Prevalence of Gastric Precursor Lesions in Countries With Differential Gastric Cancer Burden: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The prevalence of precursor lesions for gastric cancer (GC) and the differential burden between countries of varying GC risk is not well-understood. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the global prevalence of precursor lesions. METHODS: We estimated the prevalence of atrophic gastritis (AG), gastric intestinal metaplasia (IM), and dysplasia in regions with low, medium, and high GC incidence. Because IM is an advanced manifestation of AG, we assessed the prevalence of less advanced precursors, regardless of the presence of more advanced lesions. Prevalence was sub-stratified by Helicobacter pylori infection, symptomatology, and period (<2000, 2000-2010, and >2010). RESULTS: Among the 582 articles that underwent full-text review, 166 studies met inclusion criteria. The global prevalence estimates of AG, IM, and dysplasia were 25.4%, 16.2%, and 2.0%, respectively, on the basis of 126 studies that reported the prevalence of less advanced precursors, regardless of the presence of more advanced lesions. The prevalence of all precursor lesions was higher in high and medium compared with low GC incidence countries (P < .01). Prevalence of AG and IM was significantly higher among H pylori-infected individuals (P < .01) but not statistically different between symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals (P > .17). All precursors demonstrated a secular decrease in prevalence over time. CONCLUSIONS: Gastric precursor lesions have differences in prevalence in regions with differential GC incidence and are associated with H pylori infection. Because of the substantial prevalence of precursor lesions in both symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals, symptomatic evaluation may not be sufficient to identify individuals at risk. These estimates provide important insights for tailoring GC prevention strategies.

Global Progression Rates of Precursor Lesions for Gastric Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Whether gastric cancer (GC) precursor lesions progress to invasive cancer at similar rates globally remains unknown. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the progression of precursor lesions to GC in countries with low versus medium/high incidence. METHODS: We searched relevant databases for studies reporting the progression of endoscopically confirmed precursor lesions to GC. Studies were stratified by low (<6 per 100,000) or medium/high (≥6 per 100,000) GC incidence countries. Random-effects models were used to estimate the progression rates of atrophic gastritis (AG), intestinal metaplasia (IM), and dysplasia to GC per 1000 person-years. RESULTS: Among the 5829 studies identified, 44 met our inclusion criteria. The global pooled estimates of the progression rate per 1000 person-years were 2.09 (95% confidence interval, 1.46-2.99), 2.89 (2.03-4.11), and 10.09 (5.23-19.49) for AG, IM, and dysplasia, respectively. The estimated progression rates per 1000 person-years for low versus medium/high GC incidence countries, respectively, were 0.97 (0.86-1.10) versus 2.47 (1.70-2.99) for AG (P < .01), 2.37 (1.43-3.92) versus 3.47 (2.13-5.65) for IM (P = .29), and 5.51 (2.92-10.39) versus 14.80 (5.87-37.28) for dysplasia (P = .08). There were no differences for progression of AG between groups when high-quality studies were compared. CONCLUSIONS: Similar progression rates of IM and dysplasia were observed among low and medium/high GC incidence countries. This suggests that the potential benefits of surveillance for these lesions in low-risk regions may be comparable with those of population-wide interventions in high-risk regions. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings and inform global screening and surveillance guidelines.

Impact of race/ethnicity and socioeconomic status on incident and prevalent esophageal cancer in patients with Barrett's esophagus.

The impact of race/ethnicity (RE) or socioeconomic status (SES) on progression from Barrett's esophagus (BE) to esophageal cancer (EC) is not well established. We aimed to evaluate the association between demographic factors and SES on EC diagnosis in an ethnically diverse BE cohort. Patients aged 18-63 with incident BE diagnosed in October 2015-March 2020 were identified in the Optum Clinformatics DataMart Database. Patients were followed until the diagnosis of prevalent EC <1 year or incident EC ≥1 year from BE diagnosis, or until the end of their continuous enrollment period. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to determine associations between demographics, SES factors, BE risk factors, and EC. Demographics of the 12,693 patients included mean age of BE diagnosis 53.0 (SD 8.5) years, 56.4% male, 78.3% White/10.0% Hispanic/6.4% Black/3.0% Asian. The median follow-up was 26.8 (IQR 19.0-42.0) months. In total, 75 patients (0.59%) were diagnosed with EC (46 [0.36%] prevalent EC; 29 [0.23%] incident EC), and 74 patients (0.58%) developed high-grade dysplasia (HGD) (46 [0.36%] prevalent HGD; 28 [0.22%] incident HGD). Adjusted HR (95% CI) for prevalent EC comparing household net worth ≥$150,000 vs. <$150,000 was 0.57 (0.33-0.98). Adjusted HRs (95% CI) for prevalent and incident EC comparing non-White vs. White patients were 0.93 (0.47-1.85) and 0.97 (0.21-3.47), respectively. In summary, a lower SES, captured by the household net worth, was associated with prevalent EC. There was no significant difference in prevalent or incident EC among White vs. non-White patients. EC progression in BE may be similar among racial/ethnic groups, but SES disparities may impact BE outcomes.

Type II Achalasia Is Increasing in Prevalence.

BACKGROUND: Three manometric subtypes of achalasia were defined in the Chicago Classification approximately 10 years ago: type I (aperistalsis), type II (pan-pressurization), and type III (spastic). Since the widespread use of this classification scheme, the evolving prevalence of these subtypes has not been elucidated. We aim to determine the prevalence of each subtype a decade after the adoption of the Chicago Classification. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort analysis of patients diagnosed with achalasia on high-resolution manometry (HRM) at two major academic medical centers between 2015 and 2018. Patients were excluded if they had a diagnosis of another esophageal motility disorder, previously treated achalasia, or foregut surgery. Demographic data, manometric subtype, and esophageal dilatation grade on endoscopy were obtained. Prevalence of achalasia subtypes was compared with a published historical control population (2004-2007). Fischer's exact and t tests were used for analysis. RESULTS: Of 147 patients in the contemporary cohort and 99 in the historical control cohort, the prevalence of type I achalasia was 8% versus 21%, type II 63% versus 50%, and type III 29% versus 29%, respectively (p = 0.01). The mean age in our population was 58 years compared to 57 years in the historical control, and the proportion of men 48% versus 47%, respectively (p = 0.78). Mean endoscopic dilatation grade in the contemporary cohort was 1.5 for type I patients, 0.9 for type II, and 0.4 for type III, compared with 1.5, 0.6, and 0.4, respectively. Overall mean dilatation grade was 0.8 in our cohort versus 0.7 in the historical control (p = 0.58). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of type II achalasia was significantly greater and prevalence of type I significantly less in our patient population compared to our predefined historical control. Other characteristics such as age and sex did not appear to contribute to these differences. Histopathological evidence has suggested that type II achalasia may be an earlier form of type I; thus, the increased prevalence of type II achalasia may be related to earlier detection of the disease. The adoption of HRM, widespread use of the Chicago Classification, and increased disease awareness in the past decade may be contributing to these changes in epidemiology.

Patient and Physician Factors Associated with Adenoma and Sessile Serrated Lesion Detection Rates.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Sessile serrated lesions (SSLs) have been increasingly recognized as precursors to colorectal cancer. Unlike adenoma detection rate (ADR), there is currently no agreed-upon benchmark for SSL detection rate (SSLDR), and data on factors that impact SSL detection are limited. We aimed to identify patient, endoscopist, and procedural factors associated with SSL and adenoma detection. METHODS: We used a single-center electronic endoscopy database to identify all patients ages ≥ 50 years who underwent outpatient screening colonoscopy from January 1, 2012, to June 30, 2018. Univariable Chi-square analysis was used to determine patient, endoscopist, and procedure-related factors associated with SSL or adenoma detection. We used logistic regression with generalized estimating equations, accounting for clustering by individual endoscopist, to determine factors independently associated with ADR and SSLDR. RESULTS: We identified 10,538 unique patients who underwent colonoscopy performed by 28 endoscopists. Overall SSLDR was 2.2%, and overall ADR was 29.1%. On multivariable analysis, patient age, sex, BMI, smoking, endoscopist withdrawal time, and year of colonoscopy were independent predictors of ADR. Smoking and year of colonoscopy were independent predictors of SSLDR. Sub-optimal bowel preparation was inversely associated with SSL detection but not ADR. CONCLUSIONS: In this large study of patients undergoing average-risk screening colonoscopy, overall SSLDR was low, indicating that methods for increasing SSLDR are needed. Our findings suggest that endoscopists may take into account risk factors for SSLs, such as smoking history, and recognize that the detection of such lesions, even more so than for adenomas, is dependent on optimal bowel preparation.

Understanding the Principles of Electrosurgery for Endoscopic Surgery and Third Space Endoscopy.

Electrosurgery is the application of high-frequency electrical alternating current to biologic tissue to cut, coagulate, desiccate, and/or fulgurate. Electrosurgery is commonly used in gastrointestinal endoscopy, with applications including biliary sphincterotomy, polypectomy, hemostasis, the ablation of lesions, and endoscopic surgery. Understanding electrosurgical principles is important in endoscopic surgery to achieve the desired therapeutic effect, optimize procedural outcomes, and minimize risks or adverse events. This article describes fundamental principles that apply to electrosurgical units, operator technique, and practical considerations for achieving desired tissue effects in endoscopic surgery; and provides practical guidance and safety considerations when using electrosurgical units in endoscopic surgery.

Multicenter evaluation of recurrence in endoscopic submucosal dissection and endoscopic mucosal resection in the colon: A Western perspective.

BACKGROUND: While colon endoscopic mucosal resection (EMR) is an effective technique, removal of larger polyps often requires piecemeal resection, which can increase recurrence rates. Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) in the colon offers the ability for en bloc resection and is well-described in Asia, but there are limited studies comparing ESD vs EMR in the West. AIM: To evaluate different techniques in endoscopic resection of large polyps in the colon and to identify factors for recurrence. METHODS: The study is a retrospective comparison of ESD, EMR and knife-assisted endoscopic resection performed at Stanford University Medical Center and Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System between 2016 and 2020. Knife-assisted endoscopic resection was defined as use of electrosurgical knife to facilitate snare resection, such as for circumferential incision. Patients ≥ 18 years of age undergoing colonoscopy with removal of polyp(s) ≥ 20 mm were included. The primary outcome was recurrence on follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 376 patients and 428 polyps were included. Mean polyp size was greatest in the ESD group (35.8 mm), followed by knife-assisted endoscopic resection (33.3 mm) and EMR (30.5 mm) (P < 0.001). ESD achieved highest en bloc resection (90.4%) followed by knife-assisted endoscopic resection (31.1%) and EMR (20.2%) (P < 0.001). A total of 287 polyps had follow-up (67.1%). On follow-up analysis, recurrence rate was lowest in knife-assisted endoscopic resection (0.0%) and ESD (1.3%) and highest in EMR (12.9%) (P = 0.0017). En bloc polyp resection had significantly lower rate of recurrence (1.9%) compared to non-en bloc (12.0%, P = 0.003). On multivariate analysis, ESD (in comparison to EMR) adjusted for polyp size was found to significantly reduce risk of recurrence [adjusted hazard ratio 0.06 (95%CI: 0.01-0.57, P = 0.014)]. CONCLUSION: In our study, EMR had significantly higher recurrence compared to ESD and knife-assisted endoscopic resection. We found factors including resection by ESD, en bloc removal, and use of circumferential incision were associated with significantly decreased recurrence. While further studies are needed, we have demonstrated the efficacy of ESD in a Western population.

Development and Validation of a Machine Learning System to Identify Reflux Events in Esophageal 24-Hour pH/Impedance Studies.

INTRODUCTION: Esophageal 24-hour pH/impedance testing is routinely performed to diagnose gastroesophageal reflux disease. Interpretation of these studies is time-intensive for expert physicians and has high inter-reader variability. There are no commercially available machine learning tools to assist with automated identification of reflux events in these studies. METHODS: A machine learning system to identify reflux events in 24-hour pH/impedance studies was developed, which included an initial signal processing step and a machine learning model. Gold-standard reflux events were defined by a group of expert physicians. Performance metrics were computed to compare the machine learning system, current automated detection software (Reflux Reader v6.1), and an expert physician reader. RESULTS: The study cohort included 45 patients (20/5/20 patients in the training/validation/test sets, respectively). The mean age was 51 (standard deviation 14.5) years, 47% of patients were male, and 78% of studies were performed off proton-pump inhibitor. Comparing the machine learning system vs current automated software vs expert physician reader, area under the curve was 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.85-0.89) vs 0.40 (95% CI 0.37-0.42) vs 0.83 (95% CI 0.81-0.86), respectively; sensitivity was 68.7% vs 61.1% vs 79.4%, respectively; and specificity was 80.8% vs 18.6% vs 87.3%, respectively. DISCUSSION: We trained and validated a novel machine learning system to successfully identify reflux events in 24-hour pH/impedance studies. Our model performance was superior to that of existing software and comparable to that of a human reader. Machine learning tools could significantly improve automated interpretation of pH/impedance studies.

Catching Up with the World: Pepsinogen Screening for Gastric Cancer in the United States.

Gastric cancer remains a deadly cancer with poor outcomes in the United States. There is a need for screening strategies for gastric cancer in the U.S. population. With progressive Helicobacter pylori-mediated inflammation of the gastric mucosa, pepsinogen I levels decrease and the pepsinogen I/II ratio decreases. Pepsinogen test positivity (PG+) has been evaluated as a promising screening test among Asian and European populations; however, its utility in multiethnic U.S. populations is poorly described. In this case-control study nested within the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial, In and colleagues evaluate the discrimination of PG+ in serum collected from individuals prior to the development of gastric cancer. The authors find that PG+ individuals were at nearly 10-fold increased risk for developing gastric cancer, and this effect remained robust after adjusting for Helicobacter pylori status, family history, education, smoking, and obesity. In subgroup analysis, the predictive ability of the test was particularly robust for noncardia gastric cancers, and nonpredictive of cardia gastric cancers. Serum pepsinogen testing holds promise as a noninvasive screening strategy to triage individuals at heightened risk for gastric cancer, and may help to improve early diagnosis in the United States. See related article by In et al., p. 1426.

Low Subcutaneous Adiposity and Mortality in Esophageal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Recent data suggest that subcutaneous adiposity represents an independent prognostic marker in cancer. We aimed to determine whether subcutaneous adiposity estimated by the subcutaneous adiposity tissue index (SATI) was associated with mortality in esophageal cancer. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of a prospectively enrolled cohort from 2009 to 2015 with esophageal cancer at two major cancer centers. CT scans for initial staging were used to quantify adiposity and skeletal muscle areas. Subjects were categorized as above or below median SATI using sex-specific values. Sarcopenia was defined using previously established skeletal muscle area cutoffs. Cox proportional hazards modeling was performed to determine associations between SATI and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Of the original 167 patients, 78 met inclusion criteria and had CT images available. Mean age was 67 years, 81.8% had adenocarcinoma, and 58.9% had stage 3 or 4 disease. Median follow-up time was 29.5 months. Overall 5-year survival was 38.9% [95% confidence interval (CI), 26.8-50.7]. Lower body mass index, higher Charlson comorbidity score, and more advanced stage were independently associated with low SATI. Patients with low SATI had increased mortality (unadjusted HR 2.23; 95% CI, 1.20-4.12), even when adjusted for sarcopenia or for percent weight loss. In a multivariable model including age, histology, stage, and receipt of curative surgery, the association between low SATI and mortality was attenuated (adjusted HR 1.64; 95% CI, 0.81-3.34). CONCLUSIONS: Low subcutaneous adiposity as estimated by SATI may be associated with increased mortality in esophageal cancer. IMPACT: Interventions to reduce loss of subcutaneous fat may improve survival in esophageal cancer.

Squamous cell carcinoma of unknown primary of the head and neck: Favorable prognostic factors comparable to those in oropharyngeal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Treatment for squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of unknown primary consists of radiotherapy (RT) +/- chemotherapy or neck dissection +/- adjuvant RT/chemoradiotherapy (CRT). We compared these strategies and identified prognostic factors. METHODS: From 1993 to 2015, 75 patients with SCC of unknown primary had RT-based or surgery-based treatment. Primary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Event-time distributions were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: Five-year OS and DFS for RT-based and surgery-based treatments were similar (OS 73% vs 68%, respectively; DFS 65% vs 64%, respectively). Among 38 patients with p16 data, 76% were p16 positive and showed improved 5-year DFS (90% vs 33%; P = .001) and OS (96% vs 33%; P < .001). Smoking history ≤10 pack-years conferred better 5-year DFS (88% vs 49%; P < .001) and OS (91% vs 59%; P < .001). CONCLUSION: RT-based and surgery-based treatments produced similar outcomes. Patients with p16-positive disease with ≤10 pack-years of smoking history and limited nodal stage constitute a "low-risk" group in SCC of unknown primary similar to that in oropharyngeal cancer.

Pathogen colonization of the gastrointestinal microbiome at intensive care unit admission and risk for subsequent death or infection.

PURPOSE: Loss of colonization resistance within the gastrointestinal microbiome facilitates the expansion of pathogens and has been associated with death and infection in select populations. We tested whether gut microbiome features at the time of intensive care unit (ICU) admission predict death or infection. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of medical ICU adults. Rectal surveillance swabs were performed at admission, selectively cultured for vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus (VRE), and assessed using 16S rRNA gene sequencing. Patients were followed for 30 days for death or culture-proven bacterial infection. RESULTS: Of 301 patients, 123 (41%) developed culture-proven infections and 76 (25%) died. Fecal biodiversity (Shannon index) did not differ based on death or infection (p = 0.49). The presence of specific pathogens at ICU admission was associated with subsequent infection with the same organism for Escherichia coli, Pseudomonas spp., Klebsiella spp., and Clostridium difficile, and VRE at admission was associated with subsequent Enterococcus infection. In a multivariable model adjusting for severity of illness, VRE colonization and Enterococcus domination (≥ 30% 16S reads) were both associated with death or all-cause infection (aHR 1.46, 95% CI 1.06-2.00 and aHR 1.47, 95% CI 1.00-2.19, respectively); among patients without VRE colonization, Enterococcus domination was associated with excess risk of death or infection (aHR 2.13, 95% CI 1.06-4.29). CONCLUSIONS: Enterococcus status at ICU admission was associated with risk for death or all-cause infection, and rectal carriage of common ICU pathogens predicted specific infections. The gastrointestinal microbiome may have a role in risk stratification and early diagnosis of ICU infections.

Different outcomes for relapsed versus refractory neuroblastoma after therapy with (131)I-metaiodobenzylguanidine ((131)I-MIBG).

BACKGROUND: (131)I-metaiodobenzylguanidine ((131)I-MIBG) is a targeted radiopharmaceutical with significant activity in high-risk relapsed and chemotherapy-refractory neuroblastoma. Our primary aim was to determine if there are differences in response rates to (131)I-MIBG between patients with relapsed and treatment-refractory neuroblastoma. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort analysis of 218 patients with refractory or relapsed neuroblastoma treated with (131)I-MIBG at UCSF between 1996 and 2014. Results were obtained by chart review and database abstraction. Baseline characteristics and response rates between relapsed patients and refractory patients were compared using Fisher exact and Wilcoxon rank sum tests, and differences in overall survival (OS) were compared using the log-rank test. RESULTS: The response rate (complete and partial response) to (131)I-MIBG-based therapies for all patients was 27%. There was no difference in response rates between relapsed and refractory patients. However, after (131)I-MIBG, 24% of relapsed patients had progressive disease compared to only 9% of refractory patients, and 39% of relapsed patients had stable disease compared to 59% of refractory patients (p=0.02). Among all patients, the 24-month OS was 47.0% (95% confidence interval (CI) 39.9-53.9%). The 24-month OS for refractory patients was significantly higher at 65.3% (95% CI 51.8-75.9%), compared to 38.7% (95% CI 30.4-46.8%) for relapsed patients (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Although there was no significant difference in overall response rates to (131)I-MIBG between patients with relapsed versusrefractory neuroblastoma, patients with prior relapse had higher rates of progressive disease and had lower 2-year overall survival after (131)I-MIBG compared to patients with refractory disease.

Usefulness of the addition of beta-2-microglobulin, cystatin C and C-reactive protein to an established risk factors model to improve mortality risk prediction in patients undergoing coronary angiography.

Evidence-based therapies are available to reduce the risk for death from cardiovascular disease, yet many patients go untreated. Novel methods are needed to identify those at highest risk for cardiovascular death. In this study, the biomarkers ß2-microglobulin, cystatin C, and C-reactive protein were measured at baseline in a cohort of participants who underwent coronary angiography. Adjusted Cox proportional-hazards models were used to determine whether the biomarkers predicted all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Additionally, improvements in risk reclassification and discrimination were evaluated by calculating the net reclassification improvement, C-index, and integrated discrimination improvement with the addition of the biomarkers to a baseline model of risk factors for cardiovascular disease and death. During a median follow-up period of 5.6 years, there were 78 deaths among 470 participants. All biomarkers independently predicted future all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. A significant improvement in risk reclassification was observed for all-cause (net reclassification improvement 35.8%, p = 0.004) and cardiovascular (net reclassification improvement 61.9%, p = 0.008) mortality compared to the baseline risk factors model. Additionally, there was significantly increased risk discrimination with C-indexes of 0.777 (change in C-index 0.057, 95% confidence interval 0.016 to 0.097) and 0.826 (change in C-index 0.071, 95% confidence interval 0.010 to 0.133) for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. Improvements in risk discrimination were further supported using the integrated discrimination improvement index. In conclusion, this study provides evidence that ß2-microglobulin, cystatin C, and C-reactive protein predict mortality and improve risk reclassification and discrimination for a high-risk cohort of patients who undergo coronary angiography.