A US payer perspective health economic model assessing value of monitoring disease activity to inform discontinuation and re-initiation of DMT in multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: We evaluate the potential clinical and cost impacts of discontinuing disease-modifying therapy (DMT) in people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) when age-related immunosenescence can reduce DMT efficacy while increasing associated risks. METHODS: A Markov model simulated clinical and cost impacts to the patient and payers when a proportion of eligible patients with relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) discontinue DMT. Eligibility was defined as age >55 years, an RRMS diagnosis of >5 years, and no history of relapses for 5 years. Increasing the proportion of eligible patients willing to discontinue therapy was also modeled. Clinical and cost inputs were from published literature. RESULTS: Difference in EDSS progression between eligible patients who did and did not attempt discontinuation was not significant. After 1 year of eligibility, per-patient costs were $96k lower in the cohort that attempted discontinuation; however a higher proportion of relapses were seen in this group. When the proportion of patients willing to discontinue DMT increased, clinical findings remained consistent while the average cost per patient decreased. CONCLUSION: While there are increased clinical and cost benefits as more eligible patients attempt discontinuation, the risk of relapses can increase. Timely disease monitoring is required to manage safe DMT discontinuation.

Clinical validation of a multi-protein, serum-based assay for disease activity assessments in multiple sclerosis.

An 18-protein multiple sclerosis (MS) disease activity (DA) test was validated based on associations between algorithm scores and clinical/radiographic assessments (N = 614 serum samples; Train [n = 426; algorithm development] and Test [n = 188; evaluation] subsets). The multi-protein model was trained based on presence/absence of gadolinium-positive (Gd+) lesions and was also strongly associated with new/enlarging T2 lesions, and active versus stable disease (composite of radiographic and clinical evidence of DA) with improved performance (p < 0.05) compared to the neurofilament light single protein model. The odds of having ≥1 Gd+ lesions with a moderate/high DA score were 4.49 times that of a low DA score, and the odds of having ≥2 Gd+ lesions with a high DA score were 20.99 times that of a low/moderate DA score. The MSDA Test was clinically validated with improved performance compared to the top-performing single-protein model and can serve as a quantitative tool to enhance the care of MS patients.

Glial cell injury and atrophied lesion volume as measures of chronic multiple sclerosis inflammation.

BACKGROUND: Atrophied lesion volume (aLV), a proposed biomarker of disability progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) and transition into progressive MS (PMS), depicts chronic periventricular white matter (WM) pathology. Meningeal infiltrates, imaged as leptomeningeal contrast enhancement (LMCE), are linked with greater cortical pathology. OBJECTIVES: To determine the relationship between serum-derived proteomic data with the development of aLV and LMCE in a heterogeneous group of people with MS (pwMS). METHODS: Proteomic and MRI data for 202 pwMS (148 clinically isolated syndrome /relapsing-remitting MS and 54 progressive MS (PMS)) were acquired at baseline and at 5.4-year follow-up. The concentrations of 21 proteins related to multiple MS pathophysiology pathways were derived using a custom-developed Proximity Extension Assay on the Olink™ platform. The accrual of aLV was determined as the volume of baseline T2-weighted lesions that were replaced by cerebrospinal fluid over the follow-up. Regression models and age-adjusted analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) were used. RESULTS: Older age (standardized beta = 0.176, p = 0.022), higher glial fibrillary acidic protein (standardized beta = 0.312, p = 0.001), and lower myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein levels (standardized beta = -0.271, p = 0.002) were associated with accrual of aLV over follow-up. This relationship was driven by the pwPMS population. The presence of LMCE at the follow-up visit was not predicted by any baseline proteomic biomarker nor cross-sectionally associated with any protein concentration. CONCLUSION: Proteomic markers of glial activation are associated with chronic lesional WM pathology (measured as aLV) and may be specific to the progressive MS phenotype. LMCE presence in MS does not appear to relate to proteomic measures.

Lower arterial cerebral blood flow is associated with worse neuroinflammation and immunomodulation composite proteomic scores.

BACKGROUND: Brain hypoperfusion is linked with worse physical, cognitive and MRI outcomes in multiple sclerosis (MS). Understanding the proteomic signatures related to hypoperfusion could provide insights into the pathophysiological mechanism. METHODS: 140 people with MS (pwMS; 86 clinically isolated syndrome (CIS)/relapsing-remitting (RRMS) and 54 progressive (PMS)) were included. Cerebral arterial blood flow (CABF) was determined using ultrasound Doppler measurement as the sum of blood flow in the bilateral common carotid arteries and vertebral arteries. Proteomic analysis was performed using the Multiple Sclerosis Disease Activity (MSDA) test assay panel performed on the Olink™ platform. The MSDA test measures the concentrations of 18 proteins that are age and sex-adjusted. It utilizes a stacked classifier logistic regression model to determine 4 disease pathway scores (immunomodulation, neuroinflammation, myelin biology, and neuroaxonal integrity) as well as an overall disease activity score (1 to 10). MRI measures of T2 lesion volume (LV) and whole brain volume (WBV) were derived. RESULTS: The pwMS were on average 54 years old and had an average CABF of 951 mL/min. There were no differences in CABF between CIS/RRMS vs. PMS groups. Lower CABF levels were correlated with the overall disease activity score (r = -0.26, p = 0.003) and with the neuroinflammation (r = -0.29, p = 0.001), immunomodulation (r = -0.26, p = 0.003) and neuroaxonal integrity (r = -0.23, p = 0.007) pathway scores. After age and body mass index (BMI)-adjustment, lower CABF remained associated with the neuroinflammatory (r = -0.23, p = 0.011) and immunomodulation (r = -0.20, p = 0.024) pathway scores. The relationship between CABF and the neuroinflammation pathway score remained significant after adjusting for T2-LV and WBV (p = 0.038). Individual analyses identified neurofilament light chain, CCL-20 and TNFSF13B as contributors. When compared to the highest quartile (>1133.5 mL/min), the pwMS in the lowest CABF quartile (<764 mL/min) had greater overall disease activity score (p = 0.003), neuroinflammation (p = 0.001), immunomodulation (p = 0.004) and neuroaxonal integrity pathway scores (p = 0.007). CONCLUSION: Lower cerebral arterial perfusion in MS is associated with changes in neuroinflammatory/immunomodulation pathways and their respective proteomic biomarkers. These findings may suggest a relationship between the hypoperfusion and pro-inflammatory MS changes rather than being merely an epiphenomenon subsequent to lower energy demands.