Diabetic severity and oncological outcomes of colorectal cancer following curative resection: A population-based cohort study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Although diabetes is a poor prognostic factor for colorectal cancer (CRC), whether diabetes severity provides an additional predictive value for CRC prognosis remains unclear. The study aimed to investigate the prognostic differences after curative CRC resection among patients with different diabetic severities. METHODS: This population-based retrospective cohort study analyzed data registered between 2007 and 2015 in the Cancer Registry Database, which is linked to the National Health Insurance Research Database and National Death Registry. Patients with CRC who underwent curative radical resection for stage I-III disease were evaluated, with their diabetic status subdivided into no diabetes, diabetes without complication, and diabetes with complications. Cox regressions were applied to determine the association between diabetes severity and CRC survival, including overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), time to recurrence, and cancer-specific survival (CSS). RESULTS: A total of 59,202 patients with CRC were included. Compared with the no diabetes group, the diabetes without complication group has insignificantly worse OS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.09), DFS (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.04-1.12), and CSS (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.93-1.03), whereas those with complicated diabetes had a significantly higher risk of poor survival (OS: HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.78-1.92; DFS: HR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.69-1.82; CSS: HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.33-1.49). Patients with CRC and diabetes also had a higher risk of recurrence than did those without diabetes. Sex and TNM staging were important effect modifiers. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with CRC who undergo curative resection, the severity of the diabetes is inversely correlated with long-term outcomes, especially in women and patients in the earlier stages of CRC. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: The prognostic impact of diabetes severity in colorectal cancer (CRC) is yet to be clarified. In this cohort study of 59,202 patients with CRC, compared with patients with CRC and without diabetes, those with uncomplicated diabetes had an insignificantly worse CRC survival, whereas those with complicated diabetes had a significantly higher risk of poor survival. Multidisciplinary medical care to prevent progression into diabetes with complications is needed to improve survival among patients with CRC and diabetes.

Investigating the risk of metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidities among patients with parathyroid cancer: a nationwide representative cohort study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to determine whether primary parathyroid cancer patients were associated with increased metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidities in comparison to the general population. METHODS: We used the National Taiwan Cancer Registry Database to construct a cohort of patients with parathyroid cancer from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2019. We compared the incidence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, and heart failure with the general population matched based on a propensity score in a one-to-five fashion. RESULTS: A total of 72 parathyroid cancer patients and 360 matched general population (mean age: 55 years; 59% women) were included, with different exclusive numbers for each metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidity cohort. The number of cases based on a total of 2347.7 person-years of observation included 53 deaths, 29 hypertension, 9 diabetes, 13 hyperlipidemia, 10 atrial fibrillation, 18 coronary artery disease, and 13 heart failure. According to multivariate analysis, parathyroid cancer remained significantly associated with diabetes [hazard ratio (HR): 9.28; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.72-50.07], hyperlipidemia (HR: 5.86; 95% CI: 1.61-21.31), and heart failure (HR: 4.46; 95% CI: 1.18-16.84). Sub-distribution of competing mortality events and subgroup analysis showed robust evidence of metabolic and cardiovascular comorbidities. This national cohort study demonstrated that adult parathyroid cancer patients had a significantly higher incidence of diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, and heart failure than the general population. CONCLUSIONS: An increased risk of metabolic and cardiac comorbidities among parathyroid cancer patients required great caution.

Urban-Rural Disparity in Birth Cohort Effects on Breast Cancer Incidence.

Breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer among women worldwide. Studies have reported minimal birth cohort effects on the incidence rates of breast cancer in Western countries but have reported notable birth cohort effects in some Asian countries. The risks of breast cancer may also vary within a country. In the present study, we abstracted female invasive breast cancer data from the Taiwan Cancer Registry for the period 1997-2016. We used the age-period-cohort model to compare birth cohort effects on breast cancer incidence rates between urban and rural regions in Taiwan. We identified a notable urban-rural disparity in birth cohort effects on breast cancer incidence rates in women in Taiwan. The incidence rates in the urban regions were higher than those in the rural regions across all cohorts. However, the incidence rates rose faster in the rural regions than in the urban regions across the cohorts. The risks of breast cancer observed for women born in 1992 were approximately 22 and 11 times than those observed for women born in 1917 in rural and urban regions, respectively. The observed gap in breast cancer incidence rates between the urban and rural regions gradually disappeared across the cohorts. Accordingly, we speculate that urbanization and westernization in Taiwan may be the drivers of female breast cancer incidence rates across birth cohorts.

A Stabilized Kriging Method for Mapping Disease Rates.

BACKGROUND: Mapping disease rates is an important aspect of epidemiological research because it helps inform public health policy. Disease maps are often drawn according to local administrative areas (LAAs), such as counties, cities, or towns. In LAAs with small populations, disease rates are unstable and are prone to appear extremely high or low. The empirical Bayes methods consider variance differences among different LAAs, thereby stabilizing the disease rates. The methods of kriging break the constraints of geopolitical boundaries and produce a smooth curved surface in the form of contour lines, but the methods lack the stabilizing effect of the empirical Bayes methods. METHODS: An easy-to-implement stabilized kriging method is proposed to map disease rates, which allows different errors in different LAAs. RESULTS: Monte Carlo simulations revealed that the stabilized kriging method had smaller symmetric mean absolute percentage error than three other types of methods (the original LAA-based method, empirical Bayes methods, and traditional kriging methods) in nearly all scenarios considered. Real-world data analysis of oral cancer incidence rates in men from Taiwan demonstrated that the age-standardized rates in the central mountainous sparsely-populated region of Taiwan were stabilized using our proposed method, with no more large differences in numerical values, whereas the rates in other populous regions were not over-smoothed. Additionally, the stabilized kriging map had improved resolution and helped locate several hot and cold spots in the incidence rates of oral cancer. CONCLUSION: We recommend the use of the stabilized kriging method for mapping disease rates.

Birth Cohort Effects in Breast Cancer Incidence: Global Patterns and Trends.

Breast cancer is the most common neoplasm in the world among women. The age-specific incidences and onset ages vary widely between Asian and Western countries/regions. Invasive breast cancer cases among women from 1997 to 2011 were abstracted from the International Agency for Research on Cancer and the Taiwan Cancer Registry. Age-period-cohort analysis was performed to examine the trends. The cohort effect was prominent in South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, and Thailand, possibly related to the timing of westernization. The risk of breast cancer initially rose with the birth cohorts in Hong Kong and India (both former British colonies), peaked, and then declined in recent birth cohorts. Unlike other Asian countries/regions, virtually no birth cohort effect was identified in the Philippines (a Spanish colony in 1565 and the first Asian country to adopt Western cultural aspects). Moreover, an at-most negligible birth cohort effect was identified for all ethnic groups (including Asian immigrants) in the United States. This global study identified birth cohort effects in most Asian countries/regions but virtually no impact in Western countries/regions. The timing of westernization was associated with the birth cohort effect.

Risk of cardiovascular diseases in cancer patients: A nationwide representative cohort study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: The associations with cancer and cardiovascular diseases (CVD) had inconsistent results. The study aimed to investigate the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) between populations with and without cancer. METHODS: Patients with common cancers in Taiwan were enrolled in the study between 2007 and 2018 using the Taiwan Cancer Registry. We focused on colorectal cancer, women's breast cancer, lung cancer, liver cancer, oral cancer, prostate cancer, and thyroid cancers. The study endpoint was fatal and non-fatal CVD, which was defined as ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke according to the National Health Insurance Research Database. We compared the risk of CVD between patients with cancer and age- and sex-matched (1:1 ratio) participants who did not have cancer or CVD. Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were obtained from Cox regression analysis. To evaluate the chronological trend, we estimated the HRs and 95% CI yearly since the diagnosis. RESULTS: Among the 552,485 cancer patients (mean age, 60.6 years; women, 47.7%) during the median follow-up period of 4.1 years, 32,634 cases of fatal and non-fatal CVD were identified. Compared with that noted in the non-cancer population, the overall fully adjusted HR with 95% CI was 1.28 (1.25, 1.30) in the cancer population. The CVD risk was the highest in the first year, the adjusted HR with 95% CI was 2.31 (2.23, 2.40), and this risk decreased yearly. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with cancer had a significantly higher risk of fatal or non-fatal CVD. The risk was the highest in the first year since diagnosis and decreased yearly.

A stabilized spatiotemporal kriging method for disease mapping and application to male oral cancer and female breast cancer in Taiwan.

Mapping spacetime disease rates can provide a more in-depth understanding of their distribution and trends. Traditional spatiotemporal kriging methods can break the constraints of geopolitical boundaries and time intervals. Still, disease rates in densely and sparsely populated areas are stabilized to the same degree, resulting in a map that is oversmoothed in some places but undersmoothed in others. The stabilized spatiotemporal kriging method proposed in this study overcomes this problem by allowing for nonconstant variances over space and time. A spatiotemporal map of the standardized incidence ratio for oral cancer in men in Taiwan between 1997 and 2017 reveals that the high-risk areas for oral cancer are in the midwestern and southeastern regions of Taiwan, spreading toward the center and north, with persistent cold spots in the northern and southwestern urban regions. However, the corresponding map for breast cancer in women in Taiwan reveals that the high-risk areas for breast cancer are concentrated in densely populated urban regions in the west. Spatiotemporal maps facilitate our understanding of disease risk dynamics. We recommend using the proposed stabilized spatiotemporal kriging method for mapping disease rates across space and time.

Increased standardised incidence ratio of cardiovascular diseases among colorectal cancer patients.

PURPOSE: Evidence regarding the relationship between colorectal cancer and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is limited. Thus, in this study, we aimed to determine the standardised incidence ratio (SIR) of CVDs in colorectal cancer patients in Taiwan. METHODS: A population-based cohort study enrolling the incident colorectal cancer population based on the Cancer Registry Database from 2007 to 2016 was conducted (n = 94,233, mean age: 62.4 years, 43.0% women). New cases of CVD, including coronary heart disease and ischemic stroke, through 31 December 2018 were obtained from the National Health Insurance Research Database and National Death Registry. Compared with the general population (n = 1,977,659, mean age: 44.3 years, 49.6% women), age- and sex-specific SIRs for CVDs were calculated by the time since diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 6852 cardiovascular events occurred in colorectal cancer patients during a median follow-up of 4.4 years. The SIR of CVD was highest in the first year after diagnosis (SIR: 1.45, 95% confidence interval: 1.39-1.50); however, this decreased to the same value as that of the general population in later years. Similar patterns were observed for the SIR of coronary heart disease. However, the SIR of ischemic stroke among colorectal cancer patients was low from the second year following cancer diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Colorectal cancer patients are at an increased risk of developing CVD, especially coronary heart disease, during the first 3 years following colorectal cancer diagnosis.

Associations between ambient air pollution and cancer incidence in Taiwan: an ecological study of geographical variations.

BACKGROUND: Air pollution is a global public health concern. The World Health Organization has recently set up a goal of saving 7 million people globally by 2030 from air pollution related death. We conducted an ecological study of geographical variation to explore the association between air pollution (specifically, particulate matter <2.5 µm in aerodynamic diameter [PM2.5], particulate matter <10 µm in aerodynamic diameter, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, nitric oxide, and ozone) and cancer incidence in Taiwan, from 2012 to 2016. METHODS: In this study, the yearly average concentrations of each air pollutant at 75 air quality monitoring stations were calculated, and using the kriging method, the concentrations were extrapolated to each and every geographical central point of 349 local administrative areas of Taiwan. Spearman rank correlation coefficients between the age-adjusted cancer incidence rates and various air pollutants were calculated by stratifying genders and urbanization degrees of the local administrative areas. A total of 70 correlation coefficients were calculated. RESULTS: In total, 17 correlation coefficients were significantly positive at an alpha level of 0.05. Among these, four correlation coefficients between the age-adjusted cancer incidence rates and PM2.5 levels remained significant after Bonferroni correction. For men in developing towns, general towns, and aged towns and for women in aged towns, the age-adjusted cancer incidence rates increased 13.1 (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.8-17.6), 11 (95% CI, 5.6-16.4), 16.7 (95% CI, 6.9-26.4), and 11.9 (95% CI, 5.6-18.2) per 100,000 populations, respectively, for every 1 µg/m3 increment in PM2.5 concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: A significantly positive correlation was observed between the PM2.5 level and cancer incidence rate after multiple testing correction.

Peri-onset non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use and organ failure in acute pancreatitis: A multicenter retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Organ failure (OF) of acute pancreatitis (AP) significantly contributes to AP-related mortality. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) have been associated with reduced complications of AP. AIMS: We aimed to investigate whether NSAIDs ameliorates SIRS and OF in patients with AP. METHODS: Eligible patients with AP were retrospectively identified in 4 hospitals between January 2015 and December 2018. Associations between peri-onset NSAIDs use (day -3 to day 3) and OF, persistent OF (POF), and SIRS within the first week were analyzed. Propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis and inverse probability of treatment-weighted (IPTW) analysis were used to estimate risk ratios. RESULTS: Among 1,528 patients with AP (97 [6.3%] with NSAIDs use), 242 (15.8%) developed organ failure, 89 (5.8%) progressed to POF, and 27 (1.8%) died within 3 months. PSM analysis showed no association between peri-onset NSAIDs and OF (risk ratio [RR], 1.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.46 to 2.15) and POF (RR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.21 to 2.98). IPTW analysis yielded similar results. Patients with and without peri-onset NSAIDs use were comparable with respect to OF, POF, and SIRS across subgroups defined by COX-2 selectivity and dose. CONCLUSION: Peri-onset NSAIDs use was not significantly associated with reduced OF.

Reduced burden of Arsenic-Related cancers after water mitigation in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological evidence has demonstrated an association between arsenic in drinking water and increased cancer incidence. This population-based study investigates the impact of a tap water supply system installation in Blackfoot disease-endemic regions of Taiwan on cancer incidence. METHODS: By using the Taiwan Cancer Registry dataset, we enrolled patients aged 40-84 diagnosed with arsenic-related cancers, including hepatocellular carcinoma, small and squamous cell lung cancer, Bowen's disease, basal and squamous cell skin cancer, urothelial bladder cancer, and upper tract urothelial carcinoma between 1995 and 2019. Random-effects age-period-cohort models were used to estimate the cancer incidence data, and a stabilized kriging method was employed to interpolate incidence rates to more precise spatiotemporal units. RESULTS: The results showed that the age-standardized incidence rates of all six types of studied cancers were consistently higher in Blackfoot disease-endemic areas than those in other areas from 1995 to 2019. However, the gap in incidence rates between Blackfoot disease-endemic areas and the remaining regions began to narrow approximately after the 1960 birth cohort when the tap water supply system installation commenced. For small and squamous cell lung cancer, Bowen's disease, and urothelial bladder cancer, the excess incidence rates sharply declined to null for those born after the year of arsenic mitigation. For upper tract urothelial carcinoma, the excess incidence rates decreased more gradually for those born after the year of arsenic mitigation. For hepatocellular carcinoma and basal and squamous cell skin cancer, the excess incidence rates remained constant. Spatiotemporal clusters of high incidence rates were identified in the core townships of Blackfoot disease-endemic areas. These clusters began to dissipate mainly after the 1960 birth cohort. CONCLUSION: Arsenic mitigation from drinking water in Taiwan is associated with a reduced burden of small and squamous cell lung cancers, Bowen's disease, urothelial bladder cancer, and upper tract urothelial carcinoma.

Corticosteroid Effects on Upper Esophageal Sphincter Function in Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion: A Study Using High-Resolution Impedance Manometry.

BACKGROUND: The aim of our study was to explore the effect of local corticosteroids on dysphagia in patients undergoing anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF). To address a gap in the limited research on this topic, we utilized high-resolution impedance manometry (HRIM) and the Eating Assessment Tool-10 (EAT-10) questionnaire to assess the effects on key swallowing muscles, including the upper esophageal sphincter (UES). METHODS: We randomly assigned patients undergoing ACDF to either the corticosteroid group or the saline solution group. Patients received 10 mg of local triamcinolone or saline solution prevertebrally at the cervical spine level before wound closure. Swallowing function preoperatively and at 1 month postoperatively were compared between the groups with use of HRIM parameters (e.g., UES relaxation, UES opening extent, intrabolus pressure, and pharyngeal contraction) and EAT-10 scores. Patients were also followed for postoperative complications and mortality within 12 months after surgery. RESULTS: Thirty patients completed the study. The median age was 55 years in the corticosteroid group and 57 years in the saline group, and each group had 8 female patients. All participants were Taiwanese. We found no significant difference in median preoperative UES relaxation pressure between the corticosteroid and saline solution groups (33.8 and 31.3 mm Hg, respectively; p = 0.54). Postoperatively, the corticosteroid group had significantly lower median UES relaxation pressure than the saline solution group (24.5 versus 33.6 mm Hg; p = 0.01). Before and after surgery, all other HRIM parameters and EAT-10 scores were similar between the groups, with the corticosteroid group demonstrating median pre- and postoperative EAT-10 scores of 0 and 4, respectively, and the saline solution group demonstrating scores of 2 and 3, respectively. There were no adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that local corticosteroids may reduce UES relaxation pressure at 1 month after ACDF, potentially enhancing UES opening. Further research is required to verify our findings. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level I. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Predicting Lung Cancer Survival to the Future: Population-Based Cancer Survival Modeling Study.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer-related mortality globally, with late diagnoses often resulting in poor prognosis. In response, the Lung Ambition Alliance aims to double the 5-year survival rate by 2025. OBJECTIVE: Using the Taiwan Cancer Registry, this study uses the survivorship-period-cohort model to assess the feasibility of achieving this goal by predicting future survival rates of patients with lung cancer in Taiwan. METHODS: This retrospective study analyzed data from 205,104 patients with lung cancer registered between 1997 and 2018. Survival rates were calculated using the survivorship-period-cohort model, focusing on 1-year interval survival rates and extrapolating to predict 5-year outcomes for diagnoses up to 2020, as viewed from 2025. Model validation involved comparing predicted rates with actual data using symmetric mean absolute percentage error. RESULTS: The study identified notable improvements in survival rates beginning in 2004, with the predicted 5-year survival rate for 2020 reaching 38.7%, marking a considerable increase from the most recent available data of 23.8% for patients diagnosed in 2013. Subgroup analysis revealed varied survival improvements across different demographics and histological types. Predictions based on current trends indicate that achieving the Lung Ambition Alliance's goal could be within reach. CONCLUSIONS: The analysis demonstrates notable improvements in lung cancer survival rates in Taiwan, driven by the adoption of low-dose computed tomography screening, alongside advances in diagnostic technologies and treatment strategies. While the ambitious target set by the Lung Ambition Alliance appears achievable, ongoing advancements in medical technology and health policies will be crucial. The study underscores the potential impact of continued enhancements in lung cancer management and the importance of strategic health interventions to further improve survival outcomes.

Comparison of laparoscopic and open surgery for colorectal malignancy in obese patients: a propensity score-weighted cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Insufficient evidence exists to ascertain the long-term prognosis in patients with obesity undergoing laparoscopic surgery versus open surgery for colorectal cancer. METHODS: Employing an institutional database from 2009 to 2019, we assessed individuals with a BMI of greater than or equal to 30 kg/m 2 who underwent surgery for primary stage I-III colorectal adenocarcinoma. The authors used propensity score-weighted analysis to compare short-term and oncologic outcomes between laparoscopic and open surgical approaches. RESULTS: This study enrolled 473 patients (open vs. laparoscopic surgery: 220 vs. 253; median follow-up period, 60 months). The laparoscopy group showed a significantly longer operative time (252 vs. 212 min), a higher anastomotic-leakage rate (5.14% vs. 0.91%), and a greater proportion of Clavien-Dindo class greater than III complications (5.93% vs. 1.82%). The open group showed a higher wound infection rate (7.27% vs. 3.16%) and a higher readmission rate (6.36% vs. 2.37%). After propensity score weighting, laparoscopy was inferior to open surgery in terms of long-term overall survival (hazard ratio: 1.43), disease-free survival (1.39), and recurrence rate (21.1% vs. 14.5%). In the subgroup analysis, female patients, older individuals, stage III patients, patients with rectal cancer, and those who underwent surgery after 2014 showed inferior long-term outcomes after laparoscopy. CONCLUSIONS: Laparoscopic colorectal cancer surgery for patients with obesity requires significant caution. Despite good short-term outcomes, this procedure is associated with hidden risks and poor long-term prognoses. In female patients, older individuals, stage III patients, patients with rectal cancer, and those treated in the late surgery era subgroups, caution is advised when performing laparoscopic surgery.

Relationship Between Subjective Questionnaires and Videofluoroscopy of Dysphagia Evaluation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Early detection of dysphagia is important for preventing aspiration pneumonia. Although videofluoroscopy is currently the primary diagnostic tool for dysphagia, access to this tool may be limited because of radiation exposure risk, high cost, and other factors. PURPOSE: In this study, a meta-analysis was used to determine the strength of the correlation between dysphagia detection outcomes obtained using subjective questionnaires and videofluoroscopy. METHODS: The PubMed and Embase databases were searched for original articles up to December 2022. Studies published in English that used cross-sectional designs to assess the correlation between subjective questionnaires and videofluoroscopy were considered eligible for inclusion. The search terms used included "dysphagia," "questionnaire," and "videofluoroscopy." Two reviewers critically appraised and extracted the correlation coefficient r values. In addition, a random-effects meta-analysis was conducted. The Q statistic was used to assess the heterogeneity among the included studies. Publication bias was checked using the funnel plot and Egger's tests. Multilevel analysis was used to determine sensitivity to consider within-study correlations. In addition, subgroup analyses were conducted based on type of questionnaire, head and neck cancer, and English-speaking regions. RESULTS: The meta-analysis included five studies and 856 patients using the Eating Assessment Tool-10 and one study and 27 patients using the Sydney Swallow Questionnaire. The results of the random-effects meta-analysis showed a moderate relationship between the subjective questionnaires and videofluoroscopy ( r = .35, 95% CI [0.20, 0.48]). Similar results were also obtained using multilevel analysis ( r = .34, 95% CI [0.25, 0.42]). No publication bias was found for any of the studies ( p = .88). In the subgroup analyses, a moderate relationship between Eating Assessment Tool-10 and videofluoroscopy ( r = .31, 95% CI [0.19, 0.42]) and an ultrahigh relationship between Sydney Swallow Questionnaire and video-fluoroscopy ( r = .74, 95% CI [0.50, 0.87]) were found. Furthermore, moderate associations were observed within each head and neck cancer and English-speaking regions subgroup. However, no significant differences were found between these two subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate the subjective questionnaires considered in this study share a moderate relationship with videofluoroscopy. Subjective questionnaires may be used as an auxiliary tool by nurses and homecare givers for the early assessment of dysphagia risk in patients.

The Risk of Cancer-Associated and Radiotherapy-Associated Cardiovascular Diseases among Patients with Breast Cancer.

BACKGROUND: The cardio-related issues should be emphasized as the survival rates of breast cancer increased. We investigated the risk of coronary artery disease (CAD) and stroke due to breast cancer or radiotherapy. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, breast cancer patients diagnosed between 2007 and 2016 were recruited from Taiwan Cancer Registry Database and were followed until the end of 2018 by linking with the Taiwan National Health Insurance Database. The general population was randomly selected from the whole population in 2007. Standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were calculated to compare the risk of CAD and stroke between patients and the general population. Within the cohort, we included the patients diagnosed between 2011 and 2016. Cox proportional hazards model and subdistribution hazard function were used to investigate the associations of radiotherapy with the risk of CAD and stroke. RESULTS: Overall SIR of CAD was 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.78-0.86), while were 1.43 and 1.08 (95% CI: 1.30-1.55 and 1.00-1.16) 1 and 2 years after diagnosis, respectively. Overall SIR of stroke was 0.63 (95% CI: 0.60-0.67), the results were similar after considering the time since diagnosis. The adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for the associations of radiotherapy with CAD and stroke risk were 0.91 (95% [CI] = 0.76-1.09) and 0.84 (95% CI = 0.68-1.04), respectively. The results were similar by using subdistribution hazard function. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of CAD was higher within the first 2 years of breast cancer diagnosis. We found no association between radiotherapy and the risk of CAD and stroke.

Interacting trends of colorectal cancer incidence: the combined effects of screening and birth cohort.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer remains a major global public health challenge. Its incidence is shaped by a complex interplay of screening programmes and age, period and cohort factors. METHODS: We introduce a novel Age-Period-Cohort-Screening (APCS) model to analyse trends in colorectal cancer incidence in Taiwan from 2000 to 2019. RESULTS: In 2010, the incidence of colorectal cancer in Taiwan increased by 19.2% (95% CI: 13.5%, 25.3%) for men and 15.6% (95% CI: 9.2%, 22.4%) for women. This was followed by annual declines of 3.4% (95% CI: 2.8%, 4.1%) and 3.1% (95% CI: 2.4%, 3.9%), respectively. By 2015 for men and 2014 for women, the age-standardized incidence had fallen below the levels projected in a no-screening scenario. By 2019, the incidence had further declined by 12.4% (95% CI: 11.8%, 13.1%) for men and 11.6% (95% CI: 10.7%, 12.6%) for women, compared with the no-screening scenario. Cohort effects have shown a persistent rise from 1920 to 1980: incidence increased 5.8-fold for men and 3.1-fold for women. The trend began to plateau after 1980, with a noticeable decline in women. CONCLUSION: Through its screening programme, Taiwan has successfully reduced colorectal cancer incidence by 10% as of 2019. Furthermore, the incidence due to cohort effects has plateaued and even begun to decline. However, continued monitoring remains crucial. The advanced APCS model could serve as a robust analytical tool for other researchers and policy makers evaluating the impacts of cancer screening programmes on incidence trends.

Colorectal Cancer and Subsequent Diabetes Risk: A Population-based Cohort Study in Taiwan.

CONTEXT: The association between colorectal cancer (CRC) and new-onset diabetes mellitus remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between CRC and the risk of subsequent diabetes mellitus and to further investigate the impact of chemotherapy on diabetes mellitus risk in CRC. DESIGN: A nationwide cohort study. METHODS: Using the Taiwan Cancer Registry Database (2007-2018) linked with health databases, 86,268 patients with CRC and an equal propensity score-matched cohort from the general population were enrolled. Among them, 37,277 CRC patients from the Taiwan Cancer Registry (2007-2016) were analyzed for diabetes mellitus risk associated with chemotherapy. Chemotherapy exposure within 3 years of diagnosis was categorized as no chemotherapy, <90 days, 90-180 days, and >180 days. Differences in diabetes mellitus risk were assessed across these categories. RESULTS: Each group involved 86,268 participants after propensity score matching. The patients with CRC had a 14% higher risk of developing diabetes mellitus than the matched general population (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.09-1.20). The highest risk was observed within the first year after diagnosis followed by a sustained elevated risk. Long-term chemotherapy (>180 days within 3 years) was associated with a 60-70% increased risk of subsequent diabetes mellitus (HR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.07-2.49). CONCLUSION: Patients with CRC are associated with an elevated risk of diabetes mellitus, and long-term chemotherapy, particularly involving capecitabine, increases diabetes mellitus risk. Thus, monitoring blood glucose levels is crucial for patients with CRC, especially during extended chemotherapy.

Projected Time for the Elimination of Cervical Cancer Under Various Intervention Scenarios: Age-Period-Cohort Macrosimulation Study.

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization aims for the global elimination of cervical cancer, necessitating modeling studies to forecast long-term outcomes. OBJECTIVE: This paper introduces a macrosimulation framework using age-period-cohort modeling and population attributable fractions to predict the timeline for eliminating cervical cancer in Taiwan. METHODS: Data for cervical cancer cases from 1997 to 2016 were obtained from the Taiwan Cancer Registry. Future incidence rates under the current approach and various intervention strategies, such as scaled-up screening (cytology based or human papillomavirus [HPV] based) and HPV vaccination, were projected. RESULTS: Our projections indicate that Taiwan could eliminate cervical cancer by 2050 with either 70% compliance in cytology-based or HPV-based screening or 90% HPV vaccination coverage. The years projected for elimination are 2047 and 2035 for cytology-based and HPV-based screening, respectively; 2050 for vaccination alone; and 2038 and 2033 for combined screening and vaccination approaches. CONCLUSIONS: The age-period-cohort macrosimulation framework offers a valuable policy analysis tool for cervical cancer control. Our findings can inform strategies in other high-incidence countries, serving as a benchmark for global efforts to eliminate the disease.

Latency period of aristolochic acid-induced upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma.

Purpose: Aristolochic acid (AA) is a carcinogen in upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). This study investigated the latency period between AA exposure and UTUC development. Materials and methods: This population-based cohort study was designed using record linkage of the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), Taiwan Cancer Registry Dataset, and cause-of-death data in Taiwan. Those aged 40-79 years were enrolled in this study. Patients who died or had renal insufficiency or UTUC before 2005 were excluded. The doses of AA exposure and rates of comorbidities between 2000 and 2005 were obtained. The Cox proportion hazard model was used to estimate the risk of UTUC between 2005 and 2016. In addition, the Cox model with time-varying coefficient of AA was used to measure the latency period of UTUC. Results: Of the 752,232 participants enrolled from the NHIRD, 520,871 (68.29%), 210,447 (27.59%), and 31,415 (4.12%) were exposed to cumulative AA doses of 0-1 mg, 1-150 mg, and >150 mg, respectively. A total of 1,147 (0.15%) patients were diagnosed with UTUC between 2005 and 2016. The latency periods of UTUC in middle-aged (40-59 years old) men with cumulative AA doses of 1-150 mg and middle-aged women with cumulative AA doses of 1-150 mg and >150 mg were 8, 9, and 7 years, respectively. Among the aged (60-79 years) individuals, no time-varying effect was observed, and the latency period could not be measured. Conclusion: A decreased risk of UTUC was observed after the ban on AA in Taiwan, especially in middle-aged women with moderate to high doses of AA exposure and men with moderate doses of AA exposure. The latency period of UTUC varies with age, the dose of AA exposure, and sex.