RESUMO
A two-patch logistic metapopulation model is investigated both analytically and numerically focusing on the impact of dispersal on population dynamics. First, the dependence of the global dynamics on the stability type of the full extinction equilibrium point is tackled. Then, the behaviour of the total population with respect to the dispersal is studied analytically. Our findings demonstrate that diffusion plays a crucial role in the preservation of both subpopulations and the full metapopulation under the presence of stochastic perturbations. At low diffusion, the origin is a repulsor, causing the orbits to flow nearly parallel to the axes, risking stochastic extinctions. Higher diffusion turns the repeller into a saddle point. Orbits then quickly converge to the saddle's unstable manifold, reducing extinction chances. This change in the vector field enhances metapopulation robustness. On the other hand, the well-known fact that asymmetric conditions on the patches is beneficial for the total population is further investigated. This phenomenon has been studied in previous works for large enough or small enough values of the dispersal. In this work, we complete the theory for all values of the dispersal. In particular, we derive analytically a formula for the optimal value of the dispersal that maximizes the total population.
Assuntos
Ecossistema , Modelos Biológicos , Dinâmica Populacional , ProbabilidadeRESUMO
In the quantitative description of viral dynamics within cell cultures and, more broadly, in modeling within-host viral infections, a question that commonly arises is whether the degradation of a fraction of the virus could be disregarded in comparison with the massive synthesis of new viral particles. Surprisingly, quantitative data on the synthesis and degradation rates of RNA viruses in cell cultures are scarce. In this study, we investigated the decay of the human betacoronavirus OC43 (HCoV-OC43) infectivity in cell culture lysates and in fresh media. Our findings revealed a significantly slower viral decay rate in the medium containing lysate cells compared to the fresh medium. This observation suggests that the presence of cellular debris from lysed cells may offer protection or stabilize virions, slowing down their degradation. Moreover, the growth rate of HCoV-OC43 infectivity is significantly higher than degradation as long as there are productive cells in the medium, suggesting that, as a first approximation, degradation can be neglected during early infection.