Integrating population and single-cell variations in vaccine responses identifies a naturally adjuvanted human immune setpoint.

Multimodal single-cell profiling methods can capture immune cell variations unfolding over time at the molecular, cellular, and population levels. Transforming these data into biological insights remains challenging. Here, we introduce a framework to integrate variations at the human population and single-cell levels in vaccination responses. Comparing responses following AS03-adjuvanted versus unadjuvanted influenza vaccines with CITE-seq revealed AS03-specific early (day 1) response phenotypes, including a B cell signature of elevated germinal center competition. A correlated network of cell-type-specific transcriptional states defined the baseline immune status associated with high antibody responders to the unadjuvanted vaccine. Certain innate subsets in the network appeared "naturally adjuvanted," with transcriptional states resembling those induced uniquely by AS03-adjuvanted vaccination. Consistently, CD14+ monocytes from high responders at baseline had elevated phospho-signaling responses to lipopolysaccharide stimulation. Our findings link baseline immune setpoints to early vaccine responses, with positive implications for adjuvant development and immune response engineering.

Calibration of variant effect predictors on genome-wide data masks heterogeneous performance across genes.

In silico variant effect predictions are available for nearly all missense variants but played a minimal role in clinical variant classification because they were deemed to provide only supporting evidence. Recently, the ClinGen Sequence Variant Interpretation (SVI) Working Group updated recommendations for variant effect prediction use. By analyzing control pathogenic and benign variants across all genes, they were able to compute evidence strength for predictor score intervals with some intervals generating moderate, strong, or even very strong evidence. However, this genome-wide approach could obscure heterogeneous predictor performance in different genes. We quantified the gene-by-gene performance of two top predictors, REVEL and BayesDel, by analyzing control variants in each predictor score interval in 3,668 disease-relevant genes. Approximately 10% of intervals had sufficient control variants for analysis, and ∼70% of these intervals exceeded the maximum number of incorrect predictions implied by the SVI recommendations. These trending discordant intervals arose owing to the divergence of the gene-specific distribution of predictions from the genome-wide distribution, suggesting that gene-specific calibration is needed in many cases. Approximately 22% of ClinVar missense variants of uncertain significance in genes we analyzed (REVEL = 100,629, BayesDel = 71,928) had predictions in trending discordant intervals. Thus, genome-wide calibrations could result in many variants receiving inappropriate evidence strength. To facilitate a review of the SVI's calibrations, we developed a web application enabling visualization of gene-specific predictions and trending concordant and discordant intervals.

Predictors of Inflammation-Mediated Preterm Birth.

Preterm birth remains a worldwide health concern due to ongoing challenges in prediction and prevention. Current predictors are limited by poor performance, need for invasive sampling, and an inability to identify patients in a timely fashion to allow for effective intervention. The multiple etiologies of preterm birth often have an inflammatory component. Thus, a deeper understanding of the inflammatory mechanisms involved in preterm birth may provide opportunities to identify new predictors of preterm birth. This review will discuss the multiple etiologies of preterm birth, their links to inflammation, current predictors available, and new directions for the field.

Calibration of computational tools for missense variant pathogenicity classification and ClinGen recommendations for PP3/BP4 criteria.

Recommendations from the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics and the Association for Molecular Pathology (ACMG/AMP) for interpreting sequence variants specify the use of computational predictors as "supporting" level of evidence for pathogenicity or benignity using criteria PP3 and BP4, respectively. However, score intervals defined by tool developers, and ACMG/AMP recommendations that require the consensus of multiple predictors, lack quantitative support. Previously, we described a probabilistic framework that quantified the strengths of evidence (supporting, moderate, strong, very strong) within ACMG/AMP recommendations. We have extended this framework to computational predictors and introduce a new standard that converts a tool's scores to PP3 and BP4 evidence strengths. Our approach is based on estimating the local positive predictive value and can calibrate any computational tool or other continuous-scale evidence on any variant type. We estimate thresholds (score intervals) corresponding to each strength of evidence for pathogenicity and benignity for thirteen missense variant interpretation tools, using carefully assembled independent data sets. Most tools achieved supporting evidence level for both pathogenic and benign classification using newly established thresholds. Multiple tools reached score thresholds justifying moderate and several reached strong evidence levels. One tool reached very strong evidence level for benign classification on some variants. Based on these findings, we provide recommendations for evidence-based revisions of the PP3 and BP4 ACMG/AMP criteria using individual tools and future assessment of computational methods for clinical interpretation.

penalizedclr: an R package for penalized conditional logistic regression for integration of multiple omics layers.

BACKGROUND: The matched case-control design, up until recently mostly pertinent to epidemiological studies, is becoming customary in biomedical applications as well. For instance, in omics studies, it is quite common to compare cancer and healthy tissue from the same patient. Furthermore, researchers today routinely collect data from various and variable sources that they wish to relate to the case-control status. This highlights the need to develop and implement statistical methods that can take these tendencies into account. RESULTS: We present an R package penalizedclr, that provides an implementation of the penalized conditional logistic regression model for analyzing matched case-control studies. It allows for different penalties for different blocks of covariates, and it is therefore particularly useful in the presence of multi-source omics data. Both L1 and L2 penalties are implemented. Additionally, the package implements stability selection for variable selection in the considered regression model. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed method fills a gap in the available software for fitting high-dimensional conditional logistic regression models accounting for the matched design and block structure of predictors/features. The output consists of a set of selected variables that are significantly associated with case-control status. These variables can then be investigated in terms of functional interpretation or validation in further, more targeted studies.

A Systematic Review of Predictor Composition, Outcomes, Risk of Bias, and Validation of COVID-19 Prognostic Scores.

BACKGROUND: Numerous prognostic scores have been published to support risk stratification for patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: We performed a systematic review to identify the scores for confirmed or clinically assumed COVID-19 cases. An in-depth assessment and risk of bias (ROB) analysis (Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool [PROBAST]) was conducted for scores fulfilling predefined criteria ([I] area under the curve [AUC)] ≥ 0.75; [II] a separate validation cohort present; [III] training data from a multicenter setting [≥2 centers]; [IV] point-scale scoring system). RESULTS: Out of 1522 studies extracted from MEDLINE/Web of Science (20/02/2023), we identified 242 scores for COVID-19 outcome prognosis (mortality 109, severity 116, hospitalization 14, long-term sequelae 3). Most scores were developed using retrospective (75.2%) or single-center (57.1%) cohorts. Predictor analysis revealed the primary use of laboratory data and sociodemographic information in mortality and severity scores. Forty-nine scores were included in the in-depth analysis. The results indicated heterogeneous quality and predictor selection, with only five scores featuring low ROB. Among those, based on the number and heterogeneity of validation studies, only the 4C Mortality Score can be recommended for clinical application so far. CONCLUSIONS: The application and translation of most existing COVID scores appear unreliable. Guided development and predictor selection would have improved the generalizability of the scores and may enhance pandemic preparedness in the future.

Clinical Predictors and Outcomes of Invasive Anal Cancer for People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus in an Inception Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Due to the heterogeneity of risk for invasive anal cancer (IAC) among people with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH), we investigated predictors of IAC and described outcomes among those with a cancer diagnosis. METHODS: Using a longitudinal inception cohort of anal cancer screening, we evaluated risk factors and outcome probabilities for incident IAC in Cox models. Screening included anal cytology and digital anorectal examination, and, if results of either were abnormal, high-resolution anoscopy. RESULTS: Between 30 November 2006 and 3 March 2021, a total of 8139 PWH received care at the University of California, San Diego, with 4105 individuals undergoing screening and subsequently followed up over a median of 5.5 years. Anal cancer developed in 33 of them. IAC was more likely to develop in patients with anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (aHSILs) on initial or subsequent follow-up cytology (hazard ratio, 4.54) and a nadir CD4 cell count ≤200/µL (2.99). The joint effect of aHSILs and nadir CD4 cell count ≤200/µL amplified the hazard of IAC by 9-fold compared with the absence of both. PWH with time-updated cytology aHSIL and CD4 cell counts ≤200/µL had 5- and 10-year probabilities of IAC of 3.40% and 4.27%, respectively. Twelve individuals with cancer died, 7 (21% of the total 33) due to cancer progression, and they had clinical stage IIIA or higher cancer at initial diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: PWH with both aHSIL and a nadir CD4 cell count ≤200/µL have the highest risk of IAC. PWH who died due to IAC progression had clinical stage IIIA cancer or higher at diagnosis, highlighting the importance of early diagnosis through high-resolution anoscopic screening.

Landscape genomics reveals regions associated with adaptive phenotypic and genetic variation in Ethiopian indigenous chickens.

Climate change is a threat to sustainable livestock production and livelihoods in the tropics. It has adverse impacts on feed and water availability, disease prevalence, production, environmental temperature, and biodiversity. Unravelling the drivers of local adaptation and understanding the underlying genetic variation in random mating indigenous livestock populations informs the design of genetic improvement programmes that aim to increase productivity and resilience. In the present study, we combined environmental, genomic, and phenotypic information of Ethiopian indigenous chickens to investigate their environmental adaptability. Through a hybrid sampling strategy, we captured wide biological and ecological variabilities across the country. Our environmental dataset comprised mean values of 34 climatic, vegetation and soil variables collected over a thirty-year period for 260 geolocations. Our biological dataset included whole genome sequences and quantitative measurements (on eight traits) from 513 individuals, representing 26 chicken populations spread along 4 elevational gradients (6-7 populations per gradient). We performed signatures of selection analyses ([Formula: see text] and XP-EHH) to detect footprints of natural selection, and redundancy analyses (RDA) to determine genotype-environment and genotype-phenotype-associations. RDA identified 1909 outlier SNPs linked with six environmental predictors, which have the highest contributions as ecological drivers of adaptive phenotypic variation. The same method detected 2430 outlier SNPs that are associated with five traits. A large overlap has been observed between signatures of selection identified by[Formula: see text]and XP-EHH showing that both methods target similar selective sweep regions. Average genetic differences measured by [Formula: see text] are low between gradients, but XP-EHH signals are the strongest between agroecologies. Genes in the calcium signalling pathway, those associated with the hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF) transcription factors, and sports performance (GALNTL6) are under selection in high-altitude populations. Our study underscores the relevance of landscape genomics as a powerful interdisciplinary approach to dissect adaptive phenotypic and genetic variation in random mating indigenous livestock populations.

CD8+CD103+PD1+TIM3+ T cells in glioblastoma microenvironment correlate with prognosis.

Glioblastoma, isocitrate dehydrogenase-wildtype (GB), is the most common and aggressive primary brain malignancy with poor outcome. Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have been tested in GB and, despite disappointing results, the identification of a small subgroup of responders underlies the need to improve our understanding of the tumour microenvironment (TME) immunity. This study aimed to determine whether the expression of selected immune checkpoints on tissue-resident memory T cells (Trm) may predict patient outcome. We conducted a single cohort observational study. Tumour samples were collected from 45 patients with histologically confirmed GB (WHO grade 4) and processed to obtain single-cell suspensions. Patients were assessed for the correlation of Trm phenotype with overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS) using multiparametric flow cytometry and uni/multivariate analyses. Levels of Trm expressing programmed cell death protein 1 (PD1) and T cell immunoglobulin and mucin domain-containing protein 3 (TIM3) were found to be linked to clinical outcome. Low frequency of Trm expressing PD1 or TIM3 or both markers defined subgroups as independent positive prognostic factors for patient survival. On multivariate analysis, low CD8+CD103+PD1+TIM3+ Trm and Karnofsky performance status (KPS) ≥70 were confirmed to be the most predictive independent factors associated with longer OS (hazard ratios-HR [95%CI]: 0.14 [0.04-0.52] p < 0.001, 0.39 [0.16-0.96] p = 0.04, respectively). The CD8+CD103+ Trm subgroups were also age-related predictors for survival in GB.

Mpox Epidemiology and Risk Factors, Nigeria, 2022.

To investigate epidemiology of and risk factors for laboratory-confirmed mpox during the 2022 outbreak in Nigeria, we enrolled 265 persons with suspected mpox. A total of 163 (61.5%) were confirmed to have mpox; 137 (84.0%) were adults, 112 (68.7%) male, 143 (87.7%) urban/semi-urban dwellers, 12 (7.4%) self-reported gay men, and 3 (1.8%) female sex workers. Significant risk factors for adults were sexual and nonsexual contact with persons who had mpox, as well as risky sexual behavior. For children, risk factors were close contact with an mpox-positive person and prior animal exposure. Odds of being mpox positive were higher for adults with HIV and lower for those co-infected with varicella zoster virus (VZV). No children were HIV-seropositive; odds of being mpox positive were higher for children with VZV infection. Our findings indicate mpox affects primarily adults in Nigeria, partially driven by sexual activity; childhood cases were driven by close contact, animal exposure, and VZV co-infection.

International multicenter study of ultralow graft-to-recipient weight ratio grafts in adult living donor liver transplantation.

Decreasing the graft size in living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) increases the risk of early allograft dysfunction. Graft-to-recipient weight ratio (GRWR) of 0.8 is considered the threshold. There is evidence that smaller volume grafts may also provide equally good outcomes, the cut-off of which remains unknown. In this retrospective multicenter study, 92 adult LDLTs with a final GRWR ≤0.6 performed at 12 international liver transplant centers over a 3-year period were included. Perioperative data including preoperative status, portal flow hemodynamics (PFH) and portal flow modulation, development of small for size syndrome (SFSS), morbidity, and mortality was collated and analyzed. Thirty-two (36.7%) patients developed SFSS and this was associated with increased 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality. The preoperative model for end-stage liver disease and inpatient status were independent predictors for SFSS (P < .05). Pre-liver transplant renal dysfunction was an independent predictor of survival (hazard ratio 3.1; 95% confidence intervals 1.1, 8.9, P = .035). PFH or portal flow modulation were not predictive of SFSS or survival. We report the largest ever multicenter study of LDLT outcomes using ultralow GRWR grafts and for the first time validate the International Liver Transplantation Society-International Living donor liver transplantation study group-Liver Transplantation Society of India consensus definition and grading of SFSS. Preoperative recipient condition rather than GRWR and PFH were independent predictors of SFSS. Algorithms to predict SFSS and LT outcomes should incorporate recipient factors along with GRWR.

Immune prognostic score predicts the risk of infection and survival outcomes in patients with relapsed multiple myeloma treated with bispecific antibodies.

The Glasgow prognostic score (GPS) and CAR-HEMATOTOX (CAR-HT) score identify multiple myeloma (MM) patients at high risk for immune-mediated toxicity and early mortality with cellular immunotherapy. However, their association with outcomes in patients receiving T-cell redirecting bispecific antibodies (bsAb) is unclear. This multi-centre retrospective study examines the association of baseline GPS and CAR-HT scores with outcomes in 126 MM patients treated with bsAb. Overall, 19% were identified as GPS high risk but did not experience increased toxicity or mortality. Conversely, high-risk CAR-HT patients had a higher incidence of infections and inferior survival, suggesting a need for aggressive infection mitigation strategies.

Delays in presentation, diagnosis, and treatment in Sudanese women with breast cancer: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: The poor prognosis of breast cancer in Sudan could be due to delayed treatment and diagnosis at an advanced stage. Our study aimed to assess the extent of delays from onset of symptoms to treatment in Sudanese women with breast cancer, as well as identify factors contributing to these delays. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a multi-center cross sectional study between March and April 2023. Data were collected from the medical records and interviews with women with breast cancer in the two main oncology centers in Sudan. Linear regression was used to identify the predictors of delayed presentation. RESULTS: We interviewed 601 women with breast cancer. The majority of women (50.1%) were diagnosed at locally advanced or metastatic disease. The median interval from the onset of symptoms to receiving oncologic treatment was 221 days (IQR = 92, 496). The longest delay was the presentation delay 61 (31 244) days. The median duration for diagnosis delay and treatment delay was 21 (10.57) days and 27 (10.64) days, respectively. Predictors of early presentation included, being young (ß = -5.3; 95% CI = 0.06 to 10), married (ß = -264; 95% CI = -427 to -101), divorced (ß = -306; 95% CI = -549 to -63), or widowed (ß = -320; 95% CI = --543 to -97), urban residence (ß = -107; 95% CI = -213 to -2.3), and seeking traditional healer (ß = -204; 95% CI = -383 to -26). CONCLUSION: Most Sudanese women with breast cancer experience significant patient delays, often presenting at advanced stages. Factors like being single, older, and living in rural areas contribute to these delays. Increasing breast cancer education, improving healthcare access and addressing sociodemographic barriers can potentially expedite diagnosis and improve outcomes.

Molecular Markers of Response to Anti-PD1 Therapy in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Single-agent anti-PD1 checkpoint inhibitors convey outstanding clinical benefits in a small fraction (∼20%) of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC) but the molecular mechanisms determining response are unknown. To fill this gap, we herein analyze the molecular and immune traits of aHCC in patients treated with anti-PD1. METHODS: Overall, 111 tumor samples from patients with aHCC were obtained from 13 centers before systemic therapies. We performed molecular analysis and immune deconvolution using whole-genome expression data (n = 83), mutational analysis (n = 72), and histologic evaluation with an endpoint of objective response. RESULTS: Among 83 patients with transcriptomic data, 28 were treated in frontline, whereas 55 patients were treated after tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) either in second or third line. Responders treated in frontline showed upregulated interferon-γ signaling and major histocompatibility complex II-related antigen presentation. We generated an 11-gene signature (IFNAP), capturing these molecular features, which predicts response and survival in patients treated with anti-PD1 in frontline. The signature was validated in a separate cohort of aHCC and >240 patients with other solid cancer types where it also predicted response and survival. Of note, the same signature was unable to predict response in archival tissue of patients treated with frontline TKIs, highlighting the need for fresh biopsies before immunotherapy. CONCLUSION: Interferon signaling and major histocompatibility complex-related genes are key molecular features of HCCs responding to anti-PD1. A novel 11-gene signature predicts response in frontline aHCC, but not in patients pretreated with TKIs. These results must be confirmed in prospective studies and highlights the need for biopsies before immunotherapy to identify biomarkers of response.

Facial emotion recognition in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: An exploratory study.

Understanding facial emotions is fundamental to interact in social environments and modify behavior accordingly. Neurodegenerative processes can progressively transform affective responses and affect social competence. This exploratory study examined the neurocognitive correlates of face recognition, in individuals with two mild cognitive impairment (MCI) etiologies (prodromal to dementia - MCI, or consequent to Parkinson's disease - PD-MCI). Performance on the identification and memorization of neutral and emotional facial expressions was assessed in 31 individuals with MCI, 26 with PD-MCI, and 30 healthy controls (HC). Individuals with MCI exhibited selective impairment in recognizing faces expressing fear, along with difficulties in remembering both neutral and emotional faces. Conversely, individuals with PD-MCI showed no differences compared with the HC in either emotion recognition or memory. In MCI, no significant association emerged between the memory for facial expressions and cognitive difficulties. In PD-MCI, regression analyses showed significant associations with higher-level cognitive functions in the emotional memory task, suggesting the presence of compensatory mechanisms. In a subset of participants, voxel-based morphometry revealed that the performance on emotional tasks correlated with regional changes in gray matter volume. The performance in the matching of negative expressions was predicted by volumetric changes in brain areas engaged in face and emotional processing, in particular increased volume in thalamic nuclei and atrophy in the right parietal cortex. Future studies should leverage on neuroimaging data to determine whether differences in emotional recognition are mediated by pathology-specific atrophic patterns.

Degree of COVID-19 severity and mortality in stroke: correlation of clinical and laboratory parameters.

BACKGROUND: Stroke is one of the neurological manifestations of COVID-19, leading to a significant risk of morbidity and mortality. Clinical manifestations and laboratory parameters were investigated to determine mortality predictors in this case. METHOD: The case control study was conducted at Dr. Sardjito General Hospital,Yogyakarta, Indonesia, with data collected between July 2020 and August 2021. All recorded clinical and laboratory data from acute stroke patients with confirmed COVID-19 were collected. Baseline characteristics, bivariate, and multivariate analyses were assessed to determine significant predictors for mortality. RESULT: This study involved 72 subjects with COVID-19 and stroke. The majority experienced ischemic stroke, with hypertension as the most prevalent comorbidity. Notably, 45.8% of subjects (p < 0.05) loss of consciousness and 72.2% of exhibited motor deficits (p < 0.05). Severe degree of COVID-19 was observed in 52.8% of patients, with respiratory distress and death rates of 56.9% and 58.3%. Comparison of surviving and deceased groups highlighted significant differences in various clinical and laboratory characteristics differences. Hazard ratio (HR) analysis identified loss of consciousness (HR = 2.68; p = 0.01), motor deficit (HR = 2.34; p = 0.03), respiratory distress (HR = 81.51; p < 0.001), and monocyte count (HR:1.002; p = 0.04) as significant predictors of mortality. CONCLUSION: Mortality in COVID-19 patients with stroke was significantly associated with loss of consciousness, motor deficit, respiratory distress, and raised monocyte count. The risk of mortality is heightened when multiple factors coexist.

Exome and genome sequencing in a heterogeneous population of patients with rare disease: Identifying predictors of a diagnosis.

PURPOSE: Exome (ES) and genome sequencing (GS) are increasingly being utilized for individuals with rare and undiagnosed diseases; however, guidelines on their use remain limited. This study aimed to identify factors associated with diagnosis by ES and/or GS in a heterogeneous population of patients with rare and undiagnosed diseases. METHODS: In this case control study, we reviewed data from 400 diagnosed and 400 undiagnosed randomly selected participants in the Undiagnosed Diseases Network, all of whom had undergone ES and/or GS. We analyzed factors associated with receiving a diagnosis by ES and/or GS. RESULTS: Factors associated with a decreased odds of being diagnosed included adult symptom onset, singleton sequencing, and having undergone ES and/or GS before acceptance to the Undiagnosed Diseases Network (48%, 51%, and 32% lower odds, respectively). Factors that increased the odds of being diagnosed by ES and/or GS included having primarily neurological symptoms and having undergone prior chromosomal microarray testing (44% and 59% higher odds, respectively). CONCLUSION: We identified several factors that were associated with receiving a diagnosis by ES and/or GS. This will ideally inform the utilization of ES and/or GS and help manage expectations of individuals and families undergoing these tests.

Assessment of the evidence yield for the calibrated PP3/BP4 computational recommendations.

PURPOSE: To investigate the number of rare missense variants observed in human genome sequences by ACMG/AMP PP3/BP4 evidence strength, following the calibrated PP3/BP4 computational recommendations. METHODS: Missense variants from the genome sequences of 300 probands from the Rare Genomes Project with suspected rare disease were analyzed using computational prediction tools able to reach PP3_Strong and BP4_Moderate evidence strengths (BayesDel, MutPred2, REVEL, and VEST4). The numbers of variants at each evidence strength were analyzed across disease-associated genes and genome-wide. RESULTS: From a median of 75.5 rare (≤1% allele frequency) missense variants in disease-associated genes per proband, a median of one reached PP3_Strong, 3-5 PP3_Moderate, and 3-5 PP3_Supporting. Most were allocated BP4 evidence (median 41-49 per proband) or were indeterminate (median 17.5-19 per proband). Extending the analysis to all protein-coding genes genome-wide, the number of PP3_Strong variants increased approximately 2.6-fold compared to disease-associated genes, with a median per proband of 1-3 PP3_Strong, 8-16 PP3_Moderate, and 10-17 PP3_Supporting. CONCLUSION: A small number of variants per proband reached PP3_Strong and PP3_Moderate in 3,424 disease-associated genes, and though not the intended use of the recommendations, also genome-wide. Use of PP3/BP4 evidence as recommended from calibrated computational prediction tools in the clinical diagnostic laboratory is unlikely to inappropriately contribute to the classification of an excessive number of variants as Pathogenic or Likely Pathogenic by ACMG/AMP rules.

Risk factors for invasive pulmonary aspergillosis in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: A multicenter retrospective study.

Invasive pulmonary aspergillosis (IPA) is a life-threatening complication in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), yet SFTS-associated IPA (SAPA)'s risk factors remain undefined. A multicenter retrospective cohort study across Hubei and Anhui provinces (May 2013-September 2022) utilized least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression for variable selection. Multivariable logistic regression identified independent predictors of SAPA, Cox regression highlighted mortality-related risk factors. Of the 1775 screened SFTS patients, 1650 were included, with 169 developing IPA, leading to a 42-day mortality rate of 26.6% among SAPA patients. Multivariable logistic regression revealed SAPA risk factors including advanced age, petechia, hemoptysis, tremor, low albumin levels, elongated activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), intensive care unit (ICU) admission, glucocorticoid usage, intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) and prolonged hospital stays. Cox regression identified predictors of 42-day mortality, including ecchymosis at venipuncture sites, absence of ICU admission, elongated prothrombin time (PT), vasopressor and glucocorticoid use, non-antifungals. Nomograms constructed on these predictors registered concordance indexes of 0.855 (95% CI: 0.826-0.884) and 0.778 (95% CI: 0.702-0.854) for SAPA onset and 42-day mortality, respectively. Lower survival rates for SAPA patients treated with glucocorticoids (p < 0.001) and improved 14-day survival with antifungal therapy (p = 0.036). Improving IPA management in SFTS-endemic areas is crucial, with effective predictive tool.

Osteoarthritis year in review 2023: Epidemiology & therapy.

OBJECTIVE: To highlight some important findings from osteoarthritis (OA) epidemiology and therapy research undertaken over the past year. METHODS: Search of MEDLINE and EMBASE databases between April 1, 2022 to March 3, 2023 using "exp *Osteoarthritis/" as the preliminary search term. The search was limited to articles published in English and including human subjects. Final inclusions were based on perceived importance and results that may inform improved identification of risk factors or OA treatments, as well as OA subgroups of potential relevance to risk factors or treatment approaches. RESULTS: 3182 studies were screened, leaving 208 eligible for inclusion. This narrative review of thirty-three selected studies was arranged into: a) OA predictors - population-based studies, b) Specific predictors of OA and OA outcome; c) Intra-articular injections, and d) OA phenotypes. There was some suggestion of sex differences in predictors of incidence or outcomes. Body mass index changes appear largely to affect knee OA outcomes. Evidence points to a lack of benefit of viscosupplementation in knee OA; findings were variable for other injectables. Studies of OA phenotypes reveal potentially relevant clinical and pathophysiological differences. CONCLUSIONS: Identifying risk factors for the incidence/progression of OA represents an ongoing and important area of OA research. Sex may play a role in this understanding and bears consideration and further study. For knee injectables other than viscosupplementation, additional high-quality trials appear warranted. Continued investigation and application of phenotyping across the OA disease, illness and care spectrum may be key to developing disease-modifying agents and their appropriate selection for individuals.