Experimental quantum speed-up in reinforcement learning agents.

As the field of artificial intelligence advances, the demand for algorithms that can learn quickly and efficiently increases. An important paradigm within artificial intelligence is reinforcement learning1, where decision-making entities called agents interact with environments and learn by updating their behaviour on the basis of the obtained feedback. The crucial question for practical applications is how fast agents learn2. Although various studies have made use of quantum mechanics to speed up the agent's decision-making process3,4, a reduction in learning time has not yet been demonstrated. Here we present a reinforcement learning experiment in which the learning process of an agent is sped up by using a quantum communication channel with the environment. We further show that combining this scenario with classical communication enables the evaluation of this improvement and allows optimal control of the learning progress. We implement this learning protocol on a compact and fully tunable integrated nanophotonic processor. The device interfaces with telecommunication-wavelength photons and features a fast active-feedback mechanism, demonstrating the agent's systematic quantum advantage in a setup that could readily be integrated within future large-scale quantum communication networks.

Evaluation of S201086/GLPG1972, an ADAMTS-5 inhibitor, for the treatment of knee osteoarthritis in ROCCELLA: a phase 2 randomized clinical trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of the anti-catabolic ADAMTS-5 inhibitor S201086/GLPG1972 for the treatment of symptomatic knee osteoarthritis. DESIGN: ROCCELLA (NCT03595618) was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, dose-ranging, phase 2 trial in adults (aged 40-75 years) with knee osteoarthritis. Participants had moderate-to-severe pain in the target knee, Kellgren-Lawrence grade 2 or 3 and Osteoarthritis Research Society International joint space narrowing (grade 1 or 2). Participants were randomized 1:1:1:1 to once-daily oral S201086/GLPG1972 75, 150 or 300 mg, or placebo for 52 weeks. The primary endpoint was change from baseline to week 52 in central medial femorotibial compartment (cMFTC) cartilage thickness assessed quantitatively by magnetic resonance imaging. Secondary endpoints included change from baseline to week 52 in radiographic joint space width, Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index total and subscores, and pain (visual analogue scale). Treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) were also recorded. RESULTS: Overall, 932 participants were enrolled. No significant differences in cMFTC cartilage loss were observed between placebo and S201086/GLPG1972 therapeutic groups: placebo vs 75 mg, P = 0.165; vs 150 mg, P = 0.939; vs 300 mg, P = 0.682. No significant differences in any of the secondary endpoints were observed between placebo and treatment groups. Similar proportions of participants across treatment groups experienced TEAEs. CONCLUSIONS: Despite enrolment of participants who experienced substantial cartilage loss over 52 weeks, during the same time period, S201086/GLPG1972 did not significantly reduce rates of cartilage loss or modify symptoms in adults with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis.

A Phase 2b randomized trial of lorecivivint, a novel intra-articular CLK2/DYRK1A inhibitor and Wnt pathway modulator for knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Lorecivivint (LOR; SM04690), an investigational Wnt pathway modulator, previously demonstrated patient-reported and radiographic outcome improvements vs placebo in clinically relevant subjects with moderate to severe knee osteoarthritis (OA). This study's objective was to identify effective LOR doses. DESIGN: Subjects in this 24-week, Phase 2b, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo (PBO)-controlled trial received an intra-articular injection of 2 mL LOR (0.03, 0.07, 0.15, or 0.23 mg), PBO, or dry-needle sham. The primary efficacy endpoints were changes in Pain NRS [0-10], WOMAC Pain [0-100], WOMAC Function [0-100], and radiographic mJSW outcomes, which were measured using baseline-adjusted analysis of covariance at Week 24. Multiple Comparison Procedure-Modeling (MCP-Mod) was performed for dose modeling. RESULTS: In total, 695/700 subjects were treated. Pain NRS showed significant improvements vs PBO after treatment with 0.07 mg and 0.23 mg LOR at Weeks 12 (-0.96, 95% CI [-1.54, -0.37], P = 0.001; -0.78 [-1.39, -0.17], P = 0.012) and 24 (-0.70 [-1.34, -0.06], P = 0.031; -0.82 [-1.51, -0.12], P = 0.022). Additionally, 0.07 mg LOR significantly improved WOMAC Pain and Function subscores vs PBO at Week 12 (P = 0.04, P = 0.021), and 0.23 mg LOR significantly improved both WOMAC subscores at Week 24 (P = 0.031, P = 0.017). No significant differences from PBO were observed for other doses. No radiographic progression was observed in any group at Week 24. MCP-Mod identified 0.07 mg LOR as the lowest effective dose. CONCLUSION: This 24-week Phase 2b trial demonstrated the efficacy of LOR on PROs in knee OA subjects. The optimal dose for future studies was identified as 0.07 mg LOR.

Predicting knee replacement in participants eligible for disease-modifying osteoarthritis drug treatment with structural endpoints.

OBJECTIVE: Evaluate associations between 2-year change in radiographic or quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (qMRI) structural measures, and knee replacement (KR), within a subsequent 7-year follow-up period. METHOD: Participants from the Osteoarthritis Initiative were selected based on potential eligibility criteria for a disease-modifying osteoarthritis (OA) drug trial: Kellgren-Lawrence grade 2 or 3; medial minimum joint space width (mJSW) ≥2.5 mm; knee pain at worst 4-9 in the past 30 days on an 11-point scale, or 0-3 if medication was taken for joint pain; and availability of structural measures over 2 years. Mean 2-year change in structural measures was estimated and compared with two-sample independent t-tests for KR and no KR. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was estimated using 2-year change in structural measures for prediction of future KR outcomes. RESULTS: Among 627 participants, 107 knees underwent KR during a median follow-up of 6.7 years after the 2-year imaging period. Knees that received KR during follow-up had a greater mean loss of cartilage thickness in the total femorotibial joint and medial femorotibial compartment on qMRI, as well as decline in medial fixed joint space width on radiographs, compared with knees that did not receive KR. These imaging measures had similar, although modest discrimination for future KR (AUC 0.62, 0.60, and 0.61, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: 2-year changes in qMRI femorotibial cartilage thickness and radiographic JSW measures had similar ability to discriminate future KR in participants with knee OA, suggesting that these measures are comparable biomarkers/surrogate endpoints of structural progression.

Evaluating the structural effects of intra-articular sprifermin on cartilage and non-cartilaginous tissue alterations, based on sqMRI assessment over 2 years.

OBJECTIVE: Sprifermin (recombinant human fibroblast growth factor-18), a potential disease-modifying osteoarthritis (OA) drug, demonstrated dose-dependent effects on femorotibial cartilage thickness (by quantitative magnetic resonance imaging [MRI]) in the phase II FORWARD study. This post-hoc analysis evaluated the potential effects of sprifermin on several articular structures in the whole joint over 24 months using semi-quantitative MRI assessment. DESIGN: Patients aged 40-85 years with symptomatic radiographic knee OA, Kellgren-Lawrence grade 2 or 3, and medial minimum joint space width ≥2.5 mm in the target knee were randomized (1:1:1:1:1) to receive three double-blinded, once-weekly, intra-articular injections of sprifermin 30 µg or 100 µg or placebo every 6 (q6mo) or 12 months. 1.5- or 3 T MRIs were read using the Whole-Organ Magnetic Resonance Imaging Score (WORMS) system at baseline and 24 months. Change from baseline at 24 months on compartment and/or whole knee level was assessed for cartilage morphology, bone marrow lesions (BMLs), and osteophytes by delta-subregional and delta-sum (DSM) approaches. Menisci, Hoffa-synovitis, and effusion-synovitis were also evaluated for worsening. RESULTS: 549 patients were included. Dose-dependent treatment effects from baseline to 24 months were observed on cartilage morphology (sprifermin 100 µg q6mo vs placebo; mean DSM (95% confidence interval [CI]) -0.6 (-1.5, 0.2); less cartilage worsening) in the entire knee and BMLs sprifermin 100 µg q6mo vs placebo; mean DSM (95% CI) -0.2 (-0.5, 0.1) in the patellofemoral compartment. No effects over 24 months were observed on osteophytes, menisci, Hoffa-synovitis or effusion-synovitis. CONCLUSIONS: Positive effects associated with sprifermin were observed for cartilage morphology changes, and BML improvement. There were no meaningful negative or positive effects associated with sprifermin in the other joint tissues examined.

Pain severity as a mediator of the association between depressive symptoms and physical performance in knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Depressive symptoms in knee osteoarthritis (OA) are associated with increased pain severity and declines in physical performance. This study examined whether pain severity mediates the association between depressive symptoms and physical performance in persons with radiographic knee OA. METHOD: Three years of annual data from participants (n = 1,463) with radiographic knee OA in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) were analyzed. Depressive symptoms were measured using the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression (CES-D) scale. Pain severity was evaluated with the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Arthritis Index. Physical performance was assessed via standardized gait speed. Marginal structural models were used to assess the direct (unmediated) effects of depressive symptoms on physical performance and indirect (mediated) effects through pain severity. RESULTS: Direct and indirect effects for a difference in CES-D score of 0-1 were -0.0051 (95% confidence intervals (CI): -0.0053, -0.0049) and -0.0016 (95% CI: -0.0024, -0.0007) standard deviations in gait speed, respectively. Higher depressive symptom severity exhibited diminishing, incremental, direct and indirect effects and for a difference in CES-D score of 15-16 were -0.0045 (95% CI: -0.0047, -0.0042) and -0.0009 (95% CI: -0.0014, -0.0004) standard deviations in gait speed, respectively. Therefore, the magnitude of the mediated, indirect effect, was never larger than 24%. CONCLUSION: Pain severity mediated approximately one-fifth of the association between depressive symptoms and physical performance in persons with radiographic knee OA, and the diminishing incremental effects may explain why unimodal treatment strategies with a single disease target are often ineffective in depressed OA patients.

Factors associated with the orthopaedic surgeon's decision to recommend total joint replacement in hip and knee osteoarthritis: an international cross-sectional study of 1905 patients.

OBJECTIVE: To determine factors associated with orthopaedic surgeons' decision to recommend total joint replacement (TJR) in people with knee and hip osteoarthritis (OA). DESIGN: Cross-sectional study in eleven countries. For consecutive outpatients with definite hip or knee OA consulting an orthopaedic surgeon, the surgeon's indication of TJR was collected, as well as patients' characteristics including comorbidities and social situation, OA symptom duration, pain, stiffness and function (Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index [WOMAC]), joint-specific quality of life, Osteoarthritis Research Society International (OARSI) joint space narrowing (JSN) radiographic grade (0-4), and surgeons' characteristics. Univariable and multivariable logistic regressions were performed to identify factors associated with the indication of TJR, adjusted by country. RESULTS: In total, 1905 patients were included: mean age was 66.5 (standard deviation [SD], 10.8) years, 1082 (58.0%) were women, mean OA symptom duration was 5.0 (SD 7.0) years. TJR was recommended in 561/1127 (49.8%) knee OA and 542/778 (69.7%) hip OA patients. In multivariable analysis on 516 patients with complete data, the variables associated with TJR indication were radiographic grade (Odds Ratio, OR for one grade increase, for knee and hip OA, respectively: 2.90, 95% confidence interval [1.69-4.97] and 3.30 [2.17-5.03]) and WOMAC total score (OR for 10 points increase: 1.65 [1.32-2.06] and 1.38 [1.15-1.66], respectively). After excluding radiographic grade from the analyses, on 1265 patients, greater WOMAC total score was the main predictor for knee and hip OA; older age was also significant for knee OA. CONCLUSION: Radiographic severity and patient-reported pain and function play a major role in surgeons' recommendation for TJR.

Harmonising measures of knee and hip osteoarthritis in population-based cohort studies: an international study.

OBJECTIVE: Population-based osteoarthritis (OA) cohorts provide vital data on risk factors and outcomes of OA, however the methods to define OA vary between cohorts. We aimed to provide recommendations for combining knee and hip OA data in extant and future population cohort studies, in order to facilitate informative individual participant level analyses. METHOD: International OA experts met to make recommendations on: 1) defining OA by X-ray and/or pain; 2) compare The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES)-type OA pain questions; 3) the comparability of the Western Ontario & McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) scale to NHANES-type OA pain questions; 4) the best radiographic scoring method; 5) the usefulness of other OA outcome measures. Key issues were explored using new analyses in two population-based OA cohorts (Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study; MOST and Osteoarthritis Initiative OAI). RESULTS: OA should be defined by both symptoms and radiographs, with symptoms alone as a secondary definition. Kellgren and Lawrence (K/L) grade ≥2 should be used to define radiographic OA (ROA). The variable wording of pain questions can result in varying prevalence between 41.0% and 75.4%, however questions where the time anchor is similar have high sensitivity and specificity (91.2% and 89.9% respectively). A threshold of 3 on a 0-20 scale (95% CI 2.1, 3.9) in the WOMAC pain subscale demonstrated equivalence with the preferred NHANES-type question. CONCLUSION: This research provides recommendations, based on expert agreement, for harmonising and combining OA data in existing and future population-based cohorts.

Older men who sustain a hip fracture experience greater declines in bone mineral density at the contralateral hip than non-fractured comparators.

Men experience declining bone mineral density (BMD) after hip fracture; however, changes attributable to fracture are unknown. This study evaluated the excess BMD decline attributable to hip fracture among older men. Older men with hip fracture experienced accelerated BMD declines and are at an increased risk of secondary fractures. INTRODUCTION: The objective was to determine whether bone mineral density (BMD) changes in men after hip fracture exceed that expected with aging. METHODS: Two cohorts were used: Baltimore Hip Studies 7th cohort (BHS-7) and Baltimore Men's Osteoporosis Study (MOST). BHS-7 recruited older adults (N = 339) hospitalized for hip fracture; assessments occurred within 22 days of admission and at 2, 6, and 12 months follow-up. MOST enrolled age-eligible men (N = 694) from population-based listings; data were collected at a baseline visit and a second visit that occurred between 10 and 31 months later. The combined sample (n = 452) consisted of Caucasian men from BHS-7 (n = 89) and MOST (n = 363) with ≥ 2 dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scans and overlapping ranges of age, height, and weight. Mixed-effect models estimated rates of BMD change, and generalized linear models evaluated differences in annual bone loss at the total hip and femoral neck between cohorts. RESULTS: Adjusted changes in total hip and femoral neck BMD were - 4.16% (95% CI, - 4.87 to - 3.46%) and - 4.90% (95% CI, - 5.88 to - 3.92%) in BHS-7 participants; - 1.57% (95% CI, - 2.19 to - 0.96%) and - 0.99% (95% CI, - 1.88 to - 0.10%) in MOST participants; and statistically significant (P < 0.001) between-group differences in change were - 2.59% (95% CI, - 3.26 to - 1.91%) and - 3.91% (95% CI, - 4.83 to - 2.98%), respectively. CONCLUSION: Hip fracture in older men is associated with accelerated BMD declines at the non-fractured hip that are greater than those expected during aging, and pharmacological interventions in this population to prevent secondary fractures may be warranted.

Knee tissue lesions and prediction of incident knee osteoarthritis over 7 years in a cohort of persons at higher risk.

OBJECTIVE: Among high risk individuals, whether knee lesions in tissues involved in osteoarthritis (OA) can improve prediction of knee OA is unclear. We hypothesized that models predicting (1) incident osteophytes and (2) incident osteophytes and joint space narrowing can be improved by including symptoms or function, and further improved by lesion status. DESIGN: In Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) participants with normal knee X-rays, we assessed cartilage damage, bone marrow lesions (BMLs), and menisci. Cox proportional hazards models were used to develop risk prediction models for risk of each outcome. Nested models (increasingly larger baseline covariable sets) were compared using likelihood ratio tests and Schwarz Bayesian Information Criterion (SBC). Model discrimination used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: In 841 participants [age 59.6, body mass index (BMI) 26.7, 55.9% women] over up to 7 years follow-up, each larger set improved prediction (+hand OA, injury, surgery, activities; +symptoms/function). Prediction was further improved by including cartilage damage both compartments, BMLs both compartments, meniscal tear, meniscal extrusion, sum of lesion types, number of subregions with cartilage damage, number of subregions with BMLs, and (concurrently) subregion number with cartilage damage, subregion number with BMLs, and meniscal tear. AUCs were ≥0.80 for both outcomes for number of subregions with cartilage damage and the combined model. CONCLUSIONS: Among persons at higher risk for knee OA with normal X-rays, MRI tissue lesions improved prediction of mild as well as moderate disease. These findings support that disease onset is likely occurring during the "high-risk" period and encourage a reorientation of approach.

A novel Wnt pathway inhibitor, SM04690, for the treatment of moderate to severe osteoarthritis of the knee: results of a 24-week, randomized, controlled, phase 1 study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the safety, pharmacokinetics, and exploratory efficacy of SM04690, a novel Wnt pathway inhibitor, as a potential disease modifying treatment for knee osteoarthritis (OA). DESIGN: Subjects with Kellgren-Lawrence grade 2-3 knee OA were randomized in successive dose-escalation cohorts to receive a knee intra-articular (IA) injection with 0.03, 0.07, or 0.23 mg SM04690, or placebo (PBO) (4:1 ratio). Safety, pharmacokinetics, efficacy (WOMAC Total/Function/Pain, Pain VAS, Physician Global Assessment [MDGA], and OMERACT-OARSI Response), OA-related biomarker (P1NP, ß-CTX, and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein [COMP]), and radiographic/imaging data were collected at baseline and during 24-week follow-up. RESULTS: 61 subjects (SM04690 n = 50; PBO n = 11) enrolled. Two dose limiting toxicities (DLTs), increased pain following injection and paroxysmal tachycardia (also the single serious AE), were reported in the 0.07 mg cohort. A total of 72 AEs were reported; Sixteen (occurring in eight subjects) were considered related to study medication. There were three discontinuations; one due to an AE (0.03 mg cohort). Bone marrow edema (BME) remained constant for most subjects. No doses were excluded from further study due to DLT criteria. Plasma levels of SM04690 were below the limit of detection at all time points. At Week 24, improvements from baseline were seen in all cohorts for the exploratory measures WOMAC Total, WOMAC Function, WOMAC Pain, MDGA, Pain VAS, and OMERACT-OARSI response. Joint space width (JSW) improvement was observed in the 0.07 mg cohort (P = 0.02 vs PBO). CONCLUSION: SM04690 appeared safe and well tolerated, with no evidence of systemic exposure. Exploratory efficacy analyses suggested positive trends for measurements of OA pain, function and disease-modifying osteoarthritis drug (DMOAD) properties. CLINICALTRIALS. GOV REGISTRATION: NCT02095548.

Hot spots become cold spots: coevolution in variable temperature environments.

Antagonistic coevolution between hosts and parasites is a key process in the genesis and maintenance of biological diversity. Whereas coevolutionary dynamics show distinct patterns under favourable environmental conditions, the effects of more realistic, variable conditions are largely unknown. We investigated the impact of a fluctuating environment on antagonistic coevolution in experimental microcosms of Pseudomonas fluorescens SBW25 and lytic phage SBWΦ2. High-frequency temperature fluctuations caused no deviations from typical coevolutionary arms race dynamics. However, coevolution was stalled during periods of high temperature under intermediate- and low-frequency fluctuations, generating temporary coevolutionary cold spots. Temperature variation affected population density, providing evidence that eco-evolutionary feedbacks act through variable bacteria-phage encounter rates. Our study shows that environmental fluctuations can drive antagonistic species interactions into and out of coevolutionary cold and hot spots. Whether coevolution persists or stalls depends on the frequency of change and the environmental optima of both interacting players.

Clinical algorithms to aid osteoarthritis guideline dissemination.

BACKGROUND: Numerous scientific organisations have developed evidence-based recommendations aiming to optimise the management of osteoarthritis (OA). Uptake, however, has been suboptimal. The purpose of this exercise was to harmonize the recent recommendations and develop a user-friendly treatment algorithm to facilitate translation of evidence into practice. METHODS: We updated a previous systematic review on clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) for OA management. The guidelines were assessed using the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation for quality and the standards for developing trustworthy CPGs as established by the National Academy of Medicine (NAM). Four case scenarios and algorithms were developed by consensus of a multidisciplinary panel. RESULTS: Sixteen guidelines were included in the systematic review. Most recommendations were directed toward physicians and allied health professionals, and most had multi-disciplinary input. Analysis for trustworthiness suggests that many guidelines still present a lack of transparency. A treatment algorithm was developed for each case scenario advised by recommendations from guidelines and based on panel consensus. CONCLUSION: Strategies to facilitate the implementation of guidelines in clinical practice are necessary. The algorithms proposed are examples of how to apply recommendations in the clinical context, helping the clinician to visualise the patient flow and timing of different treatment modalities.

Changes in bone mineral density over time by body mass index in the health ABC study.

UNLABELLED: Obesity appears protective against osteoporosis in cross-sectional studies. However, results from this longitudinal study found that obesity was associated with bone loss over time. Findings underscore the importance of looking at the longitudinal relationship, particularly given the increasing prevalence and duration of obesity among older adults. INTRODUCTION: Cross-sectional studies have found a positive association between body mass index (BMI) and bone mineral density (BMD), but little is known about the longitudinal relationship in US older adults. METHODS: We examined average annual rate of change in BMD by baseline BMI in the Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study. Repeated measurement of BMD was performed with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) at baseline and years 3, 5, 6, 8, and 10. Multivariate generalized estimating equations were used to predict mean BMD (femoral neck, total hip, and whole body) by baseline BMI (excluding underweight), adjusting for covariates. RESULTS: In the sample (n = 2570), 43 % were overweight and 24 % were obese with a mean baseline femoral neck BMD of 0.743 g/cm(2), hip BMD of 0.888 g/cm(2), and whole-body BMD of 1.09 g/cm(2). Change in total hip or whole-body BMD over time did not vary by BMI groups. However, obese older adults lost 0.003 g/cm(2) of femoral neck BMD per year more compared with normal weight older adults (p < 0.001). Femoral neck BMD change over time did not differ between the overweight and normal weight BMI groups (p = 0.74). In year 10, adjusted femoral neck BMD ranged from 0.696 g/cm(2) among obese, 0.709 g/cm(2) among normal weight, and 0.719 g/cm(2) among overweight older adults. CONCLUSIONS: Findings underscore the importance of looking at the longitudinal relationship between body composition and bone mineral density among older adults, indicating that high body mass may not be protective for bone loss over time.

Serious joint-related adverse events in randomized controlled trials of anti-nerve growth factor monoclonal antibodies.

BACKGROUND: Reports of serious joint adverse events (AEs) due to osteonecrosis were noted during randomized placebo-controlled clinical trials of monoclonal antibodies to nerve growth factor (NGF), including tanezumab and fulranumab. METHODS: All available medical records from subjects with reported cases of osteonecrosis, as well as records of subjects who underwent joint replacement during these studies, were reviewed by an independent adjudication committee that was established by each company; the committees were different for each company and included distinct individual experts. Cases were categorized as having definite osteonecrosis, normal or rapid progression of osteoarthritis (OA), another diagnosis or unable to determine the underlying diagnosis. RESULTS: The vast majority of investigator reported cases of osteonecrosis were adjudicated as either normal or rapid progression of OA. Indeed, the syndrome of rapid progression of OA associated with chondrolysis and bone destruction appears to be a safety signal that is associated with not only increasing doses of anti-NGF antibodies but also concomitant therapy with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. CONCLUSIONS: These results have implications for future clinical trials of anti-NGF agents in OA and other painful conditions.

OARSI Clinical Trials Recommendations: Design and conduct of clinical trials for hip osteoarthritis.

The ability to assess the efficacy and effectiveness of an intervention for the treatment of hip osteoarthritis (OA) requires strong clinical trial methodology. This consensus paper provides recommendations based on a narrative literature review and best judgment of the members of the committee for clinical trials of hip OA. We provide recommendations on clinical trial design, outcome measures, including structural (radiography), and patient and physician global assessments, performance based measures, molecular markers and experimental endpoints including MRI imaging. This information can be utilized by sponsors of trials for new therapeutic agents for hip OA.

Huo-Luo-Xiao-Ling (HLXL)-Dan, a Traditional Chinese Medicine, for patients with osteoarthritis of the knee: a multi-site, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase II clinical trial.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the efficacy and safety of Huo-Luo-Xiao-Ling (HLXL)-Dan, a Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM), in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA). DESIGN: A multi-site, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase II dose-escalation clinical trial was conducted. Eligible patients who fulfilled American College of Rheumatology criteria were randomized to receive either HLXL or placebo. Clinical assessments included measurement of knee pain and function with the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC), patient global assessment (PGA), and knee pain scores every 2 weeks. A Data and Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB) was established to review the data for ensuring the quality of the trial. RESULTS: In the first stage, 28 participants were randomized to receive either low-dose HLXL-Dan (2400 mg/day) or placebo for 6 weeks. The results showed no statistical difference between the two groups. The study was then re-designed following the recommendation of DSMB. Ninety-two patients were enrolled in the second stage and were randomized to receive either high-dose HLXL-Dan (4000 mg/day for week 1-2, and 5600 mg/day for week 3-8) or placebo for 8 weeks. All outcome assessments showed significant improvements for both groups after 8 weeks but no significant between-group differences. The change (mean ± SD) of WOMAC pain and WOMAC function scores of HLXL and placebo group after 8 weeks were -1.2 ± 1.7 vs -1.4 ± 1.5, and -1.1 ± 1.6 vs -1.3 ± 1.5 respectively. No serious adverse events were reported. CONCLUSION: Although safe to use, an 8-week treatment of HLXL-Dan was not superior to placebo for reduction in pain or functional improvement in patients with knee OA. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT00755326).

Self-reported calcium use in a cohort of postmenopausal women receiving osteoporosis therapy: results from POSSIBLE US™.

UNLABELLED: Calcium use was common and remained high among women on osteoporosis therapy. Use of calcium-supplemented pharmacologic therapy increased from 65.1 to 76.0% in these women (mean follow-up, 27.5 months). Over 12 months, calcium discontinuation was fairly similar among women using calcium only (23.7%) and women supplementing pharmacologic therapy with calcium (22.5%). INTRODUCTION: Calcium has an important role in bone health. This study describes calcium use and persistence in a postmenopausal osteoporosis treatment cohort. METHODS: Subject-reported calcium use was analyzed for 3,722 participants of the Prospective Observational Scientific Study Investigating Bone Loss Experience (POSSIBLE US(TM)) who used calcium either as their sole osteoporosis treatment (calcium only) or to supplement pharmacologic osteoporosis therapy (supplementers). Descriptive analyses were conducted. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to estimate the probability of discontinuing calcium therapy, and logistic regression was used to assess associations (age-adjusted odds ratios) between healthy behaviors and calcium use. RESULTS: At entry, there were 711 calcium-only subjects and 1,960 of 3,011 subjects on pharmacologic osteoporosis therapy also supplementing with calcium (supplementers). The percentage of supplementers increased from 65.1 to 76.0% during follow-up (mean, 27.5 months). During the first 12 months on study, the probability of calcium discontinuation was 23.7% (95 % confidence interval [CI], 20.7 - 27.0) among calcium-only subjects and 22.5% (95% CI, 20.7-24.5) among supplementers. Supplementers who discontinued pharmacologic therapy were more likely to discontinue calcium than supplementers who continued pharmacologic therapy (34.9 versus 14.8%). Overall 54.2% of calcium-only subjects who discontinued calcium and 42.3% of supplementers who discontinued calcium resumed calcium use during follow-up. Regular exercise was positively correlated with calcium use at study entry. CONCLUSIONS: Calcium supplementation in pharmacologically treated subjects increased over time. Persistence with calcium was high. Discontinuation of pharmacologic osteoporosis therapy was associated with an increased likelihood of discontinuing calcium use.

Vascular and upper gastrointestinal effects of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs: meta-analyses of individual participant data from randomised trials.

BACKGROUND: The vascular and gastrointestinal effects of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), including selective COX-2 inhibitors (coxibs) and traditional non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (tNSAIDs), are not well characterised, particularly in patients at increased risk of vascular disease. We aimed to provide such information through meta-analyses of randomised trials. METHODS: We undertook meta-analyses of 280 trials of NSAIDs versus placebo (124,513 participants, 68,342 person-years) and 474 trials of one NSAID versus another NSAID (229,296 participants, 165,456 person-years). The main outcomes were major vascular events (non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, or vascular death); major coronary events (non-fatal myocardial infarction or coronary death); stroke; mortality; heart failure; and upper gastrointestinal complications (perforation, obstruction, or bleed). FINDINGS: Major vascular events were increased by about a third by a coxib (rate ratio [RR] 1·37, 95% CI 1·14-1·66; p=0·0009) or diclofenac (1·41, 1·12-1·78; p=0·0036), chiefly due to an increase in major coronary events (coxibs 1·76, 1·31-2·37; p=0·0001; diclofenac 1·70, 1·19-2·41; p=0·0032). Ibuprofen also significantly increased major coronary events (2·22, 1·10-4·48; p=0·0253), but not major vascular events (1·44, 0·89-2·33). Compared with placebo, of 1000 patients allocated to a coxib or diclofenac for a year, three more had major vascular events, one of which was fatal. Naproxen did not significantly increase major vascular events (0·93, 0·69-1·27). Vascular death was increased significantly by coxibs (1·58, 99% CI 1·00-2·49; p=0·0103) and diclofenac (1·65, 0·95-2·85, p=0·0187), non-significantly by ibuprofen (1·90, 0·56-6·41; p=0·17), but not by naproxen (1·08, 0·48-2·47, p=0·80). The proportional effects on major vascular events were independent of baseline characteristics, including vascular risk. Heart failure risk was roughly doubled by all NSAIDs. All NSAID regimens increased upper gastrointestinal complications (coxibs 1·81, 1·17-2·81, p=0·0070; diclofenac 1·89, 1·16-3·09, p=0·0106; ibuprofen 3·97, 2·22-7·10, p<0·0001; and naproxen 4·22, 2·71-6·56, p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: The vascular risks of high-dose diclofenac, and possibly ibuprofen, are comparable to coxibs, whereas high-dose naproxen is associated with less vascular risk than other NSAIDs. Although NSAIDs increase vascular and gastrointestinal risks, the size of these risks can be predicted, which could help guide clinical decision making. FUNDING: UK Medical Research Council and British Heart Foundation.