Novel prognostic nomogram for predicting recurrence-free survival in medullary thyroid carcinoma.

AIMS: Recently, there have been attempts to improve prognostication and therefore better guide treatment for patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). In 2022, the International MTC Grading System (IMTCGS) was developed and validated using a multi-institutional cohort of 327 patients. The aim of the current study was to build upon the findings of the IMTCGS to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) in MTC. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from 300 patients with MTC from five centres across the USA, Europe, and Australia were used to develop a prognostic nomogram that included the following variables: age, sex, AJCC stage, tumour size, mitotic count, necrosis, Ki67 index, lymphovascular invasion, microscopic extrathyroidal extension, and margin status. A process of 10-fold cross-validation was used to optimize the model's performance. To assess discrimination and calibration, the area-under-the-curve (AUC) of a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, concordance-index (C-index), and dissimilarity index (D-index) were calculated. Finally, the model was externally validated using a separate cohort of 87 MTC patients. The model demonstrated very strong performance, with an AUC of 0.94, a C-index of 0.876, and a D-index of 19.06. When applied to the external validation cohort, the model had an AUC of 0.9. CONCLUSIONS: Using well-established clinicopathological prognostic variables, we developed and externally validated a robust multivariate prediction model for RFS in patients with resected MTC. The model demonstrates excellent predictive capability and may help guide decisions on patient management. The nomogram is freely available online at https://nomograms.shinyapps.io/MTC_ML_DFS/.

Patterns of Treatment Failure After Selective Rearranged During Transfection (RET) Inhibitors in Patients With Metastatic Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) harbors frequent mutations in RET oncogene. Selective RET inhibitors (RETi) have emerged as effective treatments. However, resistance almost invariably occurs. METHODS: MTC patients who were initiated on RETi between 2018 and 2022 were included. Baseline characteristics, RET mutational status, RETi response, available tumor tissue and molecular profiles sampled pre- and post-RETi were analyzed. RESULTS: Among 46 MTC patients on RETi during the study period, 26 patients had discontinued at data cut-off because of progression (n = 16), death (n = 4), and toxicity (n = 6). The most frequent RET mutations at baseline were p.M918T (n = 29), and p.C634X (n = 6). Pre- and post-RETi molecular profiles were available in 14 patients. There was no primary resistance on pre-RETi samples. Post-RETi profiles revealed a bypass mechanism of resistance in 75% of the cases including RAS genes mutations (50%), FGFR2 and ALK fusions and and MYC p.P44L. RET solvent from and hinge region mutations was the only resistance mechanisms in 25% of the cases. Tumor samples from initial thyroidectomy, pre- and post-RETi, from six patients, showed an increase of the mean Ki 67-index of 7%, 17% and 40% respectively (P = 0.037) and a more aggressive poorly differentiated histology in three patients. DISCUSSION: Bypass resistance may be the most frequent mechanism of progression under RETi. A more aggressive histology may arise following RETi and warrants further investigation.

Intraoperative Parathyroid Gland Identification Using Autofluorescence Imaging in Thyroid Cancer Surgery with Central Neck Dissection: Impact on Post-Operative Hypocalcemia.

Hypoparathyroidism is the most frequent complication in thyroid surgery. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of intraoperative parathyroid gland identification, using autofluorescence imaging, on the rate of post-operative (PO) hypoparathyroidism in thyroid cancer surgery. Patients undergoing total thyroidectomy with central neck dissection from 2018 to 2022 were included. A prospective cohort of 77 patients operated on using near-infrared autofluorescence (NIRAF+) with the Fluobeam® (Fluoptics, Grenoble, France) system was compared to a retrospective cohort of 94 patients (NIR-). The main outcomes were the rate of PO hypocalcemia, with three cutoffs: corrected calcium (Cac) < 2.10 mmol/L, <2.00 mmol/L and <1.875 mmol/L, and the rate of permanent hypoparathyroidism, at 12 months. The rate of PO Cac < 2.10 mmol/L was statistically lower in the NIRAF+ group, compared to the control group (36% and 60%, p = 0.003, respectively). No statistically significant difference was observed for the other two thresholds. There was a lower rate of permanent hypoparathyroidism in the NIRAF+ group (5% vs. 14% in the control group), although not statistically significant (p = 0.07). NIRAF is a surgically non-invasive adjunct, and can improve patients' outcomes for thyroid cancer surgery by reducing post-operative temporary hypoparathyroidism. Larger prospective studies are warranted to validate our findings.