Estimating micro area behavioural risk factor prevalence from large population-based surveys: a full Bayesian approach.

BACKGROUND: An important public health goal is to decrease the prevalence of key behavioural risk factors, such as tobacco use and obesity. Survey information is often available at the regional level, but heterogeneity within large geographic regions cannot be assessed. Advanced spatial analysis techniques are demonstrated to produce sensible micro area estimates of behavioural risk factors that enable identification of areas with high prevalence. METHODS: A spatial Bayesian hierarchical model was used to estimate the micro area prevalence of current smoking and excess bodyweight for the Erie-St. Clair region in southwestern Ontario. Estimates were mapped for male and female respondents of five cycles of the Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS). The micro areas were 2006 Census Dissemination Areas, with an average population of 400-700 people. Two individual-level models were specified: one controlled for survey cycle and age group (model 1), and one controlled for survey cycle, age group and micro area median household income (model 2). Post-stratification was used to derive micro area behavioural risk factor estimates weighted to the population structure. SaTScan analyses were conducted on the granular, postal-code level CCHS data to corroborate findings of elevated prevalence. RESULTS: Current smoking was elevated in two urban areas for both sexes (Sarnia and Windsor), and an additional small community (Chatham) for males only. Areas of excess bodyweight were prevalent in an urban core (Windsor) among males, but not females. Precision of the posterior post-stratified current smoking estimates was improved in model 2, as indicated by narrower credible intervals and a lower coefficient of variation. For excess bodyweight, both models had similar precision. Aggregation of the micro area estimates to CCHS design-based estimates validated the findings. CONCLUSIONS: This is among the first studies to apply a full Bayesian model to complex sample survey data to identify micro areas with variation in risk factor prevalence, accounting for spatial correlation and other covariates. Application of micro area analysis techniques helps define areas for public health planning, and may be informative to surveillance and research modeling of relevant chronic disease outcomes.

Increased stomach cancer risk following radiotherapy for testicular cancer.

BACKGROUND: Abdominal radiotherapy for testicular cancer (TC) increases risk for second stomach cancer, although data on the radiation dose-response relationship are sparse. METHODS: In a cohort of 22,269 5-year TC survivors diagnosed during 1959-1987, doses to stomach subsites were estimated for 92 patients who developed stomach cancer and 180 matched controls. Chemotherapy details were recorded. Odds ratios (ORs) were estimated using logistic regression. RESULTS: Cumulative incidence of second primary stomach cancer was 1.45% at 30 years after TC diagnosis. The TC survivors who received radiotherapy (87 (95%) cases, 151 (84%) controls) had a 5.9-fold (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.7-20.7) increased risk of stomach cancer. Risk increased with increasing stomach dose (P-trend<0.001), with an OR of 20.5 (3.7-114.3) for ⩾50.0 Gy compared with <10 Gy. Radiation-related risks remained elevated ⩾20 years after exposure (P<0.001). Risk after any chemotherapy was not elevated (OR=1.1; 95% CI 0.5-2.5; 14 cases and 23 controls). CONCLUSIONS: Radiotherapy for TC involving parts of the stomach increased gastric cancer risk for several decades, with the highest risks after stomach doses of ⩾30 Gy. Clinicians should be aware of these excesses when previously irradiated TC survivors present with gastrointestinal symptoms and when any radiotherapy is considered in newly diagnosed TC patients.

Pancreatic cancer risk after treatment of Hodgkin lymphoma.

BACKGROUND: Although elevated risks of pancreatic cancer have been observed in long-term survivors of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL), no prior study has assessed the risk of second pancreatic cancer in relation to radiation dose and specific chemotherapeutic agents. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted an international case-control study within a cohort of 19 882 HL survivors diagnosed from 1953 to 2003 including 36 cases and 70 matched controls. RESULTS: Median ages at HL and pancreatic cancer diagnoses were 47 and 60.5 years, respectively; median time to pancreatic cancer was 19 years. Pancreatic cancer risk increased with increasing radiation dose to the pancreatic tumor location (Ptrend = 0.005) and increasing number of alkylating agent (AA)-containing cycles of chemotherapy (Ptrend = 0.008). The odds ratio (OR) for patients treated with both subdiaphragmatic radiation (≥10 Gy) and ≥6 AA-containing chemotherapy cycles (13 cases, 6 controls) compared with patients with neither treatment was 17.9 (95% confidence interval 3.5-158). The joint effect of these two treatments was significantly greater than additive (P = 0.041) and nonsignificantly greater than multiplicative (P = 0.29). Especially high risks were observed among patients receiving ≥8400 mg/m(2) of procarbazine with nitrogen mustard or ≥3900 mg/m(2) of cyclophosphamide. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates for the first time that both radiotherapy and chemotherapy substantially increase pancreatic cancer risks among HL survivors treated in the past. These findings extend the range of nonhematologic cancers associated with chemotherapy and add to the evidence that the combination of radiotherapy and chemotherapy can lead to especially large risks.

Risk of treatment-related esophageal cancer among breast cancer survivors.

BACKGROUND: Radiotherapy for breast cancer may expose the esophagus to ionizing radiation, but no study has evaluated esophageal cancer risk after breast cancer associated with radiation dose or systemic therapy use. DESIGN: Nested case-control study of esophageal cancer among 289 748 ≥5-year survivors of female breast cancer from five population-based cancer registries (252 cases, 488 individually matched controls), with individualized radiation dosimetry and information abstracted from medical records. RESULTS: The largest contributors to esophageal radiation exposure were supraclavicular and internal mammary chain treatments. Esophageal cancer risk increased with increasing radiation dose to the esophageal tumor location (P(trend )< 0.001), with doses of ≥35 Gy associated with an odds ratio (OR) of 8.3 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.7-28]. Patients with hormonal therapy ≤5 years preceding esophageal cancer diagnosis had lower risk (OR = 0.4, 95% CI 0.2-0.8). Based on few cases, alkylating agent chemotherapy did not appear to affect risk. Our data were consistent with a multiplicative effect of radiation and other esophageal cancer risk factors (e.g. smoking). CONCLUSIONS: Esophageal cancer is a radiation dose-related complication of radiotherapy for breast cancer, but absolute risk is low. At higher esophageal doses, the risk warrants consideration in radiotherapy risk assessment and long-term follow-up.

Polymorphic MLH1 and risk of cancer after methylating chemotherapy for Hodgkin lymphoma.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Methylating agents are effective chemotherapy agents for Hodgkin lymphoma, but are associated with the development of second primary cancers. Cytotoxicity of methylating agents is mediated primarily by the DNA mismatch repair (MMR) system. Loss of MLH1, a major component of DNA MMR, results in tolerance to the cytotoxic effects of methylating agents and persistence of mutagenised cells at high risk of malignant transformation. We hypothesised that a common substitution in the basal promoter of MLH1 (position -93, rs1800734) modifies the risk of cancer after methylating chemotherapy. METHODS: 133 patients who developed cancer following chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy (n = 133), 420 patients diagnosed with de novo myeloid leukaemia, 242 patients diagnosed with primary Hodgkin lymphoma, and 1177 healthy controls were genotyped for the MLH1 -93 polymorphism by allelic discrimination polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and restriction fragment length polymorphism assay. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for cancer risk by MLH1 -93 polymorphism status, and stratified by previous exposure to methylating chemotherapy, were calculated using unconditional logistic regression. RESULTS: Carrier frequency of the MLH1 -93 variant was higher in patients who developed therapy related acute myeloid leukaemia (t-AML) (75.0%, n = 12) or breast cancer (53.3%. n = 15) after methylating chemotherapy for Hodgkin lymphoma compared to patients without previous methylating exposure (t-AML, 30.4%, n = 69; breast cancer patients, 27.2%, n = 22). The MLH1 -93 variant allele was also over-represented in t-AML cases when compared to de novo AML cases (36.9%, n = 420) and healthy controls (36.3%, n = 952), and was associated with a significantly increased risk of developing t-AML (odds ratio 5.31, 95% confidence interval 1.40 to 20.15), but only in patients previously treated with a methylating agent. CONCLUSIONS: These data support the hypothesis that the common polymorphism at position -93 in the core promoter of MLH1 defines a risk allele for the development of cancer after methylating chemotherapy for Hodgkin lymphoma. However, replication of this finding in larger studies is suggested.

The utility of publicly reported cancer treatment wait time information for patients and health care providers.

AIMS: To determine the utility of web-based radiation wait time information for patients and health care providers in decision-making. To revise the information using a simulated laboratory environment and to re-evaluate the new web-based information. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An online 'pop-up' survey on the Cancer Care Ontario (CCO) website measured user satisfaction. Qualitative data were gathered through patient focus groups and physician interviews. On the basis of the analysis, the website was revised and usability testing conducted. The information was re-evaluated by end-users through survey methodology. RESULTS: The majority accessing the wait time website were patients and family members. The modal age of use of the website was 31-50 years. Patients found the information more helpful after redesign than health professionals, but both found the language less easy to understand, highlighting the need to continuously evaluate the effectiveness of the website. Patients did not identify themselves as consumers of wait time information. Their expectation was that physicians would determine the urgency for treatment and would ensure timely access to care. Physicians reported that they did not use the CCO website on wait times and would not use the data for decision-making. Referrals were based on urgency of care and usual referral patterns. Referral patterns did not shift to centres with shorter wait times. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study did not confirm the usefulness of the web-based wait time information for patients and physicians as a resource on how to obtain timely access to radiation treatment. Patients relied on their physician to manage their access to treatment according to the urgency of their clinical condition. Physicians preferred their established referral process rather than referring their patients to centres with shorter wait times. As patients become more computer savvy, it will be interesting to see if they increasingly become consumers of web-based wait time information.

Associations between socioeconomic status and cancer survival: choice of SES indicator may affect results.

PURPOSE: Two previous studies, by Gorey et al. and Boyd et al., compared associations between socioeconomic status (SES) and cancer survival in Canada and the United States. Both studies used SES information from population censuses linked to cancer registries. This study investigates why two similar studies led to apparently conflicting results. METHODS: We conducted analyses following analytic details provided by the previously published studies to describe cancer survival in Toronto, Canada, and Detroit, MI. We examined the effects of choice of census indicators and census levels on the observed SES-related gradients in cancer survival. RESULTS: Significant associations between SES and cancer survival were observed in Toronto for several major disease sites when median household income was used as an SES indicator. Associations were weaker when a poverty indicator was used. In Detroit, similar SES gradients were observed by using both income and poverty as SES indicators. When SES quintiles were represented by income ranks, SES-associated survival gradients were much steeper in Detroit than Toronto. When SES was described by the median income in each quintile, gradients were similar in the two cities. CONCLUSIONS: The apparent contradiction in results of two previous studies is related to the choice of SES indicators. Poverty may not be an indicator of choice for such an intercountry comparison.

Relationship of leukemia risk to radiation dose following cancer of the uterine corpus.

BACKGROUND: Radiotherapy has been linked infrequently to secondary leukemia despite extensive exposure of the active bone marrow to ionizing radiation. Few studies include substantial numbers of elderly patients. PURPOSE: We evaluated women with cancer of the uterine corpus, the majority of whom were treated at older ages, to gain additional information on cancer risk following partial-body radiotherapy and to examine differences in risk between external-beam therapy and brachytherapy. METHODS: A cohort of 110,000 women with invasive cancer of the uterine corpus who survived at least 1 year following their initial cancer was assembled from nine population-based cancer registries. Cancer diagnoses occurred from 1935 through 1985, and most patients were diagnosed during the 1960s and 1970s. Radiation doses were computed to 17 sections of the active bone marrow for 218 women who developed leukemia and for 775 matched control subjects. RESULTS: Radiotherapy did not increase the risk of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) (relative risk [RR] = 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.4-1.9). However, for all leukemias except CLL, a significant risk was identified (RR = 1.92; 95% CI = 1.3-2.9). Overall, the pattern of risk in relation to dose was erratic and was most consistent with a constant increased risk across the entire dose range. The risk following continuous exposures from brachytherapy at comparatively low doses and low dose rates (RR = 1.80; 95% CI = 1.1-2.8; mean dose = 1.72 Gy) was similar to that after fractionated exposures at much higher doses and higher dose rates from external-beam treatment (RR = 2.29; 95% CI = 1.4-3.7; mean dose = 9.88 Gy), indicating a large difference in the estimated risk per unit dose. Risk did not vary by age at first exposure; increased risks were apparent for irradiated patients aged 65 years or older (RR = 1.77; 95% CI = 0.9-3.5). CONCLUSION: The leukemia risk associated with partial-body radiotherapy for uterine corpus cancer was small; about 14 excess leukemia cases were due to radiation per 10,000 women followed for 10 years. Women aged 65 years or older had a radiation risk comparable with that found in younger women. The relationship of leukemia risk to radiation dose was found to be complex due to the competing processes of cell killing, transformation, and repair. At very high doses delivered at high rates, destruction of cells likely dominates, and the risk per unit dose is low. In the low dose range, where dose was protracted and delivered at relatively low dose rates, the leukemia risk appears lower than that projected from risk estimates derived from the instantaneous whole-body exposures of atomic bomb survivors.

Second cancers among long-term survivors of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.

BACKGROUND: Patients with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) are at increased risk for second cancers. Few studies, however, include long-term survivors, and none report risk for second cancer among NHL patients surviving 15 or more years. PURPOSE: Our aim was to examine the pattern of second cancers among long-term survivors of NHL. METHODS: A cohort of 6171 patients diagnosed with NHL as a first primary cancer and who survived 2 or more years was identified within population-based tumor registries in Sweden, Ontario, and Iowa and within the affiliated tumor registry of The Netherlands Cancer Institute. Nearly 1000 NHL patients lived 15 or more years after diagnosis. Tumor registry files were searched for new invasive primary malignancies. RESULTS: Second cancers were reported in 541 subjects (observed-to-expected ratio [O/E] = 1.37; 95% confidence interval = 1.26-1.49), with significant excesses seen for all solid tumors (O/E = 1.28), acute nonlymphocytic leukemia (O/E = 4.83), melanoma (O/E = 2.38), Hodgkin's disease (O/E = 12.0), and cancers of the lung (O/E = 1.36), brain (O/E = 2.33), kidney (O/E = 2.07), and bladder (O/E = 1.77). Among 15-year survivors, significantly increased risks persisted for all second cancers (O/E = 1.45), solid tumors (O/E = 1.37), bladder cancer (O/E = 3.24), and Hodgkin's disease (O/E = 25.0). The actuarial risk of developing a second cancer 3-20 years after diagnosis of NHL was 21%, compared with a population expected cumulative risk of 15%. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with NHL continue to be at significantly elevated risk of second primary cancer for up to two decades following diagnosis. The pattern of risk suggests the influence of treatment as well as factors associated with the underlying disease. IMPLICATIONS: Quantitative studies of second cancer following NHL are needed to clarify the role of antecedent therapy, shared risk factors, host susceptibility, and other etiologic and diagnostic influences. Despite the generally advanced age of patients with NHL, the persistently elevated risk of second cancers should alert clinicians to the importance of continued medical surveillance.

Bladder and kidney cancer following cyclophosphamide therapy for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.

BACKGROUND: Cyclophosphamide is an established bladder carcinogen, but few studies have examined the relationship between dose and effect. The largest analysis to date included only seven cases of bladder cancer. No investigation has estimated the risk of kidney cancer. PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to quantify the risk of bladder and kidney cancer following cyclophosphamide therapy. METHODS: Within a cohort of 6171 two-year survivors of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL), 48 patients with secondary cancer of the urinary tract were identified and matched to 136 control subjects with NHL who did not develop a second malignancy. Detailed information on chemotherapeutic drugs and cumulative dose received was collected for all subjects. Radiation dose to the target organ was estimated from individual radiotherapy records. Evaluations of the risk of second cancer as a result of treatment with cyclophosphamide alone, radiation alone, or both therapies were made relative to those patients who were exposed to neither treatment modality. RESULTS: A significant 4.5-fold risk of bladder cancer (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.5-13.6) followed therapy with cyclophosphamide, and risk was dependent upon cumulative dose. Among patients who received a total amount of cyclophosphamide of less than 20 g, a nonsignificant 2.4-fold risk of bladder cancer was apparent. Significantly elevated sixfold (95% CI = 1.3-29) and 14.5-fold (95% CI = 2.3-94) risks of bladder malignancy followed cumulative doses of 20-49 g and 50 g or more, respectively (P value for trend = .004). Radiotherapy given without cyclophosphamide was associated with a nonsignificant increased risk of bladder malignancy. Excess bladder cancer risk following treatment with both radiotherapy and cyclophosphamide was as expected if individual risks were summed. Neither radiotherapy nor cyclophosphamide was associated with excesses of kidney cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Cyclophosphamide-related bladder cancer is dose dependent. For patients given cumulative doses between 20 and 49 g, the absolute risk of bladder cancer is on the order of three excess cancers per 100 NHL patients after 15 years of follow-up. At cumulative doses of 50 g or more, the excess risk increases to approximately seven excess bladder cancers per 100 NHL patients. IMPLICATIONS: The strong dose-response relationship and high absolute risk of bladder cancer underscore the importance of limiting the cumulative dose of cyclophosphamide to what is required to achieve therapeutic end points. The risk of secondary bladder malignancy and other late sequelae of therapy must be carefully weighted against the curative gains provided by cyclophosphamide. Moreover, long-term side effects of therapy that might be acceptable in cancer treatment may need to be re-evaluated for patients with non-neoplastic disorders.

Risk of leukemia following treatment for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.

BACKGROUND: There have been few evaluations of the risk of acute nonlymphocytic leukemia (ANLL) following therapy for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL). Further, the relationship between cumulative dose of cytotoxic drug, radiation dose to active bone marrow, and the risk of ANLL following NHL have not been well described. PURPOSE: Our purpose was to examine the risk of ANLL in relationship to all prior treatment for NHL. METHODS: Within a cohort study of 11,386 2-year survivors of NHL, 35 case patients with secondary ANLL were identified and matched to 140 controls with NHL who did not develop ANLL. The primary eligibility criteria for the cohort included a diagnosis of NHL as a first primary cancer from January 1, 1965, through December 31, 1989; age 18 through 70 years at the time of initial diagnosis; and survival for 2 or more years without the development of a second invasive primary malignancy. Detailed information on chemotherapeutic drugs and radiotherapy was collected for all patients. Standard conditional logistic regression programs were used to estimate the relative risk (RR) of ANLL associated with specific therapies by comparing the exposure histories of case patients with individually matched controls. RESULTS: Significant excesses of ANLL followed therapy with either prednimustine (RR = 13.4; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.1-156; P trend for dose < .05) or regimens containing mechlorethamine and procarbazine (RR = 12.6; 95% CI = 2.0-79; P < .05). Elevated risks of leukemia following therapy with chlorambucil were restricted to patients given cumulative doses of 1300 mg or more (RR = 6.5; 95% CI = 1.6-26; P < .05). Cyclophosphamide regimens were associated with a small, nonsignificant increased risk of ANLL (RR = 1.8;95% CI = 0.7-4.9), with most patients receiving relatively low cumulative doses (< 20,000 mg). Radiotherapy given at higher doses without alkylating agents was linked to a nonsignificant threefold risk of ANLL compared with lower dose radiation or no radiotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that prednimustine may be a human carcinogen, with a positive dose-response gradient evident for ANLL risk. The low, nonsignificant risk of leukemia associated with cyclophosphamide was reassuring because this drug is commonly used today. Despite the excesses of ANLL associated with specific therapies, secondary leukemia remains a rare occurrence following NHL. Of 10,000 NHL patients treated for 6 months with selected regimens including low cumulative doses of cyclophosphamide and followed for 10 years, an excess of four leukemias might be expected.

Treatment-associated leukemia following testicular cancer.

BACKGROUND: Men with testicular cancer are at an increased risk of leukemia, but the relationship to prior treatments is not well characterized. The purpose of our study was to describe the risk of leukemia following radiotherapy and chemotherapy for testicular cancer. METHODS: Within a population-based cohort of 18 567 patients diagnosed with testicular cancer (from 1970 through 1993), a case-control study of leukemia was undertaken. Radiation dose to active bone marrow and type and cumulative amount of cytotoxic drugs were compared between 36 men who developed leukemia and 106 matched control patients without leukemia. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate the relative risk of leukemia associated with specific treatments. All P values are two-sided. RESULTS: Radiotherapy (mean dose to active bone marrow, 12.6 Gy) without chemotherapy was associated with a threefold elevated risk of leukemia. Risk increased with increasing dose of radiation to active bone marrow (P for trend =.02), with patients receiving radiotherapy to the chest as well as to the abdominal/pelvic fields accounting for much of the risk at higher doses. Radiation dose to active bone marrow and the cumulative dose of cisplatin (P for trend =.001) were both predictive of excess leukemia risk in a model adjusted for all treatment variables. The estimated relative risk of leukemia at a cumulative dose of 650 mg cisplatin, which is commonly administered in current testicular cancer treatment regimens, was 3.2 (95% confidence interval = 1.5-8.4); larger doses (1000 mg) were linked with statistically significant sixfold increased risks. CONCLUSIONS: Past treatments for testicular cancer are associated with an increased risk of leukemia, with evidence for dose-response relationships for both radiotherapy and cisplatin-based chemotherapy. Statistically nonsignificant excesses are estimated for current radiotherapy regimens limited to the abdomen and pelvis: Among 10 000 patients given a treatment dose of 25 Gy and followed for 15 years, an excess of nine leukemias is predicted; cisplatin-based chemotherapy (dose, 650 mg) might result in 16 cases of leukemia. The survival advantage provided by current radiotherapy and chemotherapy regimens for testicular cancer far exceeds the small absolute risk of leukemia.

Risk of second malignant neoplasms among long-term survivors of testicular cancer.

BACKGROUND: We have quantified the site-specific risk of second malignant neoplasms among nearly 29,000 survivors (> or = 1 year) of testicular cancer, taking into account the histologic type of initial cancer and the primary therapy used to treat it. METHODS: The study cohort consisted of 28,843 men identified within 16 population-based tumor registries in North America and Europe; over 3300 men had survived more than 20 years. New invasive cancers were identified through a search of registry files. RESULTS: Second cancers were reported in 1406 men (observed-to-expected ratio [O/E] = 1.43; 95% confidence interval = 1.36-1.51), with statistically significant excesses noted for acute lymphoblastic leukemia (O/E = 5.20), acute nonlymphocytic leukemia (O/E = 3.07), melanoma (O/E = 1.69), non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (O/E = 1.88), and cancers of the stomach (O/E = 1.95), colon (O/E = 1.27), rectum (O/E = 1.41), pancreas (O/E = 2.21), prostate (O/E = 1.26), kidney (O/E = 1.50), bladder (O/E = 2.02), thyroid (O/E = 2.92), and connective tissue (O/E = 3.16). Overall risk was similar after seminomas (O/E = 1.42) or nonseminomatous tumors (O/E = 1.50). Risk of solid tumors increased with time since the diagnosis of testicular cancer, yielding an O/E = 1.54 (O = 369) among 20-year survivors (two-sided P for trend = .00002). Secondary leukemia was associated with both radiotherapy and chemotherapy, whereas excess cancers of the stomach, bladder, and, possibly, pancreas were associated mainly with radiotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: Men with testicular cancer continue to be at significantly elevated risk of second malignant neoplasms for more than two decades following initial diagnosis. Patterns of excess second cancers suggest that many factors may be involved, although the precise roles of treatment, natural history, diagnostic surveillance, and other influences are yet to be clarified.

Beta-catenin mutations are specific for colorectal carcinomas with microsatellite instability but occur in endometrial carcinomas irrespective of mutator pathway.

Some colorectal tumors with wild-type adenomatous polyposis coli gene have activating mutations in beta-catenin (encoded by CTNNB1) that result in decreased phosphorylation by GSK-3beta and increased signaling through the Tcf/Lef transcription factors. To investigate the relationship between CTNNB1 mutations and underlying pathways of genomic instability, we examined 80 colorectal cancers stratified by the presence or absence of microsatellite instability (MSI). CTNNB1 mutations were identified in 13 (25%) of 53 cancers with high frequency MSI (MSI-H), including 12 point mutations at exon 3 phosphorylation sites (codons 41 and 45) and one deletion of the entire exon 3 degradation box. No CTNNB1 mutations were identified in 27 microsatellite stable or low frequency MSI (MSI-L) colorectal cancers (P < 0.01). In contrast, CTNNB1 mutations were identified in 3 of 9 (33%) MSI-H and 10 of 20 (50%) MSS/MSI-L endometrial carcinomas, suggesting a more generalized involvement in these tumors. Only six (46%) of the endometrial carcinoma CTNNB1 mutations occurred at residues directly phosphorylated by GSK-3beta, and only one of these was at either codon 41 or 45. All point mutations in MSI-H cancers were transitions, whereas 64% of those in MSS/MSI-L cancers were transversions (P < 0.01). The differences in the mutation profiles suggest that there may be molecular fingerprints of CTNNB1 mutations, determined by biological factors related to both tumor type and underlying pathways of genomic instability.

Mortality from myocardial infarction after adjuvant radiotherapy for breast cancer in the surveillance, epidemiology, and end-results cancer registries.

PURPOSE: To compare the risk for fatal myocardial infarction (MI) after adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) for left-sided breast cancer with the risk for MI after adjuvant RT for right-sided breast cancer. METHODS: We studied women with local- and regional-stage breast cancer diagnosed from 1973 to 1992 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End-Results (SEER) cancer registries. We performed life-table analysis, the log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards regression to compare the time to fatal MI from diagnosis between left-sided and right-sided cases, censoring deaths from other causes. RESULTS: Among irradiated patients, the relative risk (RR) for fatal MI in women with left-sided breast cancer was 1.17 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.36), controlling for age, compared with those with right-sided breast cancer. The RR for fatal MI among left-sided cases was increased for those under the age of 60 years (RR = 1.98; 95% CI, 1.31 to 2.97) compared with right-sided cases, but not at age 60 years or older. Among women with irradiated regional-stage cancer who were younger than 60 years of age, the risk was significantly increased (RR = 2.24; 95% CI, 1.38 to 3.64) for those with left-sided compared with right-sided breast cancer, but not among patients aged 60 years or older. Among irradiated local-stage cases, the risk for those with left-sided breast cancer was not significantly elevated in either age category. Analysis of 5-year conditional survival cohorts showed an increased risk for irradiated left-sided cases among women younger than 60 years of age in the 10- to 15-year conditional survival cohort (RR = 5.28; 95% CI, 1.82 to 15.3). CONCLUSION: Adjuvant RT for left-sided breast cancer diagnosed in women younger than 60 years of age is associated with a higher risk for fatal MI 10 to 15 years later compared with adjuvant RT for right-sided cases.

Socioeconomic status and cancer survival in Ontario.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: It is known that the socioeconomic status (SES) of the patient is associated with cancer survival in the United States. The purpose of this study was to determine whether the association between SES and survival is also present in Canada, a society with a comprehensive, universal, health insurance program. METHODS: A population-based cancer registry was used to identify the 357,530 cases of invasive cancer diagnosed in the Canadian province of Ontario between 1982 and 1991. Information from the 1986 Canadian census was linked to the registry and used to describe the SES of the area in which each patient resided. Cox regression was used to describe the association between median household income and survival while controlling for age, sex, and the region in which the patient resided. The Cox model was fitted in a competing risk framework to assess the association between income and the probability of specific causes of death. RESULTS: Lung cancer and cancers of the head and neck region were relatively more common in poor-income communities, and cancers of the breast, CNS, and testis were relatively more common in richer communities. A strong and statistically significant association between community income and survival was observed in cancers of the head and neck region, cervix, uterus, breast, prostate, bladder, and esophagus. Smaller, but significant associations were seen in cancers of the lung and rectum. No significant association between community income and survival was observed in cancers of the stomach, colon, pancreas, or ovary. Analysis of the cause of death showed that community income is associated both with the probability of death from cancer and with the probability of death from other causes. CONCLUSION: Although Canada's health care system was designed to provide equitable access to equivalent standards of care, it does not prevent a difference in cancer survival between rich and poor communities.

Does a centralized radiotherapy system provide adequate access to care?

PURPOSE: In the Canadian province of Ontario, all radiotherapy is provided by a centrally managed provincial network of nine cancer centers. The primary goal of this study was to determine whether this highly centralized radiotherapy system provides adequate and equitable access to care for the province's dispersed population. METHODS: The Ontario Cancer Registry (OCR) was used to identify 295,386 cases of invasive cancer, excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer, which were diagnosed in Ontario between 1984 and 1991. Electronic radiotherapy records from each of the province's radiotherapy centers were linked to the registry at the level of the individual case. RESULTS: The proportion of incident cases treated with radiotherapy was 18.8% at 4 months after diagnosis, 23.7% at 1 year, 25.8% at 2 years, 28.2% at 5 years, and 29.1% at 8 years. These rates of radiotherapy use are much lower than the accepted national and international targets, and lower than rates reported from other jurisdictions. The rate of radiotherapy use at 1 year varied significantly from county to county across Ontario (range, 18.6% to 32.4%; P < 10(-6)), and the highest rates were recorded in communities close to radiotherapy centers. There was a common geographic pattern of rate variations among several disease groups, including breast cancer, lung cancer, the genitourinary malignancies, and the gastrointestinal malignancies. CONCLUSION: The low and uneven rates of radiotherapy use across the province indicate that Ontario's centralized radiotherapy system does not, at present, provide adequate or equitable access to care.

Second cancers among long-term survivors of Hodgkin's disease diagnosed in childhood and adolescence.

PURPOSE: To quantify the risk of second cancers among long-term survivors of Hodgkin's disease (HD) diagnosed before 21 years of age and to explore sex-, age-, and site-related differences. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We analyzed data from 5,925 pediatric HD patients, including 2,646 10-year and 755 20-year survivors, who were reported to 16 population-based cancer registries in North America and Europe between 1935 and 1994. RESULTS: A total of 157 solid tumors (observed/expected ratio [O/E] = 7.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 5.9 to 8.2.) and 26 acute leukemias (O/E = 27.4; 95% CI, 17.9 to 40. 2) were reported. Risk of solid tumors remained significantly increased among 20-year survivors (O/E = 6.6, observed [O] = 40, cumulative risk = 6.5%) and persisted for 25 years (O/E = 4.6, O = 15, cumulative risk = 11.7%). Temporal trends for cancers of thyroid, female breast, bone/connective tissue, stomach, and esophagus were consistent with the late effects of radiotherapy. Greater than 50-fold increased risks were observed for tumors of the thyroid and respiratory tract (one lung and one pleura) among children treated before age 10. At older ages (10 to 16 years), the largest number of second cancers occurred in the digestive tract (O/E = 19.3) and breast (O/E = 22.9). Risk of solid tumors increased with decreasing age at HD on a relative but not absolute scale. CONCLUSION: Children and adolescents treated for HD experience significantly increased risks of second cancers at various sites for 2 to 3 decades. Although our results reflect the late effects of past therapeutic modalities, they underscore the importance of lifelong follow-up of pediatric HD patients given early, more aggressive treatments.

p53 mutations in cyclophosphamide-associated bladder cancer.

Cyclophosphamide is a known bladder carcinogen, with cumulative dose directly related to increased risk. There is no consensus, however, on which major cyclophosphamide metabolite (i.e., acrolein or phosphoramide mustard) drives bladder carcinogenesis. We examined 19 cyclophosphamide-related bladder tumors to test the hypothesis that they might contain somatic mutations in the p53 tumor suppressor gene that could link a specific metabolite to the etiology of these cancers. Forty-three % (9 of 19) of the cases had a mutation in p53, with a predominance at G:C bp (7 of 9, 77%), a preference for non-CpG sites (6 of 7, 86%), and frequent G:C-->A:T transitions (5 of 7, 71%). The p53 mutation spectrum of these cyclophosphamide-associated bladder cancers differed significantly from patterns reported for sporadic (P = 0.020), smoking-related (0.043), and schistosomiasis-linked (P = 0.002) tumors but not arylamine-associated neoplasms (P = 0.860). Differences between the cyclophosphamide and arylamine-associated spectra included an unusual degree of clustering of exon 6 mutations (43% versus 17%, respectively) and an absence of multiple mutations in the former. Notably lacking in our series were G:C-->T:A transversions, the principal mutation associated with acrolein. Instead, the mutation spectrum matches the phosphoramide mustard adduction sequences determined by a repetitive primer-extension assay (P = 0.024), indicating that this metabolite might be a key mutagen in cyclophosphamide-related bladder cancer.