Characteristics and outcomes in elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk: subanalysis of the J-RHYTHM Registry.

Recently, a once-daily dose of edoxaban (15-mg) has been approved for stroke prevention in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients aged ≥ 80 years, in whom standard oral anticoagulants are not recommended because of high bleeding risk (HBR), based on the ELDERCARE-AF trial. However, information regarding the characteristics and clinical outcomes among such patients is limited. Thus, this study aimed to clarify the characteristics and event rates in elderly patients with NVAF and HBR defined by the ELDERCARE-AF criteria. Of the 7406 NVAF outpatients included in the J-RHYTHM Registry, 60 patients with creatinine clearance (CrCl) < 15 mL/min were excluded. The remaining 7346 patients (age, 69.7 ± 9.9 years; men, 70.9%; warfarin use, 78.7%) were divided into three groups: Group 1, aged < 80 years (n = 6165); Group 2, aged ≥ 80 years without HBR (n = 584); and Group 3, aged ≥ 80 years with HBR (at least one of the followings; CrCl, 15-30 mL/min, history of bleeding, body weight ≤ 45 kg, and antiplatelet use) (n = 597, eligible for 15-mg edoxaban). Patients in Group 3 had a higher prevalence of comorbidities, and therefore, both higher thromboembolic and bleeding risk scores than in the other groups. During the 2-year follow-up period, the incidence rates (per 100 person-years) of thromboembolism in Groups 1, 2, and 3 were 0.7, 1.5, and 2.1 (P < 0.001), major hemorrhage, 0.8, 1.2, and 2.0 (P < 0.001), and all-cause death, 0.8, 2.6, and 4.6 (P < 0.001), respectively. Adjusted hazard ratios of Group 3 were 1.64 (95% confidence interval 0.89-3.04, P = 0.116) for thromboembolism, 1.53 (0.85-2.72, P = 0.154) for major hemorrhage, and 1.84 (1.19-2.85, P = 0.006) for all-cause death compared with Group 1. The NVAF Patients aged ≥ 80 years with HBR defined by the ELDERCARE-AF criteria were certainly at a higher adverse event risk, especially for all-cause death. Clinical trial registration: The J-RHYTHM Registry is registered in the University Hospital Medicine Information Network (UMIN) Clinical Trials Registry (unique identifier: UMIN000001569) http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/ .

High body mass index and triglyceride levels at health checkups increase the risk of new-onset chronic kidney disease and worsening renal function: the TAMA MED Project-CKD.

BACKGROUND: Health checkups are important in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), which is not easily accompanied by subjective symptoms. CKD can be caused or aggravated by factors that have not yet been identified. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 7 483 patients who underwent specific annual health checkups at a medical institution in Tama City, did not have CKD in 2012, and continued to undergo checkups (aged 40-74 years). We examined the risk factors for new-onset CKD and 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine levels among laboratory values from 2012 to 2020. RESULTS: Age, body mass index (BMI), triglyceride levels, atrial fibrillation, and medication for hypertension (HT) and diabetes mellitus were independent risk factors for proteinuria, whereas current smoking, BMI, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and medication for HT were independent risk factors for estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. SBP, triglyceride levels and medication for HT were risk factors for a 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine levels during course of the study. The cut-off values of BMI for eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 were 22.2 (men 24.7, women 22.1) kg/m2 and fasting triglyceride levels for a 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine level were 171 (men 247, women 170) mg/dL, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Health checkups provide information to prevent new-onset CKD and worsening of renal function. It is necessary to increase the rate of health checkups and visits to medical institutions after health checkups as well as to use these results for health guidance.

Effect of Empagliflozin Versus Placebo on Body Fluid Balance in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: Subgroup Analysis of the EMBODY Trial.

BACKGROUND: The development of heart failure is associated with fluid balance, including that of extracellular water (ECW) and intracellular water (ICW). This study determined whether sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors affect fluid balance and improve heart failure in patients after acute myocardial infarction. METHODS AND RESULTS: EMBODY was a prospective, randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial of Japanese patients with acute myocardial infarction and type 2 diabetes. Overall, 55 patients who underwent bioelectrical impedance analysis were randomized to receive once daily 10 mg empagliflozin or placebo 2 weeks after acute myocardial infarction onset. We investigated the time course of body fluid balance measured using the bioelectrical impedance analysis device, InBody. The primary end points were changes in body fluid balance from weeks 0 to 24. Changes between baseline and week 24 in the empagliflozin and placebo groups were -0.21 L (P = .127) and +0.40 L (P = .001) in ECW (P = .001) and -0.23 L (P = .264) and +0.74 L (P < .001) in ICW (P < .001), respectively. In a stratified analysis, the rise in ECW and ICW was significantly attenuated in the empagliflozin group in contrast to the placebo group in participants with a body mass index of 25 or higher but not in those with a body mass index of less than 25. CONCLUSIONS: Early sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor administration may attenuate changes in ECW and ICW.

A Novel Risk Stratification System for Ischemic Stroke in Japanese Patients With Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Recently, identification of independent risk factors for ischemic stroke in Japanese non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients was made by analyzing the 5 major Japanese registries: J-RHYTHM Registry, Fushimi AF Registry, Shinken Database, Keio interhospital Cardiovascular Studies, and the Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry.Methods and Results:The predictive value of the risk scheme in Japanese NVAF patients was assessed. Of 16,918 patients, 12,289 NVAF patients were analyzed (mean follow up, 649±181 days). Hazard ratios (HRs) of each significant, independent risk factor were determined by using adjusted Cox-hazard proportional analysis. Scoring system for ischemic stroke was created by transforming HR logarithmically and was estimated by c-statistic. During the 21,820 person-years follow up, 241 ischemic stroke events occurred. Significant risk factors were: being elderly (aged 75-84 years [E], HR=1.74), extreme elderly (≥85 years [EE], HR=2.41), having hypertension (H, HR=1.60), previous stroke (S, HR=2.75), type of AF (persistent/permanent) (T, HR=1.59), and low body mass index <18.5 kg/m2(L, HR=1.55) after adjusting for oral anticoagulant treatment. The score was assigned as follows: 1 point to H, E, L, and T, and 2 points to EE and S (HELT-E2S2score). The C-statistic, using this score, was 0.681 (95% confidence interval [CI]=0.647-0.714), which was significantly higher than those using CHADS2(0.647; 95% CI=0.614-0.681, P=0.027 for comparison) and CHA2DS2-VASc scores (0.641; 95% CI=0.608-0.673, P=0.008). CONCLUSIONS: The HELT-E2S2score may be useful for identifying Japanese NVAF patients at risk of ischemic stroke.

Effects of empagliflozin versus placebo on cardiac sympathetic activity in acute myocardial infarction patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: the EMBODY trial.

BACKGROUND: Protection from lethal ventricular arrhythmias leading to sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a crucial challenge after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Cardiac sympathetic and parasympathetic activity can be noninvasively assessed using heart rate variability (HRV) and heart rate turbulence (HRT). The EMBODY trial was designed to determine whether the Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor improves cardiac nerve activity. METHODS: This prospective, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial included patients with AMI and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Japan; 105 patients were randomized (1:1) to receive once-daily 10-mg empagliflozin or placebo. The primary endpoints were changes in HRV, e.g., the standard deviation of all 5-min mean normal RR intervals (SDANN) and the low-frequency-to-high-frequency (LF/HF) ratio from baseline to 24 weeks. Secondary endpoints were changes in other sudden cardiac death (SCD) surrogate markers such as HRT. RESULTS: Overall, 96 patients were included (46, empagliflozin group; 50, placebo group). The changes in SDANN were + 11.6 and + 9.1 ms in the empagliflozin (P = 0.02) and placebo groups (P = 0.06), respectively. Change in LF/HF ratio was - 0.57 and - 0.17 in the empagliflozin (P = 0.01) and placebo groups (P = 0.43), respectively. Significant improvement was noted in HRT only in the empagliflozin group (P = 0.01). Whereas intergroup comparison on HRV and HRT showed no significant difference between the empagliflozin and placebo groups. Compared with the placebo group, the empagliflozin group showed significant decreases in body weight, systolic blood pressure, and uric acid. In the empagliflozin group, no adverse events were observed. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first randomized clinical data to evaluate the effect of empagliflozin on cardiac sympathetic and parasympathetic activity in patients with T2DM and AMI. Early SGLT2 inhibitor administration in AMI patients with T2DM might be effective in improving cardiac nerve activity without any adverse events. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The EMBODY trial was registered by the UMIN in November 2017 (ID: 000030158). UMIN000030158; https://upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000034442 .

Impact of Chronic Kidney Disease Classification on New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in the General Population　- The TAMA MED Project-AF and CKD.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are known risk factors for each other. In Tama City in Tokyo, 12-lead ECG and serum creatinine concentration have been included as essential examinations in specific health checkups to diagnose AF and CKD. In the present study, we investigated the impact of CKD classification on new-onset AF in the general population.Methods and Results:Among 13,478 subjects aged 40-74 years at entry (age, 65.6±7.8 years; men, 42.0%), renal impairment with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2and proteinuria were found in 15.5% and 4.6%, respectively. CKD severity in individual subjects was classified according to a heatmap of the Japanese Society of Nephrology as 81.3% in the green, 15.1% in the yellow, 2.5% in the orange, and 0.9% in the red. Of those without AF in 2012, it had developed in 115 up to 2017; thus, the new-onset AF incidence rate was 2.6/1,000 person-years. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for new-onset AF in each CKD classification were 1.50 (0.93-2.41, P=0.097) in the yellow, 2.53 (1.03-6.23, P=0.044) in the orange, and 4.65 (1.47-14.70, P=0.009) in the red compared with the green as a reference. CONCLUSIONS: CKD classification was significantly associated with new-onset AF in the general population. Thus, it would be useful for risk stratification of new-onset AF. Renal function evaluation is recommended in health checkups.

Atrial fibrillation and stroke prevention: state of the art-epidemiology and pathophysiology: new risk factors, concepts and controversies.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of thromboembolism, and risk assessment for thromboembolism is necessary for the management of AF patients. CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores have been adopted in international guidelines for AF management, but the significance of each risk factor included in these risk scores are sometimes controversial, and the performance of these scores is only modest. There are several other risk factors not included in the scores such as renal dysfunction, low body weight, type of AF (paroxysmal or non-paroxysmal) as well as echocardiographic parameters and blood biomarkers, and physicians should assess patients risk in an integrated manner.

Prevalence and Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation in the General Population Based on National Health Insurance Special Health Checkups　- TAMA MED Project-AF.

BACKGROUND: Although National Health Insurance special health checkups have been useful for the diagnosis of metabolic syndrome, they are insufficient to identify atrial fibrillation (AF). In Tama City in Tokyo, 12-lead electrocardiogram has been included as an essential examination in special health checkups to diagnose AF since 2008. Methods and Results: In subjects aged 40-74 years at entry, prevalence of AF was 0.8% (men, 1.7%; women, 0.2%) in 2008 and 1.4% (men, 2.9%; women, 0.4%) in 2015. Of 10,430 subjects without AF in 2008 (mean age, 64.9±7.1 years; men, 40.4%), AF developed in 133 between 2008 and 2015. The incidence rate of new-onset AF was 2.5/1,000 person-years during an observation period of 52,707 person-years. On multivariate Cox regression analysis in subjects without a history of cardiac disease, hypertension (HR, 1.58; 95% CI: 1.01-2.47, P=0.045) and body mass index (BMI; /1-kg/m2increase; HR, 1.07; 95% CI: 1.00-1.12, P=0.049) were significant risk factors for new-onset AF in addition to age and male sex. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of AF increased between 2008 and 2015. Age, male sex, hypertension, and BMI were significant predictors for future incidence of AF in the general population without overt cardiac disease. Controlling hypertension and BMI may prevent new-onset AF in the general population.

Impact of Digitalis Use on Mortality in Japanese Patients With Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation　- A Subanalysis of the J-RHYTHM Registry.

BACKGROUND: Because the influence of digitalis use on the death of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) remains controversial, a subanalysis of the J-RHYTHM Registry was performed.Methods and Results:A consecutive series of outpatients with AF from 158 institutions was enrolled and followed for 2 years or until the occurrence of an event. Among 7,406 patients with NVAF, 7,018 (age, 69.7±10.0 years; men, 71.1%) with information on antiarrhythmic drug and digitalis use at baseline were divided into 2 groups based on digitalis use. The influence of digitalis on death was investigated using a propensity score-matching model. In 802 patients treated with digitalis, all-cause death was significantly higher than in 6,216 patients with no digitalis use during the 2-year follow-up period (4.4% vs. 2.4%, unadjusted P<0.001). Digitalis use was significantly associated with all-cause death in the crude model (hazard ratio [HR] 1.85, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28-2.68, P=0.001). However, after propensity score-matching, the association was not significant (HR 1.31, 95% CI 0.70-2.46, P=0.405). Older age, male sex, heart failure, coronary artery disease, and lower body mass index were significantly associated with all-cause death in NVAF patients treated with digitalis. CONCLUSIONS: Digitalis use was not independently associated with all-cause death, and several clinical confounding factors might contribute to increased mortality in NVAF patients treated with digitalis.

Renal Dysfunction Affects Anticoagulation Control With Warfarin and Outcomes in Japanese Elderly Patients With Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether renal dysfunction affects warfarin control in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Methods and Results: Using a dataset from the J-RHYTHM Registry, time in therapeutic range (TTR) of the international normalized ratio (INR) of prothrombin time, and creatinine clearance (CrCl) were determined in elderly patients aged ≥70 years. Target INR values were 1.6-2.6 following Japanese guidelines. Incidences of thromboembolism, major hemorrhage, and all-cause death were determined over 2 years. Of 7,406 NVAF patients enrolled in the registry, 2,782 elderly patients (mean age, 75 years) had data for CrCl measured at baseline and TTR. TTR values were lower in the lower CrCl groups (P<0.001 for trend). CrCl <30 mL/min was independently associated with TTR <65% (odds ratio, 1.49; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.95; P=0.004). In the multivariate analysis, TTR <65% was independently associated with thromboembolism (hazard ratio, 2.26; 95% confidence interval, 1.37-3.72; P=0.001), but CrCl was not (CrCl <30 mL/min, 1.68, 0.41-6.85, P=0.473). However, CrCl <30 mL/min and TTR <65% were independently associated with all-cause death (5.32, 1.56-18.18, P=0.008 and 1.60, 1.07-2.38, P=0.022, respectively) and the composite event (thromboembolism, major hemorrhage and all-cause death) (2.03, 1.10-3.76, P=0.024 and 1.58, 1.22-2.04, P=0.001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Elderly NVAF patients with renal dysfunction had poor warfarin control, which was associated with higher risk of thromboembolism and all-cause death.

Time in Therapeutic Range and Disease Outcomes in Elderly Japanese Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between warfarin treatment quality and prognosis for Japanese patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) has not been studied thoroughly. Methods and Results: Data from the J-RHYTHM Registry were used to determine the time in therapeutic range (TTR) of the international normalized ratio (INR) of prothrombin time in elderly patients (≥70 years). Target INR was 1.6-2.6. Of 7,406 patients with NVAF in the database, 3,832 elderly patients (mean [±SD] age 77.0±5.0 years) constituted the study group. Of these patients, 459 did not receive warfarin and 3,373 received warfarin. Patients on warfarin were subdivided into 4 TTR groups: <40%, 40-59.9%, 60-79.9%, and ≥80%. During the 2-year follow-up, the incidence of thromboembolism and all-cause death was lower in patients with higher TTR (Ptrend<0.001); however, the incidence of major hemorrhage was higher in patients with TTR <40%. In multivariate analysis, compared with the no-warfarin group, TTR 60-79.9% and ≥80% were associated with lower thromboembolic risk, with hazard ratios (HR) of 0.34 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.17-0.67; P=0.002) and 0.35 (95% CI 0.18-0.68; P=0.002), respectively, and lower all-cause death (HR 0.37 [95% CI 0.22-0.65; P<0.001] and 0.43 [95% CI 0.26-0.71; P=0.001], respectively). TTR <40% was associated with major hemorrhage (HR 5.57; 95% CI 2.04-15.25; P=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In elderly Japanese patients with NVAF, TTR should be maintained ≥60% to prevent thromboembolism and all-cause death. TTR <40% should be avoided to prevent major hemorrhage.

Beneficial Effect of Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation　- Results of the J-RHYTHM Registry 2.

BACKGROUND: The J-RHYTHM Registry 2 was a multicenter, prospective observational study that extended the follow-up period of the J-RHYTHM Registry in order to investigate long-term outcomes and effects of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in Japanese patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Among 6,616 patients with nonvalvular AF (NVAF) (men 71.0%, 69.7±9.9 years, CHADS2score 1.7±1.2), event rates were compared among patients receiving warfarin (n=3,964), NOACs (n=923), and no anticoagulation therapy (No-OAC, n=753) at the end of follow-up, except for 976 patients lacking anticoagulant data. During the 5-year follow-up period, thromboembolism occurred in 196 (4.9%), 19 (2.1%), and 45 (6.0%) patients, respectively; major hemorrhage in 233 (5.9%), 22 (2.4%), and 36 (4.8%); all-cause death in 230 (5.8%), 13 (1.4%), and 105 (13.9%), (P<0.001 for each). After adjusting for the components of the CHA2DS2-VASc score and antiplatelet drug use, the odds ratio (OR) in the Warfarin group was significantly lower for all-cause death compared with that in the No-OAC group (OR 0.30, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.23-0.39, P<0.001), whereas ORs in the NOACs group were significantly lower for all events (OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.24-0.74, P=0.003 for thromboembolism; OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.31-0.93, P=0.027 for major hemorrhage; and OR 0.10, 95% CI 0.06-0.18, P<0.001 for all-cause death, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: NOACs could be beneficial for reducing event rates of all types in Japanese NVAF patients.

Regional Differences in Frequency of Warfarin Therapy and Thromboembolism in Japanese Patients With Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation　- Analysis of the J-RHYTHM Registry.

BACKGROUND: The proportion of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) treated with anticoagulation varies from country to country. In Japan, little is known about regional differences in frequency of warfarin use or prognosis among patients with non-valvular AF (NVAF). METHODS AND RESULTS: In J-RHYTHM Registry, the number of patients recruited from each of 10 geographic regions of Japan was based on region population density. A total of 7,406 NVAF patients were followed up prospectively for 2 years. At baseline, significant differences in various clinical characteristics including age, sex, type of AF, comorbidity, and CHADS2score, were detected among the regions. The highest mean CHADS2score was recorded in Shikoku. Frequency of warfarin use differed between the regions (P<0.001), with lower frequencies observed in Hokkaido and Shikoku. Baseline prothrombin time international normalized ratio differed slightly but significantly between the regions (P<0.05). On univariate analysis, frequency of thromboembolic events differed among the regions (P<0.001), with the highest rate seen in Shikoku. An inverse correlation was detected between frequency of thromboembolic and of major hemorrhagic events (P=0.062). On multivariate analysis, region emerged as an independent risk for thromboembolism. CONCLUSIONS: Thromboembolic risk, frequency of warfarin use, and intensity and quality of warfarin treatment differed significantly between geographic regions of Japan. Region was found to be an independent predictor of thromboembolic events. (Circ J 2016; 80: 1548-1555).

Secondary Prevention of Stroke with Warfarin in Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation: Subanalysis of the J-RHYTHM Registry.

BACKGROUND: Prior ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) is a high risk for thromboembolism in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). To clarify rates of thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events, and target intensities of warfarin for secondary prevention, a subanalysis was performed using data from the J-RHYTHM Registry. METHODS: Of 7937 outpatients with atrial fibrillation, 7406 with NVAF (men 70.8%, 69.8 ± 10.0 years) were followed for 2 years or until an event occurred. Event rates and effect of warfarin were compared between patients with (secondary prevention) and without (primary prevention) prior stroke/TIA. RESULTS: Prevalence of male sex, diabetes mellitus, and mean age were higher in the secondary prevention group, showing a higher CHADS2 (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age 75 years or older, diabetes mellitus, and history of stroke or TIA) score than the primary prevention group (3.5 ± 1.0 versus 1.4 ± 1.0, P < .001). In the secondary prevention group, 93.4% of patients received warfarin and their time in therapeutic range was 62.8%. During follow-up, thromboembolism occurred more frequently in the secondary than in the primary prevention group (2.8% versus 1.5%, P = .004), especially in patients without warfarin. Major hemorrhage also occurred more frequently in the secondary prevention group (3.0% versus 1.7%, P = .006). Compared with patients not taking warfarin, combined rates of both events were lower at an international normalized ratio (INR) of 1.6-2.59 in patients taking warfarin in the secondary as well as in the primary prevention groups. CONCLUSIONS: Both thromboembolism and major hemorrhage occurred more frequently in NVAF patients with prior ischemic stroke/TIA. Target INR should be 1.6-2.59 for secondary as well as primary prevention of thromboembolism in Japanese NVAF patients.

Target intensity of anticoagulation with warfarin in Japanese patients with valvular atrial fibrillation ­ subanalysis of the J-RHYTHM Registry.

BACKGROUND: Warfarin is widely used for prevention of thromboembolism in patients with valvular atrial fibrillation (AF), and an international normalized ratio (INR) of prothrombin time between 2.0 and 3.0 is recommended. Optimal intensity of anticoagulation with warfarin in Japanese patients with valvular AF, however, has not been clarified thoroughly as yet. METHODS AND RESULTS: We evaluated the status of anti-thrombotic therapy and incidence rates of events in 410 patients with mitral stenosis and/or mechanical valve replacement (valvular AF) among 7,816 patients with AF followed in the J-RHYTHM Registry. Patients were divided into 5 groups based on INR (<1.6, 1.6-1.99, 2.0-2.59, 2.6-2.99, and ≥3.0) at the time of event or at the end of follow-up in order to determine the target INR for patients with valvular AF. Warfarin was prescribed in 407 (99.3%) of valvular AF patients. During a 2-year follow-up period, thromboembolism and major hemorrhage occurred in 12 (2.9%) and in 15 (3.7%) patients, respectively. Among patients receiving warfarin, 2-year incidence rates of thromboembolism were 10.3%, 1.6%, 0.6%, 3.0%, and 0.0% (P=0.003 for trend), and those of major hemorrhage were 1.5%, 1.6%, 3.2%, 6.1%, and 21.1% (P<0.001 for trend), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: I NR between 1.6 and 2.6 could be optimal to prevent thromboembolism without increasing major hemorrhage in Japanese patients with valvular AF. INR 2.6-2.99 would also be effective, but is associated with a modestly increased risk of major hemorrhage.

Use of warfarin in elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation -- subanalysis of the J-RHYTHM Registry.

BACKGROUND: To clarify the effects of warfarin therapy in very old patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), a post-hoc analysis was performed using the data of the J-RHYTHM Registry. METHODS AND RESULTS: A consecutive series of AF outpatients was enrolled from 158 institutions. Of 7,937 patients, 7,406 with NVAF (men, 70.8%; 69.8±10.0 years) were followed for 2 years or until an event occurred. Patients were divided into 3 age groups (<70, 70-84, and ≥85 years) and 5 subgroups according to international normalized ratio (INR; <1.6, 1.6-1.99, 2.0-2.59, 2.6-2.99, and ≥3.0). Prevalence of female sex, permanent AF, hypertension, coronary artery disease, heart failure, and history of ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack was higher in the older groups. In the oldest group, 79.7% of patients received warfarin and their time in therapeutic range, using the Japanese target INR of 1.6-2.6, was 67.1%. Rate of thromboembolic events was lower in the age groups <70 and 70-84 years (P=0.027 and P<0.001, respectively) for patients receiving warfarin compared with those who were not. In the oldest group, the rate of thromboembolism plus major hemorrhage was lower at INR 1.6-2.59. CONCLUSIONS: Warfarin could have beneficial effects even in very old NVAF patients if INR is kept between 1.6 and 2.59.