Comparison of scoring systems used in acute pancreatitis for predicting major adverse events.

OBJECTIVES: Timely identification of patients with acute pancreatitis who are likely to have a severe disease course is critical. Based on that, many scoring systems have been developed throughout the years. Although many of them are currently in use, none of them has been proven to be ideal. In this study, we aimed to compare the discriminatory power of relatively newer risk scores with the historical ones for predicting in-hospital major adverse events, 30-day mortality and 30-day readmission rate. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients who had been admitted due to acute pancreatitis were retrospectively investigated. Five risk scoring systems including HAPS, Ranson, BISAP, Glasgow, and JSS were calculated using the data of the first 24h of admission. Predictive accuracy of each scoring system was calculated using the area under the receiver-operating curve method. RESULTS: Overall 690 patients were included in the study. In-hospital major adverse events were observed in 139 (20.1%) patients of whom, 19 (2.5%) died during hospitalization. 30-day all-cause mortality and 30-day readmission were observed in 22 (3.2%) and 27 (3.9%) patients respectively. Negative predictive value of each score was markedly higher compared to positive predictive values. Among all, JSS scoring system showed the highest AUC values across all end-points (0.80 for in-hospital major adverse events; 0.94 for in-hospital mortality; 0.91 for 30-day mortality). However, all five scoring systems failed to predict 30-day readmission. DISCUSSION: JSS was the best classifier among all five risk scoring systems particularly owing to its high sensitivity and negative predictive value.

Results of Nucleos(t)ide Analog Treatment Discontinuation in Hepatitis B e-Antigen-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B: NUCSTOP Study.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: This study aims to investigate the effects of nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) discontinuation in eligible patients in accordance with the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver hepatitis B guideline and the factors affecting clinical and virological relapses. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this prospectively designed study, hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative chronic hepatitis B patients who were followed up between 2012 and 2019 were evaluated and 57 patients were included. All participants enrolled the study were HBeAgnegative status at NA initiation. RESULTS: The median age of the patients was 49 (29-72) years and 24 (42%) were females. The median treatment duration was 96 (36- 276) months and patients were followed for a median duration of 27 months. Sixteen patients had a previous history of NA switch, and thirteen of these patients had a history of lamivudine resistance. Thirty-eight of 57 patients (66%) developed an elevated hepatitis B virus deoxyribonucleic acid level of >2000 IU/mL at least once, defined as virological relapse and 23 (60%) of them, experienced clinical relapse. Thirty-one of 57 patients were re-treated during the follow-up, and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss occurred among 4 (7%) patients. All patients who experienced HBsAg loss had a history of lamivudine resistance (P = .002). CONCLUSION: Despite receiving NAs suppression therapy for a long time, HBsAg loss occurs rarely. Although it was not life-threatening, most patients experienced relapses and treatment should be restarted. In our study, whether it is a coincidence that all patients with HBsAg loss are patients in whom NAs are used sequentially due to lamivudine resistance is an issue that needs to be further investigated.

Mucin Expression in Mucinous Pancreatic Cysts: Can String Sign Test Predict Mucin Types? A Single Center Pilot Study.

BACKGROUND: Mucinous pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) express different mucin (MUC) types according to their histomorphologic types. High cystic fluid viscosity may help in the detection of mucinous PCLs. We hypothesized that high cystic fluid viscosity may be suggestive of a certain MUC type in mucinous PCLs. METHODS: Prespecified MUC types (MUC1, MUC2, MUC4, MUC5AC, and MUC6) were evaluated in 18 definitively diagnosed mucinous PCLs with sufficient tissue material and prediagnostic cyst fluid viscosity evaluation-string sign (SS)-test. We evaluated the agreement of MUC expression with positive SS test results. Later, we compared cystic fluid carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) between the prespecified MUC expressing and nonexpressing cyst types. RESULTS: A total of 18 mucinous PCL patients, 11 females, with mean age ± SD (59.7 ± 13.3) were included. Almost all malignant mucinous PCLs expressed MUC1 (71.4%) (P = .023). We found no significant agreement between the prespecified MUC types and positive SS, except MUC4 which had mild agreement. Also, no significant relation was found between cystic fluid CEA levels and MUC expression (P = .584). CONCLUSION: We did not detect a significantly moderate or good agreement between the prespecified MUC types and SS test. MUC1 was highly expressed in malignant mucinous cysts; however, it was incompatible with the SS test. MUC4 expression showed mild agreement with the SS test in a small number of patients.

Evaluation of hepatitis B vaccine efficacy and factors affecting vaccine nonresponse in patients receiving anti-tumor necrosis factor agents.

OBJECTIVES: The response rate of patients to hepatitis B virus (HBV) vaccination receiving anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) agents is quite low. We aimed to assess the efficiency of HBV vaccination in patients with chronic inflammatory diseases (CIDs) receiving anti-TNF agents as well as in healthy controls. We also evaluated the impact of different factors on the efficacy of HBV vaccination. METHODS: Patients with CIDs receiving anti-TNF agents and healthy controls vaccinated for HBV were included in the study during 2018-2019. An adequate immune response and an effective immune response to HBV were defined as >10 IU/L and > 100 IU/L, respectively. RESULTS: Among 274 participants, 187 were patients with CID and 87 were healthy controls. The mean age of the patients with CID (43.9 ± 11.7 years) was significantly higher than that of the healthy controls (31.4 ± 7 years) (P = 0.000). Adequate immune response was 60.8 and 94.3% in patients with CID and healthy controls (P = 0.000), respectively, whereas effective immune response was 37.9 and 75.9% (P = 0.000), respectively. In logistic regression analysis, male sex [odds ratio (OR), 0.408; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.201-0.830; P = 0.013), use of infliximab (OR, 2.694; 95% CI, 1.203-6.035; P = 0.016) and sertoluzimab (OR, 3.307; 95% CI, 1.287-8.498; P = 0.013), vaccination after anti-TNF treatment (OR, 0.224; 95% CI, 0.083-0.602; P = 0.003) were identified as risk factors of nonresponse to HBV vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: Infliximab and sertoluzimab usage, male sex, and vaccination after anti-TNF treatment were risk factors of nonresponse. HBV vaccination should be given to patients with CID before initiation of anti-TNF treatment and awareness should be spread on this subject.

The impact of obesity on acute pancreatitis outcomes in older patients.

PURPOSE: Although obesity is an established risk factor for a number of diseases, several epidemiological studies have demonstrated that older obese patients have better survival rates than non-obese old patients in various disease states. In this context, the relationship between obesity and acute pancreatitis outcome in older patients is controversial. Therefore, the authors aimed to investigate the impact of obesity on acute pancreatitis outcomes in older patients. METHODS: Patients aged > 65 years who had been hospitalized for acute pancreatitis were retrospectively analyzed. Among them, 190 patients were included. The median age was 73 (68-79) years, and 118 (62.1%) were women. Obesity was assessed according to body mass index, and patients were classified as either obese or non-obese. The primary endpoint of the study was in-hospital major adverse events (major in-hospital complications and death). The secondary endpoints were acute pancreatitis recurrence, 30-day all-cause mortality, and long-term all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 77 (40.5%) patients were obese. In-hospital major adverse events were observed in 40 (21.1%) patients. There was no statistical difference in major in-hospital adverse events between the two groups (27 [23.9%] in non-obese patients vs. 13 [16.9%] in obese patients, p = 0.24). Further, the 30-day mortality, long-term survival, and acute pancreatitis recurrence rates were similar (all p > 0.05). The median follow-up time was 18 (0-80) months. CONCLUSION: Obesity does not result in higher mortality or complications in older patients with acute pancreatitis. Although the underlying mechanism needs to be elucidated, the deleterious effect of obesity seems to be diminished in older patients.

The microbiology of necrotizing pancreatitis and its impact on in-hospital and 1-year all-cause mortality.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The data regarding the microbial spectrum in necrotizing pancreatitis and its impact on mortality is limited. Therefore, in this study, we aimed to investigate the agents identified in cultures and their impact on in-hospital and 1-year all-cause mortality. METHODS: Patients with necrotizing pancreatitis were retrospectively included in the study. Based on culture results, patients were classified as either negative culture or positive culture necrotizing acute pancreatitis. The main outcomes of the study were the identification of agents isolated in patients with pancreatic necrosis and to assess in-hospital, 30-day and 1-year all-cause mortality according to culture results. RESULTS: In total, 109 patients of whom 33 had positive cultures were included in the study. Most positive cultures were polymicrobial (66%) with a marked gram-negative bacterial dominance (63%). Klebsiella spp. were the most common identified pathogens. The patients a with positive culture had worse outcomes in terms of in-hospital, 30-day and 1-year all-cause mortality compared to patients with sterile culture results (n = 9, 27.3% vs. n = 4, 5.3%, P < 0.01 for in-hospital mortality; n = 11, 33.3% vs. n = 5, 6.6%, P < 0.01 for 30-day mortality; and n = 14, 42.4% vs. n = 10, 13.2%, P < 0.01 for 1-year mortality). CONCLUSION: When a microorganism was identified in patients with necrotizing acute pancreatitis, it was mostly polymicrobial in etiology with a gram-negative bacterial dominance. In our cohort, Klebsiella spp. were the most common isolated organisms. Especially the patients with polymicrobial etiology showed a very poor outcome both in-hospital and in the long-term. Local hospital flora may have an impact on culture results.

Evaluation of Liver Biopsy Findings and Comparison with Noninvasive Fibrosis Scores in Patients with Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis.

OBJECTIVE: Nowadays, the incidence of non-alcoholic fatty liver and steatohepatitis (NASH) is increasing and early diagnosis is of great importance. In this study, we investigated the place of Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), Aspartate Aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio (APRI) and AST/ALT Ratio in predicting liver fibrosis and its most optimal cut-off value in NASH patients undergoing liver biopsy. METHOD: Patients with NASH who underwent liver biopsy were included in the study. Biopsy results of all patients were evaluated histopathologically and grade of fibrosis was graded. In addition, FIB-4, APRI and AST/ALT scores were calculated and compared with biopsy findings in these patients. RESULTS: A total of 88 patients were included in the study. Of these patients 51 (58%) were female and the mean age of the study population was 52.7±9.5. According to biopsy results, NASH was detected in 79 (89.8%) and NAFLD in 9 (10.2%) patients. The cut-off values of <0.47 for APRI and <0.88 for FIB-4 scores showed the best discriminatory power in exclusion of liver fibrosis. Likewise, the cut-off value greater than 0.68 for APRI score and >2.16 for FIB-4 score showed the highest predictive value in predicting advanced fibrosis. AST/ALT ratio had not any diagnostic value. CONCLUSION: FIB-4 and APRI scores play an important role in the noninvasive prediction of fibrosis in NASH patients, but the AST/ALT ratio is not sufficient. On the other hand, although the guidelines recommend using these scoring systems as a screening tool, there is no clarity as to the appropriate ideal cut-off values. At this point, FIB-4 score stands out with high sensitivity and specificity especially in the prediction of severe fibrosis.

The relationship between serum histon levels and the severity of acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Despite various scoring systems and imaging methods, it is hard to predict the severity and the course of acute pancreatitis (AP), thereby necessitating better and more reliable markers. Since inflammation plays a key role in the pathogenesis of AP, we sought to determine whether histone, which is a novel inflammatory marker, may play a role in the prediction of severity and prognosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 88 consecutive adult patients (>18 years) with a first AP episode were prospectively enrolled in the study. Severe AP was defined as having a revised Atlanta score >3 in the first 48 h after admission. Circulating histone 3 and 4 levels were measured using the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay method. RESULTS: Eighty-eight consecutive adult patients with a first episode of AP were divided into two groups according to severity, in which 56 (63.6%) were assigned to the mild AP group and 32 (36.4%) to the severe AP group. White blood cell, hemoglobin, creatinine, and aspartate aminotransferase levels were significantly higher in the severe AP group. However, there was no difference in serum histone levels between the groups, and there was no correlation between revised Atlanta score and serum histone levels either. CONCLUSION: Serum histone levels did not significantly differ between the severe and mild AP groups. Therefore, these markers may not provide additional benefit for determining the severity of AP.

The role of plasma exchange in hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: Hypertriglyceridemia (HTG)-induced acute pancreatitis (AP) leads to higher morbidity and mortality compared with other etiologies. The role of plasma exchange (PE) in this context is still not well established. We aimed to assess the clinical outcomes of patients with HTG-induced AP who underwent PE and compare it with those who did not. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated the data of patients who were admitted with HTG-induced AP between January 2013 and May 2018. The endpoint of the study was to assess the clinical outcomes, which included complication rates, mortality, and pancreatitis recurrence rate. RESULTS: Overall, 41 patients were included in the final analysis. Of these, 12 (29.2%) underwent PE. Patients undergoing PE had more severe pancreatitis on the basis of the Japanese Severity Score [10 (83.3%) vs. 14 (48.3%), P=0.03, respectively). Although mortality was higher in patients who underwent PE [three (25.0%) vs. zero, P<0.01, respectively], there was no difference in terms of complications and recurrence rates. Over a median 21 months of follow-up, 11 (26.8%) patients had recurrent AP. CONCLUSION: Although PE effectively reduced plasma triglyceride levels, there was no decrease in mortality or recurrences.

Comparison of scoring systems used in acute pancreatitis for predicting major adverse events / Comparación entre los sistemas de puntuación utilizados en la pancreatitis aguda para la predicción de acontecimientos adversos graves

OBJECTIVES: Timely identification of patients with acute pancreatitis who are likely to have a severe disease course is critical. Based on that, many scoring systems have been developed throughout the years. Although many of them are currently in use, none of them has been proven to be ideal. In this study, we aimed to compare the discriminatory power of relatively newer risk scores with the historical ones for predicting in-hospital major adverse events, 30-day mortality and 30-day readmission rate. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients who had been admitted due to acute pancreatitis were retrospectively investigated. Five risk scoring systems including HAPS, Ranson, BISAP, Glasgow, and JSS were calculated using the data of the first 24h of admission. Predictive accuracy of each scoring system was calculated using the area under the receiver-operating curve method. RESULTS: Overall 690 patients were included in the study. In-hospital major adverse events were observed in 139 (20.1%) patients of whom, 19 (2.5%) died during hospitalization.30-day all-cause mortality and 30-day readmission were observed in 22 (3.2%) and 27 (3.9%) patients respectively. Negative predictive value of each score was markedly higher compared to positive predictive values. Among all, JSS scoring system showed the highest AUC values across all end-points (0.80 for in-hospital major adverse events; 0.94 for in-hospital mortality; 0.91 for 30-day mortality). However, all five scoring systems failed to predict 30-day readmission. DISCUSSION: JSS was the best classifier among all five risk scoring systems particularly owing to its high sensitivity and negative predictive value

OBJETIVOS: Identificar oportunamente a los pacientes con pancreatitis aguda con mayor probabilidad de evolución negativa de la enfermedad. Esto ha motivado el desarrollo de numerosos sistemas de puntuación a lo largo de los años. Aunque muchos de ellos siguen utilizándose en la actualidad, ninguno ha demostrado ser idóneo. En este estudio se pretende comparar la capacidad discriminatoria de puntuaciones de riesgo relativamente recientes con puntuaciones históricas, en cuanto a su capacidad de predicción de acontecimientos adversos graves durante la hospitalización, mortalidad a 30 días y tasa de reingreso a 30 días. PACIENTES Y MÉTODOS: Se investigó retroactivamente a pacientes ingresados por pancreatitis aguda. Se aplicaron 5 sistemas de puntuación: HAPS, Ranson, BISAP, Glasgow y JSS, utilizando datos correspondientes a las primeras 24h después del ingreso. Se calculó la precisión predictiva de cada sistema de puntuación empleando el método de área bajo la curva de característica operativa del receptor. RESULTADOS: El estudio se realizó en un total de 690 pacientes. Se observaron acontecimientos adversos graves durante la hospitalización en 139 pacientes (20,1%) de los pacientes, de los cuales 19 (2,5%) fallecieron. Se observó mortalidad por cualquier causa a los 30 días y readmisión a los 30 días en 22 (3,2%) y 27 (3,9%) pacientes, respectivamente. El valor predictivo negativo de cada puntuación fue notablemente mayor en comparación con los valores predictivos positivos. De entre todos ellos, el sistema de puntuación JSS mostró los valores de área bajo la curva (AUC) más altos entre todos los criterios de valoración (0,80 para acontecimientos adversos graves durante la hospitalización; 0,94 para la mortalidad durante la hospitalización; 0,91 para la mortalidad a 30 días). Sin embargo, los 5 sistemas de puntuación fracasaron en la predicción de los reingresos a 30 días. Valoración: El JSS fue el mejor sistema de clasificación de entre los 5 sistemas de puntuación de riesgos, particularmente debido a su alta sensibilidad y valor predictivo negativo