Predictors of long-term mortality in octogenarian veterans following inguinal hernia repair.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: While elective inguinal hernia repair (IHR) in octogenarians carries a low 30-day mortality rate, long-term outcomes are uncharted. If on average, veteran octogenarians are expected to succumb to pre-existing cardiopulmonary disease within a year of diagnosis, watchful waiting might be advisable. This study interrogated long-term mortality and its predictors following elective IHR in veteran octogenarians. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of 109 veterans (≥ 80 years of age), ten of which were nonagenarians who had an elective IHR. Data were dichotomized between deceased vs. non-deceased patients for univariable and multivariable analyses. Patient characteristics were also assessed in patients undergoing general (GA) vs. local (LA) anesthesia and corrected for unilateral repair and age. Kaplan-Meier curves were generated in corrected and uncorrected cohorts receiving GA vs. LA. RESULTS: At the time of analysis, 46 (45.0%) octogenarians were deceased. The average time to death following IHR was 3.7 ± 2.9 years [range (37 days-12.4 years)]. Univariable analysis showed renal disease (19.9% vs. 5.3%), operative time (67.9 ± 29.0 vs. 56.1 ± 14.4 min) and use of GA (73.0% vs. 34.8%) associated with long-term mortality (all p < 0.01). Renal disease [odds ratio (95% confidence intervals) 4.1 (1.2-13.8)] and use of GA [5.0 (2.0-10.0)] were independent predictors of mortality. Patients undergoing LA (n = 62) were older, were more likely to have cardiac disease, and had a higher ASA compared to patients receiving GA (n = 47). After correcting for age, cardiac disease and higher ASA remained more common in patients submitting to LA. Long-term mortality was significantly higher in both matched and unmatched octogenarians undergoing GA. CONCLUSION: Octogenarian veterans with a high burden of comorbid conditions are unlikely to experience short-term mortality because of their pre-existing conditions. Inguinal hernia repair should be offered to octogenarian veterans, but GA should be avoided whenever possible.