Targeting efficacy of spironolactone in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: the TOPCAT study.

AIMS: We aimed to explore the heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) for spironolactone treatment in patients with Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and examine the efficacy and safety of spironolactone medication, ensuring a better individualized therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used the causal forest algorithm to discover the heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) from patients in the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) trial. Cox regressions were performed to assess the hazard ratios (HRs) of spironolactone medication for cardiovascular death and drug discontinuation in each group. The causal forest model revealed three representative covariates and participants were partitioned into four subgroups which were Group 1 (baseline BMI ≤ 31.71 kg/m2 and baseline ALP ≤ 80 U/L, n = 759); Group 2 (BMI ≤ 31.71 kg/m2 and ALP > 80 U/L, n = 1088); Group 3 (BMI > 31.71 kg/m2 , and WBC ≤ 6.6 cells/µL, n = 633); Group 4 (BMI > 31.71 kg/m2 and WBC > 6.6 cells/µL, n = 832), respectively. In the four subgroups, spironolactone therapy reduced the risk of cardiovascular death in high-risk group (Group 4) with both high BMI and WBC count (HR: 0.76; 95% CI 0.58 to 0.99; P = 0.045) but increased the risk in low-risk group (Group 1) with both low BMI and ALP (HR: 1.45; 95% CI 1.02 to 2.07; P = 0.041; P for interaction = 0.020) but showed similar risk of drug discontinuation (P for interaction = 0.498). CONCLUSION: Our study manifested the HTEs of spironolactone in patients with HFpEF. Spironolactone treatment in HFpEF patients is feasible and effective in patients with high BMI and WBC while harmful in patients with low BMI and ALP. Machine learning model could be meaningful for improved categorization of patients with HFpEF, ensuring a better individualized therapy in the clinical setting.

Association between serum cystatin C level and hemodynamically significant aortic stenosis: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Cystatin C (CysC) is a cysteine protease inhibitor involved in proteins catabolism and plays an essential role in human vascular pathophysiology. CysC may also increase the risk of aortic stenosis (AS), but limited studies have reported on this association. This study aimed to investigate if elevated serum CysC levels are associated with hemodynamically significant AS. METHODS: Serum CysC levels were estimated in 4,791 participants, samples were collected in 1990-1992. The study population was divided into quintile groups. Follow-up continued in 2011-2013 when participants returned for echocardiography examination. Incidence of aortic valve disease (AVD) was ascertained by Doppler echocardiography through the end of 2013. AVD defined in hemodynamic progression was assessed and classified as aortic sclerosis, mild stenosis, and moderate-to-severe stenosis. RESULTS: Overall, a total of 4,791 participants (mean age: 54.8 ± 5.0 years, females: 57.6%, blacks: 8.2%) were included in this study. During a follow-up of 21 years, we identified 736 cases (15.4%) of aortic sclerosis, 194 cases (4.0%) of mild stenosis, and 42 cases (0.7%) of moderate-to-severe stenosis. Compared with serum CysC levels within individual quintile groups, the odds ratio (OR) was per standard deviation associated with an increased incidence of AVD (OR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.05-1.26,P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: In this large population-based study, an increased serum CysC levels is independently associated with the incidence of hemodynamically significant AS. However, this association appears not to extend to patients with extremely high serum CysC levels and necessitate further investigation.