Recent trends in prostate cancer in Spain. / Tendencias recientes en cáncer de próstata en España.

OBJECTIVE: To assess recent trends in prostate cancer incidence, survival and mortality in Spain using updated data. SUBJECTS AND METHOD: Prostate cancer mortality data have been obtained from the National Institute of Statistics (INE). Incidence cases have been obtained from the databases Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5) and European Cancer Information System. Joinpoint regression models were used for trend analysis. The results show the duration (years) of each trend, as well as the Annual Percent Change (APC) for each of them. The direction and magnitude of recent trends (last 5 years available) were evaluated using the percentages of Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC). RESULTS: Incidence rates increased significantly from 16.4 in 1980 to 61.3 in 2014. The joinpoint analysis shows three periods: two initial periods of significant rise (1980-1990; 3.5% and 1990-2004; 8.4%) followed by a final one in which rates stabilize (2004-2014; -0.5%, non-significant). Mortality rates drop from 12.9 in 1980 to 7.9 in 2018, with an AAPC of -1.2% (p<0.05). However, the joinpoint analysis identified three time periods: an initial period of statistically significant rise (1980-1998; APC: 0.6%, p<0.05) and two periods of decreasing rates (1992-2008; APC: -3.3%, p<0.05 and 2008-2018; APC: -2.4%, p<0.05). CONCLUSION: Recent trends (last 5 years) show that mortality rates have decreased and incidence rates have stabilized or even decreased in some age groups.

Tendencias recientes en cáncer de próstata en España / Recent trends in prostate cancer in Spain

OBJETIVO: Evaluar las tendencias recientes de incidencia, supervivencia y mortalidad por cáncer de próstata en España utilizando datos actualizados. Sujetos y método: Las defunciones por cáncer de próstata se han obtenido del Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE). Los casos incidentes se han obtenido de las bases de datos Cancer incidence in five continents (CI5) y European Cancer Information System. Para el análisis de tendencias se usaron modelos de regresión joinpoint. En los resultados se muestran los años (período) que componen cada tendencia, así como el porcentaje de cambio anual (PCA) para cada una de ellas. La dirección y magnitud de las tendencias recientes (últimos 5 años disponibles) se evaluaron mediante los porcentajes de cambio anual medio (PCAM). RESULTADOS: Las tasas de incidencia aumentaron de forma significativa, pasando de 16,4 en 1980 a 61,3 en 2014. El análisis joinpoint muestra 3 períodos: 2 iniciales de incrementos significativos (1980-1990; 3,5% y 1990-2004; 8,4%) seguidos de uno final en el que las tasas se estabilizan (2004-2014; -0,5%, no significativo). Las tasas de mortalidad descienden pasando de 12,9 en 1980 a 7,9 en el año 2018, con un PCAM de -1,2% (p < 0,05). Sin embargo, el análisis joinpoint identificó 3 períodos de tiempo: un período inicial de aumento estadísticamente significativo (1980-1998; PCA: 0,6%, p < 0,05) y 2 períodos de disminución en las tasas (1992-2008; PCA: -3,3%, p < 0,05 y 2008-2018; PCA: -2,4%, p < 0,05). CONCLUSIÓN: Las tendencias recientes (últimos 5 años) muestran que las tasas de mortalidad han disminuido y que las tasas de incidencia se han estabilizado e incluso descendido en algunos grupos de edad

OBJECTIVE: To assess recent trends in prostate cancer incidence, survival and mortality in Spain using updated data. Subjects and method: Prostate cancer mortality data have been obtained from the National Institute of Statistics (INE). Incidence cases have been obtained from the databases Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5) and European Cancer Information System. Joinpoint regression models were used for trend analysis. The results show the duration (years) of each trend, as well as the Annual Percent Change (APC) for each of them. The direction and magnitude of recent trends (last 5 years available) were evaluated using the percentages of Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC). RESULTS: Incidence rates increased significantly from 16.4 in 1980 to 61.3 in 2014. The joinpoint analysis shows three periods: two initial periods of significant rise (1980-1990; 3.5% and 1990-2004; 8.4%) followed by a final one in which rates stabilize (2004-2014; -0.5%, non-significant). Mortality rates drop from 12.9 in 1980 to 7.9 in 2018, with an AAPC of -1.2% (p < 0.05). However, the joinpoint analysis identified three time periods: an initial period of statistically significant rise (1980-1998; APC: 0.6%, p < 0.05) and two periods of decreasing rates (1992-2008; APC: -3.3%, p < 0.05 and 2008-2018; APC: -2.4%, p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Recent trends (last 5 years) show that mortality rates have decreased and incidence rates have stabilized or even decreased in some age groups