Predictors of operative mortality among cardiac surgery patients with prolonged ventilation.

BACKGROUND: Prolonged ventilation after cardiac surgery affects survival and increases morbidity. Previous studies have focused on predicting this complication preoperatively; however, indicators of poor outcome in those requiring prolonged ventilation remain ill-defined. We sought to identify predictors of operative mortality in cardiac surgery patients who experience prolonged mechanical ventilation. METHODS: 1698 patients who underwent cardiac surgery (CAB, aortic valve replacement ± CAB, or mitral valve repair/replacement ± CAB) required prolonged postoperative mechanical ventilation (>24 hours) between 2012 to 2016 in a statewide consortium. Perioperative factors were evaluated to identify the association with operative mortality. Covariates were selected through bootstrap aggregation to fit multivariable logistic regression models. The relative strength of association was determined by the Wald chi-square statistic. RESULTS: Median patient age was 68 years [IQR 61 to 76], 38% (644/1,698) were female, median duration of mechanical ventilation was 65 hours [IQR 38 to 143], median STS predicted risk of mortality was 3.1% [IQR 1.4 to 6.9%], and 15.7% (266/1698) suffered operative mortality. Among preoperative and operative characteristics, patient age and intraoperative initiation of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) were the strongest correlates of operative mortality on the multivariate analysis. Among postoperative factors, cardiac arrest and renal failure requiring dialysis were the strongest predictors of risk-adjusted operative mortality. Type of operation or surgical center had no association to mortality after risk adjustment. CONCLUSION: Prolonged ventilation following cardiac surgery is associated with a five-fold increase in operative mortality. In these patients, operative mortality is associated with older age, intraoperative initiation of ECMO, postoperative cardiac arrest, and renal failure requiring dialysis.

The effect of the cystic fibrosis care center on outcomes after lung transplantation for cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to evaluate outcomes in people with cystic fibrosis (CF) who underwent lung transplant (LT) at a transplant center with an accredited Cystic Fibrosis Care Center (CFCC) in the United States. METHODS: We reviewed the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients for all adult patients with CF who received a first-time LT from 2005 to 2018. The primary outcome was graft failure. Unadjusted Kaplan-Meier analysis and adjusted multilevel Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate outcomes in CF patients undergoing lung transplantation at a CFCC. RESULTS: 2,573 patients with CF underwent a first time LT during the study period. Of the 68 lung transplantation centers, 50 were CFCCs (73.5%). After adjustment for potential confounders, patients who underwent lung transplantation at a hospital with an accredited CFCC had a 33% reduction in risk of death or re-transplantation compared to those transplanted at a hospital without an accredited CFCC (HR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.56-0.82, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: People with CF who undergo LT at a transplant center with a CFCC have improved graft survival and decreased need for re-transplantation compared to those who undergo LT at a non-CFCC, independent of volume.

Elevated neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio is associated with poor long-term survival and graft failure after lung transplantation.

PURPOSE: We aimed to assess the prognostic value of Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) on long-term outcomes and graft dysfunction after lung transplantation. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed all patients receiving a lung transplant at our institution from 2011 to 2014. The primary exposure was elevated NLR at the time of transplant, defined by NLR>4. The primary outcomes were graft failure and three-year all-cause mortality. Multivariate logistic regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were used to analyze outcomes. RESULTS: 95 patients were included. 40 patients (42%) had an elevated NLR. Elevated NLR was associated with graft failure (OR: 4.7 [1.2-18.8], p = 0.02), and three-year mortality (OR: 5.4 [1.3-23.2], p = 0.03) on multivariate logistic regression. Patients with elevated NLR demonstrated significantly lower survival on Kaplan-Meier analysis (50% versus 74%, p = 0.02). The c-statistic for our multivariate model was 0.91. CONCLUSION: Elevated neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio is associated with poor long-term survival and graft failure after lung transplantation.