Personalized assessment of cervical length improves prediction of spontaneous preterm birth: a standard and a percentile calculator.

BACKGROUND: A sonographic short cervix (length <25 mm during midgestation) is the most powerful predictor of preterm birth. Current clinical practice assumes that the same cervical length cutoff value should apply to all women when screening for spontaneous preterm birth, yet this approach may be suboptimal. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to (1) create a customized cervical length standard that considers relevant maternal characteristics and gestational age at sonographic examination and (2) assess whether the customization of cervical length evaluation improves the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth. STUDY DESIGN: This retrospective analysis comprises a cohort of 7826 pregnant women enrolled in a longitudinal protocol between January 2006 and April 2017 at the Detroit Medical Center. Study participants met the following inclusion criteria: singleton pregnancy, ≥1 transvaginal sonographic measurements of the cervix, delivery after 20 weeks of gestation, and available relevant demographics and obstetrical history information. Data from women without a history of preterm birth or cervical surgery who delivered at term without progesterone treatment (N=5188) were used to create a customized standard of cervical length. The prediction of the primary outcome, spontaneous preterm birth at <37 weeks of gestation, was assessed in a subset of pregnancies (N=7336) that excluded cases with induced labor before 37 weeks of gestation. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and sensitivity at a fixed false-positive rate were calculated for screening at 20 to 23 6/7, 24 to 27 6/7, 28 to 31 6/7, and 32 to 35 6/7 weeks of gestation in asymptomatic patients. Survival analysis was used to determine which method is better at predicting imminent delivery among symptomatic women. RESULTS: The median cervical length remained fundamentally unchanged until 20 weeks of gestation and subsequently decreased nonlinearly with advancing gestational age among women who delivered at term. The effects of parity and maternal weight and height on the cervical length were dependent on the gestational age at ultrasound examination (interaction, P<.05 for all). Parous women had a longer cervix than nulliparous women, and the difference increased with advancing gestation after adjusting for maternal weight and height. Similarly, maternal weight was nonlinearly associated with a longer cervix, and the effect was greater later in gestation. The sensitivity at a 10% false-positive rate for prediction of spontaneous preterm birth at <37 weeks of gestation by a short cervix ranged from 29% to 40% throughout pregnancy, yet it increased to 50%, 50%, 53%, and 54% at 20 to 23 6/7, 24 to 27 6/7, 28 to 31 6/7, and 32 to 35 6/7 weeks of gestation, respectively, for a low, customized percentile (McNemar test, P<.001 for all). When a cervical length <25 mm was compared to the customized screening at 20 to 23 6/7 weeks of gestation by using a customized percentile cutoff value that ensured the same negative likelihood ratio for both screening methods, the customized approach had a significantly higher (about double) positive likelihood ratio in predicting spontaneous preterm birth at <33, <34, <35, <36, and <37 weeks of gestation. Among symptomatic women, the difference in survival between women with a customized cervical length percentile of ≥10th and those with a customized cervical length percentile of <10th was greater than the difference in survival between women with a cervical length ≥25 mm and those with a cervical length <25 mm. CONCLUSION: Compared to the use of a cervical length <25 mm, a customized cervical length assessment (1) identifies more women at risk of spontaneous preterm birth and (2) improves the distinction between patients at risk for impending preterm birth in those who have an episode of preterm labor.

Change in cervical length after arrested preterm labor and risk of preterm birth.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between preterm birth and cervical length after arrested preterm labor in high-risk pregnant women. METHODS: In this post-hoc analysis of a randomized clinical trial, transvaginal cervical length was measured in women whose contractions had ceased 48 h after admission for threatened preterm labor. At admission, women were defined as having a high risk of preterm birth based on a cervical length of < 15 mm or a cervical length of 15-30 mm with a positive fetal fibronectin test. Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the association of cervical length measured at least 48 h after admission and of the change in cervical length between admission and at least 48 h later, with preterm birth before 34 weeks' gestation and delivery within 7 days after admission. RESULTS: A total of 164 women were included in the analysis. Women whose cervical length increased between admission for threatened preterm labor and 48 h later (32%; n = 53) were found to have a lower risk of preterm birth before 34 weeks compared with women whose cervical length did not change (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 0.24 (95% CI, 0.09-0.69)). The risk in women with a decrease in cervical length between the two timepoints was not different from that in women with no change in cervical length (aOR, 1.45 (95% CI, 0.62-3.41)). Moreover, greater absolute cervical length after 48 h was associated with a lower risk of preterm birth before 34 weeks (aOR, 0.90 (95% CI, 0.84-0.96)) and delivery within 7 days after admission (aOR, 0.91 (95% CI, 0.82-1.02)). Sensitivity analysis in women randomized to receive no intervention showed comparable results. CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that the risk of preterm birth before 34 weeks is lower in women whose cervical length increases between admission for threatened preterm labor and at least 48 h later when contractions had ceased compared with women in whom cervical length does not change or decreases. © 2021 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Self-reported pain scores as a predictor of preterm birth in symptomatic twin pregnancy: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the self-reported pain scores as a predictor of preterm birth (PTB) in symptomatic twin pregnancy and to develop a nomogram for the prediction model. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of 148 cases of symptomatic twin pregnancies before 34 weeks of gestation visited at Seoul national university hospital from 2013 to 2018. With other clinical factors, self-reported pain score was evaluated by the numerical rating scale (NRS) pain scores for pain intensity. By multivariate analyses and logistic regression, we developed a prediction model for PTB within 7 days. Using the Cox proportional hazards model, the curves were plotted to show the predictability of the PTB according to NRS pain score, while adjusting the other covariates. RESULTS: Twenty-three patients (15.5 %) delivered preterm within 7 days. By a logistic regression analysis, higher NRS pain score (OR 1.558, 95 % CI 1.093-2.221, P < 0.05), shorter cervical length (OR 3.164, 95 % CI 1.262-7.936, P < 0.05) and positive fibronectin results (OR 8.799, 95 % CI 1.101-70.330, P < 0.05) affect PTB within 7 days. Using the variables, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the prediction model was 0.917. In addition, we developed a nomogram for the prediction of PTB within 7 days. CONCLUSIONS: Self-reported pain scores combined with cervical length and fetal fibronectin are useful in predicting impending PTB in symptomatic twin pregnancy.

The influence of race on cervical length in pregnant women in Brazil.

OBJECTIVES: Short cervical length is a predictor of preterm birth. We evaluated if there were racial differences in variables associated with cervical length in pregnant Brazilian women. METHODS: Cervical length was determined by vaginal ultrasound in 414 women at 21 weeks gestation. All women were seen at the same clinic and analyzed by the same investigators. Women found to have a short cervix (≤25 mm) received vaginal progesterone throughout gestation. Composition of the vaginal microbiome was determined by analysis of the V1-V3 region of the gene coding for bacterial 16S ribosomal RNA. Demographic, clinical and outcome variables were determined by chart review. Subjects were 53.4% White, 37.2% mixed race and 9.4% Black. RESULTS: Pregnancy, medical history and education level were similar in all groups. Mean cervical length was shorter in Black women (28.4 mm) than in White (32.4 mm) or mixed race (32.8 mm) women (p≤0.016) as was the percentage of women with a short cervix (23.1, 12.2, 7.8% in Black, White, mixed race respectively) (p≤0.026). Mean cervical length increased with maternal age in White (p=0.001) and mixed race (p=0.045) women but not Black women. There were no differences in bacterial dominance in the vaginal microbiota between groups. Most women with a short cervix delivered at term. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that Black women in Brazil have a shorter cervical length than White or mixed race women independent of maternal age, pregnancy and demographic history or composition of the vaginal microbiome.

Measurement of the uterocervical angle for the prediction of preterm birth in symptomatic women.

PURPOSE: To examine if the uterocervical angle (UCA) can be used to predict preterm delivery in women with painful and regular uterine contractions and a cervical length of 25 mm or less. METHODS: Retrospective study at the perinatal unit of the University Hospital of Tuebingen, Germany. Women with singleton gestation and preterm contractions between 24 + 0 and 33 + 6 weeks' gestation were included. For the UCA measurement, a line is placed from the internal os to the external os irrespective of whether the cervix is straight or curved. A second line is drawn to delineate the lower uterine segment. The angle between the two lines is the UCA measurement. The measurements were taken on stored images from our database. RESULTS: The study consisted of 213 singleton pregnancies. At the time of UCA measurement, median maternal and gestational age was 31.4 years and 29.7 weeks' gestation. Median gestational age at delivery was 35.3 weeks and the corresponding birth weight 2480 g, respectively. The UCA measurement in women who delivered within 2 days, between 3-7 days and after 7 days was not helpful to distinguish between these three groups [median UCA measurements: 108.5°, 108.0° and 107.3° (Kruskal-Wallis test p = 0.576)]. Uni- and multivariate logistic multiple regression analysis demonstrated that the delivery within 2 days was only dependent on the gestational age and the cervical length at the time of presentation. CONCLUSION: The measurement of UCA is not useful in predicting preterm birth in the subsequent 7 days after an episode of preterm contractions.

Predictive factors of labour onset using ultrasonography.

We analysed the effectiveness of transvaginal ultrasonographic and foetal/maternal pulse Doppler findings as predictors of labour onset within 1 week. We included 22 single normal pregnancies and evaluated the one-point and short- and long-term differences in uterine artery pulsatility index (PI), umbilical artery PI, middle cerebral artery PI (MCA-PI), peak systolic velocity, and cervical length (CL). Presence of funnelling and membrane separation over the internal cervical os was evaluated. Significant changes were observed in the one-point measurement of and short-term and long-term differences in CL, the one-point measurement of and long-term difference in MCA-PI, and the presence of membrane separation (Grade 2). In multivariate analysis, the significant predictors were short-term differences in CL (odds ratio [OR]: 5.27), long-term differences in MCA-PI (OR: 13.3), and presence of membrane separation (Grade 2) (OR: 5.38). Transvaginal ultrasonographic and foetal pulse Doppler findings were effective predictors of labour onset within 1 week.Impact statementWhat is already known on this subject? Parameters reported to predict labour onset include the Bishop score, cervical length, decreased long-term cervical length, funnelling of the internal cervical os, and adrenal gland volume.What do the results of this study add? Short-term changes in cervical length, long-term changes in middle cerebral artery pulsatility index, and the presence of membrane separation Grade 2 were found to be useful predictive factors of labour onset in this study.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? The prediction of labour onset enables clinicians to properly manage pregnancy and delivery considering maternal and foetal conditions.

Distribution of uterocervical angles in the second trimester of pregnant women at low risk for preterm delivery.

The uterocervical angle (UCA) has recently been studied as a parameter to identify women at risk for spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB). This study aimed to investigate the distribution of UCA values by transvaginal sonography (TVS) in the second trimester of women at low risk for sPTB. TVS was performed in 450 low-risk pregnant women at gestational age (GA) 160/7-240/7 weeks. The UCA distribution by GA was visualised using a scatter plot. The range of UCA values and their relationship with GA were assessed using quantile regression analysis. p < .05 was considered statistically significant. A total of 242 participants with anteflexed uterus, no history of caesarean section and term delivery were analysed. The normal range of UCA (5th and 95th percentiles) was from 63.0 degrees (95% CI, 53.1-72.9) to 148.8 degrees (95% CI, 139.5-158.0) with no significant changes during this GA period (-0.3 degrees per week, p = .757).Impact statementWhat is already known on this subject? Spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) is a major problem in obstetrics. A screening strategy using history of sPTB and cervical length (CL) measurement is the current standard to identify women at risk for sPTB and provide adequate prevention. However, a third of women who are identified as low risk go on to have sPTB, so a better means needs to be found to more reliably identify women at risk. Various studies have found that a wide uterocervical angle (UCA) was associated with sPTB, and thus the UCA has been proposed as a potential sPTB screening parameter. However, to date there is a lack of prospective studies evaluating this proposal, and no consensus about the proper gestational age to perform UCA measurements to identify women at risk of sPTB.What do the results of this study add? This study reports the distribution of UCA at the GA of 160/7-240/7 weeks of low-risk singleton pregnancy women who delivered at term. The mid-90% values ranged from 63.0 degrees to 148.8 degrees with no significant differences in this GA period.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? Because of the wide range of UCA values at GA 160/7-240/7 weeks, more studies regarding UCA values in various gestational ages are required to fully understand the trend of UCA values along pregnancy and confirm whether or not the UCA would be a useful parameter for sPTB prediction and if so at what gestational age it would have to be assessed.

Single and repeat cervical-length measurement in twin gestation with threatened preterm labor.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effectiveness of single and repeat sonographic cervical-length (CL) measurement in predicting preterm delivery in symptomatic women with a twin pregnancy. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of women with a twin gestation who presented with painful and regular uterine contractions at 24 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks' gestation at the perinatal unit of the University Hospital of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany between 2012 and 2018. CL was measured on transvaginal ultrasound at the time of admission and a few days later after cessation of contractions. Treatment included administration of tocolytics (usually oral nifedipine), for no more than 48 h, and administration of steroids if CL was ≤ 25 mm. Patients were clustered into five groups according to the CL measurement obtained at first assessment: < 10.0 mm; between 10.0 and 14.9 mm; between 15.0 and 19.9 mm; between 20.0 and 24.9 mm; and ≥ 25.0 mm. For each group, we calculated the test performance of CL measurement for prediction of preterm delivery within the subsequent 7 days and before 34 weeks' gestation. Regression analysis was used to evaluate the test performance of the second CL measurement for predicting preterm delivery within 7 days after the second assessment. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 257 twin pregnancies, of which 80.2% were dichorionic diamniotic. Median maternal and gestational ages at the time of admission were 32.0 years and 29.9 weeks' gestation, respectively. Preterm birth within 7 days of admission occurred in 23 (8.9%) pregnancies, and 82 (31.9%) patients delivered prior to 34 weeks' gestation. Median CL for the entire study population was 17.0 mm. Delivery within 7 days after the first assessment occurred in 29.0%, 10.6%, 4.2%, 6.3% and 0% of women with CL < 10.0 mm, 10.0-14.9 mm, 15.0-19.9 mm, 20.0-24.9 mm and ≥ 25.0 mm, respectively. There was a weak, but significant, association between the CL measurement at the time of admission and the time interval between admission and delivery (interval = 27.9 + 0.58 × CL; P = 0.003, r = 0.184). CL was measured again after a median time interval of 3 (interquartile range (IQR), 2-5) days in 248 cases. Median second CL measurement was 17.0 (IQR, 11.5-22.0) mm. Delivery occurred within the subsequent 7 days after the second measurement in 25/248 (10.1%) cases. Binary regression analysis indicated that the first (odds ratio (OR), 0.895; P = 0.003) and second (OR, 0.908; P = 0.002) CL measurements, but not the difference between the two measurements (OR, 0.961; P = 0.361), were associated significantly with delivery within 7 days after the second measurement. Receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC)-curve analysis for the prediction of delivery within 7 days after the second assessment did not show a significant difference between the predictive performance of the first (area under ROC curve (AUC), 0.676 (95% CI, 0.559-0.793)) and the second (AUC, 0.661 (95% CI, 0.531-0.790)) measurement. CONCLUSION: Sonographic measurement of CL can be helpful in predicting preterm delivery within 7 days of presentation in symptomatic women with a twin gestation; however, the test performance is relatively weak. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Predictive Value of Midtrimester Universal Cervical Length Screening Based on Parity.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the effect of parity on performance characteristics of midtrimester cervical length (CL) in predicting spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) before 37 weeks. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 13,508 women with no history of sPTB undergoing universal transvaginal CL screening at 17 to 23 weeks' gestation from 2011 to 2016. Patients who declined screening or with unknown delivery outcomes were excluded. Areas under the receiver operator characteristic curves were used to assess and compare the predictive ability of CL screening for sPTB. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were estimated for specific CL cutoffs for prediction of sPTB. RESULTS: There were 20,100 patients, of whom 2087 (10%) declined screening and 4505 (22%) did not meet inclusion criteria. Of the remaining 13,508 patients, 43% were nulliparous. The incidence rates of sPTB were 6.5% in nulliparas and 4.9% in multiparas (P < .001). The mean CLs were 39.9 mm in nulliparas and 41.8 mm in multiparas (P < .001), and those of the first percentiles were 19.0 mm in nulliparas and 24.0 mm in multiparas. Cervical length was significantly more predictive of sPTB in nulliparas (area under the curve, 0.67; 95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.70; versus 0.61, 95% confidence interval, 0.57-0.63; P = .008). At CL cutoffs of 10, 15, 20, and 25 mm or less, the sensitivity was lower in multiparas, and the specificity was comparable between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: Midtrimester CL is less predictive of sPTB in multiparas compared to nulliparas. The poor predictive ability, especially in multiparas, calls into question the value of universal CL screening in this population.

A Quality Study to Explore Rationale for Pregnant Women to Decline Transvaginal Cervical Length Screening.

OBJECTIVES: To identify patient rationale for pregnant women to decline transvaginal cervical length screening. METHODS: Survey data from 511 women presenting for second-trimester anatomy and transvaginal cervical length sonography were collected during a 4-month period from September 2016 to January 2017. Each patient completed a medical questionnaire that includes demographic and obstetric history data and a survey to document their acceptance or declination of transvaginal cervical length screening. RESULTS: Of the 511 women included in the study, 5.9% (n = 30) declined transvaginal cervical length screening. Demographic characteristics and risk factors for prematurity were similar between those who accepted and declined. The sonographer performing the study was significantly associated with declination of transvaginal cervical length screening (P < .001), with 4 of 13 sonographers accounting for 83.3% of all declinations. The most frequently reported reasons for declining the transvaginal cervical length screening were feeling that it was not needed (47%; n = 14) and not feeling prepared for the transvaginal sonography (27%; n = 8). CONCLUSION: The findings of this study indicate that the sonographer performing transvaginal cervical length screening may be associated with declination. The most common reasons patients cited for declining included not feeling that the study was needed and not feeling prepared for the procedure. Increased sonographer education and sonographer use of a scripted approach when discussing the procedure with patients may improve patient acceptance.

Cervical shear wave elastography as a predictor of preterm delivery during 18-24 weeks of pregnancy.

AIM: The aim of this study was to compare shear wave cervical elasticity between term and preterm delivery group. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted in enrolled 158 pregnant women at 18-24 weeks of gestation who come for second trimester scan consecutively. Transvaginal ultrasonography for cervical length as well as cervical elasticity in five regions of interest was performed. Intraobserver and interobserver reproducibility were evaluated. Gestational age at deliveries was followed, and cervical shear wave elasticity between term and preterm group was compared. RESULTS: A total of 158 pregnant women were enrolled in this study while 120 pregnancies data were collected for subsequent analysis, 10 pregnancies spontaneously delivered during the preterm period and 110 pregnancies delivered at term. Intraobserver and interobserver reproducibility were high; however, cervical shear wave elasticity in both groups were not significantly different (external anterior lip 2.29 ± 0.66 and 2.45 ± 0.58 m/s, P value 0.30, internal anterior lip 2.74 ± 0.96 and 2.80 ± 0.61 m/s, P value 0.83). Nonsignificant correlations of cervical shear wave elasticity with gestational age and cervical length (r = -0.1 and r = 0.02, respectively) were demonstrated. CONCLUSION: Cervical shear wave elasticity in preterm and term groups was not significantly different when measured at 18-24 weeks of gestation. There are nonsignificant correlations between cervical shear wave elasticity, gestational age and cervical length. Cervical shear wave elastography alone should not be used as a predictor for preterm delivery.

Transvaginal sonographic cervical length in first and second trimesters in a low-risk population: a prospective study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess cervical length (CL) longitudinally between the first and second trimesters and to determine the proportion of women with short CL. The study also aimed to assess if women with short CL at 19-24 weeks' gestation could be identified at the time of combined first-trimester screening (cFTS) at 11-14 weeks' gestation, in order to determine the potential value of implementation of CL screening for prediction of preterm delivery in a Danish population. METHODS: This was a prospective longitudinal study of women with singleton pregnancy attending three University Hospitals in Denmark for combined first-trimester screening from 1 November 2013 to 1 December 2014. Exclusion criteria were multiple pregnancy, uterine anomaly, cerclage or progesterone treatment at inclusion. CL was measured on transvaginal sonography at 11-14 weeks (Cx1), 19-21 weeks (Cx2) and 23-24 weeks (Cx3), by trained operators as a straight line from external to internal os. Women with CL ≤ 25 mm were referred to a maternal-fetal medicine specialist for treatment according to a standardized management protocol. RESULTS: Of the 4904 eligible women, 3477 (71%) participated and had Cx1 recorded. Of those, 3232 (93.0%) had CL measured on all three scans. Median Cx1 was 37 mm, and median Cx2 and Cx3 were 40 mm. The proportion of women with CL ≤ 25 mm increased with gestational age, from 0.41% (95% CI, 0.19-0.62%) at Cx1 to 1.79% (95% CI, 1.34-2.24%) at Cx3. In total, the proportion of women with second-trimester CL (Cx2 or Cx3) ≤ 25 mm was 2.0% (n = 67), of which 38.8% (n = 26) were detected at 19-21 weeks. The probability of short CL between 19 and 24 weeks was greater for those with shorter first-trimester CL. It was nearly nine-fold higher for women with Cx1 ≤ 25 mm compared with Cx1 ≥ 35 mm (17% vs 2%). The performance of Cx1 for prediction of short second-trimester CL was 50% at a 10% false-positive rate. It was found that more than 1500 women would need to be screened for short CL at 19-21 weeks to prevent one case of spontaneous preterm delivery before 34 weeks in a population such as the one in this study. CONCLUSIONS: There is an association between first-trimester CL and risk of short cervix in the second trimester. Once short CL was observed, risk of preterm delivery was greatly increased. However, whether universal CL screening should be implemented in this low-risk population depends on cost-benefit analysis taking into account the low proportions of women with short CL and at risk for preterm delivery. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Pessary for prevention of preterm birth in twin pregnancy with short cervix: 3-year follow-up study.

OBJECTIVE: A recent randomized clinical trial (ProTWIN) showed that a cervical pessary prevented preterm birth and improved neonatal outcome in women with multiple pregnancy and cervical length (CL) < 38 mm. In this follow-up study, the long-term developmental outcome of these children was evaluated at 3 years' corrected age. METHODS: This was a follow-up study of ProTWIN, a multicenter trial conducted between 2009 and 2012 in which asymptomatic women with a multiple pregnancy were randomized to placement of a cervical pessary or no intervention. Current follow-up and analysis were limited to mothers with a mid-trimester CL < 38 mm (78 women (157 children) in the pessary group and 55 women (111 children) in the control group). At 3 years of corrected age, surviving children were invited for a Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development-third edition (Bayley-III) assessment. Death after randomization or neurodevelopmental disability (Bayley-III score of ≤ 85, 1 SD below mean) rates were compared between the pessary and control groups, according to the intention-to-treat principle and using multiple imputation for missing data. Mean Bayley-III scores in surviving children were also assessed. A linear mixed-effects model was used to adjust for correlation between children of one mother. RESULTS: From the time of entry in the ProTWIN trial until follow-up at 3 years of age, a total of 27 children had died (six (5%) in the pessary vs 21 (26%) in the control group; odds ratio (OR), 0.13; 95% CI, 0.04-0.48). Bayley-III outcomes were collected for 173/241 (72%) surviving children (114 (75%) in the pessary vs 59 (66%) in the control group). The cumulative incidence of death or survival with a neurodevelopmental disability was 12 (10%) in the pessary vs 23 (29%) in the control group (OR, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.09-0.73). No statistical or clinically relevant differences were found with respect to cognitive, language and motor development among surviving children between the groups. Comparable results were found after multiple imputation. CONCLUSION: In women with twin pregnancy and a CL < 38 mm, the use of a cervical pessary strongly improved survival of the children without affecting neurodevelopment at 3 years' corrected age. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

The Rate of Cervical Length Shortening in the Management of Vasa Previa.

OBJECTIVES: There is no consensus about the optimal surveillance strategy in women with a diagnosis of vasa previa. The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of the rate of change in cervical length measurements in the management of singleton pregnancies with a diagnosis of vasa previa. METHODS: We performed a retrospective case-control study of our databases for pregnancies with a prenatal diagnosis of vasa previa that were followed with transvaginal sonography for cervical length and evaluated the impact of the changes in cervical length on the need for emergency cesarean delivery. RESULTS: The cohort included 29 singleton pregnancies with a prenatal diagnosis of vasa previa in the second trimester. There were 14 and 15 pregnancies that underwent elective and emergency cesarean delivery, respectively. The rate of cervical length shortening was significantly slower for women with elective compared to emergency cesarean delivery (median [range], 0.7 [0.1-2.0] versus 1.5 [0.25-3.0] mm/wk; P = .011). For each additional millimeter-per-week decrease in cervical length, the odds of emergency cesarean delivery increased by 6.50 (95% confidence interval, 1.02-41.20). The receiver operating characteristic curve for the rate of cervical length shortening in the prediction of emergency cesarean delivery yielded an area under the curve of 0.85 (95% confidence interval, 0.69-0.99). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate an association between the rate of cervical length shortening and the risk of emergency cesarean delivery in pregnancies with a diagnosis of vasa previa in the second trimester. Further multicentric studies are required to validate our data prospectively and, in particular, the role of serial cervical length measurements in determining the optimal delivery time for individual cases.

Routine second trimester cervical length screening in low risk women identified women at risk of a 'very' preterm birth but did not reduce the preterm birth rate: a randomised study from India.

Women (n = 300) at 'low risk' for a preterm birth (PTB), a singleton pregnancy and for a 16-24 week period of gestation (POG) were randomised to undergo cervical length (CL) measurement by transvaginal sonography (TVS) or not. The aim was to see if routine CL measurement and treatment of a short CL reduced the PTB rate. 'Low risk' was defined by an absence of a prior abortion or PTB of a singleton infant (>16 to <37 weeks) due to a spontaneous preterm labour (PTL) or a preterm pre-labour rupture of membranes (pPROM). The PTB rate was similar in the screened and unscreened group (10.3 and 8%, respectively, p = .433). In the screened group, women who delivered at 'term' or 'moderate to late' preterm (32 to <37 weeks) had a significantly higher mean CL (3.46 ± 0.41 and 3.48 ± 0.65 cm, respectively) than the women who delivered 'very' preterm (28 to 31 + 6 weeks; 2.05 ± 0.5 cm; p = .01). A short CL ≤2.5 cm was observed in two primigravidas (2/147 or 1.3%). They delivered at 28 + 3 and 30 + 6 weeks POG, respectively, despite treatment with vaginal progesterone and rescue cerclage in one. Their neonates were discharged in a good condition. In our low risk cohort, a routine second trimester CL measurement did not reduce the overall PTB rate. However, it identified two primigravidas at risk of having a 'very' PTB.Clinical Trials Registry (CTRI), India: Registration number CTRI/2016/01/010438 Impact statement What is already known on this subject? In women with a singleton pregnancy who are at a 'low risk' for preterm birth (PTB), a short cervical length (CL) at mid trimester measured by transvaginal sonography (TVS) identifies those at risk for a PTB. This risk may be reduced by the treatment with vaginal progesterone. At present, though evidence in favour of CL measurement in low-risk women exists, it is not established as a part of antenatal care. What do the results of this study add? A routine second trimester CL measurement in low risk women did not reduce the PTB rate. However, screening for a short CL helped to identify two primigravidas at risk for a 'very' PTB. It may be possible that detection and treatment of a short CL averted an 'extremely' PTB (<28 weeks) in these two women. What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? Future studies should assess the outcome of women with a short mid-trimester CL to see whether its treatment resulted in pregnancy prolongation and an improved neonatal outcome.

Insulin-like growth factor binding protein 1, Bishop score, and sonographic cervical length: tolerability and prediction of vaginal birth and vaginal birth within 24 hours following labour induction in nulliparous women.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the tolerability of cervical insulin-like growth factor binding protein 1 (IGFBP-1) and its value as a predictor of successful labour induction, compared with Bishop score and transvaginal ultrasound (TVUS) cervical length. DESIGN: A prospective study. SETTING: A tertiary hospital in Malaysia. POPULATION: A cohort of 193 term nulliparous women with intact membranes. METHODS: Prior to labour induction, cervical fluid was obtained via a vaginal speculum and tested for IGFBP-1, followed by TVUS and finally Bishop score. After each assessment the procedure-related pain was scored from 0 to 10. Cut-off values for Bishop score and cervical length were obtained from the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed. MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES: Vaginal delivery and vaginal delivery within 24 hours of starting induction. RESULTS: Bedside IGFBP-1 testing is better tolerated than Bishop score, but is less well tolerated than TVUS [median (interquartile range) of pain scores: 5 (4-5) versus 6 (5-7) versus 3 (2-3), respectively; P < 0.001]. IGFBP-1 independently predicted vaginal delivery (adjusted odds ratio, AOR 5.5; 95% confidence interval, 95% CI 2.3-12.9) and vaginal delivery within 24 hours of induction (AOR 4.9; 95% CI 2.1-11.6) after controlling for Bishop score (≥4 or ≥5), cervical length (≤29 or ≤27 mm), and other significant characteristics for which the Bishop score and TVUS were not predictive of vaginal delivery after adjustment. IGFBP-1 has 81% sensitivity, 59% specificity, positive and negative predictive values of 82 and 58%, respectively, and positive and negative likelihood ratios of 2.0 and 0.3 for vaginal delivery, respectively. CONCLUSION: IGFBP-1 better predicted vaginal delivery than BS or TVUS, and may help guide decision making regarding labour induction in nulliparous women. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: IGFBP-1: a stronger independent predictor of labour induction success than Bishop score or cervical sonography.

Impact of routine transvaginal ultrasound monitoring of cervical length in twins on administration of antenatal corticosteroids.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether routine measurement of cervical length (CL) by transvaginal ultrasound (TVU) in twin pregnancies can enable identification of women who will give birth before 34 weeks and require antenatal corticosteroids (ACSs), and whether it can limit their administration to women who will give birth later. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective comparative study in two tertiary referral centers in France. Women with twin gestations followed in two tertiary university hospital maternity units and who delivered from January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2009 were included. In one center, TVU was targeted to women with cases of suspected preterm labor, while the other center used it monthly for all twin pregnancies. The main outcome measure was the administration of a full course of ACS to twins delivered before 34 weeks. RESULTS: Two hundred and seventy women were eligible in the "targeted use" group, and 296 women in the "routine use" group. The rate of administration of at least one full course of ACS for twins born before 34 weeks did not differ between the two groups (85.0% in the targeted use group and 90.0% in the routine use group, P=0.40), but the rate of such administration for those born after 34 weeks was lower in the targeted use group (25.7% vs. 81.2%, P<0.01). On adjusting for confounders using logistic regression modeling, no significant difference in ACS administration before 34 weeks was found between the two groups [adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 0.71, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.39-1.30]. CONCLUSION: Routine monitoring performed every month of CL with TVU does not affect the rate of administration of ACS to twins born before 34 weeks, but is associated with a higher rate of such administration for those born later in the specific center of the study.

Role of Cervical Length Measurement for Preterm Delivery Prediction in Women With Threatened Preterm Labor and Cervical Dilatation.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the accuracy and cutoff points for cervical length for predicting preterm delivery in women with threatened preterm labor between those with a closed cervix and cervical dilatation. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of women with singleton pregnancies with threatened preterm labor before 34 weeks. The accuracy of cervical length for predicting preterm delivery was compared between women with cervical dilatation (0.5-3 cm) and those with a closed cervix. The predictive accuracy of cervical length for spontaneous preterm delivery was analyzed with several outcome-specific thresholds. RESULTS: Overall, 1068 women with threatened preterm labor met the inclusion criteria; of them, 276 (25.8%) had cervical dilatation, and 792 (74.2%) had a closed cervix. The risk of preterm delivery before 37 weeks was significantly higher in the cervical dilatation group than the closed cervix group, as well as a shorter assessment-to-delivery interval of within 14 days (P = .001 and .004, respectively). On a multivariable analysis, cervical length was independently associated with the risk of preterm delivery in both groups. There was no significant difference between women with cervical dilatation and those with a closed cervix regarding the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of cervical length for prediction of preterm delivery before 37 (0.674 versus 0.618; P = .18) and 34 (0.628 versus 0.640; P = .88) weeks and an assessment-to-delivery interval of 14 days (0.686 versus 0.660; P= .72). The negative predictive value of cervical length ranged from 77.4% to 95.7% depending on the different thresholds used. CONCLUSIONS: Cervical length was significantly associated with the risk of preterm delivery in women presenting with threatened preterm labor and cervical dilatation of less than 3 cm. However, the predictive accuracy of cervical length as a single measure was relatively limited.

Midpregnancy Cervical Length in Nulliparous Women and its Association with Postterm Delivery and Intrapartum Cesarean Delivery.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between midpregnancy cervical length and postterm delivery and cesarean delivery during labor. STUDY DESIGN: In a multicenter cohort study, cervical length was measured in low-risk singleton pregnancies between 16 and 22 weeks of gestation. From this cohort, we identified nulliparous women who delivered beyond 34 weeks and calculated cervical length quartiles. We performed logistic regression to compare the risk of postterm delivery and intrapartum cesarean delivery to cervical length quartiles, using the lowest quartile as a reference. We adjusted for induction of labor, maternal age, ethnicity, cephalic position, preexisting hypertension, and gestational age at delivery. RESULTS: We studied 5,321 nulliparous women. Women with cervical length in the 3rd and 4th quartile were more likely to deliver at 42(+0) to 42(+6) weeks (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-3.79 and aOR 1.97, 95% CI 1.06-3.67, respectively). The frequency of intrapartum cesarean delivery increased with cervical length quartile from 9.4% in the 1st to 14.9% in the 4th quartile (p = 0.01). This increase was only present in intrapartum cesarean delivery because of failure to progress and not because of fetal distress. CONCLUSION: The longer the cervix at midtrimester the higher the risk of both postterm delivery and intrapartum cesarean delivery.

Cervical length in prediction of preterm birth after laser surgery for twin-twin transfusion syndrome.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the risk factors for spontaneous preterm delivery (PTD) or preterm prelabor rupture of membranes (PPROM) at < 34 weeks' gestation after fetoscopic laser surgery for twin-twin transfusion syndrome and to identify the optimal threshold for preoperative cervical length (CL) that indicates a high risk for spontaneous PTD. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of data prospectively collected from 449 patients at three fetal centers. CL measurements were obtained by preoperative transvaginal ultrasound, at a gestational age of 16-26 weeks. The risk factors associated with spontaneous PTD before 34 weeks' gestation were determined using multivariable logistic regression analysis. We excluded patients with dual fetal demise and those with maternal or fetal indications for delivery without PPROM (n = 63). The optimal threshold for cervical length to predict spontaneous PTD before 34 weeks was determined using a receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curve and Youden index. Additionally, the CL threshold for spontaneous PTD at 2-week intervals between 24 and 34 weeks was determined. RESULTS: Spontaneous PTD before 34 weeks occurred in 206 (53.4%) of the included patients. Only the preoperative CL was significantly associated with spontaneous PTD. The preoperative CL was normally distributed with a mean of 37.6 ± 10.3 mm (range, 5-66 mm). Maternal age and parity were positively associated, and gestational age at procedure and anterior placenta were negatively associated, with CL on multivariable linear regression analysis. The area under the ROC curve for predicting spontaneous PTD with CL measurements was 0.61 (P = 0.02) and the optimal threshold was 28 mm with a Youden index of 0.19 (sensitivity and specificity of 92% and 27%, respectively). A CL measurement of < 28 mm increased the risk of spontaneous PTD for all gestational age thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: Spontaneous PTD at < 34 weeks' gestation is associated with a preoperative CL of < 28 mm. Preventive strategies should focus on this high-risk group.