Quality of palliative and end-of-life care: a quantitative study of temporal trends and differences according to illness trajectories in Quebec (Canada).

BACKGROUND: Our aim was to assess temporal trends and compare quality indicators related to Palliative and End-of-Life Care (PEoLC) experienced by people dying of cancer (trajectory I), organ-failure (Trajectory II), and frailty/dementia (trajectory III) in Quebec (Canada) between 2002 and 2016. METHODS: This descriptive population-based study focused on the last month of life of decedents who, based on the principal cause of death, would have been likely to benefit from palliative care. Five PEoLC indicators were assessed: home deaths (1), deaths in acute care beds with no PEoLC services (2), at least one Emergency Room (ER) visit in the last 14 days of life (3), ER visits on the day of death (4) and at least one Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission in the last month of life (5). Data were obtained from Quebec's Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System (QICDSS). RESULTS: The annual percentage of home deaths increased slightly between 2002 and 2016 in Quebec, rising from 7.7 to 9.1%, while the percentage of death during a hospitalization in acute care without palliative care decreased from 39.6% in 2002 to 21.4% in 2016. Patients with organ failure were more likely to visit the ER on the day of death (20.9%) than patients dying of cancer and dementia/frailty with percentages of 12.0% and 6.4% respectively. Similar discrepancies were observed for ICU visits in the last month and ER visits in the last 14 days. CONCLUSION: PEoLC indicators showed more aggressiveness of care for patients with organ failure and highlight the need for more equitable access to quality PEoLC between malignant and non-malignant illness trajectories. These results underline the challenges of providing timely and optimal PEoLC.

Dental Caries Experience in Elementary School Students in Quebec: Surveillance Study Using ICDAS II.

OBJECTIVES: The main objective of a 2012-2013 clinical study on the oral health of Quebec elementary school students was to assess the oral health status of Grade 2 and Grade 6 students. We assessed various stages of caries and created caries indicators for primary and permanent dentitions combined. METHODS: Oral health examination of 2875 Grade 2 students and 2788 Grade 6 students, enrolled in public and private, French- and English-language schools, was carried out at schools. The examinations were performed by 16 trained and calibrated dentists using International Caries Detection and Assessment System (ICDAS) II criteria. A 3-level sampling design ensured that the study was representative for the province of Quebec. RESULTS: Mean indexes for decayed, missing, filled primary teeth (dmft) and secondary teeth (DMFT) or surfaces (dmfs and DMFS) for all stages of caries were as follows. Grade 2 students: dmft 3.96, DMFT 1.88, dmft + DMFT 5.84, dmfs 8.33, DMFS 2.96 and dmfs + DMFS 11.28. Grade 6 students: dmft 1.94, DMFT 4.98, dmft + DMFT 5.98, dmfs 4.04, DMFS 7.86 and dmfs + DMFS 9.96. Most students (90% for Grade 2 and 92% for Grade 6) had a dmfs + DMFS > 0. CONCLUSION: Tooth decay remains a public health problem in Quebec. The findings testify to the importance of reinforcing preventive measures to better control dental caries among youth. It is advantageous to use ICDAS II in the context of oral health surveillance at a population level and to present the results as a combination of primary and permanent dentitions.

Standard Period Life Table Used to Compute the Life Expectancy of Diseased Subpopulations: More Confusing Than Helpful.

Life expectancy (LE) based on a period life table (PLT) traditionally serves as a general population summary metric. It is, however, becoming more frequently reported for chronically afflicted subpopulations. In general populations, there is always an obvious real cohort sharing the hypothetical PLT cohort characteristics, and the LE estimate is intuitively understood as that real cohort mean survival time, assuming constancy of death risks. In diseased subpopulations, the correspondence between the hypothetical cohort and a real cohort is not straightforward. Furthermore, the excess mortality of chronic diseases usually changes according to age at onset and time since onset. The standard PLT method does not allow for proper control of these issues, so the LE estimate can only be deemed valid under specific assumptions. Without clear statements about the real cohort to whom the estimate is intended and the assumptions allowing disregard of the effect of age at onset and time since onset, LEs of afflicted subpopulations computed with the PLT are only abstract numbers summarizing mortality rates. If called "life expectancy," they can be seriously misleading. The same applies to health-adjusted LE.

Suicide in Canada: impact of injuries with undetermined intent on regional rankings.

The impact of underreporting or misclassifying suicides as injuries with undetermined intent is rarely evaluated. We assessed whether undetermined injury deaths influenced provincial rankings of suicide in Canada, using 2 735 152 Canadians followed for mortality from 1991 to 2001. We found that suicide rates increased by up to 26.5% for men and 37.7% for women after including injuries with undetermined intent, shifting provincial rankings of suicide. Attention to the stigma of suicide and to coding suicides as injuries with undetermined intent is merited for surveillance and prevention.

A new metric for centralization of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm repair in large territories.

OBJECTIVE: This study proposes the DEDE (Door-from-Emergency to Door-to-EVAR [endovascular aneurysm repair]) time as a new metric for ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (RAAA) delay time to surgery, permitting coherent centralization in large territories. It demonstrates how the DEDE time can be applied, using data from the province of Quebec, and looks at its potential effect on 30-day mortality. METHODS: We used the Quebec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System (QICDSS), the linkage of five health administrative databases, to build a retrospective cohort of RAAA patients repaired operatively between April 1, 2006, and March 31, 2013. A validated algorithm was used to identify open surgical repair (OSR) and EVAR patients. Hospitals performing these operations were further characterized according to their location, volume of RAAA, types of surgeries (OSR vs EVAR), and surgeon's volume. Logistic and log-binomial regression analyses identified the risk of 30-day mortality with age, sex, hospital volume, and surgical groups as variables. Using the DEDE 90 metric and the attributable fraction, we projected how centralization and increasing the number of EVAR would affect the 30-day mortality. RESULTS: Among patients aged ≥65 years, 895 RAAAs were identified. OSR was performed in 839 patients (93.7%) and EVAR in 56 (6.3%). The overall 30-day mortality was 34.4%, and more specifically, was 35.5% for OSR compared with 17.9% for EVAR (P = .0046). RAAAs were treated in 39 hospitals, including 16 centers averaging less than one RAAA repair per year. Low-volume (39.4%) vs high-volume centers (32.5%) had similar 30-day mortality (P = .2198). In the multivariate analysis, the relative risk for OSR was 1.95 (P = .0211) and was not significant for hospital volume. Applying the DEDE 90 metric and increasing access to EVAR to 50% of patients, the overall 30-day mortality would be 26.8%. CONCLUSIONS: DEDE 90 is a new metric for a coherent centralization model, particularly in large territories, where transport time is crucial. Increasing access to EVAR performed in high-volume centers, with consideration to transport time, could improve the 30-day mortality after a RAAA repair.

Parents' and adolescents' willingness to be vaccinated against serogroup B meningococcal disease during a mass vaccination in Saguenay-Lac-St-Jean (Quebec).

A mass vaccination campaign with the 4CMenB vaccine (Bexsero®; Novartis Pharmaceutical Canada Inc) was launched in a serogroup B endemic area in Quebec. A telephone survey was conducted to assess parental and adolescent opinions about the acceptability of the vaccine. Intent to receive the vaccine or vaccine receipt was reported by the majority of parents (93%) and adolescents (75%). Meningitis was perceived as being a dangerous disease by the majority of parents and adolescents. The majority of respondents also considered the 4CMenB vaccine to be safe and effective. The main reason for positive vaccination intention or behaviour was self-protection, while a negative attitude toward vaccination in general was the main reason mentioned by parents who did not intend to have their child vaccinated. Adolescents mainly reported lack of interest, time or information, and low perceived susceptibility and disease severity as the main reasons for not intending to be vaccinated or not being vaccinated.

Une campagne de vaccination de masse avec le vaccin 4CMenB (Bexsero®; Novartis Pharma Canada Inc.) a été lancée dans une région du Québec endémique au sérogroupe B. Un sondage téléphonique afin d'évaluer l'acceptabilité du vaccin par les parents et les adolescents a été réalisé. La majorité des parents (93 %) et des adolescents (75 %) ont déclaré avoir l'intention de se faire vacciner / de faire vacciner leur enfant ou l'avoir déjà fait. La majorité des parents et des adolescents percevaient la méningite comme dangereuse et considéraient le vaccin 4CMenB comme sécuritaire et efficace. La protection de l'enfant était la principale raison d'accepter le vaccin chez les parents, tandis qu'une attitude négative envers la vaccination en général était la principale raison que donnaient les parents qui n'avaient pas l'intention de faire vacciner leur enfant. Les adolescents déclaraient surtout un manque d'intérêt, de temps ou d'information, la perception d'être peu susceptibles à la maladie et la perception que la maladie n'était pas très grave comme principales raisons de ne pas s'être fait vacciner ou de ne pas avoir l'intention de le faire.

Projection scenarios of body mass index (2013-2030) for Public Health Planning in Quebec.

BACKGROUND: Projection analyses can provide estimates of the future health burden of increasing BMI and represent a relevant and useful tool for public health planning. Our study presents long-term (2013-2030) projections of the prevalence and numbers of individuals by BMI category for adult men and women in Quebec. Three applications of projections to estimate outcomes more directly pertinent to public health planning, as well as an in-depth discussion of limits, are provided with the aim of encouraging greater use of projection analyses by public health officers. METHODS: The weighted compositional regression method is applied to prevalence time series derived from sixteen cross-sectional survey cycles, for scenarios of linear change and deceleration. Estimation of the component of projected change potentially amenable to intervention, future health targets and the projected impact on type 2 diabetes, were done. RESULTS: Obesity prevalence in Quebec is projected to rise steadily from 2013 to 2030 in both men (from 18.0-19.4% to 22.2-30.4%) and women (from 15.5-16.3% to 18.2-22.4%). Corresponding projected numbers of obese individuals are (579,000-625,000 to 790,000-1,084,000) in men and (514,000-543,000 to 661,000-816,000) in women. These projected increases are found to be primarily an 'epidemiologic' rather than 'demographic' phenomenon and thus potentially amenable to public health intervention. Assessment of obesity targets for 2020 illustrates the necessity of using projected rather than current prevalence; for example a targeted 2% drop in obesity prevalence relative to 2013 translates into a 3.6-5.4% drop relative to 2020 projected levels. Type 2 diabetes is projected to increase from 6.9% to 9.2-10.1% in men and from 5.7% to 7.1-7.5% in women, from 2011-2012 to 2030. A substantial proportion of this change (25-44% for men, and 27-43% for women) is attributable to the changing BMI distribution. CONCLUSIONS: Obesity in Quebec is projected to increase and should therefore continue to be a public health priority. Application of projections to estimate the proportion of change potentially amenable to intervention, feasible health targets, and future chronic disease prevalence are demonstrated. Projection analyses have limitations, but represent a pertinent tool for public health planning.

Change in intention and hesitancy regarding COVID-19 vaccines in a cohort of adults in Quebec during the pandemic.

Although COVID-19 vaccine uptake was high in Quebec for the primary series, vaccine acceptance decreased for the subsequent booster doses. This article presents the evolution of vaccine intention, self-reported vaccination behaviors, and vaccine hesitancy over 2 years. A series of cross-sectional surveys were conducted in Quebec between March 2020 and March 2023, with a representative sample of 3,330 adults recruited biweekly via a Web panel. Panelists could have answered multiple times over the course of the project. A cohort of respondents was created to assess how attitudes and behaviors about COVID-19 vaccines evolved. Descriptive statistics and multivariate logistic regressions were performed. Among the 1,914 individuals with no or low intention of getting vaccinated in Fall 2021 (Period 1), 1,476 (77%) reported having received at least two doses in the Winter 2023 (Period 2). Not believing in conspiracy theory (OR = 2.08, 95% CI: 1.65-2.64), being worried about catching COVID-19 (OR = 2.12, 95% CI: 1.65-2.73) and not living in a rural area (ORs of other areas are 2.27, 95% CI: 1.58-3.28; 1.66, 95% CI: 1.23-2.26; 1.82 95% CI: 1.23-2.73) were the three main factors associated with being vaccinated at Period 2. Among the 11,117 individuals not hesitant at Period 1, 1,335 (12%) became hesitant at Period 2. The three main factors significantly associated with becoming vaccine hesitant were the adherence to conspiracy theories (OR = 2.28, 95% CI: 1.95-2.66), being a female (OR = 1.67, 95% CI: 1.48-1.90) and being younger than 65 years old (the ORs for 18-34, 35-49, and 50-64 compared with 65 and over are 2.82, 95% CI: 2.32-3.44; 2.39, 95% CI: 2.00-2.86 and 1.82, 95% CI: 1.55-2.15 respectively). As the pandemic is over, monitoring the evolution of vaccine attitudes and uptake will be important.

School-based vaccination program against HPV and Hepatitis B: A longitudinal analysis of vaccine coverage between 2015 and 2021 in Quebec.

BACKGROUND: HPV vaccination prevents cancers, including 90% of cervical cancer. Since 2008, a school-based HPV vaccination program has been implemented in Quebec, but vaccine coverage is suboptimal. The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted school-based vaccination programs. This study aimed to assess variation in HPV vaccination coverage in the school-based program between 2015 and 2022 in Quebec and to identify sociodemographic characteristics associated with non-vaccination. METHODS: HPV vaccine coverage data were extracted from the Quebec Immunization Registry for students in Grade 4 and matched to the 2016 Canadian census sociodemographic data. Descriptive analysis was conducted to explore individual-level vaccine coverage according to sociodemographic data. A Generalized Estimating Equations model assessed the independent association between non-vaccination and students' sociodemographic characteristics. RESULTS: HPV vaccine coverage (at least one dose) was 84% in 2018-2019 and 85% in 2019-2020. A decrease was observed during the pandemic. In 2020-2021, the HPV vaccine coverage (at least one dose) was 52% (at the end of the school year) and rose to 84% with intense catch-up activities. In 2021-2022, the coverage was slightly lower than before the pandemic (81%). Factors in the dissemination area were statistically significantly associated with non-vaccination: material (p-value = 0.0001) and social deprivation index (p-value = 0.0048), the proportion of immigration (p-value < 0.0001), and the language spoken at home (English (p-value = 0.0318), other than French or English (p-value = 0.0001). CONCLUSION: School-based vaccination programs offer equitable access to vaccination, and our analysis showed that some groups have consistently lower vaccine acceptance and uptake. Strategies to improve HPV vaccine coverage should target children living in areas with a higher proportion of immigrants, non-French speakers, and people from underprivileged backgrounds. Although it is too early to assess the full impact of COVID-19 on school-based programs in Quebec, it remains important to ensure that catch-up strategies are implemented for missed doses.

The Qanuilirpitaa? 2017 Nunavik Health Survey: design, methods, and lessons learned.

OBJECTIVE: To depict the design, methods, sociodemographic characteristics of the population, and lessons learned during the Qanuilirpitaa? 2017 Nunavik Inuit Health Survey, the third major health survey to be conducted among youth and adults residing in Nunavik (Northern Quebec, Canada). METHODS: Qanuilirpitaa? 2017 is a cross-sectional survey that served to update information regarding various aspects of physical health, mental health, and general well-being of Nunavimmiut. The survey was guided by the ethics principles of Ownership, Control, Access, and Possession (OCAP®) ( https://fnigc.ca/ocap ). Questionnaires and clinical tests were administered to residents from the 14 coastal communities onboard the Canadian Coast Guard Ship Amundsen during late summer and early fall 2017. As part of the community component of the survey, qualitative interviews were performed with key respondents, and services and resources supporting health and well-being in the 14 communities were inventoried and characterized. RESULTS: A total of 1326 Nunavimmiut aged 16 and over participated in the survey. Despite difficulties encountered with the recruitment of participants, co-interpretation sessions with Inuit partners revealed that the survey had succeeded in capturing cultural, socio-economic, and lifestyle characteristics of Nunavimmiut. In all, 20 thematic reports have been published covering various aspects of health and well-being of Nunavimmiut. Regional and local reports pertaining to the community component were produced. More in-depth analyses have ensued, and results are presented in articles published in this CJPH supplement issue. CONCLUSION: Information from this survey is being used to update health services and programs in the region and for the development of health policies and public health interventions to tackle key health-related issues faced by Nunavimmiut. Drawing lessons from challenges and successes encountered in Qanuilirpitaa? 2017, this survey paved the way to the upcoming Inuit-led Qanuippitaa? National Inuit Health Survey to be conducted every 5 years throughout Inuit Nunangat.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Décrire la conception, les méthodes, les caractéristiques sociodémographiques de la population et les leçons tirées de l'Enquête sur la santé des Inuits du Nunavik Qanuilirpitaa? 2017, la troisième grande enquête de santé menée auprès de jeunes et d'adultes résidant au Nunavik (Nord du Québec, Canada). MéTHODES: Qanuilirpitaa? 2017 est une enquête transversale qui a permis la mise à jour des informations concernant divers aspects de la santé physique, de la santé mentale et du bien-être général des Nunavimmiut. L'enquête a été guidée par les principes de propriété, de contrôle, d'accès et de possession (OCAP®) ( https://fnigc.ca/ocap ). Des questionnaires et des tests cliniques ont été administrés à des résidents des 14 communautés côtières, à bord du navire Amundsen de la Garde côtière canadienne, à la fin de l'été et au début de l'automne 2017. Des entrevues qualitatives ont également été réalisées avec des répondants clé dans le cadre de la composante communautaire. RéSULTATS: Au total, 1 326 Nunavimmiut âgés de 16 ans et plus ont été recrutés. Malgré les difficultés rencontrées lors du recrutement des participants, les rencontres de co-interprétation ont permis de vérifier que l'enquête avait réussi à capturer les caractéristiques culturelles, socioéconomiques et les habitudes de vie de la population. Au total, 20 rapports thématiques ont été publiés, lesquels couvrent différents aspects de la santé et du bien-être des Nunavimmiut. Un rapport régional et des rapports locaux liés à la composante communautaire ont également été produits. Des analyses plus approfondies ont également été réalisées, dont les résultats sont présentés dans les articles publiés dans ce numéro supplémentaire de la Revue canadienne de santé publique. CONCLUSION: Les informations issues de cette enquête sont utilisées pour la mise à jour des services de santé dans la région et pour le développement de politiques de santé et d'interventions de santé publique, ayant pour cibles les principaux défis auxquels les Nunavimmiut sont confrontés. Grâce aux leçons apprises lors de sa réalisation, cette enquête a pavé la voie aux prochaines enquêtes Qanuippitaa ? qui seront menées tous les 5 ans dans tout l'Inuit Nunangat.

Effect of statin use for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease among older adults: a cautionary tale concerning target trials emulation.

OBJECTIVES: Evidence concerning the effect of statins in primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among older adults is lacking. Using Quebec population-wide administrative data, we emulated a hypothetical randomized trial including older adults >65 years on April 1, 2013, with no CVD history and no statin use in the previous year. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We included individuals who initiated statins and classified them as exposed if they were using statin at least 3 months after initiation and nonexposed otherwise. We followed them until March 31, 2018. The primary outcome was the composite endpoint of coronary events (myocardial infarction, coronary bypass, and percutaneous coronary intervention), stroke, and all-cause mortality. The intention-to-treat (ITT) effect was estimated with adjusted Cox models and per-protocol effect with inverse probability of censoring weighting. RESULTS: A total of 65,096 individuals were included (mean age = 71.0 ± 5.5, female = 55.0%) and 93.7% were exposed. Whereas we observed a reduction in the composite outcome (ITT-hazard ratio (HR) = 0.75; 95% CI: 0.68-0.83) and mortality (ITT-HR = 0.69; 95% CI: 0.61-0.77) among exposed, coronary events increased (ITT-HR = 1.46; 95% CI: 1.09-1.94). All multibias E-values were low indicating that the results were not robust to unmeasured confounding, selection, and misclassification biases simultaneously. CONCLUSION: We cannot conclude on the effectiveness of statins in primary prevention of CVD among older adults. We caution that an in-depth reflection on sources of biases and careful interpretation of results are always required in observational studies.

Evolution in Trends of Primary Lower-Extremity Amputations Associated With Diabetes or Peripheral Artery Disease From 2006 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: Given the importance in prevention of lower extremity amputations (LEAs) associated with diabetes or peripheral artery disease (PAD), we sought to document the trends of primary LEA in Québec, Canada, from years 2006 to 2019. METHODS: Using the Québec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System, we calculated crude and age-standardized annual incidence rates of primary LEA associated with diabetes and PAD among adults ≥ 40 years (99% confidence intervals [CI]), and all-cause 1-year mortality proportion trends following a primary LEA (95% CI), stratified by minor or major as the highest level of LEA during the same hospital stay and age groups. Trends were assessed using multivariate regression models. RESULTS: In 2019, the crude rate of primary LEA was 116.0 per 100,000 (n = 825) with 93.7 and 21.9 per 100,000 of minor (n = 665) and major (n = 160) LEA, respectively. A tendency of decrease by 8% (-15.0 to 0.4%) of age-standardized incidence of primary LEA was observed between 2006 and 2019, while the absolute number of primary LEA increased from 610 to 825 cases. Minor LEA increased by 14.2% (3.7 to 25.9%) and major LEA decreased by 49.5% (-57.1 to -40.5%). Incidence trends remained stable among the 40 to 64 years, and declined by 14.6% and 20.1% for the 65 to 79 and ≥ 80 years of age groups, respectively. Major LEA decreased in all age groups, whereas minor LEA increased by 26.2% among the patients 40 to 64 years of age only. Age-standardized 1-year mortality decreased by 35.1% (95% CI, -43.4 to -25.7%) between 2006 and 2019, with a crude 1-year mortality of 11.3% in 2019. CONCLUSIONS: The reduction of major LEA and 1-year mortality are encouraging, although increased minor LEA, especially in younger age groups, emphasizes the importance to improve preventive care further.

Marginal structural models with latent class growth analysis of treatment trajectories: Statins for primary prevention among older adults.

Latent class growth analysis is increasingly proposed as a solution to summarize the observed longitudinal treatment into a few distinct groups. When latent class growth analysis is combined with standard approaches like Cox proportional hazards models, confounding bias is not properly addressed because of time-varying covariates that have a double role of confounders and mediators. We propose to use latent class growth analysis to classify individuals into a few latent classes based on their medication adherence pattern, then choose a working marginal structural model that relates the outcome to these groups. The parameter of interest is defined as a projection of the true marginal structural model onto the chosen working model. Simulation studies are used to illustrate our approach and compare it with unadjusted, baseline covariates adjusted, time-varying covariates adjusted, and inverse probability of trajectory groups weighted adjusted models. Our proposed approach yielded estimators with little or no bias and appropriate coverage of confidence intervals in these simulations. We applied our latent class growth analysis and marginal structural model approach to a database comprising information on 52,790 individuals from the province of Quebec, Canada, aged more than 65 and who were statin initiators to estimate the effect of statin-usage trajectories on a first cardiovascular event.

Evolution of the burden of aortic stenosis by sex in the province of Quebec between 2006 and 2018.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the evolution of the burden of aortic stenosis (AS) by sex in the province of Quebec from 2006-2007 to 2018-2019 and compare the percentage of mortality between people who underwent aortic valve intervention and those who did not. METHODS: Persons aged ≥20 years were identified from the Quebec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System using International Classification of Diseases and intervention codes in the hospital files. RESULTS: In 2018, the crude prevalence and incidence of AS were 0.89% (99% CI 0.89 to 0.90) (n=59 025) and 1.39 per 1000 (1.35 to 1.43) (n=9105), respectively. Age-standardised prevalence and incidence of AS diagnosis increased between 2006 and 2018 from 0.67% (0.66 to 0.68) to 0.75% (0.74 to 0.76) and from 0.91 per 1000 (0.88 to 0.95) to 1.20 per 1000 (1.17 to 1.23), respectively. Among incident AS, the age-standardised percentage of valve interventions increased from 11.7% (10.9 to 12.6) to 14.5% (13.9 to 15.3). This increase was only observed in men. The 30-day mortality was stable among patients with incident AS treated conservatively, from 6.9% (6.5 to 7.4) to 7.3% (6.9 to 7.6), and decreased from 7.6% (6.1 to 9.3) to 3.8% (3.1 to 4.7) among operated patients with incident AS. This decrease was only observed in women. However, from 2010, the age-adjusted mortality among prevalent AS tended to be higher in women. CONCLUSIONS: In the province of Quebec, age-standardised prevalence and incidence of AS diagnosis increased between 2006 and 2018. Among incident AS, there was an increase in valve intervention in men and a decrease in 30-day mortality in women who underwent valve intervention. Overall and age-standardised mortality remained higher in women.

Temporal trends of aortic stenosis and comorbid chronic kidney disease in the province of Quebec, Canada.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate temporal trends of chronic kidney disease (CKD) among patients with incident aortic stenosis (AS) and to compare these trends with that of a matched control population. METHODS: Using the Quebec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System, we performed a population-based nested case-control study including 108 780 patients newly hospitalised with AS and 543 900 age-matched, sex-matched and fiscal year-matched patients without AS from 2000 to 2016 in Quebec (Canada). Three subgroups were considered. Dialysis subgroup had at least two outpatient billing codes of dialysis. The predialysis subgroup had at least one hospital or two billing diagnostic codes of CKD. The remaining individuals were included in the non-CKD subgroup. We estimated overall and sex-specific standardised annual proportions of CKD subgroups through direct standardisation using the 2016-2017 age structure of the incident AS cohort. The trends overtime were estimated through fitting robust Poisson regression models. Age-specific distribution of AS and control population were assessed for each subgroup. RESULTS: From 2000 to 2016, age-standardised proportions of patients with AS with dialysis and predialysis increased by 41% (99% CI 12.0% to 78.1%) and by 45% (99% CI 39.1% to 51.6%), respectively. Inversely, age-standardised proportions of dialysis and pre-dialysis among non-AS patients decreased by 63% (99% CI 55.8% to 68.7%) and by 32% (99% CI 29.9% to 34.6%), respectively, during the same study period. In patients with and without AS, age-standardised annual proportions of males in predialysis were significantly higher than females in most of the study period. Patients with AS on dialysis and predialysis were younger than their respective controls (dialysis: 29.6% vs 45.1% had ≥80 years, predialysis: 60.8% vs 72.7% had ≥80 years). CONCLUSIONS: Over time, the proportion of patients with CKD increased significantly and remained consistently higher in incident AS individuals compared with controls. Our results highlight the need to investigate whether interventions targeting CKD risk factors may influence AS incidence in the future.

Influence of social and material individual and area deprivation on suicide mortality among 2.7 million Canadians: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have investigated how area-level deprivation influences the relationship between individual disadvantage and suicide mortality. The aim of this study was to examine individual measures of material and social disadvantage in relation to suicide mortality in Canada and to determine whether these relationships were modified by area deprivation. METHODS: Using the 1991-2001 Canadian Census Mortality Follow-up Study cohort (N = 2,685,400), measures of individual social (civil status, family structure, living alone) and material (education, income, employment) disadvantage were entered into Cox proportional hazard models to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for male and female suicide mortality. Two indices of area deprivation were computed - one capturing social, and the other material, dimensions - and models were run separately for high versus low deprivation. RESULTS: After accounting for individual and area characteristics, individual social and material disadvantage were associated with higher suicide mortality, especially for individuals not employed, not married, with low education and low income. Associations between social and material area deprivation and suicide mortality largely disappeared upon adjustment for individual-level disadvantage. In stratified analyses, suicide risk was greater for low income females in socially deprived areas and males living alone in materially deprived areas, and there was no evidence of other modifying effects of area deprivation. CONCLUSIONS: Individual disadvantage was associated with suicide mortality, particularly for males. With some exceptions, there was little evidence that area deprivation modified the influence of individual disadvantage on suicide risk. Prevention strategies should primarily focus on individuals who are unemployed or out of the labour force, and have low education or income. Individuals with low income or who are living alone in deprived areas should also be targeted.

COVID-19 vaccination attitudes and intention among Quebecers during the first and second waves of the pandemic: findings from repeated cross-sectional surveys.

The availability of safe and effective vaccines is a major breakthrough in controlling the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the success of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign relies on high uptake by the public. We monitored Quebecers' attitudes and intention toward COVID-19 vaccination during the first and second waves of the pandemic. Since March 2020, online surveys are conducted every week in Quebec (Canada) to assess Quebecers' adherence to recommended public health measures (3,300 respondents are surveyed every week through an online panel; respondents are not invited to answer the survey for 21 days after responding). Ten items measured respondents' attitudes and intentions regarding COVID-19 vaccination. Logistic regression models were used to identify determinants of intention to be vaccinated against COVID-19. Intention to be vaccinated against COVID-19 ranged from 76%-66% between the first and second waves. The proportion of undecided adults remained stable (12%). Being a man; being 60 years of age and over; having a university education level; having or living with someone with chronic medical conditions and increased risk perceptions of COVID-19 were the strongest predictors of COVID-19 vaccine acceptance in multivariate analysis. During data collection, COVID-19 vaccine supply was very limited. It was reassuring to note that intention to be vaccinated is the highest among older age groups that are prioritized to be vaccinated first. As more doses and vaccines will be available it will be important to enhance vaccine acceptance and uptake, especially among adults younger than 60 years of age and Quebecers with lower risk perceptions of COVID-19.

The association between removing and reintroducing man-made jumps in terrain parks and severe alpine skiing and snowboarding injuries.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the effect of removing and reintroducing man-made jumps in terrain parks (TPs), on the proportion of severe injuries among alpine skiers and snowboarders in Québec, Canada. DESIGN: Quasi-experimental study. METHODS: Injuries were identified via injury report forms completed by ski patrollers during seasons 2000-2001 to 2016-2017 in Québec ski areas. Severe injuries were defined based on the type of injury or ambulance evacuation. Logistic regression analysis was used to provide adjusted odds ratios (AOR) for the comparison of the time periods before jump removal (PRE) and after jump reintroduction (POST) with the jump removal interval (INT). RESULTS: Compared with INT, the proportion of severe injuries in PRE was not significantly different (AOR: 1.05; 95% CI: 0.85-1.30), but was higher in POST (AOR: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.24-2.51) for ski areas with jump removal. In ski areas without jump removal, there was no change in PRE (AOR: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.87-1.07) and increased odds of severe injuries in POST (AOR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.07-1.35). A supplementary analysis suggested that removing jumps from TPs has contributed significantly to a reduction in the proportion of severe injuries. This protective effect appears to decline over time. CONCLUSIONS: These results do not suggest that removing jumps from TPs as an effective long-term injury prevention strategy in skiing and snowboarding. Collecting data on exposure could improve our understanding of how removing, introducing or reintroducing man-made jumps in TPs is associated with the risk of minor and severe injuries in TPs and on regular trails.