Atrial fibrillation: trends in prevalence and antithrombotic prescriptions in the community.

INTRODUCTION: In the past decade, the atrial fibrillation (AF) landscape, including the treatment modalities, has drastically changed. This raises the question how AF prevalence and choices in antithrombotic therapy prescription have developed in the community over time. METHODS: Routine care data from the Julius General Practitioners' Network (JGPN) were used to calculate the yearly prevalence of AF and to quantify the percentage of all patients who were prescribed a platelet inhibitor, vitamin K antagonist (VKA), non-VKA oral anticoagulant (NOAC) or no antithrombotic medication. To explore whether certain patient characteristics are associated with selective prescription of oral anticoagulants (OAC), we applied logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: From 2008 through 2017, the JGPN database included 7459 unique AF patients. During this period, the prevalence of AF increased from 0.4% to 1.4%. The percentage of patients prescribed a VKA declined from 47% to 41%, whereas the percentage of patients prescribed a NOAC rose from 0% to 20%. In patients with new-onset AF, older age, heart failure, diabetes mellitus, vascular disease and dementia were independently associated with a higher likelihood of VKA rather than NOAC prescription. In 2017, 25% of all patients with AF and a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2 were not prescribed OAC therapy (i.e. 8% with platelet inhibitor monotherapy and 17% without any antithrombotic therapy). CONCLUSION: Between 2008 and 2017, AF prevalence in the community more than tripled. Prescription patterns showed possible 'channelling' of VKAs over NOACs in frailer, elderly patients, whereas still about one in every four AF patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2 was not prescribed any prophylactic OAC therapy.

Antithrombotic management of patients with atrial fibrillation-Dutch anticoagulant initiatives anno 2020.

In recent years, as more and more experience has been gained with prescribing direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), new research initiatives have emerged in the Netherlands to improve the safety and appropriateness of DOAC treatment for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). These initiatives address several contemporary unresolved issues, such as inappropriate dosing, non-adherence and the long-term management of DOAC treatment. Dutch initiatives have also contributed to the development and improvement of risk prediction models. Although fewer bleeding complications (notably intracranial bleeding) are in general seen with DOACs in comparison with vitamin K antagonists, to successfully identify patients with high bleeding risk and to tailor anticoagulant treatment accordingly to mitigate this increased bleeding risk, is one of the research aims of recent and future years. This review highlights contributions from the Netherlands that aim to address these unresolved issues regarding the anticoagulant management in AF in daily practice, and provides a narrative overview of contemporary stroke and bleeding risk assessment strategies.

Complex clinical scenarios with the use of direct oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation: a multidisciplinary expert advisory board.

The risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF) and the risk of stroke both increase with advancing age. As such, many individuals have, or will develop, an indication for oral anticoagulation to reduce the risk of stroke. Currently, a large number of anticoagulants are available, including vitamin K antagonists, direct thrombin or factor Xa inhibitors (the last two also referred to as direct oral anticoagulants or DOACs), and different dosages are available. Of the DOACs, rivaroxaban can be obtained in the most different doses: 2.5 mg, 5 mg, 15 mg and 20 mg. Many patients develop co-morbidities and/or undergo procedures that may require the temporary combination of anticoagulation with antiplatelet therapy. In daily practice, clinicians encounter complex scenarios that are not always described in the treatment guidelines, and clear recommendations are lacking. Here, we report the outcomes of a multidisciplinary advisory board meeting, held in Utrecht (The Netherlands) on 3 June 2019, on decision making in complex clinical situations regarding the use of DOACs. The advisory board consisted of Dutch cardiovascular specialists: (interventional) cardiologist, internist, neurologist, vascular surgeon and general practitioners invited according to personal title and specific field of expertise.

[When to suspect pulmonary embolism: a balancing act]. / Wanneer moet je aan een longembolie denken?

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a common disease, which can present with a variety of symptoms. Optimal use of diagnostics is challenging given the tight and delicate balance between underdiagnosis and over-testing or overdiagnosis. Diagnostic delay occurs in a substantial part of patients, and seems more common in those with known cardiopulmonary disease or non-specific signs and symptoms. At the other end of the spectrum, the amount of diagnostic imaging increases. Increased use of diagnostic imaging in general leads to more harmful exposures and might result in overtreatment, as may be the case in subsegmental PE. Correct use of clinical prediction rules reduces the need for diagnostic imaging while PE can still be ruled out safely. This clinical lesson describes three cases of PE and provides an overview of factors that contribute to underdiagnosis or overdiagnosis. We provide recommendations to improve our balancing act for this challenging disease.

External validation and updating of prediction models of bleeding risk in patients with cancer receiving anticoagulants.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with cancer are at increased bleeding risk, and anticoagulants increase this risk even more. Yet, validated bleeding risk models for prediction of bleeding risk in patients with cancer are lacking. The aim of this study is to predict bleeding risk in anticoagulated patients with cancer. METHODS: We performed a study using the routine healthcare database of the Julius General Practitioners' Network. Five bleeding risk models were selected for external validation. Patients with a new cancer episode during anticoagulant treatment or those initiating anticoagulation during active cancer were included. The outcome was the composite of major bleeding and clinically relevant non-major (CRNM) bleeding. Next, we internally validated an updated bleeding risk model accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: The validation cohort consisted of 1304 patients with cancer, mean age 74.0±10.9 years, 52.2% males. In total 215 (16.5%) patients developed a first major or CRNM bleeding during a mean follow-up of 1.5 years (incidence rate; 11.0 per 100 person-years (95% CI 9.6 to 12.5)). The c-statistics of all selected bleeding risk models were low, around 0.56. Internal validation of an updated model accounting for death as competing risk showed a slightly improved c-statistic of 0.61 (95% CI 0.54 to 0.70). On updating, only age and a history of bleeding appeared to contribute to the prediction of bleeding risk. CONCLUSIONS: Existing bleeding risk models cannot accurately differentiate bleeding risk between patients. Future studies may use our updated model as a starting point for further development of bleeding risk models in patients with cancer.

Towards optimal use of antithrombotic therapy of people with cancer at the end of life: A research protocol for the development and implementation of the SERENITY shared decision support tool.

BACKGROUND: Even though antithrombotic therapy has probably little or even negative effects on the well-being of people with cancer during their last year of life, deprescribing antithrombotic therapy at the end of life is rare in practice. It is often continued until death, possibly resulting in excess bleeding, an increased disease burden and higher healthcare costs. METHODS: The SERENITY consortium comprises researchers and clinicians from eight European countries with specialties in different clinical fields, epidemiology and psychology. SERENITY will use a comprehensive approach combining a realist review, flash mob research, epidemiological studies, and qualitative interviews. The results of these studies will be used in a Delphi process to reach a consensus on the optimal design of the shared decision support tool. Next, the shared decision support tool will be tested in a randomised controlled trial. A targeted implementation and dissemination plan will be developed to enable the use of the SERENITY tool across Europe, as well as its incorporation in clinical guidelines and policies. The entire project is funded by Horizon Europe. RESULTS: SERENITY will develop an information-driven shared decision support tool that will facilitate treatment decisions regarding the appropriate use of antithrombotic therapy in people with cancer at the end of life. CONCLUSIONS: We aim to develop an intervention that guides the appropriate use of antithrombotic therapy, prevents bleeding complications, and saves healthcare costs. Hopefully, usage of the tool leads to enhanced empowerment and improved quality of life and treatment satisfaction of people with advanced cancer and their care givers.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic delay in pulmonary embolism.

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic delay in patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) is typical, yet the proportion of patients with PE that experienced delay and for how many days is less well described, nor are determinants for such delay. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess the prevalence and extent of delay in diagnosing PE. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed to identify articles reporting delays in diagnosing PE. The primary outcome was mean delay (in days) or a percentage of patients with diagnostic delay (defined as PE diagnosis more than seven days after symptom onset). The secondary outcome was determinants of delay. Random-effect meta-analyses were applied to calculate a pooled estimate for mean delay and to explore heterogeneity in subgroups. RESULTS: The literature search yielded 10,933 studies, of which 24 were included in the final analysis. The pooled estimate of the mean diagnostic delay based on 12 studies was 6.3 days (95% prediction interval 2.5 to 15.8). The percentage of patients having more than seven days of delay varied between 18% and 38%. All studies assessing the determinants of coughing (n = 3), chronic lung disease (n = 6) and heart failure (n = 8) found a positive association with diagnostic delay. Similarly, all studies assessing recent surgery (n = 7) and hypotension (n = 6), as well as most studies assessing chest pain (n = 8), found a negative association with diagnostic delay of PE. CONCLUSION: Patients may have symptoms for almost one week before PE is diagnosed and in about a quarter of patients, the diagnostic delay is even longer.

Determinants of label non-adherence to non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants in patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation.

Aims: To evaluate the extent and determinants of off-label non-vitamin K oral anticoagulant (NOAC) dosing in newly diagnosed Dutch AF patients. Methods and results: In the DUTCH-AF registry, patients with newly diagnosed AF (<6 months) are prospectively enrolled. Label adherence to NOAC dosing was assessed using the European Medicines Agency labelling. Factors associated with off-label dosing were explored by multivariable logistic regression analyses. From July 2018 to November 2020, 4500 patients were registered. The mean age was 69.6 ± 10.5 years, and 41.5% were female. Of the 3252 patients in which NOAC label adherence could be assessed, underdosing and overdosing were observed in 4.2% and 2.4%, respectively. In 2916 (89.7%) patients with a full-dose NOAC recommendation, 4.6% were underdosed, with a similar distribution between NOACs. Independent determinants (with 95% confidence interval) were higher age [odds ratio (OR): 1.01 per year, 1.01-1.02], lower renal function (OR: 0.96 per ml/min/1.73 m2, 0.92-0.98), lower weight (OR: 0.98 per kg, 0.97-1.00), active malignancy (OR: 2.46, 1.19-5.09), anaemia (OR: 1.73, 1.08-2.76), and concomitant use of antiplatelets (OR: 4.93, 2.57-9.46). In the 336 (10.3%) patients with a reduced dose NOAC recommendation, 22.9% were overdosed, most often with rivaroxaban. Independent determinants were lower age (OR: 0.92 per year, 0.88-0.96) and lower renal function (OR: 0.98 per ml/min/1.73 m2, 0.96-1.00). Conclusion: In newly diagnosed Dutch AF patients, off-label dosing of NOACs was seen in only 6.6% of patients, most often underdosing. In this study, determinants of off-label dosing were age, renal function, weight, anaemia, active malignancy, and concomitant use of antiplatelets.

Diagnosing acute coronary syndrome in primary care: comparison of the physicians' risk estimation and a clinical decision rule.

BACKGROUND: Diagnosing acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in a primary care setting poses a diagnostic dilemma for physicians. OBJECTIVE: We directly compared the diagnostic accuracy of a clinical decision rule (CDR) based on history taking and physical examination in suspected ACS with the risk estimates of the attending GP. METHODS: In a prospective multicenter study, patients suspected of ACS were included by the GP. GPs were asked to estimate the probability (0%-100%) of the presence of ACS. GPs collected patient data, but they were not aware of the CDR and did not score the patient accordingly. RESULTS: Two hundred and ninety-eight patients were included (52% female, mean age 66 years, 22% ACS). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was 0.75 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.68-0.82] for the GP risk estimate and 0.66 (95% CI 0.58-0.73) for the CDR. There was an agreement between the risk estimation of the GP and a CDR in 51% and the prevalence of ACS in predefined low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups was similar for the GP and CDR estimates. In the low-risk group, according to the GP, four patients (8.2%) suffered an ACS. These four patients were all identified by the decision rule as high risk. CONCLUSIONS: The GP classified patients as ACS or no ACS more adequately than the CDR, judged by the AUC. However, the use of a CDR in patients that are considered at low risk for ACS by the GP could reduce the amount of missed myocardial infarctions.

Management of superficial venous thrombosis based on individual risk profiles: protocol for the development and validation of three prognostic prediction models in large primary care cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Superficial venous thrombosis (SVT) is considered a benign thrombotic condition in most patients. However, it also can cause serious complications, such as clot progression to deep venous thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE). Although most SVT patients are encountered in primary healthcare, studies on SVT nearly all were focused on patients seen in the hospital setting. This paper describes the protocol of the development and external validation of three prognostic prediction models for relevant clinical outcomes in SVT patients seen in primary care: (i) prolonged (painful) symptoms within 14 days since SVT diagnosis, (ii) for clot progression to DVT or PE within 45 days and (iii) for clot recurrence within 12 months. METHODS: Data will be used from four primary care routine healthcare registries from both the Netherlands and the UK; one UK registry will be used for the development of the prediction models and the remaining three will be used as external validation cohorts. The study population will consist of patients ≥18 years with a diagnosis of SVT. Selection of SVT cases will be based on a combination of ICPC/READ/Snowmed coding and free text clinical symptoms. Predictors considered are sex, age, body mass index, clinical SVT characteristics, and co-morbidities including (history of any) cardiovascular disease, diabetes, autoimmune disease, malignancy, thrombophilia, pregnancy or puerperium and presence of varicose veins. The prediction models will be developed using multivariable logistic regression analysis techniques for models i and ii, and for model iii, a Cox proportional hazards model will be used. They will be validated by internal-external cross-validation as well as external validation. DISCUSSION: There are currently no prediction models available for predicting the risk of serious complications for SVT patients presenting in primary care settings. We aim to develop and validate new prediction models that should help identify patients at highest risk for complications and to support clinical decision making for this understudied thrombo-embolic disorder. Challenges that we anticipate to encounter are mostly related to performing research in large, routine healthcare databases, such as patient selection, endpoint classification, data harmonisation, missing data and avoiding (predictor) measurement heterogeneity.

[COVID-19: care at home or in hospital? Considerations in primary care]. / COVID-19: thuis behandelen of naar het ziekenhuis?

COVID-19 is a treacherous disease, in which infected patients who appear to fare well can deteriorate rapidly, mostly due to respiratory failure. For general practitioners (and other first-line responders), a clinical evaluation at any given time merely provides a snapshot of the patient's condition. Therefore, frequent monitoring is warranted in at-risk patients. However, there is no one-size-fits-all approach for monitoring, treatment and referral decisions. This is particularly the case in patients with advanced age. In this article, through the use of case examples, we aim to provide guidance when facing difficult management decisions in patients with (suspected) COVID-19.

[Towards 'the best DOAC'?] / Op weg naar 'de beste DOAC'?

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are increasingly being prescribed for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation or for treating venous thromboembolism. In this short overview, we provide some guidance on possible differences between available DOACs as well as a comparison with traditional treatments using vitamin K antagonists. In the absence of head-to-head trials comparing different DOACs with each other, this is predominantly based on indirect meta-analysis and observational evidence. Thus, this should be interpreted with caution and considered as expert consensus.

[Cancer detection following unprovoked VTE; case history and physical examination are still of foremost importance]. / Kanker opsporen na idiopathische trombose.

The relation between cancer and thrombosis is well known. In fact, the presence of an occult malignancy in patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is named after a famous 19th century French physician; it is called Trousseau's sign. In this commentary, I elaborate upon findings from a recent individual patient data meta-analysis on Trousseau's sign. This study demonstrated that extensive screening to unmask an occult malignancy in unprovoked VTE is no better than 'simple' history taking and physical examination, alongside age-specific and gender-specific national cancer screening e.g. for colorectal carcinoma, breast cancer and/or prostate cancer. Listening to what the patient has to say and a good physical examination remain the cornerstone for modern medicine, a finding Trousseau would no doubt have appreciated.

[Frameworks for responsible anticoagulation care: a contribution to a collective view]. / Kaders voor verantwoorde antistollingszorg.

Until recently, vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) were the only form of anticoagulation for the prevention of thromboembolic complications in patients with atrial fibrillation or venous thromboembolisms. Various caregivers are involved in anticoagulation care. Criticism of the support by the thrombosis department focused mainly on the lack of guarantees regarding the interinstitutional anticoagulation chain of care. Initiatives have now been deployed to improve this support, as described in the national integrated anticoagulation care standard (LSKA, Landelijke Standaard Ketenzorg Antistolling) and the national primary care anticoagulation agreement (LESA, Landelijke Eerstelijns Samenwerkingsafspraken). However, rapidly increasing use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) has dramatically altered anticoagulation care. Patients and caregivers are more often confronted with uncertainty about treatment coordination. This article aims to sketch frameworks for responsible anticoagulation care. We examine different topics, such as coordination, organisation of follow-up, availability for answering questions and switching from VKA to DOAC.

Effectiveness of CHA2DS2-VASc based decision support on stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation: A cluster randomised trial in general practice.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines on atrial fibrillation (AF) recommend the CHA2DS2-VASc rule for anticoagulant decision-making, but underuse exists. We studied the impact of an automated decision support on stroke prevention in patients with AF in a cluster randomised trial in general practice. METHODS: Intervention practices were provided with a CHA2DS2-VASc based anticoagulant treatment recommendation. Reference practices provided care as usual. The primary outcome was incidence of ischaemic stroke, transient ischaemic attack (TIA) and/or thromboembolism (TE). Secondary outcomes were bleeding and the proportion of patients on guideline recommended anticoagulant treatment. RESULTS: In total, 1129 AF patients were included in the 19 intervention practices and 1226 AF patients in the 19 reference practices. The median age was 77 (interquartile range (IQR) 68-75) years, the median CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3.0 (IQR 2.0-5.0). Underuse of anticoagulants in patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2 was 6.6%. After a median follow-up of 2.7 years (IQR 2.3-3.0), the incidence rate per 100 person-years of ischaemic stroke/TIA/TE was 1.96 in the intervention group and 1.42 in the reference group (hazard ratio (HR) 1.3, 95% C.I. 0.8-2.1). No difference was observed in the rate of bleeding (0.79 versus 0.82), or in the underuse (7.2% versus 8.2%) or overuse (8.0% versus 7.9%) of anticoagulation. CONCLUSIONS: In this study in patients with AF in general practice, underuse of anticoagulants was relatively low. Providing practitioners with CHA2DS2-VASc based decision support did not result in a reduction in stroke incidence, affect bleeding risk or anticoagulant over- or underuse.

Ruling out pulmonary embolism across different subgroups of patients and healthcare settings: protocol for a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis (IPDMA).

BACKGROUND: Diagnosing pulmonary embolism in suspected patients is notoriously difficult as signs and symptoms are non-specific. Different diagnostic strategies have been developed, usually combining clinical probability assessment with D-dimer testing. However, their predictive performance differs across different healthcare settings, patient subgroups, and clinical presentation, which are currently not accounted for in the available diagnostic approaches. METHODS: This is a protocol for a large diagnostic individual patient data meta-analysis (IPDMA) of currently available diagnostic studies in the field of pulmonary embolism. We searched MEDLINE (search date January 1, 1995, till August 25, 2016) to retrieve all primary diagnostic studies that had evaluated diagnostic strategies for pulmonary embolism. Two authors independently screened titles, abstracts, and subsequently full-text articles for eligibility from 3145 individual studies. A total of 40 studies were deemed eligible for inclusion into our IPDMA set, and principal investigators from these studies were invited to participate in a meeting at the 2017 conference from the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis. All authors agreed on data sharing and participation into this project. The process of data collection of available datasets as well as potential identification of additional new datasets based upon personal contacts and an updated search will be finalized early 2018. The aim is to evaluate diagnostic strategies across three research domains: (i) the optimal diagnostic approach for different healthcare settings, (ii) influence of comorbidity on the predictive performance of each diagnostic strategy, and (iii) optimize and tailor the efficiency and safety of ruling out PE across a broad spectrum of patients with a new, patient-tailored clinical decision model that combines clinical items with quantitative D-dimer testing. DISCUSSION: This pre-planned individual patient data meta-analysis aims to contribute in resolving remaining diagnostic challenges of time-efficient diagnosis of pulmonary embolism by tailoring available diagnostic strategies for different healthcare settings and comorbidity. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: Prospero trial registration: ID 89366.

The effects of misclassification in routine healthcare databases on the accuracy of prognostic prediction models: a case study of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Research on prognostic prediction models frequently uses data from routine healthcare. However, potential misclassification of predictors when using such data may strongly affect the studied associations. There is no doubt that such misclassification could lead to the derivation of suboptimal prediction models. The extent to which misclassification affects the validation of existing prediction models is currently unclear.We aimed to quantify the amount of misclassification in routine care data and its effect on the validation of the existing risk prediction model. As an illustrative example, we validated the CHA2DS2-VASc prediction rule for predicting mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: In a prospective cohort in general practice in the Netherlands, we used computerized retrieved data from the electronic medical records of patients known with AF as index predictors. Additionally, manually collected data after scrutinizing all complete medical files were used as reference predictors. Comparing the index with the reference predictors, we assessed misclassification in individual predictors by calculating Cohen's kappas and other diagnostic test accuracy measures. Predictive performance was quantified by the c-statistic and by determining calibration of multivariable models. RESULTS: In total, 2363 AF patients were included. After a median follow-up of 2.7 (IQR 2.3-3.0) years, 368 patients died (incidence rate 6.2 deaths per 100 person-years). Misclassification in individual predictors ranged from substantial (Cohen's kappa 0.56 for prior history of heart failure) to minor (kappa 0.90 for a history of type 2 diabetes). The overall model performance was not affected when using either index or reference predictors, with a c-statistic of 0.684 and 0.681, respectively, and similar calibration. CONCLUSION: In a case study validating the CHA2DS2-VASc prediction model, we found substantial predictor misclassification in routine healthcare data with only limited effect on overall model performance. Our study should be repeated for other often applied prediction models to further evaluate the usefulness of routinely available healthcare data for validating prognostic models in the presence of predictor misclassification.

Predictive performance of the CHA2DS2-VASc rule in atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Essentials The widely recommended CHA2DS2-VASc shows conflicting results in contemporary validation studies. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of 19 studies validating CHA2DS2-VASc. There was high heterogeneity in stroke risks for different CHA2DS2-VASc scores. This was not explained by differences between setting of care, or by performing meta-regression. SUMMARY: Background The CHA2DS2-VASc decision rule is widely recommended for estimating stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), although validation studies show ambiguous and conflicting results. Objectives To: (i) review existing studies validating CHA2DS2-VASc in AF patients who are not (yet) anticoagulated; (ii) meta-analyze estimates of stroke risk per score; and (iii) explore sources of heterogeneity across the validation studies. Methods We performed a systematic literature review and random effects meta-analysis of studies externally validating CHA2DS2-VASc in AF patients not receiving anticoagulants. To explore between-study heterogeneity in stroke risk, we stratified studies to the clinical setting in which patient enrollment started, and performed meta-regression. Results In total, 19 studies were evaluated, with over two million person-years of follow-up. In studies recruiting AF patients in hospitals, stroke risks for scores of 0, 1 and 2 were 0.4% (approximate 95% prediction interval [PI] 0.2-3.2%), 1.2% (95% PI 0.1-3.8%), and 2.2% (95% PI 0.03-7.8%), respectively. These were consistently higher than those in studies recruiting patients from the open general population, with risks of 0.2% (95% PI 0.0-0.9%), 0.7% (95% PI 0.3-1.2%) and 1.5% (95% PI 0.4-3.3%) for scores of 0, 1, and 2, respectively. Heterogeneity, as reflected by the wide PIs, could not be fully explained by meta-regression. Conclusions Studies validating CHA2DS2-VASc show high heterogeneity in predicted stroke risks for different scores.

Qualitative point-of-care D-dimer testing compared with quantitative D-dimer testing in excluding pulmonary embolism in primary care.

BACKGROUND: General practitioners can safely exclude pulmonary embolism (PE) by using the Wells PE rule combined with D-dimer testing. OBJECTIVE: To compare the accuracy of a strategy using the Wells rule combined with either a qualitative point-of-care (POC) D-dimer test performed in primary care or a quantitative laboratory-based D-dimer test. METHODS: We used data from a prospective cohort study including 598 adults suspected of PE in primary care in the Netherlands. General practitioners scored the Wells rule and carried out a qualitative POC test. All patients were referred to hospital for reference testing. We obtained quantitative D-dimer test results as performed in hospital laboratories. The primary outcome was the prevalence of venous thromboembolism in low-risk patients. RESULTS: Prevalence of PE was 12.2%. POC D-dimer test results were available in 582 patients (97%). Quantitative test results were available in 401 patients (67%). We imputed results in 197 patients. The quantitative test and POC test missed one (0.4%) and four patients (1.5%), respectively, with a negative strategy (Wells ≤ 4 points and D-dimer test negative) (P = 0.20). The POC test could exclude 23 more patients (4%) (P = 0.05). The sensitivity and specificity of the Wells rule combined with a POC test were 94.5% and 51.0% and, combined with a quantitative test, 98.6% and 47.2%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Combined with the Wells PE rule, both tests are safe to use in excluding PE. The quantitative test seemed to be safer than the POC test, albeit not statistically significant. The specificity of the POC test was higher, resulting in more patients in whom PE could be excluded.