Association between metabolic syndrome and myocardial infarction among patients with excess body weight: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Controversial views exist over the effects of metabolically unhealthy obesity phenotypes on CVDs. This study aimed to perform a meta-analysis to assess the association between metabolic syndrome and myocardial infarction (MI) among individuals with excess body weight (EBW). METHODS: We searched PubMed/Medline, Scopus, and Web of Science databases as of December 9, 2023. Cohort studies involving patients with overweight or obesity that reported the relevant effect measures for the association between metabolic syndrome and MI were included. We excluded studies with incomplete or unavailable original data, reanalysis of previously published data, and those that did not report the adjusted effect sizes. We used the Newcastle Ottawa Scale for quality assessment. Random-effect model meta-analysis was performed. Publication bias was assessed by Begg's test. RESULTS: Overall, nine studies comprising a total of 61,104 participants were included. There was a significant positive association between metabolic syndrome and MI among those with obesity (hazard ratio (HR): 1.68; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.27, 2.22). Subgroup analysis showed higher HRs for obesity (1.72; 1.03, 2.88) than overweight (1.58; 1.-13-2.21). Meta-regression revealed no significant association between nationality and risk of MI (p = 0.75). All studies had high qualities. There was no significant publication bias (p = 0.42). CONCLUSIONS: Metabolic syndrome increased the risk of MI in those with EBW. Further studies are recommended to investigate other risk factors of CVDs in EBW, in order to implement preventive programs to reduce the burden of CVD in obesity.

The effect of obesity phenotype changes on cardiovascular outcomes in adults older than 40 years in the prospective cohort of the Tehran lipids and glucose study (TLGS): joint model of longitudinal and time-to-event data.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is a worldwide health concern with serious clinical effects, including myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), and all-cause mortality. The present study aimed to assess the association of obesity phenotypes and different CVDs and mortality in males and females by simultaneously considering the longitudinal and survival time data. METHODS: In the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS), participants older than three years were selected by a multi-stage random cluster sampling method and followed for about 19 years. In the current study, individuals aged over 40 years without a medical history of CVD, stroke, MI, and coronary heart disease were included. Exclusions comprised those undergoing treatment for CVD and those with more than 30% missing information or incomplete data. Joint modeling of longitudinal binary outcome and survival time data was applied to assess the dependency and the association between the changes in obesity phenotypes and time to occurrence of CVD, MI, stroke, and CVD mortality. To account for any potential sex-related confounding effect on the association between the obesity phenotypes and CVD outcomes, sex-specific analysis was carried out. The analysis was performed using packages (JMbayes2) of R software (version 4.2.1). RESULTS: Overall, 6350 adults above 40 years were included. In the joint modeling of CVD outcome among males, literates and participants with a family history of diabetes were at lower risk of CVD compared to illiterates and those with no family history of diabetes in the Bayesian Cox model. Current smokers were at higher risk of CVD compared to non-smokers. In a logistic mixed effects model, odds of obesity phenotype was higher among participants with low physical activity, family history of diabetes and older age compared to males with high physical activity, no family history of diabetes and younger age. In females, based on the results of the Bayesian Cox model, participants with family history of diabetes, family history of CVD, abnormal obesity phenotype and past smokers had a higher risk of CVD compared to those with no history of diabetes, CVD and nonsmokers. In the obesity varying model, odds of obesity phenotype was higher among females with history of diabetes and older age compared to those with no history of diabetes and who were younger. There was no significant variable associated with MI among males in the Bayesian Cox model. Odds of obesity phenotype was higher in males with low physical activity compared to those with high physical activity in the obesity varying model, whereas current smokers were at lower odds of obesity phenotype than nonsmokers. In females, risk of MI was higher among those with family history of diabetes compared to those with no history of diabetes in the Bayesian Cox model. In the logistic mixed effects model, a direct and significant association was found between age and obesity phenotype. In males, participants with history of diabetes, abnormal obesity phenotype and older age were at higher risk of stroke in the Bayesian Cox model compared to males with no history of diabetes, normal obesity phenotype and younger persons. In the obesity varying model, odds of obesity phenotype was higher in males with low physical activity, family history of diabetes and older age compared to those with high physical activity, no family history of diabetes and who were younger. Smokers had a lower odds of obesity phenotype than nonsmokers. In females, past smokers and those with family history of diabetes were at higher risk of stroke compared to nonsmokers and females with no history of diabetes in the Bayesian Cox model. In the obesity varying model, females with family history of diabetes and older ages had a higher odds of obesity phenotype compared to those with no family history of diabetes and who were younger. Among males, risk of CVD mortality was lower in past smokers compared to nonsmokers in the survival model. A direct and significant association was found between age and CVD mortality. Odds of obesity phenotype was higher in males with a history of diabetes than in those with no family history of diabetes in the logistic mixed effects model. CONCLUSIONS: It seems that modifications to metabolic disorders may have an impact on the heightened incidence of CVDs. Based on this, males with obesity and any type of metabolic disorder had a higher risk of CVD, stroke and CVD mortality (excluding MI) compared to those with a normal body mass index (BMI) and no metabolic disorders. Females with obesity and any type of metabolic disorder were at higher risk of CVD(, MI and stroke compared to those with a normal BMI and no metabolic disorders suggesting that obesity and metabolic disorders are related. Due to its synergistic effect on high blood pressure, metabolic disorders raise the risk of CVD.

Burden of injury due to occupational accidents and its spatiotemporal trend at the national and subnational levels in Iran, 2011-2018.

PURPOSE: The spatiotemporal trend of the burden of injury due to occupational accidents in Iran, 2011-2018 were assessed at the national and subnational levels. METHODS: The burden of occupational injury was estimated using three datasets of occupational injury data, the employed population, and duration and disability weight of injuries. RESULTS: The disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), deaths, DALY rate, and death rate (per 100,000 workers) of occupational injury in Iran drastically decreased from 169,523, 2,280, 827, and 11 in 2011 to 86,235, 1,151, 362, and 5 in 2018, respectively. The DALY rates of occupational injury were significantly different by gender and age in a manner that the DALY rate of men was much higher than that of women and the DALY rates by age group in 2018 ranged from 98 for 50 y and over to 901 for 15-19 y. The shares of injury outcomes in the total DALYs in 2018 were as follows: 63.6% for fatal injuries, 17.4% for fracture, 7.9% for open wound, 7.3% for amputation, and 3.8% for other injuries. Over 83% of the DALYs was observed in three economic activity groups of construction, manufacturing, and community, social, and personal service activities. The three provinces with the highest DALY rates in 2018 were Markazi, West Azarbaijan, and East Azarbaijan, respectively. CONCLUSION: Despite the decreasing temporal trend, the burden of occupational injury in Iran in 2018 was high. The high-risk groups and hot spot provinces should be taken into more consideration for further reduction of the injury burden.

Irrational prescription and its costs in neonatal surfactant therapy: public and private hospitals of Iran in 2018.

BACKGROUND: Irrational prescription and its subsequent costs are a major challenge worldwide. Health systems must provide appropriate conditions for the implementation of national and international strategies to prevent irrational prescription. The aim of the present study was to determine the irrational surfactant prescription among neonates with respiratory distress and the resulting direct medical costs for private and public hospitals in Iran. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional descriptive study performed retrospectively using data belonged to 846 patients. Initially, the data were extracted from the patients' medical records and the information system of the Ministry of Health. The obtained data were then compared with the surfactant prescription guideline. Afterward, each neonatal surfactant prescription was evaluated based on the three filters listed in the guideline (including right drug, right dose, and right time). Finally, chi-square and ANOVA tests were used to investigate the inter-variable relationships. RESULTS: The results showed that 37.47% of the prescriptions were irrational and the average costs of each irrational prescription was calculated as 274.37 dollars. It was estimated that irrational prescriptions account for about 53% of the total surfactant prescription cost. Among the selected provinces, Tehran and Ahvaz had the worst and the best performance, respectively. As well, public hospitals outperformed private hospitals in terms of the in drug selection, but they underperformed them in terms of the right dose determination. CONCLUSION: The results of the present study are considered as a warning to insurance organizations, in order to reduce unnecessary costs caused by these irrational prescriptions by developing new service purchase protocols. Our suggestion is the use of educational interventions to reduce irrational prescriptions due to drug selection as well as using computer alert approaches to reduce irrational prescriptions caused by wrong dose administration.

The emerging epidemic of inflammatory bowel disease in Asia and Iran by 2035: A modeling study.

BACKGROUND: The projection studies are imperative to satisfy demands for health care systems and proper response to the public health problems such as inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). METHODS: To accomplish this, we established an illness-death model based on available data to project the future prevalence of IBD in Asia, Iran in particular, separately from 2017 to 2035. We applied two deterministic and stochastic approaches. RESULTS: In 2035, as compared to 2020, we expected a 2.5-fold rise in prevalence for Iran with 69 thousand cases, a 2.3-fold increment for North Africa and the Middle East with 220 thousand cases, quadrupling of the prevalence for India with 2.2 million cases, a 1.5-fold increase for East Asia region with 4.5 million cases, and a 1.6-fold elevation in prevalence for high-income Asia-Pacific and Southeast Asia regions with 183 and 199 thousand cases respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our results showed an emerging epidemic for the prevalence of IBD in Asia regions and/or countries. Hence, we suggest the need for immediate action to control this increasing trend in Asia and Iran. However, we were virtually unable to use information about age groups, gender, and other factors influencing the evolution of IBD in our model due to lack of access to reliable data.

Patients' attitude toward informal payments in Iran: an application of the cluster analysis method.

INTRODUCTION: Attitude is a factor affecting the behaviour of consumers. In the literature, the effect of health care consumer's attitude on making informal payments has been highlighted. The purpose of this study was to investigate the attitude of Iranian patients regarding informal payments and socio-demographic factors associated with it. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, conducted in 2017 in Tehran, 450 patients who were admitted to the clinics of four public hospitals for post-surgical care and follow-up, were invited to participate in the study. The data collection tool was a questionnaire, which validity and reliability were confirmed. Cluster analysis was used to identify the main attitudinal groups. To investigate the effect of socio-demographic factors on patients' attitudes, generalized linear model regression analysis was carried out in SPSS 22. RESULTS: Our findings showed that 57.3% of patients had agreeing attitude, 24.2% indifferent attitude, and 18.4% opposing attitude toward informal payments. Patients from rural areas and those from the high-income group had higher odds of having an agreeing attitude. There was a significant association between informal payment history and attitude. The odds of having agreeing attitude among patients with a history of informal payment were two times higher than among patients who did not have an informal payment history (p ≤ 0.05). CONCLUSION: A positive attitude towards informal payments is an obstacle to the fight against this phenomenon. Therefore, changes in public attitudes regarding informal payments will be an essential strategy, among other strategies, for eradicating these payments. This could be achieved through public campaigns for raising people's awareness and knowledge.

The Prevalence of Addiction to Social Network Among Students in Iran and its Factors Related: A Study Conducted in 2020.

BACKGROUND: In the present era, the prevalence of addiction to social networks has shown that many users, including students, are detaching from the real world. Therefore, this study aims to estimate the prevalence of addiction to the social networks among students in Iran and its related factors. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study conducted in 2020 on 1000 students in Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. The data collection tool was a standardized questionnaire about addiction to the social networks distributed online among students. Statistical data were analyzed using Stata software version 14. RESULTS: Generally, 462 students (44%) had addiction to social networks, of which 449 (90.04%) had slight addiction and 13 (9.96%) had severe addiction. The results showed that age (p = 0.001), type of disciplines in the treatment-related subgroup (p = 0.03) and using nerve medicine (p = 0.0001) had significant relationships with addiction to social networks. CONCLUSION: Considering that a high number of students in the present study are at high risk of addiction, it is suggested that educational programs should be implemented to improve the knowledge of parents and students for optimal use of social networks and raise awareness of the harmful consequences of addiction.

Response to Fluvoxamine in the Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder Patients: Bayesian Ordinal Quantile Regression.

BACKGROUND: Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder (OCD) is a chronic neuropsychiatric disorder associated with unpleasant thoughts or mental images, making the patient repeat physical or mental behaviors to relieve discomfort. 40-60% of patients do not respond to Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors, including fluvoxamine therapy. INTRODUCTION: The aim of the study is to identify the predictors of fluvoxamine therapy in OCD patients by Bayesian Ordinal Quantile Regression Model. METHODS: This study was performed on 109 patients with OCD. Three methods, including Bayesian ordinal quantile, probit, and logistic regression models, were applied to identify predictors of response to fluvoxamine. The accuracy and weighted kappa were used to evaluate these models. RESULTS: Our result showed that rs3780413 (mean=-0.69, sd=0.39) and cleaning dimension (mean=-0.61, sd=0.20) had reverse effects on response to fluvoxamine therapy in Bayesian ordinal probit and logistic regression models. In the 75th quantile regression model, marital status (mean=1.62, sd=0.47) and family history (mean=1.33, sd=0.61) had a direct effect, and cleaning (mean=-1.10, sd=0.37) and somatic (mean=-0.58, sd=0.27) dimensions had reverse effects on response to fluvoxamine therapy. CONCLUSION: Response to fluvoxamine is a multifactorial problem and can be different in the levels of socio-demographic, genetic, and clinical predictors. Marital status, familial history, cleaning, and somatic dimensions are associated with response to fluvoxamine therapy.

The effects of combined exposure to road traffic noise and whole body vibration on types of attention among men.

BACKGROUND: Noise and vibration are considered as harmful physical agents in the environment which have adverse effects on cognitive performance. One of the occupations at risk is driving, where there is a possibility of simultaneous exposure to road traffic noise and whole body vibration (WBV) transferred through the vehicle. This study aims to assess the effects of single and combined exposure to road traffic noise and WBV on different types of attention in men. METHODS: The experiment was conducted on 24 men in 4 steps, executed on each participant inside an acoustic room. After recording a number of various attention scores at background conditions (27 dBA noise, no vibration) the participants were given single and combined exposure to noise levels at 55 and 85 dBA and vibration frequencies of 0.65 and 0.95 m/s2. RESULTS: As for combined exposure to noise and vibration, increasing vibration acceleration and noise levels at the same time compared to background condition caused a rise in the score of all visual attention types among groups exposed to low vibration acceleration and those exposed to medium acceleration and low noise. Nevertheless, when noise level and vibration acceleration is increased at the same time compared to background, auditory attention type scores mostly fell among groups with similar vibration accelerations. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, single and combined exposure to environmental stressors under investigation had a predominantly negative effect on auditory attention while the effects on visual attention were inconclusive. Definitive conclusions however require further systematic and comprehensive experiments.

Relationship between heat stress exposure and some immunological parameters among foundry workers.

Occupational exposure to heat stress may lead to changes in blood cell count. The objective of this retrospective descriptive-analytical field study is to investigate the relationship between heat stress exposure and some immunological parameters among foundry workers. This study was carried out on 55 subjects of which, 35 were working in a foundry unit (exposed group) and 20 were working in a computer numerical control (CNC) machining unit (control group). The measurement method consisted of taking 10 cc of the subjects' blood between 10 am and 2 pm and then performing the automated blood cell counting and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) on the sample. Environmental parameters such as noise levels, lighting, and the wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT) index were measured at the subjects' workstations. All measurements were made in the first half of the month of July. The mean WBGT index was 22.5 ± 2.16 °C for the control group and 32.97 ± 3.22 °C for the exposed group. The laboratory test results show a significant decrease in white blood cell count and lymphocyte levels and a significant increase in neutrophil levels and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in exposed group compared with control ones (P < 0.05). IgM levels decrease under heat stress, but we do not observe significant differences between IgG and IgA levels between two groups. A significant negative correlation was observed between white blood cell count, lymphocyte levels, and IgM concentration with WBGT index and significant positive correlation was observed between neutrophil and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio with WBGT index. No significant correlation was observed between sound pressure levels and light intensity with studied immunological parameters. In conclusion, under heat stress conditions, leukocytes levels and immunoglobulin concentration may reduce and it may weaken and suppress the human immune system.

Effects of Hypothetical Interventions on Ischemic Stroke Using Parametric G-Formula.

Background and Purpose- Standard analytic approaches (eg, logistic regression) fail to adequately control for time-dependent confounding and, therefore, may yield biased estimates of the total effect of the exposure on the outcome. In the present study, we estimate the effect of body mass index, intentional physical activity, HDL (high-density lipoprotein) cholesterol, LDL (low-density lipoprotein) cholesterol, hypertension, and cigarette smoking on the 11-year risk of ischemic stroke by sex using the parametric g-formula to control time-dependent confounders. Methods- Using data from the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), we followed 6809 men and women aged 45 to 84 years. We estimated the risk of stroke under 6 hypothetical interventions: maintaining body mass index <25 kg/m2, maintaining normotension (systolic blood pressure <140 and diastolic <90 mm Hg), quitting smoking, maintaining HDL >1.55 mmol/L, maintaining LDL <3.11 mmol/L, and exercising at least 210 minutes per week. The effects of joint hypothetical interventions were also simulated. Results- In men, the 11-year risk of ischemic stroke would be reduced by 85% (95% CI, 66-96) for all 6 hypothetical interventions. In women, this same effect was estimated as 55% (95% CI, 6-82). Conclusions- The hypothetical interventions explored in our study resulted in risk reduction in both men and women.

Analyzing inappropriate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) prescriptions and resulting economic burden on patients suffering from back pain.

INTRODUCTION: Back pain is a common global disorder and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is one method of assessing its cause. The lack of official and general clinical guidelines is the cause of inadequate supervision of lumbar MRI prescriptions. The goal of this research was to analyze inappropriate lumbar MRI prescriptions and the resulting economic burden on individuals. METHOD: This is a descriptive-analytical study carried out on a sample of 614 patients who visited four hospitals in Tehran. The appropriateness or inappropriateness of the MRI prescriptions was determined using clinical guidelines and a questionnaire based on previous studies. The economic burden created by inappropriate prescriptions for MRIs was determined after calculating the total direct and indirect costs. FINDINGS: The total MRI prescription cost paid by the study sample was $26 071, and the cost of inappropriate prescriptions was $10 310. The MRI prescription rate had a significant relationship with gender, age, education, employment, primary insurance type, and supplemental health insurance. CONCLUSION: The research findings revealed relatively high rates of inappropriate MRI prescriptions in the private and public sectors. Hence, policymakers should design, create, and develop clinical guidelines and enforce the policies and rules to decrease inappropriate MRI prescriptions.

Incidence of pressure ulcers in intensive care units and direct costs of treatment: Evidence from Iran.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Pressure ulcer (PU) is one of the important and frequent complications of hospitalization, associated with high treatment costs. The present study was conducted to determine the incidence of PU and its direct treatment costs for patients in intensive care unit (ICU) in Iran. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, medical records of 643 discharged patients from ICU of two selected hospitals were examined. The demographic and clinical data of all patients and data of resources and services usage for patients with PU were extracted through their records. Data analysis was done using logistic regression tests in SPSS 22 software. The cost of PU treatment was calculated for each grade of ulcer. RESULTS: The findings showed that 8.9% of patients developed PU during their stay in ICU. Muscular paralysis (OR = 5.1), length of stay in ICU (OR = 4.0), diabetes (OR = 3.5) age (OR = 2.9), smoking (OR = 2.1) and trauma (OR = 1.4) were the most important risk factors of PU. The average cost of PU treatment varied from USD 12 for grade I PU to USD 66 834 for grade IV PUs. The total treatment costs for all studied patients with PU was estimated at USD 519 991. CONCLUSION: The cost of PU treatment is significant. Since the preventive measures are more cost-effective than therapeutic measures, therefore, effective preventive interventions are recommended.

Studying the factors related to refractive error regression after PRK surgery.

BACKGTOUND: Photorefractive keratectomy (PRK) is used for a wide range of refractive errors such as low to moderate myopia, hyperopia and astigmatism. While many improvements have been made in laser application and accuracy as well as the modes of corneal flap removal, and although the results are somewhat predictable, regression of refractive errors is still a common complaint among the patients undergoing refractive surgery with Excimer Laser. We aimed to determine related factors of regression following photorefractive keratectomy (PRK) in different types of refractive errors. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included patients who had undergone PRK more than 6 months previously and investigated refractive error regression and related factors. The participants were those who had PRK eye surgery for the first time from 2013 to 2016 using Technolas 217z100. A refraction value of spherical equivalent > 0.75 D after cycloplegic refraction was defined as refractive error regression. RESULTS: A total of 293 eyes on 150 subjects were studied. The preoperative refractive error of the eyes were as follows: 5.5% were myopic, 1% were hyperopic, 4.8% had astigmatism, 76% had myopic astigmatism and 12.6% had hyperopic astigmatism. Regressed and non-regressed eyes were assessed using the generalized estimating equations for the probabilistic variables of demographic characteristics, topography and eye refraction. The variables of simulated keratometry astigmatism (simK) (OR = 2.8; p = 0.04), 5 mm irregularity (OR = 3.56; p = 0.01) and sphere value (OR = 1.98; p = 0.01) were significantly related to refractive error regression. There was no significant relationship between the regressed and non-regressed eyes of the same person (p ≥ 0.05). CONCLUSION: There was a positive relationship between the increase of 5 mm irregularity, simK, sphere value before surgery and refractive error regression. Age, sex and type of refraction error of the patient and the expertise of the PRK surgeon could change the general results; therefore, not all cases should be dealt with identically.

The impact of ambient temperature on acute myocardial infarction admissions in Tehran, Iran.

While the effect of temperature on risk of cardiovascular events is well documented, few studies report evidence from the Middle East. In this study, we investigate the short-term effect of ambient temperature on admissions for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in Tehran, Iran. We used a case-crossover design combined with a distributed lag non-linear model to examine nonlinear and delayed associations between ambient temperature and AMI admissions from 2013 to 2016. We also examined hot and cold effects on AMI admission by gender and age categories (≤ 65 years old and > 65 years old). Both hot and cold temperatures increased the risk of AMI admissions. Effects of high temperature appeared immediately on the current day and lasted for 3 days, whereas cold effects became apparent after 2 days and persisted for about 8 days. The early acute increase in risk associated with high temperature was followed by a deficit, thus suggesting evidence of a harvesting effect. In additions, males and those aged ≤ 65 years old were more vulnerable to high temperatures.

Hospital responsiveness and its effect on overall patient satisfaction.

Purpose Hospital responsiveness to the patient expectations of non-medical aspect of care can lead to patient satisfaction. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between the eight dimensions of responsiveness and overall patient satisfaction in public and private hospitals in Tehran, Iran. Design/methodology/approach This cross-sectional study was conducted in 2015. In all, 500 patients were selected by the convenient sampling method from two public and three private hospitals. All data were collected using a valid and reliable questionnaire consisted of 32 items to assess the responsiveness of hospitals across eight dimensions and four items to assess the level of overall patient satisfaction. Data analysis was performed using descriptive statistics and multivariate regression was performed by SPSS 18. Findings The mean score of hospital responsiveness and patient satisfaction was 3.48±0.69 and 3.54±0.97 out of 5, respectively. Based on the regression analysis, around 65 percent of the variance in overall satisfaction can be explained by dimensions of responsiveness. Seven independent variables had a positive impact on patient satisfaction; the quality of basic amenities and respect for human dignity were the most powerful factors influencing overall patient satisfaction. Originality/value Hospital responsiveness had a strong effect on overall patient satisfaction. Health care facilities should consider including efforts to responsiveness improvement in their strategic plans. It is recommended that patients should be involved in their treatment processes and have the right to choose their physician.

Urbanization and noncommunicable disease (NCD) risk factors: WHO STEPwise Iranian NCD risk factors surveillance in 2011.

This study was conducted to examine the relationship between urbanization and risk factors of noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) according to the World Health Organization stepwise approach to surveillance of NCDs. This study is part of a NCD risk factor surveillance of 10 069 individuals in all provinces of the Islamic Republic of Iran, aged over 20 years, during 2011. By utilizing 2011 census data, urbanization levels were determined in all provinces and logistics regression was used to examine the relationship between urbanization and risk factors. Among males, urbanization had a positive correlation with low physical activity (OR=1.7; 95% CI: 1.42-2.09), low fruit and vegetable consumption (OR=1.8; 95% CI: 1.09-2.96), and high BMI (OR=1.4; 95% CI: 1.20-1.70). Among females there was a positive and significant correlation with low physical activity (OR=1.2; 95% CI: 1.08-1.49), low fruit and vegetable consumption (OR=1.22; 95% CI: 0.78-1.91) and high BMI (OR=1.3; 95% CI: 1.14-1.53). Thus, urbanization has a significant correlation with increases in NCD factors in the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Urban-Rural Differences in the Prevalence of Self-Reported Diabetes and its Risk Factors: The WHO STEPS Iranian Noncommunicable Disease Risk Factor Surveillance in 2011.

The high prevalence of diabetes in Iran and other developing countries is chiefly attributed to urbanization. The objectives of the present study were to assess the prevalence of self-reported diabetes and to determine its associated risk factors. This study is a part of the national noncommunicable disease risk factor surveillance, conducted in 31 provinces of Iran in 2011. First, 10069 individuals, between 20 and 70 years old (3036 individuals from rural and 7033 from urban areas), were recruited. The major risk factors were studied using a modified WHO STEPS approach. Diabetes was considered based on self-reported diabetes. The prevalence of self-reported diabetes was 10% overall. The prevalence in the rural and urban settings was 7.4% and 11.1%, respectively. Moderate physical activity (OR=0.45, 95% CI=0.29-0.71) and family history of diabetes)OR=6.53, 95% CI=4.29-9.93) were the most important risk factors among the rural residents and systolic blood pressure (OR=1.01, 95% CI=1-1.02), waist circumference (OR=1.02, 95% CI=1.01-1.03), and overweight (OR=1.36, 95% CI= 1-1.84) were significantly associated with self-reported diabetes in the urban residents. The prevalence of self-reported diabetes in the urban setting was higher than that in the rural setting. Physical inactivity, abdominal obesity, and high blood pressure were the most important risk factors associated with self-reported diabetes in Iran.

Classification and Diagnostic Prediction of Colorectal Cancer Mortality Based on Machine Learning Algorithms: A Multicenter National Study.

INTRODUCTION: Colorectal cancer (CRC) ranks as the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths. This study aimed to predict survival outcomes of CRC patients using machine learning (ML) methods. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis included 1853 CRC patients admitted to three prominent tertiary hospitals in Iran from October 2006 to July 2019. Six ML methods, namely logistic regression (LR), Naïve Bayes (NB), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Neural Network (NN), Decision Tree (DT), and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM), were developed with 10-fold cross-validation. Feature selection employed the Random Forest method based on mean decrease GINI criteria. Model performance was assessed using Area Under the Curve (AUC). RESULTS: Time from diagnosis, age, tumor size, metastatic status, lymph node involvement, and treatment type emerged as crucial predictors of survival based on mean decrease GINI. The NB (AUC = 0.70, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.65-0.75) and LGBM (AUC = 0.70, 95% CI 0.65-0.75) models achieved the highest predictive AUC values for CRC patient survival. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the significance of variables including time from diagnosis, age, tumor size, metastatic status, lymph node involvement, and treatment type in predicting CRC survival. The NB model exhibited optimal efficacy in mortality prediction, maintaining a balanced sensitivity and specificity. Policy recommendations encompass early diagnosis and treatment initiation for CRC patients, improved data collection through digital health records and standardized protocols, support for predictive analytics integration in clinical decisions, and the inclusion of identified prognostic variables in treatment guidelines to enhance patient outcomes.

Spatiotemporal variations in childhood lymphoma cancer incidence and its survival rate in Iran, 2005-2015: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Childhood lymphoma is the second leading cause of cancer in children under 15 years of age in Iran. The aim of this study was to investigate the spatial and time variations in lymphoma incidence as well as the children's survival time in Iran. METHOD: This cross-sectional study was conducted using lymphoma cases (children under 14 years of age) from 2005 to 2015, and the data were obtained from the National Cancer Registry Center. The frequency, age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR), spatial clustering in national level and the survival rate (1 year and 5 years) using Kaplan-Meier method were evaluated. We used Spatial and Temporal Scan statistics software in order to detect statistically significant clusters in spatial analysis. RESULTS: A total number of 746 girls and 1610 boys were diagnosed with lymphoma during a 10-year period. ASIRs (per 100 000 people) for girls ranged from 0 in Ilam to 3.47 in Yasuj, and it ranged from 0.19 in Ilam to 5.91 in Yazd for boys from 2005 to 2015. Spatial analysis result showed a large statistically significant cluster (the most likely cluster) for both boys (relative risk (RR)=2.37) and girls (RR=2.49) located in the northwest of Iran. Fortunately, survival rate for both boys and girls was over 95.5%. CONCLUSION: Lymphoma incidence rates had heterogeneous geographical distribution, and some significant clusters were identified which strengthens the role of possible aetiological factors, and further studies are needed to clarify this ambiguity. Fortunately, the survival rate of this cancer in Iran was good and it was similar to the high-income countries.