Manipulation of Vector Host Preference by Pathogens: Implications for Virus Spread and Disease Management.

ABSTRACT

Some plant pathogens manipulate the behavior and performance of their vectors, potentially enhancing pathogen spread. The implications are evolutionary and epidemiological but also economic for pathogens that cause disease in crops. Here we explore with models the effects of vector manipulation on crop yield loss to disease and on the economic returns for vector suppression. We use two frameworks, one that simulates the proportional occurrence of the pathogen in the vector population with the option to eliminate vectors by a single insecticidal treatment, and one that includes vector population dynamics and the potential for multiple insecticidal sprays in a season to suppress vectors. We parameterize the models with published data on vector manipulation, crop yields as affected by the age of the plant at infection, commodity prices and costs of vector control for three pathosystems. Using the first framework, maximum returns for treating vectors are greater with vector manipulation than without it by approximately US$10 per acre (US$24.7/ha) in peas infected by Pea enation mosaic virus and Bean leaf roll virus, and approximately US$50 per acre (US$124/ha) for potatoes infected by Potato leaf roll virus. Using the second framework, maximum returns for controlling the psyllid vectors of Candidatus Liberibacter solanacearum are 50% greater (approximately US$400/acre, US$988/ha) but additional returns for multiple weekly sprays diminish more with vector manipulation than without it. These results suggest that the economics of vector manipulation can be substantial and provide a framework that can inform management decisions.