Heat and Cardiovascular Mortality: An Epidemiological Perspective.

As global temperatures rise, extreme heat events are projected to become more frequent and intense. Extreme heat causes a wide range of health effects, including an overall increase in morbidity and mortality. It is important to note that while there is sufficient epidemiological evidence for heat-related increases in all-cause mortality, evidence on the association between heat and cause-specific deaths such as cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality (and its more specific causes) is limited, with inconsistent findings. Existing systematic reviews and meta-analyses of epidemiological studies on heat and CVD mortality have summarized the available evidence. However, the target audience of such reviews is mainly limited to the specific field of environmental epidemiology. This overarching perspective aims to provide health professionals with a comprehensive overview of recent epidemiological evidence of how extreme heat is associated with CVD mortality. The rationale behind this broad perspective is that a better understanding of the effect of extreme heat on CVD mortality will help CVD health professionals optimize their plans to adapt to the changes brought about by climate change and heat events. To policymakers, this perspective would help formulate targeted mitigation, strengthen early warning systems, and develop better adaptation strategies. Despite the heterogeneity in evidence worldwide, due in part to different climatic conditions and population dynamics, there is a clear link between heat and CVD mortality. The risk has often been found to be higher in vulnerable subgroups, including older people, people with preexisting conditions, and the socioeconomically deprived. This perspective also highlights the lack of evidence from low- and middle-income countries and focuses on cause-specific CVD deaths. In addition, the perspective highlights the temporal changes in heat-related CVD deaths as well as the interactive effect of heat with other environmental factors and the potential biological pathways. Importantly, these various aspects of epidemiological studies have never been fully investigated and, therefore, the true extent of the impact of heat on CVD deaths remains largely unknown. Furthermore, this perspective also highlights the research gaps in epidemiological studies and the potential solutions to generate more robust evidence on the future consequences of heat on CVD deaths.

Nocturnal heat exposure and stroke risk.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In recent decades, nighttime temperatures have increased faster than daytime temperatures. The increasing prevalence of nocturnal heat exposure may pose a significant risk to cardiovascular health. This study investigated the association between nighttime heat exposure and stroke risk in the region of Augsburg, Germany, and examined its temporal variations over 15 years. METHODS: Hourly meteorological parameters, including mean temperature, relative humidity, and barometric pressure, were acquired from a local meteorological station. A data set was obtained consisting of 11 037 clinical stroke cases diagnosed during warmer months (May to October) between the years 2006 and 2020. The average age of cases was 71.3 years. Among these cases, 642 were identified as haemorrhagic strokes, 7430 were classified as ischaemic strokes, and 2947 were transient ischaemic attacks. A time-stratified case-crossover analysis with a distributed lag non-linear model was used to estimate the stroke risk associated with extreme nighttime heat, as measured by the hot night excess (HNE) index after controlling for the potential confounding effects of daily maximum temperature and other climatic variables. Subgroup analyses by age group, sex, stroke subtype, and stroke severity were performed to identify variations in susceptibility to nighttime heat. RESULTS: Results suggested a significant increase in stroke risk on days with extreme nighttime heat (97.5% percentile of HNE) (odds ratio 1.07, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.15) during the full study period. When comparing the results for 2013-20 with the results for 2006-12, there was a significant increase (P < .05) in HNE-related risk for all strokes and specifically for ischaemic strokes during the more recent period. Furthermore, older individuals, females, and patients with mild stroke symptoms exhibited a significantly increased vulnerability to nighttime heat. CONCLUSIONS: This study found nocturnal heat exposure to be related to elevated stroke risk after controlling for maximum daytime temperature, with increasing susceptibility between 2006 and 2020. These results underscore the importance of considering nocturnal heat as a critical trigger of stroke events in a warming climate.

Impact of Ambient Ultrafine Particles on Cause-Specific Mortality in Three German Cities.

Rationale: Exposure to ambient air pollution has been associated with adverse effects on morbidity and mortality. However, the evidence for ultrafine particles (UFPs; 10-100 nm) based on epidemiological studies remains scarce and inconsistent. Objectives: We examined associations between short-term exposures to UFPs and total particle number concentrations (PNCs; 10-800 nm) and cause-specific mortality in three German cities: Dresden, Leipzig, and Augsburg. Methods: We obtained daily counts of natural, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality between 2010 and 2017. UFPs and PNCs were measured at six sites, and measurements of fine particulate matter (PM2.5; ⩽2.5 µm in aerodynamic diameter) and nitrogen dioxide were collected from routine monitoring. We applied station-specific confounder-adjusted Poisson regression models. We investigated air pollutant effects at aggregated lags (0-1, 2-4, 5-7, and 0-7 d after UFP exposure) and used a novel multilevel meta-analytical method to pool the results. Additionally, we assessed interdependencies between pollutants using two-pollutant models. Measurements and Main Results: For respiratory mortality, we found a delayed increase in relative risk of 4.46% (95% confidence interval, 1.52 to 7.48%) per 3,223-particles/cm3 increment 5-7 days after UFP exposure. Effects for PNCs showed smaller but comparable estimates consistent with the observation that the smallest UFP fractions showed the largest effects. No clear associations were found for cardiovascular or natural mortality. UFP effects were independent of PM2.5 in two-pollutant models. Conclusions: We found delayed effects for respiratory mortality within 1 week after exposure to UFPs and PNCs but no associations for natural or cardiovascular mortality. This finding adds to the evidence on the independent health effects of UFPs.

Effects of Short- And Medium-Term Exposures to Lower Air Temperature on 71 Novel Biomarkers of Subclinical Inflammation: Results from the KORA F4 Study.

Increasing evidence has revealed that exposure to low temperatures is linked to a higher risk of chronic diseases and death; however, the mechanisms underlying the observed associations are still poorly understood. We performed a cross-sectional analysis with 1115 participants from the population-based KORA F4 study, which was conducted in Augsburg, Germany, from 2006 to 2008. Seventy-one inflammation-related protein biomarkers were analyzed in serum using proximity extension assay technology. We employed generalized additive models to explore short- and medium-term effects of air temperature on biomarkers of subclinical inflammation at cumulative lags of 0-1 days, 2-6 days, 0-13 days, 0-27 days, and 0-55 days. We found that short- and medium-term exposures to lower air temperature were associated with higher levels in 64 biomarkers of subclinical inflammation, such as Protein S100-A12 (EN-RAGE), Interleukin-6 (IL-6), Interleukin-10 (IL-10), C-C motif chemokine 28 (CCL28), and Neurotrophin-3 (NT-3). More pronounced associations between lower air temperature and higher biomarker of subclinical inflammation were observed among older participants, people with cardiovascular disease or prediabetes/diabetes, and people exposed to higher levels of air pollution (PM2.5, NO2, and O3). Our findings provide intriguing insight into how low air temperature may cause adverse health effects by activating inflammatory pathways.

Temporal variation in the association between temperature and cause-specific mortality in 15 German cities.

BACKGROUND: There is limited evidence of temporal changes in the association between air temperature and the risk of cause-specific cardiovascular [CVD] and respiratory [RD] mortality. METHOD: We explored temporal variations in the association between short-term exposures to air temperature and non-accidental and cause-specific CVD and RD mortality in the 15 largest German cities over 24 years (1993-2016) using time-stratified time series analysis. We applied location-specific confounder-adjusted Poisson regression with distributed lag non-linear models with a lag period of 14 days to estimate the temperature-mortality associations. We then pooled the estimates by a multivariate meta-analytical model. We analysed the whole study period and the periods 1993-2004 and 2005-16, separately. We also carried out age- and sex-stratified analysis. Cold and heat effects are reported as relative risk [RR] at the 1st and the 99th temperature percentile, relative to the 25th and the 75th percentile, respectively. RESULT: We analysed a total of 3,159,292 non-accidental, 1,063,198 CVD and 183,027 RD deaths. Cold-related RR for CVD mortality was seen to rise consistently over time from 1.04 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.02, 1.06) in the period 1993-2004 to 1.10 (95% CI 1.09, 1.11) in the period 2005-16. A similar increase in cold-related RR was also observed for RD mortality with risk increasing from 0.99 (95% CI 0.96, 1.03) to 1.07 (95% CI 1.03, 1.10). Cold-related ischemic, cerebrovascular, and heart failure mortality risk were seen to be increasing over time. Similarly, COPD, the commonly speculated driver of heat-related RD mortality was found to have a constant heat-related risk over time. Males were increasingly vulnerable to cold with time for all causes of death. Females showed increasing sensitivity to cold for CVD mortality. Our results indicated a significant increased cold and heat vulnerability of the youngest age-groups (<64) to non-accidental and RD mortality, respectively. Similarly, the older age group (>65) were found to have significantly increased susceptibility to cold for CVD mortality. CONCLUSION: We found evidence of rising population susceptibility to both heat- and cold-related CVD and RD mortality risk from 1993 to 2016. Climate change mitigation and targeted adaptation strategies might help to reduce the number of temperature-related deaths in the future.

Coarse Particulate Air Pollution and Daily Mortality: A Global Study in 205 Cities.

Rationale: The associations between ambient coarse particulate matter (PM2.5-10) and daily mortality are not fully understood on a global scale. Objectives: To evaluate the short-term associations between PM2.5-10 and total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality across multiple countries/regions worldwide. Methods: We collected daily mortality (total, cardiovascular, and respiratory) and air pollution data from 205 cities in 20 countries/regions. Concentrations of PM2.5-10 were computed as the difference between inhalable and fine PM. A two-stage time-series analytic approach was applied, with overdispersed generalized linear models and multilevel meta-analysis. We fitted two-pollutant models to test the independent effect of PM2.5-10 from copollutants (fine PM, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, ozone, and carbon monoxide). Exposure-response relationship curves were pooled, and regional analyses were conducted. Measurements and Main Results: A 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5-10 concentration on lag 0-1 day was associated with increments of 0.51% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.18%-0.84%), 0.43% (95% CI, 0.15%-0.71%), and 0.41% (95% CI, 0.06%-0.77%) in total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality, respectively. The associations varied by country and region. These associations were robust to adjustment by all copollutants in two-pollutant models, especially for PM2.5. The exposure-response curves for total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality were positive, with steeper slopes at lower exposure ranges and without discernible thresholds. Conclusions: This study provides novel global evidence on the robust and independent associations between short-term exposure to ambient PM2.5-10 and total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality, suggesting the need to establish a unique guideline or regulatory limit for daily concentrations of PM2.5-10.

Differential Mortality Risks Associated With PM2.5 Components: A Multi-Country, Multi-City Study.

BACKGROUND: The association between fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and mortality widely differs between as well as within countries. Differences in PM2.5 composition can play a role in modifying the effect estimates, but there is little evidence about which components have higher impacts on mortality. METHODS: We applied a 2-stage analysis on data collected from 210 locations in 16 countries. In the first stage, we estimated location-specific relative risks (RR) for mortality associated with daily total PM2.5 through time series regression analysis. We then pooled these estimates in a meta-regression model that included city-specific logratio-transformed proportions of seven PM2.5 components as well as meta-predictors derived from city-specific socio-economic and environmental indicators. RESULTS: We found associations between RR and several PM2.5 components. Increasing the ammonium (NH4+) proportion from 1% to 22%, while keeping a relative average proportion of other components, increased the RR from 1.0063 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 1.0030, 1.0097) to 1.0102 (95% CI = 1.0070, 1.0135). Conversely, an increase in nitrate (NO3-) from 1% to 71% resulted in a reduced RR, from 1.0100 (95% CI = 1.0067, 1.0133) to 1.0037 (95% CI = 0.9998, 1.0077). Differences in composition explained a substantial part of the heterogeneity in PM2.5 risk. CONCLUSIONS: These findings contribute to the identification of more hazardous emission sources. Further work is needed to understand the health impacts of PM2.5 components and sources given the overlapping sources and correlations among many components.

Higher Daily Air Temperature Is Associated with Shorter Leukocyte Telomere Length: KORA F3 and KORA F4.

Higher air temperature is associated with increased age-related morbidity and mortality. To date, short-term effects of air temperature on leukocyte telomere length have not been investigated in an adult population. We aimed to examine the short-term associations between air temperature and leukocyte telomere length in an adult population-based setting, including two independent cohorts. This population-based study involved 5864 participants from the KORA F3 (2004-2005) and F4 (2006-2008) cohort studies conducted in Augsburg, Germany. Leukocyte telomere length was assessed by a quantitative PCR-based method. We estimated air temperature at each participant's residential address through a highly resolved spatiotemporal model. We conducted cohort-specific generalized additive models to explore the short-term effects of air temperature on leukocyte telomere length at lags 0-1, 2-6, 0-6, and 0-13 days separately and pooled the estimates by fixed-effects meta-analysis. Our study found that between individuals, an interquartile range (IQR) increase in daily air temperature was associated with shorter leukocyte telomere length at lags 0-1, 2-6, 0-6, and 0-13 days (%change: -2.96 [-4.46; -1.43], -2.79 [-4.49; -1.07], -4.18 [-6.08; -2.25], and -6.69 [-9.04; -4.27], respectively). This meta-analysis of two cohort studies showed that between individuals, higher daily air temperature was associated with shorter leukocyte telomere length.

Low emission zones reduced PM10 but not NO2 concentrations in Berlin and Munich, Germany.

Low emission zones (LEZs) aiming at improving the air quality in urban areas have been implemented in many European cities. However, studies are limited in evaluating the effects of LEZ, and most of which used simple methods. In this study, a general additive mixed model was utilized to account for confounders in the atmosphere and validate the effects of LEZ on PM10 and NO2 concentrations in two German cities. In addition, the effects of LEZ on elemental carbon (EC) and total carbon (TC) in Berlin were also evaluated. The LEZ effects were estimated after taking into account air pollutant concentrations at a reference site located in the regional background, and adjusting for hour of the week, public holidays, season, and wind direction. The LEZ in Berlin, and the LEZ in combination with the heavy-duty vehicle (HDV) transit ban in Munich significantly reduced the PM10 concentrations, at both traffic sites (TS) and urban background sites (UB). The effects were greater in LEZ stage 3 than in LEZ stages 2 and 1. Moreover, compared with PM10, LEZ was more efficient in reducing EC, a component that is considered more toxic than PM10 mass. In contrast, the LEZ had no consistent effect on NO2 levels: no effects were observed in Berlin; in Munich, the combination of the LEZ and the HDV transit ban reduced NO2 at UB site in LEZ stage 1, but without further reductions in subsequent stages of the LEZ. Overall, our study indicated that LEZs, which target the major primary air pollution source in the highly populated city center could be an effective way to improve urban air quality such as PM mass concentration and EC level.

Temporal variations in the triggering of myocardial infarction by air temperature in Augsburg, Germany, 1987-2014.

AIMS: The association between air temperature and mortality has been shown to vary over time, but evidence of temporal changes in the risk of myocardial infarction (MI) is lacking. We aimed to estimate the temporal variations in the association between short-term exposures to air temperature and MI in the area of Augsburg, Germany. METHODS AND RESULTS: Over a 28-years period from 1987 to 2014, a total of 27 310 cases of MI and coronary deaths were recorded. Daily meteorological parameters were measured in the study area. A time-stratified case-crossover analysis with a distributed lag non-linear model was used to estimate the risk of MI associated with air temperature. Subgroup analyses were performed to identify subpopulations with changing susceptibility to air temperature. Results showed a non-significant decline in cold-related MI risks. Heat-related MI relative risk significantly increased from 0.93 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.78-1.12] in 1987-2000 to 1.14 (95% CI: 1.00-1.29) in 2001-14. The same trend was also observed for recurrent and non-ST-segment elevation MI events. This increasing population susceptibility to heat was more evident in patients with diabetes mellitus and hyperlipidaemia. Future studies using multicentre MI registries at different climatic, demographic, and socioeconomic settings are warranted to confirm our findings. CONCLUSION: We found evidence of rising population susceptibility to heat-related MI risk from 1987 to 2014, suggesting that exposure to heat should be considered as an environmental trigger of MI, especially under a warming climate.

[Combined effects of different environmental factors on health: air pollution, temperature, green spaces, pollen, and noise]. / Kombinierte Effekte verschiedener Umweltfaktoren auf die Gesundheit: Luftschadstoffe, Temperatur, Grünflächen, Pollen und Lärm.

Environmental factors affect the health and wellbeing of urban residents. However, they do not act individually on humans, but instead show potential synergistic or antagonistic effects. Questions that arise from this are: How does a combination of air pollutants with other environmental factors impact health? How well are these associations evidenced? What methods can we use to look at them? In this article, methodical approaches regarding the effects of a combination of various environmental factors are first described. Environmental factors are then examined, which together with different air pollutants, have an impact on human health such as ambient temperature, noise, and pollen as well as the effect of green spaces. Physical activity and nutrition are addressed regarding the attenuation of health effects from air pollution.While there is often clear evidence of health effects of single environmental stressors, there are still open questions in terms of their interaction. The research methods required for this still need to be further developed. The interrelationship between the different environmental factors make it clear that (intervention) measures for reducing single indicators are also interlinked. Regarding traffic, switching from passive to active transport (e.g., due to safe cycle paths and other measures) leads to less air pollutants, smaller increases in temperature in the long term, and at the same time improved health of the individual. As a result, sensible planning of the built environment has great potential to reduce environmental stressors and improve people's health and wellbeing.

Short-term effects of fine particulate matter and ozone on the cardiac conduction system in patients undergoing cardiac catheterization.

BACKGROUND: Air pollution-induced changes in cardiac electrophysiological properties could be a pathway linking air pollution and cardiovascular events. The evidence of air pollution effects on the cardiac conduction system is incomplete yet. We investigated short-term effects of particulate matter ≤ 2.5 µm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) on cardiac electrical impulse propagation and repolarization as recorded in surface electrocardiograms (ECG). METHODS: We analyzed repeated 12-lead ECG measurements performed on 5,332 patients between 2001 and 2012. The participants came from the Duke CATHGEN Study who underwent cardiac catheterization and resided in North Carolina, United States (NC, U.S.). Daily concentrations of PM2.5 and O3 at each participant's home address were predicted with a hybrid air quality exposure model. We used generalized additive mixed models to investigate the associations of PM2.5 and O3 with the PR interval, QRS interval, heart rate-corrected QT interval (QTc), and heart rate (HR). The temporal lag structures of the associations were examined using distributed-lag models. RESULTS: Elevated PM2.5 and O3 were associated with four-day lagged lengthening of the PR and QRS intervals, and with one-day lagged increases in HR. We observed immediate effects on the lengthening of the QTc interval for both PM2.5 and O3, as well as delayed effects for PM2.5 (lagged by 3 - 4 days). The associations of PM2.5 and O3 with the PR interval and the association of O3 with the QRS interval persisted until up to seven days after exposure. CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing cardiac catheterization, short-term exposure to air pollution was associated with increased HR and delays in atrioventricular conduction, ventricular depolarization and repolarization.

Mixtures of Berkson and classical covariate measurement error in the linear mixed model: Bias analysis and application to a study on ultrafine particles.

The ultrafine particle measurements in the Augsburger Umweltstudie, a panel study conducted in Augsburg, Germany, exhibit measurement error from various sources. Measurements of mobile devices show classical possibly individual-specific measurement error; Berkson-type error, which may also vary individually, occurs, if measurements of fixed monitoring stations are used. The combination of fixed site and individual exposure measurements results in a mixture of the two error types. We extended existing bias analysis approaches to linear mixed models with a complex error structure including individual-specific error components, autocorrelated errors, and a mixture of classical and Berkson error. Theoretical considerations and simulation results show, that autocorrelation may severely change the attenuation of the effect estimations. Furthermore, unbalanced designs and the inclusion of confounding variables influence the degree of attenuation. Bias correction with the method of moments using data with mixture measurement error partially yielded better results compared to the usage of incomplete data with classical error. Confidence intervals (CIs) based on the delta method achieved better coverage probabilities than those based on Bootstrap samples. Moreover, we present the application of these new methods to heart rate measurements within the Augsburger Umweltstudie: the corrected effect estimates were slightly higher than their naive equivalents. The substantial measurement error of ultrafine particle measurements has little impact on the results. The developed methodology is generally applicable to longitudinal data with measurement error.

Ultrafine and Fine Particles and Hospital Admissions in Central Europe. Results from the UFIREG Study.

RATIONALE: Evidence of short-term effects of ultrafine particles (UFP) on health is still inconsistent and few multicenter studies have been conducted so far especially in Europe. OBJECTIVES: Within the UFIREG project, we investigated the short-term effects of UFP and fine particulate matter (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 µm [PM2.5]) on daily cause-specific hospital admissions in five Central and Eastern European cities using harmonized protocols for measurements and analyses. METHODS: Daily counts of cause-specific hospital admissions focusing on cardiovascular and respiratory diseases were obtained for Augsburg and Dresden (Germany), 2011-2012; Chernivtsi (Ukraine), 2013 to March 2014; and Ljubljana (Slovenia) and Prague (Czech Republic), 2012-2013. Air pollution and meteorologic data were measured at fixed monitoring sites in all cities. We analyzed city-specific associations using confounder-adjusted Poisson regression models and pooled the city-specific effect estimates using metaanalysis methods. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A 2,750 particles/cm3 increase (average interquartile range across all cities) in the 6-day average of UFP indicated a delayed and prolonged increase in the pooled relative risk of respiratory hospital admissions (3.4% [95% confidence interval, -1.7 to 8.8%]). We also found increases in the pooled relative risk of cardiovascular (exposure average of lag 2-5, 1.8% [0.1-3.4%]) and respiratory (6-d average exposure, 7.5% [4.9-10.2%]) admissions per 12.4 µg/m3 increase (average interquartile range) in PM2.5. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicated delayed and prolonged effects of UFP exposure on respiratory hospital admissions in Central and Eastern Europe. Cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admissions increased in association with an increase in PM2.5. Further multicenter studies are needed using harmonized UFP measurements to draw definite conclusions on health effects of UFP.

Association of novel metrics of particulate matter with vascular markers of inflammation and coagulation in susceptible populations -results from a panel study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Epidemiological studies have shown adverse effects of ambient air pollutants on health with inflammation and oxidative stress playing an important role. We examine the association between blood biomarkers of inflammation and coagulation and physical attributes of particulate matter which are not routinely measured such as particle length or surface area concentration and apparent density of PM. METHODS: Between 3/2007 and 12/2008 187 non-smoking individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) or impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) were examined within the framework of the KORA Study in Augsburg, Germany. In addition, we selected 87 participants with a potential genetic predisposition on detoxifying and inflammatory pathways. This was defined by the null polymorphism for glutathione S-transferase M1 in combination with a certain single nucleotide polymorphism on the C-reactive protein (CRP) gene (rs1205) or the fibrinogen gene (rs1800790). Participants had blood drawn up to seven different times, resulting in 1765 blood samples. Air pollutants were collected at a central measurement station and individual 24-h averages calculated. Associations between air pollutants and high sensitivity CRP, myeloperoxidase (MPO), interleukin (IL)-6 and fibrinogen were analysed using additive mixed models. RESULTS: For the panel with genetic susceptibility, increases were seen for CRP and MPO with most attributes, specifically particle length and active surface concentration. The %change of geometric mean and 95% confidence intervals for the 5-day average exposure for CRP and MPO were 34.6% [21.8;48.8] and 8.3% [3.2;13.6] per interquartile range increase of particle length concentration and 29.8% [15.9;45.3] and 10.4 [4.4;16.7] for active surface area. Results for the panel of T2D and IGT and the other blood biomarkers were less conclusive. CONCLUSIONS: Particle length concentration and active surface concentration showed strong positive associations with blood biomarkers reflecting inflammation. These air pollution metrics might reflect harmful aerosol properties better than particulate mass or number concentration. They might therefore be important for epidemiological studies.

Does total antioxidant capacity modify adverse cardiac responses associated with ambient ultrafine, accumulation mode, and fine particles in patients undergoing cardiac rehabilitation?

BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggest that pathways reducing oxidative stress may have a protective effect against adverse cardiac responses associated with ambient PM. However, few studies have directly assessed total antioxidant capacity (TAC) as a potential effect modifier of cardiac responses to increased ambient PM. OBJECTIVES: We examined if TAC modifies the association between ambient PM and markers of heart rate variability (HRV), repolarization, systemic inflammation, and systolic blood pressure (SBP) in post-infarction patients. METHODS: We recruited 76 patients with a recent coronary event (myocardial infarction or unstable angina) who participated in a cardiac rehabilitation program from June 2006 to November 2009 in Rochester, New York. Ambient fine particle (PM2.5,≤2.5µm in aerodynamic diameter), accumulation mode particle (AMP, 100-500nm) and ultrafine particle (UFP, 10-100nm) concentrations were measured continuously by fixed-site monitors. Markers of HRV and repolarization were measured by continuous Holter electrocardiogram (ECG) recordings before and during exercise sessions of the rehabilitation program. Blood pressure was measured and venous blood samples were collected before exercise to measure TAC and inflammation markers. We applied linear mixed models to assess changes in markers of HRV, repolarization, systemic inflammation, and SBP associated with increased PM concentrations in the low, medium and high TAC tertile groups, after adjusting for covariates including temperature, calendar time since the beginning of the study, visit number, month of year, and hour of day. RESULTS: Based on subject-visits with available TAC, we observed increases in SBP, C-reactive protein, and fibrinogen, and decreases in rMSSD (square root of the mean of the sum of the squared differences between adjacent normal to normal intervals) and SDNN (standard deviation of normal to normal beat intervals) associated with increased PM2.5, AMP and UFP in the previous 6-120h (e.g. change in SBP associated with each interquartile range (IQR) increase in PM2.5 lagged 0-5h was 1.27mmHg [95%CI: 0.09, 2.46mmHg]). However, we did not observe a consistent pattern of effect measure modification by TAC for any combination of pollutant and outcome (e.g. changes in SBP associated with each IQR increase in PM2.5 lagged 0-5h for the low, medium and high TAC tertile groups were 1.93mmHg [95%CI: 0.23, 3.63 mmHg], -0.31 mmHg [95%CI: -2.62, 2.01 mmHg], and 1.29mmHg [95%CI: -0.64, 3.21 mmHg], respectively. P for interaction=0.28). CONCLUSIONS: In a post-infarction population, total antioxidant capacity does not appear to modify the association between biomarkers of heart rate variability, repolarization, systemic inflammation, and systolic blood pressure and ambient PM concentrations in the previous 6-120h.

Short-term effects of air temperature on plasma metabolite concentrations in patients undergoing cardiac catheterization.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological studies have shown associations between air temperature and cardiovascular health outcomes. Metabolic dysregulation might also play a role in the development of cardiovascular disease. OBJECTIVES: To investigate short-term temperature effects on metabolites related to cardiovascular disease. METHODS: Concentrations of 45 acylcarnitines, 15 amino acids, ketone bodies and total free fatty acids were available in 2869 participants from the CATHeterization GENetics cohort recruited at the Duke University Cardiac Catheterization Clinic (Durham, NC) between 2001 and 2007. Ten metabolites were selected based on quality criteria and cluster analysis. Daily averages of meteorological variables were obtained from the North American Regional Reanalysis project. Immediate, lagged, and cumulative temperature effects on metabolite concentrations were analyzed using (piecewise) linear regression models. RESULTS: Linear temperature effects were found for glycine, C16-OH:C14:1-DC, and aspartic acid/asparagine. A 5°C increase in temperature was associated with a 1.8% [95%-confidence interval: 0.3%; 3.3%] increase in glycine (5-day average), a 3.2% [0.1%; 6.3%] increase in C16-OH:C14:1-DC (lag of four days), and a -1.4% [-2.4%; -0.3%] decrease in aspartic acid/asparagine (lag of two days). Non-linear temperature effects were observed for alanine and total ketone bodies with breakpoint of 4°C and 20°C, respectively. Both a 5°C decrease in temperature on colder days (<4°C)and a 5°C increase in temperature on warmer days (≥4°C) were associated with a four day delayed increase in alanine by 6.6% [11.7; 1.8%] and 1.9% [0.3%; 3.4%], respectively. For ketone bodies we found immediate (0-day lag) increases of 4.2% [-0.5%; 9.1%] and 12.3% [0.1%; 26.0%] associated with 5°C decreases on colder (<20°C) days and 5°C increases on warmer days (≥20°C), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We observed multiple effects of air temperature on metabolites several of which are reported to be involved in cardiovascular disease. Our findings might help to understand the link between air temperature and cardiovascular disease.

Short-term effects of fine particulate air pollution on cardiovascular hospital emergency room visits: a time-series study in Beijing, China.

BACKGROUND: The link between particulate matter (PM) and cardiovascular morbidity has been investigated in numerous studies. Less evidence exists, however, about how age, gender and season may modify this relationship. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between ambient PM2.5 (PM ≤ 2.5 µm) and daily hospital emergency room visits (ERV) for cardiovascular diseases in Beijing, China. Moreover, potential effect modification by age, gender, season, air mass origin and the specific period with 2008 Beijing Olympic were investigated. Finally, the temporal lag structure of PM2.5 has also been explored. METHODS: Daily counts of cardiovascular ERV were obtained from the Peking University Third Hospital from January 2007 to December 2008. Concurrently, data on PM2.5, PM10 (PM ≤ 10 µm), nitrogen dioxide and sulfur dioxide concentrations were obtained from monitoring networks and a fixed monitoring station. Poisson regression models adjusting for confounders were used to estimate immediate, delayed and cumulative air pollution effects. The temporal lag structure was also estimated using polynomial distributed lag (PDL) models. We calculated the relative risk (RR) for overall cardiovascular disease ERV as well as for specific causes of disease; and also investigated the potential modifying effect of age, gender, season, air mass origin and the period with 2008 Beijing Olympics. RESULTS: We observed adverse effects of PM2.5 on cardiovascular ERV--an IQR increase (68 µg/m(3)) in PM2.5 was associated with an overall RR of 1.022 (95% CI 0.990-1.057) obtained from PDL model. Strongest effects of PM2.5 on cardiovascular ERV were found for a lag of 7 days; the respective estimate was 1.012 (95% CI 1.002-1.022). The effects were more pronounced in females and in spring. Arrhythmia and cerebrovascular diseases showed a stronger association with PM2.5. We also found stronger PM-effects for stagnant and southern air masses and the period of Olympics modified the air pollution effects. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a rather delayed effect of PM2.5 on cardiovascular ERV, which was modified by gender and season. Our findings provide new evidence about effect modifications and may have implications to improve policy making for particulate air pollution standards in Beijing, China.

Ambient and Controlled Particle Exposures as Triggers for Acute ECG Changes.

INTRODUCTION: Previous studies have examined changes in heart rate variability (HRV*) and repolarization associated with increased particulate matter (PM) concentrations on the same and previous few days. However, few studies have examined whether these health responses to PM occur within a few hours or even less. Moreover, it is not clear whether exposure of subjects to ambient or-controlled PM concentrations both lead to similar health effects or whether any of the subjects' individual characteristics modify any of their responses to PM. The aims of the cur- rent study were to investigate whether exposure to PM was associated with rapid changes (< 60 minutes or con- current hour up to a delay of 6 hours) in markers of car- diac rhythni or changes in total antioxidant capacity (a marker of protection against oxidative stress) and whether any PM effects on cardiac rhythm markers were modified by total antioxidant capacity, age, obesity, smoking, hypertension, exertion, prior myocardial infarction (MI), or medication. METHODS: We obtained data from a completed study in Augsburg, Germany (a panel study in N= 109 subjects, including a group with type 2 diabetes or impaired glucose tolerance [IGT; also known as prediabetes]) and a group of other- wise healthy subjects with a potential genetic susceptibil- ity to detoxifying and inflammatory pathways (Hampel et al. 2012b), as well as three completed studies in Rochester, New York (the REHAB panel study of N= 76 postinfarction patients in a cardiac rehabilitation pro- gram [Rich et al. 2012b]; the UPDIABETES study of con- trolled exposure to ultrafine particles [UFPs, particles with an aerodynamic diameter < 100 nm] of N = 19 patients with type 2 diabetes [Stewart et al. 2010; Vora et al. 2014j; and the UPCON controlled-exposure study of concentrated UFP exposure in N = 20 young, healthy, life- time nonsmokers). Data included 5-minute and 1-hour values for HRV and repolarization parameters from elec- trocardiogram (ECG) recordings and total antioxidant capacity measured in stored blood samples. Ambient con- centrations of UFPs, accumulation-mode particles (AMP, particles with an aerodynamic diameter of 100-500 nm), fine PM (PM2.5, particles with an aerodynamic diameter 2.5 pm), and black carbon (BC) were also available. We first conducted factor analyses in each study to find subgroups of correlated ECG outcomes and to reduce the number of outcomes examined in our statistical models. We then restricted the statistical analyses to the factors and representative.outcomes that were common to all four studies, including total HRV (measured as the standard deviation of normal-to-normal [NN] beat intervals [SDNNj), parasympathetic modulation (measured as the root mean square of the successive differences [RMSSD between adjacent NN beat intervals), and T-wave morphol- ogy (measured as T-wave complexity). Next, we used addi- tive mixed models to estimate the change in each outcome associated with increased pollutant concentrations in the . concurrent and previous 6 hours and with 5-minute inter- vals up to the previous 60 minutes, accounting for the correlation of repeated outcome measures for each subject and adjusting for time trend, hour of the day, temperature, relative humidity, day of the week, month, and visit number. Because multiple comparisons were an issue in our. analyses, we used a discovery-and-replication approach to draw conclusions across studies for each research question. RESULTS: In the Augsburg study, interquartile range (IQR) increases in UFP concentrations lagged 2 to 5 hours were associated with 1%-3% decreases in SDNN (e.g., lagged 3 hours in the group with a genetic susceptibility: -2.26%; 95% confidence interval [CI], -3.98% to -0.53%). In the REHAB study, similarly, IQR increases in UFP concentra- tions in the previous 5 hours were associated with < 3% decreases in SDNN (e.g., lagged 1 hour: -2.69%; 95% CI, -5.13% to -0.26%). We also found decreases in SDNN associated with IQR increases in total particle count-(a surrogate for UFP) in the UPDIABETES study (lagged 1 hour: -13.22%; 95% CI, -24.11% to -2.33%) but not in the UPCON study. In the Augsburg study, IQR increases in PM2.5 concen- trations in the concurrent hour and lagged 1-5 hours, AMP concentrations lagged 1 and 3 hours, and BC con- centrations lagged 1-5 hours were associated with -1%-5% decreases in SDNN (e.g., PM2.5 lagged 2 hours in the group with diabetes or IGT: -4.59%; 95% CI, -7.44% to -1.75%). In the REHAB study, IQR increases in PM2.5 concentrations lagged 5 and 6 hours and AMP concentra- tions in the concurrent hour and lagged up to 5 hours were associated with 1%-2% decreases in SDNN (e.g., PM2.5 lagged 4 hours: -2.13%; 95% CI, -3.91% to -0.35%). In the Augsburg study, IQR increases in PM2.5 concen- trations in the concurrent hour and BC lagged 1 and 6 hours were associated with 3%-7% decreases in RMSSD (e.g., PM2.5 concurrent hour in the group with diabetes or IGT: -7.20%; 95% CI, -12.11% to -2.02%). In the REHAB study, similarly, increases in PM2.5 concen- trations lagged 4 to 6 hours-though not AMP or BC con- centrations at any lag hour-were associated with -2.5%-3.5% decreases in RMSSD (e.g., PM2.5 lagged 5 hours: -3.49%; 95% CI, -6.13% to -0.84%). We did not find consistent evidence of any pollutant effects on T-wave complexity in 1-hour recordings. For 5-minute record- ings, there was no consistent evidence of UFP effects on SDNN, RMSSD, or T-wave complexity at any 5-minute interval within 60 minutes. We further concluded that these replicated hourly effects of UFP and PM2.5 on short-term measures of SDNN and RMSSD generally did not differ between the groups in the studies (i.e., type 2 diabetes, pre-diabetes/IGT, post- infarction, and healthy subjects). Last, we found no con- sistent evidence of effects of any pollutant on total anti- oxidant capacity and no consistent evidence of modification of our PM2.5-outcome associations by any of the potential effect modifiers. ONCLUSIONS: Increased UFP concentrations were associated with decreased SDNN in both of the panel studies and one of the two controlled-exposure studies. We also found that decreased SDNN was associated with both increased PM2.5 and AMP concentrations in the previous 6 hours in the panel studies and that decreased RMSSD was associ- ated with increased PM2.5 concentrations in the previous 6 hours in the panel studies. We therefore concluded that the research questions were replicated. Our findings suggest that both UFPs and PM2.5 are associated with autonomic dysfunction within hours of exposure, which may in part. explain the previously reported risk of acute cardiovascular events associated with increased PM in the previous few hours. Despite the heterogeneity of the study populations,and protocols, our findings provided consistent evidence for the induction of rapid pathophysiological responses by UFPs and PM2.5- The absence of consistent associations between UFPs, PM2.5, and these outcomes when examining shorter time intervals indicates that the 5- to 60-minute responses may be less pronounced than the responses occurring within hours. However, the findings from the 5-minute intervals may have been affected by the variety of proto- cols and conditions from study to study as well as by the potential effects of underlying diseases (e.g., healthy indi- viduals versus individuals with diabetes or a recent cor- onary artery. event), physical activity, circadian rhythms, stress, and/or medications.

Assessing responses of cardiovascular mortality to particulate matter air pollution for pre-, during- and post-2008 Olympics periods.

BACKGROUND: The link between particulate air pollution and cardiovascular (CVD) mortality has been investigated. However, there is little direct evidence that reduction measures which decrease particulate air pollution would lead to a reduction in CVD mortality. OBJECTIVES: In Beijing, China, air quality improvement strategies were developed and actions were taken before and during the 2008 Olympic and Paralympic Games. Taking advantage of this opportunity, the aim of the study was to assess the effects of changes in particulate air pollution before (May 20-July 20, 2008), during (August 1-September 20, 2008) and after (October 1-December 1, 2008) the Olympics period. METHODS: Concentrations of air pollution, meteorology and CVD death counts were obtained from official networks and monitoring sites located on the Peking University campus. Air pollution effects with lags of 0-4 days as well as of the 5-day average on cause-specific CVD mortality were investigated for the complete study period (May 20-December 1, 2008) using Quasi-Poisson regression models. Different gender and age subgroups were taken into account. Additionally, effect modification by air mass origin was investigated. In a second step, air pollution effects were estimated for the three specific periods by including an interaction term in the models. RESULTS: We observed large concentration decreases in all measured air pollutants during the unique pollution intervention for the Beijing 2008 Olympics. For the whole period, adverse effects of particulate air pollution were observed on CVD mortality with a 1-day delay as well as for the 5-day average exposure, e.g. an 8.8% (95%CI: 2.7-15.2%) increase in CVD mortality with an interquartile range increase in ultrafine particles. The effects were more pronounced in females, the elderly and for cerebrovascular deaths, but not modified by air mass origin. The specific sub-period analysis results suggested that the risks of CVD mortality were lowest during the Olympic Games where strongest reduction measures have been applied. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicated that the reduction of air pollution due to air quality control measures led to a decreased risk of CVD mortality in Beijing. Our findings provide new insight into efforts to reduce ambient air pollution.