A novel model for predicting prognosis and response to immunotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.

Blood-based biomarkers of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) response in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) are lacking, so it is necessary to identify biomarkers to select NPC patients who will benefit most or least from ICIs. The absolute values of lymphocyte subpopulations, biochemical indexes, and blood routine tests were determined before ICIs-based treatments in the training cohort (n = 130). Then, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) Cox regression analysis was developed to construct a prediction model. The performances of the prediction model were compared to TNM stage, treatment, and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA using the concordance index (C-index). Progression-free survival (PFS) was estimated by Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curve. Other 63 patients were used for validation cohort. The novel model composed of histologic subtypes, CD19+ B cells, natural killer (NK) cells, regulatory T cells, red blood cells (RBC), AST/ALT ratio (SLR), apolipoprotein B (Apo B), and lactic dehydrogenase (LDH). The C-index of this model was 0.784 in the training cohort and 0.735 in the validation cohort. K-M survival curve showed patients with high-risk scores had shorter PFS compared to the low-risk groups. For predicting immune therapy responses, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC), decision curve analysis (DCA), net reclassifcation improvement index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement index (IDI) of this model showed better predictive ability compared to EBV DNA. In this study, we constructed a novel model for prognostic prediction and immunotherapeutic response prediction in NPC patients, which may provide clinical assistance in selecting those patients who are likely to gain long-lasting clinical benefits to anti-PD-1 therapy.

Predicting the unpredictable: a robust nomogram for predicting recurrence in patients with ampullary carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: To screen the risk factors affecting the recurrence risk of patients with ampullary carcinoma (AC)after radical resection, and then to construct a model for risk prediction based on Lasso-Cox regression and visualize it. METHODS: Clinical data were collected from 162 patients that received pancreaticoduodenectomy treatment in Hebei Provincial Cancer Hospital from January 2011 to January 2022. Lasso regression was used in the training group to screen the risk factors for recurrence. The Lasso-Cox regression and Random Survival Forest (RSF) models were compared using Delong test to determine the optimum model based on the risk factors. Finally, the selected model was validated using clinical data from the validation group. RESULTS: The patients were split into two groups, with a 7:3 ratio for training and validation. The variables screened by Lasso regression, such as CA19-9/GGT, AJCC 8th edition TNM staging, Lymph node invasion, Differentiation, Tumor size, CA19-9, Gender, GPR, PLR, Drinking history, and Complications, were used in modeling with the Lasso-Cox regression model (C-index = 0.845) and RSF model (C-index = 0.719) in the training group. According to the Delong test we chose the Lasso-Cox regression model (P = 0.019) and validated its performance with time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curves(tdROC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The areas under the tdROC curves for 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.855, 0.888, and 0.924 in the training group and 0.841, 0.871, and 0.901 in the validation group, respectively. The calibration curves performed well, as well as the DCA showed higher net returns and a broader range of threshold probabilities using the predictive model. A nomogram visualization is used to display the results of the selected model. CONCLUSION: The study established a nomogram based on the Lasso-Cox regression model for predicting recurrence in AC patients. Compared to a nomogram built via other methods, this one is more robust and accurate.

A prognostic model based on regulatory T-cell-related genes in gastric cancer: Systematic construction and validation.

Human gastrointestinal tumours have been shown to contain massive numbers of tumour infiltrating regulatory T cells (Tregs), the presence of which are closely related to tumour immunity. This study was designed to develop new Treg-related prognostic biomarkers to monitor the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer (GC). Treg-related prognostic genes were screened from Treg-related differentially expressed genes in GC patients by using Cox regression analysis, based on which a prognostic model was constructed. Then, combined with RiskScore, survival curve, survival status assessment and ROC analysis, these genes were used to verify the accuracy of the model, whose independent prognostic ability was also evaluated. Six Treg-related prognostic genes (CHRDL1, APOC3, NPTX1, TREML4, MCEMP1, GH2) in GC were identified, and a 6-gene Treg-related prognostic model was constructed. Survival analysis revealed that patients had a higher survival rate in the low-risk group. Combining clinicopathological features, we performed univariate and multivariate regression analyses, with results establishing that the RiskScore was an independent prognostic factor. Predicted 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates of GC patients had a good fit with the actual survival rates according to nomogram results. In addition patients in the low-risk group had higher tumour mutational burden (TMB) values. Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) demonstrated that genes in the high-risk group were significantly enriched in pathways related to immune inflammation, tumour proliferation and migration. In general, we constructed a 6-gene Treg-associated GC prognostic model with good prediction accuracy, where RiskScore could act as an independent prognostic factor. This model is expected to provide a reference for clinicians to estimate the prognosis of GC patients.

Development and validation of an [18F]FDG-PET/CT radiomic model for predicting progression-free survival for patients with stage II - III thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who are treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Radiomics is a method for extracting a large amount of information from images and used to predict treatment outcomes, side effects and diagnosis. In this study, we developed and validated a radiomic model of [18F]FDG-PET/CT for predicting progression-free survival (PFS) of definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) for patients with esophageal cancer. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Patients with stage II - III esophageal cancer who underwent [18F]FDG-PET/CT within 45 days before dCRT between 2005 and 2017 were included. Patients were randomly assigned to a training set (85 patients) and a validation set (45 patients). Radiomic parameters inside the area of standard uptake value ≥ 3 were calculated. The open-source software 3D slicer and Pyradiomics were used for segmentation and calculating radiomic parameters, respectively. Eight hundred sixty radiomic parameters and general information were investigated.In the training set, a radiomic model for PFS was made from the LASSO Cox regression model and Rad-score was calculated. In the validation set, the model was applied to Kaplan-Meier curves. The median value of Rad-score in the training set was used as a cutoff value in the validation set. JMP was used for statistical analysis. RStudio was used for the LASSO Cox regression model. p < 0.05 was defined as significant. RESULTS: The median follow-up periods were 21.9 months for all patients and 63.4 months for survivors. The 5-year PFS rate was 24.0%. In the training set, the LASSO Cox regression model selects 6 parameters and made a model. The low Rad-score group had significantly better PFS than that the high Rad-score group (p = 0.019). In the validation set, the low Rad-score group had significantly better PFS than that the high Rad-score group (p = 0.040). CONCLUSIONS: The [18F]FDG-PET/CT radiomic model could predict PFS for patients with esophageal cancer who received dCRT.

Establishment and validation of a novel prognostic model for non-virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: The incidence of non-virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma (NV-HCC) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is steadily increasing. The aim of this study was to establish a prognostic model to evaluate the overall survival (OS) of NV-HCC patients. METHODS: Overall, 261 patients with NV-HCC were enrolled in this study. A prognostic model was developed by using LASSO-Cox regression analysis. The prognostic power was appraised by the concordance index (C-index), and the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (TD-ROC). Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival analysis was used to evaluate the predictive ability in the respective subgroups stratified by the prognostic model risk score. A nomogram for survival prediction was established by integrating the prognostic model, TNM stage, and treatment. RESULTS: According to the LASSO-Cox regression results, the number of nodules, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (SLR) and C-reactive protein (CRP) were included for prognostic model construction. The C-index of the prognostic model was 0.759 (95% CI 0.723-0.797) in the development cohort and 0.796 (95% CI 0.737-0.855) in the validation cohort, and its predictive ability was better than TNM stage and treatment. The TD-ROC showed similar results. K-M survival analysis showed that NV-HCC patients with low risk scores had a better prognosis (P < 0.05). A nomogram based on the prognostic model, TNM stage, and treatment was constructed with sufficient discriminatory power with C-indexes of 0.78 and 0.85 in the development and validation cohort, respectively. CONCLUSION: For NV-HCC, this prognostic model could predict an OS benefit for patients, which may assist clinicians in designing individualized therapeutic strategies.

A novel quantitative prognostic model for initially diagnosed non-small cell lung cancer with brain metastases.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with brain metastases (BMs) had been researched in some researches, but the combination of clinical characteristics and serum inflammatory indexes as a noninvasive and more accurate model has not been described. METHODS: We retrospectively screened patients with BMs at the initial diagnosis of NSCLC at Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center. LASSO-Cox regression analysis was used to establish a novel prognostic model for predicting OS based on blood biomarkers. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the prognostic model was compared to Adjusted prognostic Analysis (APA), Recursive Partition Analysis (RPA), and Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA) using concordance index (C-index), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (td-ROC) curve, Decision Curve Analysis(DCA), net reclassification improvement index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement index (IDI). RESULTS: 10-parameter signature's predictive model for the NSCLC patients with BMs was established according to the results of LASSO-Cox regression analysis. The C-index of the prognostic model to predict OS was 0.672 (95% CI = 0.609 ~ 0.736) which was significantly higher than APA,RPA and GPA. The td-ROC curve and DCA of the predictive model also demonstrated good predictive accuracy of OS compared to APA, RPA and GPA. Moreover, NRI and IDI analysis indicated that the prognostic model had improved prediction ability compared with APA, RPA and GPA. CONCLUSION: The novel prognostic model demonstrated favorable performance than APA, RPA, and GPA for predicting OS in NSCLC patients with BMs.

Alternative splicing patterns reveal prognostic indicator in muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

BACKGROUND: Bladder cancer is one of the most lethal malignancy in urological system, and 20-25% of bladder cancer patients are muscle invasive with unfavorable prognosis. However, the role of alternative splicing (AS) in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) remains to be elucidated. METHODS: Percent spliced in (PSI) data obtained from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) SpliceSeq database (n = 394) were utilized to evaluate the AS events in MIBC. Prognosis-associated AS events were screened out by univariate Cox regression. LASSO Cox regression was used to identify reliable prognostic patterns in a training set and further validated in a test set. Splicing regulatory networks were constructed by correlations between PSI of AS events and RNA expression of splicing factors. RESULTS: As a result, a total of 2589 prognosis-related AS events in MIBC were identified. Pathways of spliceosomal complex (FDR = 0.017), DNA-directed RNA polymerase II, core complex (FDR = 0.032), and base excision repair (FDR = 0.038) were observed to be significantly enriched. Additionally, we noticed that most of the prognosis-related AS events were favorable factors. According to the LASSO and multivariate Cox regression analyses, 15-AS-based signature was established with the area under curve (AUC) of 0.709, 0.823, and 0.857 at 1-, 3-, and 5- years, respectively. The MIBC patients were further divided into high- and low-risk groups based on median risk sores. Interestingly, we observed that the prevalence of FGFR3 with mutations and focal amplification was significantly higher in low-risk group. Functional and immune infiltration analysis suggested potential signaling pathways and distinct immune states between these two groups. Moreover, splicing correlation network displayed a regulatory mode of prognostic splicing factors (SF) in MIBC patients. CONCLUSIONS: This study not only provided novel insights into deciphering the possible mechanism of tumorgenesis and pathogenesis but also help refine risk stratification systems and potential treatment of decision-making for MIBC.

A prognostic nomogram based on LASSO Cox regression in patients with alpha-fetoprotein-negative hepatocellular carcinoma following non-surgical therapy.

BACKGROUND: Alpha-fetoprotein-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (AFP-NHCC) (< 8.78 ng/mL) have special clinicopathologic characteristics and prognosis. The aim of this study was to apply a new method to establish and validate a new model for predicting the prognosis of patients with AFP-NHCC. METHODS: A total of 410 AFP-negative patients with clinical diagnosed with HCC following non-surgical therapy as a primary cohort; 148 patients with AFP-NHCC following non-surgical therapy as an independent validation cohort. In primary cohort, independent factors for overall survival (OS) by LASSO Cox regression were all contained into the nomogram1; by Forward Stepwise Cox regression were all contained into the nomogram2. Nomograms performance and discriminative power were assessed with concordance index (C-index) values, area under curve (AUC), Calibration curve and decision curve analyses (DCA). The results were validated in the validation cohort. RESULTS: The C-index of nomogram1was 0.708 (95%CI: 0.673-0.743), which was superior to nomogram2 (0.706) and traditional modes (0.606-0.629). The AUC of nomogram1 was 0.736 (95%CI: 0.690-0.778). In the validation cohort, the nomogram1 still gave good discrimination (C-index: 0.752, 95%CI: 0.691-0.813; AUC: 0.784, 95%CI: 0.709-0.847). The calibration curve for probability of OS showed good homogeneity between prediction by nomogram1 and actual observation. DCA demonstrated that nomogram1 was clinically useful. Moreover, patients were divided into three distinct risk groups for OS by the nomogram1: low-risk group, middle-risk group and high-risk group, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Novel nomogram based on LASSO Cox regression presents more accurate and useful prognostic prediction for patients with AFP-NHCC following non-surgical therapy. This model could help patients with AFP-NHCC following non-surgical therapy facilitate a personalized prognostic evaluation.

A nomogram for individualized prediction of overall survival in patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma: a real-world retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to identify the most valuable predictors of prognosis in glioblastoma (GBM) patients and develop and validate a nomogram to estimate individualized survival probability. METHODS: We conducted a real-world retrospective cohort study of 987 GBM patients diagnosed between September 2010 and December 2018. Computer generated random numbers were used to assign patients into a training cohort (694 patients) and internal validation cohort (293 patients). A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Cox model was used to select candidate variables for the prediction model. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate overall survival. Models were internally validated using the bootstrap method and generated individualized predicted survival probabilities at 6, 12, and 24 months, which were compared with actual survival. RESULTS: The final nomogram was developed using the Cox proportional hazards model, which was the model with best fit and calibration. Gender, age at surgery, extent of tumor resection, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and IDH1 mutation status were used as variables. The concordance indices for 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24-month survival probabilities were 0.776, 0.677, 0.643, and 0.629 in the training set, and 0.725, 0.695, 0.652, and 0.634 in the validation set, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our nomogram that assesses individualized survival probabilities (6-, 12-, and 24-month) in newly diagnosed GBM patients can assist healthcare providers in optimizing treatment and counseling patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: retrospectively registered.

A prognostic eight-gene expression signature for patients with breast cancer receiving adjuvant chemotherapy.

Breast cancer is a popularly diagnosed malignant tumor. Genomic profiling studies suggest that breast cancer is a disease with heterogeneity. Chemotherapy is one of the chief means to treat breast cancer, while its responses and clinical outcomes vary largely due to the conventional clinicopathological factors and inherent chemosensitivity of breast cancer. Using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model, our study established a multi-mRNA-based signature model and constructed a relative nomogram in predicting distant-recurrence-free survival for patients receiving surgery and following chemotherapy. We constructed a signature of eight mRNAs (IPCEF1, SYNDIG1, TIGIT, SPESP1, C2CD4A, CLCA2, RLN2, and CCL19) with the LASSO model, which was employed to separate subjects into groups with high- and low-risk scores. Obvious differences of distant-recurrence-free survival were found between these two groups. This eight-mRNA-based signature was independently associated with the prognosis and had better prognostic value than classical clinicopathologic factors according to multivariate Cox regression results. Receiver operating characteristic results demonstrated excellent performance in diagnosing 3-year distant-recurrence by the eight-mRNA signature. A nomogram that combined both the eight-mRNA-based signature and clinicopathological risk factors was constructed. Comparing with an ideal model, the nomograms worked well both in the training and validation sets. Through the results that the eight-mRNA signature effectively classified patients into low- and high-risk of distant recurrence, we concluded that this eight-mRNA-based signature played a promising predictive role in prognosis and could be clinically applied in breast cancer patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy.

Development of a risk scoring system for evaluating the prognosis of patients with Her2-positive breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: As one of the many breast cancer subtypes, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (Her2)-positive breast cancer has higher invasiveness and poor prognosis, although the advent of anti-Her2 drugs has brought good news to patients. However, the emergence of drug resistance still limits its clinical efficacy, so there is an urgent need to explore new targets and develop a risk scoring system to improve treatments and evaluate patient prognosis. METHODS: Differentially expressed mRNAs associated with Her2-positive breast cancer were screened from a TCGA cohort. The prognostic risk scoring system was constructed according to univariate and Lasso Cox regression model analyses and combined with clinical factors (such as age and TNM) for univariate and multivariate analyses to verify the specificity and sensitivity of the risk scoring system. Finally, based on correlation and CNV mutation analyses, we explored the research value of the mRNAs involved in the system as key genes of the model. RESULTS: In this study, six mRNAs were screened and identified to construct a prognostic risk scoring system, including four up-regulated mRNA (RDH16, SPC25, SPC24, and SCUBE3) and two down-regulated mRNA (DGAT2 and CCDC69). The risk scoring system can divide Her2-positive breast cancer samples into high-risk and low-risk groups to evaluate patient prognosis. In addition, whether through the time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curve or compared with clinical factors, the risk scoring system showed high predictive sensitivity and specificity. Moreover, some CNV mutations in mRNA increase patient risk by influencing expression levels. CONCLUSION: The risk scoring system constructed in this study is helpful to improve the screening of high-risk patients with Her2-positive breast cancer and is beneficial for implementing early diagnosis and personalized treatment. It is suggested that these mRNAs may play an important role in the progression of Her2-positive breast cancer.

Identification and validation of a 21-mRNA prognostic signature in diffuse lower-grade gliomas.

PURPOSE: Diffuse low-grade and intermediate-grade gliomas, also known as lower-grade gliomas (LGGs), are a class of central nervous system tumors. Overall survival varies greatly between patients, highlighting the importance of evaluating exact outcomes to facilitate individualized clinical management. We aimed to identify an mRNA-based prognostic signature to predict the survival of patients with LGGs. METHODS: A total of 874 LGGs from two public datasets were included. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression was used to select the most prognostic mRNAs and build a risk score. A nomogram incorporating the risk score and clinical factors was established for individualized survival prediction. The performance of the nomogram was assessed in the training set (329 patients), internal validation set (140 patients), and external validation set (405 patients). RESULTS: 21 most prognostic mRNAs remained following the LASSO Cox regression. The 21-mRNA signature successfully stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups (P < 0.001 for all datasets in Kaplan-Meier analysis). Subsequent gene set enrichment analysis identified 19 essential biological processes in high-risk LGGs. Furthermore, a nomogram incorporating the risk score, age, grade, and 1p/19q status was developed with favorable calibration and high predictive accuracy in the training set and validation sets (C-index: 0.877, 0.878, and 0.812, respectively). CONCLUSION: The 21-mRNA signature has reliable prognostic value for LGGs and might facilitate the effective stratification and individualized management of patients.

A Gene Signature of Survival Prediction for Kidney Renal Cell Carcinoma by Multi-Omic Data Analysis.

Kidney renal cell carcinoma (KIRC), which is the most common subtype of kidney cancer, has a poor prognosis and a high mortality rate. In this study, a multi-omics analysis is performed to build a multi-gene prognosis signature for KIRC. A combination of a DNA methylation analysis and a gene expression data analysis revealed 863 methylated differentially expressed genes (MDEGs). Seven MDEGs (BID, CCNF, DLX4, FAM72D, PYCR1, RUNX1, and TRIP13) were further screened using LASSO Cox regression and integrated into a prognostic risk score model. Then, KIRC patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups. A univariate cox regression analysis revealed a significant association between the high-risk group and a poor prognosis. The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve shows that the risk group performs well in predicting overall survival. Furthermore, the risk group is contained in the best multivariate model that was obtained by a multivariate stepwise analysis, which further confirms that the risk group can be used as a potential prognostic biomarker. In addition, a nomogram was established for the best multivariate model and shown to perform well in predicting the survival of KIRC patients. In summary, a seven-MDEG signature is a powerful prognosis factor for KIRC patients and may provide useful suggestions for their personalized therapy.

Nomogram built based on machine learning to predict recurrence in early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with ablation.

Introduction: To analyze the risk factors affecting recurrence in early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with ablation and then establish a nomogram to provide a clear and accessible representation of the patients' recurrence risk. Methods: Collect demographic and clinical data of 898 early-stage HCC patients who underwent ablation treatment at Beijing You'an Hospital, affiliated with Capital Medical University from January 2014 to December 2022. Patients admitted from 2014 to 2018 were included in the training cohort, while 2019 to 2022 were in the validation cohort. Lasso and Cox regression was used to screen independent risk factors for HCC patients recurrence, and a nomogram was then constructed based on the screened factors. Results: Age, gender, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage, tumor size, globulin (Glob) and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (γ-GT) were finally incorporated in the nomogram for predicting the recurrence-free survival (RFS) of patients. We further confirmed that the nomogram has optimal discrimination, consistency and clinical utility by the C-index, Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC), calibration curve and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA). Moreover, we divided the patients into different risk groups and found that the nomogram can effectively identify the high recurrence risk patients by the Kaplan-Meier curves. Conclusion: This study developed a nomogram using Lasso-Cox regression to predict RFS in early-stage HCC patients following ablation, aiding clinicians in identifying high-risk groups for personalized follow-up treatments.

Identification of novel prognostic signature of recurrent low-grade glioma.

The prognosis of patients with recurrent low-grade glioma (rLGG) varies greatly. Some patients can survive more than 10 years after recurrence, while other patients have less than 1 year of survival. In order to identify the related risk factors affecting the prognosis of rLGG patients, we performed a series of bioinformatics analyses on RNA-sequencing data of rLGG based on the CGGA database, and finally constructed a 12-genes prognostic signature, dividing all the rLGG patients into high- and low-risk subgroups. The result showed an excellent predictive effect in both the training cohort and the validation cohort using LASSO-COX regression. Moreover, multivariate COX analysis identified 4 independent prognostic factors of rLGG, and among them, ZCWPW1 is identified as a high-value protective factor. In all, this prognostic model displayed robust predictive capability for the overall survival (OS) of rLGG patients, providing a new monitoring method for rLGG, and the 4 independent prognostic factors, especially ZCWPW1, can be potential targets for rLGG, bringing new possibilities for the treatment of rLGG patients.

Establishing and Validating a novel Prognostic Model in the Initial Diagnosis of Non-small Cell Lung Cancer with Bone Metastases.

Background: The aim of this research is to establish and validate a prognostic model for predicting prognosis in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with bone metastases. Methods: Overall, 176 NSCLC patients with bone metastases were retrospectively evaluated in the research. We employed the LASSO-Cox regression method to select the candidate indicators for predicting the prognosis among NSCLC patients complicated with bone metastases. We employed the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and the concordance index (C-index) to assess the discriminative ability. Results: Based on the LASSO-Cox regression analysis, 9 candidate indicators were screened to build the prognostic model. The prognostic model had a higher C-index in the training cohort (0.738, 95% CI: 0.680-0.796) and the validation cohort (0.660, 95% CI: 0.566-0.754) than the advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI). Furthermore, the AUCs of the 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS predictions for the prognostic model were higher than ALI in both cohorts. Kaplan-Meier curves and the estimated restricted mean survival time (RMST) values showed that the patients in the low-risk subgroup had the lower probabilities of cancer-specific mortality than high-risk subgroup. Conclusions: The prognostic model could provide clinicians with precise information and facilitate individualized treatment for patients with bone metastases.

The construction of a novel prognostic prediction model for glioma based on GWAS-identified prognostic-related risk loci.

Backgrounds: Glioma is a highly malignant brain tumor with a grim prognosis. Genetic factors play a role in glioma development. While some susceptibility loci associated with glioma have been identified, the risk loci associated with prognosis have received less attention. This study aims to identify risk loci associated with glioma prognosis and establish a prognostic prediction model for glioma patients in the Chinese Han population. Methods: A genome-wide association study (GWAS) was conducted to identify risk loci in 484 adult patients with glioma. Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the association between GWAS-risk loci and overall survival as well as progression-free survival in glioma. The prognostic model was constructed using LASSO Cox regression analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis. The nomogram model was constructed based on the single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) classifier and clinical indicators, enabling the prediction of survival rates at 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year intervals. Additionally, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to evaluate the prediction value of the nomogram. Finally, functional enrichment and tumor-infiltrating immune analyses were conducted to examine the biological functions of the associated genes. Results: Our study found suggestive evidence that a total of 57 SNPs were correlated with glioma prognosis (p < 5 × 10-5). Subsequently, we identified 25 SNPs with the most significant impact on glioma prognosis and developed a prognostic model based on these SNPs. The 25 SNP-based classifier and clinical factors (including age, gender, surgery, and chemotherapy) were identified as independent prognostic risk factors. Subsequently, we constructed a prognostic nomogram based on independent prognostic factors to predict individualized survival. ROC analyses further showed that the prediction accuracy of the nomogram (AUC = 0.956) comprising the 25 SNP-based classifier and clinical factors was significantly superior to that of each individual variable. Conclusion: We identified a SNP classifier and clinical indicators that can predict the prognosis of glioma patients and established a prognostic prediction model in the Chinese Han population. This study offers valuable insights for clinical practice, enabling improved evaluation of patients' prognosis and informing treatment options.

A novel exosome-related prognostic risk model for thyroid cancer.

AIM: The aim was to build an exosome-related gene (ERG) risk model for thyroid cancer (TC) patients. METHODS: Note that, 510 TC samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas database and 121 ERGs from the ExoBCD database were obtained. Differential gene expression analysis was performed to get ERGs in TC (TERGs). Functional enrichment analyses including Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) were conducted on the TERGs. Then we constructed a model based on LASSO Cox regression analysis. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was applied and a Nomogram model was also built. The immune landscape was evaluated by CIBERSORT. RESULTS: Thirty-eight TERGs were identified and their functions were enriched on 591 GO terms and 30 KEGG pathways. We built a Risk Score model based on FGFR3, ADRA1B, and POSTN. Risk Scores were significantly higher in T4 than in other stages, meanwhile, it didn't significantly differ in genders and TNM N or M classifications. The nomogram model could reliably predict the overall survival of TC patients. The mutation rate of BRAF and expression of cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated protein 4 were significantly higher in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group. The risk score was significantly correlated to the immune landscape. CONCLUSION: We built a Risk Score model using FGFR3, ADRA1B, and POSTN which could reliably predict the prognosis of TC patients.

Identification of PANoptosis-related genes as prognostic indicators of thyroid cancer.

Background: Thyroid cancer (THCA) has become a common malignancy in recent years, with the mortality rate steadily increasing. PANoptosis is a unique kind of programmed cell death (PCD), including pyroptosis, necroptosis, and apoptosis, and is involved in the proliferation and prognosis of numerous cancers. This paper demonstrated the connection between PANoptosis-related genes and THCA based on the analyses of Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) databases, which have not been evaluated yet. Methods: We identified PANoptosis-related differentially expressed genes (PRDEGs) by multi-analyzing the TCGA-THCA and GEO datasets. To identify the significant PRDEGs, a prognostic model was constructed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression (LASSO). The predictive values of the significant PRDEGs for THCA outcomes were determined using Cox regression analysis and nomograms. Gene enrichment analyses were performed. Finally, immunohistochemistry was carried out using the human protein atlas. Results: A LASSO regression model based on nine PRDEGs was constructed, and the prognostic value of key PRDEGs was explored via risk score. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were implemented to identify further three significant PRDEGs closely related to distant metastasis, lymph node metastasis, and tumor stage. Then, a nomogram was constructed, which presented high predictive accuracy for 5 years survival of THCA patients. Gene enrichment analyses in THCA were strongly associated with PCD pathways. CASP6 presented significantly differential expression during clinical T stage, N stage, and PFI events (P < 0.05 for all) and demonstrated the highest degree of diagnostic efficacy in PRDEGs (HR: 2.060, 95 % CI: 1.170-3.628, P < 0.05). Immunohistochemistry showed CASP6 was more abundant in THCA tumor tissue. Conclusion: A potential prognostic role for PRDEGs in THCA was identified, providing a new direction for treatment. CASP6 may be a potential therapeutic target and a novel prognostic biomarker for THCA.

Immune landscape of hepatocellular carcinoma tumor microenvironment identifies a prognostic relevant model.

Background: Various studies highlighted that immune cell-mediated inflammatory processes play crucial roles in the progression and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the immune microenvironment of HCC is still poorly characterized. Exploring the role of immune-related genes (IRGs) and describing the immune landscape in HCC would provide insights into tumor-immune co-evolution along HCC progression. Methods: We integrated the datasets with complete prognostic information from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database and GEO DataSets (GSE14520, GSE76427, and GSE54236) to construct a novel immune landscape based on the Cibersort algorithm and reveal the prognostic signature in HCC patients. Results: To describe the tumor microenvironment (TME) in HCC, immune infiltration patterns were defined using the CIBERSORT method, and a prognostic signature contains 5 types of immune cells, including 3 high-risk immune cells (T.cells. CD4. memory. resting, Macrophages.M0, Macrophages.M2) and 2 low-risk immune cells (Plasma. cells, T.cells.CD8), were finally constructed. A novel prognostic index, based on prognostic immune risk score (pIRG), was developed using the univariate Cox regression analyses and LASSO Cox regression algorithm. Furthermore, the ROC curve and KM curve showed that the TME signatures had a stable value in predicting the prognosis of HCC patients in the internal training cohort, internal validation, and external validation cohort. Differential genes analysis and qPCR experiment showed that the expression levels of AKR1B10, LAPTM4B, MMP9, and SPP1 were significantly increased in high-risk patients, while the expression of CD5L was lower. Further analysis found that AKR1B10 and MMP9 were associated with higher M0 macrophage infiltration, while CD5L was associated with higher plasma cell infiltration. Conclusions: Taken together, we performed a comprehensive evaluation of the immune landscape of HCC and constructed a novel and robust prognostic prediction model. AKR1B10, LAPTM4B, MMP9, SPP1, and CD5L were involved in important processes in the HCC tumor microenvironment and were expected to become HCC prediction markers and potential targets of treatment.