Advanced maternal age-related clustering of metabolic abnormalities is associated with risks of adverse pregnancy outcomes.

AIMS: Advanced maternal age (AMA) is correlated with higher risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes while the pathophysiology remains unclear. Our study aimed to investigate whether AMA is linked to the clustering of metabolic abnormalities, which in turn is associated with an increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. METHOD: A total of 857 pregnant woman were recruited in a prospective cohort at National Taiwan University Hospital, from November 2013 to April 2018. Metabolic abnormalities during pregnancy were defined as following: fasting plasma glucose ≥92 mg/dl, body mass index (BMI) ≥24 kg/m2, plasma high-density lipoprotein cholesterol <50 mg/dl, hyper-triglyceridemia (≥140 mg/dl in the first trimester or ≥220 mg/dl in the second trimester), and blood pressure ≥130/85 mmHg. RESULT: Incidence of large for gestational age (LGA), primary caesarean section (CS), and the presence of any adverse pregnancy outcome increased with age. The advanced-age group tended to have more metabolic abnormalities in both the first and the second trimesters. There was a significant association between the number of metabolic abnormalities in the first and the second trimesters and the incidence of LGA, gestational hypertension or preeclampsia, primary CS, preterm birth, and the presence of any adverse pregnancy outcome, adjusted for maternal age. CONCLUSION: AMA is associated with clustering of metabolic abnormalities during pregnancy, and clustering of metabolic abnormalities is correlated with increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Risks of consuming cadmium-contaminated shellfish under seawater acidification scenario: Estimates of PBPK and benchmark dose.

We aim to assess the risks of renal dysfunction and osteoporosis that is attributed to the seawater acidification caused cadmium (Cd) level increase in human consumed shellfish. A physiology-based pharmacokinetic model was used to estimate Cd concentrations in urine and blood among shellfish-only consumers and among the general population. We used the benchmark dose (BMD) method to determine the threshold limits of Cd in urine for renal dysfunction and in blood for osteoporosis for assessing the human health risk. Our results revealed that seawater acidification could increase the Cd accumulation in shellfish by 10-13% compared to the situations under current pH levels. Under the lower seawater pH level, the daily intake of Cd could increase by 21%-67% among shellfish-only consumers, and by 13%-17% among the general population. Our findings indicated that seawater acidification would lead to a marginal increase in Cd intake among humans in shellfish-only consumers. The results of BMDs of urinary Cd showed that the threshold limits for renal dysfunction at 5% were 3.00 µg g-1 in males and 12.35 µg g-1 in females. For osteoporosis, the estimated BMDs of blood Cd were 7.95 µg L-1 in males and 1.23 µg L-1 in females. These results of the risk of Cd intake showed that the consumption of Cd-contaminated shellfish in the general population is largely unaffected by changes in seawater pH levels. Notably, the potential impact of seawater acidification on renal dysfunction for males in shellfish-only consumers face a 14% increase of risk.

Google analytics of a pilot study to characterize the visitor website statistics and implicate for enrollment strategies in Medical University.

BACKGROUND: Taiwan's colleges and universities are struggling to maintain their student enrollment rates owing to the declining fertility rate. Focusing on students in higher education programs, this study aims to analyze online behavioral patterns for university departmental websites and accordingly, suggests response strategies to increase the rate of enrollment. METHODS: We use Google Analytics to examine the websites of two departments in a medical university between February 1 and July 30, 2018. We study website patterns during the study periods for three college admission routes: STARS program, personal applications, and admission through examination and placement. RESULTS: Most website visitors during the three visiting date ranges for the two departments are 18-24 years. The visitor groups are mainly freshmen at the university and their parents. The homepage and Subject Credits, Course Planning, Teacher Lineup, and Certificate of Subjects were the most visited webpages. The overall number of daily page views varied by academic event. CONCLUSIONS: University departments should enhance the presentation of featured courses on their webpage or distinguish course characteristics from those of competing departments in the curriculum to ensure clear market segmentation. In addition, departments should consider examining online data to identify suitable high schools that can be visited to attract potential students and to improve students' willingness to choose their university.

Anemia risk in relation to lead exposure in lead-related manufacturing.

BACKGROUND: Lead-exposed workers may suffer adverse health effects under the currently regulated blood lead (BPb) levels. However, a probabilistic assessment about lead exposure-associated anemia risk is lacking. The goal of this study was to examine the association between lead exposure and anemia risk among factory workers in Taiwan. METHODS: We first collated BPb and indicators of hematopoietic function data via health examination records that included 533 male and 218 female lead-exposed workers between 2012 and 2014. We used benchmark dose (BMD) modeling to estimate the critical effect doses for detection of abnormal indicators. A risk-based probabilistic model was used to characterize the potential hazard of lead poisoning for job-specific workers by hazard index (HI). We applied Bayesian decision analysis to determine whether BMD could be implicated as a suitable BPb standard. RESULTS: Our results indicated that HI for total lead-exposed workers was 0.78 (95% confidence interval: 0.50-1.26) with risk occurrence probability of 11.1%. The abnormal risk of anemia indicators for male and female workers could be reduced, respectively, by 67-77% and 86-95% by adopting the suggested BPb standards of 25 and 15 µg/dL. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that cumulative exposure to lead in the workplace was significantly associated with anemia risk. This study suggests that current BPb standard needs to be better understood for the application of lead-exposed population protection in different scenarios to provide a novel standard for health management. Low-level lead exposure risk is an occupational and public health problem that should be paid more attention.

Probabilistic framework for assessing the arsenic exposure risk from cooked fish consumption.

Geogenic arsenic (As) contamination of groundwater is a major ecological and human health problem in southwestern and northeastern coastal areas of Taiwan. Here, we present a probabilistic framework for assessing the human health risks from consuming raw and cooked fish that were cultured in groundwater As-contaminated ponds in Taiwan by linking a physiologically based pharmacokinetics model and a Weibull dose-response model. Results indicate that As levels in baked, fried, and grilled fish were higher than those of raw fish. Frying resulted in the greatest increase in As concentration, followed by grilling, with baking affecting the As concentration the least. Simulation results show that, following consumption of baked As-contaminated fish, the health risk to humans is <10(-6) excess bladder cancer risk level for lifetime exposure; as the incidence ratios of liver and lung cancers are generally acceptable at risk ranging from 10(-6) to 10(-4), the consumption of baked As-contaminated fish is unlikely to pose a significant risk to human health. However, contaminated fish cooked by frying resulted in significant health risks, showing the highest cumulative incidence ratios of liver cancer. We also show that males have higher cumulative incidence ratio of liver cancer than females. We found that although cooking resulted in an increase for As levels in As-contaminated fish, the risk to human health of consuming baked fish is nevertheless acceptable. We suggest the adoption of baking as a cooking method and warn against frying As-contaminated fish. We conclude that the concentration of contaminants after cooking should be taken into consideration when assessing the risk to human health.

Burden changes in notifiable infectious diseases in Taiwan during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Background: This study aimed to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the disease burden of Taiwan's notifiable infectious diseases (NIDs). We compared disease burdens between the pandemic and pre-pandemic year of 2020 (with non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs)) and 2010 (without NPIs), respectively, to understand the overall pandemic impact on NIDs in Taiwan. Methods: Forty-three national NIDs were analyzed using the Statistics of Communicable Diseases and Surveillance Report by estimating the premature death and disability via different transmission categories, sex, and age groups. The study evaluated the impact of diseases by assessing the years lost due to death (YLLs), the duration of living with disability (YLDs), and the overall disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) by measuring both the severity of the illness and its duration. Results: Taiwan recorded 1,577 (2010) and 1,260 (2020) DALYs per million population and lost 43 NIDs, decreasing 317 DALYs per million population. Tuberculosis, HIV/AIDS and acute hepatitis B/D were the leading causes of DALYs, accounting for 89% (2010) and 77% (2020). Conclusion: Overall, this study provided the first insight of changes in disease burdens in NIDs between pre- and post-COVID-19 based on a nationwide viewpoint for further preventive measures and interventions to be focused on specific diseases by associated health administrations and policies.

Measuring disease burden of dominant variants of COVID-19 in Taiwan.

Objectives: The disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of COVID-19 have been applied as a time-based measurement to estimate years of life lost due to premature mortality or healthy life lost in different countries. Limited information was found for DALYs among different variants of concern (VOC). Methods: Disease severities based on categories of asymptomatic, mild, moderate, severe, and critical cases were explored among different VOC by analyzing the proportions in confirmed cases. DALY or years of healthy life lost due to disability (YLD)-based annual burdens of COVID-19 on different ages, genders as well as trend analysis were also evaluated for VOC in Taiwan. Results: Different trends were observed in years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLLs) or YLD for various age or gender categories. Disease severity at critical stage had the highest percentage for overall YLDs encompassed from 2020 to 2022. Also, critical-grade cases were found to be predominantly caused by Wild-type, Alpha, and Omicron variants in 2020, 2021, and 2022, respectively. Conclusion: Precautionary measures are also suggested for policy makers to take in specific seasons, age or gender groups based on YLL and YLD analyses.

The association between plasma angiopoietin-like protein 4, glucose and lipid metabolism during pregnancy, placental function, and risk of delivering large-for-gestational-age neonates.

BACKGROUND: Large-for-gestational-age (LGA) neonates have increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes and adult metabolic diseases. We aimed to investigate the relationship between plasma angiopoietin-like protein 4 (ANGPTL4), a protein involved in lipid and glucose metabolism during pregnancy, placental function, growth factors, and the risk of LGA. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study and recruited women with singleton pregnancies at the National Taiwan University Hospital between 2013 and 2018. First trimester maternal plasma ANGPTL4 concentrations were measured. RESULTS: Among 353 pregnant women recruited, the LGA group had higher first trimester plasma ANGPTL4 concentrations than the appropriate-for-gestational-age group. Plasma ANGPTL4 was associated with hemoglobin A1c, post-load plasma glucose, plasma triglyceride, plasma free fatty acid concentrations, plasma growth hormone variant (GH-V), and birth weight, but was not associated with cord blood growth factors. After adjusting for age, body mass index, hemoglobin A1c, and plasma triglyceride concentrations, plasma ANGPTL4 concentrations were significantly associated with LGA risk, and its predictive performance, as measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, outperformed traditional risk factors for LGA. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma ANGPTL4 is associated with glucose and lipid metabolism during pregnancy, plasma GH-V, and birth weight, and is an early biomarker for predicting the risk of LGA.

Linking contact behavior and droplet patterns to dynamically model indoor respiratory infections among schoolchildren.

BACKGROUND: We used the results of a contact behavior survey in conjunction with droplet pattern measurement to investigate the indoor population transmission dynamics of respiratory infections. METHODS: A total of 404 questionnaires on all contact behaviors were distributed to junior high school students. Droplet number concentration and size distribution generated by coughing and talking were measured by droplet experimentation. A deterministic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovery (SEIR) model was used to simulate the indoor transmission dynamics of influenza infection among schoolchildren. RESULTS: Results indicated that the average contact rates ranged from 9.44 to 11.18 person(-1) day(-1) for grades 7 to 9. We showed that total median droplet number concentrations were 9.01 × 10(7) and 8.23 × 10(7) droplets per cubic meter for coughing and talking, respectively. Population dynamic simulations indicated that the size-dependent median number of droplets per person resulted in a maximum of 8 and 10 infected persons on day 4, respectively, for talking and coughing activities. CONCLUSIONS: Human contact behavior and airborne droplet characteristics may substantially change predicted indoor population transmission dynamics of influenza infection.

Disease burden due to COVID-19 in Taiwan: Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) with implication of Monte Carlo simulations.

BACKGROUND: The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has affected a large number of countries. Informing the public and decision makers of the COVID-19's economic burdens is essential for understanding the real pandemic impact. METHODS: COVID-19 premature mortality and disability impact in Taiwan was analyzed using the Taiwan National Infectious Disease Statistics System (TNIDSS) by estimating the sex/age-specific years of life lost through death (YLLs), the number of years lived with disability (YLDs), and the disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from January 2020 to November 2021. RESULTS: Taiwan recorded 1004.13 DALYs (95% CI: 1002.75-1005.61) per 100,000 population for COVID-19, with YLLs accounting for 99.5% (95% CI: 99.3%99.6%) of all DALYs, with males suffering more from the disease than females. For population aged ≥ 70 years, the disease burdens of YLDs and YLLs were 0.1% and 99.9%, respectively. Furthermore, we found that duration of disease in critical state contributed 63.9% of the variance in DALY estimations. CONCLUSIONS: The nationwide estimation of DALYs in Taiwan provides insights into the demographic distributions and key epidemiological parameter for DALYs. The essentiality of enforcing protective precautions when needed is also implicated. The higher YLLs percentage in DALYs also revealed the fact of high confirmed death rates in Taiwan. To reduce infection risks and disease, it is crucial to maintain moderate social distancing, border control, hygiene measures, and increase vaccine coverage levels.

L1cam alternative shorter transcripts encoding the extracellular domains were overexpressed in the intestine of L1cam knockdown mice.

Hirschsprung disease (HSCR) is a congenital disorder of functional bowel obstruction due to the absence of enteric ganglia in distal bowel. Different L1cam variants were reportedly associated with L1cam syndrome and HSCR, whose phenotypes lacked predictable relevance to their genotypes. Using next-generation sequencing (NGS), we found an L1CAM de novo frameshift mutation in a female with mild hydrocephalus and skip-type HSCR. A nearly identical L1cam variant was introduced into FVB/NJ mice via the CRISPR-EZ method. A silent mutation was created via ssODN to gain an artificial Ncol restriction enzyme site for easier genotyping. Six L1cam protein-coding alternative transcripts were quantitatively measured. Immunofluorescence staining with polyclonal and monoclonal L1cam antibodies was used to characterize L1cam isoform proteins in enteric ganglia. Fifteen mice, seven males and eight females, generated via CRISPR-EZ, were confirmed to carry the L1cam frameshift variant, resulting in a premature stop codon. There was no prominent hydrocephalus nor HSCR-like presentation in these mice, but male infertility was noticed after observation for three generations in a total of 176 mice. Full-length L1cam transcripts were detected at a very low level in the intestinal tissues and almost none in the brain of these mice. Alternative shorter transcripts encoding the extracellular domains were overexpressed in the intestine of L1cam knockdown mice. Immunofluorescence confirmed no fulllength L1cam protein in enteric ganglia. These shorter L1cam isoform proteins might play a role in protecting L1cam knockdown mice from HSCR.

Use of seasonal influenza virus titer and respiratory symptom score to estimate effective human contact rates.

BACKGROUND: We linked viral titers and respiratory symptom scores for seasonal influenza to estimate the effective contact rate among schoolchildren. METHODS: We analyzed 274 diary-based questionnaires. In addition, 2 sets of influenza data from published studies were used to investigate the relationship between viral titer, total symptom score, and normalized contact rate in children. RESULTS: The mean number (SD) of contacts for children in grades 7 to 9 ranged from 9.44 ± 8.68 to 11.18 ± 7.98 person⁻¹ day⁻¹; contact behavior was similar across school grades. The mean number of contacts was 5.66 ± 6.23 person⁻¹ day⁻¹ (range, 0 to 44 person⁻¹ day⁻¹) for the age group of 13 to 19 years. Estimated contact age, household size, contact duration, and contact frequency were the variables most strongly associated with total number of contacts. We also found that a reduction in total respiratory symptom scores among infected individuals had a positive correlation with an increase in the normalized contact rate. CONCLUSIONS: The relationship between daily virus titer and respiratory symptom score can be used to estimate the effective contact rate in explaining the spread of an airborne transmissible disease. The present findings can be incorporated into population-dynamic models of influenza transmission among schoolchildren.

Assessing trends and predictors of tuberculosis in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Variety of environmental and individual factors can cause tuberculosis (TB) incidence change. The purpose of this study was to assess the characteristics of TB trends in the period 2004 - 2008 in Taiwan by month, year, gender, age, temperature, seasonality, and aborigines. METHODS: The generalized regression models were used to examine the potential predictors for the monthly TB incidence in regional and national scales. RESULTS: We found that (i) in Taiwan the average TB incidence was 68 per 100,000 population with mortality rate of 0.036 person-1 yr-1, (ii) the highest TB incidence rate was found in eastern Taiwan (116 per 100,000 population) with the largest proportion of TB relapse cases (8.17%), (iii) seasonality, aborigines, gender, and age had a consistent and dominant role in constructing TB incidence patterns in Taiwan, and (iv) gender, time trend, and 2-month lag maximum temperature showed strong association with TB trends in aboriginal subpopulations. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed Poisson regression model is capable of forecasting patterns of TB incidence at regional and national scales. This study suggested that assessment of TB trends in eastern Taiwan presents an important opportunity for understanding the time-series dynamics and control of TB infections, given that this is the typical host demography in regions where these infections remain major public health problems.

A probabilistic transmission and population dynamic model to assess tuberculosis infection risk.

The purpose of this study was to examine tuberculosis (TB) population dynamics and to assess potential infection risk in Taiwan. A well-established mathematical model of TB transmission built on previous models was adopted to study the potential impact of TB transmission. A probabilistic risk model was also developed to estimate site-specific risks of developing disease soon after recent primary infection, exogenous reinfection, or through endogenous reactivation (latently infected TB) among Taiwan regions. Here, we showed that the proportion of endogenous reactivation (53-67%) was larger than that of exogenous reinfection (32-47%). Our simulations showed that as epidemic reaches a steady state, age distribution of cases would finally shift toward older age groups dominated by latently infected TB cases as a result of endogenous reactivation. A comparison of age-weighted TB incidence data with our model simulation output with 95% credible intervals revealed that the predictions were in an apparent agreement with observed data. The median value of overall basic reproduction number (R0) in eastern Taiwan ranged from 1.65 to 1.72, whereas northern Taiwan had the lowest R0 estimate of 1.50. We found that total TB incidences in eastern Taiwan had 25-27% probabilities of total proportion of infected population exceeding 90%, whereas there were 36-66% probabilities having exceeded 20% of total proportion of infected population attributed to latently infected TB. We suggested that our Taiwan-based analysis can be extended to the context of developing countries, where TB remains a substantial cause of elderly morbidity and mortality.

Dengue Meteorological Determinants during Epidemic and Non-Epidemic Periods in Taiwan.

The identification of the key factors influencing dengue occurrence is critical for a successful response to the outbreak. It was interesting to consider possible differences in meteorological factors affecting dengue incidence during epidemic and non-epidemic periods. In this study, the overall correlation between weekly dengue incidence rates and meteorological variables were conducted in southern Taiwan (Tainan and Kaohsiung cities) from 2007 to 2017. The lagged-time Poisson regression analysis based on generalized estimating equation (GEE) was also performed. This study found that the best-fitting Poisson models with the smallest QICu values to characterize the relationships between dengue fever cases and meteorological factors in Tainan (QICu = −8.49 × 10−3) and Kaohsiung (−3116.30) for epidemic periods, respectively. During dengue epidemics, the maximum temperature with 2-month lag (ß = 0.8400, p < 0.001) and minimum temperature with 5-month lag (0.3832, p < 0.001). During non-epidemic periods, the minimum temperature with 3-month lag (0.1737, p < 0.001) and mean temperature with 2-month lag (2.6743, p < 0.001) had a positive effect on dengue incidence in Tainan and Kaohsiung, respectively.

Gestational hypertriglyceridemia and adverse pregnancy outcomes: A search for cutoffs using generalized additive models.

OBJECTIVE: To explore cutoffs of gestational hypertriglyceridemia based on the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. METHODS: Pregnant women who visited National Taiwan University Hospital for prenatal care were included. Fasting plasma TG in the first and second trimesters were measured. Adverse pregnancy outcomes, including gestational diabetes and large for gestational age, were recorded and used in simple and multiple generalized additive models (GAM) to identify cutoffs for gestational hypertriglyceridemia. RESULTS: We recruited 807 pregnant woman-newborn pairs. Using GAM analyses, we identified plasma TG at 95 or 140 mg/dL (1.07 or 1.58 mmol/L) in the first trimester, and 173 or 220 mg/dl (1.95 or 2.48 mmol/L) in the second trimester as potential cutoffs. Gestational hypertriglyceridemia defined by the higher cutoffs in both trimesters were associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes and had a more reasonable prevalence and better specificity than the lower cutoffs (First trimester plasma TG ≥ 140 mg/dL, adjusted OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.17-5.69, p = 0.019, prevalence 19%, specificity 83%; Second trimester plasma TG ≥ 220 mg/dL, adjusted OR 1.70, 95% CI 1.00-2.87, p = 0.049, prevalence 19%, specificity 81%). CONCLUSIONS: Fasting plasma TG ≥ 140 mg/dL in the first trimester and ≥ 220 mg/dL in the second trimester can be used as cutoffs of gestational hypertriglyceridemia.

Image and Speech Recognition Technology in the Development of an Elderly Care Robot: Practical Issues Review and Improvement Strategies.

As the world's population is aging and there is a shortage of sufficient caring manpower, the development of intelligent care robots is a feasible solution. At present, plenty of care robots have been developed, but humanized care robots that can suitably respond to the individual behaviors of elderly people, such as pose, expression, gaze, and speech are generally lacking. To achieve the interaction, the main objectives of this study are: (1) conducting a literature review and analyzing the status quo on the following four core tasks of image and speech recognition technology: human pose recognition, human facial expression recognition, eye gazing recognition, and Chinese speech recognition; (2) proposing improvement strategies for these tasks based on the results of the literature review. The results of the study on these improvement strategies will provide the basis for using human facial expression robots in elderly care.

Demographic Control Measure Implications of Tuberculosis Infection for Migrant Workers across Taiwan Regions.

A sharp increase in migrant workers has raised concerns for TB epidemics, yet optimal TB control strategies remain unclear in Taiwan regions. This study assessed intervention efforts on reducing tuberculosis (TB) infection among migrant workers. We performed large-scale data analyses and used them to develop a control-based migrant worker-associated susceptible-latently infected-infectious-recovered (SLTR) model. We used the SLTR model to assess potential intervention strategies such as social distancing, early screening, and directly observed treatment, short-course (DOTS) for TB transmission among migrant workers and locals in three major hotspot cities from 2018 to 2023. We showed that social distancing was the best single strategy, while the best dual measure was social distancing coupled with early screening. However, the effectiveness of the triple strategy was marginally (1-3%) better than that of the dual measure. Our study provides a mechanistic framework to facilitate understanding of TB transmission dynamics between locals and migrant workers and to recommend better prevention strategies in anticipation of achieving WHO's milestones by the next decade. Our work has implications for migrant worker-associated TB infection prevention on a global scale and provides a knowledge base for exploring how outcomes can be best implemented by alternative control measure approaches.

A probabilistic transmission model to assess infection risk from Mycobacterium tuberculosis in commercial passenger trains.

The objective of this article is to characterize the risk of infection from airborne Mycobacterium tuberculosis bacilli exposure in commercial passenger trains based on a risk-based probabilistic transmission modeling. We investigated the tuberculosis (TB) infection risks among commercial passengers by inhaled aerosol M. tuberculosis bacilli and quantify the patterns of TB transmission in Taiwan High Speed Rail (THSR). A deterministic Wells-Riley mathematical model was used to account for the probability of infection risk from M. tuberculosis bacilli by linking the cough-generated aerosol M. tuberculosis bacilli concentration and particle size distribution. We found that (i) the quantum generation rate of TB was estimated with a lognormal distribution of geometric mean (GM) of 54.29 and geometric standard deviation (GSD) of 3.05 quantum/h at particle size ≤ 5 µm and (ii) the basic reproduction numbers (R(0) ) were estimated to be 0.69 (0.06-6.79), 2.82 (0.32-20.97), and 2.31 (0.25-17.69) for business, standard, and nonreserved cabins, respectively. The results indicate that commercial passengers taking standard and nonreserved cabins had higher transmission risk than those in business cabins based on conservatism. Our results also reveal that even a brief exposure, as in the bronchoscopy cases, can also result in a transmission when the quantum generation rate is high. This study could contribute to a better understanding of the dynamics of TB transmission in commercial passenger trains by assessing the relationship between TB infectiousness, passenger mobility, and key model parameters such as seat occupancy, ventilation rate, and exposure duration.

Quantitative links between arsenic exposure and influenza A (H1N1) infection-associated lung function exacerbations risk.

The objective of this study was to link arsenic exposure and influenza A (H1N1) infection-induced respiratory effects to assess the impact of arsenic-contaminated drinking water on exacerbation risk of A (H1N1)-associated lung function. The homogeneous Poisson process was used to approximate the related processes between arsenic exposure and influenza-associated lung function exacerbation risk. We found that (i) estimated arsenic-induced forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV(1) ) reducing rates ranged from 0.116 to 0.179 mL/µg for age 15-85 years, (ii) estimated arsenic-induced A (H1N1) viral load increasing rate was 0.5 mL/µg, (iii) estimated A (H1N1) virus-induced FEV(1) reducing rate was 0.10 mL/logTCID50, and (iv) the relationship between arsenic exposure and A (H1N1)-associated respiratory symptoms scores (RSS) can be described by a Hill model. Here we showed that maximum RSS at day 2 postinfection for Taiwan, West Bengal (India), and the United States were estimated to be in the severe range of 0.83, 0.89, and 0.81, respectively, indicating that chronic arsenic exposure and A (H1N1) infection together are most likely to pose potential exacerbations risk of lung function, although a 50% probability of lung function exacerbations risk induced by arsenic and influenza infection was within the mild and moderate ranges of RSS at day 1 and 2 postinfection. We concluded that avoidance of drinking arsenic-containing water could significantly reduce influenza respiratory illness and that need will become increasingly urgent as the novel H1N1 pandemic influenza virus infects people worldwide.