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RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Females have a higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) than males but are less likely to be treated with kidney replacement therapy (KRT). We studied the interaction between sex and the association of cardiometabolic risk factors for the decline in kidney function over time. STUDY DESIGN: A population-based cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 1,127,731 adults living in Wales, United Kingdom, within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank. EXPOSURE: Sex and risk factors including age, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), cardiometabolic conditions, smoking, and socioeconomic deprivation. These risk factors were defined using primary care records. OUTCOME: The yearly declines in eGFR and the risk of incident kidney failure defined as long-term KRT and/or sustained eGFR<15mL/min/1.73m2. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Linear mixed effects models and Cox proportional hazards analysis. RESULTS: The average decline in eGFR at age≤73 years was equal in males and females. After age 73 years, eGFR decline was faster in males than females, particularly for males with heart failure (males-1.22mL/min/1.73m2 per year [95% CI, -1.25 to-1.20] vs females-0.87mL/min/1.73m2 per year [95% CI, -0.89 to-0.85]) and current smokers (males-1.58mL/min/1.73m2 per year [95% CI, -1.60 to-1.55] vs females-1.27mL/min/1.73m2 per year [95% CI, -1.29 to-1.25]). Socioeconomic deprivation was one of the most impactful risk factors on eGFR decline among females aged>73 years, whereas cardiometabolic risk factors were more important among males. Older females at baseline were less likely to develop incident kidney failure than older males (P for age<0.001). LIMITATIONS: Study of people who were almost exclusively White and who had blood laboratory test data. Reliance on creatinine-based eGFR. Albuminuria and body mass index data were incomplete. CONCLUSIONS: The eGFR decline was faster in males than in females, especially in the setting of heart failure and smoking. Socioeconomic deprivation was an important risk factor associated with eGFR decline, particularly for females. further work is required to explore less well-recognized risk factors, but these findings may inform clinical management strategies of CKD overall and within sex-specific groups. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Kidney function is known to decline at a faster rate among males than females. This study incorporated blood laboratory test results from the routine care of 1.1 million adults living in the United Kingdom and found that the decline in kidney function associated with risk factors varied by sex. Before and at the age of 73 years, the decline in kidney function was similar between males and females. After age 73, cardiometabolic risk factors were associated with faster decline in kidney function among males than females, specifically heart failure and smoking. Socioeconomic deprivation was also associated with the decline in kidney function for both sexes, but it was a stronger risk factor among females. These findings may inform the management of kidney disease overall and within sex-specific groups.
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BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: The population with kidney failure is at increased risk of cancer and associated mortality. Relative survival can provide insight into the excess mortality, directly or indirectly, attributed to cancer in the population with kidney failure. METHODS: We estimated relative survival for people all ages receiving dialysis (n = 4089) and kidney transplant recipients (n = 3253) with de novo cancer, and for the general population with cancer in Australia and New Zealand (n = 3 043 166) over the years 1980-2019. The entire general population was the reference group for background mortality, adjusted for sex, age, calendar year and country. We used Poisson regression to quantify excess mortality ratios. RESULTS: Five-year relative survival for all-site cancer was markedly lower than the general population for people receiving dialysis (0.25, 95%CI:0.23-0.26) and kidney transplant recipients (0.55, 95%CI:0.53-0.57). In dialysis, excess mortality was more than double (2.16, 95%CI:2.08-2.25) that of the general population with cancer and for kidney transplant recipients 1.34 higher (95%CI:1.27-2.41). There was no difference in excess mortality from lung cancer between people with kidney failure and the general population with cancer. Comparatively, there was a significant survival deficit for people with kidney failure, compared to the general population with cancer, for melanoma, breast cancer and prostate cancers. CONCLUSION: Decreased cancer survival in kidney failure may reflect differences in multi-morbidity burden, reduced access to treatment, or greater harm from or reduced efficacy of treatments. Our findings support research aimed at investigating these hypotheses.
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BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: People with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have increased incidence and mortality from most cancer types. We hypothesised that odds of presenting with advanced cancer may vary according to differences in eGFR, that this could contribute to increased all-cause mortality and that sex differences may exist. METHODS: Data were from Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank, including people with de-novo cancer diagnosis (2011-2017) and two kidney function tests within two years prior to diagnosis to determine baseline eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2). Logistic regression models determined odds of presenting with advanced cancer by baseline eGFR. Cox proportional hazards models tested associations between baseline eGFRcr and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: eGFR < 30 was associated with higher odds of presenting with advanced cancer of prostate, breast and female genital organs, but not other cancer sites. Compared to eGFR > 75-90, eGFR < 30 was associated with greater hazards of all-cause mortality in both sexes, but the association was stronger in females (female: HR 1.71, 95%CI 1.56-1.88; male versus female comparison HR 0.88, 95%CI 0.78-0.90). CONCLUSIONS: Lower or higher eGFR was not associated with substantially higher odds of presenting with advanced cancer across most cancer sites, but was associated with reduced survival. A stronger assocation with all-cause mortality in females compared to males with eGFR < 30 is concerning and warrants further scrutiny.
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SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: In children with kidney failure, little is known about their treatment trajectories or the effects of kidney failure on lifetime survival and years of life lost, which are arguably more relevant measures for children. In this population-based cohort study of 2013 children who developed kidney failure in Australia and New Zealand, most children were either transplanted after initiating dialysis (74%) or had a preemptive kidney transplant (14%). Life expectancy increased with older age at kidney failure, but more life years were spent on dialysis than with a functioning transplant. The expected (compared with the general population) number of life years lost ranged from 16 to 32 years, with female patients and those who developed kidney failure at a younger age experiencing the greatest loss of life years. BACKGROUND: Of the consequences of kidney failure in childhood, those rated as most important by children and their caregivers are its effects on long-term survival. From a life course perspective, little is known about the experience of kidney failure treatment or long-term survival. METHODS: To determine expected years of life lost (YLL) and treatment trajectory for kidney failure in childhood, we conducted a population-based cohort study of all children aged 18 years or younger with treated kidney failure in Australia (1980-2019) and New Zealand (1988-2019).We used patient data from the CELESTIAL study, which linked the Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant registry with national death registers. We estimated standardized mortality ratios and used multistate modeling to understand treatment transitions and life expectancy. RESULTS: A total of 394 (20%) of 2013 individuals died over 30,082 person-years of follow-up (median follow-up, 13.1 years). Most children (74%) were transplanted after initiating dialysis; 14% (18% of male patients and 10% of female patients) underwent preemptive kidney transplantation. Excess deaths (compared with the general population) decreased dramatically from 1980 to 1999 (from 41 to 22 times expected) and declined more modestly (to 17 times expected) by 2019. Life expectancy increased with older age at kidney failure, but more life years were spent on dialysis than with a functioning transplant. The number of YLL ranged from 16 to 32 years, with the greatest loss among female patients and those who developed kidney failure at a younger age. CONCLUSIONS: Children with kidney failure lose a substantial number of their potential life years. Female patients and those who develop kidney failure at younger ages experience the greatest burden.
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Fallo Renal Crónico , Insuficiencia Renal , Humanos , Masculino , Niño , Femenino , Estudios de Cohortes , Australia/epidemiología , Esperanza de Vida , Insuficiencia Renal/terapia , Probabilidad , Sistema de Registros , Fallo Renal Crónico/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: People on the kidney waitlist are less informed about potential suspensions. Disparities may exist among those who are suspended and who return to the waitlist. We evaluated the patient journey after entering the waitlist, including suspensions and outcomes, and factors associated with these transitions. METHODS: We included all incident patients waitlist for their first transplant from deceased donors in Australia, 2006-19. We described all clinical transitions after entering the waitlist. We predicted the restricted mean survival time (unadjusted and adjusted) until first transplant by number of prior suspensions. We evaluated factors associated with transitions using flexible survival models and clinical endpoints using Cox models. RESULTS: Of 8 466 patients waitlisted and followed over 45 757.4 person-years (median:4.8years), 6 741(80%) were transplanted, 381(5%) died waiting and 1 344(16%) were still waiting. 3 127(37%) people were suspended at least once. Predicted mean time from waitlist to transplant was 3.0 years(95%CI:2.8-3.2) when suspended versus 1.9 years(95%CI:1.8-1.9) when never suspended. Prior suspension increased likeliness of further suspensions 4.2-fold(95%CI:3.8-4.6) and returning to waitlist by 50%(95%CI:36-65%) but decreased likeliness of transplantation by 29%(95%CI:62-82%). Death risk while waiting was 12-fold(95%CI:8.0-18.3) increased when currently suspended. Australian non-Indigenous males were 13% (HR:1.13,95%CI:1.04-1.23) and Asian males 23% (HR:1.23,95%CI:1.06-1.42,) more likely to return to the waitlist compared to females of the same ethnicity. CONCLUSION: The waitlist journey was not straightforward. Suspension was common, impacted chance of transplantation and meant waiting an average one year longer until transplant. We have provided estimates for, and factors associated with, suspension, re-listing and outcomes after waitlisting to support more informed discussions. This evidence is critical to further understand drivers of inequitable access to transplantation.
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RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Cancer is a significant cause of morbidity in the population with kidney failure; however, cancer mortality in people undergoing dialysis has not been well described. We sought to compare cancer mortality in people on dialysis for kidney failure with cancer mortality in the general population. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study using linked health-administrative and dialysis registry data. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: All people receiving dialysis represented in the Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplantation Registry, 1980-2013. EXPOSURE: Dialysis; hemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD). OUTCOME: Death and underlying cause of death ascertained using health administrative data and classified using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Australian Modification (ICD-10-AM) codes. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Indirect standardization on age at death, sex, year, and country to estimate standardized mortality ratios (SMR). RESULTS: Over 269,598 person years of observation, 34,100 deaths occurred among 59,648 people on dialysis, including 3,677 cancer deaths. The relative risk of all-site cancer death in dialysis was twice (SMR, 2.4 [95% CI, 2.33-2.49]) that of the general population and highest for oral and pharynx cancers (SMR, 24.3 [95% CI, 18.0-31.5]) and multiple myeloma (SMR, 22.5 [95% CI, 20.3-23.9]). Women on dialysis had a significantly higher risk of all-site cancer mortality (SMR, 2.7 [95% CI, 2.59-2.89]) compared with men (SMR, 2.3 [95% CI, 2.17-2.36]) (P < 0.001). People on HD (SMR, 2.2 [95% CI, 2.11-2.30]) experienced greater excess deaths from all-site cancer compared with people on PD (SMR, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.23-1.44]). Excess deaths have gradually decreased over time for all-site, multiple myeloma, and kidney cancers (P < 0.001) but have not kept up with improvements in the general population. By contrast, among people receiving dialysis, excess deaths increased for colorectal and lung cancers (P < 0.001). LIMITATIONS: Confirmation of cancer diagnoses and population incidence data were not available; inability to exclude pre-existing cancers. CONCLUSIONS: People on dialysis experience excess all-site and site-specific cancer mortality compared with the general population. Mortality differs by modality type, age, and sex. Understanding the role of kidney failure and other morbidities in the treatment of cancer is important for shared decision-making regarding cancer treatments and identifying potential approaches to improve outcomes.
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Fallo Renal Crónico , Mieloma Múltiple , Insuficiencia Renal , Australia/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Fallo Renal Crónico/diagnóstico , Masculino , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Diálisis Renal , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
AIM: Cardiovascular mortality risk evolves over the lifespan of kidney failure (KF), as patients develop comorbid disease and transition between treatment modalities. Absolute cardiovascular death rates would help inform clinical practice and health-care provision, but are not well understood across a continuum of dialysis and transplant states. We aimed to characterize cardiovascular death across the natural history of KF using a lifespan approach. METHODS: We performed a population-based cohort study of incident patients commencing kidney replacement therapy in Australia and New Zealand. Cardiovascular deaths were identified using data linkage to national death registers. We estimated the probability of death and kidney transplant using multi-state models, and calculated rates of graft failure and cardiovascular death across demographic factors and comorbidities. RESULTS: Among 60 823 incident patients followed over 381 874 person-years, 25% (8492) of deaths were from cardiovascular disease. At 15 years from treatment initiation, patients had a 15.2% probability of cardiovascular death without being transplanted, but only 2.3% probability of cardiovascular death post-transplant. Females had a 3% lower probability of cardiovascular death at 15 years (15.3% vs. 18.6%) but 4% higher probability of non-cardiovascular death (54.5% vs. 50.8%). Within the first year of dialysis, cardiovascular mortality peaked in the second month and showed little improvement across treatment era. CONCLUSION: Despite improvements over time, cardiovascular death remains common in KF, particularly among the dialysis population and in the first few months of treatment. Multi-state models can provide absolute measures of cardiovascular mortality across both dialysis and transplant states.
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Fallo Renal Crónico , Insuficiencia Renal , Australia/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Almacenamiento y Recuperación de la Información , Fallo Renal Crónico/terapia , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Sistema de Registros , Diálisis Renal/efectos adversos , Insuficiencia Renal/terapiaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Withdrawal from renal replacement therapy is common in patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), but end-of-life service planning is challenging without population-specific data. We aimed to describe mortality after treatment withdrawal in Australian and New Zealand ESKD patients and evaluate death-certified causes of death. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study on incident patients with ESKD in Australia, 1980-2013, and New Zealand, 1988-2012, from the Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant registry. We estimated mortality rates (by age, sex, calendar year and country) and summarized withdrawal-related deaths within 12 months of treatment modality change. Certified causes of death were ascertained from data linkage with the Australian National Death Index and New Zealand Mortality Collection database. RESULTS: Of 60 823 patients with ESKD, there were 8111 treatment withdrawal deaths and 26 207 other deaths over 381 874 person-years. Withdrawal-related mortality rates were higher in females and older age groups. Rates increased between 1995 and 2013, from 1142 (95% confidence interval 1064-1226) to 2706/100 000 person-years (95% confidence interval 2498-2932), with the greatest increase in 1995-2006. A third of withdrawal deaths occurred within 12 months of treatment modality change. The national death registers reported kidney failure as the underlying cause of death in 20% of withdrawal cases, with other causes including diabetes (21%) and hypertensive disease (7%). Kidney disease was not mentioned for 18% of withdrawal patients. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment withdrawal represents 24% of ESKD deaths and has more than doubled in rate since 1988. Population data may supplement, but not replace, clinical data for end-of-life kidney-related service planning.
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Fallo Renal Crónico , Diálisis Renal , Anciano , Australia/epidemiología , Causas de Muerte , Femenino , Humanos , Fallo Renal Crónico/terapia , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
Evidence on cancer transmission from organ transplantation is poor. We sought to identify cases of cancer transmission or non-transmission from transplantation in an Australian cohort of donors and recipients. We included NSW solid organ deceased donors 2000-2012 and living donors 2004-2012 in a retrospective cohort using linked data from the NSW Biovigilance Register (SAFEBOD). Central Cancer Registry (CCR) data 1972-2013 provided a minimum one-year post-transplant follow-up. We identified cancers in donors and recipients. For each donor-recipient pair, the transmission was judged likely, possible, unlikely, or excluded using categorization from international guidelines. In our analysis, transmissions included those judged likely, while those judged possible, unlikely, or excluded were non-transmissions. In our cohort, there were 2502 recipients and 1431 donors (715 deceased, 716 living). There were 2544 transplant procedures, including 1828 (72%) deceased and 716 (28%) living donor transplants. Among 1431 donors, 38 (3%) had past or current cancer and they donated to 68 recipients (median 6.7-year follow-up). There were 64 (94%) non-transmissions, and 4 (6%) transmissions from two living and two deceased donors (all kidney cancers discovered during organ recovery). Donor transmitted cancers are rare, and selected donors with a past or current cancer may be safe for transplantation.
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Neoplasias Renales , Trasplante de Órganos , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos , Australia , Supervivencia de Injerto , Humanos , Donadores Vivos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Donantes de TejidosRESUMEN
Cancer burden is increasing in kidney transplant recipients, but differences in mortality compared to the general population remain unclear. We sought to compare cancer mortality in paediatric and adult kidney transplant recipients with the general population and describe any differences, by site, age and sex, country and over time. We included kidney transplant recipients from the Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplantation Registry, 1980-2013. Date of death and underlying cause of death were ascertained by data-linkage and classified using ICD10AM codes. Indirect standardisation was used to estimate standardised mortality ratios (SMR). There were 5,284 deaths in 17,628 kidney transplant recipients over 175,084 person-years of observation, including 1,061 (20%) cancer deaths. Relative cancer mortality was higher than the general population for all-site (SMR 2.9, 95% CI 2.7-3.1) cancer and highest for nonmelanoma skin cancer (SMR 50.9, 95% CI 43.5-59.6) and lymphoma (SMR 42.2, 95% CI 35.3-50.5). Relative cancer mortality decreased with increasing age in men (p < 0.001) and women (p = 0.001) but never reached parity with the general population. Relative mortality did not change with age for skin and lip, or colorectal cancers (p-value >0.1). Only relative colorectal cancer mortality increased over time (p = 0.002). Our study shows cancer mortality in kidney transplant recipients was higher than expected in the general population. The magnitude of excess mortality varied by cancer site, age and sex. Further evidence is needed to identify whether this variation is due to differences at diagnosis or access and effectiveness of cancer treatments in this population.
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Trasplante de Riñón/mortalidad , Neoplasias/mortalidad , Adulto , Australia/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Blood-borne viral infections can complicate organ transplantation. Systematic monitoring to distinguish donor-transmitted infections from other new infections post transplant is challenging. Administrative health data can be informative. We aimed to quantify post-transplant viral infections, specifically those transmitted by donors and those reactivating or arising new in recipients. METHODS: We linked transplant registries with administrative health data for all solid organ donor-recipient pairs in New South Wales, Australia, 2000-2015. All new recipient notifications of hepatitis B (HBV), C (HCV), or human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) after transplant were identified. Proven/probable donor transmissions within 12 months of transplant were classified using an international algorithm. RESULTS: Of 2120 organ donors, there were 72 with a viral infection (9/72 active, 63/72 past). These 72 donors donated to 173 recipients, of whom 24/173 already had the same infection as their donor, and 149/173 did not, so were at risk of donor transmission. Among those at risk, 3/149 recipients had proven/probable viral transmissions (1 HCV, 2 HBV); none were unrecognized by donation services. There were no deaths from transmissions. There were no donor transmissions from donors without known blood-borne viruses. An additional 68 recipients had new virus notifications, of whom 2/68 died, due to HBV infection. CONCLUSION: This work confirms the safety of organ donation in an Australian cohort, with no unrecognized viral transmissions and most donors with viral infections not transmitting the virus. This may support targeted increases in donation from donors with viral infections. However, other new virus notifications post transplant were substantial and are preventable. Data linkage can enhance current biovigilance systems.
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Infecciones de Transmisión Sanguínea/virología , Infecciones por VIH , Hepatitis B , Hepatitis C , Receptores de Trasplantes , Infecciones de Transmisión Sanguínea/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/transmisión , Hepatitis B/epidemiología , Hepatitis B/transmisión , Hepatitis C/epidemiología , Hepatitis C/transmisión , Humanos , Nueva Gales del Sur , Trasplante de Órganos , Donantes de TejidosRESUMEN
Background and Purpose- People with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) are at greater risk of stroke. We aimed to compare stroke mortality between the ESKD population and the general population. Methods- We included all patients with incident ESKD in Australia, 1980 to 2013, and New Zealand, 1988 to 2012. The primary cause of death was ascertained using data linkage with national death registers. We produced standardized mortality ratios for stroke deaths, by age, sex, and calendar year. Results- We included 60 823 patients with ESKD, where 941 stroke deaths occurred during 381 874 person-years. Patients with ESKD had >3× the stroke deaths compared with the general population (standardized mortality ratio, 3.4; 95% CI, 3.2-3.6), markedly higher in younger people and women. The greatest excess was in intracerebral hemorrhages (standardized mortality ratio, 5.2; 95% CI, 4.5-5.9). Excess stroke deaths in patients with ESKD decreased over time, although were still double in 2013 (2013 standardized mortality ratio, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.5-2.9). Conclusions- People with ESKD experience much greater stroke mortality with the greatest difference for women and younger people. However, mortality has improved over time.
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Hemorragia Cerebral , Fallo Renal Crónico , Sistema de Registros , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Australia/epidemiología , Hemorragia Cerebral/etiología , Hemorragia Cerebral/mortalidad , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Fallo Renal Crónico/complicaciones , Fallo Renal Crónico/mortalidad , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores Sexuales , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/mortalidadRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence and incidence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), and hepatitis B virus (HBV) among people at increased risk of infection in Australia; to estimate the residual risk of infection among potential solid organ donors in these groups when their antibody and nucleic acid test results are negative. STUDY DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis of reports of the incidence and prevalence of HIV, HCV, and HBV in groups at increased risk of infection in Australia. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, government and agency reports, Australasian Society for HIV, Viral Hepatitis and Sexual Health Medicine conference abstracts, the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry, and National Health and Medical Research Council grants published 1 January 2000 - 14 February 2019; personal communications. DATA SYNTHESIS: Residual risk of HIV infection was highest among men who have sex with men (4.8 [95% CI, 2.7-6.9] per 10 000 antibody-negative persons; 1.5 [95% CI, 0.9-2.2] per 10 000 persons who are both antibody- and nucleic acid-negative). Residual risk of HCV infection was highest among injecting drug users (289 [95% CI, 191-385] per 10 000 antibody-negative persons; 20.9 [95% CI, 13.8-28.0] per 10 000 antibody- and nucleic acid-negative persons). Residual risk for HBV infection was highest among injecting drug users (98.6 [95% CI, 36.4-213] per 10 000 antibody-negative people; 49.4 [95% CI, 18.2-107] per 10 000 persons who were also nucleic acid-negative). CONCLUSIONS: Absolute risks of window period viral infections are low in people from Australian groups at increased risk but with negative viral test results. Accepting organ donations by people at increased risk of infection but with negative viral test results could be considered as a strategy for expanding the donor pool. REGISTRATION: International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO), CRD42017069820.
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Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Hepatitis B/epidemiología , Hepatitis C/epidemiología , Donantes de Tejidos , Australia/epidemiología , ADN Viral , Infecciones por VIH/diagnóstico , Hepatitis B/diagnóstico , Anticuerpos contra la Hepatitis B , Antígenos del Núcleo de la Hepatitis B , Antígenos de Superficie de la Hepatitis B , Hepatitis C/diagnóstico , Humanos , Incidencia , Prevalencia , Prisioneros/estadística & datos numéricos , ARN Viral , Riesgo , Pruebas Serológicas , Trabajadores Sexuales/estadística & datos numéricos , Parejas Sexuales , Minorías Sexuales y de Género/estadística & datos numéricos , Abuso de Sustancias por Vía Intravenosa/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
The scale-up of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has led to a substantial change in the clinical population of HIV-positive patients receiving care. We describe the temporal trends in the demographic and clinical characteristics of HIV-positive patients initiating ART in 2003-13 within an Asian regional cohort. All HIV-positive adult patients that initiated ART between 2003 and 2013 were included. We summarized ART regimen use, age, CD4 cell count, HIV viral load, and HIV-related laboratory monitoring rates during follow-up by calendar year. A total of 16 962 patients were included in the analysis. Patients in active follow-up increased from 695 patients at four sites in 2003 to 11,137 patients at eight sites in 2013. The proportion of patients receiving their second or third ART regimen increased over time (5% in 2003 to 29% in 2013) along with patients aged ≥50 years (8% in 2003 to 18% in 2013). Concurrently, CD4 monitoring has remained stable in recent years, whereas HIV viral load monitoring, although varied among the sites, is increasing. There have been substantial changes in the clinical and demographic characteristics of HIV-positive patients receiving ART in Asia. HIV programmes will need to anticipate the clinical care needs for their aging populations, expanded viral load monitoring, and, the eventual increase in second and third ART regimens that will lead to higher costs and more complex drug procurement needs.
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Fármacos Anti-VIH/uso terapéutico , Terapia Antirretroviral Altamente Activa , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Evaluación de Procesos y Resultados en Atención de Salud/métodos , Evaluación de Programas y Proyectos de Salud/métodos , Carga Viral/efectos de los fármacos , Adulto , Asia/epidemiología , Recuento de Linfocito CD4 , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Evaluación de Procesos y Resultados en Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Biovigilance concerns are in tension with the need to increase organ donation. Cancer transmission risk from donor to recipient may be overestimated, as non-transmission events are rarely reported. We sought to estimate melanoma transmission risk in deceased organ donation and identify missed opportunities for donation in an Australian cohort with high melanoma prevalence. METHODS: We used a population-based approach and linked deceased organ donors, transplant recipients, and potential donors forgone, 2010-2018, with the Central Cancer Registry (CCR), 1976-2018. We identified melanomas using ICD-O-3 classification, assessed the probability of transmission, and compared suspected melanoma history in potential donors forgone with melanoma notifications in the CCR. RESULTS: There were 9 of 993 donors with melanoma in CCR; 4 in situ low-risk and 5 invasive high-to-unacceptable risk. Four were unrecognized before donation. Of 16 transplant recipients at risk, we found 0 of 14 transmission events (2 recipients had insufficient follow-up). Of 35 of 3588 potential donors forgone for melanoma risk alone, 17 were otherwise suitable for donation; 6 of 35 had no melanoma in CCR, 2 of 35 had in situ melanomas and 9 of 35 had thin invasive melanomas (localized, ≤0.8 mm thickness). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings contribute to current evidence that suggests donors with melanomas of low metastatic potential may provide an opportunity to safely increase organ donation and so access to transplantation.
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Melanoma , Sistema de Registros , Neoplasias Cutáneas , Donantes de Tejidos , Receptores de Trasplantes , Humanos , Melanoma/epidemiología , Donantes de Tejidos/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Neoplasias Cutáneas/epidemiología , Receptores de Trasplantes/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano , Trasplante de Órganos/efectos adversos , Medición de Riesgo , Australia/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Adulto Joven , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos , Selección de DonanteRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Demand for donor kidneys outstrips supply. Using kidneys from selected donors with an increased risk of blood-borne virus (BBV) transmission (hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus [HCV], human immunodeficiency virus) may expand the donor pool, but cost-effectiveness of this strategy is uncertain. METHODS: A Markov model was developed using real-world evidence to compare healthcare costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of accepting kidneys from deceased donors with potential increased risk of BBV transmission, because of increased risk behaviors and/or history of HCV, versus declining these kidneys. Model simulations were run over a 20-y time horizon. Parameter uncertainty was assessed through deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Accepting kidneys from donors at increased risk of BBVs (2% from donors with increased-risk behaviors and 5% from donors with active or past HCV infection) incurred total costs of 311 303 Australian dollars with a gain of 8.53 QALYs. Foregoing kidneys from these donors incurred total costs of $330 517 and a gain of 8.44 QALYs. A cost-saving of $19 214 and additional 0.09 QALYs (~33 d in full health) per person would be generated compared with declining these donors. Increasing the availability of kidneys with increased risk by 15% led to further cost-savings of $57 425 and additional 0.23 QALY gains (~84 d in full health). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis using 10 000 iterations showed accepting kidneys from donors at increased risk led to lower costs and higher QALY gains. CONCLUSIONS: Shifting clinical practice to accept increased BBV risk donors would likely produce lower costs and higher QALYs for health systems.
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Hepatitis C , Trasplante de Riñón , Humanos , Trasplante de Riñón/efectos adversos , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Australia , Donantes de Tejidos , Hepacivirus , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de VidaRESUMEN
Kidneys from potential deceased donors with brain cancer are often foregone due to concerns of cancer transmission risk to recipients. There may be uncertainty around donors' medical history and their absolute transmission risk or risk-averse decision-making among clinicians. However, brain cancer transmissions are rare, and prolonging waiting time for recipients is harmful. Methods: We assessed the cost-effectiveness of increasing utilization of potential deceased donors with brain cancer using a Markov model simulation of 1500 patients waitlisted for a kidney transplant, based on linked transplant registry data and with a payer perspective (Australian government). We estimated costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for three interventions: decision support for clinicians in assessing donor risk, improved cancer classification accuracy with real-time data-linkage to hospital records and cancer registries, and increased risk tolerance to allow intermediate-risk donors (up to 6.4% potential transmission risk). Results: Compared with current practice, decision support provided 0.3% more donors with an average transmission risk of 2%. Real-time data-linkage provided 0.6% more donors (1.1% average transmission risk) and increasing risk tolerance (accepting intermediate-risk 6.4%) provided 2.1% more donors (4.9% average transmission risk). Interventions were dominant (improved QALYs and saved costs) in 78%, 80%, and 87% of simulations, respectively. The largest benefit was from increasing risk tolerance (mean +18.6 QALYs and AU$2.2 million [US$1.6 million] cost-savings). Conclusions: Despite the additional risk of cancer transmission, accepting intermediate-risk donors with brain cancer is likely to increase the number of donor kidneys available for transplant, improve patient outcomes, and reduce overall healthcare expenditure.
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PURPOSE: We sought to explore whether adding kidney function biomarkers based on creatinine (eGFRCr), cystatin C (eGFRCys) or a combination of the two (eGFRCr-Cys) could improve risk stratification for stroke and major bleeding, and whether there were sex differences in any additive value of kidney function biomarkers. METHOD: We included participants from the UK Biobank who had not had a previous ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke or major bleeding episode, and who had kidney function measures available at baseline. Cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models tested associations between eGFRCr, eGFRCys and eGFRCr-Cys (mL/min/1.73 m2) with ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke, major bleeding (gastrointestinal or intracranial, including haemorrhagic stroke) and all-cause mortality. FINDINGS: Among 452,879 eligible participants, 246,244 (54.4%) were women. Over 11.5 (IQR 10.8-12.2) years, there were 3706 ischaemic strokes, 795 haemorrhagic strokes, 26,025 major bleeding events and 28,851 deaths. eGFRCys was more strongly associated with ischaemic stroke than eGFRCr: an effect that was more pronounced in women (men - HR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.12-1.19; female to male comparison - HR: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.05-1.16, per 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 decline in eGFRCys). This interaction effect was also demonstrated for eGFRCr-Cys, but not eGFRCr. eGFRCys and eGFRCr-Cys were more strongly associated with major bleeding and all-cause mortality than eGFRCr in both men and women. Event numbers were small for haemorrhagic stroke. DISCUSSION: To a greater degree than is seen in men, eGFRCr underestimates risk of ischaemic stroke and major bleeding in women compared to eGFRCys. The difference between measures is likely explained by non-GFR biology of creatinine and cystatin C. CONCLUSION: Enhanced measurement of cystatin C may improve risk stratification for ischaemic stroke and major bleeding and clinical treatment decisions in a general population setting, particularly for women.
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Isquemia Encefálica , Accidente Cerebrovascular Hemorrágico , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Creatinina , Cistatina C , Caracteres Sexuales , Hemorragia , RiñónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Kidney transplantation is considered the ideal treatment for most people with kidney failure, conferring both survival and quality of life advantages, and is more cost effective than dialysis. Yet, current health systems may serve some people better than others, creating inequities in access to kidney failure treatments and health outcomes. AcceSS and Equity in Transplantation (ASSET) investigators aim to create a linked data platform to facilitate research enquiry into equity of health service delivery for people with kidney failure in New Zealand. METHODS: The New Zealand Ministry of Health will use patients' National Health Index (NHI) numbers to deterministically link individual records held in existing registry and administrative health databases in New Zealand to create the data platform. The initial data linkage will include a study population of incident patients captured in the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA), New Zealand Blood Service Database and the Australia and New Zealand Living Kidney Donor Registry (ANZLKD) from 2006 to 2019 and their linked health data. Health data sources will include National Non-Admitted Patient Collection Data, National Minimum Dataset, Cancer Registry, Programme for the Integration of Mental Health Data (PRIMHD), Pharmaceutical Claims Database and Mortality Collection Database. Initial exemplar studies include 1) kidney waitlist dynamics and pathway to transplantation; 2) impact of mental illness on accessing kidney waitlist and transplantation; 3) health service use of living donors following donation. CONCLUSION: The AcceSS and Equity in Transplantation (ASSET) linked data platform will provide opportunity for population-based health services research to examine equity in health care delivery and health outcomes in New Zealand. It also offers potential to inform future service planning by identifying where improvements can be made in the current health system to promote equity in access to health services for those in New Zealand.
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Fallo Renal Crónico , Insuficiencia Renal , Servicios de Salud , Humanos , Almacenamiento y Recuperación de la Información , Fallo Renal Crónico/terapia , Nueva Zelanda/epidemiología , Calidad de Vida , Sistema de Registros , Diálisis Renal/métodosRESUMEN
Background: Infections, including common communicable infections such as influenza, frequently cause disease after organ transplantation, although the quantitative extent of infection and disease remains uncertain. Methods: A cohort study was conducted to define the burden of notifiable infectious diseases among all solid organ recipients transplanted in New South Wales, Australia, 2000-2015. Data linkage was used to connect transplant registers to hospital admissions, notifiable diseases, and the death register. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated relative to general population notification rates, accounting for age, sex, and calendar year. Infection-related hospitalizations and deaths were identified. Results: Among 4858 solid organ recipients followed for 39 183 person-years (PY), there were 792 notifications. Influenza was the most common infection (532 cases; incidence, 1358 [95% CI, 1247-1478] per 100 000 PY), highest within 3 months posttransplant. Next most common was salmonellosis (46 cases; incidence, 117 [95% CI, 87-156] per 100 000 PY), then pertussis (38 cases; incidence, 97 [95% CI, 71-133] per 100 000 PY). Influenza and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) showed significant excess cases compared with the general population (influenza SIR, 8.5 [95% CI, 7.8-9.2]; IPD SIR, 9.8 [95% CI, 6.9-13.9]), with high hospitalization rates (47% influenza cases, 68% IPD cases) and some mortality (4 influenza and 1 IPD deaths). By 10 years posttransplant, cumulative incidence of any vaccine-preventable disease was 12%, generally similar by transplanted organ, except higher among lung recipients. Gastrointestinal diseases, tuberculosis, and legionellosis had excess cases among transplant recipients, although there were few sexually transmitted infections and vector-borne diseases. Conclusions: There is potential to avoid preventable infections among transplant recipients with improved vaccination programs, health education, and pretransplant donor and recipient screening.