RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke prognosis improved following the 2015 endovascular therapy (EVT) trials. Blood-based biomarkers may improve outcome prediction. We aimed to assess plasma brain-derived tau (BD-Tau) performance in predicting post-EVT large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke outcomes. METHODS: We included 2 temporally independent prospective cohorts of anterior circulation in patients with large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke who successfully recanalized post-EVT. We measured plasma BD-Tau, GFAP (glial-fibrillary-acidic-protein), NfL (neurofilament-light-chain), and total-Tau upon admission, immediately, 24 hours, and 72 hours post-EVT. Twenty-four-hour neuroimaging and 90-day functional outcomes were independently assessed using the Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score (good outcome: >7 or unchanged) and the modified Rankin Scale (favorable outcome <3 or unchanged), respectively. Based on the first cohort (derivation), we built a multivariable logistic regression model to predict a 90-day functional outcome. Model results were evaluated using the second cohort (evaluation). RESULTS: In the derivation cohort (n=78, mean age=72.9 years, 50% women), 62% of patients had a good 24-hour neuroimaging outcome, and 45% had a favorable 90-day functional outcome. GFAP admission-to-EVT rate-of-change was the best predictor for early neuroimaging outcome but not for 90-day functional outcome. At admission, BD-Tau levels presented the highest discriminative performance for 90-day functional outcomes (area under the curve, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.65-0.87]; P<0.001). The model incorporating age, admission BD-Tau, and 24-hour Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score achieved excellent discrimination of 90-day functional outcome (area under the curve, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.82-0.97]; P<0.001). The score's predictive performance was maintained in the evaluation cohort (n=66; area under the curve, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.71-0.92]; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Admission plasma BD-Tau accurately predicted 90-day functional outcomes in patients with large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke after successful EVT. The proposed model may predict functional outcomes using objective measures, minimizing human-related biases and serving as a simplified prognostic tool for AIS.
RESUMEN
The evolution of infarcts varies widely among patients with acute ischemic stroke (IS) and influences treatment decisions. Neuroimaging is not applicable for frequent monitoring and there is no blood-based biomarker to track ongoing brain injury in acute IS. Here, we examined the utility of plasma brain-derived tau (BD-tau) as a biomarker for brain injury in acute IS. We conducted the prospective, observational Precision Medicine in Stroke [PROMISE] study with serial blood sampling upon hospital admission and at days 2, 3, and 7 in patients with acute ischemic stroke (IS) and for comparison, in patients with stroke mimics (SM). We determined the temporal course of plasma BD-tau, its relation to infarct size and admission imaging-based metrics of brain injury, and its value to predict functional outcome. Upon admission (median time-from-onset, 4.4h), BD-tau levels in IS patients correlated with ASPECTS (ρ=-0.21, P<.0001) and were predictive of final infarct volume (ρ=0.26, P<.0001). In contrast to SM patients, BD-tau levels in IS patients increased from admission (median, 2.9 pg/ml [IQR, 1.8-4.8]) to day 2 (median time-from-onset, 22.7h; median BD-tau, 5.0 pg/ml [IQR, 2.6-10.3]; P<.0001). The rate of change of BD-tau from admission to day 2 was significantly associated with collateral supply (R2=0.10, P<.0001) and infarct progression (ρ=0.58, P<.0001). At day 2, BD-tau was predictive of final infarct volume (ρ=0.59, P<.0001) and showed superior value for predicting the 90-day mRS score compared with final infarct volume. In conclusion, in 502 patients with acute IS, plasma BD-tau was associated with imaging-based metrics of brain injury upon admission, increased within the first 24 hours in correlation with infarct progression, and at 24 hours was superior to final infarct volume in predicting 90-day functional outcome. Further research is needed to determine whether BD-tau assessments can inform decision-making in stroke care.