A Simple Clinical Tool for Stratifying Risk of Clinically Significant CKD after Nephrectomy: Development and Multinational Validation.

BACKGROUND: Clinically significant CKD following surgery for kidney cancer is associated with increased morbidity and mortality, but identifying patients at increased CKD risk remains difficult. Simple methods to stratify risk of clinically significant CKD after nephrectomy are needed. METHODS: To develop a tool for stratifying patients' risk of CKD arising after surgery for kidney cancer, we tested models in a population-based cohort of 699 patients with kidney cancer in Queensland, Australia (2012-2013). We validated these models in a population-based cohort of 423 patients from Victoria, Australia, and in patient cohorts from single centers in Queensland, Scotland, and England. Eligible patients had two functioning kidneys and a preoperative eGFR ≥60 ml/min per 1.73 m2. The main outcome was incident eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m2 at 12 months postnephrectomy. We used prespecified predictors-age ≥65 years old, diabetes mellitus, preoperative eGFR, and nephrectomy type (partial/radical)-to fit logistic regression models and grouped patients according to degree of risk of clinically significant CKD (negligible, low, moderate, or high risk). RESULTS: Absolute risks of stage 3b or higher CKD were <2%, 3% to 14%, 21% to 26%, and 46% to 69% across the four strata of negligible, low, moderate, and high risk, respectively. The negative predictive value of the negligible risk category was 98.9% for clinically significant CKD. The c statistic for this score ranged from 0.84 to 0.88 across derivation and validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Our simple scoring system can reproducibly stratify postnephrectomy CKD risk on the basis of readily available parameters. This clinical tool's quantitative assessment of CKD risk may be weighed against other considerations when planning management of kidney tumors and help inform shared decision making between clinicians and patients.

Chronic kidney cortical damage is associated with baseline kidney function and albuminuria in patients managed with radical nephrectomy for kidney tumours.

This study evaluated the relationship between histological markers of chronic kidney damage in patients undergoing radical nephrectomy for kidney tumours and preoperative kidney function, degree of albuminuria, and changes in glomerular volume. A schema to grade chronic kidney damage could be used to identify patients at risk of developing CKD following nephrectomy. Non-neoplastic cortical tissue was sourced from 150 patients undergoing radical nephrectomy for suspected kidney cancer. This tissue was evaluated for indicators of chronic damage, specifically: glomerulosclerosis, arteriosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis, and tubular atrophy. Glomerular volume was determined using the Weibel and Gomez method. Associations between these parameters and both estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) were determined using either a Mann-Whitney U-test or a Kruskal-Wallis ANOVA. Associations between both eGFR and ACR and glomerular volume were assessed using linear regression. eGFR was inversely associated with the degree of glomerulosclerosis (p < 0.001), vascular narrowing (p = 0.002), tubular atrophy (p < 0.001), and interstitial fibrosis (p < 0.001). ACR was associated only with the degree of interstitial fibrosis (p = 0.02) and tubular atrophy (p = 0.02). Glomerular volume was greater for males, diabetics, hypertensive patients, and patients with a greater degree of interstitial fibrosis. Glomerular volume was positively associated with ACR. A schema to grade chronic damage was developed. The proposed schema is associated with baseline clinical indices of kidney function and damage. Longitudinal validation is necessary to determine the prognostic utility of this schema.