Predictors of adverse outcomes in elders hospitalised for isolated orthopaedic trauma: a multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients >64 years of age now represent more than 51% of injury hospitalisations in Canada. The tools used to identify older patients who could benefit the most from an interdisciplinary approach include complex parameters difficult to collect in the ED, which suggests that better tools with higher accuracy and using items that can be derived from routinely collected data are needed. We aimed to identify variables that are associated with adverse outcomes in older patients admitted to a trauma centre for an isolated orthopaedic injury. METHODS: We conducted a multicentre retrospective cohort study between 1 April 2013 and 31 March 2019 on older patients hospitalised with a primary diagnosis of isolated orthopaedic injury (n=19 928). Data were extracted from the provincial trauma registry (Registre des traumatismes du Québec). We used multilevel logistic regression to estimate the associations between potential predictors and adverse outcomes (extended length of stay, mortality, complications, unplanned readmission and adverse discharge destination). RESULTS: Increasing age, male sex, specific comorbidities, type of orthopaedic injuries, increasing number of comorbidities, severe orthopaedic injury, head injuries and admission in the year before the injury were all significant predictors of adverse outcomes. CONCLUSION: We identified eight predictors of adverse outcomes in patients >64 years of age admitted to a trauma centre for orthopaedic injury. These variables could eventually be used to develop a clinical decision rule to identify elders who may benefit the most from interdisciplinary care.

Relationship between systolic blood pressure and mortality in older vs younger trauma patients - a retrospective multicentre observational study.

BACKGROUND: The population of older trauma patients is increasing. Those patients have heterogeneous presentations and need senior-friendly triaging tools. Systolic blood pressure (SBP) is commonly used to assess injury severity, and some authors advocated adjusting SBP threshold for older patients. We aimed to describe and compare the relationship between mortality and SBP in older trauma patients and their younger counterparts. METHODS: We included patients admitted to three level-I trauma centres and performed logistic regressions with age and SBP to obtain mortality curves. Multivariable Logistic regressions were performed to measure the association between age and mortality at different SBP ranges. Subgroup analyses were conducted for major trauma and severe traumatic brain injury admissions. RESULTS: A total of 47,661 patients were included, among which 12.9% were aged 65-74 years and 27.3% were ≥ 75 years. Overall mortality rates were 3.9%, 8.1%, and 11.7% in the groups aged 16-64, 65-74, and ≥ 75 years, respectively. The relationship between prehospital SBP and mortality was nonlinear (U-shape), mortality increased with each 10 mmHg SBP decrement from 130 to 50 mmHg and each 10-mmHg increment from 150 to 220 mmHg across all age groups. Older patients were at higher odd for mortality in all ranges of SBP. The highest OR in patients aged 65-74 years was 3.67 [95% CI: 2.08-6.45] in the 90-99 mmHg SBP range and 7.92 [95% CI: 5.13-12.23] for those aged ≥ 75 years in the 100-109 mmHg SBP range. CONCLUSION: The relationship between SBP and mortality is nonlinear, regardless of trauma severity and age. Older age was associated with a higher odd of mortality at all SBP points. Future triage tools should therefore consider SBP as a continuous rather than a dichotomized predictor.

Effect of age on the association between the Glasgow Coma Scale and the anatomical brain lesion severity: a retrospective multicentre study.

Background and importance Older adults are at higher risk of undertriage and mortality following a traumatic brain injury (TBI). Early identification and accurate triage of severe cases is therefore critical. However, the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) might lack sensitivity in older patients. Objective This study investigated the effect of age on the association between the GCS and TBI severity. Design, settings, and participants This multicentre retrospective cohort study (2003-2017) included TBI patients aged ≥16 years with an Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS of 3, 4 or 5). Older adults were defined as aged 65 and over. Outcomes measure and analysis Median GCS score were compared between older and younger adults, within subgroups of similar AIS. Multivariable logistic regressions were computed to assess the association between age and mortality. The primary analysis comprised patients with isolated TBI, and secondary analysis included patients with multiple trauma. Main results A total of 12 562 patients were included, of which 9485 (76%) were isolated TBIs. Among those, older adults represented 52% ( n  = 4931). There were 22, 27 and 51% of older patients with an AIS-head of 3, 4 and 5 respectively compared to 32, 25 and 43% among younger adults. Within the different subgroups of patients, median GCS scores were higher in older adults: 15 (14-15) vs. 15 (13-15), 15 (14-15) vs. 14 (13-15), 15 (14-15) vs. 14 (8-15), for AIS-head 3, 4 and 5 respectively (all P  < 0.0001). Older adults had increased odds of mortality compared to their younger counterparts at all AIS-head levels: AIS-head = 3 [odds ratio (OR) = 2.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6-5.5], AIS-head = 4, (OR = 2.7, 95% CI 1.6-4.7) and AIS-head = 5 (OR = 2.6, 95% CI 1.9-3.6) TBI (all P  < 0.001). Similar results were found among patients with multiple trauma. Conclusions In this study, among TBI patients with similar AIS-head score, there was a significant higher median GCS in older patients compared to younger patients.

Epidemiology, injury pattern and outcome of older trauma patients: A 15-year study of level-I trauma centers.

BACKGROUND: Older adults have become a significant portion of the trauma population. Exploring their specificities is crucial to better meet their specific needs. The primary objective was to evaluate the temporal changes in the incidence, demographic and trauma characteristics, injury pattern, in-hospital admission, complications, and outcome of older trauma patients. METHODS: A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted using the Quebec Trauma Registry. Patients aged ≥16 years admitted to one of the three adult level-I trauma centers between 2003 and 2017 were included. Descriptive analyses and trend-tests were performed to describe temporal changes. RESULTS: A total of 53,324 patients were included, and 24,822 were aged ≥65 years. The median [IQR] age increased from 57[36-77] to 67[46-82] years, and the proportion of older adults rose from 41.8% in 2003 to 54.1% in 2017. Among those, falls remain the main mechanism (84.7%-88.3%), and the proportion of severe thorax (+8.9%), head (+8.7%), and spine (+5%) injuries significantly increased over time. The proportion of severely injured older patients almost doubled (17.6%-32.3%), yet their mortality decreased (-1.0%). Their average annual bed-days consumption also increased (+15,004 and +1,437 in non-intensive care wards and ICU, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Since 2014, older adults have represented the majority of admissions in Level-I trauma centers in Québec. Their bed-days consumption has greatly increased, and their injury pattern and severity have deeply evolved, while we showed a decrease in mortality.