Recommendations for statin management in primary prevention: disparities among international risk scores.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Statin recommendations in primary prevention depend upon risk algorithms. Moreover, with intermediate risk, risk enhancers and de-enhancers are advocated to aid decisions. The aim of this study was to compare algorithms used in North America and Europe for the identification of patients warranting statin or consideration of risk enhancers and de-enhancers. METHODS: A simulated population (n = 7680) equal in males and females, with/without smoking, aged 45-70 years, total cholesterol 3.5-7.0 mmol/L, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol 0.6-2.2 mmol/L, and systolic blood pressure 100-170 mmHg, was evaluated. High, intermediate, and low risks were determined using the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE), four versions of Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2), and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) algorithm (0-1000 Agatston Units). RESULTS: Concordance for the three levels of risk varied from 19% to 85%. Both sexes might be considered to have low, intermediate, or high risk depending on the algorithm applied, even with the same burden of risk factors. Only SCORE2 (High Risk and Very High Risk versions) identified equal proportions of males and females with high risk. Excluding MESA, the proportion with moderate risk was 25% (SCORE2, Very High Risk Region), 32% (FRS), 39% (PCE), and 45% (SCORE2, Low Risk Region). CONCLUSION: Risk algorithms differ substantially in their estimation of risk, recommendations for statin treatment, and use of ancillary testing, even in identical patients. These results highlight the limitations of currently used risk-based approaches for addressing lipid-specific risk in primary prevention.

Framingham risk score based vascular outcomes in acute versus chronic HIV cohorts after 6 years of ART.

INTRODUCTION: Immune dysregulation persists in people with HIV (PWH) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) and may lead to accelerated vascular ageing and cardiovascular disease (CVD). While delayed time to initiation of ART has been linked to worse cardiovascular outcomes, the effect of ART initiation during acute infection on these outcomes is not well understood. METHODS: Participants were enrolled from the SEARCH010/RV254 acute HIV (AHI) and HIV-NAT chronic HIV (CHI) cohorts in Thailand. Participants with 6-year follow-up and viral suppression (viral load < 50 copies/µL) at follow-up were included. Both unmatched cohorts and age and gender-matched cohorts were analysed. Demographics, HIV laboratories, and cardiovascular risk factors from enrolment and 6-year follow-up were obtained from electronic records. Framingham Risk Score (FRS), vascular age (VA), vascular age deviation (VAD), and 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk were calculated from previously published equations. Vascular outcomes in AHI and CHI cohorts were compared, and univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses were used to investigate risk factors associated with worse vascular scores. RESULTS: In all, 373 AHI participants and 608 CHI participants were identified. AHI participants were of younger age, had a higher prevalence of syphilis and a lower prevalence of prior hepatitis B, tuberculosis, diabetes, and hypertension. Higher CD4 T-cell and lower CD8 T-cell counts were seen in the AHI cohort at enrolment and 6-year follow-up. In all participants, the AHI cohort had a lower median FRS (p < 0.001) and VA (p < 0.001), but higher VAD (p < 0.001). However, in matched cohorts, no differences were found in FRS-based outcomes. In all participants, higher VAD after 6 years of ART was associated with higher body mass index (p < 0.001) and higher CD4 count (p < 0.001), which persisted in multivariable analysis. When FRS components were analysed individually, CD4 count was associated only with male sex and cholesterol. CONCLUSIONS: We did not identify differences in FRS-based vascular outcomes at 6 years in matched cohorts of participants who started ART during AHI versus CHI. We identified a correlation between higher CD4 count and worse FRS-based vascular outcomes, which may be driven by underlying metabolic risk factors. Further study is needed to confirm these findings and evaluate underlying mechanisms.

Cardiovascular risk and the COVID-19 pandemic: a population-based and case‒control studies.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is associated with increases in morbidity and mortality worldwide. The mechanisms of how SARS-CoV-2 may cause cardiovascular (CV) complications are under investigation. The aim of the study was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on CV risk. METHODS: These are single-centre Bialystok PLUS (Poland) population-based and case‒control studies. The survey was conducted between 2018 and 2022 on a sample of residents (n = 1507) of a large city in central Europe and patients 6-9 months post-COVID-19 infection (n = 126). The Systematic Coronary Risk Estimation 2 (SCORE2), the Systematic Coronary Risk Estimation 2-Older Persons (SCORE2-OP), the Cardiovascular Disease Framingham Heart Study and the LIFEtime-perspective model for individualizing CardioVascular Disease prevention strategies in apparently healthy people (LIFE-CVD) were used. Subsequently, the study populations were divided into CV risk classes according to the 2021 ESC Guidelines on cardiovascular disease prevention in clinical practice. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 4 groups: a general population examined before (I, n = 691) and during the COVID-19 pandemic (II, n = 816); a group of 126 patients post-COVID-19 infection (III); and a control group matched subjects chosen from the pre-COVID-19 pandemic (IV). Group II was characterized by lower blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) values than group I. Group III differed from the control group in terms of lower LDL-c level. There was no effect on CV risk in the general population, but in the population post-COVID-19 infection, CV risk was lower using FS-lipids, FS-BMI and LIFE-CVD 10-year risk scores compared to the prepandemic population. In all subgroups analysed, no statistically significant difference was found in the frequency of CV risk classes. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic did not increase the CV risk calculated for primary prevention. Instead, it prompted people to pay attention to their health status, as evidenced by better control of some CV risk factors. As the COVID-19 pandemic has drawn people's attention to health, it is worth exploiting this opportunity to improve public health knowledge through the design of wide-ranging information campaigns.

Framingham risk scores for determination the 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease in participants with and without the metabolic syndrome: results of the Fasa Persian cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a cluster of risk factors and the Framingham risk score (FRS) is a useful metric for measuring the 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk of the population. The present study aimed to determine the 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease using the Framingham risk score in people with and without MetS in a large Iranian cohort study. METHODS: This cross-sectional study was done using the Fasa cohort. Participants aged ≥ 35 years old were recruited to the study from 2015 to 2016. The FRS was calculated using age, sex, current smoking, diabetes, systolic blood pressure (SBP), total cholesterol, and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol. MetS was defined as the presence of three or more of the MetS risk factors including triglyceride (TG) level ≥ 150 mg dl- 1, HDL level < 40 mg dl- 1 in men and < 50 mg dl- 1 in women, systolic/diastolic blood pressure ≥ 130/≥85 mmHg or using medicine for hypertension, fasting blood sugar (FBS) level ≥ 100 mg dl- 1 or using diabetes medication and abdominal obesity considered as waist circumference (WC) ≥ 88 cm for women and ≥ 102 cm for men. Multiple logistic regressions were applied to estimate the 10- year CVD risk among people with and without MetS. RESULTS: Of 8949 participants, 1928 people (21.6%) had MetS. The mean age of the participants with and without Mets was 50.4 ± 9.2 years and 46.9 ± 9.1 years respectively. In total 15.3% of participants with MetS and 8.0% of participants without MetS were in the high-risk category of 10-year CVD risk. Among participants with MetS gender, TG, SBP, FBS and in people without MetS gender, TG, SBP, FBS, and HDL showed strong associations with the predicted 10-year CVD risk. CONCLUSION: Male sex and increased SBP, TG, and FBS parameters were strongly associated with increased 10-year risk of CVD in people with and without MetS. In people without MetS, reduced HDL-cholestrol was strongly associated with increased 10-year risk of CVD. The recognition of participant's TG, blood pressure (BP), FBS and planning appropriate lifestyle interventions related to these characteristics is an important step towards prevention of CVD.

Joint association of cardiovascular health and frailty with all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Poor cardiovascular health (CVH) and physical frailty were reported to increase mortality risk, but their joint effects have not been fully elucidated. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to explore the separate and joint effects of CVH and frailty on mortality based on two perspectives of Life's Essential 8 (LE8) and Framingham Risk Score (FRS). METHODS: 21 062 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2007 to 2018 were involved in this study. CVH was evaluated by the LE8 and FRS, and categorized into low, moderate and high CVH groups. Cox proportional hazard models were applied to estimate the separate and joint associations of CVH and frailty index (FI) with all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer mortality. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up period of 87 months (95% CI: 86.0-88.0), 2036 deaths occurred. The separate linear dose-response relationships between CVH, frailty and mortality were observed (nonlinear P > .05). The combination of low CVH/frailty was negatively associated with all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) and 95%CI: low LE8*FI, 5.30 (3.74, 7.52); high FRS*FI, 4.34 (3.20, 5.88)], CVD mortality [low LE8*FI, 6.57 (3.54, 12.22); high FRS*FI, 7.29 (3.92, 13.55)] and cancer mortality [low LE8*FI, 1.99 (1.14, 3.25); high FRS*FI, 2.32 (1.30, 4.15)], with high CVH/fit group as reference. Further stratified analyses showed that the combined burden of mortality from frailty and low CVH was greater among the young and females. CONCLUSIONS: Low CVH and frailty were independently and jointly correlated with greater risk of all-cause, CVD and cancer deaths, especially among the young and females.

Growth differentiation factor-15 predicts all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with coronary heart disease: a prospective cohort study.

The prognostic value of growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) in predicting long-term adverse outcomes in coronary heart disease (CHD) patients remains limited. Our study examines the association between GDF-15 and adverse outcomes over an extended period in CHD patients and firstly assesses the incremental prognostic effect of incorporating GDF-15 into the Framingham risk score (FRS)-based model. This single-center prospective cohort study included 3,321 patients with CHD categorized into 2,479 acute coronary syndrome (ACS) (74.6%) and 842 non-ACS (25.4%) groups. The median age was 61.0 years (range: 53.0-70.0), and 917 (27.6%) were females. Mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) included cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and heart failure (HF) (inclusive of HF episodes requiring outpatient treatment and/or hospital admission). Cox regression models assessed the associations between GDF-15 and the incidence of all-cause mortality and MACEs. Patients were stratified into three groups based on GDF-15 levels: the first tertile group (< 1,370 ng/L), the second tertile group (1,370-2,556 ng/L), and the third tertile group (> 2,556 ng/L). The C-index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess incremental value. Over a median 9.4-year follow-up, 759 patients (22.9%) died, and 1,291 (38.9%) experienced MACEs. The multivariate Cox model indicated that GDF-15 was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (per ln unit increase, HR = 1.49, 95% CI: 1.36-1.64) and MACEs (per ln unit increase, HR = 1.29, 95% CI: 1.20-1.38). These associations persisted when GDF-15 was analyzed as an ordinal variable (p for trend < 0.05). Subgroup analysis of ACS and non-ACS for the components of MACEs separately showed a significant association between GDF-15 and both cardiovascular mortality and HF, but no association was observed between GDF-15 and MI /stroke in both ACS and non-ACS patients. The addition of GDF-15 to the FRS-based model enhanced the discrimination for both all-cause mortality (∆ C-index = 0.009, 95% CI: 0.005-0.014; IDI = 0.030, 95% CI: 0.015-0.047; continuous NRI = 0.631, 95% CI: 0.569-0.652) and MACEs (∆ C-index = 0.009, 95% CI: 0.006-0.012; IDI = 0.026, 95% CI: 0.009-0.042; continuous NRI = 0.593, 95% CI: 0.478-0.682). DCA suggested that incorporating GDF-15 into the FRS-based model demonstrated higher net benefits compared to FRS-based models alone (All-cause mortality: FRS-based model: area under the curve of DCA (AUDC) = 0.0903, FRS-based model + GDF-15: AUDC = 0.0908; MACEs: FRS-based model: AUDC = 0.1806, FRS-based model + GDF-15: AUDC = 0.1833). GDF-15 significantly associates with the long-term prognosis of all-cause mortality and MACEs in CHD patients and significantly improves the prognostic accuracy of the FRS-based model for both outcomes.

A lower eGFRcystatin C/eGFRcreatinine ratio is associated with greater cardiovascular risk (higher Framingham Risk Score) in Chinese patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients. Shrunken pore syndrome (SPS) is defined as eGFRcystatin C/eGFRcreatinine ratio <0.70 and predicts high CVD mortality. The Framingham Risk Score (FRS) is used to estimate an individual's 10-year CVD risk. This study investigated the association between FRS and eGFRcystatin C/eGFRcreatinine ratio in T2DM patients. METHODS: Patients aged 18-80 years who were newly diagnosed with T2DM were included in this retrospective study. Ordinal logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the association between risk factors of T2DM and FRS. A Generalized Linear Model was used to calculate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: There were 270 patients included in the study. Only 27 patients (10%) met the diagnostic criteria of SPS. Ordinal logistic regression analysis showed that SPS was not correlated with FRS risk (OR = 1.99, 95%CI = 0.94-4.23, p = 0.07), whereas eGFRcystatin C/eGFRcreatinine (OR = 0.86, 95%CI = 0.77-0.97, p = 0.01) showed a significant negative association with FRS risk. Compared with eGFRcystatin C/eGFRcreatinine>0.85, eGFRcystatin C/eGFRcreatinine≤0.85 increased FRS risk (OR = 1.95, 95%CI = 1.18-3.21, p < 0.01). After adjustment for confounding factors, increased eGFRcystatin C/eGFRcreatinine ratio was associated with decreased FRS risk when considered as a continuous variable (OR = 0.87, 95%CI = 0.77-0.99, p = 0.03). The FRS risk in patients with eGFRcystatin C/eGFRcreatinine≤0.85 is 1.86 times higher than that in patients with eGFRcystatin C/eGFRcreatinine>0.85 (OR = 1.86, 95%CI = 1.08-3.21, p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: In the current study, no significant association between SPS and FRS was identified. However, lower eGFRcystatin C/eGFRcreatinine and eGFRcystatin C/eGFRcreatinine≤0.85 were associated with a significantly increased CVD risk in T2DM.

Beyond the burn: An observational study of cardiovascular risk in burn survivors in the north of Iran.

Burn survivors experience profound physiological changes following injury, which may have lasting implications for cardiovascular health. This study aims to investigate the cardiovascular risk profile among burn survivors treated at a burn center in northern Iran. This observational study was conducted from 2022 to 2023 at the burn centre affiliated with Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht, Iran. This study assessed a cohort study of 210 burn survivors, focusing on individuals with ≥20% TBSA burn injuries who had recovered and returned to their daily lives. This study assessed patients' lipid profiles, Framingham General Cardiovascular Risk Score (FGCRS) and risk factors, including demographics, clinical variables and physical activity. Statistical analysis employed descriptive and inferential statistics. The mean age was 49.23 years, and the mean TBSA burned was 37.06%. The risk of cardiovascular disease in 66% of the study population was less than 10%, and in 13%, it was more than 20%. Significant associations were identified between CVD risk and sex, diabetes, hypertension, BMI, TBSA burned, years after burn, physical activity level and LDL. Of the lipid profile measures, LDL, triglycerides and TC/HDL exceeded the desirable levels. This research highlights the heightened cardiovascular risk in burn survivors, emphasizing the necessity for targeted interventions and regular monitoring. Identifying modifiable risk factors enables healthcare practitioners to develop tailored strategies, enhancing cardiovascular health in this vulnerable population and improving overall outcomes and quality of life.

Pakistani Ankylosing Spondylitis Cohort with modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (PAS-CVD) study.

Objective: To determine the frequency of modifiable cardiovascular risk factors in the Pakistani cohort with Ankylosing Spondylitis (AS). Method: After IRB approval, a cross-sectional study was conducted among patients of AS, at the Department of Rheumatology Indus Medical College, Tando Mohammad Khan, from 15th March to 15th September, 2022. After obtaining demographic data, other parameters such as blood pressure (BP) and body mass index were recorded. In addition, a 5 ml blood sample was collected to assess their serum lipid profile, and fasting blood sugar levels. Using the laboratory data, the Framingham cardiovascular risk score was calculated for each patient and they were categorized into low, intermediate, or high-risk categories. Results: Total 131 cases of ankylosing spondylitis: frequency of modifiable risk factors were: obesity (75.6%), high TG level (62.6%), high risk FRS score (40.5%), high LDL level (38.1%), low HDL (34.4%), hypertension (30.5%), diabetes mellitus (26.7%), high cholesterol level (17.6%), smoking (16%). In univariate analysis AS cases shows that increasing disease duration was associated with more risk of modifiable risk factors (p<0.05), on multivariate analysis, a positive association of age, diastolic blood pressure, smoking, diabetes mellitus, DMARDS, herbal medication-but not statistically significant (p>0.05). Conclusion: In chronic AS there's higher prevalence of modifiable cardiovascular risk factors, earlier recognition and effective management helps in prevention of future cardiovascular events.

A comparison of laboratory-based and office-based Framingham risk scores to predict 10-year risk of cardiovascular diseases: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Two versions of Framingham's 10-year risk score are defined for cardiovascular diseases, namely laboratory-based and office-based models. The former is mainly employed in high-income countries, but unfortunately, it is not cost-effective or practical to utilize it in countries with poor facilities. Therefore, the present study aims to identify the agreement and correlation between laboratory-based and office-based Framingham models. METHODS: Using laboratory-based and office-based Framingham models, this cross-sectional study used data from 8944 participants without a history of CVDs and stroke at baseline in the Fasa cohort study to predict the 10-year risk of CVDs. The laboratory-based model included age, sex, diabetes, smoking status, systolic blood pressure (SBP), treatment of hypertension, total cholesterol, and high-density lipoprotein (HDL); and the office-based model included age, sex, diabetes, smoking status, SBP, treatment of hypertension, and body mass index (BMI). The agreement between risk categories of laboratory-based and office-based Framingham models (low [< 10%], moderate [from 10 to < 20%], high [≥ 20%]) was assessed by kappa coefficients and percent agreement. Then, the correlation between the risk scores was estimated using correlation coefficients and illustrated using scatter plots. Finally, agreements, correlation coefficient, and scatter plots for laboratory-based and office-based Framingham models were analyzed by stratified Framingham risk score factors including sex, age, BMI categories, hypertension, smoking, and diabetes status. RESULTS: The two models showed substantial agreement at 89.40% with a kappa coefficient of 0.75. The agreement was substantial in all men (kappa = 0.73) and women (kappa = 0.72), people aged < 60 years (kappa = 0.73) and aged ≥ 60 years (kappa = 0.69), smokers (kappa = 0.70) and non-smokers (kappa = 0.75), people with hypertension (kappa = 0.73) and without hypertension (kappa = 0.75), diabetics (kappa = 0.71) and non-diabetics (kappa = 0.75), people with normal BMI (kappa = 0.75) and people with overweight and obesity (kappa = 0.76). There was also a very strong positive correlation (r ≥ 0.92) between laboratory-based and office-based models in terms of age, sex, BMI, hypertension, smoking status and diabetes status. CONCLUSIONS: The current study showed that there was a substantial agreement between the office-based and laboratory-based models, and there was a very strong positive correlation between the risk scores in the entire population as well across subgroups. Although differences were observed in some subgroups, these differences were small and not clinically relevant. Therefore, office-based models are suitable in low-middle-income countries (LMICs) with limited laboratory resources and facilities because they are more convenient and accessible. However, the validity of the office-based model must be assessed in longitudinal studies in LMICs.

Antibody against apolipoprotein-A1, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and cardiovascular risk: a translational study.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common liver disease increasing cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality. Autoantibodies against apolipoprotein A-1 (AAA-1) are a possible novel CVD risk factor promoting inflammation and disrupting cellular lipid homeostasis, two prominent pathogenic features of NAFLD. We explored the role of AAA-1 in NAFLD and their association with CVD risk. METHODS: HepaRG cells and liver sections from ApoE-/- mice exposed to AAA-1 were used for lipid quantification and conditional protein expression. Randomly selected sera from 312 subjects of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) general population cohort were used to measure AAA-1. A Fatty Liver Index (FLI) ≥ 60 and a 10-year Framingham Risk Score (FRS) ≥ 20% were used as proxy of NAFLD and high CVD risk, respectively. RESULTS: In-vitro and mouse models showed that AAA-1 increased triglyceride synthesis leading to steatosis, and promoted inflammation and hepatocyte injury. In the 112 PREVEND participants with FLI ≥ 60, AAA-1 were associated with higher FRS, alkaline phosphatase levels, lower HDL cholesterol and tended to display higher FLI values. Univariate linear and logistic regression analyses (LRA) confirmed significant associations between AAA-1, FLI and FRS ≥ 20%, while in adjusted LRA, FLI was the sole independent predictor of FRS ≥ 20% (OR: 1.05, 95%CI 1.01-1.09, P = 0.003). AAA-1 was not an independent FLI predictor. CONCLUSIONS: AAA-1 induce a NAFLD-compatible phenotype in vitro and in mice. Intricate associations exist between AAA-1, CVD risk and FLI in the general population. Further work is required to refine the role of AAA-1 in NAFLD and to determine if the AAA-1 association with CVD is affected by hepatic steatosis.

Hepatic steatosis and metabolic risk factors among patients with chronic hepatitis B: The multicentre, prospective CAP-Asia study.

We aimed to compare the severity of liver disease, metabolic profile and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with and without hepatic steatosis and patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Patients with NAFLD and CHB were prospectively enrolled from 10 Asian centres. Fibroscan was performed for all patients and hepatic steatosis was defined based on controlled attenuation parameter >248 dB/m. CVD risk was assessed using the Framingham risk score. The data for 1080 patients were analysed (67% NAFLD, 33% CHB). A high proportion (59%) of CHB patients had hepatic steatosis. There was a significant stepwise increase in alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, controlled attenuation parameter and liver stiffness measurement, from CHB patients without hepatic steatosis to CHB patients with hepatic steatosis to NAFLD patients (p < 0.001 for all comparisons). There was a significant stepwise increase in the proportion of patients with metabolic syndrome and in CVD risk, with very high or extreme CVD risk seen in 20%, 48% and 61%, across the groups (p < 0.001 between CHB patients with and without hepatic steatosis and p < 0.05 between CHB patients with hepatic steatosis and NAFLD patients). In conclusion, there was a high proportion of CHB patients with hepatic steatosis, which should be diagnosed, as they may have more severe liver disease, so that this and their metabolic risk factors can be assessed and managed accordingly for a better long-term outcome.

Impact of modifiable risk factors on prediction of 10-year cardiovascular disease utilizing framingham risk score in Southwest Iran.

BACKGROUND: This cohort study was conducted to examine the association between modifiable risk factors, including hypertension, smoking, physical activity, diabetes, cholesterol, and high-density lipoprotein with Framingham risk score in the prediction of 10-year-risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) between men and women in an Arab community of Southwest Iran, Hoveyzeh. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 8,526 people aged 35-70 participated in this cohort study. Framingham was used to estimate the 10-year risk of CVD. Also, the linear regression models were used to assess the relationship between modifiable risk factors and the 10-year risk of CVD. Finally, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to measure the ability of modifiable risk factors to predict the 10-year risk of CVD. RESULTS: Our results of linear regression models showed that hypertension, smoking, PA, diabetes, cholesterol, and HDL were independently associated with the CVD risk in men and women. Also, AUC analysis showed that hypertension and diabetes have the largest AUC in men 0.841; 0.778 and in women 0.776; 0.715, respectively. However, physical activity had the highest AUC just in women 0.717. CONCLUSION: Hypertension and diabetes in both gender and physical activity in women are the most important determinant for the prediction of CVD risk in Hoveyzeh. Our cohort study may be useful for adopting strategies to reduce CVD progression through lifestyle changes.

APOL1 Gene Variants and Risk for Cardiovascular Disease.

INTRODUCTION: The association of APOL1 risk variants with cardiovascular risk and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in observational and clinical trials has had inconsistent results. We aim to assess the relationship between the presence of APOL1 risk variants and the CVD risk in Afro-descendant patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). METHODS: We performed an observational, cross-sectional study of Afro-descendant adult patients with ESRD who were on the waitlist for a kidney transplant. Associations of APOL1 genotypes (high-risk [HR] = 2 alleles; low-risk [LR] = 0 or 1 allele) with cardiovascular risk were the primary clinical endpoint. The relation was evaluated using univariate and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: We enrolled a total of 102 patients with ESRD; 37% (38 patients) had APOL1 HR status with two alleles in homozygous (G1/G1 = 21 and G2/G2 = 3) or compound heterozygote (G1/G2 = 14) form and 63% (64 patients) had APOL1 LR status. No significant association was found between HR APOL1 genotypes and high cardiovascular risk (in adjusted Colombia Framingham Risk Score). APOL1 HR versus LR variants were not independently associated with left ventricular hypertrophy or systolic dysfunction. No cardiovascular deaths occurred during the follow-up. CONCLUSION: In Afro-descendent patients with ESRD, APOL1 HR status is not associated with the increase in cardiovascular risk profile and metabolic disturbances.

One-year efficacy of a lifestyle behavioural intervention on physical and mental health in people with severe mental disorders: results from a randomized controlled trial.

This multicentric randomized controlled trial (RCT), carried out in six Italian University mental health sites, aims to test the efficacy of a six-month psychosocial intervention (LYFESTYLE) on Body Mass Index (BMI), body weight, waist circumference, fasting glucose, triglycerides, cholesterol, Framingham and HOmeostasis Model Assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) indexes in patients with schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, and major depression. Moreover, the efficacy of the intervention has also been tested on several other physical and mental health domains. Patients were randomly allocated to receive the six-month experimental intervention (LIFESTYLE) or a behavioural control intervention. All enrolled patients were assessed at baseline and after one year. We recruited 401 patients (206 in the experimental and 195 in the control group) with a diagnosis of schizophrenia or other psychotic disorder (29.9%), bipolar disorder (43.3%), or major depression (26.9%). At one year, patients receiving the experimental intervention reported an improvement in body mass index, body weight, waist circumference, HOMA-IR index, anxiety and depressive symptoms and in quality of life. Our findings confirm the efficacy of the LIFESTYLE intervention in improving physical and mental health-related outcomes in patients with severe mental illnesses after one year.

Dietary patterns explaining variations in blood biomarkers in young adults are associated with the 30-year predicted cardiovascular disease risks in midlife: A follow-up study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: To examine a combined effect of dietary intakes, blood lipid and insulin resistance in young adulthood on the risk of predicted CVD through midlife. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data of young adults from a birth cohort study in Australia were used. Reduced rank regression (RRR) and partial least squares (PLS) methods identified dietary patterns rich in meats, refined grains, processed and fried foods, and high-fat dairy and low in whole grains and low-fat dairy from dietary intakes obtained at 21-years, and blood lipids and measures of insulin resistance measured at 30-years of age. Using standard CVD risk factors measured at 30-years of age, the Framingham Heart Study risk-prediction algorithms were used to calculate the 30-year predicted Framingham CVD risk scores. The scores represent Hard CVD events; coronary death, myocardial infarction and stroke and Full CVD events; Hard CVD plus coronary insufficiency and angina pectoris, transient ischaemic attack, intermittent claudication, and congestive heart failure in midlife. Sex-specific upper quartiles of CVD risk scores were used to define high-risk groups. Modified Poisson regression models were used to estimate relative risks (RRs) with 95% CI. Greater adherence to the diet identified applying RRR in young adulthood was associated with higher risks of predicted Hard CVD (RR: 1.60; 1.14, 2.25) and Full CVD (RR: 1.46; 1.04, 2.05) events in midlife. The diet from PLS showed similar trend of association for the risk of predicted Hard CVD events (RR: 1.49; 1.03, 2.16) in adjusted models. CONCLUSION: Dietary patterns associated with variations in blood lipids and insulin resistance in young adulthood are associated with increased risks of predicted CVD events in midlife. The findings suggest that diet induced altered blood lipids and insulin resistance in the life course of young adulthood could increase the risks of CVD events in later life.

U-shaped association of serum uric acid with cardiovascular disease risk scores and the modifying role of sex among Chinese adults.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Serum uric acid (SUA) is involved in the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, information on the dose-response relationship between SUA and CVD is limited in the Chinese population. This study aimed to investigate the potential nonlinear dose-response association of SUA with CVD risk in a Chinese population and to explore the effect of sex on these associations. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cross-sectional data, from 6252 Chinese adults aged 30-74 years who participated in the China Health and Nutrition Survey 2009, were stratified by SUA deciles. The 10-year risk of CVD was determined using the Framingham risk score. A restricted cubic spline (RCS) was incorporated into the logistic models to assess the nonlinear relationship between SUA and CVD. Among the participants, 65%, 20%, and 15% had low, moderate, and high 10-year CVD risks, respectively. Compared with the reference SUA strata of 225 to <249 µmol/L, CVD risk was significantly increased at SUA ≥294 µmol/L, with adjusted ORs ranging from 2.39 (1.33-4.33) to 4.25 (2.37-7.65). An increasingly higher nonsignificant CVD risk was found at SUA <225 µmol/L and showed a nonlinear U-shaped association. In the fitted RCS model, an approximate U-shaped association between SUA and CVD risk scores was found in women, but this significant nonlinear relationship was not found in men. CONCLUSION: This study showed that both lower and higher SUA levels were associated with a higher 10-year CVD risk among Chinese adults, forming a U-shaped relationship, and this pattern was particularly pronounced for women.

Comparison of cardiovascular disease risk in women with and without breast cancer: secondary data analysis with the 2014-2018 korean national health and nutrition examination survey.

BACKGROUND: Aging breast cancer survivors may be at an elevated risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), but little is known about CVD risk assessment and breast cancer in Korean women. We hypothesized that Korean breast cancer survivors would have higher risks of future CVD within the next 10 years (i.e., Framingham Risk Score [FRS]) than women without cancer. OBJECTIVES: (1) To compare FRS-based CVD risks in women with and without breast cancer based on propensity score matching; and (2) To explore adiposity-related measures in relation to FRS in Korean women with breast cancer. METHODS: Using the cross-sectional data from the 2014-2018 Korean National Health and National Survey (KNHANES), we identified 136 women with breast cancer aged 30-74 years who had no other cancer and no CVD. The comparison group of 544 women with no cancer were selected by 1:4 nearest-neighbor propensity score matching based on breast cancer diagnosis. CVD risk was assessed by FRS based on multiple traditional risk factors (e.g., cholesterol, blood pressure, diabetes, and smoking). Adiposity was measured by physical examination, including body mass index (BMI) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR). Physical activity and health behaviors were assessed by self-reports. RESULTS: Women with breast cancer (mean age of 57 years) had similar FRS levels at a low-risk category (< 10%) to women with no cancer (4.9% vs. 5.5%). Breast cancer survivors (mean 8.5 survival years) presented at significantly lower levels of total cholesterol, BMI, and WHtR (all p values < 0.05) than their counterpart. Within the breast cancer group, WHtR ≥ 0.5 was associated with higher FRS, compared to WHtR < 0.5. FRS was not different by survival < 5 years or ≥ 5 years after breast cancer diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: FRS-based CVD risks were not different in Korean, mostly postmenopausal, women by breast cancer status. Whereas breast cancer survivors had even lower levels of lipid and adiposity measures than women without cancer, those values indicating borderline cardiometabolic risk suggest continued screening and management efforts for these aging women. Future studies are needed to examine longitudinal trajectories of CVD risk factors and CVD outcomes among Korean breast cancer survivors.

Comparison of Framingham 10-year cardiovascular risks in Sweden- and foreign-born primary health care patients in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of cardiovascular disease around the world varies by ethnicity and region of birth. Immigrants living in Sweden may have a higher prevalence of cardiovascular diseases than native-born Swedes, but little is known about their actual cardiovascular risk. This study aimed to examine the relationship in Sweden between 10-year cardiovascular risk and birthplace. METHOD: This cross-sectional study was based on cardiovascular risk factor data obtained from the 4D Diabetes Project, a Programme 4D subproject in Sweden. Participants were recruited from two primary healthcare centres in Stockholm without a history of diabetes or pre-diabetes. The outcome variable was 10-year cardiovascular risk based on the calculation of a Framingham Risk Score with six risk factors: age, sex, LDL, HDL, BP, diabetes and smoking for each participant. Multiple linear regression was performed to generate ß-coefficients for the outcome. RESULTS: There was an average of 8.86% cardiovascular risk over 10 years in Sweden-born participants and a 5.45% 10-year risk in foreign-born, (P < 0.0001). Foreign-born participants were about 10 years younger (mean age 46 years vs. 56 years, P < 0.001), with a significantly higher proportion of smokers (23.9% vs. 13.7%; P = 0.001). To be born in Sweden (with parents born in Sweden) was significantly associated with a 10-year cardiovascular risk in the crude model (ß- coefficient = 3.40, 95% CI 2.59-4.22; P < 0.0001) and when adjusted for education and alcohol consumption (ß- coefficient = 2.70 95% CI 1.86-3.54; P < 0.0001). Regardless of the birthplace, 10-year cardiovascular risk was lower for those with higher education compared to those with less than 10 years of education. CONCLUSION: This study found a relationship between 10-year calculated cardiovascular risk and place of birth. Sweden-born participants had a higher association with 10-year cardiovascular risk than foreign-born participants. These results contradict previous reports of higher rates of CVD in residents of Middle-Eastern countries and Middle-Eastern immigrants living in Sweden.

Serum lipoprotein(a) and reclassification of coronary heart disease risk; application of prediction in a cross-sectional analysis of an ongoing Iranian cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Recent studies have introduced elevated lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)) as a risk factor for coronary heart disease (CHD). This study investigated whether the addition of Lp(a) as a novel biomarker to the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) model improves CHD risk prediction. METHODS: The study included 1101 Iranian subjects (443 non-diabetic and 658 diabetic patients) who were followed for 10 years (2003-2013). Lp(a) levels and CHD events were recorded for each participant. RESULTS: The Net Reclassification Index (NRI) after adding Lp(a) to the FRS model was 19.57% and the discrimination slope was improved (0.160 vs. 0.173). The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), a measure of model complexity, decreased significantly after adding Lp(a) to the FRS model (691.9 vs. 685.4, P value: 0.007). CONCLUSIONS: The study concluded that adding Lp(a) to the FRS model improves CHD risk prediction in an Iranian population without making the model too complex. This could help clinicians to better identify individuals who are at risk of developing CHD and to implement appropriate preventive measures.