Clinical characteristics and outcomes of COVID-19 in a low-prevalence, well resourced setting, Sydney, Australia.

BACKGROUND: The Northern Sydney Local Health District was one of the first health regions to be affected by COVID-19 in Australia. AIMS: To describe the clinical characteristics, risk factors and outcomes in our low-prevalence Australian population. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of 517 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases between January and June 2020. Patient information was collected as part of routine care within the COVID-19 Virtual Hospital system. Outcomes examined were death, recovery at 30 days and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. RESULTS: The case fatality rate was 1.8%. Multivariate analysis showed factors independently associated with death, composite outcome of death/ICU admission or incomplete recovery at 30 days were age >80 years and presence of two or more comorbidities. Most cases acquired COVID-19 through international (50.9%) or cruise ship travel (9.1%). Healthcare workers comprised 12.8% of the cohort and represented a disproportionately high percentage of the 'unknown' source group (27.6%). The median incubation period was 5 days (interquartile range 3-8); one patient had an incubation period of 15 days. Hospitalisation was required in 11.8%, ICU admission in 2.1% and ventilation in 1.4%. A Radiographic Assessment of Lung Oedema score on chest X-ray of >10 was independently associated with death. CONCLUSIONS: In this low prevalence, well resourced Australian setting, we report an overall low mortality. Factors associated with adverse patient outcomes on multivariate analysis were age greater than 80 and the presence of two or more comorbidities. These data can assist in early risk stratification of COVID-19 patients, and in surge capacity planning for hospitals.

Significant risk of repeat adverse outcomes in recurrent gestational diabetes pregnancy: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The risk of adverse outcomes in recurrent GDM pregnancy has not been well documented, particularly in women who have already had an adverse outcome. The aim of this study was to compare the risk of recurrent adverse delivery outcome (ADO) or adverse neonatal outcome (ANO) between consecutive gestational diabetes (GDM) pregnancies. METHODS: In this retrospective study of 424 pairs of consecutive ("index" and "subsequent") GDM pregnancies, we compared the risk of ADO (instrumental delivery, emergency Caesarean section) and ANO (large for gestational age (LGA and small for gestational age (SGA)) in women with and without a history of adverse outcome in their index pregnancy. RESULTS: Subsequent pregnancies had higher rates of elective Caesarean (30.4% vs 17.0%, p < 0.001) and lower rates of instrumental delivery (5% vs 13.9%, p < 0.001), emergency Caesarean (7.1% vs 16.3%, p < 0.001) and vaginal delivery (62.3% vs 66.3%, p = 0.01). Index pregnancy adverse outcome was associated with a higher risk of repeat outcome: RR 3.09 (95%CI:1.30,7.34) for instrumental delivery, RR 2.20 (95%CI:1.06,4.61) for emergency Caesarean, RR 4.55 (95%CI:3.03,6.82) for LGA, and RR 5.01 (95%CI:2.73,9.22) for SGA). The greatest risk factor for subsequent LGA (RR 3.13 (95%CI:2.20,4.47)) or SGA (RR 4.71 (95%CI:2.66,8.36)) was having that outcome in the index pregnancy. CONCLUSION: A history of an adverse outcome is a powerful predictor of the same outcome in the subsequent GDM pregnancy. These high-risk women may warrant more directed management over routine GDM care such as altered glucose targets or increased frequency of ultrasound assessment.

Possible roles of bilirubin and breast milk in protection against retinopathy of prematurity.

AIM: To explore the association of serum bilirubin level and breast milk feeding with retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) in preterm infants. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study to examine the independent and combined effects of serum bilirubin and breast milk feeding on ROP risk in infants <32 weeks gestation or with birth weight <1500 g. Cases (66 infants with ROP) were matched with controls (66 infants without ROP) based on factors known to affect ROP risk. RESULTS: When analysed using the paired t-test, the peak bilirubin levels were lower in ROP cases than in controls (mean 7.2 vs. 7.9 mg/dL; p = 0.045). Using conditional logistic regression, we found a negative association between highest serum bilirubin level and risk of ROP (OR = 0.82 per 1-mg/dL change in bilirubin; p = 0.06). There was no significant association between breast milk feeding and risk of ROP. CONCLUSION: Bilirubin may help to protect preterm infants against ROP.