Time to Surgery and Thyroid Cancer Survival in the United States.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Longer time to surgery worsens survival in multiple malignancies, including lung, colorectal, and breast cancers, but limited data exist for well-differentiated thyroid cancer. We sought to investigate the impact of time to surgery on overall survival in patients with papillary thyroid cancer. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort study of the National Cancer Database, we used Cox proportional hazard models to investigate overall survival as a function of time between diagnosis and surgery for adults with papillary thyroid cancer, adjusting for demographic, patient, and cancer-related variables. Time to surgery was investigated both as a continuous variable and as intervals of 0-90 days, 90-180 days, and > 180 days. Subgroup analyses were conducted by T stage. RESULTS: Overall, 103,812 adults with papillary thyroid cancer were included from 2004 to 2016. Median follow-up was 55.2 months (interquartile range 28.4-89.5). Increasing time to surgery was associated with increased mortality delaying by 91-180 days increased the risk by 30% (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.30, 95% CI 1.19-1.43) and delaying by over 180 days increased the risk by 94% (aHR 1.94, 95% CI 1.68-2.24). Five-year overall survival was 95.7% for 0-90 days, 93.0% for 91-180 days, and 87.9% for over 180 days. On subgroup analysis, increasing delay was associated with worse overall survival for T1, T2, and T3 tumors, but not T4 tumors. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing time to surgery in papillary thyroid cancer is associated with reduced overall survival. Further research is necessary to assess the impact of surgical delay on disease-specific survival.