Prognosis and risk of suicide after cancer diagnosis.

INTRODUCTION: Suicide rates are elevated after cancer diagnosis. Existential distress caused by awareness of one's impending death is well-described in patients with cancer. The authors hypothesized that suicide risk is associated with cancer prognosis, and the impact of prognosis on suicide risk is greatest for populations with higher baseline suicide risk. METHODS: The authors identified patients (≥16 years old) with newly diagnosed cancers from 2000 to 2019 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, representing 27% of US cancers. Multiple primary-standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were used to estimate the relative risk of suicide within 6 months of diagnosis compared to the general US population, adjusted for age, sex, race, and year of follow-up. Suicide rates by 20 most common cancer sites were compared with respective 2-year overall survival rates (i.e., prognosis) using a weighted linear regression model. RESULTS: Among 6,754,704 persons diagnosed with cancer, there were 1610 suicide deaths within 6 months of diagnosis, three times higher than the general population (SMR = 3.1; 95% confidence interval, 3.0-3.3). Suicide risk by cancer site was closely associated with overall prognosis (9.5%/percent survival deficit, R2  = 0.88, p < .0001). The association of prognosis with suicide risk became attenuated over time. For men, the risk of suicide increased by 2.8 suicide deaths per 100,000 person-years (p < .0001) versus 0.3 in women (p < .0001). The risk was also higher for persons ≥60 old and for the White (vs. Black) race. CONCLUSIONS: Poorer prognosis was closely associated with suicide risk early after cancer diagnosis and had a greater effect on populations with higher baseline risks of suicide. This model highlights the need for enhanced psychiatric surveillance and continued research in this patient population.

Adjuvant Chemoradiation in Patients with Lymph Node-Positive Biliary Tract Cancers: Secondary Analysis of a Single-Arm Clinical Trial (SWOG 0809).

BACKGROUND: SWOG 0809 is the only prospective study of adjuvant chemotherapy followed by chemoradiation focusing on margin status in patients with extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (EHCC) and gallbladder cancer (GBCA); however, the effects of adjuvant therapy by nodal status have never been reported in this population. METHODS: Patients with resected EHCC and GBCA, stage pT2-4, node-positive (N+) or margin-positive (R1) who completed four cycles of chemotherapy followed by radiotherapy were included. Cox regression was used to compare overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), local recurrence, and distant metastasis by nodal status. DFS rates were compared with historical data via a one-sample t-test. RESULTS: Sixty-nine patients [EHCC, n = 46 (66%); GBCA, n = 23 (33%)] were evaluated, with a median age of 61.7 years and an R0 rate of 66.7% and R1 rate of 33.3%. EHCC versus GBCA was more likely to be N+ (73.9% vs. 47.8%, p = 0.03). Nodal status did not significantly impact OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.98, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86-4.54, p = 0.11) or DFS (HR 1.63, 95% CI 0.77-3.44, p = 0.20). Two-year OS was 70.6% for node-negative (N0) disease and 60.9% for N+ disease, while 2-year DFS was 62.5% for N0 tumors and 49.8% for N+ tumors. N+ versus N0 tumors showed higher rates of distant failure (42.2% vs. 25.0%, p = 0.04). The 2-year DFS rate in N+ tumors was significantly higher than in historical controls (49.8% vs. 29.7%, p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Adjuvant therapy is associated with favorable outcome independent of nodal status and may impact local control in N+ patients. These data could serve as a benchmark for future adjuvant trials, including molecular-targeted agents.

Acute and Chronic Complications After Treatment of Locoregional Anal Cancer: Prevention and Management Strategies.

Definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for anal cancer spares patients the morbidity of a colostomy surgery and optimizes cancer outcomes. CRT, however, has introduced a unique acute and chronic toxicity profile, which has greatly improved over the years with the introduction of advanced radiotherapy techniques. This article provides the multidisciplinary care team with practical tools to mitigate and manage acute and chronic complications from definitive treatment of anal cancer.

Long-term follow-up experience with adjuvant therapy after irreversible electroporation of locally advanced pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND: Irreversible electroporation (IRE) expands the surgical options for patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer. This study evaluated for differences in survival stratified by type of IRE and receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: Patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer treated by IRE (2012-2020) were retrospectively included. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared by type of IRE (in situ for local tumor control or IRE of potentially positive margins with resection) and by receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy. RESULTS: Thirty-nine patients had IRE in situ, 61 had IRE for margin extension, and 19 received adjuvant chemotherapy. Most (97.00%) underwent induction chemotherapy. OS was 28.71 months (interquartile range [IQR] 19.17, 51.19) from diagnosis, with no difference by IRE type (hazard ratio [HR] 1.05 for margin extension [p = 0.85]) or adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 1.14 [p = 0.639]). RFS was 8.51 months (IQR 4.95, 20.17) with no difference by IRE type (HR 0.90 for margin extension [p = 0.694]) or adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 0.90 [p = 0.711]). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that adjuvant therapy may have limited benefit for patients treated with induction chemotherapy followed by local control with IRE for unresectable pancreatic cancer. Further study of the duration and timing of systemic therapy is warranted to maximize benefit and limit toxicity.

Dosimetric assessment of patient dose calculation on a deep learning-based synthesized computed tomography image for adaptive radiotherapy.

PURPOSE: Dose computation using cone beam computed tomography (CBCT) images is inaccurate for the purpose of adaptive treatment planning. The main goal of this study is to assess the dosimetric accuracy of synthetic computed tomography (CT)-based calculation for adaptive planning in the upper abdominal region. We hypothesized that deep learning-based synthetically generated CT images will produce comparable results to a deformed CT (CTdef) in terms of dose calculation, while displaying a more accurate representation of the daily anatomy and therefore superior dosimetric accuracy. METHODS: We have implemented a cycle-consistent generative adversarial networks (CycleGANs) architecture to synthesize CT images from the daily acquired CBCT image with minimal error. CBCT and CT images from 17 liver stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) patients were used to train, test, and validate the algorithm. RESULTS: The synthetically generated images showed increased signal-to-noise ratio, contrast resolution, and reduced root mean square error, mean absolute error, noise, and artifact severity. Superior edge matching, sharpness, and preservation of anatomical structures from the CBCT images were observed for the synthetic images when compared to the CTdef registration method. Three verification plans (CBCT, CTdef, and synthetic) were created from the original treatment plan and dose volume histogram (DVH) statistics were calculated. The synthetic-based calculation shows comparatively similar results to the CTdef-based calculation with a maximum mean deviation of 1.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show that CycleGANs can produce reliable synthetic images for the adaptive delivery framework. Dose calculations can be performed on synthetic images with minimal error. Additionally, enhanced image quality should translate into better daily alignment, increasing treatment delivery accuracy.

Complication Rates After Intraoperative Radiation Therapy: Do Applicator Size and Distance to Skin Matter?

BACKGROUND: Intraoperative radiation therapy (IORT) has gained popularity for early stage breast cancer treatment. Few studies have examined the relationship between complications and both demographic and technical factors. The objective of the current study was to determine if applicator size or distances to the skin were significant risk factors for complications. METHODS: Data was prospectively collected on patients who underwent lumpectomy followed by IORT from November 1, 2013 to August 31, 2018. Exclusion criteria included any prior radiation exposure or personal history of breast cancer. Comorbid conditions such as body mass index, diabetes, and smoking as well as technical specifications such as applicator size and distances to the skin were included for investigation. Student's t-test, Fisher's exact test, and odds ratios were utilized for statistical analysis. RESULTS: The study was comprised of 219 patients. None developed Clavien-Dindo grade 2 or above complications. Of 21.0% (n = 46) had minor complications. The most common complication was a palpable breast seroma (n = 37). Diabetes was the only comorbid condition with increased risk for complications (OR 3.2; 95% CI1.3-7.5; P = 0.008). The applicator sizes and average skin distances were similar between groups. Surprisingly, the closest skin distance was not a significant risk factor for post-operative complications (1.4 +/- 1.6 versus 1.4 +/- 1.9 cm; P = 1.0). CONCLUSION: Neither applicator size nor the closest skin distance were associated with increased complications. Traditionally described risk factors such as BMI and smoking were not predictive. This data provides support for potentially expanding the utilization for IORT without increasing complications.

Elevation of Serum CEA in Patients with Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Anus.

The proportion of anal cancer cases that produce elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels is not well described in the medical literature. In this study, we used electronic health record data from a single urban cancer center to identify patients from 2004-2018 with anal cancer who have also had a pre-initial treatment CEA measurement. We identified 40 patients who met our eligibility criteria. Of those, 11 (27.5%) had an elevated pretreatment CEA. Elevated CEA was not associated with any of the clinical or demographic covariates; however, three out of five patients with a recurrence had an elevated CEA.

Comparing preoperative imaging modalities in patient selection for breast intraoperative radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the relative accuracy of mammography, ultrasound, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in predicting the tumor size of early stage breast tumors in preoperative selection of patients for intraoperative radiotherapy (IORT). METHODS: We identified 156 patients with clinical T1/T2, N0 breast cancer who underwent IORT. Clinical, pathologic, and radiation data were collected. The preoperative tumor size obtained by imaging was compared with tumor pathological size. RESULTS: The median patient age was 66. The mean tumor size at excision was 1.05 cm (0.1-3.0 cm). Out of the 156 patients, 98 had a reported, nonzero tumor size by mammography, 131 by ultrasound, and 76 by MRI. The mean difference between imaging and the tumor size was +0.062 ± 0.54 cm for mammography, -0.11 ± 0.43 cm for ultrasound, and +0.33 ± 0.55 cm for MRI, with positive values indicating an overestimate of the tumor size. MRI produced more overestimates of tumor size of at least 0.5 cm than mammography or ultrasound in a paired analysis of patients who received both modalities. CONCLUSIONS: Accuracy of imaging modalities in determining tumor size can influence patients' eligibility for IORT. Mammography and ultrasound showed acceptable accuracy in predicting size. MRI overestimated tumor size and may inappropriately exclude patients from IORT. We would discourage ruling out candidates for IORT on the basis of large size by MRI alone.

Breast conservation for male breast cancer: Case report of intraoperative radiation.

Male breast cancer (MBC) comprises <1% of all breast cancers in the United States. MBC is typically treated with total mastectomy while the majority of female breast cancer is treated with breast conservation therapy combined with various forms of radiation. One method that has developed over the last two decades is the use of intraoperative radiation therapy (IORT) as a type of accelerated partial breast irradiation to direct the treatment field to the tumor bed. Since overall prognosis and systemic therapy recommendations for MBC are similar to breast cancer in women, we describe the first case of MBC treated with BCS and IORT. Our patient is a 62-year-old male who was found to have a right breast 1.6 cm palpable mass at the 10:00 position 1 cm radially from the nipple. Core biopsy demonstrated invasive ductal carcinoma, moderately differentiated, estrogen and progesterone receptor positive, and Her 2 Negative. The patient had a strong desire for breast conservation, and needed to minimize daily radiation treatments due to his work schedule. After discussion among our multidisciplinary tumor board, we felt this patient to be suitable for BCS and IORT given his age, favorable tumor subtype, size, and clinically early stage breast cancer. A right axillary sentinel lymph node biopsy and central lumpectomy was performed. The INTRABEAM device (Carl Zeiss Meditec, Oberkochen, Germany) was utilized for radiation delivery. The patient had negative margins on his final pathology. The postoperative course was uneventful and at the 6 month follow-up visit there were no issues and he had an excellent cosmetic outcome. BCS and IORT is an option in appropriately selected male patients with favorable subtype early stage breast cancer.

Mucosal Melanoma: New Insights and Therapeutic Options for a Unique and Aggressive Disease.

Mucosal melanoma is a rare disease that is distinct from melanomas arising at other sites in the body. While melanocytes are most abundant in the skin, they can be found in smaller numbers in the mucous membranes, as well as in the eye. There are epidemiologic, genetic, and other physiologic differences between melanomas arising from melanocytes at these various sites, and these differences have important implications for both disease prognosis and treatment. Here, we review the features of mucosal melanoma that distinguish it from melanomas arising at other sites, and we highlight recent biological discoveries and emerging treatment options for this aggressive disease.

Fetal radiation monitoring and dose minimization during intensity modulated radiation therapy for glioblastoma in pregnancy.

We examined the fetal dose from irradiation of glioblastoma during pregnancy using intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT), and describe fetal dose minimization using mobile shielding devices. A case report is described of a pregnant woman with glioblastoma who was treated during the third trimester of gestation with 60 Gy of radiation delivered via a 6 MV photon IMRT plan. Fetal dose without shielding was estimated using an anthropomorphic phantom with ion chamber and diode measurements. Clinical fetal dose with shielding was determined with optically stimulated luminescent dosimeters and ion chamber. Clinical target volume (CTV) and planning target volume (PTV) coverage was 100 and 98 % receiving 95 % of the prescription dose, respectively. Normal tissue tolerances were kept below quantitative analysis of normal tissue effects in the clinic (QUANTEC) recommendations. Without shielding, anthropomorphic phantom measurements showed a cumulative fetal dose of 0.024 Gy. In vivo measurements with shielding in place demonstrated a cumulative fetal dose of 0.016 Gy. The fetal dose estimated without shielding was 0.04 % and with shielding was 0.026 % of the target dose. In vivo estimation of dose equivalent received by the fetus was 24.21 mSv. Using modern techniques, brain irradiation can be delivered to pregnant patients in the third trimester with very low measured doses to the fetus, without compromising target coverage or normal tissue dose constraints. Fetal dose can further be reduced with the use of shielding devices, in keeping with the principle of as low as reasonably achievable.

International multidisciplinary consensus conference on multimodality monitoring: ICU processes of care.

There is an increased focus on evaluating processes of care, particularly in the high acuity and cost environment of intensive care. Evaluation of neurocritical-specific care and evidence-based protocol implementation are needed to effectively determine optimal processes of care and effect on patient outcomes. General quality measures to evaluate intensive care unit (ICU) processes of care have been proposed; however, applicability of these measures in neurocritical care populations has not been established. A comprehensive literature search was conducted for English language articles from 1990 to August 2013. A total of 1,061 articles were reviewed, with 145 meeting criteria for inclusion in this review. Care in specialized neurocritical care units or by neurocritical teams can have a positive impact on mortality, length of stay, and in some cases, functional outcome. Similarly, implementation of evidence-based protocol-directed care can enhance outcome in the neurocritical care population. There is significant evidence to support suggested quality indicators for the general ICU population, but limited research regarding specific use in neurocritical care. Quality indices for neurocritical care have been proposed; however, additional research is needed to further validate measures.

Consensus summary statement of the International Multidisciplinary Consensus Conference on Multimodality Monitoring in Neurocritical Care: a statement for healthcare professionals from the Neurocritical Care Society and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine.

Neurocritical care depends, in part, on careful patient monitoring but as yet there are little data on what processes are the most important to monitor, how these should be monitored, and whether monitoring these processes is cost-effective and impacts outcome. At the same time, bioinformatics is a rapidly emerging field in critical care but as yet there is little agreement or standardization on what information is important and how it should be displayed and analyzed. The Neurocritical Care Society in collaboration with the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine, the Society for Critical Care Medicine, and the Latin America Brain Injury Consortium organized an international, multidisciplinary consensus conference to begin to address these needs. International experts from neurosurgery, neurocritical care, neurology, critical care, neuroanesthesiology, nursing, pharmacy, and informatics were recruited on the basis of their research, publication record, and expertise. They undertook a systematic literature review to develop recommendations about specific topics on physiologic processes important to the care of patients with disorders that require neurocritical care. This review does not make recommendations about treatment, imaging, and intraoperative monitoring. A multidisciplinary jury, selected for their expertise in clinical investigation and development of practice guidelines, guided this process. The GRADE system was used to develop recommendations based on literature review, discussion, integrating the literature with the participants' collective experience, and critical review by an impartial jury. Emphasis was placed on the principle that recommendations should be based on both data quality and on trade-offs and translation into clinical practice. Strong consideration was given to providing pragmatic guidance and recommendations for bedside neuromonitoring, even in the absence of high quality data.

The International Multidisciplinary Consensus Conference on Multimodality Monitoring in Neurocritical Care: evidentiary tables: a statement for healthcare professionals from the Neurocritical Care Society and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine.

A variety of technologies have been developed to assist decision-making during the management of patients with acute brain injury who require intensive care. A large body of research has been generated describing these various technologies. The Neurocritical Care Society (NCS) in collaboration with the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM), the Society for Critical Care Medicine (SCCM), and the Latin America Brain Injury Consortium (LABIC) organized an international, multidisciplinary consensus conference to perform a systematic review of the published literature to help develop evidence-based practice recommendations on bedside physiologic monitoring. This supplement contains a Consensus Summary Statement with recommendations and individual topic reviews on physiologic processes important in the care of acute brain injury. In this article we provide the evidentiary tables for select topics including systemic hemodynamics, intracranial pressure, brain and systemic oxygenation, EEG, brain metabolism, biomarkers, processes of care and monitoring in emerging economies to provide the clinician ready access to evidence that supports recommendations about neuromonitoring.

The International Multidisciplinary Consensus Conference on Multimodality Monitoring in Neurocritical Care: a list of recommendations and additional conclusions: a statement for healthcare professionals from the Neurocritical Care Society and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine.

Careful patient monitoring using a variety of techniques including clinical and laboratory evaluation, bedside physiological monitoring with continuous or non-continuous techniques and imaging is fundamental to the care of patients who require neurocritical care. How best to perform and use bedside monitoring is still being elucidated. To create a basic platform for care and a foundation for further research the Neurocritical Care Society in collaboration with the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine, the Society for Critical Care Medicine and the Latin America Brain Injury Consortium organized an international, multidisciplinary consensus conference to develop recommendations about physiologic bedside monitoring. This supplement contains a Consensus Summary Statement with recommendations and individual topic reviews as a background to the recommendations. In this article, we highlight the recommendations and provide additional conclusions as an aid to the reader and to facilitate bedside care.

Site-specific patterns of early-stage cancer diagnosis during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The COVID-19 pandemic caused widespread disruptions in cancer care. We hypothesized that the greatest disruptions in diagnosis occurred in screen-detected cancers. We identified patients (≥18 years of age) with newly diagnosed cancer from 2019 to 2020 in the US National Cancer Database and calculated the change in proportion of early-stage to late-stage cancers using a weighted linear regression. Disruptions in early-stage diagnosis were greater than in late-stage diagnosis (17% vs 12.5%). Melanoma demonstrated the greatest relative decrease in early-stage vs late-stage diagnosis (22.9% vs 9.2%), whereas the decrease was similar for pancreatic cancer. Compared with breast cancer, cervical, melanoma, prostate, colorectal, and lung cancers showed the greatest disruptions in early-stage diagnosis. Uninsured patients experienced greater disruptions than privately insured patients. Disruptions in cancer diagnosis in 2020 had a larger impact on early-stage disease, particularly screen-detected cancers. Our study supports emerging evidence that primary care visits may play a critical role in early melanoma detection.

Updated Analysis of Comparative Toxicity of Proton and Photon Radiation for Prostate Cancer.

PURPOSE: Previous comparative effectiveness studies have not demonstrated a benefit of proton beam therapy (PBT) compared with intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) for prostate cancer. An updated comparison of GI and genitourinary (GU) toxicity is needed. METHODS: We investigated the SEER-Medicare linked database, identifying patients with localized prostate cancer diagnosed from 2010 to 2017. Procedure and diagnosis codes indicative of treatment-related toxicity were identified. As a sensitivity analysis, we also identified toxicity based only on procedure codes. Patients who underwent IMRT and PBT were matched 2:1 on the basis of clinical and sociodemographic characteristics. We then compared GI and GU toxicity at 6, 12, and 24 months after treatment. RESULTS: The final sample included 772 PBT patients matched to 1,544 IMRT patients. The frequency of GI toxicity for IMRT versus PBT was 3.5% versus 2.5% at 6 months (P = .18), 9.5% versus 10.2% at 12 months (P = .18), and 20.5% versus 23.4% at 24 months (P = .11). The frequency of only procedure codes indicative of GI toxicity for IMRT versus PBT was too low to be reported and not significantly different. The frequency of GU toxicity for IMRT versus PBT was 6.8% versus 5.7% (P = .30), 14.3% versus 12.2% (P = .13), and 28.2% versus 25.8% (P = .21) at 6, 12, and 24 months, respectively. When looking only at procedure codes, the frequency of GU toxicity for IMRT was 1.0% at 6 months, whereas it was too infrequent to report for PBT (P = .64). GU toxicity for IMRT versus PBT was 3.3% versus 2.1% (P = .10), and 8.7% versus 6.7% (P = .10) at 12 and 24 months, respectively. CONCLUSION: In this observational study, there were no statistically significant differences between PBT and IMRT in terms of GI or GU toxicity.

Enhancing Safety in AI-Driven Cone Beam CT-based Online Adaptive Radiation Therapy: Development and Implementation of an Interdisciplinary Workflow.

Purpose: The emerging online adaptive radiation therapy (OART) treatment strategy based on cone beam computed tomography allows for real-time replanning according to a patient's current anatomy. However, implementing this procedure requires a new approach across the patient's care path and monitoring of the "black box" adaptation process. This study identifies high-risk failure modes (FMs) associated with AI-driven OART and proposes an interdisciplinary workflow to mitigate potential medical errors from highly automated processes, enhance treatment efficiency, and reduce the burden on clinicians. Methods and Materials: An interdisciplinary working group was formed to identify safety concerns in each process step using failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA). Based on the FMEA results, the team designed standardized procedures and safety checklists to prevent errors and ensure successful task completion. The Risk Priority Numbers (RPNs) for the top twenty FMs were calculated before and after implementing the proposed workflow to evaluate its effectiveness. Three hundred seventy-four adaptive sessions across 5 treatment sites were performed, and each session was evaluated for treatment safety and FMEA assessment. Results: The OART workflow has 4 components, each with 4, 8, 13, and 4 sequentially executed tasks and safety checklists. Site-specific template preparation, which includes disease-specific physician directives and Intelligent Optimization Engine template testing, is one of the new procedures introduced. The interdisciplinary workflow significantly reduced the RPNs of the high-risk FMs, with an average decrease of 110 (maximum reduction of 305.5 and minimum reduction of 27.4). Conclusions: This study underscores the importance of addressing high-risk FMs associated with AI-driven OART and emphasizes the significance of safety measures in its implementation. By proposing a structured interdisciplinary workflow and integrated checklists, the study provides valuable insights into ensuring the safe and efficient delivery of OART while facilitating its effective integration into clinical practice.

Systematic under-ascertainment of anaplastic large cell lymphoma cases in cancer registries: report from a comprehensive cancer center.

INTRODUCTION: Breast implant-associated anaplastic large cell lymphoma (ALCL) has been rapidly rising in the US and around the world, leading to a mandated "black-box" label on all silicone- and saline-filled implants by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Because regulatory decisions in the US and around the world have been influenced primarily by risk estimates derived from cancer registries, it is important to determine their validity in identifying cases of ALCL. METHOD: We reviewed all cases of ALCL submitted to the New York State Cancer Registry from a large comprehensive cancer center in New York City from 2007 to 2019. To determine the possibility of misdiagnosis or under-diagnosis of ALCL cases reported to cancer registries, we accessed the sensitivity and specificity of the ICD-O-3 codes 9714 (ALCL) and 9702 (Mature T-cell lymphoma, not otherwise specified [T-NOS]) to identify pathologically-proven ALCL. RESULTS: We reviewed 2286,164 pathology reports from 47,466 unique patients with primary cancers. Twenty-eight cases of histologically-proven ALCL were identified. The sensitivity and specificity of the ICD-O-3 code 9714 (ALCL) were 82% and 100%, respectively. The sensitivity of the combined codes 9714/9702 (ALCL/T-NOS) was 96% and the specificity was 44%. CONCLUSION: Previous epidemiological studies that influenced regulatory decisions by the FDA may have systematically underestimated the risk of ALCL by at least 20%. We encourage updated global risk estimates of breast ALCL using methods that ensure adequate case ascertainment.