The risk of morbidity and mortality following recurrent malaria in Papua, Indonesia: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: An acute episode of malaria can be followed by multiple recurrent episodes either due to re-infection, recrudescence of a partially treated parasite or, in the case of Plasmodium vivax or P. ovale, relapse from the dormant liver stage of the parasite. The aim of this study was to quantify the impact of recurrent malaria episodes on morbidity and mortality in Papua, Indonesia. METHODS: We undertook a retrospective analysis of routinely collected data from malaria patients attending the primary referral hospital in Papua, Indonesia, between April 2004 and December 2013. Multi-state modelling was used to estimate the effect of recurring malaria episodes on re-presentation and admission to hospital and death. The risks of early (≤ 14 days) and late (15 to 365 days) hospital admission and death were estimated separately in our study to distinguish between the direct and indirect effects of malaria recurrence on adverse outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 68,361 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 37,168 (54.4%) presented initially with P. falciparum, 22,209 (32.5%) with P. vivax, and 8984 (13.1%) with other species. During 12 months of follow-up after each of the first four malaria episodes, 10,868 (15.9%) patients were admitted to hospital and 897 (1.3%) died. The risk of re-presenting to the hospital with malaria increased from 34.7% (95% CI 34.4%, 35.1%) at first episode to 58.6% (57.5%, 59.6%) following the third episode of malaria. After adjusting for co-factors, infection with P. vivax was a significant risk factor for re-presentation (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.48 (95% CI 1.44, 1.51)) and late admission to hospital (HR = 1.17 (1.11, 1.22)). Patients infected with P. falciparum had a greater overall rate of mortality within 14 days (HR = 1.54 (1.25, 1.92)), but after multiple episodes of malaria, there was a trend towards a higher rate of early death in patients infected with P. vivax compared to P. falciparum (HR = 1.91 (0.73, 4.97)). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to patients initially infected with P. falciparum, those infected with P. vivax had significantly more re-presentations to hospital with malaria, and this contributed to a high risk of inpatient admission and death. These findings highlight the importance of radical cure of P. vivax to eliminate the dormant liver stages that trigger relapses.

CYP2D6 activity and the risk of recurrence of Plasmodium vivax malaria in the Brazilian Amazon: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: CYP2D6 pathway mediates the activation of primaquine into active metabolite(s) in hepatocytes. CYP2D6 is highly polymorphic, encoding CYP2D6 isoforms with normal, reduced, null or increased activity. It is hypothesized that Plasmodium vivax malaria patients with defective CYP2D6 function would be at increased risk for primaquine failure to prevent recurrence. The aim of this study was to investigate the association of CYP2D6 polymorphisms and inferred CYP2D6 phenotypes with malaria recurrence in patients from the Western Brazilian Amazon, following chloroquine/primaquine combined therapy. METHODS: The prospective cohort consisted of P. vivax malaria patients who were followed for 6 months after completion of the chloroquine/primaquine therapy. Recurrence was defined as one or more malaria episodes, 28-180 days after the initial episode. Genotyping for nine CYP2D6 SNPs and copy number variation was performed using TaqMan assays in a Fast 7500 Real-Time System. CYP2D6 star alleles (haplotypes), diplotypes and CYP2D6 phenotypes were inferred, and the activity score system was used to define the functionality of the CYP2D6 diplotypes. CYP2D6 activity scores (AS) were dichotomized at ≤ 1 (gPM, gIM and gNM-S phenotypes) and ≥ 1.5 (gNM-F and gUM phenotypes). RESULTS: Genotyping was successfully performed in 190 patients (44 with recurrence and 146 without recurrences). Recurrence incidence was higher in individuals presenting reduced activity CYP2D6 phenotypes (adjusted relative risk = 1.89, 95% CI 1.01-3.70; p = 0.049). Attributable risk and population attributable fraction were 11.5 and 9.9%, respectively. The time elapsed from the first P. vivax malaria episode until the recurrence did not differ between patients with AS of ≤ 1 versus ≥ 1.5 (p = 0.917). CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that CYP2D6 polymorphisms are associated with increased risk of recurrence of vivax malaria, following chloroquine-primaquine combined therapy. This association is interpreted as the result of reduced conversion of primaquine into its active metabolites in patients with reduced CYP2D6 enzymatic activity.