A marginal structural model for normal tissue complication probability.

The goal of radiation therapy for cancer is to deliver prescribed radiation dose to the tumor while minimizing dose to the surrounding healthy tissues. To evaluate treatment plans, the dose distribution to healthy organs is commonly summarized as dose-volume histograms (DVHs). Normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) modeling has centered around making patient-level risk predictions with features extracted from the DVHs, but few have considered adapting a causal framework to evaluate the safety of alternative treatment plans. We propose causal estimands for NTCP based on deterministic and stochastic interventions, as well as propose estimators based on marginal structural models that impose bivariable monotonicity between dose, volume, and toxicity risk. The properties of these estimators are studied through simulations, and their use is illustrated in the context of radiotherapy treatment of anal canal cancer patients.

Comparative analysis of simultaneous integrated boost and sequential boost radiotherapy in node-positive cervical cancer: dosimetric and radiobiological considerations.

For locally advanced cervical cancer, the standard therapeutic approach involves concomitant chemoradiation therapy, supplemented by a brachytherapy boost. Moreover, an external beam radiotherapy (RT) boost should be considered for treating gross lymph node (LN) volumes. Two boost approaches exist with Volumetric Intensity Modulated Arc Therapy (VMAT): Sequential (SEQ) and Simultaneous Integrated Boost (SIB). This study undertakes a comprehensive dosimetric and radiobiological comparison between these two boost strategies. The study encompassed ten patients who underwent RT for cervical cancer with node-positive disease. Two sets of treatment plans were generated for each patient: SIB-VMAT and SEQ-VMAT. Dosimetric as well as radiobiological parameters including tumour control probability (TCP) and normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) were compared. Both techniques were analyzed for two different levels of LN involvement - only pelvic LNs and pelvic with para-aortic LNs. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS software version 25.0. SIB-VMAT exhibited superior target coverage, yielding improved doses to the planning target volume (PTV) and gross tumour volume (GTV). Notably, SIB-VMAT plans displayed markedly superior dose conformity. While SEQ-VMAT displayed favorable organ sparing for femoral heads, SIB-VMAT appeared as the more efficient approach for mitigating bladder and bowel doses. TCP was significantly higher with SIB-VMAT, suggesting a higher likelihood of successful tumour control. Conversely, no statistically significant difference in NTCP was observed between the two techniques. This study's findings underscore the advantages of SIB-VMAT over SEQ-VMAT in terms of improved target coverage, dose conformity, and tumour control probability. In particular, SIB-VMAT demonstrated potential benefits for cases involving para-aortic nodes. It is concluded that SIB-VMAT should be the preferred approach in all cases of locally advanced cervical cancer.

The risk of radiation-induced neurocognitive impairment and the impact of sparing the hippocampus during pediatric proton cranial irradiation.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Hippocampus is a central component for neurocognitive function and memory. We investigated the predicted risk of neurocognitive impairment of craniospinal irradiation (CSI) and the deliverability and effects of hippocampal sparing. The risk estimates were derived from published NTCP models. Specifically, we leveraged the estimated benefit of reduced neurocognitive impairment with the risk of reduced tumor control. MATERIAL AND METHODS: For this dose planning study, a total of 504 hippocampal sparing intensity modulated proton therapy (HS-IMPT) plans were generated for 24 pediatric patients whom had previously received CSI. Plans were evaluated with respect to target coverage and homogeneity index to target volumes, maximum and mean dose to OARs. Paired t-tests were used to compare hippocampal mean doses and normal tissue complication probability estimates. RESULTS: The median mean dose to the hippocampus could be reduced from 31.3 GyRBE to 7.3 GyRBE (p < .001), though 20% of these plans were not considered clinically acceptable as they failed one or more acceptance criterion. Reducing the median mean hippocampus dose to 10.6 GyRBE was possible with all plans considered as clinically acceptable treatment plans. By sparing the hippocampus to the lowest dose level, the risk estimation of neurocognitive impairment could be reduced from 89.6%, 62.1% and 51.1% to 41.0% (p < .001), 20.1% (p < .001) and 29.9% (p < .001) for task efficiency, organization and memory, respectively. Estimated tumor control probability was not adversely affected by HS-IMPT, ranging from 78.5 to 80.5% for all plans. CONCLUSIONS: We present estimates of potential clinical benefit in terms of neurocognitive impairment and demonstrate the possibility of considerably reducing neurocognitive adverse effects, minimally compromising target coverage locally using HS-IMPT.

Evaluation of the clinical impact of the differences between planned and delivered dose in prostate cancer radiotherapy based on CT-on-rails IGRT and patient-reported outcome scores.

PURPOSE: To estimate the clinical impact of differences between delivered and planned dose using dose metrics and normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) modeling. METHODS: Forty-six consecutive patients with prostate adenocarcinoma between 2010 and 2015 treated with intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) and who had undergone computed tomography on rails imaging were included. Delivered doses to bladder and rectum were estimated using a contour-based deformable image registration method. The bladder and rectum NTCP were calculated using dose-response parameters applied to planned and delivered dose distributions. Seven urinary and gastrointestinal symptoms were prospectively collected using the validated prostate cancer symptom indices patient reported outcome (PRO) at pre-treatment, weekly treatment, and post-treatment follow-up visits. Correlations between planned and delivered doses against PRO were evaluated in this study. RESULTS: Planned mean doses to bladder and rectum were 44.9 ± 13.6 Gy and 42.8 ± 7.3 Gy, while delivered doses were 46.1 ± 13.4 Gy and 41.3 ± 8.7 Gy, respectively. D10cc for rectum was 64.1 ± 7.6 Gy for planned and 60.1 ± 9.3 Gy for delivered doses. NTCP values of treatment plan were 22.3% ± 8.4% and 12.6% ± 5.9%, while those for delivered doses were 23.2% ± 8.4% and 9.9% ± 8.3% for bladder and rectum, respectively. Seven of 25 patients with follow-up data showed urinary complications (28%) and three had rectal complications (12%). Correlations of NTCP values of planned and delivered doses with PRO follow-up data were random for bladder and moderate for rectum (0.68 and 0.67, respectively). CONCLUSION: Sensitivity of bladder to clinical variations of dose accumulation indicates that an automated solution based on a DIR that considers inter-fractional organ deformation could recommend intervention. This is intended to achieve additional rectum sparing in cases that indicate higher than expected dose accumulation early during patient treatment in order to prevent acute severity of bowel symptoms.

The impact of nutritional counseling on thyroid disorders in head and neck cancer patients after (chemo)radiotherapy: results from a prospective interventional trial.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the impact of nutritional counseling on the development of hypothyroidism after (chemo)radiotherapy in head and neck cancer patients to propose a new normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model. MATERIALS AND METHODS: At baseline, at the end of (chemo)radiotherapy, and during follow-up, thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) with free thyroxin (fT3 and fT4), nutritional status, and nutrient intake were prospectively analyzed in 46 out of 220 screened patients. Patients received (chemo)radiotherapy within an intervention (individual nutritional counseling every 2 weeks during therapy) and a control group (no nutritional counseling). RESULTS: Overall median follow-up was 16.5 [IQR: 12; 22] months. Fourteen patients (30.4%) presented with hypothyroidism after 13.5 [8.8; 17] months. During (chemo)radiotherapy, nutritional status worsened in the entire cohort: body mass index (p < 0.001) and fat-free mass index (p < 0.001) decreased, calorie deficit (p = 0.02) increased, and the baseline protein intake dropped (p = 0.028). The baseline selenium intake (p = 0.002) increased until the end of therapy. Application of the NTCP models by Rønjom, Cella, and Boomsma et al. resulted in good performance of all three models, with an AUC ranging from 0.76 to 0.78. Our newly developed NTCP model was based on baseline TSH and baseline ferritin. Model performance was good, receiving an AUC of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.61-0.87), with a sensitivity of 57.1% and specificity of 96.9% calculated for a Youden index of 0.73 (p = 0.004; area = 0.5). CONCLUSION: Baseline TSH and ferritin act as independent predictors for radiotherapy-associated hypothyroidism. The exclusion of such laboratory chemistry parameters in future NTCP models may result in poor model performance.

Impact of RBE variations on risk estimates of temporal lobe necrosis in patients treated with intensity-modulated proton therapy for head and neck cancer.

BACKGROUND: Temporal lobe necrosis (TLN) is a potential late effect after radiotherapy for skull base head and neck cancer (HNC). Several photon-derived dose constraints and normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models have been proposed, however variation in relative biological effectiveness (RBE) may challenge the applicability of these dose constraints and models in proton therapy. The purpose of this study was therefore to investigate the influence of RBE variations on risk estimates of TLN after Intensity-Modulated Proton Therapy for HNC. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Seventy-five temporal lobes from 45 previously treated patients were included in the analysis. Sixteen temporal lobes had radiation associated Magnetic Resonance image changes (TLIC) suspected to be early signs of TLN. Fixed (RWDFix) and variable RBE-weighed doses (RWDVar) were calculated using RBE = 1.1 and two RBE models, respectively. RWDFix and RWDVar for temporal lobes were compared using Friedman's test. Based on RWDFix, six NTCP models were fitted and internally validated through bootstrapping. Estimated probabilities from RWDFix and RWDVar were compared using paired Wilcoxon test. Seven dose constraints were evaluated separately for RWDFix and RWDVar by calculating the observed proportion of TLIC in temporal lobes meeting the specific dose constraints. RESULTS: RWDVar were significantly higher than RWDFix (p < 0.01). NTCP model performance was good (AUC:0.79-0.84). The median difference in estimated probability between RWDFix and RWDVar ranged between 5.3% and 20.0% points (p < 0.01), with V60GyRBE and DMax at the smallest and largest differences, respectively. The proportion of TLIC was higher for RWDFix (4.0%-13.1%) versus RWDVar (1.3%-5.3%). For V65GyRBE ≤ 0.03 cc the proportion of TLIC was less than 5% for both RWDFix and RWDVar. CONCLUSION: NTCP estimates were significantly influenced by RBE variations. Dmax as model predictor resulted in the largest deviations in risk estimates between RWDFix and RWDVar. V65GyRBE ≤ 0.03 cc was the most consistent dose constraint for RWDFix and RWDVar.

Impact of radiation techniques on lung toxicity in patients with mediastinal Hodgkin's lymphoma.

PURPOSE: Mediastinal radiotherapy (RT), especially when combined with bleomycin, may result in substantial pulmonary morbidity and mortality. The use of modern RT techniques like intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) is gaining interest to spare organs at risk. METHODS: We evaluated 27 patients who underwent RT for Hodgkin's lymphoma between 2009 and 2013 at our institution. For each patient, three different treatment plans for a 30-Gy involved-field RT (IFRT) were created (anterior-posterior-posterior-anterior setup [APPA], 5­field IMRT, and 7­field IMRT) and analyzed concerning their inherent "normal tissue complication probability" (NTCP) for pneumonitis and secondary pulmonary malignancy. RESULTS: The comparison of different radiation techniques showed a significant difference in favor of standard APPA (p < 0.01). The risk of lung toxicity was significantly higher in plans using 7­field IMRT than in plans using 5­field IMRT. The absolute juxtaposition showed an increase in risk for radiation pneumonitis of 1% for plans using 5­field IMRT over APPA according to QUANTEC (Quantitative Analyses of Normal Tissue Effects in the Clinic) parameters (Burman: 0.15%) and 2.6% when using 7­field IMRT over APPA (Burman: 0.7%) as well as 1.6% when using 7­field IMRT over 5­field IMRT (Burman: 0.6%). Further analysis showed an increase in risk for secondary pulmonary malignancies to be statistically significant (p < 0.01); mean induction probability for pulmonary malignoma was 0.1% higher in plans using 5­field IMRT than APPA and 0.19% higher in plans using 7­field IMRT than APPA as well as 0.09% higher in plans using 7­field IMRT than 5­field IMRT. During a median follow-up period of 65 months (95% confidence interval: 53.8-76.2 months), only one patient developed radiation-induced pneumonitis. No secondary pulmonary malignancies have been detected to date. CONCLUSION: Radiation-induced lung toxicity is rare after treatment for Hodgkin lymphoma but may be influenced significantly by the RT technique used. In this study, APPA RT plans demonstrated a decrease in potential radiation pneumonitis and pulmonary malignancies. Biological planning using NTCP may have the potential to define personalized RT strategies.

Incorporating dose-volume histogram parameters of swallowing organs at risk in a videofluoroscopy-based predictive model of radiation-induced dysphagia after head and neck cancer intensity-modulated radiation therapy.

PURPOSE: To develop a videofluoroscopy-based predictive model of radiation-induced dysphagia (RID) by incorporating DVH parameters of swallowing organs at risk (SWOARs) in a machine learning analysis. METHODS: Videofluoroscopy (VF) was performed to assess the penetration-aspiration score (P/A) at baseline and at 6 and 12 months after RT. An RID predictive model was developed using dose to nine SWOARs and P/A-VF data at 6 and 12 months after treatment. A total of 72 dosimetric features for each patient were extracted from DVH and analyzed with linear support vector machine classification (SVC), logistic regression classification (LRC), and random forest classification (RFC). RESULTS: 38 patients were evaluable. The relevance of SWOARs DVH features emerged both at 6 months (AUC 0.82 with SVC; 0.80 with LRC; and 0.83 with RFC) and at 12 months (AUC 0.85 with SVC; 0.82 with LRC; and 0.94 with RFC). The SWOARs and the corresponding features with the highest relevance at 6 months resulted as the base of tongue (V65 and Dmean), the superior (Dmean) and medium constrictor muscle (V45, V55; V65; Dmp; Dmean; Dmax and Dmin), and the parotid glands (Dmean and Dmp). On the contrary, the features with the highest relevance at 12 months were the medium (V55; Dmin and Dmean) and inferior constrictor muscles (V55, V65 Dmin and Dmax), the glottis (V55 and Dmax), the cricopharyngeal muscle (Dmax), and the cervical esophagus (Dmax). CONCLUSION: We trained and cross-validated an RID predictive model with high discriminative ability at both 6 and 12 months after RT. We expect to improve the predictive power of this model by enlarging the number of training datasets.

Renaissance of Radiotherapy in Intestinal Lymphoma? 10-Year Efficacy and Tolerance in Multimodal Treatment of 134 Patients: Follow-up of Two German Multicenter Consecutive Prospective Phase II Trials.

PURPOSE: This article reports on the long-term impact of radiotherapy adapted to stage, histology, and previous resection in a large cohort of patients with intestinal lymphoma (iL) treated with definitive or adjuvant curative-intent radiation therapy (RT) ± chemotherapy (CHOP, MCP, or COP). PATIENTS AND METHODS: In two consecutive prospective study designs, 134 patients with indolent (stage IE-IIE) or aggressive (stage IE-IVE) iL were referred to 61 radiotherapeutic institutions between 1992 and 2003. Patients with indolent iL received extended field (EF) 30 Gy (+10 Gy boost in definitive treatment); patients with aggressive iL received involved field (IF) (EF) 40 Gy by means of stage-, histology-, and operation-adapted radiation fields. RESULTS: The patients had median age 58 years and were predominantly male (2:1). Histology showed aggressive prevalence (1.6:1), stage IE-to-stage IIE ratio of iL 1.04:1, and localized stages-to-advanced stages ratio of aggressive lymphoma 23:1. Median follow-up was in total 11.7 years: 10.0 years in the first study, GIT (GastroIntestinal-Tract) 1992, and 11.8 years in the second study, GIT 1996. Lymphoma involvement was predominantly a single intestinal lesion (82.1%). Decrease of radiation field size from EF to IF in stage I aggressive iL from GIT 1992 to GIT 1996 resulted in a nonsignificant partial reduction of chronic toxicity while maintaining comparable survival rates (5-year overall survival 87.9 vs. 86.7%, 10-year overall survival 77.4 vs. 71.5%) with nonsignificant difference in event-free survival (5-year event-free survival 82.6 vs. 86.7%, 10-year event-free survival 69.7 vs. 71.5%) and lymphoma-specific survival (5-year lymphoma-specific survival 90.1 vs. 91.9%, 10-year lymphoma-specific survival 87.6% vs. 91.9%). Comparative dose calculation of two still available indolent duodenal lymphoma computed tomography scans revealed lower radiation exposure to normal tissues from applying current standard involved site RT (ISRT) 30 Gy in both cases. CONCLUSION: RT adapted to stage, histology, and resection in multimodal treatment of iL, despite partially decreasing field size (EF to IF), achieves excellent local tumor control and survival rates. The use of modern RT technique and target volume with ISRT offers the option of further reduction of normal tissue complication probability. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: Although patients with intestinal lymphoma (iL) are heterogeneous according to histology and subtype, they benefit from radiotherapy. Prospective study data from 134 patients with indolent iL (stage IE-IIE) or aggressive iL (stage IE-IVE) show 100% tumor control after definitive or adjuvant curative-intent radiation therapy ± chemotherapy. Radiation treatment was applied between 1992 and 2003. Median follow-up in total was 11.7 years. No radiotherapy-associated death occurred. Relapse developed in 15.7% of the entire cohort; distant failure was more frequent than local (4:1). Normal tissue complication probability can be further improved using modern involved site radiation therapy techniques.

Model-based calculation of thyroid gland normal tissue complication probability in head and neck cancer patients after radiation therapy.

AIM: Primary hypothyroidism is one of the late complications that can occur after radiation therapy for malignant tumors in the head and neck region. The aim of this retrospective study was to show the validity of the Lyman-Kutcher-Burman (LKB) normal tissue complication model for thyroid gland based on clinical results. METHODS: Thyroid function was evaluated by measuring thyroid-stimulating hormone and free thyroxine serum levels before radiation therapy, 3 months after the beginning of radiation therapy, and afterwards at each follow-up visit. Cumulative incidence was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Dose-volume histogram, total dose, fractionation schedule, total duration of the treatment, and other parameters were used for normal tissue complication probability calculation based on the LKB model. The model was evaluated after fitting with the three sets of parameters for grade 2 hypothyroidism: 1) "Emami," where n = 0.22; m = 0.26, and D50 = 80 Gy; 2) "mean dose," where n = 1; m = 0.27, and D50 = 60 Gy; and 3) "Lyman EUD," where n = 0.49; m = 0.24, and D50 = 60 Gy. A value 3.0 Gy was used for α/ß ratio RESULTS: Eighty-three patients treated with volumetric modulated arc therapy for head and neck cancers at the University Hospital Martin, Slovakia, from January 2014 to July 2017, were included in the retrospective study. Median follow-up was 1.2 years. Cumulative incidence of hypothyroidism grade 2 or higher after 12 and 24 months was 9.6 and 22.0%, respectively. Normal tissue complication probability values calculated with mean dose and Lyman EUD parameters showed the best correlation with our clinical findings. CONCLUSION: Empirically based modelling of normal tissue complication probability was valid for our cohort of patients. With carefully chosen parameters, the LKB model can be used for predicting the normal tissue complication probability value.

Cardiotoxicity of mediastinal radiotherapy.

AIM: To explore available recent literature related to cardiotoxicity following mediastinal radiation. BACKGROUND: Radiotherapy-related heart injury is well documented, with no apparent safety threshold dose. The number of long-term cancer survivors exposed to mediastinal radiotherapy at some point of their treatment is increasing. Heart dosimetric parameters are of great importance in developing a treatment plan, but few data are available regarding radiosensitivity and dose-volume constraints for specific heart structures. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In October 2018, we identified articles published after 1990 through a PubMed/MEDLINE database search. The authors examined rough search results and manuscripts not relevant for the topic were excluded. We extracted clinical outcomes following mediastinal radiotherapy of childhood cancers, lymphoma, medulloblastoma, thymic cancers and hematopoietic cell transplantation survivors and evaluated treatment planning data, whenever available. RESULTS: A total of 1311 manuscripts were identified in our first-round search. Of these manuscripts, only 115 articles, matching our selection criteria, were included. CONCLUSIONS: Studies uniformly show a linear radiation dose-response relationship between mean absorbed dose to the heart (heart-Dmean) and the risk of dying as a result of cardiac disease, particularly when heart-Dmean exceeds 5 Gy. Limited data are available regarding dose-volume predictors for heart substructures and the risk of subsequent cardiac toxicity. An individual patient's cardiotoxicity risk can be modified with advanced treatment planning techniques, including deep inspiration breath hold. Proton therapy is currently showing advantages in improving treatment planning parameters when compared to advanced photon techniques in lymphoma, thymic malignancies, malignant mesothelioma and craniospinal irradiation.

Target tailoring and proton beam therapy to reduce small bowel dose in cervical cancer radiotherapy : A comparison of benefits.

PURPOSE: The aim of the study was to investigate the potential clinical benefit from both target tailoring by excluding the tumour-free proximal part of the uterus during image-guided adaptive radiotherapy (IGART) and improved dose conformity based on intensity-modulated proton therapy (IMPT). METHODS: The study included planning CTs from 11 previously treated patients with cervical cancer with a >4-cm tumour-free part of the proximal uterus on diagnostic magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). IGART and robustly optimised IMPT plans were generated for both conventional target volumes and for MRI-based target tailoring (where the non-invaded proximal part of the uterus was excluded), yielding four treatment plans per patient. For each plan, the V15Gy, V30Gy, V45Gy and Dmean for bladder, sigmoid, rectum and bowel bag were compared, and the normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) for ≥grade 2 acute small bowel toxicity was calculated. RESULTS: Both IMPT and MRI-based target tailoring resulted in significant reductions in V15Gy, V30Gy, V45Gy and Dmean for bladder and small bowel. IMPT reduced the NTCP for small bowel toxicity from 25% to 18%; this was further reduced to 9% when combined with MRI-based target tailoring. In four of the 11 patients (36%), NTCP reductions of >10% were estimated by IMPT, and in six of the 11 patients (55%) when combined with MRI-based target tailoring. This >10% NTCP reduction was expected if the V45Gy for bowel bag was >275 cm3 and >200 cm3, respectively, during standard IGART alone. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with cervical cancer, both proton therapy and MRI-based target tailoring lead to a significant reduction in the dose to surrounding organs at risk and small bowel toxicity.

Development of a normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model for radiation-induced hypothyroidism in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.

BACKGROUND: The objectives of this study were to build a normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model of radiation-induced hypothyroidism (RHT) for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients and to compare it with other four published NTCP models to evaluate its efficacy. METHODS: Medical notes of 174 NPC patients after radiotherapy were reviewed. Biochemical hypothyroidism was defined as an elevated level of serum thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) value with a normal or decreased level of serum free thyroxine (fT4) after radiotherapy. Logistic regression with leave-one-out cross-validation was performed to establish the NTCP model. Model performance was evaluated and compared by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in our NPC cohort. RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 24 months, 39 (22.4%) patients developed biochemical hypothyroidism. Gender, chemotherapy, the percentage thyroid volume receiving more than 50 Gy (V50), and the maximum dose of the pituitary (Pmax) were identified as the most predictive factors for RHT. A NTCP model based on these four parameters were developed. The model comparison was made in our NPC cohort and our NTCP model performed better in RHT prediction than the other four models. CONCLUSIONS: This study developed a four-variable NTCP model for biochemical hypothyroidism in NPC patients post-radiotherapy. Our NTCP model for RHT presents a high prediction capability. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This is a retrospective study without registration.

Dosimetric and radiobiological comparison of Cyberknife and Tomotherapy in stereotactic body radiotherapy for localized prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: As recent studies have suggested relatively low α/ß for prostate cancer, the interest in hypofractionated stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) for prostate cancer is rising. The aim of this study is to compare dosimetric results of Cyberknife (CK) with Tomotherapy (HT) in SBRT for localized prostate cancer. Furthermore, the radiobiologic consequences of heterogeneous dose distribution are also analyzed. MATERIAL AND METHOD: A total of 12 cases of localized prostate cancer previously treated with SBRT were collected. Treatments had been planned and delivered using CK. Then HT plans were generated for comparison afterwards. The prescribed dose was 37.5Gy in 5 fractions. Dosimetric indices for target volumes and organs at risk (OAR) were compared. For radiobiological evaluation, generalized equivalent uniform dose (gEUD) and normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) were calculated and compared. RESULT: Both CK and HT achieved target coverage while meeting OAR constraints adequately. HT plans resulted in better dose homogeneity (Homogeneity index: 1.04±0.01 vs. 1.21±0.01; p = 0.0022), target coverage (97.74±0.86% vs. 96.56±1.17%; p = 0.0076) and conformity (new vonformity index: 1.16±0.05 vs. 1.21±0.04; p = 0.0096). HT was shown to predict lower late rectal toxicity as compared to CK. Integral dose to body was also significantly lower in HT plans (46.59±6.44 Gy'L vs 57.05±11.68 Gy'L; p = 0.0029). CONCLUSION: Based on physical dosimetry and radiobiologic considerations, HT may have advantages over CK, specifically in rectal sparing which could translate into clinical benefit of decreased late toxicities.

Dependence of the safe rectum dose on the CTV-PTV margin size and treatment technique.

BACKGROUND: Late rectal injury is a common side effect of external beam radiotherapy for prostate cancer. AIM: The aim of this study was to evaluate what total dose may be safely delivered for prostate patients for 3DCRT and IMRT techniques and the CTV-PTV margin. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 3DCRT and IMRT plans were prepared for 12 patients. For each patient PTV was defined with CTV-PTV margins of 0.4, 0.6, …, 1.0 cm, and total doses of 70, 72, …, 80 Gy, with 2 Gy dose fraction. NTCP values for the rectum were calculated using the Lyman model. Both techniques were compared in terms of population mean DVH. RESULTS: Significantly smaller NTCPs for IMRT were obtained. For both techniques diminishing the margin CTV-PTV of 2 mm leads to decreasing the NTCP of about 0.03. For total dose of 80 Gy the NTCP was smaller than 10% for the 4 mm margin only. The QUANTEC dose volume constraints were more frequently fulfilled for the IMRT technique than for the 3DCRT technique. CONCLUSIONS: The IMRT technique is safer for prostate patients than the 3DCRT. If very high total doses are applied the CTV-PTV margin of 0.4 cm and the IMRT technique should be used. If the CTV-PTV margin of 0.6 cm is applied, the NTCP is smaller than 10% for the 3DCRT and IMRT techniques for the total doses smaller than 74 Gy and 78 Gy, respectively.

Dosimetric effect of tissue heterogeneity for (125)I prostate implants.

AIM: To use Monte Carlo (MC) together with voxel phantoms to analyze the tissue heterogeneity effect in the dose distributions and equivalent uniform dose (EUD) for (125)I prostate implants. BACKGROUND: Dose distribution calculations in low dose-rate brachytherapy are based on the dose deposition around a single source in a water phantom. This formalism does not take into account tissue heterogeneities, interseed attenuation, or finite patient dimensions effects. Tissue composition is especially important due to the photoelectric effect. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The computed tomographies (CT) of two patients with prostate cancer were used to create voxel phantoms for the MC simulations. An elemental composition and density were assigned to each structure. Densities of the prostate, vesicles, rectum and bladder were determined through the CT electronic densities of 100 patients. The same simulations were performed considering the same phantom as pure water. Results were compared via dose-volume histograms and EUD for the prostate and rectum. RESULTS: The mean absorbed doses presented deviations of 3.3-4.0% for the prostate and of 2.3-4.9% for the rectum, when comparing calculations in water with calculations in the heterogeneous phantom. In the calculations in water, the prostate D 90 was overestimated by 2.8-3.9% and the rectum D 0.1cc resulted in dose differences of 6-8%. The EUD resulted in an overestimation of 3.5-3.7% for the prostate and of 7.7-8.3% for the rectum. CONCLUSIONS: The deposited dose was consistently overestimated for the simulation in water. In order to increase the accuracy in the determination of dose distributions, especially around the rectum, the introduction of the model-based algorithms is recommended.

A multivariable normal tissue complication probability model for predicting radiation-induced hypothyroidism in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients in the modern radiotherapy era.

Radiation-induced hypothyroidism (RHT) is a common long-term complication for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) survivors. A model using clinical and dosimetric factors for predicting risk of RHT could suggest a proper dose-volume parameters for the treatment planning in an individual level. We aim to develop a multivariable normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model for RHT in NPC patients after intensity-modulated radiotherapy or volumetric modulated arc therapy. The model was developed using retrospective clinical data and dose-volume data of the thyroid and pituitary gland based on a standard backward stepwise multivariable logistic regression analysis and was then internally validated using 10-fold cross-validation. The final NTCP model consisted of age, pretreatment thyroid-stimulating hormone and mean thyroid dose. The model performance was good with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.749 on an internal (200 patients) and 0.812 on an external (25 patients) validation. The mean thyroid dose at ≤45 Gy was suggested for treatment plan, owing to an RHT incidence of 2% versus 61% in the >45 Gy group.

The role of the soft palate dose regarding normal tissue toxicities in older adults with head and neck cancer undergoing definitive radiotherapy.

PURPOSE: The number of older adults with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is continuously increasing. Older HNSCC patients may be more vulnerable to radiotherapy-related toxicities, so that extrapolation of available normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models to this population may not be appropriate. Hence, we aimed to investigate the correlation between organ at risk (OAR) doses and chronic toxicities in older patients with HNSCC undergoing definitive radiotherapy. METHODS: Patients treated with definitive radiotherapy, either alone or with concomitant systemic treatment, between 2009 and 2019 in a large tertiary cancer center were eligible for this analysis. OARs were contoured based on international consensus guidelines, and EQD2 doses using α/ß values of 3 Gy for late effects were calculated based on the radiation treatment plans. Treatment-related toxicities were graded according to Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0. Logistic regression analyses were carried out, and NTCP models were developed and internally validated using the bootstrapping method. RESULTS: A total of 180 patients with a median age of 73 years fulfilled the inclusion criteria and were analyzed. Seventy-three patients developed chronic moderate xerostomia (grade 2), 34 moderate dysgeusia (grade 2), and 59 moderate-to-severe (grade 2-3) dysphagia after definitive radiotherapy. The soft palate dose was significantly associated with all analyzed toxicities (xerostomia: OR = 1.028, dysgeusia: OR = 1.022, dysphagia: OR = 1.027) in the multivariable regression. The superior pharyngeal constrictor muscle was also significantly related to chronic dysphagia (OR = 1.030). Consecutively developed and internally validated NTCP models were predictive for the analyzed toxicities (optimism-corrected AUCs after bootstrapping: AUCxerostomia=0.64, AUCdysgeusia=0.60, AUCdysphagia=0.64). CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that the dose to the soft palate is associated with chronic moderate xerostomia, moderate dysgeusia and moderate-to-severe dysphagia in older HNSCC patients undergoing definitive radiotherapy. If validated in external studies, efforts should be undertaken to reduce the soft palate dose in these patients.

Evaluation of an automated clinical decision system with deep learning dose prediction and NTCP model for prostate cancer proton therapy.

Objective.To evaluate the feasibility of using a deep learning dose prediction approach to identify patients who could benefit most from proton therapy based on the normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model.Approach.Two 3D UNets were established to predict photon and proton doses. A dataset of 95 patients with localized prostate cancer was randomly partitioned into 55, 10, and 30 for training, validation, and testing, respectively. We selected NTCP models for late rectum bleeding and acute urinary urgency of grade 2 or higher to quantify the benefit of proton therapy. Propagated uncertainties of predicted ΔNTCPs resulting from the dose prediction errors were calculated. Patient selection accuracies for a single endpoint and a composite evaluation were assessed under different ΔNTCP thresholds.Main results.Our deep learning-based dose prediction technique can reduce the time spent on plan comparison from approximately 2 days to as little as 5 seconds. The expanded uncertainty of predicted ΔNTCPs for rectum and bladder endpoints propagated from the dose prediction error were 0.0042 and 0.0016, respectively, which is less than one-third of the acceptable tolerance. The averaged selection accuracies for rectum bleeding, urinary urgency, and composite evaluation were 90%, 93.5%, and 93.5%, respectively.Significance.Our study demonstrates that deep learning dose prediction and NTCP evaluation scheme could distinguish the NTCP differences between photon and proton treatment modalities. In addition, the dose prediction uncertainty does not significantly influence the decision accuracy of NTCP-based patient selection for proton therapy. Therefore, automated deep learning dose prediction and NTCP evaluation schemes can potentially be used to screen large patient populations and to avoid unnecessary delays in the start of prostate cancer radiotherapy in the future.

Probability of normal tissue complications for hematologic and gastrointestinal toxicity in postoperative whole pelvic radiotherapy for gynecologic malignancies using intensity-modulated proton therapy with robust optimization.

This retrospective treatment-planning study was conducted to determine whether intensity-modulated proton therapy with robust optimization (ro-IMPT) reduces the risk of acute hematologic toxicity (H-T) and acute and late gastrointestinal toxicity (GI-T) in postoperative whole pelvic radiotherapy for gynecologic malignancies when compared with three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy (3D-CRT), intensity-modulated X-ray (IMXT) and single-field optimization proton beam (SFO-PBT) therapies. All plans were created for 13 gynecologic-malignancy patients. The prescribed dose was 45 GyE in 25 fractions for 95% planning target volume in 3D-CRT, IMXT and SFO-PBT plans and for 99% clinical target volume (CTV) in ro-IMPT plans. The normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) of each toxicity was used as an in silico surrogate marker. Median estimated NTCP values for acute H-T and acute and late GI-T were 0.20, 0.94 and 0.58 × 10-1 in 3D-CRT; 0.19, 0.65 and 0.24 × 10-1 in IMXT; 0.04, 0.74 and 0.19 × 10-1 in SFO-PBT; and 0.06, 0.66 and 0.15 × 10-1 in ro-IMPT, respectively. Compared with 3D-CRT and IMXT plans, the ro-IMPT plan demonstrated significant reduction in acute H-T and late GI-T. The risk of acute GI-T in ro-IMPT plan is equivalent with IMXT plan. The ro-IMPT plan demonstrated potential clinical benefits for reducing the risk of acute H-T and late GI-T in the treatment of gynecologic malignances by reducing the dose to the bone marrow and bowel bag while maintaining adequate dose coverage to the CTV. Our results indicated that ro-IMPT may reduce acute H-T and late GI-T risk with potentially improving outcomes for postoperative gynecologic-malignancy patients with concurrent chemotherapy.