Local treatment for triple-negative breast cancer patients undergoing chemotherapy: breast-conserving surgery or total mastectomy?

BACKGROUND: Because there is no exact therapeutic target, the systemic treatment of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) still relies on chemotherapy. In terms of local treatment, based on the highly malignant characteristics of TNBC, it is still uncertain whether patients should be given more aggressive local treatment. METHODS: This study was based on the SEER database. 13,262 TNBC patients undergoing chemotherapy were included. According to local treatment methods, patients were divided into breast-conserving surgery with radiotherapy (BCS + RT), total mastectomy alone and total mastectomy with radiotherapy (Mastectomy+RT). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis drew the survival curves of Overall Survival (OS) and Breast Cancer Specific Survival (BCSS), and Cox proportional risk regression models were used to analyze the impact of different local treatments on OS and BCSS. RESULTS: After adjusting confounding factors, Mastectomy alone group (HR = 1.57; 95%CI: 1.40-1.77) and Mastectomy+RT group (HR = 1.28; 95%CI: 1.12-1.46) were worse in OS than BCS + RT group, and Mastectomy+RT group (HR = 0.81; 95%CI: 0.73-0.91) was better in OS than Mastectomy alone group. The effect of local treatment for BCSS was similar to that of OS. After stratification according to age, tumor size and lymph node status, when the age was less than 55 years old, at T4, N2 or N3 category, there was no statistical significance between the BCS + RT group and the Mastectomy+RT group in OS or BCSS (all P > 0.05). When the age was less than 65 years old, at T1, T2 or N0 category, there was no statistical significance between the Mastectomy alone group and the Mastectomy+RT group in OS or BCSS (all P > 0.05). The results of other stratified analyses were basically consistent with the results of total population analysis. CONCLUSION: The survival benefit of breast-conserving surgery with radiotherapy was higher than or similar to that of total mastectomy TNBC patients.

Calculating the overall survival probability in patients with cervical cancer: a nomogram and decision curve analysis-based study.

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer has long been a common malignance troubling women. However, there are few studies developing nomogram with comprehensive factors for the prognosis of cervical cancer. Hence, we aimed to build a nomogram to calculate the overall survival (OS) probability in patients with cervical cancer. METHODS: Data of 9876 female patients in SEER database and diagnosed as cervical cancer during 2010-2015, was retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model were applied to select predicted factors and a nomogram was developed to visualize the prediction model. The nomogram was compared with the FIGO stage prediction model. Harrell's C-index, receiver operating curve, calibration plot and decision curve analysis were used to assess the discrimination, accuracy, calibration and clinical utility of the prediction models. RESULT: Eleven independent prognostic variables, including age at diagnosis, race, marital status at diagnosis, grade, histology, tumor size, FIGO stage, primary site surgery, regional lymph node surgery, radiotherapy and chemotherapy, were used to build the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.826 (95% CI: 0.818 to 0.834), which was better than that of the FIGO stage prediction model (C-index: 0.785, 95% CI: 0.776 to 0.793). Calibration plot of the nomogram was well fitted in 3-year overall OS prediction, but overfitting in 5-year OS prediction. The net benefit of the nomogram was higher than the FIGO prediction model. CONCLUSION: A clinical useful nomogram for calculating the overall survival probability in cervical cancer patients was developed. It performed better than the FIGO stage prediction model and could help clinicians to choose optimal treatments and precisely predict prognosis in clinical care and research.

Changing trends of birth weight with maternal age: a cross-sectional study in Xi'an city of Northwestern China.

BACKGROUND: Most studies have shown that maternal age is associated with birth weight. However, the specific relationship between each additional year of maternal age and birth weight remains unclear. The study aimed to analyze the specific association between maternal age and birth weight. METHODS: Raw data for all live births from 2015 to 2018 were obtained from the Medical Birth Registry of Xi'an, China. A total of 490,143 mother-child pairs with full-term singleton live births and the maternal age ranging from 20 to 40 years old were included in our study. Birth weight, gestational age, neonatal birth date, maternal birth date, residence and ethnicity were collected. Generalized additive model and two-piece wise linear regression model were used to analyze the specific relationships between maternal age and birth weight, risk of low birth weight, and risk of macrosomia. RESULTS: The relationships between maternal age and birth weight, risk of low birth weight, and risk of macrosomia were nonlinear. Birth weight increased 16.204 g per year when maternal age was less than 24 years old (95%CI: 14.323, 18.086), and increased 12.051 g per year when maternal age ranged from 24 to 34 years old (95%CI: 11.609, 12.493), then decreased 0.824 g per year (95% CI: -3.112, 1.464). The risk of low birth weight decreased with the increase of maternal age until 36 years old (OR = 0.917, 95%CI: 0.903, 0.932 when maternal age was younger than 27 years old; OR = 0.965, 95%CI: 0.955, 0.976 when maternal age ranged from 27 to 36 years old), then increased when maternal age was older than 36 years old (OR = 1.133, 95%CI: 1.026, 1.250). The risk of macrosomia increased with the increase of maternal age (OR = 1.102, 95%CI: 1.075, 1.129 when maternal age was younger than 24 years old; OR = 1.065, 95%CI: 1.060, 1.071 when maternal age ranged from 24 to 33 years old; OR = 1.029, 95%CI: 1.012, 1.046 when maternal age was older than 33 years old). CONCLUSIONS: For women of childbearing age (20-40 years old), the threshold of maternal age on low birth weight was 36 years old, and the risk of macrosomia increased with the increase of maternal age.

High starchy food intake may increase the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes: a nested case-control study in the Shaanxi province of Northwestern China.

BACKGROUND: There was a wider disparity in the diet characterization among most studies on diet and pregnancy outcomes in different countries, and the research in northern China is limited. Therefore, the purpose of the present study that was conducted in northwest China was to understand the dietary characteristics of periconceptional women and to explore the relationship between and specific dietary patterns with adverse pregnancy outcomes. METHODS: A nested case-control study was conducted from October 2017 to November 2018 in Shaanxi, China. Based on a prospective cohort of 368 women who were pregnant or prepared for pregnancy, 63 participants who developed the outcomes of gestational hypertension, gestational diabetes, preterm birth, low birth weight, and birth defects were included in the case group. A total of 237 healthy pregnant women were included during the same period in the control group. Dietary intake was assessed using a validated food frequency questionnaire for the three months before pregnancy and the first trimester. Information on delivery details and antenatal pregnancy complications was obtained from the hospital maternity records. Dietary patterns were derived using factor analysis. Stratified analysis was performed on the overall, single and multiple adverse pregnancy outcomes categories. Adjustment was made for sociodemographic characteristics and nutritional supplement status. RESULTS: Six major dietary patterns were identified. The 'starchy' dietary pattern, composed of high intake in noodle and flour products and/or rice and its products, was associated with the odds of developing of adverse pregnancy outcomes (OR: 2.324, 95% CI: 1.293-4.178). This risk remained significant following adjustment for potential confounders of maternal demographic characteristics and nutritional status (aOR: 2.337, 95% CI:1.253-4.331). Strong association were found during the first trimester of pregnancy, but showed no association during the three months before pregnancy (aOR:1.473, 95% CI: 0.682-3.234). CONCLUSIONS: High starchy food intake was associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, particularly during the first trimester of pregnancy. Health education focusing on periconceptional dietary patterns could be a practical strategy for preventing adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Knowledge, attitude and practice level of women at the periconceptional period: a cross-sectional study in Shaanxi China.

BACKGROUND: Identifying and understanding the knowledge, attitude and practice (KAP) level of women at the periconceptional period has implications for formulating and measuring the adverse pregnancy outcomes for primary prevention. METHODS: A cross-sectional study among pregestational and pregnant women was conducted in Shaanxi during 2016-2017. RESULTS: Among 791 participants, the average score of periconceptional healthcare knowledge awareness was 6.32 ± 1.78, whereas 28.8% of women have failed. Women who planned to or had undergone premarital and pre-pregnancy examinations accounted for 50.2, and 62.5%, respectively. Less than half (42.0%) of the women started taking folic acid (FA) before pregnancy, and only 37.9% of them took FA regularly at the right time. Multivariate analysis showed that age was the main factor influencing the Attitude and Practice level of women at the periconceptional period, and demonstrated a positive effect on the awareness of right timing of folic acid supplementation, and high rates of premarital and pre-pregnancy examinations. Also, the knowledge pass rate was increased with education level. Fewer women who have birth experience were willing to take FA consistently at the right time compared to those women without birth. CONCLUSIONS: The women at the periconceptional period in Shaanxi lacked the total KAP level of periconceptional healthcare, especially those who live in rural areas and have less education. Government agencies should reinforce more effective primary preventive measures and policies for the prevention of adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Maternal exposure to PM2.5 may increase the risk of congenital hypothyroidism in the offspring: a national database based study in China.

BACKGROUND: Maternal exposure to air pollution is related to fetal dysplasia. However, the association between maternal exposure to air pollution and the risk of congenital hypothyroidism (CH) in the offspring is largely unknown. METHODS: We conducted a national database based study in China to explore the association between these two parameters. The incidence of CH was collected from October 1, 2014 to October 1, 2015 from the Chinese Maternal and Child Health Surveillance Network. Considering that total period of pregnancy and consequently the total period of particle exposure is approximately 10 months, average exposure levels of PM2.5, PM10 and Air Quality Index (AQI) were collected from January 1, 2014 to January 1, 2015. Generalized additive model was used to evaluate the association between air pollution and the incidence of CH, and constructing receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to calculate the cut-off value. RESULTS: The overall incidence of CH was 4.31 per 10,000 screened newborns in China from October 1, 2014 to October 1, 2015. For every increase of 1 µg/m3 in the PM2.5 exposure during gestation could increase the risk of CH (adjusted OR = 1.016 per 1 µg/m3 change, 95% CI, 1.001-1.031). But no significant associations were found with regard to PM10 (adjusted OR = 1.009, 95% CI, 0.996-1.018) or AQI (adjusted OR = 1.012, 95% CI,0.998-1.026) and the risk of CH in the offspring. The cut-off value of prenatal PM2.5 exposure for predicting the risk of CH in the offspring was 61.165 µg/m3. CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggested that maternal exposure to PM2.5 may exhibit a positive association with increased risk of CH in the offspring. We also proposed a cut-off value of PM2.5 exposure that might determine reduction in the risk of CH in the offspring in highly polluted areas.

Famine exposure in early life increases risk of cataracts in elderly stage.

Background: Epidemiological studies have shown that early-life nutritional deficiencies are associated with an increased risk of diseases later in life. This study aimed to explore the correlation between famine exposure during the early stages of life and cataracts. Methods: We included 5,931 participants from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS) 2018 cross-sectional data in our study. Subjects were categorized into three groups by their age during the famine: adulthood group, school age famine exposure group, and teenage famine exposure group. Utilizing binary logistic regression models, we investigated the relationship between early-life famine exposure and cataracts. Results: Compared to the adulthood group, both the school age exposure group (OR = 2.49, 95%CI = 1.89-3.27) and teenage exposure group (OR = 1.45, 95%CI = 1.20-1.76) had a heightened risk of developing cataracts in elderly stage. And the sex differences in the impact of famine during early years on elderly cataract risk were observed, particularly indicating a higher risk among women who experienced childhood famine compared to men with similar exposure. Conclusion: Famine exposure during the early stages of life is associated with a heightened risk of developing cataracts in old age. To prevent cataracts in elderly individuals, particularly in females, measures should be taken to address nutritional deficiencies in these specific periods.

Short-term effects of air pollution exposure on the risk of preterm birth in Xi'an, China.

INTRODUCTION: Long-term exposure to air pollution is known to be harmful to preterm birth (PTB), but little is known about the short-term effects. This study aims to quantify the short-term effect of particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 µm (PM2.5), ≤10 µm (PM10) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) on PTB. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 18,826 singleton PTBs were collected during the study period. Poisson regression model combined with the distributed lag non-linear model was applied to evaluate the short-term effects of PTBs and air pollutants. RESULTS: Maternal exposure to NO2 was significantly associated increased risk of PTB at Lag1 (RR: 1.025, 95%CI: 1.003-1.047). In the moving average model, maternal exposure to NO2 significantly increased the risk of PTB at Lag01 (RR: 1.029, 95%CI: 1.004-1.054). In the cumulative model, maternal exposure to NO2 significant increased the risk of PTB at Cum01 (RR:1.026, 95%CI: 1.002-1.051), Cum02 (RR: 1.030, 95%CI: 1.003-1.059), and Cum03 (RR: 1.033, 95%CI: 1.002-1.066). The effects of PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 on PTB were significant and greater in the cold season than the warm season. CONCLUSIONS: Maternal exposure to NO2, PM2.5 and PM10 before delivery has a significant risk for PTB, particularly in the cold season.Key messagesMaternal exposure to NO2 was significant associated with an increased risk of preterm birth at the day 1 before delivery.Particle matter (PM2.5 and PM10) showed a significant short-term effect on preterm birth in the cold season.The effects of air pollutants on preterm birth was greater in the cold season compared with the warm season.

What is the impact of nutritional status on health-related quality of life in hemodialysis patients?

OBJECTIVES: To develop a nutrition-specific quality of life (NSQOL) questionnaire that combines the Appetite and Diet Assessment Tool and the Food Enjoyment in Dialysis tool, and to measure the association between nutritional status and both the NSQOL and the generic health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in hemodialysis patients. METHODS: Cross-sectional study of 89 hemodialysis patients. Nutritional status was measured by subjective global assessment and biochemical indices, including serum albumin concentration. Adequacy of dialysis was also measured. To determine the correlation between quality of life and nutritional status, both the NSQOL and the HRQOL instruments were used. RESULTS: The mean NSQOL score for the entire cohort was 8.9 ± 4.5. The NSQOL was positively correlated with the mental component score (r = 0.52, P < .001) and the physical component score (PCS) (r = 0.29, P < .05) of the HRQOL questionnaire. There was no difference in the NSQOL score between the moderately malnourished and the mildly malnourished to well-nourished patients. The mean PCS was significantly lower in the moderately malnourished group as compared with the mildly malnourished and well-nourished groups (33.4 ± 10.7 vs. 38.9 ± 10.2, P < .05); however, there was no difference in the mean mental component score between the groups. Nutritional status, as assessed by subjective global assessment, was positively correlated with the PCS (r = 0.33, P < .05) and serum albumin concentration (r = 0.35, P = .01). CONCLUSION: We developed an NSQOL questionnaire by combining the Appetite and Diet Assessment Tool and the Food Enjoyment in Dialysis tool. The NSQOL questionnaire is a rapid self-administered tool that can be used to assess appetite-related quality of life in patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis. This instrument correlated well with HRQOL indices in this cohort of hemodialysis patients.

Effects of PM2.5 and its constituents on hemoglobin during the third trimester in pregnant women.

Anemia has been a public health issue evoking global concern, and the low hemoglobin (Hb) concentration links to adverse pregnancy outcomes. However, the associations of PM2.5 and its constituents with Hb and anemia in pregnant women remain unclear. In this retrospective birth cohort study, 7932 pregnant women who delivered in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from 2015 to 2018 were included. The Hb during the third trimester in pregnant women was assessed before delivery. PM2.5 and its constituents (BC, NH4+, NO3-, OM, SO42-, and Dust) during pregnancy were retrieved from the V4.CH.03 product constructed by the Atmospheric Composition Analysis Group. Generalized linear regression model was applied to investigate the effects of PM2.5 and its constituents on Hb and anemia during the third trimester in pregnant women. The means and standard deviations of PM2.5, BC, NH4+, NO3-, OM, SO42-, and Dust were 69.56 (15.24), 10.02 (2.72), 8.11 (1.77), 14.96 (5.42), 15.36 (4.11), 10.08 (1.20), and 10.98 (1.85) µg/m3, respectively. Per IQR increase (µg/m3) of PM2.5, BC, NO3-, and OM linked to - 0.75 (- 1.50, - 0.01), - 0.85 (- 1.65, - 0.04), - 0.79 (- 1.56, - 0.03), and - 0.73 (- 1.44, - 0.03) g/L decrease of Hb during the third trimester in multiparous pregnant women, but not for NH4+, SO42-, Dust, and primiparous pregnant women. PM2.5 and its constituents had no significant association with anemia, except for Dust (OR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.82, 0.99, per IQR increase) in primiparous pregnant women. Besides, SO42- was of lag effects on Hb and anemia in multiparous pregnant women. Moreover, non-linear associations were found among PM2.5 and its constituents, Hb, and anemia. Therefore, exposure to PM2.5 and some constituents of PM2.5 was associated with reduced Hb level during the third trimester in multiparous pregnant women. Related departments and pregnant women should take targeted actions to eliminate the detrimental effects of PM2.5 and its constituents on pregnancy outcomes.

Prenatal exposure to air pollution and the risk of macrosomia: Identifying windows of susceptibility.

This study explores the effects of prenatal exposure to air pollution on the risk of macrosomia and its window of susceptibility. We conducted a retrospective cohort study utilizing records of birth certificates for all full-term live newborns born in Xi'an city, China from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2018.Weekly- and trimester-specific exposures of PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and O3 during pregnancy were calculated by inverse distance weighting (IDW) based on their residences. Cox proportional hazard model and distributed lag models (DLMs) were performed to estimate the effects of air pollution exposure during pregnancy on macrosomia risk and its window of susceptibility. In total, 318,323 full-term newborns were identified, including 24,996 (7.8%) cases of macrosomia. An IQR increase in PM2.5 exposure (45.46 µg/m3) from the 33rd until the 37th weeks of gestation was positively associated with an elevated risk of macrosomia, with the strongest effect in the 37th weeks (HR = 1.007, 95%CI: 1.002-1.013). The window of susceptibility for NO2 exposure on macrosomia risk was in the 29th-35th gestational weeks, with the strongest effect in the 34th weeks (IQR = 21.96 µg/m3, HR = 1.006, 95%CI:1.000-1.013). For prenatal exposure to O3, 5th-24th weeks of gestation was identified as susceptible windows for elevated risk of macrosomia, with the strongest associations observed in the 15th weeks (IQR = 80.53 µg/m3, HR = 1.022, 95%CI: 1.011-1.033). However, we did not observe any associations between weekly exposure of PM10 and macrosomia. Our findings imply that the windows of susceptibility to PM2.5 and NO2 exposure on macrosomia are mainly in late pregnancy, whereas the windows of susceptibility to O3 exposure are in early and middle pregnancy.

Associations among prenatal PM2.5, birth weight, and renal function.

BACKGROUND: Low birth weight has long-term health effects, including neurodevelopmental delays, cardiovascular diseases, and type 2 diabetes, through epigenetic changes and modifications. Numerous studies have identified that PM2.5 is associated with low birth weight. However, the association between PM2.5 and renal function, as well as the mediated effect of renal function on the association between prenatal PM2.5 and birth weight are still under-recognized. METHODS: A total of 8969 singleton live births born in 2015-2019 were included in this study. The inverse distance weighting method was applied to interpolate and calculate the average exposure to PM2.5 during pregnancy for each pregnant woman. The multiple linear regression model was used to shed light on the associations among prenatal PM2.5, birth weight, and renal function. In addition, the mediation analysis was performed to figure out the mediated effect of renal function on the association between prenatal PM2.5 and birth weight, and the proportion of mediated effect = (indirect effect/total effect) × 100%. RESULTS: Per 10 µg/m3 increment of prenatal PM2.5 was associated with 8.98 g (95% CI: -16.94 to -1.02) decrease of birth weight, 0.49 (95% CI: -0.73 to -0.26) ml/min/1.73 m2 decrease of glomerular filtration rate (GFR), 0.03 (95% CI: 0.01-0.05) mmol/L increase of blood urea nitrogen (BUN), and 2.29 (95% CI: 0.86-3.72) µmol/L increase of uric acid (UA) after adjusting for the sociodemographic covariates, disease-related covariates and meteorological factors. Besides, the mediated effects of GFR and BUN on the association between prenatal PM2.5 and birth weight were 5.02% and 14.96%, but there was no significant mediated effect being identified in UA. CONCLUSION: Prenatal PM2.5 is related to reduced birth weight and impaired renal function. Renal function plays a partial role in the association between prenatal PM2.5 and birth weight. Appropriate guidelines should be formulated by the concerned authorities, and adequate efforts should be made to mitigate the detrimental health effects of PM2.5.

Maternal sleep during pregnancy and adverse pregnancy outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: Sleep problems are important public health concern worldwide. We carried out a meta-analysis to quantitatively evaluate whether sleep duration was associated with pregnancy outcomes, and the associations were modified by important characteristics of studies. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Based on PubMed, Embase and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials databases, we searched for published literature related to maternal sleep duration and adverse pregnancy outcomes before 30 June 2021. We carried out risk of bias assessment, subgroup analyses and sensitivity analysis. The relative risks or odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were used to estimate the pooled effects. RESULTS: A total of 5,246 references were identified through a database search, and 41 studies were included in the study. Pregnant women with short sleep duration had 1.81-fold (95% CI 1.35-2.44, P < 0.001) the risk of developing gestational diabetes mellitus. The association between short sleep duration and the risk of gestational hypertension, cesarean section, low birthweight, preterm birth and small for gestational age were not significant (P > 0.05). Furthermore, long sleep duration was significantly correlated with gestational diabetes mellitus (odds ratio1.24. 95% CI 1.12-1.36, P < 0.001) and CS (odds ratio 1.13. 95% CI 1.04-1.22, P = 0.004), whereas long sleep duration was not linked with gestational hypertension, low birthweight, preterm birth and small for gestational age (P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Short/long sleep duration appeared to be associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, specifically with an increased risk of gestational diabetes mellitus. Sleep should be systematically screened in the obstetric population.

Maternal exposure to PM2.5 was linked to elevated risk of stillbirth.

BACKGROUND: More and more studies began to explore the hazardous health effects of PM2.5, but few reported its impacts on stillbirth. The sparse results were inconsistent and remained to be integrated. Therefore, we aimed to reveal the association between maternal exposure to PM2.5 and stillbirth. METHODS: In this meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) databases for related articles written in English and published before October 18, 2020. Study selection was conducted according to the predetermined criteria and data attraction was done with predesigned form. A new instrument was applied to conduct the risk of bias assessment. And random-effect models were used to pool the estimates. RESULTS: A total of 3655 records were identified from the databases, but only 7 studies were ultimately included in this study. Positive association was found between the maternal exposure to PM2.5 (per 10 µg/m3 increased) in the entire pregnancy (OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.07-1.25) and third trimester (OR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.01-1.18) and stillbirth, but the association between the maternal exposure to PM2.5 (per 10 µg/m3 increased) in the first trimester (OR: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.90-1.13) and second trimester (OR: 1.06, 95% CI: 0.98-1.14) and stillbirth was not statistically significant. Besides, there was no publication bias. CONCLUSIONS: Maternal exposure to PM2.5 in the entire pregnancy and third trimester was associated with elevated risk of stillbirth. However, due to the high heterogeneity, further pathophysiological researches and high quality population studies were still warranted.

Socio-Economic Factors Affecting the Regional Spread and Outbreak of COVID-19 in China.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated the impact of socio-economic factors on the spread and outbreak of COVID-19 based on Chinese data. METHODS: Cumulative confirmed cases were collected and divided into the First-stage cases cluster dominated by imported cases, and the Second-stage cases cluster dominated by secondary cases, according to the time of emergency state and Wuhan city lockdown. The linear regression was used for data analysis. RESULTS: A total of 12,877 cases in 30 provinces were analyzed in the study. The First-stage cases cluster included 675 cases and Second-stage cases cluster included 12,202 cases. The socio-economic factors were significantly associated with the cases (P<0.05). The GDP and proportion of population moving out of Wuhan were associate with the First-stage dominated by imported cases (ß>0, P<0.05). The First-stage cases cluster, proportion of population moving out of Wuhan and urban population were associate with the Second-stage dominated by secondary cases (ß>0, P<0.05). CONCLUSION: Socio-economic factors had impacts on the spread and outbreak of COVID-19. The combination of different socio-economic indicators at different stages of the epidemic may help control the epidemic.

Competing risk nomogram predicting cancer-specific mortality for endometrial cancer patients treated with hysterectomy.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of endometrial cancer has tended to increase in recent years. However, competing risk nomogram combining comprehensive factors for endometrial cancer patients treated with hysterectomy is still scarce. Therefore, we aimed to build a competing risk nomogram predicting cancer-specific mortality for endometrial cancer patients treated with hysterectomy. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with endometrial cancer between 2010 and 2012 were abstracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Competing risk model was performed to select prognostic variables to build the competing risk nomogram to predict the cumulative 3- and 5-year incidences of endometrial cancer-specific mortality. Harrell's C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and calibration plot were used in the internal validation. And decision curve analysis was applied to evaluate clinical utility. RESULTS: A total of 10,447 patients were selected for analysis. The competing risk nomogram identified eight prognostic variables, including age at diagnosis, race, marital status at diagnosis, grade, histology, tumor size, FIGO stage, and number of regional nodes positive. The C-index of the competing risk nomogram was 0.857 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.854-0.859), and the calibration plots were adequately fitted. When the threshold probabilities were between 1% and 57% for 3-year prediction and between 2% and 67% for 5-year prediction, the competing risk nomogram was of good clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS: A competing risk nomogram for endometrial cancer patients treated with hysterectomy was successfully built and internally validated. It was an accurately predicted and clinical useful tool, which could play an important role in consulting and health care management of endometrial cancer patients.

Maternal exposure to O3 and NO2 may increase the risk of newborn congenital hypothyroidism: a national data-based analysis in China.

Maternal exposure to air pollution during pregnancy is associated with adverse outcomes in the offspring, but limited studies focused on the impacts of gaseous air pollution on newborn congenital hypothyroidism (CH). Therefore, a national data-based analysis was conducted to explore the association between maternal exposure to gaseous air pollution and the incidence of CH in China. Annual average exposure levels of SO2, NO2, CO, and O3 from January 1, 2014, to December 30, 2014, were acquired from the Chinese Air Quality Online Monitoring and Analysis Platform. The annual incidence of newborn CH from October 1, 2014, to September 30, 2015, was collected from the Chinese Maternal and Child Health Surveillance Network. Temperature and toxic metal in wastewater in 2014 were also collected as covariates. Maternal exposure to O3 and NO2 in 1 µg/m3 level increment was positively associated with newborn CH, with an OR of 1.055 (95% CI 1.011, 1.102) and 1.097 (95% CI 1.019, 1.182) after adjusting for covariates completely. Compared with the lowest level of O3, maternal exposure to the 4th quartile of O3 was positively associated with newborn CH (OR 1.393, 95% CI 1.081, 1.794) after adjusting for covariates completely. And the 3rd and 4th quartiles of NO2 were associated positively with CH (OR 1.576, 95% CI 1.025, 2.424, and OR 1.553, 95% CI 0.999, 2.414, respectively) compared with the lowest level of NO2. By fitting the ROC curve, 93.688 µg/m3 in O3 might be used as cutoff to predict the incidence of newborn CH in China.

Impact of air pollution exposure during various periods of pregnancy on term birth weight: a large-sample, retrospective population-based cohort study.

Previous studies have suggested that maternal exposure to air pollution might affect term birth weight. However, the conclusions are controversial. Birth data of all term newborns born in Xi'an city of Shaanxi, China, from 2015 to 2018 and whose mother lived in Xi'an during pregnancy were selected form the Birth Registry Database. And the daily air quality data of Xi'an city was collected from Chinese Air Quality Online Monitoring and Analysis Platform. Generalized additive models (GAM) and 2-level binary logistic regression models were used to estimate the effects of air pollution exposure on term birth weight, the risk term low birth weight (TLBW), and macrosomia. Finally, 321521 term newborns were selected, including 4369(1.36%) TLBW infants and 24,960 (7.76%) macrosomia. The average pollution levels of PM2.5, PM10, and NO2 in Xi'an city from 2015 to 2018 were higher than national limits. During the whole pregnancy, maternal exposure to PM2.5, PM10, SO2, and CO all significantly reduced the term birth weight and increased the risk of TLBW. However, NO2 and O3 exposure have significantly increased the term birth weight, and O3 even increased the risk of macrosomia significantly. Those effects were also observed in the first and second trimesters of pregnancy. But during the third trimester, high level of air quality index (AQI) and maternal exposure to PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, and CO increased the term birth weight and the risk of macrosomia, while O3 exposure was contrary to this effect. The findings suggested that prenatal exposure to air pollution might cause adverse impacts on term birth weight, and the effects varied with trimesters and pollutants, which provides further pieces of evidence for the adverse effects of air pollution exposure in heavy polluted-area on term birth weight.

The association between prenatal exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons and birth weight: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are a kind of endocrine disruptors, which can enter human body by the inhalation of PAH-containing matter and the ingestion of PAH-containing foodstuffs. Studies showed that PAHs can cross the placental barrier and might cause adverse effects on the fetus. OBJECTIVES: This meta-analysis aimed to estimate the associations between prenatal exposure to PAHs and birth weight. METHODS: Articles published in English until May 8, 2020 and reported the effects of prenatal exposure to PAHs on birth weight were searched in multiple electronic databases including PubMed, the Web of Science, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library. The included studies were divided into three groups in accordance with the measurement of PAHs exposure. Then coefficient was extracted, conversed and synthesized by random-effects meta-analysis. And risk of bias was assessed for each study. RESULTS: A total of 3488 citations were searched and only 11 studies were included finally after double assessment. We found that there were no association between PAH-DNA adducts in cord blood (low/high) (OR: 1.0, 95%CI: 0.97, 1.03), 1-hydroxy pyrene (1-HP) concentration in maternal urine (OR: 1.0, 95%CI: 0.97, 1.03) and prenatal maternal airborne PAHs exposure (OR: 0.97, 95%CI: 0.93, 1.01) and birth weight. However, we observed ethnicity may change the effects of PAHs exposure on birth weight. CONCLUSIONS: There is no significant relationship between prenatal exposure to PAHs and birth weight in our meta-analysis. Further studies are still needed for determining the effects of prenatal PAHs exposure on birth weight.

Effects of prenatal exposure to NO2 on children's neurodevelopment: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

The neurotoxicity of NO2 exposure is well-known and potentially causes impaired of neural functions. This review aimed to estimate associations between prenatal NO2 exposure and neurodevelopment for children. Articles published until May 2019 reported prenatal NO2 exposure and children's cognition, psychomotor, language, attention, IQ, and behavior function were searched according to all related terms. The main databases we retrieved included PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library. Coefficient was extracted, conversed, and synthesized by random effects meta-analysis. Meanwhile, qualitatively describe would be used for some studies which cannot be synthesized quantitatively for lack of quantity or methods inconsistency. Finally, a total of 3848 citations were searched, and only 10 studies were included. We estimated that per 10 µg/m3 increase of NO2 during pregnancy was associated with a - 0.76 point decrease in global psychomotor (95% CI, - 1.34, - 0.18) and a - 0.62 point decrease in fine psychomotor for children (95% CI, - 1.09, - 0.16). But no significant association found in general cognitive and language. In addition, through the literature review, it seemed that prenatal exposure to NO2 might cause adverse impacts on children's attention, IQ, and different behaviors, but this requires confirmation from further researches. Our study indicated that prenatal exposure to NO2 seems to be associated with impaired neural development for children, especially for fine psychomotor. However, further studies are needed for determining the effects of prenatal air pollution exposure on attention, IQ, and behavior.