Confidence intervals of similarity values determined for cloned SSU rRNA genes from environmental samples.

The goal of this research was to investigate the influence of the error rate of sequence determination on the differentiation of cloned SSU rRNA gene sequences for assessment of community structure. SSU rRNA cloned sequences from groundwater samples that represent different bacterial divisions were sequenced multiple times with the same sequencing primer. From comparison of sequence alignments with unedited data, confidence intervals were obtained from both a 'double binomial' model of sequence comparison and by non-parametric methods. The results indicated that similarity values below 0.9946 are likely derived from dissimilar sequences at a confidence level of 0.95, and not sequencing errors. The results confirmed that screening by direct sequence determination could be reliably used to differentiate at the species level. However, given sequencing errors comparable to those seen in this study, sequences with similarities above 0.9946 should be treated as the same sequence if a 95% confidence is desired.

Energy flow and the persistence of a human population: a simulation analysis.

The authors describe "a human ecosystem model, NUNOA, [which] simulates the yearly energy balance of individuals, families, and extended families in a hypothetical farming and herding community of Quechua Indians in the high Andes. The yearly energy demand of each family, based on the caloric requirements of its members, is computed by simulation of agricultural and herding activities in response to stochastic environmental conditions. The family energy balance is used in determining births, deaths, marriages, and resource sharing." The model can be used "to investigate the effect of changes in marriage patterns, resource sharing patterns, or subsistence activities on the ability of the human population to survive in the harsh Andean environment. Results from the model suggest that the substructuring of a population into extended families provides a mechanism for sheltering the population from control by exogenous influences. A population without substructures for resource sharing is shown to be unstable in such an unpredictable environment."

Coupling of functional gene diversity and geochemical data from environmental samples.

Genomic techniques commonly used for assessing distributions of microorganisms in the environment often produce small sample sizes. We investigated artificial neural networks for analyzing the distributions of nitrite reductase genes (nirS and nirK) and two sets of dissimilatory sulfite reductase genes (dsrAB1 and dsrAB2) in small sample sets. Data reduction (to reduce the number of input parameters), cross-validation (to measure the generalization error), weight decay (to adjust model parameters to reduce generalization error), and importance analysis (to determine which variables had the most influence) were useful in developing and interpreting neural network models that could be used to infer relationships between geochemistry and gene distributions. A robust relationship was observed between geochemistry and the frequencies of genes that were not closely related to known dissimilatory sulfite reductase genes (dsrAB2). Uranium and sulfate appeared to be the most related to distribution of two groups of these unusual dsrAB-related genes. For the other three groups, the distributions appeared to be related to pH, nickel, nonpurgeable organic carbon, and total organic carbon. The models relating the geochemical parameters to the distributions of the nirS, nirK, and dsrAB1 genes did not generalize as well as the models for dsrAB2. The data also illustrate the danger (generating a model that has a high generalization error) of not using a validation approach in evaluating the meaningfulness of the fit of linear or nonlinear models to such small sample sizes.