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OBJECTIVE: There is an urgent need for novel biomarkers that are inexpensive, effective and easily accessible to complement the early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. This study aimed to analyze the relationship between serum gamma-glutamate-transpeptidase to platelet ratio, alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index, fibrosis index based on four factors and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma, and to determine the optimal cut-offs for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma. METHODS: Based on a prospective cohort study, 44 215 participants who were cancer-free at baseline (2011-13) were included in the study. Cox proportional hazard models and receiver operating characteristics curves were used to analyze the diagnostic value and optimal cut-off value of gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio, alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis index based on four factors in predicting hepatocellular carcinoma patients. RESULTS: Gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio, alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis index based on four factors can be used as early independent predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma risk. The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in the fourth quantile of gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio and alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index was 4.04 times (hazard ratio = 4.04, 95% confidence interval: 2.09, 7.80) and 2.59 times (hazard ratio = 2.59, 95% confidence interval: 1.45, 4.61), respectively, compared with the first quantile. With fibrosis index based on four factors first quantile as a reference, fibrosis index based on four factors fourth quantile had the highest risk (hazard ratio = 18.58, 95% confidence interval: 7.55, 45.72). Receiver operating characteristic results showed that fibrosis index based on four factors had a stronger ability to predict the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (area under curve = 0.81, 95% confidence interval: 0.80, 0.81), and similar results were shown for gender stratification. In the total population, the optimal cut-off values of gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio, alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis index based on four factors were 0.208, 0.629 and 1.942, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio, alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis index based on four factors were independent predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma risk. Amongst them, fibrosis index based on four factors shows a stronger predictive ability for hepatocellular carcinoma risk, and gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio and alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index can be used as complementary indicators.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Peptidil Transferasas , Humanos , Cirrosis Hepática/diagnóstico , Cirrosis Hepática/patología , Fosfatasa Alcalina , Estudios Prospectivos , Recuento de Plaquetas , gamma-Glutamiltransferasa , Curva ROC , Estudios Retrospectivos , Diagnóstico PrecozRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: To explore the relationship between body mass index (BMI), chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) and the risk of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) in populations with different body types defined by BMI. METHODS AND RESULTS: 24 191 participants from the Jinchang cohort were involved in the prospective cohort study with a 2.3-year follow-up. Information from epidemiological investigations, comprehensive health examinations and biochemical examinations was collected. MASLD was assessed by abdominal ultrasonography. BMI and CVAI were calculated using recognized formulas. Cox regressions, Restricted cubic spline (RCS) and Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were performed. The risk of MASLD increased with the increase in BMI and CVAI (Ptrend <0.001), and there was a nonlinear dose-response relationship. In the total population, BMI and CVAI increased the risk of MASLD with adjusted HR (95%CI) of 1.097 (1.091-1.104) and 1.024 (1.023-1.026), respectively. The results were similar in the lean and overweight/obese groups. There was also a nonlinear relationship between CVAI and MASLD (Pnon-linearity<0.001), no matter in which group. The area under the curve of CVAI was significantly higher than that of BMI in females with different body types, and the areas in the whole females were 0.802 (95%CI: 0.787-0.818) and 0.764 (95%CI: 0.747-0.780), respectively. There was no significant difference in the ability of BMI and CVAI to predict MASLD in all-sex and males, either in lean or overweight/obese groups. CONCLUSIONS: CVAI and BMI were independently associated with the risk of MASLD regardless of body types defined by BMI, and CVAI showed better diagnostic ability for MASLD in females.
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Hígado Graso , Enfermedades Metabólicas , Femenino , Masculino , Humanos , Índice de Masa Corporal , Incidencia , Sobrepeso , Estudios Prospectivos , Somatotipos , Obesidad/diagnóstico , Obesidad/epidemiología , China/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Studies have demonstrated that fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is an underlying risk factor for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but evidence exploring the relationship between PM2.5 chemical components and T2DM was extremely limited, to investigate the effects of long-term exposure to PM2.5 and its five constituents (sulfate [SO42-], nitrate [NO3-], ammonium [NH4+]), organic matter [OM] and black carbon [BC]) on incidence of T2DM. Based on the "Jinchang Cohort" platform, a total of 19,884 participants were selected for analysis. Daily average concentrations of pollutants were gained from Tracking Air Pollution in China (TAP). Cox proportional hazards regression models were utilized to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) in single-pollutant models, restricted cubic splines functions were used to examine the dose-response relationships, and quantile g-computation (QgC) was applied to evaluate the combined effect of PM2.5 compositions on T2DM. Stratification analysis was also considered. A total of 791 developed new cases of T2DM were observed during a follow-up period of 45254.16 person-years. The concentrations of PM2.5, NO3-, NH4+, OM and BC were significantly associated with incidence of T2DM (P-trend < 0.05), with the HRs in the highest quartiles of 2.16 (95% CI 1.79, 2.62), 1.43 (95% CI 1.16, 1.75), 1.75 (95% CI 1.45, 2.11), 1.31 (95% CI 1.08, 1.59) and 1.79 (95% CI 1.46, 2.21), respectively. Findings of QgC model showed a noticeably positive joint effect of one quartile increase in PM2.5 constituents on increased T2DM morbidity (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.09, 1.49), and BC (32.7%) contributed the most to the overall effect. The drinkers, workers and subjects with hypertension, obesity, higher physical activity, and lower education and income were generally more susceptible to PM2.5 components hazards. Long-term exposure to PM2.5 and its components (i.e., NO3-, NH4+, OM, BC) was positively correlated with T2DM incidence. Moreover, BC may be the most responsible for the association between PM2.5 constituents and T2DM. In the future, more epidemiological and experimental studies are needed to identify the link and potential biological mechanisms.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Contaminantes Ambientales , Humanos , Incidencia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/inducido químicamente , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , China/epidemiología , Material Particulado/toxicidadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: To explore the bidirectional relationship between NAFLD and type 2 diabetes and the possible directions of the main effect. METHODS AND RESULTS: 30 633 participants from the Jinchang cohort were enrolled. Firstly, cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess the unidirectional causality between NAFLD and prediabetes and type 2 diabetes. Secondly, cross-lag path analysis model was conducted to estimate the bidirectional relationship between NAFLD and prediabetes and type 2 diabetes, and to determine the direction of the main effects. Finally, potential effect modifications were also considered by age, sex, hyperlipidemia, and overweight/obesity. We found that NAFLD increased the risk of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes with adjusted HR (95%CI) of 1.355(95%CI: 1.255-1.462) and 1.898(95%CI: 1.415-2.545), respectively. Prediabetes and type 2 diabetes also increased the risk of NAFLD, with adjusted HR (95%CI) of 1.245(95%CI: 1.115-1.392) and 1.592(95%CI: 1.373-1.846), respectively. Cross-lag path analysis showed that NAFLD significantly affected the incidence of prediabetes (ß = 0.285, P < 0.001), while the effect on type 2 diabetes was not statistically significant. The effect of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes on the risk of NAFLD was weak, and the path coefficients were 0.076 and 0.037, respectively. Stratified analyses showed similar results. CONCLUSION: This study provides evidence that there was a bidirectional causal association between NAFLD and type 2 diabetes, and the progression from NAFLD through prediabetes to type 2 diabetes may be the main pathway.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/diagnóstico , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/epidemiología , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/complicaciones , Estado Prediabético/diagnóstico , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/complicaciones , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Prospectivos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/etiología , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Studies have shown that elevated serum uric acid (SUA) may increase the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). However, it is still disputable how mediate effects between metabolic diseases and hyperuricemia affect the incidence of CHD. This study aimed to explore whether metabolic diseases may mediate the connection from hyperuricemia at baseline to the elevated incidence risk of CHD during follow-ups. METHODS AND RESULTS: Based on the Jinchang cohort, 48 001 subjects were followed for 9 years between June 2011 and December 2019. Multivariate-adjusted Cox regression models were applied to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of CHD with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Significantly increased risks of CHD were observed in hyperuricemia (HR:1.46, 95%CI:1.28, 1.67) when compared with normouricemia population. The mediating effect model further demonstrated that metabolic diseases could mediate the association between hyperuricemia and CHD pathogenesis, partially for the combined metabolic diseases with mediation effects of 45.12%, 25.24% for hypertension, 28.58% for overweight or obese status, 29.05% for hypertriglyceridemia, 6.70% for hypercholesterolemia, 3.52% for low high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and 6.51% for high low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Hyperuricemia significantly increased the risk of incident CHD, and this association was partly mediated by metabolic diseases.
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Enfermedad Coronaria , Hiperlipidemias , Hiperuricemia , Humanos , Hiperuricemia/diagnóstico , Hiperuricemia/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Ácido Úrico , Enfermedad Coronaria/diagnóstico , Enfermedad Coronaria/epidemiología , HDL-ColesterolRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To explore the effect of temperature variability (TV) on admissions and deaths for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). METHOD: The admissions data of CVDs were collected in 4 general hospitals in Jinchang City, Gansu Province from 2013 to 2016. The monitoring data of death for CVDs from 2013 to 2017 were collected through the Jinchang City Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was combined to analyze the effects of TV (daily temperature variability (DTV) and hourly temperature variability (HTV)) on the admissions and deaths for CVDs after adjusting confounding effects. Stratified analysis was conducted by age and gender. Then the attribution risk of TV was evaluated. RESULTS: There was a broadly linear correlation between TV and the admissions and deaths for CVDs, but only the association between TV and outpatient and emergency room (O&ER) visits for CVDs have statistically significant. DTV and HTV have similar lag effect. Every 1 â increase in DTV and HTV was associated with a 3.61% (95% CI: 1.19% ~ 6.08%), 3.03% (95% CI: 0.27% ~ 5.86%) increase in O&ER visits for CVDs, respectively. There were 22.75% and 14.15% O&ER visits for CVDs can attribute to DTV and HTV exposure during 2013-2016. Males and the elderly may be more sensitive to the changes of TV. Greater effect of TV was observed in non-heating season than in heating season. CONCLUSION: TV was an independent risk factor for the increase of O&ER visits for CVDs, suggesting effective guidance such as strengthening the timely prevention for vulnerable groups before or after exposure, which has important implications for risk management of CVDs.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Anciano , Masculino , Humanos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Temperatura , China/epidemiología , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , CalefacciónRESUMEN
Currently few studies have explored the relationship between exposure to gaseous pollutants and metabolic health indicators in patients, especially in patients with metabolic syndrome (Mets). This study collected 15,520 patients with Mets in a prospective cohort of nearly 50,000 people with 7 years of follow-up from 2011 to 2017, and matched air pollutants and meteorological data during the same period. The mixed effects model was used to analyze the relationship between different short exposure windows (1-week, 1-month, 2-month, and 3-month) of gaseous pollutants (SO2, NO2, and O3) and the metabolic health indicators of patients after controlled the confounding factors. Stratified analysis was performed by demographic characteristics and behavioral factors. The effects of gaseous pollutants on patients with different Met components were also analyzed. The results showed that the short-term exposure to SO2, NO2, and O3 had a certain effect on the metabolic health indicators of patients with Mets in different exposure windows, and with the extension of the exposure window period, the effects increased. The stratified analysis showed that gender, age, and life behaviors might modify these detrimental effects. In addition, the effects of gaseous pollutants on metabolic health indicators in G4 and G7 were more obvious than other Met components, and the effects of gaseous pollutants on the level of LDL-C were found to be statistically significant in most components. Therefore, patients with Mets should pay more attention to the influence of gaseous pollutants to take appropriate protection to reduce potential health risk.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Contaminantes Ambientales , Síndrome Metabólico , Humanos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Contaminantes Ambientales/análisis , Gases/análisis , Material Particulado/análisis , Estudios Prospectivos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , China , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisisRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Modeling methods for busulfan-induced oligoasthenozoospermia are controversial. We aimed to systematically review the modeling method of busulfan-induced oligospermia and asthenozoospermia, and analyze changes in various evaluation indicators at different busulfan doses over time. METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Library, PubMed databases, Web of Science, the Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure, and the Chinese Biomedical Literature Service System until April 9, 2022. Animal experiments of busulfan-induced spermatogenesis dysfunction were included and screened. The model mortality and parameters of the evaluation indicators were subjected to meta-analysis. RESULTS: Twenty-nine animal studies were included (control/model: 669/1829). The mortality of mice increased with busulfan dose. Significant spermatogenesis impairment occurred within 5 weeks, regardless of busulfan dose (10-40 mg/kg). Testicular weight (weighted mean difference [WMD]: - 0.04, 95% CI: - 0.05, - 0.03), testicular index (WMD: - 2.10, 95% CI: - 2.43, - 1.76), and Johnsen score (WMD: - 4.67, 95% CI: - 5.99, - 3.35) were significantly decreased. The pooled sperm counts of the model group were reduced by 32.8 × 106/ml (WMD: - 32.8, 95% CI: - 44.34, - 21.28), and sperm motility decreased by 37% (WMD: - 0.37, 95% CI: - 0.47, - 0.27). Sperm counts decreased slightly (WMD: - 3.03, 95% CI: - 3.42, - 2.64) in an intratesticular injection of low-dose busulfan (4 - 6 mg/kg), and the model almost returned to normal after one seminiferous cycle. CONCLUSION: The model using low-dose busulfan (10 - 20 mg/kg) returned to normal after 10 - 15 weeks. However, in some spermatogenesis cycles, testicular weight reduction and testicular spermatogenic function damage were not proportional to busulfan dose. Sperm counts and motility results in different studies had significant heterogeneity. Standard protocols for sperm assessment in animal models were needed to reduce heterogeneity between studies.
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Astenozoospermia , Oligospermia , Humanos , Ratones , Masculino , Animales , Oligospermia/inducido químicamente , Busulfano/toxicidad , Astenozoospermia/inducido químicamente , Recuento de Espermatozoides , Motilidad Espermática , SemenRESUMEN
The aim of this study was to assess the effects of air pollutants on hospital admissions for respiratory disease (RD) by using distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) in Lanzhou during 2014-2019. In this study, the dataset of air pollutants, meteorological, and daily hospital admissions for RD in Lanzhou, from January 1st, 2014 to December 31st, 2019, were collected from three national environmental monitoring stations, China meteorological data service center, and three large general hospitals, respectively. A time-series analysis with DLNM was used to estimate the associations between air pollutants and hospital admissions for RD including the stratified analysis of age, gender, and season. The key findings were expressed as the relative risk (RR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) for single-day and cumulative lag effects (0-7). A total of 90, 942 RD hospitalization cases were identified during the study period. The highest association (RR, 95% CI) of hospital admissions for RD and PM2.5 (1.030, 1.012-1.049), and PM10 (1.009, 1.001-1.015), and NO2 (1.047, 1.024-1.071) were observed at lag 07 for an increase of 10 µg/m3 in the concentrations, and CO at lag07 (1.140, 1.052-1.236) for an increase of 1 mg/m3 in the concentration. We observed that the RR estimates for gaseous pollutants (e.g., CO and NO2) were larger than those of particulate matter (e.g., PM2.5 and PM10). The harmful effects of PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and CO were greater in male, people aged 0-14 group and in the cold season. However, no significant association was observed for SO2, O38h, and total hospital admissions for RD. Therefore, some effective intervention strategies should be taken to strengthen the treatment of the ambient air pollutants, especially gaseous pollutants (e.g., CO and NO2), thereby, reducing the burden of respiratory diseases.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Contaminantes Ambientales , Trastornos Respiratorios , Enfermedades Respiratorias , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/toxicidad , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Material Particulado/toxicidad , Material Particulado/análisis , Hospitalización , Enfermedades Respiratorias/inducido químicamente , Enfermedades Respiratorias/epidemiología , Trastornos Respiratorios/inducido químicamente , Trastornos Respiratorios/epidemiología , Contaminantes Ambientales/análisis , China/epidemiología , Gases/análisis , HospitalesRESUMEN
Exposure to air pollution during pregnancy has been linked to birth defects. But the directions of studies on the associations between air pollutants exposure and effect on the incidence of congenital heart disease (CHDs) were inconsistent. To date, few studies were concentrated on the effects of both particulate matter and gaseous air pollutant exposure on CHDs across the full gestational week simultaneously. Our study aimed to investigate the critical exposure windows for each air pollutant throughout 40 gestational weeks. Data on CHDs, air pollution, and meteorological factors from 2013 to 2019 were collected in Lanzhou, China. A distributed lag nonlinear model combined with a quasi-Poisson regression model was applied to evaluate the weekly exposure-lag-response association between air pollutants levels and CHDs, and the subgroup analyses were conducted by gender (baby boy and baby girl). The study included 1607 mother-infant pairs. The results demonstrated that exposure of pregnant women to particulate matter ≤ 5 µm (PM2.5) at lag 1-4 weeks was significantly associated with the risk of CHDs, and the strongest effects were observed in the lag 1 week (1.150, 95%CI 1.059-1.248). For exposure to particulate matter ≤ 10 µm (PM10) at lag 1-3 weeks, the strongest effects were observed in the lag 1 week (1.075, 95% CI 1.026-1.128). For exposure to sulfur dioxide (SO2) at lag 1-4 weeks, the strongest effects were observed in the lag 1 week (1.154, 95% CI 1.025-1.299). For exposure to carbon monoxide (CO) at lag 1-3 weeks, the strongest effects were observed in the lag 1 week (1.089, 95% CI 1.002-1.183). For exposure to ozone (O3) concentration at lag 9-15 weeks, the strongest effects were observed in the lag 15 weeks (1.628, 95% CI 1.001-2.649). The cumulative effects of PM2.5, PM10, SO2, and CO along weeks with a maximum of 1.609 (95%CI 1.000-2.589), 1.286 (95%CI 1.007-1.641), 1.648 (95%CI 1.018-2.668), and 1.368 (95%CI 1.003, 1.865), respectively. The effects were obvious in the initial gestational weeks too. Through the gender stratification analysis, the air pollutants with significant effects were PM2.5 for baby boys and PM2.5, PM10, SO2, CO, NO2, and O3 for baby girl. For the relationship between CHDs and air pollution in Lanzhou, PM2.5, PM10, SO2, CO, and O3 played an important role in the initial gestational weeks, especially for baby girl.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Cardiopatías Congénitas , Masculino , Lactante , Humanos , Femenino , Embarazo , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/toxicidad , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Material Particulado/toxicidad , Material Particulado/análisis , Dióxido de Azufre/toxicidad , Dióxido de Azufre/análisis , Cardiopatías Congénitas/inducido químicamente , Cardiopatías Congénitas/epidemiología , China/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Growing studies have linked metal exposure to diabetes risk. However, these studies had inconsistent results. We used a multiple linear regression model to investigate the sex-specific and dose-response associations between urinary metals (cobalt (Co) and molybdenum (Mo)) and diabetes-related indicators (fasting plasma glucose (FPG), hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), homeostasis model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), and insulin) in a cross-sectional study based on the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. The urinary metal concentrations of 1423 eligible individuals were stratified on the basis of the quartile distribution. Our results showed that the urinary Co level in males at the fourth quartile (Q4) was strongly correlated with increased FPG (ß = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.17-1.04), HbA1c (ß = 0.31, 95% CI: 0.09-0.54), insulin (ß = 8.18, 95% CI: 2.84-13.52), and HOMA-IR (ß = 3.42, 95% CI: 1.40-5.44) when compared with first quartile (Q1). High urinary Mo levels (Q4 vs. Q1) were associated with elevated FPG (ß = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.17-0.75) and HbA1c (ß = 0.27, 95% CI: 0.11-0.42) in the overall population. Positive linear dose-response associations were observed between urinary Co and insulin (Pnonlinear = 0.513) and HOMA-IR (Pnonlinear = 0.736) in males, as well as a positive linear dose-response relationship between urinary Mo and FPG (Pnonlinear = 0.826) and HbA1c (Pnonlinear = 0.376) in the overall population. Significant sex-specific and dose-response relationships were observed between urinary metals (Co and Mo) and diabetes-related indicators, and the potential mechanisms should be further investigated.
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Diabetes Mellitus , Resistencia a la Insulina , Adulto , Glucemia , Cobalto , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Hemoglobina Glucada , Humanos , Insulina , Resistencia a la Insulina/fisiología , Masculino , Metales , Molibdeno , Encuestas Nutricionales , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: It is not clear whether serum uric acid (SUA) levels and their changes over time are associated with the risk of stroke. A 7-year prospective cohort study in northwest China was conducted to analyze effects of SUA and their changes on the risk of stroke. METHODS: A total of 23,262 individuals without cardiovascular disease in the Jinchang cohort were followed up for an average of 5.26 years. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of stroke incidence to SUA and relative changes in SUA. Sensitivity analysis was performed after controlling the effect of renal insufficiency. RESULTS: Baseline SUA and relative changes in SUA were positively correlated with the incidence of stroke in both males and females (p for overall association <0.0001). Stroke risk increased by 4.6% per 10% increase in the relative change of SUA (HR = 1.046, 95% CI, 1.007-1.086). The fully adjusted regression analysis demonstrated that only the large gain (>30%) in SUA was associated with an increased risk of stroke by 36.5% (95% CI, 1.8-83.0%), compared with the reference group (participants within ±10% changes in SUA). The same trend was observed in people with normal baseline SUA. In the unadjusted model, the risk of stroke associated with elevated SUA was significantly higher in the hyperuricemia group than in the normal SUA group. CONCLUSION: High initial SUA concentration and an increase in SUA concentration over time would increase the risk of stroke, and this means that there is no safe increase in SUA.
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Hiperuricemia , Accidente Cerebrovascular , China/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Hiperuricemia/diagnóstico , Hiperuricemia/epidemiología , Masculino , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/complicaciones , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Ácido ÚricoRESUMEN
The Jinchang Cohort was an ongoing 20-year ambispective cohort with unique metal exposures to an occupational population. From January 2014 to December 2019, the Jinchang Cohort has completed three phases of follow-up. The baseline cohort was completed from June 2011 to December 2013, and a total of 48 001 people were included. Three phases of follow-ups included 46 713, 41 888, and 40 530 participants, respectively. The death data were collected from 2001 to 2020. The epidemiological, physical examination, physiological, and biochemical data of the cohort were collected at baseline and during follow-up. Biological specimens were collected on the baseline to establish a biological specimen bank. The concentrations of metals in urine and serum were detected by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). The new areas of research aim to study the all-cases mortality, the burden of diseases, heavy metals and diseases, and the course of the chain from disease to high-risk outcomes using a combination of macro and micro means, which provided a scientific basis to explore the pathogenesis of multi-etiology and multi-disease and to evaluate the effects of the intervention measures in the population.
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Bancos de Muestras Biológicas , China/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , HumanosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: There is still inconsistent evidence over the protective effect of total bilirubin on the development of coronary heart disease (CHD). Therefore, we aimed to investigate the association between bilirubin in population subtypes and the risks of CHD between different gender and menstruation subgroups. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this prospective cohort study, 29,750 participants free of CHD with an average age of 47 ± 14 years were recruited at baseline; of these, 720 CHD first-attack cases were collected after 7-years of follow up. The covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of CHD with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The serum bilirubin concentration was quarterly stratified based on the distribution of healthy population without CHD onset. The HRs of incident CHD decreased with elevated bilirubin in females (ρ trend<0.05), but not males. In postmenopausal females, compared with the lowest quartile of total bilirubin, the adjusted HRs for the third and fourth quartiles were 0.64 (95% CI: 0.45, 0.93) and 0.59 (95% CI: 0.42, 0.86), the adjusted HRs in the third and fourth quartiles of direct bilirubin were 0.56 (0.39, 0.82) and 0.56 (0.38, 0.81), and for indirect bilirubin, corresponding HR in the highest quartile was 0.56 (0.38, 0.83). CONCLUSION: Elevated serum bilirubin was inversely associated with adjusted HRs of CHD in females, especially postmenopausal females. The relationship between elevated direct bilirubin and reduced HRs of CHD may be closer than indirect bilirubin in postmenopausal females.
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Enfermedad Coronaria , Adulto , Bilirrubina , Enfermedad Coronaria/diagnóstico , Enfermedad Coronaria/epidemiología , Enfermedad Coronaria/prevención & control , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is the most prevalent cancer, and the leading cause of cancer-related deaths in China. The aim of this study was to estimate the direct medical expenditure incurred for lung cancer care and analyze the trend therein for the period 2002-2011 using nationally representative data in China METHODS: This study was based on 10-year, multicenter retrospective expenditure data collected from hospital records, covering 15,437 lung cancer patients from 13 provinces diagnosed during the period 2002-2011. All expenditure data were adjusted to 2011 to eliminate the effects of inflation using China's annual consumer price index. RESULTS: The direct medical expenditure for lung cancer care (in 2011) was 39,015 CNY (US$6,041) per case, with an annual growth rate of 7.55% from 2002 to 2011. Drug costs were the highest proportionally in the total medical expenditure (54.27%), followed by treatment expenditure (14.32%) and surgical expenditure (8.10%). Medical expenditures for the disease varied based on region, hospital level, type, and stage. CONCLUSION: The medical expenditure for lung cancer care is substantial in China. Drug costs and laboratory test are the main factors increasing medical costs.
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BACKGROUND AND AIM: This study aimed to clarify health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of patients with colorectal precancer and colorectal cancer (CRC) in China and to better understand related utility scores. METHODS: A hospital-based cross-sectional survey was conducted in precancer and CRC patients from 2012 to 2014, covering 12 provinces in China. HRQoL was assessed with EuroQol 5-Dimensions 3-Levels. Utility scores were derived using Chinese value set. A multivariate regression model was established to explore potential predictors of utility scores. RESULTS: A total of 376 precancer (mean age 58.7 years, 61.2% men) and 2470 CRC patients (mean age 58.6 years, 57.6% men) were included. In five dimensions, there was a certain percentage of problem reported among precancer (range: 12.0% to 36.7%) and CRC (range: 32.4% to 50.3%) patients, with pain/discomfort being the most serious dimension. Utility scores of precancer and CRC patients were 0.870 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.855-0.886) and 0.751 (95% CI, 0.742-0.759), both of which were lower than those of general Chinese population (0.960 [95% CI, 0.960-0.960]). Utilities for patients at stage I to stage IV were 0.742 (95% CI, 0.715-0.769), 0.722 (95% CI, 0.705-0.740), 0.756 (95% CI, 0.741-0.772), and 0.745 (95% CI, 0.742-0.767), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that therapeutic regimen, time point of the interview, education, occupation, annual household income, and geographic region were associated with utilities of CRC patients. CONCLUSION: Health-related quality of life of both precancer and CRC patients in China declined considerably. Utility scores differed by sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, and findings of these utilities may facilitate implementation of further cost-utility evaluations.
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Neoplasias Colorrectales , Calidad de Vida , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , China , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Neoplasias Colorrectales/psicología , Neoplasias Colorrectales/terapia , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Análisis de Regresión , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Whether the asymptomatic hyperuricemia (AH) raise the cardiovascular disease risk with or without hyperuricemia-related comorbidities still remains contentious. Our study was aimed to quantitatively access the incidence risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke associated with AH. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this prospective cohort study, multivariate-adjusted Cox regression models were applied to evaluate the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Baseline serum uric acid beyond normouricemia (357 mmol/L) was quarterly stratified based on the distribution of healthy populations without CVD onset. 1062 CVD first-attack cases were collected among the 29,974 study population (age range: 18-91, mean age: 47.2 ± 13.9 years-old) with a mean follow-up duration of 5.78 ± 0.83 years. The AH showed overall non-association with the CVD incident. However, significantly increased adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of CVD with 95% confidence interval (CI) were observed when the fourth quartile compared with normouricemia stratum in the total cohort population (CHD: 1.42, 1.21-1.68; stroke: 1.27, 1.06-1.41), male (CHD: 1.26, 1.12-1.55), female (CHD: 1.34, 1.04-2.02; stroke: 2.06, 1.13-3.77) and aged over 50 years-old population. Meanwhile, the age-standardized incidence rate of CVD in the fourth quartile was 2-3 times higher than the normouricemia population. After excluded 14,464 baseline population with diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension, consistent results were also observed in the AH population in absence of comorbidities (CHD: 1.51, 1.22-2.25; stroke: 1.68, 1.13-2.39). CONCLUSION: Asymptomatic hyperuricemia patients exposed to a higher level of uric acid (>=428 mmol/L) could significantly increase the incidence risk of CHD and stroke, with or without hyperuricemia-related comorbidities.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Hiperuricemia , Ácido Úrico , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Femenino , Factores de Riesgo de Enfermedad Cardiaca , Humanos , Hiperuricemia/sangre , Hiperuricemia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Ácido Úrico/sangre , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Diurnal temperature range (DTR) is a meteorological indicator closely associated with global climate change. Thus, we aim to explore the effects of DTR on the outpatient and emergency room (O&ER) admissions for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), and related predictive research. METHODS: The O&ER admissions data for CVDs from three general hospitals in Jinchang of Gansu Province were collected from 2013 to 2016. A generalized additive model (GAM) with Poisson regression was employed to analyze the effect of DTR on the O&ER admissions for all cardiovascular diseases, hypertension, ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stoke. GAM was also used to preform predictive research of the effect of DTR on the O&ER admissions for CVDs. RESULTS: There were similar positive linear relationships between DTR and the O&ER visits with the four cardiovascular diseases. And the cumulative lag effects were higher than the single lag effects. A 1 °C increase in DTR corresponded to a 1.30% (0.99-1.62%) increase in O&ER admissions for all cardiovascular diseases. Males and elderly were more sensitivity to DTR. The estimates in non-heating season were higher than in heating season. The trial prediction accuracy rate of CVDs based on DTR was between 59.32 and 74.40%. CONCLUSIONS: DTR has significantly positive association with O&ER admissions for CVDs, which can be used as a prediction index of the admissions of O&ER with CVDs.
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Altitud , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Temperatura , Anciano , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , China/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Pacientes Ambulatorios/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to confirm whether hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and the levels of liver enzymes would increase the risk of prediabetes and diabetes mellitus (DM) in China. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 10,741 individuals was enrolled in this prospective cohort study. Cox regression analysis was used to calculate the Hazard ratios (HRs) to evaluate the relationships between HBV infection and the risk of DM and prediabetes. Decision trees and dose response analysis were used to explore the effects of liver enzymes levels on DM and prediabetes. RESULTS: In baseline population, HBV infection ratio was 5.31%. In non-adjustment model, the HR of DM in HBV infection group was 1.312 (95% CI, 0.529-3.254). In model adjusted for gender, age and liver cirrhosis, the HR of DM in HBV infection group were 1.188 (95% CI, 0.478-2.951). In model adjusted for gender, age, liver cirrhosis, smoking, drinking, the HR of DM was 1.178 (95% CI, 0.473-2.934). In model further adjusted for education, family income and occupation, the HR of DM was 1.230 (95% CI, 0.493-3.067). With the increases of levels of Alanine aminotransferase (ALT), Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and Gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), the risk of prediabetes was gradually increasing (Pnon-linearity<0.05). There were dose-response relationships between ALT, GGT and the risk of DM (Pnon-linearity<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: HBV infection was not associated with the risk of prediabetes and DM. The levels of liver enzymes increased the risk of prediabetes and DM.
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Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Hepatitis B Crónica/epidemiología , Estado Prediabético/epidemiología , Adulto , Alanina Transaminasa/metabolismo , Aspartato Aminotransferasas/metabolismo , China/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Árboles de Decisión , Femenino , Hepatitis B Crónica/metabolismo , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios Prospectivos , gamma-Glutamiltransferasa/metabolismoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess the association between long-term exposure to ambient PM10 and risk of diabetes incidence, based on the "Jinchang Cohort" platform in the Northwest of China. METHODS: We selected 19884 subjects who had not yet developed diabetes in the baseline and had completed survey information from "Jinchang Cohort". The residential address was used to match the nearest pollution monitoring station for each subject, and the average concentration of PM10 from baseline to follow-up were used as an estimate of individual exposure level. Cox regression model and restricted cubic splines functions were used to evaluate the effects of PM10 on the incidence of diabetes and the dose-response relationship after adjusting for confounding covariates. RESULTS: We observed 791 new-onset diabetics with a total follow-up of 45254.16 person-years (incidence rate of 17.48 per 1000 person-years). The risk of diabetes incidence increased by 17% (HR = 1.17, 95%CI: 1.08-1.26) per 10µg/m3 increase in environmental PM10, and the risk rises gradually with the rise of PM10 concentration. Comparing with the first quartile of PM10, the fully adjusted HRs (95%CI) for incident diabetes from the second to the fourth quartile of PM10 were 1.15 (95%CI: 0.93-1.43), 1.50 (95%CI: 1.22-1.84) and 1.44 (95%CI: 1.15-1.79), respectively (P for trend<0.001). Stratified analyses suggested that the risk of diabetes incidence associated with ambient PM10 was higher in female, young to middle-aged people, overweight and obese subjects, and subjects with FPG level at baseline lower than 5.6 mmol/L. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term exposure to ambient PM10 significantly associated with a higher risk of diabetes development. Some urgent strategies may be advocated to reduce air pollution that can aid in preventing the prevalence of diabetes in the population.