2013 and March 2018, 63 patients were enrolled from 14 institutions. The mean EQ-5D™ utility index baseline score of 0.6 remained consistent. Gastric-specific symptoms mostly showed statistically significant improvement from baseline. Forty-two patients (67%) were able to eat solid food 2 weeks after palliative surgery and 36 patients (57%) tolerated it for 3 months. The rate of overall morbidity of ≥ grade III according to the Clavien-Dindo classification was 16% (10 patients) and the 30-day postoperative mortality rate was 3.2% (2 patients). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with MBO caused by peritoneal dissemination of gastric cancer, palliative surgery did not improve QOL while improving solid food intake, with an acceptable postoperative morbidity and mortality rate.

Survival analysis of a prospective multicenter observational study on surgical palliation among patients receiving treatment for malignant gastric outlet obstruction caused by incurable advanced gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: We had previously reported that surgical palliation could maintain quality of life (QOL) while improving solid food intake among patients with malignant gastric outlet obstruction (GOO) caused by advanced gastric cancer. The present study aimed to perform a survival analysis according to the patients' QOL to elucidate its impact on survival. METHODS: Patients with GOO who underwent either palliative gastrectomy or gastrojejunostomy were included in this study. A validated QOL instrument (EQ-5D) was used to assess QOL at baseline and 2 weeks, 1 month, and 3 months following surgical palliation. Postoperative improvement in oral intake was also evaluated using the GOO scoring system (GOOSS). Thereafter, univariate and multivariate survival analyses were performed to determine independent prognostic factors. RESULTS: The median survival time of the 104 patients included herein was 11.30 months. Patients who received postoperative chemotherapy, PS 0/1, baseline EQ-5D ≥ 0.75, improved or stable EQ-5D, and improved oral intake expressed as GOOSS = 3 had significantly better survival. Multivariate analysis identified postoperative chemotherapy, a better baseline PS, a better baseline EQ5D, improved or stable EQ5D scores, and improved oral intake 3 months after surgical palliation as independent prognostic factors. CONCLUSION: Apart from preoperative PS and postoperative chemotherapy, the present study identified better baseline QOL, improvement in postoperative QOL, and improvement in oral intake as prognostic factors among patients who underwent palliative surgery for advanced gastric cancer with GOO.

Validation of tissue factor pathway inhibitor 2 as a specific biomarker for preoperative prediction of clear cell carcinoma of the ovary.

BACKGROUND: Tissue factor pathway inhibitor 2 (TFPI2) is a novel serum biomarker that discriminates ovarian clear cell carcinoma (CCC) from borderline ovarian tumors (BOTs) and non-clear cell epithelial ovarian cancers (EOCs). Here, we examined the performance of TFPI2 for preoperative diagnosis of CCC. METHODS: Serum samples were obtained preoperatively from patients with ovarian masses, who needed surgical treatment at five hospitals in Japan. The diagnostic powers of TFPI2 and cancer antigen 125 (CA125) serum levels to discriminate CCC from BOTs, other EOCs, and benign lesions were compared. RESULTS: A total of 351 patients including 69 CCCs were analyzed. Serum TFPI2 levels were significantly higher in CCC patients (mean ± SD, 508.2 ± 812.0 pg/mL) than in patients with benign lesions (154.7 ± 46.5), BOTs (181 ± 95.5) and other EOCs (265.4 ± 289.1). TFPI2 had a high diagnostic specificity for CCC (79.5%). In patients with benign ovarian endometriosis, no patient was positive for TFPI2, but 71.4% (15/21) were CA125 positive. TFPI2 showed good performance in discriminating stage II-IV CCC from BOTs and other EOCs (AUC 0.815 for TFPI2 versus 0.505 for CA125) or endometriosis (AUC 0.957 for TFPI2 versus 0.748 for CA125). The diagnostic sensitivity of TFPI2 to discriminate CCC from BOTs and other EOCs was improved from 43.5 to 71.0% when combined with CA125. CONCLUSIONS: High specificity of TFPI2 for preoperative detection of CCC was verified with the defined cutoff level of TFPI2 in clinical practice. TFPI2 and CA125 may contribute substantially to precise prediction of intractable CCC.

The Role of Multiparametric US of the Liver for the Evaluation of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis.

Background Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is diagnosed with histopathologic testing, but noninvasive surrogate markers are desirable for screening patients who are at high risk of NASH. Purpose To investigate the diagnostic performance of dispersion slope, attenuation coefficient, and shear-wave speed measurements obtained using two-dimensional (2D) shear-wave elastography (SWE) in assessing inflammation, steatosis, and fibrosis and in the noninvasive diagnosis of NASH in patients suspected of having nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Materials and Methods This prospective study collected data from 120 consecutive adults who underwent liver biopsy for suspected NAFLD and were enrolled between April 2017 and March 2019. Three US parameters (dispersion slope [(m/sec)/kHz], attenuation coefficient [dB/cm/MHz], and shear-wave speed [in meters per second]) were measured using a 2D SWE system immediately before biopsy. The biopsy specimens were scored by one expert pathologist according to the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network criteria (119 participants underwent a histologic examination). Diagnostic performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the categories of inflammation, steatosis, and fibrosis. Results One hundred eleven adults (mean age, 53 years ± 18 [standard deviation]; 57 men) underwent a US examination. Dispersion slope enabled the identification of lobular inflammation, with an AUC of 0.95 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.91, 0.10) for an inflammation grade greater than or equal to A1 (mild), 0.81 (95% CI: 0.72, 0.89) for an inflammation grade greater than or equal to A2 (moderate), and 0.85 (95% CI: 0.74, 0.97) for an inflammation grade equal to A3 (marked). Attenuation coefficient enabled the identification of steatosis, with an AUC of 0.88 (95% CI: 0.80, 0.97) for steatosis grade greater than or equal to S1 (mild), 0.86 (95% CI: 0.79, 0.93) for steatosis grade greater than or equal to S2 (moderate), and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.68, 0.89) for steatosis grade equal to S3 (severe). Shear-wave speed enabled the identification of fibrosis, with an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI: 0.69, 0.88) for fibrosis stage greater than or equal to F1 (portal fibrosis), 0.88 (95% CI: 0.82, 0.94) for fibrosis stage greater than or equal to F2 (periportal fibrosis), 0.90 (95% CI: 0.84, 0.96) for fibrosis stage greater than or equal to F3 (septal fibrosis), and 0.95 (95% CI: 0.91, 0.99) for fibrosis stage equal to F4 (cirrhosis). The combination of dispersion slope, attenuation coefficient, and shear-wave speed showed an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.71, 0.91) for the diagnosis of NASH. Conclusion Dispersion slope, attenuation coefficient, and shear-wave speed were found to be useful for assessing lobular inflammation, steatosis, and fibrosis, respectively, in participants with biopsy-proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. © RSNA, 2020 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Grading Severity and Bother Using the International Prostate Symptom Score and International Consultation on Incontinence Questionnaire Male Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms Score in Men Seeking Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms Therapy.

PURPOSE: We established severity banding ranges, bother assessment and key item content in principal patient reported outcomes measures in men seeking therapy for lower urinary tract symptoms. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data for International Prostate Symptom Score (I-PSS) and International Consultation on Incontinence Questionnaire Male Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms (ICIQ-MLUTS) were derived from a study evaluating 820 men at 26 United Kingdom hospitals. ROC curves were used to establish severity bandings. RESULTS: Classification tree showed that thresholds between mild-moderate and moderate-severe severity bands were 15 and 27 for I-PSS, 16 and 26 for ICIQ-MLUTS/severity, and 22 and 81 for ICIQ-MLUTS/bother, respectively. Highest area under the ROC curve and lowest Akaike's information criteria of univariate logistic regression indicated that ICIQ-MLUTS/bother was more related to global quality of life than were I-PSS and ICIQ-MLUTS/severity. The symptoms affecting I-PSS-quality of life (QoL) were only fully identified by ICIQ-MLUTS, because 2 key symptoms (urinary incontinence and post-micturition dribble) are not measured by I-PSS. ICIQ-MLUTS demonstrated that bother of some lower urinary tract symptoms is disproportionate to severity, and that persisting high bother levels following surgery are more likely due to storage (18% to 25%) and post-voiding (18% to 28%) lower urinary tract symptoms than voiding lower urinary tract symptoms (5% to 13%). Symptom improvement after surgery was uncertain if baseline I-PSS-QoL score was less than 3. CONCLUSIONS: The severity threshold scores were measured for the 2 key lower urinary tract symptoms patient reported outcomes measures, and the results indicate suitable categories of symptom severity for use in men referred for urological care. The ICIQ-MLUTS measures all the lower urinary tract symptoms affecting quality of life and includes individual symptom bother scores.

Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum (JSCCR) guidelines 2019 for the treatment of colorectal cancer.

The number of deaths from colorectal cancer in Japan continues to increase. Colorectal cancer deaths exceeded 50,000 in 2016. In the 2019 edition, revision of all aspects of treatments was performed, with corrections and additions made based on knowledge acquired since the 2016 version (drug therapy) and the 2014 version (other treatments). The Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum guidelines 2019 for the treatment of colorectal cancer (JSCCR guidelines 2019) have been prepared to show standard treatment strategies for colorectal cancer, to eliminate disparities among institutions in terms of treatment, to eliminate unnecessary treatment and insufficient treatment and to deepen mutual understanding between healthcare professionals and patients by making these guidelines available to the general public. These guidelines have been prepared by consensuses reached by the JSCCR Guideline Committee, based on a careful review of the evidence retrieved by literature searches and in view of the medical health insurance system and actual clinical practice settings in Japan. Therefore, these guidelines can be used as a tool for treating colorectal cancer in actual clinical practice settings. More specifically, they can be used as a guide to obtaining informed consent from patients and choosing the method of treatment for each patient. Controversial issues were selected as clinical questions, and recommendations were made. Each recommendation is accompanied by a classification of the evidence and a classification of recommendation categories based on the consensus reached by the Guideline Committee members. Here, we present the English version of the JSCCR guidelines 2019.

Validation of the 21-gene test as a predictor of clinical response to neoadjuvant hormonal therapy for ER+, HER2-negative breast cancer: the TransNEOS study.

PURPOSE: The Recurrence Score test is validated to predict benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy. TransNEOS, a translational study of New Primary Endocrine-therapy Origination Study (NEOS), evaluated whether Recurrence Score results can predict clinical response to neoadjuvant letrozole. METHODS: NEOS is a phase 3 clinical trial of hormonal therapy ± adjuvant chemotherapy for postmenopausal patients with ER+, HER2-negative, clinically node-negative breast cancer, after six months of neoadjuvant letrozole and breast surgery. TransNEOS patients had tumors ≥ 2 cm and archived core-biopsy samples taken before neoadjuvant letrozole and subsequently sent for Recurrence Score testing. The primary endpoint was to evaluate clinical (complete or partial) response to neoadjuvant letrozole for RS < 18 versus RS ≥ 31. Secondary endpoints included evaluation of clinical response and rate of breast-conserving surgery (BCS) by continuous Recurrence Score result, ESR1 and PGR single-gene scores, and ER gene-group score. RESULTS: Of 295 TransNEOS patients (median age 63 years; median tumor size 25 mm; 66% grade 1), 53.2% had RS < 18, 28.5% had RS18-30, and 18.3% had RS ≥ 31. Clinical response rates were 54% (RS < 18), 42% (RS18-30), and 22% (RS ≥ 31). A higher proportion of patients with RS < 18 had clinical responses (p < 0.001 vs. RS ≥ 31). In multivariable analyses, continuous Recurrence Score result (p < 0.001), ESR1 score (p = 0.049), PGR score (p < 0.001), and ER gene-group score (p < 0.001) were associated with clinical response. Recurrence Score group was significantly associated with rate of BCS after neoadjuvant treatment (RS < 18 vs. RS ≥ 31, p = 0.010). CONCLUSION: The Recurrence Score test is validated to predict clinical response to neoadjuvant letrozole in postmenopausal patients with ER+, HER2-negative, clinically node-negative breast cancer.

Atypical femoral fracture in patients with bone metastasis receiving denosumab therapy: a retrospective study and systematic review.

BACKGROUND: While denosumab has been shown to prevent skeletal-related events in patients with bone metastasis, there is a concern that it may cause atypical femoral fracture (AFF). While AFF has been reported in patients with osteoporosis receiving denosumab, data are scarce in the context of AFF occurring in patients with bone metastasis receiving monthly denosumab therapy. METHODS: To analyze the incidence of AFF in patients with bone metastasis, we reviewed the medical records of patients who had received monthly denosumab (120 mg) treatment from May 2012 to June 2017 at any of the three participant institutions. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 277 patients who had received a median of 10 doses (range, 1-79) of denosumab. Five patients were diagnosed as having AFF or symptomatic atypical femoral stress reaction (AFSR) needing surgical intervention, representing an incidence rate of 1.8% (95% confidence interval, 0.77-4.2). These patients had received 15, 45, 45, 46 or 47 doses of denosumab, respectively. Four of the patients had received prior zoledronic acid treatment. The results of our analysis suggested that long-term use of denosumab, especially for more than 3.5 years, and prior use of zoledronic acid were risk factors for the development of AFF. CONCLUSIONS: We found the AFF events in 5 patients (1.8%) among 277 cancer patients who had received monthly denosumab (120 mg) treatment. Long-term denosumab treatment and prior zoledronic acid treatment were identified as risk factors for the development of AFF.