Transient splenic elastography predicts high-risk esophageal varices in patients with non-cirrhotic portal hypertension.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Non-cirrhotic portal hypertension (NCPH) comprise a group of diseases that cause portal hypertension without cirrhosis, leading to a high risk of hemorrhage from esophageal varices. There are no non-invasive predictors of high-risk varices (HRV) described in the literature for NCPH. This study aimed to evaluate whether transient splenic elastography (TSE) can predict HRV in patients with NCPH. METHODS: Prospective study of patients with NCPH who underwent a single timepoint evaluation with transient liver and spleen elastography, ultrasonography, upper endoscopy, and laboratory tests. The study was performed from January to September 2020. Patients were divided into two groups based on the presence of HRV. The relation between TSE, transient liver elastography (TLE), spleen size, and platelet count to the presence of HRV was evaluated. RESULTS: Of 42 patients with NCPH, 50% (21/42) presented HRV. In univariate analysis, TSE (median, 58.4 vs. 28.3, p = 0.009) and spleen size (median, 17.5 vs. 14.5 cm, p = 0.013) were associated with HRV. No statistically significant relationship was found between the presence of HRV and platelet count or TLE. In multivariate analysis, TSE was the only variable related to HRV (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.02-1.38). TSE had a good performance in predicting HRV in our population (AUROC 0.878; 95% CI 0.751-1000). TSE > 35.4 kPa presents 93.3% sensitivity, 60.0% specificity, and 90.9% negative predictive value. CONCLUSION: In our population of patients with NCPH, TSE is useful in predicting HRV. TLE, spleen size, and platelet count were not related to HRV.