Risk Prediction for Clonal Cytopenia: Multicenter Real-World Evidence.

Clonal cytopenia of undetermined significance (CCUS) represents a distinct disease entity characterized by myeloid-related somatic mutations with a variant allele fraction of ≥2% in individuals with unexplained cytopenia(s) but without a myeloid neoplasm (MN). Notably, CCUS carries a risk of progressing to MN, particularly in cases featuring high-risk mutations. Understanding CCUS requires dedicated studies to elucidate its risk factors and natural history. Our analysis of 357 CCUS patients investigated the interplay between clonality, cytopenia, and prognosis. Multivariate analysis identified 3 key adverse prognostic factors: the presence of splicing mutation(s) (score = 2 points), platelet count <100×109/L (score = 2.5), and ≥2 mutations (score = 3). Variable scores were based on the coefficients from the Cox proportional hazards model. This led to the development of the Clonal Cytopenia Risk Score (CCRS), which stratified patients into low- (score <2.5 points), intermediate- (score 2.5-<5), and high-risk (score ≥5) groups. The CCRS effectively predicted 2-year cumulative incidence of MN for low- (6.4%), intermediate- (14.1%), and high- (37.2%) risk groups, respectively, by Gray's test (P <.0001). We further validated the CCRS by applying it to an independent CCUS cohort of 104 patients, demonstrating a c-index of 0.64 (P =.005) in stratifying the cumulative incidence of MN. Our study underscores the importance of integrating clinical and molecular data to assess the risk of CCUS progression, making the CCRS a valuable tool that is practical and easily calculable. These findings are clinically relevant, shaping the management strategies for CCUS and informing future clinical trial designs.

TP53 variant allele frequency and therapy-related setting independently predict survival in myelodysplastic syndromes with del(5q).

Among 210 patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDSs) with del(5q), molecular information was available at diagnosis or at least 3 months before leukaemic transformation in 146 cases. Multivariate analysis identified therapy-related setting (p = 0.02; HR 2.3) and TP53 variant allele frequency (VAF) ≥22% (p < 0.01; HR 2.8), but not SF3B1 mutation (p = 0.65), as independent risk factors for survival. Median survival was 11.7 versus 4 years (5/10-year survival 73%/52% vs. 42%/14%) in the absence (N = 112) versus presence (N = 34) of ≥1 risk factors; leukaemia-free survival was affected by TP53 VAF ≥22% (p < 0.01). Such information might inform treatment decision-making in MDS-del(5q) regarding allogeneic stem cell transplant.

Patterns of lower risk myelodysplastic syndrome progression: factors predicting progression to high-risk myelodysplastic syndrome and acute myeloid leukemia.

The patterns of low-risk myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) progression and the clinical and molecular features of those patterns have not been well described. We divided our low-risk (LR) MDS patients (N=1,914) into 4 cohorts: 1) patients who remained LR-MDS (LR-LR; N=1,300; 68%), 2) patients who progressed from LR to high-risk (HR) MDS (LR-HR) without transformation into acute myeloid leukemia (AML) (N=317; 16.5%), 3) patients who progressed from LR to HR MDS and then AML (LR-HR-AML; N=124; 6.5%), and 4) patients who progressed from LR MDS directly to AML (LR-AML; N=173; 9%). Risk factors for progression included: male gender, low absolute neutrophil count (ANC), low platelet count, high bone marrow (BM) blasts, ferritin >1000 mcg/L, albumin <3.5 g/dL, multi-lineage dysplasia (MLD), and lack of ring sideroblasts. Among patients with marked BM fibrosis (N=49), 18% progressed directly to AML. Somatic mutations (SM) associated with an increased risk of direct or indirect AML progression included SRSF2 and NRAS. SM in IDH1, IDH2 and NPM1 were more common in patients with direct AML transformation. SM associated with progression to higher risk disease only, without AML transformation, were ASXL1, TP53, RUNX1, and CBL. SF3B1 mutation was associated with less progression. About 171 patients (13.1% of all LR-LR patients) died within two years of diagnosis of LR-MDS without disease progression. Among the 61 cases with documented cause of death, 18 patients (29.5%) died from cytopenia and MDS-related complications. Identifying patterns of disease progression of LR MDS patients and their predictive factors will be crucial to be able to tailor therapy accordingly.

Young patients with myelofibrosis have distinct clinicomolecular features, favorable prognosis, and commonly exhibit inflammatory comorbidities.

Myelofibrosis (MF) is commonly diagnosed in older individuals and has not been extensively studied in young patients. Given the infrequent diagnosis in young patients, analyzing this cohort may identify factors that predict for disease development/progression. We retrospectively analyzed clinical/genomic characteristics, treatments, and outcomes of patients with MF aged 18-50 years (YOUNG) at diagnosis. Sixty-three YOUNG patients were compared to 663 patients diagnosed at 51 or older (OLDER). YOUNG patients were more likely to be female, harbor driving CALR mutations, lack splicing gene mutations, and have low-risk disease by dynamic international prognostic scoring system (DIPSS) at presentation. Thirty-six patients (60%) presented with incidental lab findings and 19 (32%) with symptomatic disease. Median time to first treatment was 9.4 months (mo). Fourteen (22%) YOUNG patients underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (median 57.4 mo post-diagnosis). Five (8%) developed blast-phase disease (median 99 mo post-diagnosis). Median overall survival (OS) for YOUNG patients was not reached compared to 62.8 mo in OLDER cohort (p < 0.001). The survival advantage for YOUNG patients lost significance when compared to OLDER patients lacking splicing mutations (p = 0.11). Thirty-one (49%) had comorbidities predating MF diagnosis. Presence of a comorbidity correlated with increased disease risk as measured by serial DIPSS (p=0.02). Increased disease risk correlated with decreased OS (p = 0.05). MF is rare in young adults, has distinct clinical/molecular correlates, and a favorable prognosis. The high frequency of inflammatory comorbidities and their correlation with progression of disease risk clinically highlights the role of inflammation in MF pathogenesis.

Splicing factor 3B subunit 1 (SF3B1) mutation in the context of therapy-related myelodysplastic syndromes.

Splicing factor 3B subunit 1 (SF3B1) somatic mutation in the context of therapy-related myelodysplastic syndromes (t-MDS) has not been well defined. In a large cohort of patients with MDS, those with known SF3B1 somatic mutation were compared as de novo MDS (n = 289) and t-MDS with mutant SF3B1 (SF3B1mut ; n = 31). Baseline characteristics, concomitant mutations, and acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) transformation were similar between the two groups. The median overall survival (OS) of de novo MDS SF3B1mut was significantly longer compared to t-MDS SF3B1mut but not significantly different when adjusted for comorbidities. Comparing t-MDS wild-type SF3B1 (SF3B1WT ; n = 241) to t-MDS SF3B1mut (n = 31), complex cytogenetics were seen in 37.4% versus 10.3% (p = 0.009), tumour protein p53 (TP53) mutation was 36.1% versus 10% (p = 0.004), and AML transformation was 34.4% compared to 12.9% (p = 0.016) respectively. OS was significantly shorter in SF3B1WT versus SF3B1mut . When applying the International Working Group for Prognosis of MDS (IWG-PM) proposed SF3B1 criteria, OS was significantly shorter in SF3B1mut t-MDS compared to de novo MDS SF3B1mut with no significance in AML transformation. Survival was compared between t-MDS SF3B1mut who met the new proposed IWG-PM criteria to t-MDS SF3B1mut who did not meet criteria to survival of SF3B1WT t-MDS. OS was 53 versus 22 and 18 months respectively (p = 0.006). AML transformation was 0%, 26.7% and 32.3% (p = 0.021). Leukaemia-free survival was not reached among the three.

TP53 mutations in myelodysplastic syndromes and secondary AML confer an immunosuppressive phenotype.

Somatic gene mutations are key determinants of outcome in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and secondary AML (sAML). In particular, patients with TP53 mutations represent a distinct molecular cohort with uniformly poor prognosis. The precise pathogenetic mechanisms underlying these inferior outcomes have not been delineated. In this study, we characterized the immunological features of the malignant clone and alterations in the immune microenvironment in patients with TP53-mutant and wild-type MDS or sAML. Notably, PDL1 expression is significantly increased in hematopoietic stem cells of patients with TP53 mutations, which is associated with MYC upregulation and marked downregulation of MYC's negative regulator miR-34a, a p53 transcription target. Notably, patients with TP53 mutations display significantly reduced numbers of bone marrow-infiltrating OX40+ cytotoxic T cells and helper T cells, as well as decreased ICOS+ and 4-1BB+ natural killer cells. Further, highly immunosuppressive regulatory T cells (Tregs) (ie, ICOShigh/PD-1-) and myeloid-derived suppressor cells (PD-1low) are expanded in cases with TP53 mutations. Finally, a higher proportion of bone marrow-infiltrating ICOShigh/PD-1- Treg cells is a highly significant independent predictor of overall survival. We conclude that the microenvironment of TP53 mutant MDS and sAML has an immune-privileged, evasive phenotype that may be a primary driver of poor outcomes and submit that immunomodulatory therapeutic strategies may offer a benefit for this molecularly defined subpopulation.

Clonal selection in therapy-related myelodysplastic syndromes and acute myeloid leukemia under azacitidine treatment.

INTRODUCTION: Therapy-related myelodysplastic syndrome and acute myeloid leukemia (t-MDS/AML) are defined as complications of previous cytotoxic therapy. Azacitidine (AZA), a hypomethylating agent, has showed activity in t-MDS/AML. OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the clonal dynamics of AZA-treated t-MDS/AML. METHODS: We collected bone marrow samples, at diagnosis and during treatment, from AZA-treated t-MDS/AML patients. NGS on 19 myeloid genes was performed, and candidate mutations with a variant allele frequency >5% were selected. RESULTS: Seven t-AML and 12 t-MDS were included with median age of 71 (56-82) years old, median number of AZA cycles of 6 (1-15), and median overall survival (OS) of 14 (3-29) months. We observed correlation between AZA response and clonal selection. Decrease of TP53-mutated clone was correlated with response to AZA, confirming AZA efficacy in this subgroup. In some patients, emergence of mutations was correlated with progression or relapse without impact on OS. Clones with mutations in genes for DNA methylation regulation frequently occurred with other mutations and remained stable during AZA treatment, independent of AZA response. CONCLUSION: We confirmed that the molecular complexity of t-MNs and that the follow-up of clonal selection during AZA treatment could be useful to define treatment combination.

The prognostic value of circulating myeloblasts in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes.

The prognostic value of peripheral blasts (PB) is not well-studied in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). We evaluated the impact of PB on overall survival (OS) and transformation to acute myeloid leukemia (AML) in a large cohort. The MDS database at the Moffitt Cancer Center was retrospectively reviewed to identify patients with ≥ 1% PB (PB-MDS) and those without PB (BM-MDS). We also assessed the correlation between PB and gene mutations. One thousand seven hundred fifty-eight patients were identified, among whom 13% had PB near the time of diagnosis. PB-MDS patients were more likely to be younger with trilineage cytopenia, complex karyotype, higher-risk disease, transfusion dependence, and therapy-related MDS. The rate of AML transformation was 49 vs. 26% (p < 0.005) and median OS was 16.5 vs. 45.8 months (p < 0.005) in the PB-MDS and BM-MDS groups, respectively. In Cox regression analysis, the presence of PB was an independent prognostic covariate for OS, HR 1.57 (95% CI 1.2-2). Among 51 patients with an available gene panel, the rate of ≥ 1 gene mutation in the PB-MDS group (n = 4) was 100% compared to 81% in the BM-MDS group (n = 47). The presence of PB in MDS is an adverse independent prognostic variable that refines prognostic discrimination.

Between a rux and a hard place: evaluating salvage treatment and outcomes in myelofibrosis after ruxolitinib discontinuation.

Ruxolitinib is a JAK1/2 inhibitor that is effective in managing symptoms and splenomegaly related to myelofibrosis (MF). Unfortunately, many patients must discontinue ruxolitinib, at which time treatment options are not well defined. In this study, we investigated salvage treatment options and clinical outcomes among MF patients who received and discontinued ruxolitinib outside the context of a clinical trial. Among 145 patients who received ruxolitinib, 23 died while on treatment, 58 remained on treatment at time of analysis, leaving 64 people available for analysis. Development of cytopenias was the most common reason for discontinuation (38%) after median treatment time of 3.8 months (mo). The majority of patients received some form of salvage therapy after ruxolitinib discontinuation (n = 42; 66%), with allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (alloHSCT) (n = 17), being most commonly employed. Lenalidomide, thalidomide, hydroxyurea, interferon, and danazol were used with similar frequency. The response rate to salvage treatment was 26% (8 responses) and responses were most often seen with lenalidomide or thalidomide. Improved outcomes were observed in patients who underwent alloHSCT or received salvage therapy compared to those who did not receive additional therapy. Median overall survival (OS) after ruxolitinib discontinuation was 13 months. These findings show that salvage therapy can provide clinical responses after ruxolitinib discontinuation; however, these responses are rare and outcomes in this patient population are poor. This represents an area of unmet clinical need in MF.

Prognosis of patients with intermediate risk IPSS-R myelodysplastic syndrome indicates variable outcomes and need for models beyond IPSS-R.

The International Prognostic Scoring System-Revised (IPSS-R) is one standard for myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) risk stratification. It divides patients into five categories including an intermediate subset (IPSS-R int-risk). Outcomes and clinical interventions for patients with IPSS-R int-risk are not well defined. We performed an analysis of outcomes of this group of patients. Out of 3167 patients, a total of 298 were identified with IPSS-R int-risk MDS and retrospectively analyzed to assess characteristics affecting outcomes. Cox proportional hazard models for overall survival (OS) were performed to identify statistically significant clinical factors that influence survival. Age of 66 years or greater, peripheral blood blasts of 2% or more, and history of red blood cell (RBC) transfusion were significantly associated with inferior survival. Based on these features, MDS patients with IPSS-R int-risk were classified into two prognostic risk groups for analysis, an int-favorable group and an int-adverse group, and had significantly divergent outcomes. Sequential prognostication was validated using two independent datasets comprising over 700 IPSS-R int-risk patients. The difference in median survival between int-favorable and int-adverse patients was 3.7 years in the test cohort, and 1.8 and 2.0 years in the two validation cohorts. These results confirm significantly variable outcomes of patients with IPSS-R int-risk and need for different prognostic systems.

Bone marrow cellularity at day 14 is the most important predictive factor for response in patients with AML who require double-induction chemotherapy: Analysis from a large, single institution experience.

In patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML), the presence of residual disease at day 14 after primary induction therapy warrants consideration of a second induction cycle. However, data to guide retreatment decisions in such patients are presently limited. Here, we retrospectively reviewed data from 176 patients with AML treated at our institution with a second induction chemotherapy regimen because of day 14 residual disease. Clinical variables and nadir bone marrow features were assessed for correlations with complete remission (CR) and overall survival (OS). In our patient group, 59% achieved CR after a second induction course. Median OS for the entire group was 12.40 months (95% CI, 9.90-14.90) but 19.07 months (95% CI, 13.13-25.01) for those who attained a CR. Nadir marrow hypocellularity (P < 0.001) at day 14, absolute blast reduction of >50% (P = 0.030), and de novo disease status (P = 0.018) were significantly correlated with CR achievement after re-induction. Marrow hypocellularity at day 14 was the most significant predictor of CR on multivariate analysis (P < 0.001). Nadir marrow features did not independently correlate with OS when accounting for CR status. Re-induction was successful in achieving CR in most patients. Study patients who did not achieve CR were more likely to have nonhypocellular marrows.

Autoimmune diseases and myelodysplastic syndromes.

Immune dysregulation and altered T-cell hemostasis play important roles in the pathogenesis of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). Recent studies suggest an increased risk of MDS among patients with autoimmune diseases. Here, we investigated the prevalence of autoimmune diseases among MDS patients, comparing characteristics and outcomes in those with and without autoimmune diseases. From our study group of 1408 MDS patients, 391 (28%) had autoimmune disease, with hypothyroidism being the most common type, accounting for 44% (n = 171) of patients (12% among all MDS patients analyzed). Other autoimmune diseases with ≥5% prevalence included idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura in 12% (n = 46), rheumatoid arthritis in 10% (n = 41), and psoriasis in 7% (n = 28) of patients. Autoimmune diseases were more common in female MDS patients, those with RA or RCMD WHO subtype, and those who were less dependent on red blood cell transfusion. Median overall survival (OS) was 60 months (95% CI, 50-70) for patients with autoimmune diseases versus 45 months (95% CI, 40-49) for those without (log-rank test, P = 0.006). By multivariate analysis adjusting for revised IPSS and age >60 years, autoimmune diseases were a statistically significant independent factor for OS (HR 0.78; 95% CI, 0.66-0.92; P = 0.004). The rate of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) transformation was 23% (n = 89) in MDS patients with autoimmune disease versus 30% (n = 301) in those without (P = 0.011). Patient groups did not differ in response to azacitidine or lenalidomide treatment. Autoimmune diseases are prevalent among MDS patients. MDS patients with autoimmune diseases have better OS and less AML transformation.

TP53 suppression promotes erythropoiesis in del(5q) MDS, suggesting a targeted therapeutic strategy in lenalidomide-resistant patients.

Stabilization of p53 in erythroid precursors in response to nucleosomal stress underlies the hypoplastic anemia in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) with chromosome 5q deletion [del(5q)]. We investigated whether cenersen, a clinically active 20-mer antisense oligonucleotide complementary to TP53 exon10, could suppress p53 expression and restore erythropoiesis in del(5q) MDS. Cenersen treatment of ribosomal protein S-14-deficient erythroblasts significantly reduced cellular p53 and p53-up-regulated modulator of apoptosis expression compared with controls, accompanied by a significant reduction in apoptosis and increased cell proliferation. In a two-stage erythroid differentiation assay, cenersen significantly suppressed nuclear p53 in bone marrow CD34+ cells isolated from patients with del(5q) MDS, whereas erythroid burst recovery increased proportionally to the magnitude of p53 suppression without evidence of del(5q) clonal suppression (r = -0.6; P = 0.005). To explore the effect of p53 suppression on erythropoiesis in vivo, dexamethasone, a glucocorticoid receptor-dependent p53 antagonist, was added to lenalidomide treatment in eight lower-risk, transfusion-dependent, del(5q) MDS patients with acquired drug resistance. Transfusion independence was restored in five patients accompanied by expansion of erythroid precursors and decreased cellular p53 expression. We conclude that targeted suppression of p53 could support effective erythropoiesis in lenalidomide-resistant del(5q) MDS.

Outcome of patients with low-risk and intermediate-1-risk myelodysplastic syndrome after hypomethylating agent failure: a report on behalf of the MDS Clinical Research Consortium.

BACKGROUND: The hypomethylating agents (HMAs) azacitidine and decitabine are most commonly used to treat patients with higher-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). To the authors' knowledge, the prognosis of patients with low-risk and intermediate-1-risk MDS by the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) after HMA failure has not been explored comprehensively. METHODS: The clinical characteristics and treatment outcome of 438 patients with low-risk and intermediate-1-risk MDS who were treated with HMAs were retrospectively analyzed. RESULTS: Using the International Working Group response criteria, the overall objective response to HMA was 35% with a median of 6 cycles of HMA administered, and the median response duration was 7 months. Only 7% of patients had disease that transformed into acute myeloid leukemia while receiving therapy. Of the 290 patients who were evaluable at the time of HMA failure, 77% remained in the lower-risk disease categories. On multivariate analysis, baseline neutropenia, intermediate-risk and poor-risk baseline karyotype, and lack of response to HMA were found to be independently associated with a higher risk of disease progression. With a median follow-up of 16 months, the median transformation-free survival and overall survival (OS) after HMA failure were 15 months and 17 months, respectively. On multivariate analysis, only The University of Texas MD Anderson Global Scoring System was found to be independently predictive of outcome, with patients with higher-risk categories having poor transformation-free survival (hazards ratio [HR], 1.5; P = .003) and OS (HR, 1.8; P = .002). The administration of salvage therapy was independently associated with better OS only (HR, 0.8; P = .01). CONCLUSIONS: Outcomes of patients with lower-risk MDS after HMA failure are poor and the treatment of these patients remains an unmet medical need. OS is a reasonable primary endpoint for clinical studies targeting this population.