Modelling a preference-based index for EQ-5D-3L and EQ-5D-3L + Sleep using a Bayesian framework.

BACKGROUND: Conventionally, frequentist approach has been used to model health state valuation data. Recently, researchers started to explore the use of Bayesian methods in this area. OBJECTIVES: This paper presents an alternative approach to modelling health state valuation data of the EQ-5D-3L and EQ-5D-3L + Sleep descriptive systems, using a Bayesian framework, and demonstrates its superiority to conventional frequentist methods. METHODS: The valuation study is composed of 18 EQ-5D-3L health states and 18 EQ-5D-3L + Sleep health states valued by 160 members of the general public in South Yorkshire, UK, using the time tradeo-ff technique. Three different models were developed for EQ-5D-3L and EQ-5D-3L + Sleep accordingly using Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation methods. Bayesian methods were applied to models fitted included a linear regression, random effect and random effect with covariates. The models are compared based on their predictive performance using mean predictions, root mean squared error (RMSE) and deviance information criterion (DIC). All analyses were performed using Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation methods. RESULTS: The random effects with covariates model performs best under all criterions for the two preference-based measures, with RMSE (0.037) and DIC (637.5) for EQ-5D-3L and RMSE (0.019), DIC (416.4) for EQ-5D + Sleep. Compared with models previously estimated using frequentist approach, the Bayesian models reported in this paper provided better predictions of observed values. CONCLUSION: Bayesian methods provide a better way to model EQ-5D-3L valuation data with and without a sleep 'bolt-on' and provide a more flexible in characterizing the full range of uncertainty inherent in these estimates.

Pancreatic Beta Cell Function in Infants Varies by Maternal Weight.

The Asian Indian Beta Cell function (ABCs) in Infants Study examined the associations of maternal weight on infant pancreatic beta cell function across 7 months postpartum. Pregnant women aged 18-35 years were recruited in Hyderabad, India. Women were classified by first trimester weight as underweight (UW), BMI < 18.5 kg/m2; normal weight (NW), BMI 18.5-22.9 kg/m2; or overweight (OW), BMI 23.0 through <28.5 kg/m2. At age > 7 months, infants had an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT, 1.75 g glucose/kg bodyweight) following a 3 h fast. Infant blood samples were assayed for C-peptide and glucose. Infant beta cell function (HOMA2-B; disposition index, DI) and insulin resistance (HOMA2-IR) were compared across maternal weight groups. Mothers (UW n = 63; NW n = 43; OW n = 29) had similar age at delivery and second trimester 50 g glucose challenge test results. Cord HOMA2-B values were 51% greater for IUW (83.5, SD 55.2) and 44% greater for IOW (79.9, SD 60.8) vs. INW (55.4, SD 51.5), forming a U-shaped relationship between maternal weight and HOMA2-B. No qualitative differences in HOMA2-IR were found at birth. However, at 7 months postpartum, HOMA2-IR changed most within IUW (-64% median reduction) and changed the least in IOW (-7% median reduction). At seven months postpartum, DI was higher in IUW vs. the other groups (geometric mean IUW 1.9 SD 2.5; INW 1.3 SD 2.6 or vs. IOW mean 1.2 SD 3.7), reflecting a +49% difference in DI. Evidence from this study illustrates adaptations in the pancreatic functional response of infants associated with the maternal nutritional environment.

Assessment of Vitamin D status and association with inflammation: Biomarkers Reflecting Inflammation and Nutritional Determinants of Anemia (BRINDA) project.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether 25(OH)D concentrations in children and female adults may be influenced by inflammation and thus require adjustment when estimating the population prevalence of vitamin D deficiency. OBJECTIVES: We examined correlations between inflammation biomarkers, CRP or alpha-1-acid glycoprotein (AGP), and serum 25(OH)D concentrations among preschool children (PSC; 6-59 mo) and nonpregnant females of reproductive age (FRA; 15-49 y). METHODS: We analyzed cross-sectional data from 6 nationally representative nutrition surveys (Afghanistan, Cambodia, Pakistan, UK, USA, and Vietnam) conducted among PSC (n = 9880) and FRA (n = 14,749) from the Biomarkers Reflecting Inflammation and Nutritional Determinants of Anemia project. Rank correlations between CRP or AGP and 25(OH)D concentrations were examined while taking into account complex survey design effects. RESULTS: Among both PSC and FRA, correlations between inflammation and vitamin D biomarkers were weak and inconsistent across surveys. For PSC, correlation coefficients between CRP and 25(OH)D concentrations ranged from -0.04 to 0.08, and correlations between AGP and 25(OH)D ranged from 0.01 to 0.05. Correlation coefficients between CRP and 25(OH)D for FRA ranged from -0.11 to 0.14, and correlations between AGP and 25(OH)D concentrations ranged from -0.05 to 0.01. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the weak and inconsistent correlations between CRP or AGP and 25(OH)D, there is no rationale to adjust for these inflammation biomarkers when estimating population prevalence of vitamin D deficiency in PSC or FRA.

A Strategic Research Framework for Defeating Diabetes in India: A 21st-Century Agenda.

Indian people are at high risk for type 2 diabetes (T2DM) even at younger ages and lower body weights. Already 74 million people in India have the disease, and the proportion of those with T2DM is increasing across all strata of society. Unique aspects, related to lower insulin secretion or function, and higher hepatic fat deposition, accompanied by the rise in overweight (related to lifestyle changes) may all be responsible for this unrelenting epidemic of T2DM. Yet, research to understand the causes, pathophysiology, phenotypes, prevention, treatment, and healthcare delivery of T2DM in India seriously lags behind. There are major opportunities for scientific discovery and technological innovation, which if tapped can generate solutions for T2DM relevant to the country's context and make leading contributions to global science. We analyze the situation of T2DM in India, and present a four-pillar (etiology, precision medicine, implementation research, and health policy) strategic research framework to tackle the challenge. We offer key research questions for each pillar, and identify infrastructure needs. India offers a fertile environment for shifting the paradigm from imprecise late-stage diabetes treatment toward early-stage precision prevention and care. Investing in and leveraging academic and technological infrastructures, across the disciplines of science, engineering, and medicine, can accelerate progress toward a diabetes-free nation.

Metabolomics profiling in acute liver transplant rejection in a pediatric population.

Pediatric liver transplantation rejection affects 20% of children. Currently, liver biopsy, expensive and invasive, is the best method of diagnosis. Discovery and validation of clinical biomarkers from blood or other biospecimens would improve clinical care. For this study, stored plasma samples were utilized from two cross-sectional cohorts of liver transplant patients at Children's Healthcare of Atlanta. High resolution metabolic profiling was completed using established methods. Children with (n = 18) or without (n = 25) acute cellular rejection were included in the analysis (n = 43 total). The mean age of these racially diverse cohorts ranged from 12.6 years in the rejection group and 13.6 years in the no rejection group. Linear regression provided 510 significantly differentiating metabolites between groups, and OPLS-DA showed 145 metabolites with VIP > 2. A total of 95 overlapping significant metabolites between OPLS-DA and linear regression analyses were detected. Pathway analysis (p < 0.05) showed bile acid biosynthesis and tryptophan metabolism as the top two differentiating pathways. Network analysis also identified tryptophan and clustered with liver enzymes and steroid use. We conclude metabolic profiling of plasma from children with acute liver transplant rejection demonstrates > 500 significant metabolites. This result suggests that development of a non-invasive biomarker-based test is possible for rejection screening.

Iron Fortification and Supplementation: Fighting Anemia of Chronic Diseases or Fueling Obesity?

The significant worldwide increase in obesity has become a major health problem. Excess adiposity has been extensively linked to inflammation. Recently, studies have shown that dietary intake and microbiota dysbiosis can affect the health of the gut and lead to low-grade systemic inflammation, worsening the state of obesity and further exacerbating inflammation. The latter is shown to decrease iron status and potentially increase the risk of anemia by inhibiting iron absorption. Hence, anemia of obesity is independent of iron intake and does not properly respond to increased iron ingestion. Therefore, countries with a high rate of obesity should assess the health impact of fortification and supplementation with iron due to their potential drawbacks. This review tries to elucidate the relation between inflammation and iron status to better understand the etiology of anemia of obesity and chronic diseases and wisely design any dietary or medical interventions for the management of anemia and/or obesity.