Preterm delivery and maternal obesity remain common complications in pregnancies with type 1 diabetes-A nationwide study in Sweden.

AIM: A primary goal of obstetric care of women with type 1 diabetes (T1D) is to reduce the risks of preterm birth (PTB). Besides hyperglycaemia, maternal obesity is an important risk factor for PTB in T1D. However, it's unclear if public health efforts decreased risks of maternal obesity and PTB in pregnancies with T1D. We examined time-trends over the last 20 years in the distribution of gestational ages at birth (GA) in offspring of women with T1D in Sweden, and in maternal BMI in the same mothers. METHODS: Population-based cohort study, using data from national registries in Sweden. To capture differences not only in the median values, we used quantile regression models to compare the whole distributions of GA's and early pregnancy BMI between deliveries in 1998-2007 (P1) and 2008-2016 (P2). Multivariable models were adjusted for differences in maternal age, smoking and education between periods 1 and 2. RESULTS: The study included 7639 offspring of women with T1D between 1998 and 2016. The 10% percentile GA, increased with 0.09 days (95% CI: -0.11 to 0.35) between P1 and P2. The 90% percentile for BMI was 1.20 kg/m2 higher (95% CI: 0.57 to 1.83) in P2. Risks of PTB remained stable over time also when adjusting for maternal BMI. CONCLUSION: Despite modern diabetes management, the distribution of GA, and consequently the risk of PTB in T1D, remained unchanged from 1998 to 2016. During the same time, maternal BMI increased, particularly in the already obese.

Long-term neurological morbidity among children delivered by vacuum extraction - a national cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: This is the first nationwide cohort study of vacuum extraction (VE) and long-term neurological morbidity. We hypothesized that VE per se, and not only complicated labor, can cause intracranial bleedings, which could further cause neurological long-term morbidity. The aim of this study was to investigate the risk of neonatal mortality, cerebral palsy (CP), and epilepsy among children delivered by VE in a long-term perspective. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The study population included 1 509 589 term singleton children planned for vaginal birth in Sweden (January 1, 1999 to December 31, 2017). We investigated the risk of neonatal death (ND), CP, and epilepsy among children delivered by VE (successful or failed) and compared their risks with those born by spontaneous vaginal birth and emergency cesarean section (ECS). We used logistic regression to study the adjusted associations with each outcome. The follow-up time was from birth until December 31, 2019. RESULTS: The percentage and total number of children with the outcomes were ND (0.04%, n = 616), CP (0.12%, n = 1822), and epilepsy (0.74%, n = 11 190). Compared with children delivered by ECS, those born by VE had no increased risk of ND, but there was an increased risk for those born after failed VE (adj OR 2.23 [1.33-3.72]). The risk of CP was similar among children born by VE and those born spontaneously vaginally. Further, the risk of CP was similar among children born after failed VE compared with ECS. The risk of epilepsy was not increased among children born by VE (successful/failed), compared with those who had spontaneous vaginal birth or ECS. CONCLUSIONS: The outcomes ND, CP, and epilepsy are rare. In this nationwide cohort study, children born after successful VE had no increased risk of ND, CP or epilepsy compared with those delivered by ECS, but there was an increased risk of ND among those born by failed VE. Concerning the studied outcomes, VE appears to be a safe obstetric intervention; however, it requires a thorough risk assessment and awareness of when to convert to ECS.

Association between variables measured in the ambulance and in-hospital mortality among adult patients with and without infection: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients presenting with infection to the ambulance are common, but risk factors for poor outcome are not known. The primary aim of the current study was to study the association between variables measured in the ambulance and mortality among adult patients with and without infection. The secondary aim was to study the association between these variables and mortality in a subgroup of patients who developed sepsis within 36 h. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of 553 ambulance patients with, and 318 patients without infection, performed in Stockholm during 2017-2018. The association between 21 variables (8 keywords related to medical history, 6 vital signs, 4 blood tests, and age, gender, comorbidity) and in-hospital mortality was analysed using logistic regression. RESULTS: Among patients with infection, inability of the patient to answer questions relating to certain symptoms such as pain and gastrointestinal symptoms was significantly associated with mortality in univariable analysis, in addition to oxygen saturation < 94%, heart rate > 110 /min, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) < 15, soluble urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor (suPAR) 4.0-7.9 ng/mL, suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL and a Charlson comorbidity score ≥ 5. suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL remained significant in multivariable analysis (OR 25.4; 95% CI, 3.2-199.8). Among patients without infection, suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL and a Charlson comorbidity score ≥ 5 were significantly associated with mortality in univariable analysis, while suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL remained significant in multivariable analysis (OR 56.1; 95% CI, 4.5-700.0). Among patients who developed sepsis, inability to answer questions relating to pain remained significant in multivariable analysis (OR 13.2; 95% CI, 2.2-78.9), in addition to suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL (OR 16.1; 95% CI, 2.0-128.6). CONCLUSIONS: suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL was associated with mortality in patients presenting to the ambulance both with and without infection and in those who developed sepsis. Furthermore, the inability of the ambulance patient with an infection to answer questions relating to specific symptoms was associated with a surprisingly high mortality. These results suggest that suPAR and medical history are valuable tools with which to identify patients at risk of poor outcome in the ambulance and could potentially signal the need of enhanced attention. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03249597. Registered 15 August 2017-Retrospectively registered, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03249597 .

Dosing of thromboprophylaxis and mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients.

BACKGROUND: A substantial proportion of critically ill COVID-19 patients develop thromboembolic complications, but it is unclear whether higher doses of thromboprophylaxis are associated with lower mortality rates. The purpose of the study was to evaluate the association between initial dosing strategy of thromboprophylaxis in critically ill COVID-19 patients and the risk of death, thromboembolism, and bleeding. METHOD: In this retrospective study, all critically ill COVID-19 patients admitted to two intensive care units in March and April 2020 were eligible. Patients were categorized into three groups according to initial daily dose of thromboprophylaxis: low (2500-4500 IU tinzaparin or 2500-5000 IU dalteparin), medium (> 4500 IU but < 175 IU/kilogram, kg, of body weight tinzaparin or > 5000 IU but < 200 IU/kg of body weight dalteparin), and high dose (≥ 175 IU/kg of body weight tinzaparin or ≥ 200 IU/kg of body weight dalteparin). Thromboprophylaxis dosage was based on local standardized recommendations, not on degree of critical illness or risk of thrombosis. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios with corresponding 95% confidence intervals of death within 28 days from ICU admission. Multivariable models were adjusted for sex, age, body mass index, Simplified Acute Physiology Score III, invasive respiratory support, and initial dosing strategy of thromboprophylaxis. RESULTS: A total of 152 patients were included: 67 received low-, 48 medium-, and 37 high-dose thromboprophylaxis. Baseline characteristics did not differ between groups. For patients who received high-dose prophylaxis, mortality was lower (13.5%) compared to those who received medium dose (25.0%) or low dose (38.8%), p = 0.02. The hazard ratio of death was 0.33 (95% confidence intervals 0.13-0.87) among those who received high dose, and 0.88 (95% confidence intervals 0.43-1.83) among those who received medium dose, as compared to those who received low-dose thromboprophylaxis. There were fewer thromboembolic events in the high (2.7%) vs medium (18.8%) and low-dose thromboprophylaxis (17.9%) groups, p = 0.04. CONCLUSIONS: Among critically ill COVID-19 patients with respiratory failure, high-dose thromboprophylaxis was associated with a lower risk of death and a lower cumulative incidence of thromboembolic events compared with lower doses. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT04412304 June 2, 2020, retrospectively registered.

Surgical site infections after distal radius fracture surgery: a nation-wide cohort study of 31,807 adult patients.

BACKGROUND: Surgical site infections (SSI) after distal radius fracture (DRF) surgery have not previously been studied as the primary outcome in a large population with comparative data for different surgical methods. The aims of this study were 1) to compare SSI rates between plate fixation, percutaneous pinning and external fixation, and 2) to study factors associated with SSI. METHODS: We performed a nation-wide cohort study linking data from the Swedish national patient register (NPR) with the Swedish prescribed drug register (SPDR). We included all patients ≥18 years with a registration of a surgically treated DRF in the NPR between 2006 and 2013. The primary outcome was a registration in the SPDR of a dispensed prescription of peroral Flucloxacillin and/or Clindamycin within the first 8 weeks following surgery, which was used as a proxy for an SSI. The SSI rates for the three main surgical methods were calculated. Logistic regression was used to study the association between surgical method and the primary outcome, adjusted for potential confounders including age, sex, fracture type (closed/open), and a dispensed prescription of Flucloxacillin and/or Clindamycin 0-8 weeks prior to DRF surgery. A classification tree analysis was performed to study which factors were associated with SSI. RESULTS: A total of 31,807 patients with a surgically treated DRF were included. The proportion of patients with an SSI was 5% (n = 1110/21,348) among patients treated with plate fixation, 12% (n = 754/6198) among patients treated with percutaneous pinning, and 28% (n = 1180/4261) among patients treated with external fixation. After adjustment for potential confounders, the surgical method most strongly associated with SSI was external fixation (aOR 6.9 (95% CI 6.2-7.5, p < 0.001)), followed by percutaneous pinning (aOR 2.7 (95% CI 2.4-3.0, p < 0.001)) (reference: plate fixation). The classification tree analysis showed that surgical method, fracture type (closed/open), age and sex were factors associated with SSI. CONCLUSIONS: The SSI rate was highest after external fixation and lowest after plate fixation. The results may be useful for estimation of SSI burdens after DRF surgery on a population basis. For the physician, they may be useful for  estimating the likelihood of SSI in individual patients.

Relevance of low specific IgE levels to egg, milk and peanut in infancy.

BACKGROUND: IgE sensitization is usually associated with allergy-related diseases, but may also occur in asymptomatic individuals. The clinical importance of IgE antibody concentrations in the interval 0.1-0.34 kU/L in early life in relation to allergy development is poorly evaluated. OBJECTIVE: To assess the relevance of low specific IgE (s-IgE) to hen's egg, cow's milk and peanut at 6 months of age for development of sensitization and allergy-related disease during early childhood. METHODS: s-IgE concentrations to relevant allergens from blood samples taken at 6 months and 1, 2 and 5 years from children in the prospective ALADDIN cohort were divided into three categories: non-sensitized (<0.1 kU/L), low sensitized (0.1-0.34 kU/L) and sensitized (≥0.35 kU/L) and allergy-related disease assessed. RESULTS: A total of 372 children were included in this study. Compared with non-sensitized children at 6 months of age, children with low levels of allergen specific IgE (0.1-0.34 kU/L) to food allergens, especially to egg, at 6 months of age were associated with development of sensitization to aeroallergens at 5 years of age (10/14 [71%] vs 39/250 [15%]). In addition, children with low levels to egg or milk at 6 months were more often sensitized to the respective allergen at 1 year of age and, regarding low levels to egg, also to the development of eczema (6/18 [33%] vs 29/292 [10%]). CONCLUSION & CLINICAL RELEVANCE: IgE antibody concentrations in the interval 0.1-0.34 kU/L to food allergens in infancy seem to increase the probability of sensitization to aeroallergens and, regarding low levels to egg, also of eczema during early childhood. Thus, IgE levels during the first year of life, although below 0.35 kU/L, can provide additional allergy-related prognostic information.

Protracted vacuum extraction and neonatal intracranial hemorrhage among infants born at term: a nationwide case-control study.

INTRODUCTION: The association between vacuum extraction and intracranial hemorrhage has been debated. We sought to investigate the impact of protracted vacuum extraction on the risk for neonatal intracranial hemorrhage in term infants. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This nationwide case-control study covered Swedish maternity wards from 1999 to 2013. All term, live-born infants diagnosed with neonatal intracranial hemorrhage after vacuum-assisted delivery were included as cases (n = 167). For each case, 3 vacuum-delivered controls, without a diagnosis for intracranial hemorrhage, were selected (n = 546 controls). Conditional logistic regression analysis was used to study the association between protracted extraction (defined as vacuum duration > 15 min, > 6 pulls or > 2 cup detachments), and neonatal intracranial hemorrhage. RESULTS: Extractions exceeded 15 min among 33% of the cases, vs 5% of the controls. More than six pulls were used in 25% of the cases and in 4% of the controls, and more than two cup detachments occurred in 3.6% of the cases and in 0.6% of the controls. Compared with extractions adhering to safety recommendations, the odds for intracranial hemorrhage were nine-fold (OR 8.91, 95%, CI 5.22-15.20) among infants exposed to a protracted extraction. After adjustments for potential confounders, the OR decreased to 8.04 (95% CI 4.49-14.38). CONCLUSIONS: The strong association between protracted extraction and intracranial hemorrhage suggests that adherence to safety recommendations may reduce the risk for intracranial hemorrhage in infants delivered by vacuum extraction. However, safe limits for vacuum duration and number of pulls are still unknown and intracranial hemorrhage may occur even when performed in accordance with safety recommendations.

Quantifying cervical spondylosis: reliability testing of a coherent CT-based scoring system.

BACKGROUND: Grading of degeneration of the cervical spine is of great clinical value, considering the vast amount of radiological investigations that are being done with this query. Despite the fact that Computed Tomography (CT) is frequently used in clinical practice there is today no user-friendly and reliable scoring system for assessment of cervical spondylosis on CT-scans available. The aim of this study was to establish a scoring system for cervical spondylosis based on CT-scans and to test it for reliability. METHODS: Twenty adult patients undergoing CT of the cervical spine due to neck pain following a motor vehicle accident were included in the study. Three independent raters, i.e. one orthopedic surgeon and two radiologists, assessed their CT-scans. Two of the raters repeated the assessments after three months. A radiographic-based scoring system for cervical disc degeneration, addressing disc height, osteophytes and endplate sclerosis, was applied on CT and tested for reliability. A pre-existing, reliable CT-based scoring system for facet joint degeneration, considering joint space narrowing, osteophytes and irregularity of the articular surface was modified and reevaluated. This in order to develop a coherent CT-based total degeneration score for cervical spondylosis. RESULTS: The scoring systems for cervical disc degeneration and facet joint degeneration both exhibited an acceptable or better level of strength of agreement regarding intra- and interrater agreement. The total disc degeneration score showed a moderate level of inter-rater reliability with a kappa-value of 0.47 and a good intra-rater agreement with intra-class correlation coefficients (ICC) of 0.67 and 0.60 for the two raters performing the assessments. The total facet joint degeneration score showed a moderate level of inter-rater reliability (kappa 0.54) and an excellent intra-rater agreement with ICC 0.75 for one of the raters and fair for the other rater (ICC 0.54). When the total disc and facet joint degeneration score were classified into a three-point total degeneration score the inter-rater agreement was 0.695 and the ICC 0.82 and 0.73 respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This coherent scoring system assessing both disc degeneration and facet joint degeneration on CT-scans of the cervical spine was shown to meet the standards of reliability.

Factors related to the role of programme directors in association with quality in postgraduate medical education - a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Educational leaders have been pointed out as being important for quality of medical education. However, their actual influence on the education can be limited. At the postgraduate level, educational leadership and its connection with quality is underexplored and knowledge about how to increase its impact is lacking. An increased understanding could be used in order to prioritize actions for strengthening the role. The aim of this study was to investigate factors related to the role of programme director associated with quality in postgraduate medical education. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was carried out. A questionnaire was sent to programme directors in Sweden (n = 519) comprising questions about background factors, work characteristics, work tasks, hindering and enabling factors, and the Utrecht Work Engagement Scale. A logistic regression and classification tree were used to identify factors associated with high qualitative education, defined as compliance with national regulations. RESULTS: The response rate was 54% (n = 279). In total, 62% of the programme directors reported high quality and factors associated with high quality included experiences of communication with residents, superiors and supervisors, and support from the supervisors. Other factors were consensus regarding postgraduate medical education at the workplace, adequate financial resources, the programme directors' competence, and their perceived impact on education. Factors of particular importance seemed to differ depending on whether the programme directors were responsible for one or for multiple units. Most high-quality education was found in cases where programme directors were responsible for a single unit and perceived sufficient impact on education. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicated that there was an association between factors related to programme director and quality in postgraduate medical education. The findings pointed out the importance of combining activities at both individual, group and organizational levels. Relational aspects should not be underestimated; faculty development and involvement are crucial.

Swedish doctors choice of medical speciality and associations with cultural capital and perceived status: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Many western countries have problems recruiting and retaining medical specialists. In Sweden there is a lack of primary care doctors and psychiatrists. Despite much research on the topic the shortage remains. We therefore set out to analyse choice of medical speciality using Bourdieu's theoretical concepts; cultural capital, social background and perceived status. METHODS: A cross-sectional questionnaire-based study of 399 alumni from the Medical School at Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm was performed. The response rate was 72% (n = 286); 262 of the respondents were in training to become specialists. Specialties were categorized as primary care, psychiatry, internal medicine, and surgical and hospital service specialties. To study the associations between medical specialties and cultural capital, we used multinomial regression analyses. Variables that showed a significant association with medical specialties were included in an adjusted multivariable model. These results were presented as odds ratios: the odds that a particular speciality is chosen in comparison to a choice of surgery as a speciality, based on perceptions of high status. RESULTS: The results were analysed using Bourdieu's theoretical concepts of cultural capital, in the form of educational capital and social prestige. We found distinctive differences in perceived status for the examined speciality groups, ranging from 70% high status for surgery down to 6% high status for geriatrics and primary care. Perceived status was also associated with respondents' own speciality choice, presented as an odds ratio. Our data did not show any associations between speciality choice and educational capital. We also included sociodemographic data. CONCLUSION: The field of medicine is according to Bourdieu an arena for power struggles. Knowledge of the distinctive differences in perceived status between medical specialties can be an asset particularly in relation to recruitment and retainment of specialist doctors. Our results could be used to identify specialities where perceptions of low status may be contributing to a shortage of specialists.

Mobile-phone dispatch of laypersons for CPR in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: Cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) performed by bystanders is associated with increased survival rates among persons with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. We investigated whether rates of bystander-initiated CPR could be increased with the use of a mobile-phone positioning system that could instantly locate mobile-phone users and dispatch lay volunteers who were trained in CPR to a patient nearby with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. METHODS: We conducted a blinded, randomized, controlled trial in Stockholm from April 2012 through December 2013. A mobile-phone positioning system that was activated when ambulance, fire, and police services were dispatched was used to locate trained volunteers who were within 500 m of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest; volunteers were then dispatched to the patients (the intervention group) or not dispatched to them (the control group). The primary outcome was bystander-initiated CPR before the arrival of ambulance, fire, and police services. RESULTS: A total of 5989 lay volunteers who were trained in CPR were recruited initially, and overall 9828 were recruited during the study. The mobile-phone positioning system was activated in 667 out-of-hospital cardiac arrests: 46% (306 patients) in the intervention group and 54% (361 patients) in the control group. The rate of bystander-initiated CPR was 62% (188 of 305 patients) in the intervention group and 48% (172 of 360 patients) in the control group (absolute difference for intervention vs. control, 14 percentage points; 95% confidence interval, 6 to 21; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: A mobile-phone positioning system to dispatch lay volunteers who were trained in CPR was associated with significantly increased rates of bystander-initiated CPR among persons with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. (Funded by the Swedish Heart-Lung Foundation and Stockholm County; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01789554.).

Surgeon-Performed Ultrasound in Diagnosing Acute Cholecystitis and Appendicitis.

BACKGROUND: The use of ultrasound (US) outside the radiology department has increased the last decades, but large studies assessing the quality of bedside US are still lacking. This study evaluates surgeon-performed US (SPUS) and radiologist-performed US (RPUS) with respect to biliary disease and appendicitis. METHODS: Between October 2011 and November 2012, 300 adult patients, with a referral for an abdominal US, were prospectively enrolled in the study and examined by a radiologist as well as a surgeon. The surgeons had undergone a 4-week-long US education. US findings of the surgeon and of the radiologist were compared to final diagnosis, set by an independent external observer going through each patient's chart. RESULTS: Among 183 patients with suspected biliary disease, 74 had gallstones and 21 had acute cholecystitis. SPUS and RPUS diagnosed gallstones with a sensitivity of 87.1 versus 97.3%. Specificity was 96.0 versus 98.9%, and the accuracy 92.3 versus 98.2%. The sensitivity, specificity and accuracy for acute cholecystitis by SPUS and RPUS were: 60.0 versus 80.0%, 98.6 versus 97.8% and 93.9 versus 95.6%, respectively. Among 58 patients with suspected appendicitis, 15 had the disease. The sensitivity, specificity and accuracy for appendicitis by SPUS and RPUS were: 53.3 versus 73.3%, 89.7 versus 93.3% and 77.3 versus 86.7%, respectively. CONCLUSION: SPUS is reliable in diagnosing gallstones. Diagnosing cholecystitis and appendicitis with US is more challenging for both surgeons and radiologists. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The study was registered at clinicaltrials.gov. Registration number: NCT02469935.

Labour Q1 pain - poorly analysed and reported: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Modelling and analysing repeated measures data, such as women's experiences of pain during labour, is a complex topic. Traditional end-point analyses such as t-tests, ANOVA, or repeated measures [rANOVA] have known disadvantages. Modern and more sophisticated statistical methods such as mixed effect models provide flexibility and are more likely to draw correct conclusions from data. The aim of this study is to study how labour pain is analysed in repeated measures design studies, and to increase awareness of when and why modern statistical methods are suitable with the aim of encouraging their use in preference of traditional methods. METHODS: Six databases were searched with the English language as a restriction. Study eligibility criteria included: Original studies published between 1999 and 2016, studying pregnant women in labour with the aim to compare at least two methods for labour pain management, with at least two measurements of labour pain separated by time, and where labour pain was analysed. After deduplication, all records (n = 2800) were screened by one of the authors who excluded ineligible publication types, leaving 737 records remaining for full-text screening. A sample of 309 studies was then randomly selected and screened by both authors. RESULTS: Among the 133 (of 309) studies that fulfilled the study eligibility criteria, 7% used mixed effect models, 20% rANOVA, and 73% used end-point analysis to draw conclusions regarding treatment effects for labour pain between groups. The most commonly used end-point analyses to compare groups regarding labour pain were t-tests (57, 43%) and ANOVA (41, 31%). We present a checklist for clinicians to clarify when mixed effect models should be considered as the preferred choice for analysis, in particular when labour pain is measured. CONCLUSIONS: Studies that aim to compare methods for labour pain management often use inappropriate statistical methods, and inaccurately report how the statistical analyses were carried out. The statistical methods used in analyses are often based on assumptions that are not fulfilled or described. We recommend that authors, reviewers, and editors pay greater attention to the analysis when designing and publishing studies evaluating methods for pain relief during labour.

Gaps in obstetric care processes - we can only improve what is being measured.

A multifaceted intervention at all six obstetric units in the Stockholm Health Region was performed in 2008-2011 in order to increase safety for the newborn infants. Case-controlled criterion-based reviews of care processes during labor and delivery have been used to assess factors associated with suboptimal care during labor and delivery. Categories of increased risk of adverse outcome during labor and delivery were defined. Cases with low Apgar scores and healthy controls were scrutinized and compared to data from a study with an identical design performed before the intervention. The risk of suboptimal care increased twice among controls and three times among cases when reviewing specific criteria after a multifaceted intervention. There are still gaps in care processes that need attention. Improving guidelines is important but not enough alone, and the management of fetal surveillance needs further improvement. The complexity of reviewing care processes using criterion-based research methodology is highlighted.

Predicting nonrecovery among whiplash patients in the emergency room and in an insurance company setting.

PURPOSE: To construct and validate a prediction instrument for early identification of patients with a high risk of delayed recovery after whiplash injuries (PPS-WAD) in an insurance company setting. METHODS: Prospective cohort study. On the basis of a historic cohort (n = 130) of patients with a whiplash injury identified in an emergency room (ER, model-building set), we used logistic regression to construct an instrument consisting of two demographic variables (i.e. questions of educational level and work status) and the patient-rated physical and mental status during the acute phase to predict self-reported nonrecovery after 6 months. We evaluated the instrument's ability to predict nonrecovery in a new cohort (n = 204) of patients originating from an insurance company setting (IC, validation set). RESULTS: The prediction instrument had low reproducibility when the setting was changed from the ER cohort to the IC cohort. The overall percentage of correct predictions of nonrecovery in the ER cohort was 78 % compared with 62 % in the IC cohort. The sensitivity and specificity in relation to nonrecovery were both 78 % in the ER cohort. The sensitivity and specificity in the insurance company setting was lower, 67 and 50 %. CONCLUSION: Clinical decision rules need validation before they are used in a new setting. An instrument consisting of four questions with an excellent possibility of identifying patients with a high risk of nonrecovery after a whiplash injury in the emergency room was not as useful in an insurance company setting. The importance and type of the risk factors for not recovering probably differ between the settings, as well as the individuals.

Accuracy of Surgeon-Performed Ultrasound in Detecting Gallstones: A Validation Study.

BACKGROUND: Symptomatic gallstone disease is a common diagnosis in patients with abdominal pain. Ultrasound is considered the gold standard method to identify gallstones. Today the examination may be performed bedside by the treating clinician. Bedside ultrasound could provide a safe and time-saving diagnostic resource for surgeons evaluating patients with suspected symptomatic gallstones; however, large validation studies of the accuracy and reliability are lacking. The aim of this study was to prospectively investigate the accuracy of surgeon-performed ultrasound for the detection of gallstones. METHODS: Between October 2011 and November 2012, 179 adult patients, with an acute or elective referral for an abdominal ultrasound examination, were examined with a right upper quadrant ultrasound scan by a radiologist as well as a surgeon. The surgeons had undergone a four-week-long ultrasound education before participating in the study. Ultrasound findings of the surgeon were compared to those of the radiologist, using radiologist-performed ultrasound as reference standard. RESULTS: Surgeon-performed ultrasound agreed with radiologist findings in 169 of 179 patients regarding the detection of gallstones, providing an accuracy of 94 %. The sensitivity was 88 % (67/76), specificity 99 % (102/103), positive predictive value 99 % (67/68), and negative predictive value 92 % (102/111). Agreement between the diagnosis set by the radiologists and the surgeons was high: Cohen's Kappa coefficient = 0.88. CONCLUSIONS: Ultrasound-trained surgeons may accurately diagnose gallstones using ultrasound and reach a high level of agreement with radiologists.

Association between personality traits and future choice of specialisation among Swedish doctors: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Medical students' choice of their future specialty is influenced by several factors, including working conditions and type of patient relations. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between the choice of specialty and personality traits. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional questionnaire-based study of 399 alumni from Karolinska Institutet Medical School who were assumed to undergo specialty training at the time of the survey in 2013. The Big Five Inventory was used to assess the personality traits extraversion, agreeableness, conscientiousness, neuroticism and openness to experience. Medical specialties were categorised as primary care, psychiatry, internal medicine and surgical and hospital service specialties. Adjustments were made for demographic factors and the method of selection for medical school admission. RESULTS: The response rate was 72% (n=289, of which 262 were in training to become specialists). Among these, surgeons scored lower in agreeableness than physicians in primary care, internal medicine and hospital services. Psychiatrists and hospital service physicians showed lower conscientiousness compared with surgeons. CONCLUSIONS: We found distinctive differences in personality traits between medical specialties even after adjusting for other potential explanatory variables. Since there are differences between specialties, for example, surgeons and psychiatrists, this supports previous findings that personality may affect medical students' specialty choice also in a Swedish setting.

Survival among 148 patients with an incidentally detected appendiceal tumours at surgery for acute appendicitis: a population-based cohort follow-up study.

PURPOSE: To investigate the long-term prognosis of appendiceal tumours incidentally detected at appendicectomy for suspicion of benign appendicitis. METHODS: A retrospective register-based single centre cohort study was carried out, using data from the local acute appendicectomy quality register of cases operated on at the Department of Surgery, South General Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden. The local colorectal cancer register was also used to identify appendix tumours. The study period was between January 2004 and January 2023. Survival was calculated according to the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: A total of 11,888 patients were registered in the acute acute appendicectomy register, 54% males and 46% females, median age 32 (Q1 = 21, Q3 = 47) (with 33.7% were 41 years or older). From the appendicectomy and colorectal registers 148 (1.2% of the total cohort) appendiceal tumours were found; 60% in females and 40% in males, median age 56 (Q1 = 43, Q3 = 70) (with 78.4% being 41 years or older). Tumours found were: Low grade Appendiceal Mucinous Neoplasms (LAMN, N = 64); Neuroendocrine Tumours (NET N = 24); adenocarcinomas or other form of carcinomas (N = 57); and adenomas (N = 3). The overall 5-year survival in patients operated for LAMN was 96.8%, for NET 93.3% and for adenocarcinoma 69.7%. The overall 5-year survival for all tumour patients was 85.7%. For the younger patients (< 51 years) with LAMN and NET, almost all survived to the end of follow-up. Survival of patients in the carcinoma group was statistically significantly lower than for the LAMN and NET groups, especially in females 51 years or older. In the group of tumour patients undergoing surgery (n = 146), primary surgery was laparoscopic in 47% and open in 52%. Two patients did not undergo surgery due to widespread disease. In 64% of cases operation was acute, whereas it was delayed and/or planned in 34%. Most procedures were laparoscopic appendicectomy 36%, followed by open appendicectomy 30%, right-sided hemicolectomy 14.6% (open 11.6% and laparoscopic 3%, acute operation 5.5%), ileocaecal resection 5% (acute operation 3.4%), and staging laparoscopy 7%. In 38% of the operated patients the tumour was discovered incidentally at histopathology examination. Two patients had CRS and HIPEC as the initial operation. Forthy-three per cent of the 146 tumour patients operated underwent a second procedure: CRS and HIPEC in 23.3% and right-sided hemicolectomy in 13.6% (laparoscopic 8.2% open 5.4%). CONCLUSION: Survival was high for patients with incidentally detected appendiceal LAMN or NET, but not so for carcinoma. Survival was lower in the carcinoma group older than 50 years, especially those sick and females.

Adjuvant use of melatonin for pain management in endometriosis-associated pelvic pain-A randomized double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial.

Considering the pharmacological treatment options for endometriosis-associated pain are confined to hormonal therapy and analgesics, we studied the analgesic effect of 20 mg melatonin as an adjuvant therapy in women with endometriosis-associated pain. This randomized double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial was conducted at the Research Center for Womens' Health at Södersjukhuset, a university hospital in Stockholm, Sweden. Forty women from 18 to 50 years of age with endometriosis and severe dysmenorrhea with or without chronic pelvic pain were given 20 mg Melatonin or placebo orally daily for two consecutive menstrual cycles or months. The level of pain was recorded daily on the 11-point numeric rating scale, a difference of 1.3 units was considered clinically significant. Clincaltrials.gov nr NCT03782740. Sixteen participants completed the study in the placebo group and 18 in the melatonin group. The difference in endometriosis-associated pain between the groups showed to be non-significant statistically as well as clinically, 2.9 (SD 1.9) in the melatonin group and 3.3 (SD 2.0) in the placebo group, p = 0.45. This randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial could not show that 20 mg of melatonin given orally at bedtime had better analgesic effect on endometriosis-associated pain compared with placebo. No adverse effects were observed.