LED-pumped eye-safe pulse laser with an extracavity optical parametric oscillator.

An LED-side-pumped Nd:YAG/Cr4+:YAG passively Q-switched (PQS) laser containing an extracavity optical parametric oscillator (EOPO) is demonstrated. As far as we know, it is the first LED-pumped eye-safe laser. The Nd:YAG pump module is optimized to increase the PQS pulse energy to 24 mJ at 1064 nm. By using a single-pass EOPO design, the output energy of the signal pulse at 1573 nm is 7.44 mJ with a pulse width of 16 ns, the peak power is 434 kW, and the pump-to-signal conversion efficiency is 31%. For double-pass EOPO operation, the pump-to-signal conversion efficiency increases to 45.8%, the output energy of signal pulse is up to 10.98 mJ with a pulse width of 23.5 ns, and the peak power is 459 kW.

Development of the Soft X-ray AGM-AGS RIXS beamline at the Taiwan Photon Source.

We report on the development of a high-resolution and highly efficient beamline for soft X-ray resonant inelastic X-ray scattering (RIXS) located at the Taiwan Photon Source. This beamline adopts an optical design that uses an active grating monochromator (AGM) and an active grating spectrometer (AGS) to implement the energy compensation principle of grating dispersion. Active gratings are utilized to diminish defocus, coma and higher-order aberrations, as well as to decrease the slope errors caused by thermal deformation and optical polishing. The AGS is mounted on a rotatable granite platform to enable momentum-resolved RIXS measurements with scattering angles over a wide range. Several high-precision instruments developed in-house for this beamline are described briefly. The best energy resolution obtained from this AGM-AGS beamline was 12.4 meV at 530 eV, achieving a resolving power of 4.2 × 104, while the bandwidth of the incident soft X-rays was kept at 0.5 eV. To demonstrate the scientific impact of high-resolution RIXS, we present an example of momentum-resolved RIXS measurements on a high-temperature superconducting cuprate, i.e. La2-xSrxCuO4. The measurements reveal the A1g buckling phonons in superconducting cuprates, opening a new opportunity to investigate the coupling between these phonons and charge-density waves.

Optical design and performance of the biological small-angle X-ray scattering beamline at the Taiwan Photon Source.

The optical design and performance of the recently opened 13A biological small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) beamline at the 3.0 GeV Taiwan Photon Source of the National Synchrotron Radiation Research Center are reported. The beamline is designed for studies of biological structures and kinetics in a wide range of length and time scales, from angstrom to micrometre and from microsecond to minutes. A 4 m IU24 undulator of the beamline provides high-flux X-rays in the energy range 4.0-23.0 keV. MoB4C double-multilayer and Si(111) double-crystal monochromators (DMM/DCM) are combined on the same rotating platform for a smooth rotation transition from a high-flux beam of ∼4 × 1014 photons s-1 to a high-energy-resolution beam of ΔE/E ≃ 1.5 × 10-4; both modes share a constant beam exit. With a set of Kirkpatrick-Baez (KB) mirrors, the X-ray beam is focused to the farthest SAXS detector position, 52 m from the source. A downstream four-bounce crystal collimator, comprising two sets of Si(311) double crystals arranged in a dispersive configuration, optionally collimate the DCM (vertically diffracted) beam in the horizontal direction for ultra-SAXS with a minimum scattering vector q down to 0.0004 Å-1, which allows resolving ordered d-spacing up to 1 µm. A microbeam, of 10-50 µm beam size, is tailored by a combined set of high-heat-load slits followed by micrometre-precision slits situated at the front-end 15.5 m position. The second set of KB mirrors then focus the beam to the 40 m sample position, with a demagnification ratio of ∼1.5. A detecting system comprising two in-vacuum X-ray pixel detectors is installed to perform synchronized small- and wide-angle X-ray scattering data collections. The observed beamline performance proves the feasibility of having compound features of high flux, microbeam and ultra-SAXS in one beamline.

Endothelial Cell-Targeted Deletion of PPARγ Blocks Rosiglitazone-Induced Plasma Volume Expansion and Vascular Remodeling in Adipose Tissue.

Thiazolidinediones (TZDs) are peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor γ (PPARγ) agonists that represent an effective class of insulin-sensitizing agents; however, clinical use is associated with weight gain and peripheral edema. To elucidate the role of PPARγ expression in endothelial cells (ECs) in these side effects, EC-targeted PPARγ knockout (Pparg ΔEC) mice were placed on a high-fat diet to promote PPARγ agonist-induced plasma volume expansion, and then treated with the TZD rosiglitazone. Compared with Pparg-floxed wild-type control (Pparg f/f) mice, Pparg ΔEC treated with rosiglitazone are resistant to an increase in extracellular fluid, water content in epididymal and inguinal white adipose tissue, and plasma volume expansion. Interestingly, histologic assessment confirmed significant rosiglitazone-mediated capillary dilation within white adipose tissue of Pparg f/f mice, but not Pparg ΔEC mice. Analysis of ECs isolated from untreated mice in both strains suggested the involvement of changes in endothelial junction formation. Specifically, compared with cells from Pparg f/f mice, Pparg ΔEC cells had a 15-fold increase in focal adhesion kinase, critically important in EC focal adhesions, and >3-fold significant increase in vascular endothelial cadherin, the main component of focal adhesions. Together, these results indicate that rosiglitazone has direct effects on the endothelium via PPARγ activation and point toward a critical role for PPARγ in ECs during rosiglitazone-mediated plasma volume expansion.

Complex taxonomy of the 'brush tail' peregrine earthworm Pontoscolex corethrurus.

Pontoscolex corethrurus is the most widespread earthworm species in tropical and sub-tropical zones and one of the most studied in soil science. Although, ecological interactions of P. corethrurus with its environment are well documented, the taxonomic status of the species remains unclear. In this study, we investigated phylogenetic relationships within the genus Pontoscolex, in particular focusing on morphologically indistinguishable (i.e., cryptic) lineages. A total of 792 specimens collected from 25 different countries and islands all over the world were analyzed using two mitochondrial (COI and 16S rDNA) and two nuclear (internal transcribed spacers 2 and 28S rDNA) markers, and a total of 11 morphological characters both internal and external were investigated in all genetically characterized lineages. A large-scale multilocus sequence data matrix was also obtained for Pontoscolex spp. specimens using the Anchored Hybrid Enrichment (AHE) method. Multilocus phylogenetic and phylogenomic analyses, combined with species delimitation methods; including single locus (mPTP, ABGD) and multilocus (BPP) approaches, revealed congruent results. Four cryptic species were supported within the P. corethrurus species complex, and four potentially new species within the genus Pontoscolex. One widespread lineage (L1), within P. corethrurus complex was observed in the current population of Fritz Müller's garden where P. corethrurus was first described in 1856. Cryptic lineages were observed in sympatry at several localities. This, in combination with observed heteroplasmy in COI gene in one population raises an important question of reproductive isolation between these species.

Risk of age-related macular degeneration in patients with prostate cancer: a nationwide, population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer (PC) can be related to increased systemic oxidative stress and dihydrotestosterone level, which are also reported to be involved in the pathogenesis of age-related macular degeneration (AMD). We conducted a cohort study to determine whether patients with PC have an increased risk of AMD. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data were collected from the Taiwan Longitudinal Health Insurance Database for the 1999-2010 period. The study PC cohort comprised 22 084 patients aged ≥18 years with a first diagnosis of PC. The comparison cohort consisted of age-, occupation-, and urbanization level-matched patients at a ratio of 1 : 1. The primary outcome was the incidence of AMD, which was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and proportional hazards modeling. RESULTS: The mean follow-up periods (standard deviation) for the patients with AMD in the age-, occupation-, and urbanization level-matched PC cohort and non-PC cohorts were 4.69 (2.90) and 5.51 (2.82) years. The mean age of the PC cohort was 73.9 years and that of the non-PC cohort was 73.2 years, with approximately 85.9% of the patients aged >65 years. The PC cohort had a higher risk of AMD than did the propensity score-matched non-PC cohort with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.25 (95% confidence interval, 1.12-1.39). Compared with PC cohort receiving no injection hormone therapy, the PC cohort receiving injection hormone therapy had a lower risk of AMD (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.56; 95% confidence interval, 0.41-0.76). CONCLUSION: PC is associated with an increased risk of AMD. Patients with PC receiving injected form of androgen deprivation therapy had a lower risk of AMD than patients with PC not receiving injected form of androgen-deprivation therapy.

Association between thyroid dysfunction and dysglycaemia: a prospective cohort study.

AIMS: To compare the incidence of hyperglycaemia among participants with low, elevated and normal serum thyroid-stimulating hormone concentration, as well as the incidence of abnormal thyroid function test results among participants with normal blood glucose and those with hyperglycaemia. METHODS: In a prospective study, a cohort of 72 003 participants with normal, low and elevated serum thyroid-stimulating hormone concentration were followed from the study beginning to the first report of diabetes and prediabetes. A proportional hazards regression model was used to calculate the hazard ratios and 95% CIs for each outcome, adjusting for age, sex, education level, smoking, alcohol consumption and obesity. Analyses for the association between dysglycaemia and incident abnormal thyroid function test were also conducted. RESULTS: During a median 2.6 year follow-up, the incident rates for dysglycaemia, particularly prediabetes, were substantially higher in participants with elevated thyroid-stimulating hormone concentrations at baseline, while the rates for participants with normal and low thyroid-stimulating hormone were similar. After controlling for risk factors, participants with elevated thyroid-stimulating hormone retained a 15% increase in risk of prediabetes (adjusted hazard ratio 1.15, 95% CI 1.04-1.26), but were not at greater risk of diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio 0.96, 95% CI 0.64-1.44). By contrast, participants with normal and low thyroid-stimulating hormone concentrations had similar dysglycaemia risks. Participants with diabetes and prediabetes were not at greater risks of developing abnormal thyroid function test results when compared with participants with euglycaemia. CONCLUSIONS: People with elevated serum thyroid-stimulating hormone concentration are at greater risk of developing prediabetes. Whether this includes a greater risk of developing frank diabetes may require an extended period of follow-up to clarify.

Synthesis of N-doped graphene quantum dots by pulsed laser ablation with diethylenetriamine (DETA) and their photoluminescence.

We report a facile, fast, and one-step approach to prepare N-doped graphene quantum dots (GQDs) using pulsed laser ablation with diethylenetriamine (DETA). The synthesized N-doped GQDs with an average size of about 3.4 nm and an N/C atomic ratio of 26% have been demonstrated. Compared to pristine GQDs, the N-doped GQDs emit enhanced photoluminescence (PL) with a factor as high as 66, originated from the enhanced densities of pyridinic and graphitic N. The temperature-dependent PL of the N-doped GQDs was studied from cryogenic to room temperature. An anomalous temperature dependence of PL intensity was observed for the N-doped GQDs, which was ascribed to a carrier transfer mechanism from a dopant-induced state to the quantum-dot emitting state.

Impacts of treatments on the quality of life among esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients.

This study aims to investigate the effects of treatments on the quality of life for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients diagnosed at early and late stages. From a medical center in central Taiwan, patients who had been diagnosed with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma from February 2007 and March 2011 were recruited. Using the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire Core 30 (EORTC QLQ-C30) and the Quality of Life Questionnaire Oesophageal 18 (QLQ-OES18), quality of life scores for 105 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients were obtained and assessed. Multivariate analysis was performed on the quality of life scores after stratification by cancer stage. Among early-stage esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients, those received only surgery (S-only) performed better in physical and social functioning compared with patients who underwent surgery and concurrent chemoradiotherapy (S+CCRT) (ß = 9.0, P = 0.03; ß = 12.1, P = 0.04, respectively). For those that received only concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT-only), they performed worse in role and emotional functioning relative to S+CCRT patients (ß = -17.2, P = 0.02; ß = -15.7, P = 0.05, respectively). Among late-stage patients, CCRT-only treatment gave insignificantly better global health status and functional scale scores and less severe symptoms compared to the S+CCRT option. Better functional scores and less aggravated symptoms are observed in early-stage esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients who received surgery-only treatment relative to those that underwent both surgery and chemoradiotherapy. For late-stage esophageal cancer patients, the measured difference of quality of life is not significant between CCRT-only and S+CCRT treatments.

Prescription trends and the selection of initial oral antidiabetic agents for patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes: a nationwide study.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to examine the characteristics of patients, physicians, and medical facilities, and their association with prescriptions that do not include metformin as the initial oral antidiabetic agent. STUDY DESIGN: Observational, cross-sectional study. METHODS: Patients with incident type 2 diabetes between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2010, were identified from the Taiwan National Insurance Research Database. We describe trends in the initial prescription of antidiabetic medications that do not contain metformin during the study period. A multivariable logistic model and a multilevel linear model were used in the analysis of factors at a range of levels (patient, physician, and medical facility), which may be associated with the selection of oral antidiabetic drugs. RESULTS: During the study period, the proportion of prescriptions that did not include metformin declined from 43.8% to 26.2%. Male patients were more likely to obtain non-metformin prescriptions (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 1.15; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-1.23), and the likelihood that a patient would be prescribed a non-metformin prescription increased with age. Physicians aged ≥35 years and those with specialties other than endocrinology tended to prescribe non-metformin prescriptions. Metformin was less commonly prescribed in for-profit hospitals (adjusted OR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.11-1.61) and hospitals in smaller cities (adjusted OR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.05-1.57) and rural areas (adjusted OR: 1.83, 95% CI: 1.32-2.54). CONCLUSIONS: Disparities continue to exist in clinical practice with regard to the treatment of diabetes. These inequalities appear to be linked to a variety of factors related to patients, physicians, and medical facilities. Further study will be required to understand the effects of continuing medical education in enhancing adherence to clinical guidelines.

Association between teriparatide treatment persistence and adherence, and fracture incidence in Taiwan: analysis using the National Health Insurance Research Database.

UNLABELLED: Medication persistence and adherence are critical for osteoporosis outcomes. Using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database, we found that persistence and adherence to teriparatide were low in Taiwanese patients with osteoporosis and that greater persistence and adherence were associated with a lower incidence of hip and other nonvertebral fractures. INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to determine the persistence and adherence to teriparatide treatment in Taiwanese patients with osteoporosis, and to examine the association between persistence and adherence to teriparatide with fracture risks. METHODS: Medical and pharmacy claims for 4,692 patients with vertebral or hip fractures and teriparatide prescriptions between 2005 and 2008 were identified (Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database). Persistence was the time from the start of treatment to the first 90-day gap between two teriparatide prescriptions. Adherence was the number of teriparatide pens (each pen is used over 1 month) prescribed over 24 months. Association of persistence and adherence to teriparatide with fracture incidence was assessed using adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: The proportion of patients persisting with teriparatide for >6 months and >12 months was 44.6 and 24.9 %, respectively. Over 24 months, 53.6 % of patients were adherent for >6 months and 33.9 % were adherent for >12 months. Patients persisting for >12 months had a significantly lower incidence of hip (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.61 [95 % confidence interval (CI), 0.40-0.93], P = 0.0229) and nonvertebral fracture (HR, 0.79 [95 % CI, 0.63-0.99], P = 0.0462) compared with those who persisted for ≤12 months. Patients adherent for >12 months had a lower incidence of hip (HR, 0.66 [95 % CI, 0.46-0.96], P = 0.0286) and nonvertebral fracture (HR, 0.81 [95 % CI, 0.66-0.99], P = 0.0377) compared with those adherent for ≤12 months. CONCLUSIONS: Persistence and adherence to teriparatide over 24 months were low in Taiwanese patients with osteoporosis; greater adherence and persistence were associated with a lower incidence of nonvertebral fractures.

Designing a stronger interface through graded structures in amorphous/nanocrystalline ZrCu/Cu multilayered films.

Many multilayered nano-structures appear to fail due to brittle matter along the interfaces. In order to toughen them, in this study, the microstructure and interface strength of multilayered thin films consisting of amorphous ZrCu and nanocrystalline Cu (with sharp or graded interfaces) are examined and analyzed. The interface possesses a gradient nature in terms of composition, nanocrystalline phase size and volume fraction. The bending results extracted from the nano-scaled cantilever bending samples demonstrate that multilayered films with graded interfaces would have a much higher interface bending strength/strain/modulus, and an overall improvement upgrade of more than 50%. The simple graded interface design of multilayered thin films with improved mechanical properties can offer much more promising performance in structural and functional applications for MEMS or optical coating.

Effect of detrusor botulinum toxin a injection on urothelial dysfunction in patients with chronic spinal cord injury: a clinical and immunohistochemistry study before and after treatment.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to investigate the changes of urothelial junction proteins, apoptosis and suburothelial inflammation after detrusor injection of botulinum toxin A (BoNT-A) in patients with spinal cord injury (SCI) and neurogenic detrusor overactivity (NDO). METHODS: A total of 26 patients with chronic suprasacral SCI and NDO were enroled. The urothelium was assessed by cystoscopic biopsy at baseline, 3 and 6 months after a single treatment of 300 U BoNT-A into the detrusor. Immunofluorescence staining of E-cadherin, zonula occludens-1 (ZO-1) and tryptase for mast cell activity were performed. Urothelial apoptosis was also evaluated. The differences in urothelial dysfunction were compared between baseline and 3 and 6 months after treatment. Bladder biopsies from patients undergoing anti-incontinence surgery served as controls. RESULTS: A single 300-U BoNT-A injection into the detrusor significantly decreased detrusor pressure and increased bladder compliance at 3 and 6 months after treatment. Significantly lower E-cadherin and ZO-1 expressions and increased mast cell and apoptotic cell counts were noted in SCI bladders compared with controls (all P<0.001). Significantly greater distributions of E-cadherin (P<0.001) and ZO-1 (P=0.05) expressions were noted 3 months after BoNT-A injection. However, these changes had declined by 6 months after treatment. Activated mast cells and urothelial apoptosis showed no significant differences between baseline and 3 or 6 months. CONCLUSION: Urothelial dysfunction and adhesive and junction protein concentrations in SCI patients' bladders recovered after BoNT-A treatment. However, this effect decreased with time. Thus, neurogenic inflammation after SCI was not adequately improved after a single BoNT-A injection.

Immunological impression cytology of the conjunctival epithelium in patients with thyroid orbitopathy-related dry eye.

Thyroid orbitopathy (TO) is an autoimmune disease that is complicated by ocular surface disorders, leading to discomfort. Dry eye is very prevalent in patients with TO. Recent studies on the pathogenesis of dry eye have focused on the inflammatory process, and some supporting evidence has been discovered. Because TO is a disorder of autoimmune origin, we assumed that the association between TO and dry eye is related to inflammation. Inflammation of the ocular surface in TO-related dry eye has not been well studied. In this study, we assessed cellular inflammation of the ocular surface and the cytokine profiles in patients with TO-related dry eye. Conjunctival impression cytology (CIC) was assessed with an immunofluorescent assay. TO-related dry eye was diagnosed by using the Schirmer test, tear break-up time, thyroid function, and clinical signs. CIC was combined with immunological staining of interleukin-1a (IL-1a), IL-1b, and IL- 6. The immunological impression cytology (IC) grade was compared to the clinical activity score of TO. All TO patients with dry eye were positive for IL-1a, IL-1b, and IL-6. However, the normal controls were also positive for IL-1a. A trend was observed between the clinical inflammatory score and immunological IC grade. This study was the first to delineate the immunological IC of TO-related dry eye. Our study aimed to investigate the pathogenesis of dry eye in TO. Our findings suggest that the conjunctival cytokines IL-1a, IL-1b, and IL-6 may play a role. The results of this study will be useful for future studies of additional inflammatory cytokines, and the levels of these cytokines could be used as an outcome to assess the efficacy of treatment, such as anti-cytokine or immunosuppression therapy, in patients with TO-related dry eye or other ocular surface inflammatory disorders.

Anthocyanin contents in the seed coat of black soya bean and their anti-human tyrosinase activity and antioxidative activity.

OBJECTIVE: The seed coat of black soya bean (SCBS) contains high amount of anthocyanins and shows antioxidant and anti-mushroom tyrosinase activities. The objectives of this study were to analyse the anthocyanins in SCBS with different solvents and to find the relationship between anthocyanin profile with anti-human and anti-mushroom tyrosinase activities. METHODS: SCBS was extracted with hot water, 50 and 80% ethanol, 50 and 80% acetone and 50 and 80% acidified acetone. Total phenol and total flavonoid contents in the extracts were determined. Anthocyanins in the extracts were analysed using HPLC and LC/MS/MS. A genetically engineered human tyrosinase was used to evaluate the anti-tyrosinase potential of the extracts from SCBS. RESULTS: 80% acetone extract from SCBS obtained the highest total phenol, total flavonoid and cyanidin-3-O-glucoside (C3G) contents among all the extracts, whereas the hot water extract showed the lowest antioxidant contents. Three anthocyanin compounds were found in all the extracts from SCBS, and the analysis of HPLC and LC/MS/MS indicated that they were C3G, delphinidin-3-O-glucoside (D3G) and peonidin-3-O-glucoside (P3G). The ratios of C3G (2.84 mg g(-1) ), D3G (0.34 mg g(-1) ) and P3G (0.35 mg g(-1) ) in 80% acidified acetone extract were 76.6, 9.1 and 9.3%, respectively. All the extracts from SCBS possessed anti-human tyrosinase activity. Moreover, a good correlation was found between the anti-human tyrosinase activities and C3G contents in the extracts. CONCLUSION: Antioxidants in SCBS also possess anti-human and anti-mushroom tyrosinase activities.

Superradiant modes in resonant quasi-periodic double-period quantum wells.

This paper firstly proposes the existence of superradiant modes in resonant quasi-periodic double-period quantum wells (QWs), which has not been observed from analyzing the structure factor by traditional methods. Using the gap map method, the reflection spectra under the relevant conditions show that there are dips in the middle and the linewidth grows linearly, despite the dips, as the number of QWs increases, which is a direct demonstration of superradiance. It is also found that the relevant conditions are divided into three regions, each of which has a different width of bandgaps.

Rheumatoid arthritis patients with hip fracture: a nationwide study.

SUMMARY: The study was to investigate the outcomes of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients with hip fractures with a large-scale, population-based, nationwide, case-cohort study using the Taiwan National Health Insurance database. The group has hip fractures at a younger age, higher complication, and mortality rate, which indicate that early intervention is necessary. INTRODUCTION: This study seeks to evaluate the incidence, mortality, and complication rates in RA patients with hip fractures, using a nationwide database. METHODS: Data were collected from the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan. The study group included 117,129 patients with hip fractures diagnosed from January 2004 to December 2010. Matching based on the propensity of RA patients was used. In total, 1,088 hip fractures were reported among patients with RA. Patients with hip fractures were divided into two groups: those without RA (controls) and those with RA (RA group). The incidence of hip fracture and mortality and complication rates after the hip fracture were then compared between the two groups. RESULTS: RA patients had a significantly higher incidence of hip fracture (3,260/100,000 person-years) compared with the general population (72/100,000 person-years). Hip fractures occurred significantly earlier among RA patients (70.6±5.3 years) compared with the control group (76.1±6.2 years). Cumulative mortality rates at 6-month and 1-year follow-up were significantly higher among patients in the RA group (9.47 and 18.47%) compared to the controls (8.47 and 13.62%) and among RA patients without hip fractures (3.24 and 6.16%). There was a significantly higher incidence of osteomyelitis after hip fracture among the RA group than among the body mass index-, comorbidity-, age-, and sex-matched patients in the control group. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to patients without RA, those with RA have a higher incidence of hip fractures at a relatively younger age and with higher complication and mortality rates. Steroid and disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs, the most common medicine in Taiwanese RA patients, might contribute to the high incidence of fracture and post-op infection. Appropriate early intervention to prevent hip fractures in RA patients is a critical issue in rheumatology care.

Nationwide cohort study of hip fractures: time trends in the incidence rates and projections up to 2035.

SUMMARY: A growing elderly population is expected worldwide, and the burden of hip fractures on health care system will continue to increase. By 2035, there will be a 2.7-fold increase in the number of hip fractures in Taiwan. The study provides quantitative basis for the future distribution of medical resources. INTRODUCTION: Hip fractures have long been recognized as a major public health concern. The study aimed to determine time trends in the incidence of hip fractures and to forecast the number of hip fractures expected in Taiwan up to 2035. METHODS: A nationwide survey was conducted using data from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database from 2004 to 2011. A total of 141,397 hip fractures were identified, with a mean of 17,675 fractures/year. Annual incidences of hip fractures were calculated and tested for trends. Projections of the incidence rates of hip fractures and bed days associated with hip fractures were calculated using Poisson regression on the historical incidence rates in combination with population projections from 2012 to 2035. RESULTS: The incidence rates of hip fracture during 2004-2011 were 317 and 211 per 100,000 person-years among women and men, respectively. Over this 8-year period, the age-standardized incidence of hip fracture decreased by 13.4% among women and 12.2% among men. Despite the decline in the age-standardized incidence, the absolute number of hip fractures increased owing to the aging population. The number of hip fractures is expected to increase from 18,338 in 2010 to 50,421 in 2035-a 2.7-fold increase. The number of bed days for 2010 and 2035 was estimated at 161,248 and 501,995, respectively, representing a 3.1-fold increase. CONCLUSIONS: The socioeconomic impact of hip fractures will be high in the near future. This study provides a quantitative basis for future policy decisions to serve this need.