Prognostic model for overall survival of head and neck cancer patients in the palliative phase.

BACKGROUND: Patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) enter the palliative phase when cure is no longer possible or when they refuse curative treatment. The mean survival is five months, with a range of days until years. Realistic prognostic counseling enables patients to make well-considered end-of-life choices. However, physicians tend to overestimate survival. The aim of this study was to develop a prognostic model that calculates the overall survival (OS) probability of palliative HNSCC patients. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with incurable HNSCC or patients who refused curative treatment for HNSCC between January 1st 2006 and June 3rd 2019 were included (n = 659). Three patients were lost to follow-up. Patients were considered to have incurable HNSCC due to tumor factors (e.g. inoperability with no other curative treatment options, distant metastasis) or patient factors (e.g. the presence of severe comorbidity and/or poor performance status).Tumor and patients factors accounted for 574 patients. An additional 82 patients refused curative treatment and were also considered palliative. The effect of 17 candidate predictors was estimated in the univariable cox proportional hazard regression model. Using backwards selection with a cut-off P-value < 0.10 resulted in a final multivariable prediction model. The C-statistic was calculated to determine the discriminative performance of the model. The final model was internally validated using bootstrapping techniques. RESULTS: A total of 647 patients (98.6%) died during follow-up. Median OS time was 15.0 weeks (95% CI: 13.5;16.6). Of the 17 candidate predictors, seven were included in the final model: the reason for entering the palliative phase, the number of previous HNSCC, cT, cN, cM, weight loss in the 6 months before diagnosis, and the WHO performance status. The internally validated C-statistic was 0.66 indicating moderate discriminative ability. The model showed some optimism, with a shrinkage factor of 0.89. CONCLUSION: This study enabled the development and internal validation of a prognostic model that predicts the OS probability in HNSCC patients in the palliative phase. This model facilitates personalized prognostic counseling in the palliative phase. External validation and qualitative research are necessary before widespread use in patient counseling and end-of-life care.

National Improvement of Waiting Times: First Results From the Dutch Head and Neck Audit.

OBJECTIVE: Timely treatment initiation in head and neck cancer (HNC) care is of great importance regarding survival, oncological, functional, and psychological outcomes. Therefore, waiting times are assessed in the Dutch Head and Neck Audit (DHNA). This audit aims to assess and improve the quality of care through feedback and benchmarking. For this study, we examined how waiting times evolved since the start of the DHNA. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: National multicentre study. METHODS: The DHNA was established in 2014 and reached national coverage of all patients treated for primary HNC in 2019. DHNA data on curative patients from 2015 to 2021 was extracted on national (benchmark) and hospital level. We determined 3 measures for waiting time: (1) the care pathway interval (CPI, first visit to start treatment), (2) the time to treatment interval (TTI, biopsy to start treatment), and (3) CPI-/TTI-indicators (percentage of patients starting treatment ≤30 days). The Dutch national quality norm for the CPI-indicator is 80%. RESULTS: The benchmark median CPI and TTI improved between 2015 and 2021 from 37 to 26 days and 37 to 33 days, respectively. Correspondingly, the CPI- and TTI-indicators, respectively, increased from 39% to 64% and 35% to 40% in 2015 to 2021. Outcomes for all hospitals improved and dispersion between hospitals declined. Four hospitals exceeded the 80% quality norm in 2021. CONCLUSION: Waiting times improved gradually over time, with 4 hospitals exceeding the quality standard in 2021. On the hospital-level, process improvement plans have been initiated. Systematic registration, auditing, and feedback of data support the improvement of quality of care.

Key Aspects of Prognostic Model Development and Interpretation From a Clinical Perspective.

Importance: Prognostication is an important aspect of clinical decision-making, but it is often challenging. Previous studies show that both patients and physicians tend to overestimate survival chances. Prediction models may assist in estimating and quantifying prognosis. However, insufficient understanding of the development, possibilities, and limitations of such models can lead to misinterpretations. Although many excellent books and comprehensive methodological articles on prognostic model research are published, they may not be accessible enough for the clinical audience. Our aim is to provide an overview on the main issues regarding prediction research for health care professionals to achieve better interpretation and increase the use of prognostic models in daily clinical practice. Observations: The first steps of model development include coding of predictors, model specification, and estimation. Next, we discuss the assessment of the performance of a prediction model, including discrimination and calibration aspects, followed by approaches to internal and external validation and updating. Finally, model reporting, presentation, and steps toward clinical implementation are presented. Conclusions and Relevance: After thorough consideration of the research question, data inspection, and coding of predictors, one can start with the specification of a prediction model. The number of candidate predictors should be kept limited, in view of the number of events in the data, to prevent overfitting. Calibration and discrimination are 2 aspects of model performance that complement each other and should be assessed preferably at external validation. Model development should be accompanied by qualitative research among patients and physicians to facilitate the development of a valuable tool and maximize possibilities for successful implementation. After model presentation is optimized, impact studies are required to assess the clinical value of a prediction model.

Caregiver Burden, Psychological Distress and Quality of Life among Informal Caregivers of Patients with Head and Neck Cancer: A Longitudinal Study.

(1) Background: The aim of this study was to investigate caregiver burden among informal caregivers of head and neck cancer patients, in relation to distress and quality of life (QoL), and the relationship between informal caregivers and patients. (2) Methods: Data of 234 dyads from the multicenter prospective cohort study Netherlands Quality of life and Biomedical Cohort studies in cancer was used. Caregiver burden, psychological distress, global QoL, physical and social functioning were measured from baseline until 24 months after treatment. (4) Conclusions: This prospective cohort study shows the high burden of caring for HNC patients, the impact of this burden and the interaction between caregiver and patient. We suggest that healthcare professionals include caregivers in counseling and support.

Bidirectional Associations of Childhood Stuttering With Behavior and Temperament.

PURPOSE: Behavior and temperament (e.g., emotional reactivity, self-regulation) have been considered relevant to stuttering and its developmental course, but the direction of this relation is still unknown. Knowledge of behavior difficulties and temperament in childhood stuttering can improve screening and intervention. The current study examined both directions of the relationship between stuttering and behavior difficulties and temperament and between persistent stuttering and behavior difficulties and temperament across childhood. METHOD: This study was embedded in the Generation R Study, a population-based cohort from fetal life onward in the Netherlands. We analyzed data from 145 children (4.2%) with a history of stuttering (118 recovered, 27 persistent) and 3,276 children without such a history. Behavior and temperament were repeatedly assessed using parental questionnaires (Child Behavior Checklist) and Infant/Child Behavior Questionnaire between 0.5 and 9 years of age. Multiple logistic and linear regression analyses were performed. RESULTS: Six-month-old children who were less able to "recover from distress," indicating poor self-regulation, were more likely to develop persistent stuttering later in childhood (odds ratio = 2.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) [1.03, 4.05], p = .04). In the opposite direction, children with a history of stuttering showed more negative affectivity (ß = 0.19, 95% CI [0.02, 0.37], p = .03) at 6 years of age than children without such a history. Stuttering persistence was associated with increased internalizing behaviors (ß = 0.38, 95% CI [0.03, 0.74], p = .04) and higher emotional reactivity (ß = 0.53, 95% CI [0.09, 0.89], p = .02) at the age of 9 years. CONCLUSIONS: Behavior and temperament were associated with stuttering persistency-seemingly as both predictor and consequence-but did not predict a history of stuttering. We suggest that children who persist in stuttering should be carefully monitored, and if behavioral or temperamental problems appear, treatment for these problems should be offered. Supplemental Material https://doi.org/10.23641/asha.16869479.

Predicting survival in head and neck cancer: External validation and update of the prognostic model OncologIQ in 2189 patients.

BACKGROUND: Disclosing prognostic information is necessary to enable patients to make well-informed treatment decisions. OncologIQ is a prognostic model that predicts the overall survival (OS) probability in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). We aimed to externally validate and update the model with new prognostic factors and translate it to a clinically useful tool. METHODS: A consecutive retrospective sample of 2189 patients eligible for curative treatment of a primary HNSCC were selected. Discriminative performance was determined using the C-statistic. RESULTS: External validation showed systematic underestimation of OS in the new population, and reasonable discrimination (C-statistic 0.67). Adding smoking, pack years, BMI, weight loss, WHO performance, socioeconomic status, and p16 positivity to the recalibrated multivariable model, improved the internally validated C-statistic to 0.71. The model showed minor optimism and was translated in an online tool (www.oncologiq.nl). CONCLUSIONS: The updated model enables personalized patient counseling during treatment decision consultations.

Outcome of radiotherapy in T1 glottic carcinoma: a population-based study.

We evaluated the radiation outcome and prognostic factors in a population-based study of early (T1N0M0) glottic carcinoma. Survival parameters and prognostic factors were evaluated by uni- and multivariate analysis in 316 consecutive irradiated patients with T1 glottic carcinoma in the Comprehensive Cancer Center West region of the western Netherlands. Median follow-up was 70 months (range 1-190 months). Five and ten-year local control was 86 and 84%. Disease specific survival was 97% at 5 and 10 years. In multivariate analysis, pre-existent laryngeal hypertrophic laryngitis was the only predictive factor for local control (relative risk = 3.0, P = 0.02). Comorbidity was prognostic for overall survival. No factor was predictive for disease specific survival. Pre-existent laryngeal hypertrophic laryngitis is a new risk factor associated with reduced local control in T1 glottic carcinoma treated with radiotherapy.

Results of fiberoptic endoscopic evaluation of swallowing vs. radiation dose in the swallowing muscles after radiotherapy of cancer in the oropharynx.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Dysphagia is a serious complaint but frequently underreported. This paper assesses for oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) the relationship between the dose received by the swallowing structures, and the findings of a fiberoptic endoscopic evaluation of the swallowing process (FEES). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between 2000 and 2005, 60 of 67 OPC patients local-regionally NED for at least one year following treatment responded to three types of QoL questionnaires; i.e. Performance Status Scales, EORTC H&N35, and M.D. Anderson Dysphagia Inventory. Twenty-four patients agreed to the FEES procedure. The main swallowing muscles were delineated, with the mean dose per muscle calculated using the original 3D CT-based treatment plans. Regression analysis was performed between FEES variables and the doses in the different swallowing muscles and the dysphagia related questionnaires. RESULTS: A significant relationship was found between the results of FEES and the mean dose in the superior constrictor muscle (SCM). Some of the subjective dysphagia complaints were significantly correlated with the FEES variables in this retrospectively study. CONCLUSION: A higher dose in the SCM generally results in worsening of the findings obtained by the FEES examination.

Surgical management of inverted papilloma; a single-center analysis of 247 patients with long follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Our aim was to review our management of inverted papilloma (IP), perform a recurrence analysis, and review the literature. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 247 patients treated for an IP. Patients were grouped according to surgical approach, tumor presentation (primary, residual and recurrence) and Krouse-stage. RESULTS: Recurrence was observed in 20.3%, 28.6% and 35.1% (p = 0.017) of the patients who underwent endoscopic, external and combined surgery, respectively. Recurrences occurred more often in residual than primary IP (36.9% vs. 22.3%, p = 0.021). Primary endoscopic surgery had a recurrence rate of 12.5%, which was comparable to the recent literature (11.2%, 161/1433). CONCLUSIONS: The relatively high number of recurrences in this cohort is explained by the long follow-up and previous (incomplete) surgery in 61.5% of the cases. The inferior outcome of residual IP underscores the importance of having a low threshold for preoperative biopsy in unilateral and atypical sinonasal disease.

Treatment techniques and site considerations regarding dysphagia-related quality of life in cancer of the oropharynx and nasopharynx.

PURPOSE: To assess the relationship for oropharyngeal (OP) cancer and nasopharyngeal (NP) cancer between the dose received by the swallowing structures and the dysphagia related quality of life (QoL). METHODS AND MATERIALS: Between 2000 and 2005, 85 OP and 47 NP cancer patients were treated by radiation therapy. After 46 Gy, OP cancer is boosted by intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT), brachytherapy (BT), or frameless stereotactic radiation/cyberknife (CBK). After 46 Gy, the NP cancer was boosted with parallel-opposed fields or IMRT to a total dose of 70 Gy; subsequently, a second boost was given by either BT (11 Gy) or stereotactic radiation (SRT)/CBK (11.2 Gy). Sixty OP and 21 NP cancer patients responded to functional and QoL questionnaires (i.e., the Performance Status Scales, European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer H&N35, and M.D. Anderson Dysphagia Inventory). The swallowing muscles were delineated and the mean dose calculated using the original three-dimensional computed tomography-based treatment plans. Univariate analyses were performed using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Most dysphagia problems were observed in the base of tongue tumors. For OP cancer, boosting with IMRT resulted in more dysphagia as opposed to BT or SRT/CBK. For NPC patients, in contrast to the first booster dose (46-70 Gy), no additional increase of dysphagia by the second boost was observed. CONCLUSIONS: The lowest mean doses of radiation to the swallowing muscles were achieved when using BT as opposed to SRT/CBK or IMRT. For the 81 patients alive with no evidence of disease for at least 1 year, a dose-effect relationship was observed between the dose in the superior constrictor muscle and the "normalcy of diet" (Performance Status Scales) or "swallowing scale" (H&N35) scores (p < 0.01).

Second malignant neoplasia in early (TIS-T1) glottic carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: We performed a population-based study to determine the incidence and patterns of second malignant neoplasia (SMN) in early glottic carcinoma. METHODS: All patients diagnosed with Tis-T1 glottic carcinoma in the southwest of the Netherlands between 1982 and 1993 (359) were included. Sources of the data were patient charts and the regional cancer registry. RESULTS: SMN incidence was 27.7% (median follow-up, 89 months). Observed-to-expected ratios were increased for lung, bladder, urinary tract, pancreatic, colorectal, and head and neck cancers. The incidence of head and neck and esophageal cancer was surprisingly low. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with early glottic carcinoma are at a reliably increased risk of the development of tumors not only in the areas of the upper aerodigestive tract, but also in the bladder, pancreas, and colorectum. The low incidence of head and neck and esophageal tumors does not appear to support routine panendoscopy in this patient population.