Implementing circulating tumor DNA as a prognostic biomarker in resectable non-small cell lung cancer.

Systemic treatment of resectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is evolving with emerging neoadjuvant, perioperative, and adjuvant immunotherapy approaches. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) detection at clinical diagnosis, during neoadjuvant therapy, or after resection may discern high-risk patients who might benefit from therapy escalation or switch. This Review summarizes translational implications of data supporting ctDNA-based risk determination in NSCLC and outstanding questions regarding ctDNA validity/utility as a prognostic biomarker. We discuss emerging ctDNA capabilities to refine clinical tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging in lung adenocarcinoma, ctDNA dynamics during neoadjuvant therapy for identifying patients deriving suboptimal benefit, and postoperative molecular residual disease (MRD) detection to escalate systemic therapy. Considering differential relapse characteristics in landmark MRD-negative/MRD-positive patients, we propose how ctDNA might integrate with pathological response data for optimal postoperative risk stratification.

Prognostic implication of methylation-based circulating tumor DNA detection prior to surgery in stage I non-small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) positivity at diagnosis, which is associated with worse outcomes in multiple solid tumors including stage I-III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), may have utility to guide (neo)adjuvant therapy. METHODS: In this retrospective study, 260 patients with clinical stage I NSCLC (180 adenocarcinoma, 80 squamous cell carcinoma) were allocated (2:1) to high- and low-risk groups based on relapse versus disease-free status ≤5 years post-surgery. We evaluated the association of preoperative ctDNA detection by a plasma-only targeted methylation-based multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test with NSCLC relapse ≤5 years post-surgery in the overall population, followed by histology-specific subgroup analyses. RESULTS: Across clinical stage I patients, preoperative ctDNA detection did not associate with relapse within 5 years post-surgery. Sub-analyses confined to lung adenocarcinoma suggested a histology-specific association between ctDNA detection and outcome. In this group, ctDNA positivity tended to associate with relapse within 2 years, suggesting prognostic implications of MCED test positivity may be histology- and time-dependent in stage I NSCLC. Preoperative ctDNA detection was associated with upstaging of clinical stage I to pathological stage II-III NSCLC. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest preoperative ctDNA detection in patients with resectable clinical stage I NSCLC using MCED, a pan-cancer screening test developed for use in an asymptomatic population, has no detectable prognostic value for relapse ≤5 years post-surgery. MCED detection may be associated with early adenocarcinoma relapse and increased pathological upstaging rates in stage I NSCLC. However, given the exploratory nature of these findings, independent validation is required.

Clinical Utility of Tumor-Naïve Presurgical Circulating Tumor DNA Detection in Early-Stage NSCLC.

OBJECTIVES: The use of tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) testing in patients with early-stage disease before surgery is limited, mainly owing to restricted tissue access and extended turnaround times. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical value of a tumor-naïve, methylation-based cell-free DNA assay in a large cohort of patients with resected NSCLC. METHOD: We analyzed presurgical plasma samples from 895 patients with EGFR and anaplastic lymphoma kinase-wild-type, clinical stage I or II NSCLC. The ctDNA status was evaluated for its prognostic significance in relation to tumor volume, metabolic activity, histologic diagnosis, histologic subtypes, and clinical-to-pathologic TNM upstaging. RESULTS: Presurgical ctDNA detection was observed in 55 of 414 patients (13%) with clinical stage I lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and was associated with poor recurrence-free survival (2-year recurrence-free survival 69% versus 91%; log-rank p < 0.001), approaching that of clinical stage II LUAD. Presurgical ctDNA detection was not prognostic in patients with clinical stage II LUAD or non-LUAD. Within LUAD, tumor volume and positron emission tomography avidity interacted to predict presurgical ctDNA detection. Moreover, presurgical ctDNA detection was predictive of the postsurgical discovery of International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer grade 3 tumors (p < 0.001) and pathologic TNM upstaging (p < 0.001). Notably, presurgical ctDNA detection strongly correlated with higher programmed death-ligand 1 expression in tumors (positive rates 28% versus 55%, p < 0.001), identifying a subgroup likely to benefit from anti-programmed death-ligand 1 therapies. CONCLUSION: These findings support the integration of ctDNA testing into routine diagnostic workflows in early-stage NSCLC without the need for tumor tissue profiling. Furthermore, it is clinically useful in identifying patients at high risk who might benefit from innovative treatments, including neoadjuvant immune checkpoint inhibitors.